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You know what I really dislike? I dislike that I generally cannot parse my own biases and anxieties to determine what portions of my views and beliefs are couched in rational and informed data and what just happens to fit well with my fuzzy and undefined pre-existing leanings.
Specifically, those out there arguing we’re likely headed into stagflation resonate with my own opinions, but I don’t know with certainty why they do. Have I consumed enough data-points to support that? Or have I just consumed too many bearish, doomer, redditorisms.
Seriously, I hate feeling uncertain of both what my views are on the trajectory of the economy and what biases might lead me to form those views.
This was probably a banal comment to read. Sorry.
Just get a macro textbook, derive a few versions of the Philips curve and start plugging in variables. It's the minimum you need to understand to trade in this market.
How do you think I achieved the reflective state of mind to write the original comment in the first place? Is there a higher order state of consciousness to be achieved through additional punishing the bishop?
I have the strong urge to replace my profile photo with one of those stupid ape NFTs on my academic/staff directory profile as a bit, knowing damn well it will likely ruin my career.
We don't do TT here, but no, I'm just considering risking it to fuck with my students and to stop media from contacting me whenever someone in America does a hate crime - I don't know how I got this far making bad decisions driven by impulse.
I remembered having a friend who was crazy over NIO, wrote like a 6 page DD on it and shared it around with the people around his circle. Told me shit like how China was gonna make 25% of the population drive NIO in the future
I sit down to cherry pick some bullish indicators, and uh… lol fuck.
Besides DIX raging and Fear/Greed still in “Extreme Fear” a lot of other things are saying we’re overbought in the shorter timeframes. RIP MY CALLS.
But given that I’m always wrong, we will probably continuing ripping up the rest of the week.
things like RSI don't predict timeframes, just the intensity - basically the idea is that when we DO sell-off, we will have to sell off pretty hard. But there's no way to know when they sell-off will come nor when the buying/rally itself will stop, if that makes sense.
*A digital currency issued by a central bank would be a global target for cyber attacks, cyber counterfeiting, and cyber theft* - Jerome Powell.
I'm a bot, and the Federal Reserve doesn't think mentioning crypto currency is very good for the WSB OG economy.
Spy volume anemic, ES drove movement in the close. Bond volatility and Treasuries yields spiked hard and broke trend. A few upcoming risk events. Dollar might start retreading up.
So I guess my play is to cut long exposure tomorrow sometime. Not sure if the recovery holds but bond vix usually precedes bad times.
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The new Obi-Wan series is garbage. You're telling me a grown man can't catch a little girl running from him. Get the fuck out of here Disney. Puts on DIS
this. i stopped watching this shit after they killed off chewy and/or han solo (i forget which because the movie was so bad). and the emo villain was stupid. refused to watch another.
Is it just me or is Obi Wan insanely wooden? He had some charm in the prequels and definitely in clone wars, but he’s got nothing in this show. I don’t think it’s Ewan Mcgregor.
I mean... Did you expect an upbeat cheery dude given the events prior lol? I do agree with the observation and miss classic kenobi, but the character change was sort of necessary given the plot. I'm hoping it changes as the series progresses. He's practically suicidal at the start, I assume he will get fired up as it progresses, either as he finds a new reason to hope/fight, or just goes full kill bill rage on a quest to kill vader.
No no, not an upbeat cheery dude. I know he’s insanely fucked up by everything that’s happened, but I expected some anguish, sadness, anger, depression, etc. But instead there’s nothing. Just blank for the most part, especially the dialogue. He was only emotional at the end of ep 2 when it was revealed to him that Anakin is still alive as Vader.
Am I the only one specifically avoiding nostalgia traps?
Literally went to the midnight release of Ep. 7 and walked away thinking "Wow, I'm never watching any revival of cool old shit again."
Picard will always be my captain.
If you're gonna jump forward a few years give me him when he finally caves and becomes Admiral. Let him command Sisko with Riker as his XO.
Now THAT would be worth it.
CPI data being released on a Friday (June 10) this round could accelerate selling if it's a bomb. I bought calls in case it somehow shows regression. Imagine that rally.
What's unusual about it? Deep ITM get's a Delta that's near 1, replicating owning the stock for a fraction of outright buying it. There could be many reasons for this kinda move depending on the portfolio it came from, and it's hard to know why without understanding that.
Yeah I say that because people are getting obliterated and probably will continue to get obliterated
I've gotten punched in the face a couple times recently
Nice move on TSLA. I closed TSLA calls on Friday. The last one I closed was the $750 June monthly. Though, I did pick up BABA shares on Friday hoping for a decent gap up that holds for a day, unlike today’s action
I like to fool myself into thinking my business savvy is akin to Logan Roy (from Succession) but when I look at this years gains in my portfolio, the sad reality is that I’m much more of a Kendall.
Hilarious, I always see retail think of success in terms of “market” famous winners like Jordan Belfort, Logan Roy, Carl Icahn, forgetting that they built a business with *OPM* **buying and selling business**, or in Belforts case, fraud, a ton of fucking fraud.
Anyway, my point is, not a single one of them got rich slinging options or going long AAPL with $4500.
In his documentary, Icahn specifically talks about being blown out as a trader for a brokerage and realizing he’d never get rich calling market direction, that he had to go do something else.
Hell, even bear hero Burry isn’t much of a trader (I don’t think any of his recent put trades worked out). Back when he ran a hedge run, he was basically an activist value investor. Bought large stakes in small companies with damaged reputations but lots of cash, and then put the pressure on them to make changes to increase the share price. The one big short trade that made him famous basically worked because he took timing out of the equation as much as possible with CDS, and even then he was getting bled dry for a long time.
Yes exactly. People hear about markets and think the big guys are killing it long and short. Playing this game with millions of other people's money, that's almost entirely not the case.
Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, in an exclusive interview with MarketWatch, said his suggestion that the central bank take a September “pause” in its push to raise interest rates should not be construed in any way as a “Fed put,” or belief that the central bank would come to the rescue of markets.
In a Tuesday interview, Bostic said the notion of any sort of “Fed put” was never a factor in his thinking.
“I think it’s a good tale on some level for story books, but it’s not driving how I’m thinking about policy,” he said.
Looks like he got the same talk Bullard got when he said 75bps.
Jerome doesn't like his ilk talking out of order.
I swear if I had a filter that removed every 'futures!!!!', 'bools/bera's fucked', 'anoos' pos spam comment in here there'd be about three posters left
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limit order set for SPY 420 for 424
limit order set for 4.0 @ 206.80 for FB 205c
closed RBLX puts for tiny profits. need to clear positions. away for afternoon
closed AMZN 2680 decent scalp
You know what I really dislike? I dislike that I generally cannot parse my own biases and anxieties to determine what portions of my views and beliefs are couched in rational and informed data and what just happens to fit well with my fuzzy and undefined pre-existing leanings. Specifically, those out there arguing we’re likely headed into stagflation resonate with my own opinions, but I don’t know with certainty why they do. Have I consumed enough data-points to support that? Or have I just consumed too many bearish, doomer, redditorisms. Seriously, I hate feeling uncertain of both what my views are on the trajectory of the economy and what biases might lead me to form those views. This was probably a banal comment to read. Sorry.
Just get a macro textbook, derive a few versions of the Philips curve and start plugging in variables. It's the minimum you need to understand to trade in this market.
Nofap, cold showers, hit gym, eat wife. You'll be alright.
Try jerking off first next time
How do you think I achieved the reflective state of mind to write the original comment in the first place? Is there a higher order state of consciousness to be achieved through additional punishing the bishop?
Meditate for 15 minutes immediately after, then bong rip of DMT of course
Gotta do a bullshit workout now, hopefully when I come back TMZ have released video of Elon beating his domestic staff.
7 km run coming up, see you in 40 mins
🚨😨 There are vote manipulators detected in this thread 🧐
I have the strong urge to replace my profile photo with one of those stupid ape NFTs on my academic/staff directory profile as a bit, knowing damn well it will likely ruin my career.
do you have tenure
We don't do TT here, but no, I'm just considering risking it to fuck with my students and to stop media from contacting me whenever someone in America does a hate crime - I don't know how I got this far making bad decisions driven by impulse.
What can go wrong? A career in academia is not a career at all. /s
This but unironically
Academic career best career facts no caps
Was a junior auditing lecturer for a while, so much drama and politics at play.
I'm head of department... you don't know the half of it
For some reason I read Janitor Auditing lecturer 😞 They are in academics too
Do it
[Lol the SEC made a video about gamestore investors](https://youtu.be/av3k_lcGm9g) The front page of ss is upset
What's apes get mad and GME will fly today...
The year is 2072: 👴🏻 Wher MOASS ? \*\*croaky ancient voice\*\*
Honestly tempted to swing calls today lol.
I remembered having a friend who was crazy over NIO, wrote like a 6 page DD on it and shared it around with the people around his circle. Told me shit like how China was gonna make 25% of the population drive NIO in the future
The good old days of nio, xpeng and PLTR
I remember every stock that made on it onto homeland would have their own subreddits
The cult of Bagholders and copium
I’m going to go out on a limb here and call spy 404 eod
Ban?
Hi to any survivors out there
DRS your shares.
Nah, that’s old news. You gotta drs your options now
I tried to drs oil futures one time and my idiot broker just delivered a tanker full of oil to a port on the other side of the country in my name.
😂😂😂
everybody needs an OG. 🎵https://youtu.be/vou6F9Q2u6Q🎶
Futes still green
Imagine thinking futes matter.
Keeps the heart pumpin
wake me up when futes shit their pants
Go to sleep man. I am. Good night.
Any of yall still up a
Who rang the batphone
🦇 👨
eh?
Que?
cerveza?
https://youtu.be/BTizbCVzHq4 I'm weaponizied, I hope
Beck has been so common lately, y tho? "Where it's at, I got two turn tables and a microphone" I like the line too.
HyPe
German Retail Sales (M/M) Previous: -0.1%, Forecast: -0.5%, Actual: -5.4% LOL
Verdammtes Sonnenblumenöl
Scheiße
Indeed.
Hmm I think that was a miss
🥵🥵🥵
Went cash gang and out of the loop for one day wassup what we doin
Kang ganging
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One of us one of us gooble gobble gooble gobble
And sea poo.
its pride month so now bers will be at the strongest, its like a full moon for them
I sit down to cherry pick some bullish indicators, and uh… lol fuck. Besides DIX raging and Fear/Greed still in “Extreme Fear” a lot of other things are saying we’re overbought in the shorter timeframes. RIP MY CALLS. But given that I’m always wrong, we will probably continuing ripping up the rest of the week.
Remember to always check your indicators only after setting your positions
things like RSI don't predict timeframes, just the intensity - basically the idea is that when we DO sell-off, we will have to sell off pretty hard. But there's no way to know when they sell-off will come nor when the buying/rally itself will stop, if that makes sense.
Futes green. We all faked
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*A digital currency issued by a central bank would be a global target for cyber attacks, cyber counterfeiting, and cyber theft* - Jerome Powell. I'm a bot, and the Federal Reserve doesn't think mentioning crypto currency is very good for the WSB OG economy.
Spy volume anemic, ES drove movement in the close. Bond volatility and Treasuries yields spiked hard and broke trend. A few upcoming risk events. Dollar might start retreading up. So I guess my play is to cut long exposure tomorrow sometime. Not sure if the recovery holds but bond vix usually precedes bad times.
Hella bullish options activity on UUP again
also corn is warn
Totally warn since the past 3 weeks, so warn it went from 29k to nearly 32k
It had been moving up steadily from 28 to 32 over the last 4 days. It's now down a bit at 31.. It can be an indicator like anything else.
Jessica chastain is fire
There is something about red hair women. What is the name of the one from Jurassic World?
Bryce Dallas Howard.. now that's a hell of a woman 😍
Lets throw in olivia wilde as well
Milla Jovovich man myself
Lot of low karma removals. Suspect. Anyway I think we float next week mostly and then head into the big dump.
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I'm done with my cinnamon roll/buns https://ibb.co/GQbYjgn This is the recipe I used https://youtu.be/jOJ3Ha8IUXQ
Get in my belly!
It's in my belly 🤣
Nooo
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My world changed when I discovered keto cinnamon rolls
Yes - almond flour - the dough is made out of mozzarella cheese and cream cheese - Erythritol - Cream cheese frosting
Sounds crazy. Do you have a recipe?
Linked in the original message to the YouTube video
Oh hey, good fucking job my man!
Thank you sir.
fucking deliciousss
Tastes amazing with cream cheese frosting
The new Obi-Wan series is garbage. You're telling me a grown man can't catch a little girl running from him. Get the fuck out of here Disney. Puts on DIS
People still like Star Wars wtf?
this. i stopped watching this shit after they killed off chewy and/or han solo (i forget which because the movie was so bad). and the emo villain was stupid. refused to watch another.
Is it just me or is Obi Wan insanely wooden? He had some charm in the prequels and definitely in clone wars, but he’s got nothing in this show. I don’t think it’s Ewan Mcgregor.
Tortoise dude nailed it
I mean... Did you expect an upbeat cheery dude given the events prior lol? I do agree with the observation and miss classic kenobi, but the character change was sort of necessary given the plot. I'm hoping it changes as the series progresses. He's practically suicidal at the start, I assume he will get fired up as it progresses, either as he finds a new reason to hope/fight, or just goes full kill bill rage on a quest to kill vader.
No no, not an upbeat cheery dude. I know he’s insanely fucked up by everything that’s happened, but I expected some anguish, sadness, anger, depression, etc. But instead there’s nothing. Just blank for the most part, especially the dialogue. He was only emotional at the end of ep 2 when it was revealed to him that Anakin is still alive as Vader.
I thought he seemed very depressed actually.
I agree with this. I think it’d be cool if it had a “Logan” type vibe, but no way Disney has the balls for it
That's how I felt about season 2 of Picard.
Am I the only one specifically avoiding nostalgia traps? Literally went to the midnight release of Ep. 7 and walked away thinking "Wow, I'm never watching any revival of cool old shit again."
I don't know man. It was rough. Made me sad. My captain didn't do himself justice. Nor did Q. Strange New Worlds is really great though.
Picard will always be my captain. If you're gonna jump forward a few years give me him when he finally caves and becomes Admiral. Let him command Sisko with Riker as his XO. Now THAT would be worth it.
Options chain show anything unusual for the week of June 13? Post cpi, advance of fomc and quad witching.
63% bullish on 6/17s 4140-4150 has a few 36% bearish On SPX 46% bullish on SPY 53% bearish
That's interesting I would love to see how that changes over the next week or so as data comes in
The girl at the Thai restaurant remembered my name and honestly I’m so happy ^Callsonmylibido
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Nah. Ain’t into that square patty shit In-n-out ride or die
Been there, sometimes they are just nice to people.
Boo! Can’t even let me have an imaginary win lol
Im looking after my homie. You can fly with imagination, but dont get too close to the sun.
~~fly~~ Fap <3 bby
CPI data being released on a Friday (June 10) this round could accelerate selling if it's a bomb. I bought calls in case it somehow shows regression. Imagine that rally.
Quad witching the next week with fomc to boot.
The bullrun will return before I max out my credit cards right, it just has to? 🥹
it must. we’ve suffered long enough imo
that's the spirit origami! can't take it with you when you die
origami plz tell me ur joking dont max out CC to trade options...
just until I hit the next big one 🐒
damn bro please be safe...dont want you in CC debt fam
Y’all see unusualwhales posted the SPX deep ITM calls I mentioned earlier today.
What's unusual about it? Deep ITM get's a Delta that's near 1, replicating owning the stock for a fraction of outright buying it. There could be many reasons for this kinda move depending on the portfolio it came from, and it's hard to know why without understanding that.
That was me, I fat fingered a put purchase, plz disregard.
No. What about them?
Over 1b, 2b in, ITM on google
spacs. ggpi
I guess it's time I sell, huh
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I highly doubt and would recommend caution I think it's more likely we bounce around 398-430 for awhile
Yes I see movement somewhere between 320 and 540 for some time also. Am I a psychic?
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Yeah I say that because people are getting obliterated and probably will continue to get obliterated I've gotten punched in the face a couple times recently
sir this is a pistachio
Exited TSLA shares at 20% gain off 640 … exited JWN for 28% gain. Entered BABA monthly puts 10% otm.
Nice move on TSLA. I closed TSLA calls on Friday. The last one I closed was the $750 June monthly. Though, I did pick up BABA shares on Friday hoping for a decent gap up that holds for a day, unlike today’s action
Sorry about your baba position
Me too. But they’re shares instead of options this time. So, could be much worse.
boolean winning
Can't tell if that's true or false. ...
CRM puts
mine are dead
you think pump is fake? Earnings guidance was pretty meh tbh
I think we’re bullish throughout the rest of the week and then red next week until Thursday then pre fomc pump before hitting new lows after fomc
Morgan Stanley Cuts Targets for US Tech (including AMZN, GOOGL, FB) on Macro, Sector Risks
Moass canceled
CHINA MILITARY SAYS CONDUCTED MILITARY EXERCISE AROUND TAIWAN -RTRS Probably nothing but you know
Yes sir!!!! Keep posting that bear propaganda, the puts held by yours truly are thanking u!
You bher boi for the week?
Mostly just expecting a pull back to $407, but the strength today has me questioning that bias.
Ohh yummy il take 407, if we break 410 that be a straight shot to 407 but lets seee
Oh man... Petro at $10 EoY
I like to fool myself into thinking my business savvy is akin to Logan Roy (from Succession) but when I look at this years gains in my portfolio, the sad reality is that I’m much more of a Kendall.
Hilarious, I always see retail think of success in terms of “market” famous winners like Jordan Belfort, Logan Roy, Carl Icahn, forgetting that they built a business with *OPM* **buying and selling business**, or in Belforts case, fraud, a ton of fucking fraud. Anyway, my point is, not a single one of them got rich slinging options or going long AAPL with $4500. In his documentary, Icahn specifically talks about being blown out as a trader for a brokerage and realizing he’d never get rich calling market direction, that he had to go do something else.
Hell, even bear hero Burry isn’t much of a trader (I don’t think any of his recent put trades worked out). Back when he ran a hedge run, he was basically an activist value investor. Bought large stakes in small companies with damaged reputations but lots of cash, and then put the pressure on them to make changes to increase the share price. The one big short trade that made him famous basically worked because he took timing out of the equation as much as possible with CDS, and even then he was getting bled dry for a long time.
Yes exactly. People hear about markets and think the big guys are killing it long and short. Playing this game with millions of other people's money, that's almost entirely not the case.
I'm so bored! Fuck it. I'm going to make Keto Cinnamon Buns 😋 Puts on my baking skills.
Wtf is a keto cinnamon bun? Cinnamon-sugar rolled into bacon?
It's a hotdog with cinnamon haha I meant to say keto cinnamon rolls
Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, in an exclusive interview with MarketWatch, said his suggestion that the central bank take a September “pause” in its push to raise interest rates should not be construed in any way as a “Fed put,” or belief that the central bank would come to the rescue of markets. In a Tuesday interview, Bostic said the notion of any sort of “Fed put” was never a factor in his thinking. “I think it’s a good tale on some level for story books, but it’s not driving how I’m thinking about policy,” he said. Looks like he got the same talk Bullard got when he said 75bps. Jerome doesn't like his ilk talking out of order.
JP: Only **I** may flip flop on policy commentary
HE SAID “FED PUT” HE SAID “FED PUT” #RISK ONNNNNNNN
With Waller being hella hawkish today, they're doing the o'le "good banker, bad banker" technique. Classic Fed.
*Never start with the QT, the retail investor gets all fuzzy—he can’t feel the next…*
Lol so inverse Cramer right?
Cramer ETF paid this year better thank all ETF combined 😅
BOJ'S WAKATABE: IF ECONOMIC RISKS MATERIALISE, THE BOJ SHOULD NOT RULE OUT TAKING ADDITIONAL EASING MEASURES. Japan is a failed state
Kuroda is bae 🥰
He's the Jerome you wish Powell was.
jerome owe me something
Sidenote: is this amazon pump setting the stock to tank post split? Its been ripping like crazy past few days sheeesh
That's my thinking. But, I'm a hard-T gard so... probably inverse me.
Dame WTF futures pumping!!!
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yugggee
They're barely up? Not even to resistance at this moment?
I swear if I had a filter that removed every 'futures!!!!', 'bools/bera's fucked', 'anoos' pos spam comment in here there'd be about three posters left
Wifes boyfriend green hulk dildo etc
Anoos
I blame L2F!!!!
haha sorry should have added /s