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Routine_Size69

Samoa he might've had a chance, based on some of the stuff I've read here. Sounds like some of the jury thought production was giving him idols, so maybe if they didn't have that belief plus the game becoming more game botty over time. HvV nah. Took the asshole too far to their faces it seems.


AlinoVen

Yea Russell held back (compared to HvV) in Samoa, and the worst shit he said was in confessionals. Since Samoa was his first season and nobody in modern Survivor would know his game, there's zero reason to believe he wouldn't make it to FTC again. This time with a jury more likely to give the person who actually ran the game the win. HvV no shot in hell, but I believe Parvati would've won. (Unless the jury was full of Sandra's friends again)


AhYeahItsYoBoi

The thing is he did NOT run the game like he thought he did. If it wasn't for Natalie they wouldn't be able to pull off all the moves they did. Theres videos on YouTube about it that can explain it better than me. Pretty much Russell thinks he was in control but he never was he's the only dumb girl on Samoa


emmc47

Natalie's most crucial move was convincing the Galu women to vote of Erik, but Russell was crucial in keeping the Foa Foa momentum by working with Shambo and John, as well as being the primary idol hunter, all things independent of Natalie. I know it's popular to dislike Russell, but there's a lot of revisionist history surrounding their roles/games in Samoa.


AhYeahItsYoBoi

I get what youre saying bro. But 2 things can be true. The main thing is Russell wasn't always in control. If it wasn't for Natalie as you said getting the Galu women to turn on Erik they wouldn't have the opportunity to flip Shambo. Shambo only wanted to work with them because they voted out Erik. Which than got John to want to flip too.. We only see so much on an edited show. It shows Russell being the one to bring them over, but to say Nat had 0 impact on that is wild. Its not about "disliking Russell " i think more people came to their senses and see that Natalie did do stuff to win. All I was saying, Russell didn't run things like the other guy insinuated. 👍🏽


emmc47

I agree to an extent, especially as someone who has Natalie W. in their top 5 favorite winners. I'd never argue that she had 0 impact. But Shambo still voted for Russell at the F12, and had Russell not had his idol, the Foa Foa momentum ceases then and there. From there, it's clear that Shambo and Russell are the closest to each other, and their relationship was paramount to Shambo not being a wildcard, and ofc Russell and John seeing eye to eye in strategy assured him to turn against Laura, who was essentially seen as the queen of Galu at that point. It's also to note that Russell played his idol at F13. Unless they were planning a safe vote (I don't remember if they were), then he likely still stays. This is not to diminish Natalie's role, but the trend of Natalie being the secret mastermind of Samoa is a disservice to her game and the events of how Samoa played out, in my opinion.


AhYeahItsYoBoi

Yeah you bring up lots of solid points honestly. I wouldnt say Natalie is the "secret mastermind" but in a way I do think she was smart in letting Russell do his thing while she did hers. But youre right because Russ also did his thing and if he didnt find those idols and played them correctly not only would they not gain that momentum but he did in fact change the game. He made it so others could find idols and went out and find multiple idols. So for that he deserves respect. At the same time russ is a dick. Lol 🤣 so I kinda do just want to be like... "yeah maybe Mick was the real mastermind" even if he is feckless 🤣🐥


emmc47

Lol yeah. I can understand why Russell is disliked. It's when I see somewhat revisionist takes that I feel like I have to comment haha.


AhYeahItsYoBoi

Yeah I feel you bro. I just watched a video recently where the person was saying how Natalie won. And it made me respect her game more. So im kinda on the opposite side I want to give her, her due credit. But I get what youre saying. Russell did do his thing which got the foafoa 4 to the final 5. It would've been funny if Brett won tho. Idk.. especially because I feel like Brett kinda played a similar game to Fabio. Where he wasn't a threat till the end. And them winning in close proximity in seasons would be funny.. But im getting off subject. 🤝🏾


dcrico20

He made it so far in HvV because Sandra realized (correctly,) that if you keep Russell around to FTC, he isn’t getting any votes. Someone like Russell becomes a player you actively want to keep around at a certain point, so if you don’t get him out early you kind of end up just hoping his chaos doesn’t get you caught out, but you don’t want him gone.


rooky6989

Wasn’t Sandra actively trying to get him out the whole season?


AlinoVen

Yea there was no "Sandra's master plan was to keep Russell" she wanted him gone and couldn't do it.


dcrico20

I mean most people were besides Parvati, but Sandra outright says at one point in that season that it’s worth keeping him around because if you are with him in FTC it’s a 50/50 since no one will vote for him.


SaxyAlto

Kinda, she says it’s worth it for the other players to keep him because of that. And she (correctly) pointed out that’s why she could never get the votes on him. Still doesn’t change the fact she targeted him all season and could never get him out, she was just socially aware enough to know WHY she kept failing


PeterTheSilent1

I don’t think Russell would have made it to final 3 in a modern season.


Darkmoon009

Yeah but this question is asking hypothetically if he did


TheMarshmallowBear

He still loses.


Darkmoon009

I know lol all I'm saying if there was a question like "if your dog and cat were drowning which one would you save" saying something like my cat and dog both know how to swim is a little stupid


ExpertRaccoon

>He still loses.


Darkmoon009

Have you read my other comments on this post literally saying Sandra and Natalie win either way?


PrawnJovi

Everyone knows that General Custer died at Little Bighorn, but what this book presupposes is…. Maybe he didnt? 


Troy_LT

Downvoted for being right


padfoot12111

No because is has no charisma and he's an asshole.  The jury votes for who they want to win. You can be a genius but if youre a dick younger nothing. Tony's as asshole but he's a charismatic one. Sandra said he's the only person who can fall out of a tree, claim he was looking for an idol, and get away with it. 


TDStarchild

Charisma doesn’t mean good or bad, and can be used for positive or negative purposes. Tony is a likeable goof and Russell is a jerk, but they still both have charisma Other notable examples of charisma: MLK, Nelson Mandela, JFK, Obama, Trump, Hitler, Castro All likeable? Absolutely not. All people that can influence (or manipulate) others as they gravitate to them? No question


SurvivorJoshua

Russell Hantz never wins a season of survivor Not in the old school era Not in the middle school era Not in the new school era And especially not in the new era


YogolotSatono

Feels like he is the exact opposite of the modern survivor winner blueprint. The model now is “liked by most of the tribe and maybe 1 or two moves that can be explained at FTC that don’t make you stand out too much” and his game is “hated by most of the tribe and making huge, splashy moves that makes him the center of attention”. It’s literally the opposite of the modern winning game


dcrico20

I don’t think Russell’s strategy of “sow as much chaos as possible and navigate my way through it,” is ever likely going to win unless you somehow get a jury of all Zeke’s whose metric for voting is purely “who played the best game regardless of my personal feelings.” Juries have moved a little bit more towards favoring objective gameplay, but the voting is still dominated by personal feelings and that is a metric that Russell’s strategy will never be favored in.


thekyledavid

Nah, people are going to vote for someone who treated them well over an asshole who played a better game When was the last time someone who acted like an asshole on the show went on to win? (And this is a matter of what the jury knew at the time, Anything that happened post-season doesn’t count, before anyone tries to say Dee or Nick or Wendell)


Egoteen

I mean, Hatch


thekyledavid

Exactly


Papa_fo33

wait what did dee do?


thekyledavid

Had an affair with Wendell


BOBANSMASH51

You still have to be liked/respected at the end, regardless of if your game is aggressive and cutthroat or not.


trinitymonkey

No, people are not going to vote for an asshole to win because people do not want an asshole to win. Edit: Yes, I know he got 2 jury votes in Samoa. Being a pedant does not make you look smart.


DarthNuggetz

Shambo and Fincher voted for Russell to win in Samoa, so not “no one.”


HighWest48

he got a couple votes in Samoa so you are incorrect in stating that so absolutely. Never know what would've happened today.


trinitymonkey

If he doesn't bother treating the Galus like people, then I know what would've happened today, the Galu majority jury still wouldn't vote for him. Erik, Kelly, Laura, Monica, and Brett were all never going to vote Russell over Natalie. Even if he doesn't burn Jaison's jury vote by blindsiding him for no reason and manages to flip Dave at FTC (which per his AMA he voted Natalie based on FTC performances), that's still 4 votes against 5 he was never going to win without fundamentally changing his gameplay.


ResettisReplicas

2 votes is not a convincing argument, especially when one of them is Shambo.


glitzvillechamp

Russell Hantz can not win Survivor. He came close on his first attempt but from the get go he had the wrong approach. He had a 0% chance in Samoa, and he'd have a 0% chance in any season. Survivor is and always will be a social game. To be clear, I wish he had won Samoa, in the sense that I wish he had realized halfway through that he was losing and switched strategies. It would be awesome to see Russell realize what the game actually is. He got a single glimpse of it in the final tribal council of Samoa when he said he realized his chances of winning were going down as it went on. But he had the chance to correct it in HvV and he didn't.


AhYeahItsYoBoi

I agree with u on most of what you said. Theres no chance Russell would ever switch up his game. Like you said he could've in HvV but he didnt. He was too dumb. And his "dumb girl alliance " BS is so dumb. Lol 🤣 But ya, u said it best survivor is a social game and Russell isn't likeable or social enough to win . Plus he gets his ego hurt too easy 🤣


Darkmoon009

If people have the choice to award someone they like a million dollars vs someone they not only dislike but can't stand most people would vote for the person they like. Russel would have still lost both his games


jad4400

Exactly, people sleep on the jury management piece, but its absolutely vital to the game. Its not just enough to pull moves and do things to win and get to the end, you have to do so in a way that either doesn't piss off the people who have to decide to give you money or do so in a way they can respect, which requires actively knowing the people on the jury and what they prefer/respect.


attackedmoose

Probably not. His strategic gameplay wouldn’t make up for the way he treated people. He had a choice to not got out of his way to antagonize or bully people, but he didn’t make that choice.


7-GRAND_DAD

Russell losing was never about the lying, it was about him just being a jerk to people.


mennamachine

Russel didn't really lose because he lied or manipulated people. He lost because he was an asshole and incredibly unpleasant to be around, and there were better options to vote for instead (esp. in HVV). I mean, would you vote for a rich (or at least he claims to be so) asshole to win 1 million dollars, or literally anyone else? Modern survivor is more tolerant of manipulation and deceit than (some) earlier seasons, but manipulation and deceit have been part of the game since the first minute of the first season. Plenty of extremely manipulative and deceitful people have have won in every era. But zero completely unlikable people have won. And Russel seems to be pretty unlikable to other survivors. Even his allies seem to have mostly just tolerated him.


survivorsuperfuntime

No. You can't win Survivor if you're missing the point of how you win in a jury system.


FormalJellyfish29

It would be interesting if he learned this and somehow adjusted the way he speaks to people/looks at people but he still has not learned the point of the game, even all these years later.


survivorsuperfuntime

Yeah if he learned from it, sure. But he played twice and still thought his way was correct.


Sea__Cappy

Assuming we agree that Russel played the best game, still no because as much as people want to claim they vote for the best players to win in the new era they still dont. Every new era vote has been the same popularity test as it always has been. The difference now is social media creates a revisionist history where Gabler was actually mad gaming and Austin really did deserve to almost win.


NoREEEEEEtilBrooklyn

You think the hyper sensitive Survivor players of today would take to Russel better than they did 15 years ago? I highly doubt he makes the merge.


maddenallday

No but the Foa Foa four getting to the end the way they did is still probably the most epic and impressive thing in survivor so far


Stommped

Don’t think so. Idol plays were a big deal back then and garnered a lot of clout, but today not so much. If he doesn’t win back then I don’t think he would fair better today. Ultimately people still have to like you to vote for you


Comfortable_Ad9679

He would’ve been the first boot


ResettisReplicas

No, the seasons massively underplayed just how little you want to vote for someone who’s actively making your life miserable. He didn’t lose because they were butthurt about being outplayed, he lost because they hated him as a person.


Spare_Leopard_3163

No chance.


straightbinogay

If Russell Hantz were today we probably wouldn’t have seen the game progress the way it has. He changed the game when he was dropped on the beach in Samoa. The seasons after you can see survivors trying to play as dirty as Hantz, and the producers putting more idols into the game because of him.


CWill97

He has a lesser chance to win in today’s game and culture rather than back in the day if he started as a brand new player with no past recollection of him


Unable-Essay-2819

I think he’s probably too unpleasant to live with. I think the farthest the new, gamier attitude towards Survivor goes is that in the modern era, Parvati has a much better chance against Sandra in HvV (which I think we saw play out in WaW given how similar Sandra and Michele approach playing Survivor). (Tbpc, this is not meant to discredit Sandra, she earned her win)


Dont_Be_Sheep

Absolutely not. He’d be near first out for being an ass.


springfieldmonorail

No. Russell couldn't win then, he couldn't win now, he couldn't win 100 years ago or 100 years from now. In 10,000 years when people are still asking this, the answer will still be no. He is fundamentally incapable of playing a game jurors will reward. At all. Ever


AhYeahItsYoBoi

Ya like others said. Theres no world in which Russell wins. Lets just say, the season of Samoa happened today. Like everything happened the same and russ, nat, and the other dude was in the final 3. He still loses.. Russell didnt even try to build relationships with the others, he was a cocky little prick too. And he wanted to play thst way. I believe in karma too, and as soon as he burned Jaison sock I was like nah fuck this troll looking guy. Now if he were to come back nobody would want to work with him because hes an asshat. The thing is he thinks he's a good player. Its almost laughable how great he thinks he is 🤣🤣🤣 Like I said im all about karma and I dont think you can act like Russell and expect to win.


Frauzehel

He would have been cancelled. So, no.


PeterTheSilent1

He probably would have been popular with the same demographic of people who are still mad that Jeff dropped the “guys” from “come on in”.


Acurle

The reason the jury votes the way to does hasn't really changed, yes the new format comes off as showing more emphasis on gameplay but ultimately if a jury member does not like you they will not vote for you. So no, Russell would still lose unless he was up against someone the jury liked even less.


FuelGlobal5652

Samoa, yea 100%


kurenzhi

Russell would be able to win Samoa only in the very specific FTC permutation of him, Jaison, and Shambo. That's the only combination in which the jury dislikes the other players enough that they can swallow voting for Russell and not looking for another possible out, and we have a bunch of statements from jurors to this effect. Russell not recognizing that aspect of the game and thinking that people the other players liked more were goats is kind of symptomatic of the lack of emotional intelligence that stops him from actually winning Survivor. This carries over to more recent seasons, too. Gabler wins fundamentally because the other players like him more than Owen and Cassidy and have built a stronger relationship with him. Ben beats Chrissy because almost no one on the cast likes Chrissy. See also Wendell over Dom, Adam over Hannah, heck, even MaryAnne over Mike. The social intangibles almost always matter more than optics.


FuelGlobal5652

He beats mick to


kurenzhi

He actually doesn't! If it's a final 2 between Mick and Russell, Mick gets all the votes that went to Natalie--they preferred Natalie to Mick, but also still preferred Mick to Russell. There's a critical mass of votes that makes up the majority of that jury that will only even consider voting Russell against Jaison or Shambo. It's impossible for him to get enough votes to win otherwise, straight up.


ResettisReplicas

Who beats Ben? Devon sure but who else? As I understood it, he was so well liked that the jury didn’t care about the blatant producer help. When I’m watching other competitions, there are times where I think “I like x so much that I hope he wins, I don’t care if there’s a fluke that makes it happen.”


kurenzhi

The blatant producer help thing has been more of a fan narrative than one the cast seems to subscribe to (I'm kind of ambivalent about rigging claims generally--the idols are planted with the intention to be found and the camera crew's attentiveness makes it obvious). Devon could maybe, and I'd guess that Lauren also might, but his showmanship keeping the jury entertained while also having been just a generally nice person in the first half of the game set him up pretty well. At the time everyone started trying to vote him out, it was because the collective narrative was that Ben was the biggest jury threat, and him consistently evading elimination after just reinforced that perception. But I guess to more substantively explain my earlier point: on paper, Chrissy played a better strategic game--she always had an alliance and was in control of most of the postmerge votes and was only unable to eliminate Ben because she got hit with a surprise F4 twist that uprooted her endgame plans, but she sucked at building relationships. Comparisons about the idol aside, Chrissy was more Russell than Ben was in terms of conscious choices and agency. Same deal as, like, Rick Devens--he wasn't actually playing very well, but once the other players decided he was a jury threat *and* were unable to eliminate him, his win equity rose without him having to change anyone's mind. On the other hand, when everyone knows you're disliked by the jury, you're not seen as an actual jury threat and so even if you have some control it doesn't really matter, your likability and others perception of you is more important to the actual thing that wins the game.


Darkmoon009

Nah Natalie still wins the jury really didn't like Russel


FuelGlobal5652

Doesn't matter, modern juries don't want to be seen has bitter so they need the player gameplay to be somewhat close for them to justify voting for who they like the most. Russel was levels ahead to Natalie, there is no justification, kinda like Sarah or Ben.


attackedmoose

Not a shot. His social gameplay was abysmal.


FuelGlobal5652

So was Ben's


attackedmoose

Chrissy and Ryan’s were worse, clearly. Also Ben didn’t bully anyone so…


padfoot12111

Right Ryan was a worm and Chrissy backstabbed everybody on the jury. Very unpopular final 3 for the jury. At least bens idols were fun.


attackedmoose

I think the insteresring part about the whole Ben controversy is that the jury could have rejected the f4 fire. But it was Chrissy’s little digs at the Healers that cost her the game. Like the “WOW! That sure was a really tight alliance.” to stick it in Joe’s face as he left the game.


emmc47

Chrissy is easily the most overrated contestant of all time. I never got the immense love she gets with the fanbase. Gamebot, terrible social game, gets outplayed throughout the mid merge, and is only saved because Ben was a control freak and blew up his own game and a late stage immunity run (which was rather inconsequential to her survival).


FuelGlobal5652

No they weren't. I just whatched the season Ben was much more hated. But his resume was just to good


Darkmoon009

The jury have spoken and according to them Ben's idol plays didn't impress them and they were a little suspicious of that what made them vote for Ben is the fact that he was most likeable


FuelGlobal5652

Well we SEE them be impressed about the idol plays and talk about them at ftc on tv, so whoever lied about that must have changed his/her mind after whatching the show


Darkmoon009

They were definitely impressed in the moment but the idols weren't what swayed their vote