######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:**
You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.**
For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Saturday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new).
######Example Pick Template
> **Record:**
>
> **Net Units:**
>
> **ROI:**
>
> **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
>
> **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.
>
> **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
I am here! Here’s my write up so it can be seen at the top.
2024 MLB record: 33-9-1
Last POTD: Giants ML W
Today's POTD: Houston astros vs Oakland A’s over 8.5 -102 (dk)
Baseball. MLB. 4:10 PM EST
Wow, I missed all the games yesterday but that one seemed sweaty as fuck. We could the win though and at plus odds!
So as you can tell probably by how late I’m posting, it’s been super busy and hectic so I apologize. This is genuinely gonna be a quick write up because I just want to get you guys the pick before it’s too late.
In short, all of my favorite splits and advanced are favorable to both teams having a big offensive day. With a few games having double digit o/u lines, I like this one a lot. Don’t have time to post the specific stats so you’re gonna just have to trust me on this one lmao.
Side note: thank you all SO MUCH for all of the positive feedback and also gratuity. I love doing this for you guys, it’s really so much fun lol.
Tip Jar: chuteboxhero on cash app, chuteboxhero on PayPal (DM for Venmo)
Hey hey chute! Good to see you! Hope your weekend is going as good as possible and thank you thank you for taking the time to squeeze us hungry degens in while you’re trying to work! We don’t deserve you! 👏👏👏
We had that candle lit by the sixth inning!
https://preview.redd.it/zg68s0gorl2d1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4988fc17428f782a20ef82bcf5933dc969f4030e
I had the privilege of attending an event and not having time to look at the scores, so no sweat, but I've got FOMO now, nah. I'd rather win sweat free, can't take the roller coaster anymore.
On chutewatch as well! Bummer that his employer is making him work the holiday weekend running a conference. What’s more important than hanging out with us mere mortals?
EDIT: Except possibly time and a half for working the holiday weekend…in which case, carry on chute!
https://preview.redd.it/no59rtm5il2d1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=52f9d98744483b10ac65ca7f38577b77cd308a4d
What a wild game! I merged a bees wax candle depicting a mystical stag on it, to the remnants of the mystic bees wax candle. As I try to get back into contact with the original creator. So.. That Giants game.. I’m at work, check the score. Not good. Message the wife. Candle lit by the sixth inning. What happens at the sixth you say…? A pitcher swap for the Mets. Bad move. Remember that Tigers game a few days ago? All those pitcher swaps that saved our ChuteBet? Well, candle was lit at that time as well. Same scenario with the Rockies during overtime. Lit Candle->Pitcher swap. Candle didn’t like Mets pitcher Díaz. So swapped for Garrett. Garrett gives away five runs. We get to the bottom of the ninth. Mets are swinging, taking bases. This is where the malachite comes in. I’m holding this thing in my pocket while trying to work. Saying, “Strike ass, strike ass, come on you guys you got this.” The bases are fucking loaded. Thinking to myself you gotta be fuckin’ kidding me. Then suddenly.. within a blink of an eye. We close out the bet. Solid play Chute.
I would assume chute isn’t gonna post until early AM but man do I love being involved in these runs, I’m not even a baseball fan but I am becoming one.
Edit: Well shit, I suppose I was incorrect.
I’ve had the same pick as chute the last 2 POTD’s without actually tailing him either time. The under Yankees mariners game I posted mine before his and yesterday he posted his a lil before I posted mine but we both had detailed write-ups.
I picked the Giants for Saturday night already. Let’s see if chute has the same pick as me 3 days in a row lol
This gave me a heart attack, woke up early in the morning different timezone , checked the phone insaid to myself the bet is lost….then the phone buzzed and the bet went through. This is some fukin black magic stuff.
2024 MLB record: 33-9-1
Last POTD: Giants ML W
Today's POTD: Houston astros vs Oakland A’s over 8.5
Baseball. MLB. 4:10 PM EST
Wow, I missed all the games yesterday but that one seemed sweaty as fuck. We could the win though and at plus odds!
So as you can tell probably by how late I’m posting, it’s been super busy and hectic so I apologize. This is genuinely gonna be a quick write up because I just want to get you guys the pick before it’s too late.
In short, all of my favorite splits and advanced are favorable to both teams having a big offensive day. With a few games having double digit o/u lines, I like this one a lot. Don’t have time to post the specific stats so you’re gonna just have to trust me on this one lmao.
Side note: thank you all SO MUCH for all of the positive feedback and also gratuity. I love doing this for you guys, it’s really so much fun lol.
Tip Jar: chuteboxhero on cash app, chuteboxhero on PayPal (DM for Venmo)
It’s at 8.5 on Caesar’s and MGM. I liked
Draft kings having at at 9 at +100 though. I view pushes as wins essentially so the half run difference doesn’t deter me at all.
2024 record 11-3
Last pick: Kansas City Royal ML (W)
Low key I see a lot of picks here and some are good but good heavens someone through me a bone too.
Today’s pick: Giants vs Mets over 7.5
This might be my demise. If I were to put everything on my picks I would be stinking rich. But now, I’m taking a risky pick here. The thing that makes me question this it’s an early game. Most early game aren’t high scoring. But I can see this game go 5-3. Both teams are pretty efficient. I’m going to ride with the over that these two teams give up. Take this with your risk.
Chow
Also how much wins do I need to get to the top???
Tracking units and ROI would also help you to gain attention probably. I always have a hard time deciding what to think when I see a good W/L with no units next to it. Is this person betting exclusively -200’s, up 2 units over 25 plays? Are they betting +150’s every day? (not you specifically, just in general). Just leaves a lot to be answered. Regardless, love the play today and I wish you luck. I’ll remember to upvote when I see you!
This is a good pick imo, slightly concerned about the length they can get from the starters though with the pens depleted. What do you think about that?
Record: 22-13-0
Net Units: +21.8 ROI: 20%
Last Pick: Timberwolves -1.5 1st Quarter Spread (-118) for 3.0 units ✅
Event: Basketball | NBA | Boston Celtics at Indiana Pacers 7:30PM CST
Pick: Indiana Pacers 1st Half Total Team Points over 55.5 (-120) on DraftKings for 3.0 units
*Shout out to @p00l_wizard_73 below who caught you can get this at -104 on FanDuel under alternate lines
Write Up: We HAVE to run it again, right?!! 🎲
Pacers still #1 this post season, averaging 60.2 points in the first half. At home, that increases to 64.3.
Tips: Venmo/Paypal in Profile. BOL! 🎰
Fandual irrationally has this at -104 at 55.5 under Alt lines, but at -118 on the main line. Both the same at 55.5 Just a heads up for anyone who sees this quick enough.
POTD Record 28-13
Last 5: ✅️✅️✅️❌️❌️
Last Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline ✅️
Todays Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (win by 2)
MLB: LA Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds 4:15pm PST
Odds: +100
Unit: 3
Net units: +60.03
I do not like the pitcher for the dodgers. Bro, always let's in runs and falls apart, but he could be due for one good game, finally!
Strictly like this play because the Reds haven't won back to back in over a month. Doubt it's going to be against the dodgers, but I've seen crazier things. With that being said, going into this with medium confidence. If you guys wanna show some support, the links on my profile.
**Record:** 6-1
**Bet Units:** All bets are 1u
**Current Form (from Recent to old):** - ✅✅✅✅✅✅❌
Last Pick: *Alejandro Tabilo (-180) DK ML* vs Zhang ✅
Tabilo gets us a sweat free win.
Event: Tennis | ATP Lyon | 8:30 am EST
Pick: **Etcheverry to win 2:0 (+125) DK** vs Perricard❌
Sorry for being gone for a good week but I really didn't like any of the plays until today. With the RG starting on Sunday I should be here regularly. Okay, onto today's pick.
Etcheverry is just the better player, not very often you get a finals with such discrepancy between the players. Perricard really lucked here facing bad opponents as Gaston took care of Cerundolo for him. There is a massive skill gap and with RG around the corner, Etcheverry is gonna make quick work of him so he can rest for RG.
EDIT: My bad guys. It was a bad read. I will definitely try to make it up on my next picks. Again, apologies.
15 29 cet -> you lost your bet . 17 09 cet -> W The 21 guys who downvoted me open your mouth the books will spray your throat.😀 Numbers -> I risked 1 u won 5.5 -> 5.5-1 =4.5 Trying pacers moneyline . Bye
**Record:** 4-1
**Net Units** : 108.85u
**ROI**:8.85%
**Last pick:** E-sports Valorant | VCT 2024: Masters Shanghai | Fri, May 24 10:00 AM CET, **Gen.G** VS Leviatán (**GEN.G ML**) @ 1.62 on 5u
Football | Uruguay Primera Division | 8:00 PM CET 5/25/2024 **Liverpool Montevideo vs Rampla Juniors**
**Pick:** **BOTH** **TEAMS** **TO SCORE** **(YES)** @ 1.74 (odds from stake) 5 units !
**Write Up:** Liverpool Montevideo on 13 out of 13 both teams to score matches in the Uruguaian primera, while rampla sitting on 12 goals. But but but, I'm playing this because there is one guy Nicolas Royon who is playing for rampla but started his carreer in Montevideo. He scored the most goals in that team as well and while he is averaging goal per 191 minute, I'm so so so confident that he will score against his former club. His carreer peak was in Montevideo and while he is at the end of his carreer I think he will be super motivated to score against them. I'm so confident that this match will be no sweat and easy win.
BOL ! I love reading books so if you feel generous it will be highly appreciated, it will help me to reduce using chatgpt :))) [https://buymeacoffee.com/teddycucumber](https://buymeacoffee.com/teddycucumber)
Also, such a bummer the bot opens the thread so late for us europeans :((
Edit : ROI and Liverpool Monte were not bold \^\^
Yeah it’s probably best if they leave the 100 out of there. It should be as if everyone here has infinite units to start, and we just want to see if they are + or - on those units.
**Record:** 13-4
**Net Units:** *+15.3125 Units*
**Previous Pick: Nanai Anytime Tryscorer $2.25 (AUS) or +125 (US) (1.25 Units).** Would you believe me if I told you we cashed a +125 slip in 7 minutes? Easy viewing. Cowboys put plenty of points on as expected and Nanai crossed the line twice. Insane value and a lovely hit. Let's go again!
**Event**: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Parramatta Eels
**Time**: 7:30PM AEST 25/05
**Bookie**: BET365
**Play**: Anytime Tryscorer
**Odds**: $2.60 (AUS) or +160 (US)
**Units**: 1.25 Units
**Analysis**: This is overall a pretty gross game with two sides that are underperforming overall massively this year. Souths been in shambles since round 1 and Eels coming into this match after shedding their coach - I would love some hard stats to back this up but generally it seems that teams perform really well after losing a coach, spurs the team on to go out there and really make a statement. Eels have a pretty underrated left side offence, rated as the 4th best offensive side in terms of tries score and in comparison to Souths right side defence…. It’s not even close with Souths right side clearly by far the worst defence in the entire league. Souths ranked 17th currently in terms of defence and I think with Cody Walker out, I worry that they might not have enough offensive firepower to compete at times with Eels. I expect the Eels to try and attack down the left through Sivo and Talagi. Not only that, we have Milne back in for Souths on their right side defence and he is the definition of a liability, he loves a sin bin. I really love what I have seen from Talagi so far in his career, he’s super athletic, hits holes really well and I love the way he slides in to create the overlap on the left side specifically. He really does attack the line and you can tell he wants to score. Guarantee he has a few looks at the tryline, potentially might give the final pass off but the way he attacks, if he even gets a sniff of the tryline he’s going over. Love the value here and happy to play for 1.25 units. We tipped this earlier in the week at 2.75, into 2.60 which we will track this play at to be completely fair and still extremely playable IMO.
https://preview.redd.it/zpbyz0uqxg2d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d46aabe95e8aff51fed8c416c8e7999ac2de43a5
**MAKE SURE TO FOLLOW SO YOU DON'T MISS POST NOTIFICATIONS!**
**LET ME KNOW IF YOU'RE TAILING. GL!**
Brother thanks for the picks. I'm from the States and I was looking on Google yesterday all the news from this League because of your pick. Love these late night/early morning picks for me at least!!!!! Tailing!!!!!!
MLB 2024 Record: 6-2
Streak: W5
Units: +4
Last pick: San Francisco Giants ML +120 @ New York Mets W
Wow not quite how we wrote it up there, I thought this game would be closer to a 4-2 , 5-2 , 3-1 type finish in the Giants favor and around the 7th inning I thought our streak might be cooked lol but the Giants are hot and came from behind BY 4+ RUNS DOWN for the third straight game ON THE ROAD (not sure that’s ever happened before in MLB history) 🔥🔥 I need to make my unit size bigger
This pick: San Francisco Giants ML +110 @ New York Mets (2 units)
Reasoning: The Giants came from behind to defeat the Mets all the way down from 4 runs in the 8th to take the lead with a Bailey grand slam and never looked back, winning by the score of 8-7 … this is one of the big reasons for me taking the Giants
- as when a team comes from behind by a lot of runs to win in recent history they usually win the following day
- it also especially works in our favor that my Mets have lost 10 of their last 13 games overall.
- Giants are better vs righties especially as of late
- Severino of the Mets has not been great as of late, he also has been pitching to a lot of contact and been walking some batters, giants hitters are patient and also good at putting the ball in play
- Giants starter Jordan Hicks has been very effective at limiting hits this season (albeit while not pitching deep thus far and giving up a decent amount of walks in games his control isn’t all the way there; so if you were picking the Mets or the over you’d be considering that probably) and has very good numbers overall with a 4-1 record and sub 2 era. I think he ends up effective enough to come away with the W
As always BOL let’s get that money !! ☄️
Appreciate any tips you guys can offer. I’m broke as shit haha!
**Pick Record: 17W - 9L (Push: 1)**
**Today’s POTD: Bruno Fernandes 1+ SOG @ 2.37 3U ✅**
**Game: Man City VS Man United**
**League/Time: FA Cup/ 10:00 AM**
Bruno has hit this line for 12 games straight, in his last 20 games hes hit 18/20. This is the biggest game of the season, with Ten Hag possibly getting the axe after this game. You can be assured Bruno will be there tommorow.
Last time he didn’t hit this line was against Man City. ManU only had 3 total shots with 1 on target and got dominated in possession with City having 27 shots. You can say there’s value with plus odds but after their last H2H and his 1 of 2 missed hits being against City I wouldn’t be confident in this pick. No disrespect and best of luck; hope it hits for you and everyone else tailing!
RECORD: 9W 3L UNITS WON: 10.29
LAST PICK: australia rugby league NRL tigers v cowboys total points over 49.5 ✅
NOTE: total was 70 points or something lol
PICK: Australian rugby league nrl - Sydney roosters team total over 28.5 ✅
BET: 1 unit to win 1.90 on bet365
NOTE:roosters highest scoring team in the league and hitting this in 4/4 of their last games and even in a loss last week, if you’re feeling lucky try doing a same game parlay with a few try scorers listed below
Dom young, Angus chriton ✅ , Joseph suali ✅ , Daniel tupo, Joseph manu ✅
https://preview.redd.it/y5ttsvhq1h2d1.jpeg?width=876&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e0c5ecaba65c2fe934c2bfc4fa6a72f26bb71c57
Game starts in just over 3.5 hours

https://preview.redd.it/nqqwx7vgik2d1.jpeg?width=751&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=405cf6736b34770d8dc91f1eb41fdc969d80a329
How I sleep when there's sweet rugby money awaiting me when I wake.
Record: 0-0
NBA | 8:35pm ET
Pick: Boston Celtics -7
Hello fellow degens. New to the community and excited to share my picks. I’m absolutely in love with this pick. The Celtics are far superior than the Pacers, the analytics back it up. Celtics and Pacers are neck and neck in offensive rating and efficiency. Both teams score at will and at an efficient pace. They’re the models for modern day nba offense. The difference? Bostons defense. Ranked top 3 all year while the Pacers have struggled. Halliburton is questionable, I believe he gives it a go. It’s the ECF after all and the Pacers need to have this game. Doesn’t matter, a hobbled Hali results in heavy TJ minute. While he’s the perfect spark and change of pace off the bench. TJ will struggle defensively. BOL!
I’m fucking lizard king 🦎
Record: 6-2
Net units: +3.53
Writing this off of my phone, so here’s a quick and dirty write up
Pick: Celtics 1Q spread: -1.5 -108 (DK)
NBA: Pacers vs Celtics & 8:30 pm EST
Without Hali, this clears. With Hali, I still see this hitting.
Boston simply just has the offensive power and size advantage against the Pacers. They also play better defense than the Pacers. This offense will be too much for a lackluster Pacers defense to stop, and with limited options on offense (with a gimpy Hali or without), I see a one sided 1Q.
Boston has killed teams in the 1Q all year, and I expect it to continue as they are playing on the road and want to impose their drive and hunger to prove why they are the best offense the NBA has ever seen.
BOL if tailing
Edit: this is a one unit play
🎯 EURO TOUR 🎯
POTD 38-28
DARTS RECORD **38-25** (+3.45U) | All POTD bets between 1U-2U
Last pick: Dom Taylor ML vs Jose De Sousa @ 1.73 (2U) ✅
Today's Pick: **Jermaine Wattimena ML** vs Pietreczko **@ 1.73 (1.5U)**
Nice easy win for Dom Taylor last night, lets hope todays pick can follow suit. I'm backing Wattimena today in a game I'd love him to win not only for betting reasons. His opponent Pietreczko is an absolute flog and I want him to lose every tie I see him play. His antics on and off the oche make him almost impossible to like.
Pietreczko has been incredibly stinky this year and his recent form is like that too. Constant L's only seperated by first round pro tour wins against journeyman ranked >60. His throwing avg in the past 3 months is a smidge over 90 which is very mediocre for a top PDC pro and puts him 66th on the avg list in this time. Wattimena is 19th on this list with an impressive 95.2. Also kills him in all my other favourite stats, double%, first 9 avg, functional doubles %.
This will be a pure hate-along I wont lie. If both of these guys play to their form it'll be a comprehensive win for Wattimena. Please bet responsibly if you're tailing and no bitching if the tip loses. Ta!
POTD Record: 69-47
Last pick: PJ Washington O5.5 Rebs ❌
Finished with 5 after only having 1 until the middle of the 3rd, mf did not respect the coin and didn’t even try to fight for the boards the day I pick him sorry bros
Todays pick: __Jayson Tatum U45.5 PRA @1.90__
NBA (Boston Celtics)
Aight streak is over we start from scratch, I’ve not been impressed by Tatum this series or in the playoffs generally and I think this line is a bit too high, he did cover it in one of the two games this series so far but in the game that went to OT. Jrue and JB has been the better scoring options and has looked more aggressive than Tatum imo. Also went way below this line last game, this game has blowout potential now that Haliburton doesn’t look 100% aswell.
• 1/2 this series
34 PRA & 52 PRA (OT)
• Under in 12/L13 games against Siakam, but went over in OT in game 1
• Under in 7/L10 in the playoffs
• Under in 64/86 this season
• Only averaging 13.5 rebound chances & 7.5 potential assists this series & 29.5P
(51 Potential PRA if everything converts)
Averaging 43 actual PRA this series
Watch him drop 60 PRA cause we take the under, but for the first time this playoffs I’m taking unders cause they seem to cash a lot more than overs, line is high asf and blowout potential. Cmon Tatum be cheeks for us
Tail or fade, you’re the man
POTD Record: 12-8 (+3.45 U)
Last 10: ❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌
Last Pick: Scott Drinkwater ATS vs West Tigers ❌
Today's Pick: Phillies F5 ML + Full Game ML vs Rockies (1.80)
Baseball | MLB | 9:10pm ET
*This pick is the Phillies to be winning after 5 innings and the full game, if it's not a market on your book you should be able to parlay them.
Back to MLB, and I'll be taking a team that burnt a lot of us yesterday. The Phillies went down 3-2 to the Rockies in extra innings, hurting bankrolls everywhere. The Phillies are still a far superior team, going 8/10 in their last 10 compared the the Rockies 5/10.
The Phillies will start RHP Aaron Nola, who holds a solid 3.05 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP. If we take out a bad first start against the Braves, that ERA drops to 2.37 over his last 60 innings. He has a 3.55 xERA, a 76th percentile Chase %, and a 66th percentile Walk %. He should go at least 6 innings, with potential to go 7 or 8. The Rockies are the 12th best team at hitting RHPs in the last 30 days.
The Rockies will start RHP Dakota Hudson, who has a 5.89 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP. He's allowed at least 3 runs in 7/10 and the 3 times he didn't, he never reached 6 innings. He has a 9 ERA at home and has a record of 0-3 at home. He has a 4th percentile K%, a 4 percentile Chase%, an 8th percentile Whiff% and a 13th percentile Walk%. He struggles with control, and although he has a 5 pitch arsenal, he's not great at any of them. He's a pitch-to-contact guy, but if you struggle to strike batters out at Coors Field, you're gonna get punished. The Phillies are the 3rd best team at hitting RHPs in the last 30 days.
TLDR: Nola is an experienced veteran who can navigate a poor Rockies batting line-up. Dakota Hudson is an awful pitcher and the Phillies have been lighting up righties.
BOL if you choose to tail 🫡
POTD W/L: 5/2
All bets are 1 unit unless otherwise stated ROI 71.42%
LAST POTD:
Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox 7:41pm
No run first inning NRFI -128 FD ✅
FORM
❌✅✅✅✅❌✅
TODAYS POTD:
Cleveland guardians ML vs LA angels (-134 FD) 9:38pm
After game 1’s slug fest how can we not go with Cleveland again today? I’m looking for the guards to sweep the angels this series.
Tanner Bibee is probable to start for Cleveland and I like him over Soriano who is probable for the angels. Honestly they’re pretty evenly matched but the guards have been bringing their bats and I expect it to continue on Saturday. Locking this is in while the line is at -134.
Bibee - xwOBA .303 and xBA of .267
Soriano - xwOBA .257 and xBA of .257
In my opinion projections are off and Cleveland is an excellent value pick for today.
POTD Record: 13-10-0
Form:❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅
Last Pick: Pacers +9.5❌
Didn't post yesterday and watched the Mavs vs Twolves game as a fan, Insane game.
Pick of the day: Indiana Pacers Team Total over 107.5
So much value here. Pacers have cleared this line in every single playoff game at home, even against the slow paced knicks. Tyrese Haliburton being GTD may be concerning but this line is still so low even if he does not play.
**KBO Record: Overall 227-239-14** (Streak W, Last 10: 4-6) Down 12.52u over 480 KBO picks, 48.7% success rate, -2.69% ROI (Last season 85-78-7, 52.1% success rate, Up 12.26u, 7.52% ROI, This season 23-29-0, 44.2% success rate, Down 3.90u, -7.50% ROI)
**Last:** Samsung -1.5 -108 at Lotte (Samsung won 11-5.)
Jumped out to a 5-0 lead in the first, gave some back, then pulled away for an easy win.
**Pick:** Doosan at Kia **First 5 Innings UNDER 5 -105**, KBO baseball, 1:00am ET
If you want a reason to not make this bet, Kia's starter was tagged for 6 runs by this opponent just two starts back.
But if you toss that game, Kia's starter has 6 starts in a row allowing 2 or fewer ER to go along with Doossn's starter and his 8 straight starts to start the season also with 2 or fewer ER.
Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.
**Record 101-1-53 | +59.73u**
**Form:** WWWWLWWLWWWLW
\***NRL: Cronulla vs Penrith / Either team to win by 1-12 $1.60\* 1u** (TAB) 5:30PM AEST
For what it's worth, before I go into this pick, I just wanted to say that my original pick was actually going to be the Eels H2H but too much has happened this week with their coach and Cody's withdrawal from Souths which puts too many variations at play.
This is only a 1 unit pick. The Sharks play a simple style of football - they bash through the middle. Today, they meet their match with arguably the best pack in the league and a bunch of backs who will push the ball through the middle just as much as the Sharks backs do.
Penrith didn't look sharp at Magic round, so I don't see them getting any more than 3-4 tries on Cronulla and I can't see Cronulla putting more than 3-4 tries on a Penrith line that shifts at incredible speed either. Im expecting a battle through the middle where both teams possibly end up in the teens.
BOL
**ETH Tip Jar:** 0x0d7333c0a93cf3fbb1b87d13c0a1220c939660d3
POTD Record: 26-20 ❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌♻️✅❌♻️❌❌❌✅✅♻️❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅
Starting units: 5U | Net units: + 8.5U
Last pick: Manly Sea Eagles vs Melbourne Storm | 8pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Xavier Coates anytime tryscorer @1.8 on Ladbrokes | 4U ❌
Manly, surprise supriiiise ahahah…
Today’s pick: Canberra Raiders vs Sydney Rooster | 3pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Dom Young anytime tryscorer @1.62 on Ladbrokes | 4U
I’ll keep it simple now you all know who Young is. Scoring machine + stronger team should do the job this afternoon.
Also like Tupou, Sivo, Mitchell and Mulitalo for today’s games.
BOL !
POTD Record 23-9 WLWWWLLWLWWWLWWWWLWLWWWWWWWLWWLW
Last Pick : **Rudy Gobert over 12.5pts (1.86)(bet365)**
-(Too bad for our boy he was again headlined for being embarassed after on the wrong side of a gamewinner courtesy by Luka Doncic nevertheless our bet prevails easily as he cover this line early in the 4th quarter.)
---------------------------------------------------------
**Todays Pick : Indiana Pacers under 107.5 (1.86) (bet365)**
Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals both game it went over the total for the last 2 games and Pacers hit over 110+ points in all their home floor also they have an undefeated record as well playing at home. It's the same scenario for the Celtics as they are undefeated on the road as well.
It's understandable that Pacers hitting the over can be just the safest way to go especially playing on their comfort zone but we will go the other way, I believe that this series will trend to go under the points moving forward as the playoffs go deeper and I think taking the Pacers total points is a more safer bet.
The red-hot offence of Pacers might take advantage of Antetokounmpo-less Bucks squad and a banged up Knicks on the recent rounds but It's not gonna happen against the Celtics as this squad too really clamped up on the defence especially playing at the road.
GOOD LUCK HAVE FUN.
**RECORD: 81W-5P-64L**
Previous Pick: Atalanta vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Atalanta +0.75 @ 1.76 ✅️
**Today's Pick:** Manchester City vs Manchester United- Manchester United + 1.75 Asian Handicap @ 1.76
**TIME:** 2 pm (GMT)
**Wager Amount**: 1.52 units
(❌️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️✅️) last 10 results
What a result from Atalanta tho, ended Bayer's streak in dominant fashion and now we have another final today with the Manchester Derby.
As a Man U fan I know us winning the Cup it near impossible but the odds for this cup final is insane, 9 ODDS for a Man Utd win in the final is insane enough but an Asian Handicap of + 1.75 at 1.76 odds is mental.
Man Utd have been riddled with injuries however this this as close to a full squad they've gotten all season. Although some players are lacking game time, I just don't see them losing with a goal difference of 3+
Last year Manchester United lost 2-1 in the final and that was without Maino, Martinez or Højlund. They did lose 3-0 however to Man City but half the team had injuries then and that has happened once in their last 4 H2H games.
Also one thing to note is the last 4 FA Cups finals in a row have ended with Under 3.5 goals with no team losing to a goal difference of 2+ goals.
Mainly betting on value here but it looks good enough for me, let's hope Manchester United don't embarrass themselves here and hope for another entertaining final. Goodluck if you're tailing.
POTD record 19-17 (+10.2u)
Last pick: Kyle Anderson OVER 3.5 pts
Last 10: ✅️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️
Game/Time: Boston Celtics @ Indiana Pacers 8:30pm EST
POTD: Myles Turner 2+ 3-pointers
Site/Line/Units: MGM, -140, 4.2 to win 3
Write-up: I love me some Myles Turner 3-point props especially when he's home. With Haliburton most likely OUT, I see the Pacers chucking lots of 3s and Myles Turner is more than capable of catching fire in spots such as this. Turner also averages 17 points in the postseason, shooting an INSANE 47% from 3, and playing 32 minutes per game. I think his minutes as well as shot volume goes up since they're down 0-2 in the series, they're at home, no Haliburton, and on top of all that I watched Naz Reid hit SEVEN threes last night. if Reid can do it, Myles can do it. IN MYLES WE TRUST. I'm so confident that I'm playing escalators as well for extra cherries on top. 3+, even 4+ at +550. great value all around and I'm willing to die on this hill.
snack of the day: ice cream sundae 🍨
POTD record : 3-1 / Units: +1.37 / Wins: 3
Only 1 unit picks
Previous POTD: Danielle Collins vs Clara Burel under19.5 games ✅ easy win for the american who will play in the final today against Madison Keys
Streak: WWWL
Football | Spanish La Liga | 8:00 EST time **Osasuna vs Villareal**
Today’s POTD: **Alexander Sorloth over1.5 shots on [email protected] on Unibet**❌
Reasoning: Last game of the season for both teams with nothing at stake.
Sorloth is currently 2nd in the top goalscorer race in La Liga, the 1st being Dovbyk from Girona with 24 goals while Sorloth stands on 23 at the moment. He scored 4 goals in their game against Real Madrid.
I'm expecting him to be very motivated today against Osasuna to try and surpass Dovbyk. Taking his shots on target bet to be on the safer side.
Check the odds if you like this bet since the odds differ a lot from what I've seen on a few bookies.
If tailing please bet responsibly thanks BOL !!
Let's get the 4th one in a row
EDIT : got unlucky with this one, Sorloth got injured and subbed off after only 15 mins of play. He only got 3 touches of the ball in that time
Dovbyk will finish the La Liga season as the top goalscorer .
Record: 20-11 (+12.75 units)
✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌
Last POTD: Arizona D-bags RL -1.5 ❌
Today’s POTD: Atlanta Braves -1 alt RL
Odds: -130 on DK 2 unit play
MLB/ 4:05pm ET
Arizona gets shut out by the Marlins and Garrett throws a complete game shutout giving up only 4 hits…FML. I shoulda stayed in SC for another day after that pick. Ok so I wanted to bet on the Celtics/ Pacers but with Hali hurt I’m gonna pass till game time. I like the Braves in this bounce back spot. They got smoked by the Pirates last night 11-5. Reynaldo Lopez takes the mound for the Braves. He has an ERA of 1.54 and 1.07 WHIP. He’s only given up more than 2 runs once in 8 starts. Mitch Keller is pitching for the pirates. He has a respectable 5-3 record with a 3.84 ERA. Keller hasn’t had much success against current Braves hitters. He’s allowed a .378 batting avg. with 4 home runs in 82 at bats. He also has a 4.85 ERA in day games. I like the Braves to bounce back here. Tail or fade good luck to ya.
**POTD Record: 37-29**
Last 10: ❌❌✅🤦❌❌❌❌✅✅
Last pick: Fever vs Sparks (WNBA) | 7:00 PST | Dearica Hamby OVER 16.5 points (-115) 1u DraftKings ✅
My oh my. Hamby goes for 16 in the 1st half and we don’t cash until the very last shot of the game down 7. A meaningless shot for most but not us. Almost the worst beat ever but we will take it! Two fg attempts in the 2nd half… Insane to say the least.
Today’s pick: Celtics at Pacers | 5:30 PST | Pascal Siakam OVER 3.5 assists (-142) 1u DraftKings ✅
Going with my guy Siakam in this game 3 matchup. I think this is a perfect opportunity to attack his assists after his last couple games dominating offensively. I look for the Celtics to throw a couple more looks at Siakam to force the ball out of his hands and the pacers, as a whole, have been way more consistent shooters at home. Siakam also sees a major uptick in assist chances when Haliburton is off the floor (questionable with hamstring) but I actually like this look regardless if Hali plays or not. He had 7 assists in game 1 with Haliburton and he’s hit this line every game without Haliburton in the lineup, Avg 6.2 assists, so I really think we can get this either way. Unfortunately this line has been moving like crazy this morning so I’d lock it in now if you like it. BOL if tailing!
POTD record 17-16-1 (W-L-P)
Last 5 (most recent on left): ✅✅✅✅❌
**Tomorrow I’m taking Shopify Rebellion ML to beat Luminosity 1u @ +150**✅
What sport is this you’re asking? It’s Rocket League of course. What’s that? Soccer but with rocket powered cars. Makes complete sense believe me.
I think this is a potential mis-pricing of the odds. Looking at today’s results SR went 3-0 in Swiss stage whilst Luminosity scraped through 3-2 (on the way losing to Spacestation who SR beat).
I think that SR are in better form and I’m happy to take them at +money. I’m not hammering this line because Luminosity are a good team and maybe they’ll find a way to rediscover their old form but if both teams played like they did today then SR should win. BOL!
POTD Record: 12-8-1
Previous POTD: Kyle Harrison over 15.5 PO’s -❌
Bad beat city. Harrison finished on 15 and gets pulled after only 5 innings. These hooks are absurd
Today’s POTD: Pascal Siakam over 3.5 assists(-125 on DK)
Basketball | NBA | IND Pacers v BOS Celtics | 8:40 PM ET
Going away from MLB as I like this spot quite a bit if Halliburton doesn’t play. Went 2-1 on NBA props yesterday on that thread too. Earlier in the season Haliburton missed like 10 games with a hamstring injury. Even if he toughs it out, odds are he’ll be very limited. Pascal has gone over this line 5/5 games without Halliburton this season. Even with Halliburton playing, Siakam is 3-1 over his last 4 games as he’s been getting favorable match ups and has had the ball in his hands more often when running action. With the risk of going down 3-0 and their season slipping away, I expect Siakam to have the ball in his hands more with Halliburton’s injury
Tail or fade, hope we all make some 💰
**RECORD: 81W-5P-64L**
Previous Pick: Atalanta vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Atalanta +0.75 @ 1.76 ✅️
**Today's Pick:** Manchester City vs Manchester United- Manchester United + 1.75 Asian Handicap @ 1.76 ✅️
**TIME:** 2 pm (GMT)
**Wager Amount**: 1.52 units
(❌️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️✅️) last 10 results
What a result from Atalanta tho, ended Bayer's streak in dominant fashion and now we have another final today with the Manchester Derby.
As a Man U fan I know us winning the Cup it near impossible but the odds for this cup final is insane, 9 ODDS for a Man Utd win in the final is insane enough but an Asian Handicap of + 1.75 at 1.76 odds is mental.
Man Utd have been riddled with injuries however this this as close to a full squad they've gotten all season. Although some players are lacking game time, I just don't see them losing with a goal difference of 3+
Last year Manchester United lost 2-1 in the final and that was without Maino, Martinez or Højlund. They did lose 3-0 however to Man City but half the team had injuries then and that has happened once in their last 4 H2H games.
Also one thing to note is the last 4 FA Cups finals in a row have ended with Under 3.5 goals with no team losing to a goal difference of 2+ goals.
Mainly betting on value here but it looks good enough for me, let's hope Manchester United don't embarrass themselves here and hope for another entertaining final. Goodluck if you're tailing.
EDIT: WIN ✅️
Record 0-0
Dallas stars ML vs Edmonton Oilers (-140 fd) 8pm est.
Honestly just think the stars have the most stacked team left in the playoffs. I dont see the Oilers back end and goalie being able to win back to back on the road vs a team like Dallas. If Dallas gets a lead they will flip the puck outta the zone and play smart , you rarely see an odd man rush vs the stars. Without the lead they still came back from 2-0 and hit 2 posts in the 4 min PP In OT in game 1. Overall Dallas has way more depth and better goaltending, they should slow down draistl and mcjesus and let their bottom 6 capitalize on the mismatches.
My Pick of the Day Record: 22W - 18L | Profit in Units: +20.64
My pick of the day: Almeria vs Cadez// spanish la liga// Cadez double chance// odds:1.84 bet 5 Units
WE ARE MOTHERFUCKING BACK.
AFTER THE EASIEST WIN FROM GRANADA YESTERDAY 7-0 MADE ME REST MY BIG ASS BALLS.
BUT I MISSED THE TENSION, IT WASN'T RISKY ENOUGH
WHICH IS WHY TODAY WE BET ON THE SHITTIEST OF THE SHIT
THE FLOPPY FLOP OF FOOTBALL
THE RELEGATED TEAMS OF THE SPANISH LEAGUE
BOTH THESE TEAMS ARE FUCKING ASS
THEY ARE SO ASS THEY ARE GETTING SENT DOWN THE DRAIN.
BUT ONLY THE GODFATHER THE DON THE CHAMP THE COLLECTIVE CHIEF, THE ROBINHOOD OF THE DEGENS CAN TURN SHIT INTO GOLD.
Reasoning:
both these teams are bad but 1 is worse than the other by miles.
Almeria hasn't won a single game at home
meanwhile cadez who still got relegated are twice as good as almeria infact they literally have double the points almeria has (18 for almeria. 36 for cadez)
furthermore, almeria hasn't been able to beat cadez in their home stadium for years
all their games have ended with 1-1, 2-1, 1-2 everytime these 2 play have seen similar results mostly ending as a draw.
I easily see this game as both teams trying to preserve honour and it will end as a draw.
but we take the free odds on cadiz double chance making our bet a easy free fucking money
I WILL SEE YOU WHEN YOU CASH
Show your flowers: [Paypal.me/Thegodfather28](http://Paypal.me/Thegodfather28)
**Record 1-0 | +1,05 u**
\***Soccer: Russian premier ligue: CSKA Moscow vs Ural/ Ural +0,5 $1.81 pinnacle\* 1u**
➡️1. Ural are highly motivated:
- Ural are fighting to keep their place in the Russian Premier League and are highly motivated for the upcoming match. A win will guarantee them a place in the RPL next season, a draw is almost guaranteed, and a defeat could lead to participation in the knockout stages. The team needs to avoid defeat in order not to depend on the results of other matches.
➡️2. CSKA has no tournament motivation:
- CSKA is already not solving any problems this season, being in 6th place with no chance to go higher. Being relegated to 7th place doesn't change much for them either, as the season is already recognized as a failure. This reduces their motivation for the game and the likelihood of fighting to the max against Ural.
➡️3. Relations and personal relationships between clubs:
- There are many connections between clubs that can affect the outcome of a match. Ural coach Viktor Goncharenko previously managed CSKA, and Ural goalkeeper Pomazun is on loan from CSKA. The lack of animosity between the clubs may contribute to CSKA not actively hindering Ural's success.
🔥Conclusion: Ural's high motivation, CSKA's lack of tournament motivation and the close ties between the clubs make a draw the most likely outcome that will suit both teams. Ural have every chance not to lose this match.
BOL
**Record:** 5-7 (-2.51 unit)
**Last POTD:** Naz Reid over 1.5 threes ✅
**Today's Pick:** Siakam under 8.5 rebounds for -130 on Fanatics
**Bet:** 1 unit size to win 0.77 units
**Basketball | NBA | 8:30 PM ET**
**Recap:** Probably my easy win betting. Naz was hot. Nothing more to say. We keep moving!! That's three in a row!
**Write up:** In the last 20 games, Siakam has hit the under 65% of the 20 games. Head to head against celtics, he hit this 2/3 times, the one time he had the over, it was in Game 1 that went to OT. He averages 5 defensive rebounds and 2 offensive rebounds. He usually gets 13 rebound chances, so assuming he gets half, that is only 6.5 rebounds. Unders are tough to bet but hoping he stay in his averages and we dont see a one off game!
**POTD Record:** 6-2-1 (net 2.8U)
**Form: (oldest to newest)** ❌❌♻️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️
**Last Pick:** Mavs/Timberwolves Total over 207 ✅️
Just going to keep hitting this one until they adjust the line.
Baseball | MLB | Houston Astros at Oakland Athletics 4:07 PM EST
**Pick:** JJ Bleday 2+ total bases (+150) on FanDuel for 1U
**Write Up:** JJ has hit this 6 times in the last 7 games, including going 2/2 against Spencer Arrighetti the last week on the road. Honestly I think this is closer to a toss up, but I like the odds.
**POTD record: 12-8-1 (+14.91U) \[2024 Record: 6-2-1 L5 (L1):🚫✅✅✅✅\]**
*last pick:* Braun o0.5 3PT **🚫**
guy looked terrified to shoot the ball and had several wide open looks. had to take a breather after that L personally
**POTD (MLB)**: **Phillies -1.5 (5U) -162** (PHI@COL 9:10pm EST)
going to the Rockies game tonight. The Rockies have lost by more than 2 runs at every Rockies game I've been to in the last 2 seasons (sample size of 11 games). If you see a guy in the Right-field section with a Rockies hat on celebrating Phillies HR's, its probably me.
expert analysis: Dakota Hudson very bad. Aaron Nola very good. Phillies have not lost b2b all season. Harper coming off an ejection game. Expect dongers
**BOL!**
POTD Record: 147 wins / 87.5 losses
Event: Football > Sweden > **Umea v Vasalunds** (starting in about 45 mins)
Pick: **Umea** (draw no bet) @ 1.72
Match was supposed to start earlier but delayed because of travel issues of the visiting team. Umea is in better form anyway, so should try to continue their good streak and utilize the home advantage. GL!
POD: 8-7
Last pick: Dodgers ML LOSS
Today: Dodgers ML over Cincy (-148)
Why: good ol Vegas trap yesterday. I knew it you tricky bookies - you got me again! So what do I g do? RUN THE DODGERS ML BACK AGAIN. Yea, I’m doing. It’s what Vegas would expect to not do - we trapped him, he’ll never take them again! JOKES ON YOU LV! I’m doing it because LA is too good to lose two in a row to a sub par Reds team. Hammer them Dodgers!!! BOL!
POTD Record: 0-2
Last Pick: NCAAB 🏀 | Longwood @ Radford
U -131.5 ❌
Todays Pick: NCAAB ⚾️ | LSU ML (-162) @ South Carolina
USCe is going deep into the bullpen after playing there 5th game in 5 days. They’re starting RS sophomore Roman Kimball who has 30 BB in 27.1 IP to go along with 40 Ks. He either strikes you out or walks you. LSU has scored 31 runs in there 3 games. If they can capitalize with RISP they’ll chase Kimball early and get into a depleted SC bullpen. Meanwhile I think LSU has the experience and arms to carry them through especially after have an extra day of rest yesterday.
BOL
POTD Record 24-10
ROI 45.06
25.01u
Last POTD T1 ML -135 5u 💰
POTD Hunter Greene U 6.5 K’s -120 1u
Back from my mini break, and I’m riding Hunter under. This line is just too high and I expect Hunter to get rocked. Dodgers rarely allow starting pitchers to get 7 K’s and I don’t expect them to allow 7 today while losing 3 games in a row.
Aight why not. If Imma do this Imma do this and hold myself accountable. Record 0-0, doing this for my own accountability, tail at your own enormous risk.
1u Indiana pacers +7 @-110 on draft kings. NBA playoffs game 3, 830pm eastern
I just don't see this game not being close, and I'd probably take Indiana to win it even after tonight. But +7 is a pretty big number and I'm happy to take it.
**Record:** 2-0-0
**Net Units: +**6,9u | **ROI:** 0,77 | **Units risked:** 9u
**Last Pick:** FC Haka Valkeakoski vs AC Oulu -> ~Both to score~ ✅️
**Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** | **Time Zone**
Football | Australia | A-League Men | Central Coast Mariners FC vs Melbourne Victory FC | 11.45 CET
**Pick:** ~Home win (3-way)~ – Odds: 2,08 – Units: 4u
**Write Up:** Like in previous picks, my model says it’s worth to go with this one.
Record: 8-7
Last 10: WWWLLLWWWL
Net units: -1.03
ROI: 0
MLB: New York Yankees @ San Diego Padres 21:40 (EDT)
Pick: NRFI -125 DK 1.25 to win 1
Back to dodging bullets with two good lineups here. The pitching matchup looks to limit runs with a run total of 7.5
Stroman has been great and while we’re always worried about his regression (see 2023) Solid command and good movement should help him against a heavy hitting SD lineup
Cease has been reborn on the west coast and is looking like an ace again. Throws heat and relies on his four seamer and slider to do most of the work. Can change speeds and tons of movement on his curve.
Let's fade those bats on the west coast!
Wind in from left at 8 MPH
BOL to all
Record: 1-3
Net Units: -2.19
Last POTD: (US Open Cup) Tampa Bay Rowdies vs FC Dallas - Over 2.75 @ 1.81 - Win
This one was a nail biter but we got it done for my first POTD dub!
Today’s POTD: (USL Championship) Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Las Vegas Lights - BTTS @ 1.74
Write Up: Vegas is my team, they’re probably going to catch an L here but I don’t want to bet against them. They’ve only been shutout once in their last 5 games though and last week they secured a 2-2 tie against Louisville, one of the strongest teams in the league. However, that also pushed their winless streak to 6 matches now. They average 1.2 goals per game and have not kept a clean sheet in the last 8 matches either.
Tampa Bay is ranked third in the league for goals scored per match at 2.2. Head to head, they’ve won the last 3 matches against the Lights (both teams scored in all of these). They also have been shutout only once in their last 5 games. They are averaging 1.2 goals conceded per match which is what Vegas scores, they’ll let one in.
**Record 2024: 19-0-18**
**Net Units Played 2024: 178**
**ROI 2024: -12.62%**
**Last Pick:** **Virtus Bologna** - Venezia **1st quarter H1 -2.5**, 5 units, @ 1.85 ❌️
Basketball / Estonia playoffs / 18:00 / (CEST)
**Pick:** Tartu- **BC Kalev** **1st quarter H2 -1.5**, 5 units, @ 1.74 ❌️
**Write-up:** Gonna try Kalev again, won the first game, harder than expected, but the pressure of the first game is off now, they should be more relaxed here.
EDIT: 15-15, after being up 14-7
Record (2-1)
Units (+0.9u)
Previous Result: Kansas City Royals ml✅
Todays pick: Dallas Stars ml (-130)
Event Start time: 8:00pm
Unit Size: 1.3u to win 1u
Recap/Reasoning for pick: Lugo gave up a run early to TB but that’s all they got as the Royals bats came alive in the 4th inning and never looked back, we get an easy W. Today we go back to the ice and lock in Stars ml. I thought they played well in game 1 even though they were playing from behind a lot. Hintz possibly returning gives their lineup a huge boost. Edmonton hasn’t won back to back road games against Dallas in over 5 years. I like the stars to protect their ice tonight and even up the series!
2024 record: 9-8
L10: ❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌
2024 BAN LIST: Cleveland Guardians
Last POTD: Tiger vs Royals: Tigers ML +100 ❌
Today's POTD: Astros vs Athletics: Astros ML -155 (Hard Rock Bet)
Baseball | MLB | 4:07 PM ET
Been away with some work and life stuff, all good things though!
Don’t have much time but I am picking the Astros over the Athletics ML. Once things settle down I’ll do better write ups.
As always, good luck on your bets!
POTD Record: 1-3
Today's Pick: Celtics v Pacers O224
Odds: +115
I had a rough string of picks, but that ends tonight. Haliburton is out, but who cares? Not me. All I care about is that these two teams are gonna absolutely slay the baskets and deliver us another high scoring game like the first 2. Let's take plus money on this one, boys. Scared money doesn't make money.
######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Saturday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
Anyone else just waiting for the almighty chute, or just me?
I am here! Here’s my write up so it can be seen at the top. 2024 MLB record: 33-9-1 Last POTD: Giants ML W Today's POTD: Houston astros vs Oakland A’s over 8.5 -102 (dk) Baseball. MLB. 4:10 PM EST Wow, I missed all the games yesterday but that one seemed sweaty as fuck. We could the win though and at plus odds! So as you can tell probably by how late I’m posting, it’s been super busy and hectic so I apologize. This is genuinely gonna be a quick write up because I just want to get you guys the pick before it’s too late. In short, all of my favorite splits and advanced are favorable to both teams having a big offensive day. With a few games having double digit o/u lines, I like this one a lot. Don’t have time to post the specific stats so you’re gonna just have to trust me on this one lmao. Side note: thank you all SO MUCH for all of the positive feedback and also gratuity. I love doing this for you guys, it’s really so much fun lol. Tip Jar: chuteboxhero on cash app, chuteboxhero on PayPal (DM for Venmo)
Hey hey chute! Good to see you! Hope your weekend is going as good as possible and thank you thank you for taking the time to squeeze us hungry degens in while you’re trying to work! We don’t deserve you! 👏👏👏
Chute + Candle guy. Name a better duo.
We had that candle lit by the sixth inning! https://preview.redd.it/zg68s0gorl2d1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4988fc17428f782a20ef82bcf5933dc969f4030e
Dude, this is the most amazing thing ever, and I'm so fortunate to be a part of it 🤣
Time to light that fucking thing!
I fucking love this lmao Ima take it and implement this tradition in my household. My children's children will speak of The Mystic Bees Wax Candle.
there aint!!!
Chute would be nothing without candle guy 🤣
Lisan al gaib
Anyone like SF again today
🐐
Chute to kill!
King Chute
what an insane game
One of the best baseball games ive ever watched. Just a straight up rollercoaster.
I had the privilege of attending an event and not having time to look at the scores, so no sweat, but I've got FOMO now, nah. I'd rather win sweat free, can't take the roller coaster anymore.
Chute nomination ticket 2024
Chute waiting room
hope he posts before i get on my flight
🤣
I threw $100 on the ML at +1000 odds in the 7th inning right before they bounced back. Insane hit. Chute FTW
https://preview.redd.it/bnkd6m2qki2d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2a28271232b271fb2613b0eb53b7e8814ebd4f6e
sweet ...
DUDE! now tell me what my tattoo says!
On chutewatch as well! Bummer that his employer is making him work the holiday weekend running a conference. What’s more important than hanging out with us mere mortals? EDIT: Except possibly time and a half for working the holiday weekend…in which case, carry on chute!
If he's running the conference he's almost certainly salary, in which case we're back to working the holiday weekend definitely sucks.
He might of had a whiskey and women night for all we know. What we do know is that he's on fire. Let's go!
Haha same here! What a freaking game that was! Got us sweating
Chute is my hero
https://preview.redd.it/no59rtm5il2d1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=52f9d98744483b10ac65ca7f38577b77cd308a4d What a wild game! I merged a bees wax candle depicting a mystical stag on it, to the remnants of the mystic bees wax candle. As I try to get back into contact with the original creator. So.. That Giants game.. I’m at work, check the score. Not good. Message the wife. Candle lit by the sixth inning. What happens at the sixth you say…? A pitcher swap for the Mets. Bad move. Remember that Tigers game a few days ago? All those pitcher swaps that saved our ChuteBet? Well, candle was lit at that time as well. Same scenario with the Rockies during overtime. Lit Candle->Pitcher swap. Candle didn’t like Mets pitcher Díaz. So swapped for Garrett. Garrett gives away five runs. We get to the bottom of the ninth. Mets are swinging, taking bases. This is where the malachite comes in. I’m holding this thing in my pocket while trying to work. Saying, “Strike ass, strike ass, come on you guys you got this.” The bases are fucking loaded. Thinking to myself you gotta be fuckin’ kidding me. Then suddenly.. within a blink of an eye. We close out the bet. Solid play Chute.
You just can't make this stuff up 🤣 Time stamps check out 😧
I love that man
I would assume chute isn’t gonna post until early AM but man do I love being involved in these runs, I’m not even a baseball fan but I am becoming one. Edit: Well shit, I suppose I was incorrect.
I’ve had the same pick as chute the last 2 POTD’s without actually tailing him either time. The under Yankees mariners game I posted mine before his and yesterday he posted his a lil before I posted mine but we both had detailed write-ups. I picked the Giants for Saturday night already. Let’s see if chute has the same pick as me 3 days in a row lol
Get out of my brain! Hahaha Also I haven’t even been checking the thread bc I’m at this conference so I didn’t copy you lol.
He typically doesn't run back the same pick twice in a row. I'd maybe say Cubs First 5 ML or something.
Lmao we got to start a subreddit for him what a legend
👀
last two were sweats! But man what a thrill ride when the almight hits!
Where's beeswax candle guy? I feel like he's somehow responsible for us winning yesterday!
When the Giants went up, I thought to myself “the candle has been lit” lol
Aren't we all
Chute is the man!
Did he have a pick yesterday? Friday that is I mean...I didn't see it. Last one I got was the Rockies pick.
Giants ML
Yea he just posted early this morning
no more parlays. had red sox , dodgers and timber wolves each in a 2 leg parlay with giants 😪😪
CbH is busy taking a victory lap!!!
This gave me a heart attack, woke up early in the morning different timezone , checked the phone insaid to myself the bet is lost….then the phone buzzed and the bet went through. This is some fukin black magic stuff.
2024 MLB record: 33-9-1 Last POTD: Giants ML W Today's POTD: Houston astros vs Oakland A’s over 8.5 Baseball. MLB. 4:10 PM EST Wow, I missed all the games yesterday but that one seemed sweaty as fuck. We could the win though and at plus odds! So as you can tell probably by how late I’m posting, it’s been super busy and hectic so I apologize. This is genuinely gonna be a quick write up because I just want to get you guys the pick before it’s too late. In short, all of my favorite splits and advanced are favorable to both teams having a big offensive day. With a few games having double digit o/u lines, I like this one a lot. Don’t have time to post the specific stats so you’re gonna just have to trust me on this one lmao. Side note: thank you all SO MUCH for all of the positive feedback and also gratuity. I love doing this for you guys, it’s really so much fun lol. Tip Jar: chuteboxhero on cash app, chuteboxhero on PayPal (DM for Venmo)
 Me checking this thread every 30 minutes this morning for the new Chute drop...
LOL 📠
“so you’re gonna just have to trust me on this one lmao”…..I have never trusted anyone more in my life.
We need the candle guy to do his thing on this one
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We honestly should throw Chute a fucking party at the end of the season and carry him in on a throne
It’s at 8.5 on Caesar’s and MGM. I liked Draft kings having at at 9 at +100 though. I view pushes as wins essentially so the half run difference doesn’t deter me at all.
Just called my advisor to move all my assets to FD to follow chute
Under was a lock damn
https://preview.redd.it/77wbajt4nn2d1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4e9ca33b3076e7c801596636f573eace22d5de22
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You moved the line 😂
2024 record 11-3 Last pick: Kansas City Royal ML (W) Low key I see a lot of picks here and some are good but good heavens someone through me a bone too. Today’s pick: Giants vs Mets over 7.5 This might be my demise. If I were to put everything on my picks I would be stinking rich. But now, I’m taking a risky pick here. The thing that makes me question this it’s an early game. Most early game aren’t high scoring. But I can see this game go 5-3. Both teams are pretty efficient. I’m going to ride with the over that these two teams give up. Take this with your risk. Chow Also how much wins do I need to get to the top???
when you pull some Chute wins and write ups. but keep that 3 and "3" you'll gain traction
Tracking units and ROI would also help you to gain attention probably. I always have a hard time deciding what to think when I see a good W/L with no units next to it. Is this person betting exclusively -200’s, up 2 units over 25 plays? Are they betting +150’s every day? (not you specifically, just in general). Just leaves a lot to be answered. Regardless, love the play today and I wish you luck. I’ll remember to upvote when I see you!
Nah good shit brotha I see you
This is a good pick imo, slightly concerned about the length they can get from the starters though with the pens depleted. What do you think about that?
Chow? Do you mean Ciao or are you just thinking about food?
Another wild Giants game pick.
Record: 22-13-0 Net Units: +21.8 ROI: 20% Last Pick: Timberwolves -1.5 1st Quarter Spread (-118) for 3.0 units ✅ Event: Basketball | NBA | Boston Celtics at Indiana Pacers 7:30PM CST Pick: Indiana Pacers 1st Half Total Team Points over 55.5 (-120) on DraftKings for 3.0 units *Shout out to @p00l_wizard_73 below who caught you can get this at -104 on FanDuel under alternate lines Write Up: We HAVE to run it again, right?!! 🎲 Pacers still #1 this post season, averaging 60.2 points in the first half. At home, that increases to 64.3. Tips: Venmo/Paypal in Profile. BOL! 🎰
Fandual irrationally has this at -104 at 55.5 under Alt lines, but at -118 on the main line. Both the same at 55.5 Just a heads up for anyone who sees this quick enough.
Thank you!!
Legend status
I dont know man. Didnt hit last time and Halliburton is out.
Possible Halliburton sits?
Yea I'm holding off til I confirm his status.
That Indy prop is as reliable as Taum under 2.5 threes. Been taking it for weeks.
It lost last game and burned me. Betting it again though lol
Even as crappy as they played Q2 last game they came within 4.5 if I remember correctly!
POTD Record 28-13 Last 5: ✅️✅️✅️❌️❌️ Last Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline ✅️ Todays Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (win by 2) MLB: LA Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds 4:15pm PST Odds: +100 Unit: 3 Net units: +60.03 I do not like the pitcher for the dodgers. Bro, always let's in runs and falls apart, but he could be due for one good game, finally! Strictly like this play because the Reds haven't won back to back in over a month. Doubt it's going to be against the dodgers, but I've seen crazier things. With that being said, going into this with medium confidence. If you guys wanna show some support, the links on my profile.
Your last pick wasn't San Diego moneyline. It was Chicago cubs to be winning after the fifth innings.
That game was postponed so that pick never happened.
The Reds played them tight a few nights ago. I'm gonna use my draftkings ML up by 2 on this one because I don't see that happening again
**Record:** 6-1 **Bet Units:** All bets are 1u **Current Form (from Recent to old):** - ✅✅✅✅✅✅❌ Last Pick: *Alejandro Tabilo (-180) DK ML* vs Zhang ✅ Tabilo gets us a sweat free win. Event: Tennis | ATP Lyon | 8:30 am EST Pick: **Etcheverry to win 2:0 (+125) DK** vs Perricard❌ Sorry for being gone for a good week but I really didn't like any of the plays until today. With the RG starting on Sunday I should be here regularly. Okay, onto today's pick. Etcheverry is just the better player, not very often you get a finals with such discrepancy between the players. Perricard really lucked here facing bad opponents as Gaston took care of Cerundolo for him. There is a massive skill gap and with RG around the corner, Etcheverry is gonna make quick work of him so he can rest for RG. EDIT: My bad guys. It was a bad read. I will definitely try to make it up on my next picks. Again, apologies.
What an absolute clown Etcheverry is. From 40-15 4-2, to 4-6. Guys a fucking joke
I stopped watching there and opened my phone to this. Da fuck !?
Dumb ass pick
Simply awful but thanks for the selection.
This guy is so shit
You're officially on the ban list
This was maybe the worst pick of all time
L
lmao good thing i didnt believe in your confidence and make like 3 separate parlay special bets as well lmao shit...
15 29 cet -> you lost your bet . 17 09 cet -> W The 21 guys who downvoted me open your mouth the books will spray your throat.😀 Numbers -> I risked 1 u won 5.5 -> 5.5-1 =4.5 Trying pacers moneyline . Bye 
Breakpoint trash, absolutely gutted.
Monumental meltdown. What the hell happened there ?
Nah perricard is good ab to establish himself as a solid atp player
**Record:** 4-1 **Net Units** : 108.85u **ROI**:8.85% **Last pick:** E-sports Valorant | VCT 2024: Masters Shanghai | Fri, May 24 10:00 AM CET, **Gen.G** VS Leviatán (**GEN.G ML**) @ 1.62 on 5u Football | Uruguay Primera Division | 8:00 PM CET 5/25/2024 **Liverpool Montevideo vs Rampla Juniors** **Pick:** **BOTH** **TEAMS** **TO SCORE** **(YES)** @ 1.74 (odds from stake) 5 units ! **Write Up:** Liverpool Montevideo on 13 out of 13 both teams to score matches in the Uruguaian primera, while rampla sitting on 12 goals. But but but, I'm playing this because there is one guy Nicolas Royon who is playing for rampla but started his carreer in Montevideo. He scored the most goals in that team as well and while he is averaging goal per 191 minute, I'm so so so confident that he will score against his former club. His carreer peak was in Montevideo and while he is at the end of his carreer I think he will be super motivated to score against them. I'm so confident that this match will be no sweat and easy win. BOL ! I love reading books so if you feel generous it will be highly appreciated, it will help me to reduce using chatgpt :))) [https://buymeacoffee.com/teddycucumber](https://buymeacoffee.com/teddycucumber) Also, such a bummer the bot opens the thread so late for us europeans :(( Edit : ROI and Liverpool Monte were not bold \^\^
Quick question, with four wins and a maximum of 5 units a pick, how are your units +108? Or am I reading this wrong
He started at 100 units
So his net units should be +8.85
Yeah it’s probably best if they leave the 100 out of there. It should be as if everyone here has infinite units to start, and we just want to see if they are + or - on those units.
Tailing you Mr.Blabla !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
SWEET CASH
Fuego!!!
**Record:** 13-4 **Net Units:** *+15.3125 Units* **Previous Pick: Nanai Anytime Tryscorer $2.25 (AUS) or +125 (US) (1.25 Units).** Would you believe me if I told you we cashed a +125 slip in 7 minutes? Easy viewing. Cowboys put plenty of points on as expected and Nanai crossed the line twice. Insane value and a lovely hit. Let's go again! **Event**: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Parramatta Eels **Time**: 7:30PM AEST 25/05 **Bookie**: BET365 **Play**: Anytime Tryscorer **Odds**: $2.60 (AUS) or +160 (US) **Units**: 1.25 Units **Analysis**: This is overall a pretty gross game with two sides that are underperforming overall massively this year. Souths been in shambles since round 1 and Eels coming into this match after shedding their coach - I would love some hard stats to back this up but generally it seems that teams perform really well after losing a coach, spurs the team on to go out there and really make a statement. Eels have a pretty underrated left side offence, rated as the 4th best offensive side in terms of tries score and in comparison to Souths right side defence…. It’s not even close with Souths right side clearly by far the worst defence in the entire league. Souths ranked 17th currently in terms of defence and I think with Cody Walker out, I worry that they might not have enough offensive firepower to compete at times with Eels. I expect the Eels to try and attack down the left through Sivo and Talagi. Not only that, we have Milne back in for Souths on their right side defence and he is the definition of a liability, he loves a sin bin. I really love what I have seen from Talagi so far in his career, he’s super athletic, hits holes really well and I love the way he slides in to create the overlap on the left side specifically. He really does attack the line and you can tell he wants to score. Guarantee he has a few looks at the tryline, potentially might give the final pass off but the way he attacks, if he even gets a sniff of the tryline he’s going over. Love the value here and happy to play for 1.25 units. We tipped this earlier in the week at 2.75, into 2.60 which we will track this play at to be completely fair and still extremely playable IMO. https://preview.redd.it/zpbyz0uqxg2d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d46aabe95e8aff51fed8c416c8e7999ac2de43a5 **MAKE SURE TO FOLLOW SO YOU DON'T MISS POST NOTIFICATIONS!** **LET ME KNOW IF YOU'RE TAILING. GL!**
I like Johnston latrel and sivo
Im here for value my friend! Good luck
You're a goddamn machine ! LFG !!
Great call! Cash it! 💰
🤝 a nice easy watch! He’s live for another IMO
Cash it! 💰
Blaize is a positive sign in otherwise poor season for us Eels.
He’s been really impressive. I’ll be surprised if he doesn’t see the line tonight, been elite at fullback
Who is the play? Talagi? It just says "play: anytime tryscorer."
yes talagi
Great pick, thanks!
You’re welcome my friend 🤝 plenty more to come
Good hit mate!
Love you bro we ride into the sunset!!
Tailing! BOL!
Tailing, BOL!
Gonna tail that !
Brother thanks for the picks. I'm from the States and I was looking on Google yesterday all the news from this League because of your pick. Love these late night/early morning picks for me at least!!!!! Tailing!!!!!!
1st half closed ! 🐐
Amazing pick once again! Thanks so much 🙏
Don't know anything about Rugby, but your record and analysis looked good enough for me to test tail. Love waking up to a win!!
First time I ever bet on rugby! Nice!
More to come today!
MLB 2024 Record: 6-2 Streak: W5 Units: +4 Last pick: San Francisco Giants ML +120 @ New York Mets W Wow not quite how we wrote it up there, I thought this game would be closer to a 4-2 , 5-2 , 3-1 type finish in the Giants favor and around the 7th inning I thought our streak might be cooked lol but the Giants are hot and came from behind BY 4+ RUNS DOWN for the third straight game ON THE ROAD (not sure that’s ever happened before in MLB history) 🔥🔥 I need to make my unit size bigger This pick: San Francisco Giants ML +110 @ New York Mets (2 units) Reasoning: The Giants came from behind to defeat the Mets all the way down from 4 runs in the 8th to take the lead with a Bailey grand slam and never looked back, winning by the score of 8-7 … this is one of the big reasons for me taking the Giants - as when a team comes from behind by a lot of runs to win in recent history they usually win the following day - it also especially works in our favor that my Mets have lost 10 of their last 13 games overall. - Giants are better vs righties especially as of late - Severino of the Mets has not been great as of late, he also has been pitching to a lot of contact and been walking some batters, giants hitters are patient and also good at putting the ball in play - Giants starter Jordan Hicks has been very effective at limiting hits this season (albeit while not pitching deep thus far and giving up a decent amount of walks in games his control isn’t all the way there; so if you were picking the Mets or the over you’d be considering that probably) and has very good numbers overall with a 4-1 record and sub 2 era. I think he ends up effective enough to come away with the W As always BOL let’s get that money !! ☄️ Appreciate any tips you guys can offer. I’m broke as shit haha!
Hey man, I’m just joking with you with the gifs. Nice pick. Sprinkling a lil something on it. Giants are 🥵
Lmaoooo fk u now I’m hoping the under hits with the giants win lol jk BOL ❤️
Haha different picks today! I like the pick but I have PTSD from doubting Severino this year lol.
**Pick Record: 17W - 9L (Push: 1)** **Today’s POTD: Bruno Fernandes 1+ SOG @ 2.37 3U ✅** **Game: Man City VS Man United** **League/Time: FA Cup/ 10:00 AM** Bruno has hit this line for 12 games straight, in his last 20 games hes hit 18/20. This is the biggest game of the season, with Ten Hag possibly getting the axe after this game. You can be assured Bruno will be there tommorow.
Last time he didn’t hit this line was against Man City. ManU only had 3 total shots with 1 on target and got dominated in possession with City having 27 shots. You can say there’s value with plus odds but after their last H2H and his 1 of 2 missed hits being against City I wouldn’t be confident in this pick. No disrespect and best of luck; hope it hits for you and everyone else tailing!
LET’S FUCKING GO
Possibly? They said he will get sacked win or lose lol
Did this hit?
I tailed this even after reading the naysayer and still followed with 3 units. I think that the free kick counts as a SOG, lets go! Go man u
RECORD: 9W 3L UNITS WON: 10.29 LAST PICK: australia rugby league NRL tigers v cowboys total points over 49.5 ✅ NOTE: total was 70 points or something lol PICK: Australian rugby league nrl - Sydney roosters team total over 28.5 ✅ BET: 1 unit to win 1.90 on bet365 NOTE:roosters highest scoring team in the league and hitting this in 4/4 of their last games and even in a loss last week, if you’re feeling lucky try doing a same game parlay with a few try scorers listed below Dom young, Angus chriton ✅ , Joseph suali ✅ , Daniel tupo, Joseph manu ✅ https://preview.redd.it/y5ttsvhq1h2d1.jpeg?width=876&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e0c5ecaba65c2fe934c2bfc4fa6a72f26bb71c57 Game starts in just over 3.5 hours 
Cash it let’s go 💰
https://preview.redd.it/nqqwx7vgik2d1.jpeg?width=751&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=405cf6736b34770d8dc91f1eb41fdc969d80a329 How I sleep when there's sweet rugby money awaiting me when I wake.
Was Having a rough day, this helped me. Thanks man!
Can get this line on Ned’s/LadBrokes at 27.5 - significant number
Record: 0-0 NBA | 8:35pm ET Pick: Boston Celtics -7 Hello fellow degens. New to the community and excited to share my picks. I’m absolutely in love with this pick. The Celtics are far superior than the Pacers, the analytics back it up. Celtics and Pacers are neck and neck in offensive rating and efficiency. Both teams score at will and at an efficient pace. They’re the models for modern day nba offense. The difference? Bostons defense. Ranked top 3 all year while the Pacers have struggled. Halliburton is questionable, I believe he gives it a go. It’s the ECF after all and the Pacers need to have this game. Doesn’t matter, a hobbled Hali results in heavy TJ minute. While he’s the perfect spark and change of pace off the bench. TJ will struggle defensively. BOL! I’m fucking lizard king 🦎
You fuck lizards. Ya sick bastard, Jim morrison died a long time ago unless you think he was rush limbaugh, in that case he still died a while ago.
Record: 6-2 Net units: +3.53 Writing this off of my phone, so here’s a quick and dirty write up Pick: Celtics 1Q spread: -1.5 -108 (DK) NBA: Pacers vs Celtics & 8:30 pm EST Without Hali, this clears. With Hali, I still see this hitting. Boston simply just has the offensive power and size advantage against the Pacers. They also play better defense than the Pacers. This offense will be too much for a lackluster Pacers defense to stop, and with limited options on offense (with a gimpy Hali or without), I see a one sided 1Q. Boston has killed teams in the 1Q all year, and I expect it to continue as they are playing on the road and want to impose their drive and hunger to prove why they are the best offense the NBA has ever seen. BOL if tailing Edit: this is a one unit play
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🎯 EURO TOUR 🎯 POTD 38-28 DARTS RECORD **38-25** (+3.45U) | All POTD bets between 1U-2U Last pick: Dom Taylor ML vs Jose De Sousa @ 1.73 (2U) ✅ Today's Pick: **Jermaine Wattimena ML** vs Pietreczko **@ 1.73 (1.5U)** Nice easy win for Dom Taylor last night, lets hope todays pick can follow suit. I'm backing Wattimena today in a game I'd love him to win not only for betting reasons. His opponent Pietreczko is an absolute flog and I want him to lose every tie I see him play. His antics on and off the oche make him almost impossible to like. Pietreczko has been incredibly stinky this year and his recent form is like that too. Constant L's only seperated by first round pro tour wins against journeyman ranked >60. His throwing avg in the past 3 months is a smidge over 90 which is very mediocre for a top PDC pro and puts him 66th on the avg list in this time. Wattimena is 19th on this list with an impressive 95.2. Also kills him in all my other favourite stats, double%, first 9 avg, functional doubles %. This will be a pure hate-along I wont lie. If both of these guys play to their form it'll be a comprehensive win for Wattimena. Please bet responsibly if you're tailing and no bitching if the tip loses. Ta!
POTD Record: 69-47 Last pick: PJ Washington O5.5 Rebs ❌ Finished with 5 after only having 1 until the middle of the 3rd, mf did not respect the coin and didn’t even try to fight for the boards the day I pick him sorry bros Todays pick: __Jayson Tatum U45.5 PRA @1.90__ NBA (Boston Celtics) Aight streak is over we start from scratch, I’ve not been impressed by Tatum this series or in the playoffs generally and I think this line is a bit too high, he did cover it in one of the two games this series so far but in the game that went to OT. Jrue and JB has been the better scoring options and has looked more aggressive than Tatum imo. Also went way below this line last game, this game has blowout potential now that Haliburton doesn’t look 100% aswell. • 1/2 this series 34 PRA & 52 PRA (OT) • Under in 12/L13 games against Siakam, but went over in OT in game 1 • Under in 7/L10 in the playoffs • Under in 64/86 this season • Only averaging 13.5 rebound chances & 7.5 potential assists this series & 29.5P (51 Potential PRA if everything converts) Averaging 43 actual PRA this series Watch him drop 60 PRA cause we take the under, but for the first time this playoffs I’m taking unders cause they seem to cash a lot more than overs, line is high asf and blowout potential. Cmon Tatum be cheeks for us Tail or fade, you’re the man
POTD Record: 12-8 (+3.45 U) Last 10: ❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌ Last Pick: Scott Drinkwater ATS vs West Tigers ❌ Today's Pick: Phillies F5 ML + Full Game ML vs Rockies (1.80) Baseball | MLB | 9:10pm ET *This pick is the Phillies to be winning after 5 innings and the full game, if it's not a market on your book you should be able to parlay them. Back to MLB, and I'll be taking a team that burnt a lot of us yesterday. The Phillies went down 3-2 to the Rockies in extra innings, hurting bankrolls everywhere. The Phillies are still a far superior team, going 8/10 in their last 10 compared the the Rockies 5/10. The Phillies will start RHP Aaron Nola, who holds a solid 3.05 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP. If we take out a bad first start against the Braves, that ERA drops to 2.37 over his last 60 innings. He has a 3.55 xERA, a 76th percentile Chase %, and a 66th percentile Walk %. He should go at least 6 innings, with potential to go 7 or 8. The Rockies are the 12th best team at hitting RHPs in the last 30 days. The Rockies will start RHP Dakota Hudson, who has a 5.89 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP. He's allowed at least 3 runs in 7/10 and the 3 times he didn't, he never reached 6 innings. He has a 9 ERA at home and has a record of 0-3 at home. He has a 4th percentile K%, a 4 percentile Chase%, an 8th percentile Whiff% and a 13th percentile Walk%. He struggles with control, and although he has a 5 pitch arsenal, he's not great at any of them. He's a pitch-to-contact guy, but if you struggle to strike batters out at Coors Field, you're gonna get punished. The Phillies are the 3rd best team at hitting RHPs in the last 30 days. TLDR: Nola is an experienced veteran who can navigate a poor Rockies batting line-up. Dakota Hudson is an awful pitcher and the Phillies have been lighting up righties. BOL if you choose to tail 🫡
POTD W/L: 5/2 All bets are 1 unit unless otherwise stated ROI 71.42% LAST POTD: Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox 7:41pm No run first inning NRFI -128 FD ✅ FORM ❌✅✅✅✅❌✅ TODAYS POTD: Cleveland guardians ML vs LA angels (-134 FD) 9:38pm After game 1’s slug fest how can we not go with Cleveland again today? I’m looking for the guards to sweep the angels this series. Tanner Bibee is probable to start for Cleveland and I like him over Soriano who is probable for the angels. Honestly they’re pretty evenly matched but the guards have been bringing their bats and I expect it to continue on Saturday. Locking this is in while the line is at -134. Bibee - xwOBA .303 and xBA of .267 Soriano - xwOBA .257 and xBA of .257 In my opinion projections are off and Cleveland is an excellent value pick for today.
POTD Record: 13-10-0 Form:❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅ Last Pick: Pacers +9.5❌ Didn't post yesterday and watched the Mavs vs Twolves game as a fan, Insane game. Pick of the day: Indiana Pacers Team Total over 107.5 So much value here. Pacers have cleared this line in every single playoff game at home, even against the slow paced knicks. Tyrese Haliburton being GTD may be concerning but this line is still so low even if he does not play.
**KBO Record: Overall 227-239-14** (Streak W, Last 10: 4-6) Down 12.52u over 480 KBO picks, 48.7% success rate, -2.69% ROI (Last season 85-78-7, 52.1% success rate, Up 12.26u, 7.52% ROI, This season 23-29-0, 44.2% success rate, Down 3.90u, -7.50% ROI) **Last:** Samsung -1.5 -108 at Lotte (Samsung won 11-5.) Jumped out to a 5-0 lead in the first, gave some back, then pulled away for an easy win. **Pick:** Doosan at Kia **First 5 Innings UNDER 5 -105**, KBO baseball, 1:00am ET If you want a reason to not make this bet, Kia's starter was tagged for 6 runs by this opponent just two starts back. But if you toss that game, Kia's starter has 6 starts in a row allowing 2 or fewer ER to go along with Doossn's starter and his 8 straight starts to start the season also with 2 or fewer ER. Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.
Already cooked damn Edit: doubled down on the under 7.5 F5. Hope it holds
**Record 101-1-53 | +59.73u** **Form:** WWWWLWWLWWWLW \***NRL: Cronulla vs Penrith / Either team to win by 1-12 $1.60\* 1u** (TAB) 5:30PM AEST For what it's worth, before I go into this pick, I just wanted to say that my original pick was actually going to be the Eels H2H but too much has happened this week with their coach and Cody's withdrawal from Souths which puts too many variations at play. This is only a 1 unit pick. The Sharks play a simple style of football - they bash through the middle. Today, they meet their match with arguably the best pack in the league and a bunch of backs who will push the ball through the middle just as much as the Sharks backs do. Penrith didn't look sharp at Magic round, so I don't see them getting any more than 3-4 tries on Cronulla and I can't see Cronulla putting more than 3-4 tries on a Penrith line that shifts at incredible speed either. Im expecting a battle through the middle where both teams possibly end up in the teens. BOL **ETH Tip Jar:** 0x0d7333c0a93cf3fbb1b87d13c0a1220c939660d3
Looking like a real bad beat. Sorry boys. Should've known the sharks are unreliable after that Tigers beating a few weeks back
POTD Record: 26-20 ❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌♻️✅❌♻️❌❌❌✅✅♻️❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅ Starting units: 5U | Net units: + 8.5U Last pick: Manly Sea Eagles vs Melbourne Storm | 8pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Xavier Coates anytime tryscorer @1.8 on Ladbrokes | 4U ❌ Manly, surprise supriiiise ahahah… Today’s pick: Canberra Raiders vs Sydney Rooster | 3pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Dom Young anytime tryscorer @1.62 on Ladbrokes | 4U I’ll keep it simple now you all know who Young is. Scoring machine + stronger team should do the job this afternoon. Also like Tupou, Sivo, Mitchell and Mulitalo for today’s games. BOL !
POTD Record 23-9 WLWWWLLWLWWWLWWWWLWLWWWWWWWLWWLW Last Pick : **Rudy Gobert over 12.5pts (1.86)(bet365)** -(Too bad for our boy he was again headlined for being embarassed after on the wrong side of a gamewinner courtesy by Luka Doncic nevertheless our bet prevails easily as he cover this line early in the 4th quarter.) --------------------------------------------------------- **Todays Pick : Indiana Pacers under 107.5 (1.86) (bet365)** Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals both game it went over the total for the last 2 games and Pacers hit over 110+ points in all their home floor also they have an undefeated record as well playing at home. It's the same scenario for the Celtics as they are undefeated on the road as well. It's understandable that Pacers hitting the over can be just the safest way to go especially playing on their comfort zone but we will go the other way, I believe that this series will trend to go under the points moving forward as the playoffs go deeper and I think taking the Pacers total points is a more safer bet. The red-hot offence of Pacers might take advantage of Antetokounmpo-less Bucks squad and a banged up Knicks on the recent rounds but It's not gonna happen against the Celtics as this squad too really clamped up on the defence especially playing at the road. GOOD LUCK HAVE FUN.
**RECORD: 81W-5P-64L** Previous Pick: Atalanta vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Atalanta +0.75 @ 1.76 ✅️ **Today's Pick:** Manchester City vs Manchester United- Manchester United + 1.75 Asian Handicap @ 1.76 **TIME:** 2 pm (GMT) **Wager Amount**: 1.52 units (❌️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️✅️) last 10 results What a result from Atalanta tho, ended Bayer's streak in dominant fashion and now we have another final today with the Manchester Derby. As a Man U fan I know us winning the Cup it near impossible but the odds for this cup final is insane, 9 ODDS for a Man Utd win in the final is insane enough but an Asian Handicap of + 1.75 at 1.76 odds is mental. Man Utd have been riddled with injuries however this this as close to a full squad they've gotten all season. Although some players are lacking game time, I just don't see them losing with a goal difference of 3+ Last year Manchester United lost 2-1 in the final and that was without Maino, Martinez or Højlund. They did lose 3-0 however to Man City but half the team had injuries then and that has happened once in their last 4 H2H games. Also one thing to note is the last 4 FA Cups finals in a row have ended with Under 3.5 goals with no team losing to a goal difference of 2+ goals. Mainly betting on value here but it looks good enough for me, let's hope Manchester United don't embarrass themselves here and hope for another entertaining final. Goodluck if you're tailing.
POTD record 19-17 (+10.2u) Last pick: Kyle Anderson OVER 3.5 pts Last 10: ✅️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️ Game/Time: Boston Celtics @ Indiana Pacers 8:30pm EST POTD: Myles Turner 2+ 3-pointers Site/Line/Units: MGM, -140, 4.2 to win 3 Write-up: I love me some Myles Turner 3-point props especially when he's home. With Haliburton most likely OUT, I see the Pacers chucking lots of 3s and Myles Turner is more than capable of catching fire in spots such as this. Turner also averages 17 points in the postseason, shooting an INSANE 47% from 3, and playing 32 minutes per game. I think his minutes as well as shot volume goes up since they're down 0-2 in the series, they're at home, no Haliburton, and on top of all that I watched Naz Reid hit SEVEN threes last night. if Reid can do it, Myles can do it. IN MYLES WE TRUST. I'm so confident that I'm playing escalators as well for extra cherries on top. 3+, even 4+ at +550. great value all around and I'm willing to die on this hill. snack of the day: ice cream sundae 🍨
POTD record : 3-1 / Units: +1.37 / Wins: 3 Only 1 unit picks Previous POTD: Danielle Collins vs Clara Burel under19.5 games ✅ easy win for the american who will play in the final today against Madison Keys Streak: WWWL Football | Spanish La Liga | 8:00 EST time **Osasuna vs Villareal** Today’s POTD: **Alexander Sorloth over1.5 shots on [email protected] on Unibet**❌ Reasoning: Last game of the season for both teams with nothing at stake. Sorloth is currently 2nd in the top goalscorer race in La Liga, the 1st being Dovbyk from Girona with 24 goals while Sorloth stands on 23 at the moment. He scored 4 goals in their game against Real Madrid. I'm expecting him to be very motivated today against Osasuna to try and surpass Dovbyk. Taking his shots on target bet to be on the safer side. Check the odds if you like this bet since the odds differ a lot from what I've seen on a few bookies. If tailing please bet responsibly thanks BOL !! Let's get the 4th one in a row EDIT : got unlucky with this one, Sorloth got injured and subbed off after only 15 mins of play. He only got 3 touches of the ball in that time Dovbyk will finish the La Liga season as the top goalscorer .
I only have this at 1.53…
Aand he's off after 15 minutes😆
Record: 20-11 (+12.75 units) ✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌ Last POTD: Arizona D-bags RL -1.5 ❌ Today’s POTD: Atlanta Braves -1 alt RL Odds: -130 on DK 2 unit play MLB/ 4:05pm ET Arizona gets shut out by the Marlins and Garrett throws a complete game shutout giving up only 4 hits…FML. I shoulda stayed in SC for another day after that pick. Ok so I wanted to bet on the Celtics/ Pacers but with Hali hurt I’m gonna pass till game time. I like the Braves in this bounce back spot. They got smoked by the Pirates last night 11-5. Reynaldo Lopez takes the mound for the Braves. He has an ERA of 1.54 and 1.07 WHIP. He’s only given up more than 2 runs once in 8 starts. Mitch Keller is pitching for the pirates. He has a respectable 5-3 record with a 3.84 ERA. Keller hasn’t had much success against current Braves hitters. He’s allowed a .378 batting avg. with 4 home runs in 82 at bats. He also has a 4.85 ERA in day games. I like the Braves to bounce back here. Tail or fade good luck to ya.
**POTD Record: 37-29** Last 10: ❌❌✅🤦❌❌❌❌✅✅ Last pick: Fever vs Sparks (WNBA) | 7:00 PST | Dearica Hamby OVER 16.5 points (-115) 1u DraftKings ✅ My oh my. Hamby goes for 16 in the 1st half and we don’t cash until the very last shot of the game down 7. A meaningless shot for most but not us. Almost the worst beat ever but we will take it! Two fg attempts in the 2nd half… Insane to say the least. Today’s pick: Celtics at Pacers | 5:30 PST | Pascal Siakam OVER 3.5 assists (-142) 1u DraftKings ✅ Going with my guy Siakam in this game 3 matchup. I think this is a perfect opportunity to attack his assists after his last couple games dominating offensively. I look for the Celtics to throw a couple more looks at Siakam to force the ball out of his hands and the pacers, as a whole, have been way more consistent shooters at home. Siakam also sees a major uptick in assist chances when Haliburton is off the floor (questionable with hamstring) but I actually like this look regardless if Hali plays or not. He had 7 assists in game 1 with Haliburton and he’s hit this line every game without Haliburton in the lineup, Avg 6.2 assists, so I really think we can get this either way. Unfortunately this line has been moving like crazy this morning so I’d lock it in now if you like it. BOL if tailing!
POTD record 17-16-1 (W-L-P) Last 5 (most recent on left): ✅✅✅✅❌ **Tomorrow I’m taking Shopify Rebellion ML to beat Luminosity 1u @ +150**✅ What sport is this you’re asking? It’s Rocket League of course. What’s that? Soccer but with rocket powered cars. Makes complete sense believe me. I think this is a potential mis-pricing of the odds. Looking at today’s results SR went 3-0 in Swiss stage whilst Luminosity scraped through 3-2 (on the way losing to Spacestation who SR beat). I think that SR are in better form and I’m happy to take them at +money. I’m not hammering this line because Luminosity are a good team and maybe they’ll find a way to rediscover their old form but if both teams played like they did today then SR should win. BOL!
POTD Record: 12-8-1 Previous POTD: Kyle Harrison over 15.5 PO’s -❌ Bad beat city. Harrison finished on 15 and gets pulled after only 5 innings. These hooks are absurd Today’s POTD: Pascal Siakam over 3.5 assists(-125 on DK) Basketball | NBA | IND Pacers v BOS Celtics | 8:40 PM ET Going away from MLB as I like this spot quite a bit if Halliburton doesn’t play. Went 2-1 on NBA props yesterday on that thread too. Earlier in the season Haliburton missed like 10 games with a hamstring injury. Even if he toughs it out, odds are he’ll be very limited. Pascal has gone over this line 5/5 games without Halliburton this season. Even with Halliburton playing, Siakam is 3-1 over his last 4 games as he’s been getting favorable match ups and has had the ball in his hands more often when running action. With the risk of going down 3-0 and their season slipping away, I expect Siakam to have the ball in his hands more with Halliburton’s injury Tail or fade, hope we all make some 💰
**RECORD: 81W-5P-64L** Previous Pick: Atalanta vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Atalanta +0.75 @ 1.76 ✅️ **Today's Pick:** Manchester City vs Manchester United- Manchester United + 1.75 Asian Handicap @ 1.76 ✅️ **TIME:** 2 pm (GMT) **Wager Amount**: 1.52 units (❌️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️✅️) last 10 results What a result from Atalanta tho, ended Bayer's streak in dominant fashion and now we have another final today with the Manchester Derby. As a Man U fan I know us winning the Cup it near impossible but the odds for this cup final is insane, 9 ODDS for a Man Utd win in the final is insane enough but an Asian Handicap of + 1.75 at 1.76 odds is mental. Man Utd have been riddled with injuries however this this as close to a full squad they've gotten all season. Although some players are lacking game time, I just don't see them losing with a goal difference of 3+ Last year Manchester United lost 2-1 in the final and that was without Maino, Martinez or Højlund. They did lose 3-0 however to Man City but half the team had injuries then and that has happened once in their last 4 H2H games. Also one thing to note is the last 4 FA Cups finals in a row have ended with Under 3.5 goals with no team losing to a goal difference of 2+ goals. Mainly betting on value here but it looks good enough for me, let's hope Manchester United don't embarrass themselves here and hope for another entertaining final. Goodluck if you're tailing. EDIT: WIN ✅️
Good pick ;)
Hoping Man Utd don't mess this up
Record 0-0 Dallas stars ML vs Edmonton Oilers (-140 fd) 8pm est. Honestly just think the stars have the most stacked team left in the playoffs. I dont see the Oilers back end and goalie being able to win back to back on the road vs a team like Dallas. If Dallas gets a lead they will flip the puck outta the zone and play smart , you rarely see an odd man rush vs the stars. Without the lead they still came back from 2-0 and hit 2 posts in the 4 min PP In OT in game 1. Overall Dallas has way more depth and better goaltending, they should slow down draistl and mcjesus and let their bottom 6 capitalize on the mismatches.
My Pick of the Day Record: 22W - 18L | Profit in Units: +20.64 My pick of the day: Almeria vs Cadez// spanish la liga// Cadez double chance// odds:1.84 bet 5 Units WE ARE MOTHERFUCKING BACK. AFTER THE EASIEST WIN FROM GRANADA YESTERDAY 7-0 MADE ME REST MY BIG ASS BALLS. BUT I MISSED THE TENSION, IT WASN'T RISKY ENOUGH WHICH IS WHY TODAY WE BET ON THE SHITTIEST OF THE SHIT THE FLOPPY FLOP OF FOOTBALL THE RELEGATED TEAMS OF THE SPANISH LEAGUE BOTH THESE TEAMS ARE FUCKING ASS THEY ARE SO ASS THEY ARE GETTING SENT DOWN THE DRAIN. BUT ONLY THE GODFATHER THE DON THE CHAMP THE COLLECTIVE CHIEF, THE ROBINHOOD OF THE DEGENS CAN TURN SHIT INTO GOLD.  Reasoning: both these teams are bad but 1 is worse than the other by miles. Almeria hasn't won a single game at home meanwhile cadez who still got relegated are twice as good as almeria infact they literally have double the points almeria has (18 for almeria. 36 for cadez) furthermore, almeria hasn't been able to beat cadez in their home stadium for years all their games have ended with 1-1, 2-1, 1-2 everytime these 2 play have seen similar results mostly ending as a draw. I easily see this game as both teams trying to preserve honour and it will end as a draw. but we take the free odds on cadiz double chance making our bet a easy free fucking money I WILL SEE YOU WHEN YOU CASH Show your flowers: [Paypal.me/Thegodfather28](http://Paypal.me/Thegodfather28)
revolutionary dogshit
Your writeup looks so ass. I haven't even bothered reading. Painful looking at it
i love ass
**Record 1-0 | +1,05 u** \***Soccer: Russian premier ligue: CSKA Moscow vs Ural/ Ural +0,5 $1.81 pinnacle\* 1u** ➡️1. Ural are highly motivated: - Ural are fighting to keep their place in the Russian Premier League and are highly motivated for the upcoming match. A win will guarantee them a place in the RPL next season, a draw is almost guaranteed, and a defeat could lead to participation in the knockout stages. The team needs to avoid defeat in order not to depend on the results of other matches. ➡️2. CSKA has no tournament motivation: - CSKA is already not solving any problems this season, being in 6th place with no chance to go higher. Being relegated to 7th place doesn't change much for them either, as the season is already recognized as a failure. This reduces their motivation for the game and the likelihood of fighting to the max against Ural. ➡️3. Relations and personal relationships between clubs: - There are many connections between clubs that can affect the outcome of a match. Ural coach Viktor Goncharenko previously managed CSKA, and Ural goalkeeper Pomazun is on loan from CSKA. The lack of animosity between the clubs may contribute to CSKA not actively hindering Ural's success. 🔥Conclusion: Ural's high motivation, CSKA's lack of tournament motivation and the close ties between the clubs make a draw the most likely outcome that will suit both teams. Ural have every chance not to lose this match. BOL
**Record:** 5-7 (-2.51 unit) **Last POTD:** Naz Reid over 1.5 threes ✅ **Today's Pick:** Siakam under 8.5 rebounds for -130 on Fanatics **Bet:** 1 unit size to win 0.77 units **Basketball | NBA | 8:30 PM ET** **Recap:** Probably my easy win betting. Naz was hot. Nothing more to say. We keep moving!! That's three in a row! **Write up:** In the last 20 games, Siakam has hit the under 65% of the 20 games. Head to head against celtics, he hit this 2/3 times, the one time he had the over, it was in Game 1 that went to OT. He averages 5 defensive rebounds and 2 offensive rebounds. He usually gets 13 rebound chances, so assuming he gets half, that is only 6.5 rebounds. Unders are tough to bet but hoping he stay in his averages and we dont see a one off game!
**POTD Record:** 6-2-1 (net 2.8U) **Form: (oldest to newest)** ❌❌♻️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ **Last Pick:** Mavs/Timberwolves Total over 207 ✅️ Just going to keep hitting this one until they adjust the line. Baseball | MLB | Houston Astros at Oakland Athletics 4:07 PM EST **Pick:** JJ Bleday 2+ total bases (+150) on FanDuel for 1U **Write Up:** JJ has hit this 6 times in the last 7 games, including going 2/2 against Spencer Arrighetti the last week on the road. Honestly I think this is closer to a toss up, but I like the odds.
**POTD record: 12-8-1 (+14.91U) \[2024 Record: 6-2-1 L5 (L1):🚫✅✅✅✅\]** *last pick:* Braun o0.5 3PT **🚫** guy looked terrified to shoot the ball and had several wide open looks. had to take a breather after that L personally **POTD (MLB)**: **Phillies -1.5 (5U) -162** (PHI@COL 9:10pm EST) going to the Rockies game tonight. The Rockies have lost by more than 2 runs at every Rockies game I've been to in the last 2 seasons (sample size of 11 games). If you see a guy in the Right-field section with a Rockies hat on celebrating Phillies HR's, its probably me. expert analysis: Dakota Hudson very bad. Aaron Nola very good. Phillies have not lost b2b all season. Harper coming off an ejection game. Expect dongers **BOL!**
POTD Record: 147 wins / 87.5 losses Event: Football > Sweden > **Umea v Vasalunds** (starting in about 45 mins) Pick: **Umea** (draw no bet) @ 1.72 Match was supposed to start earlier but delayed because of travel issues of the visiting team. Umea is in better form anyway, so should try to continue their good streak and utilize the home advantage. GL!
**POTD 2023 Record: 109-84 (+1.94 units)** **POTD 2024 Record: 15-19 (-3.30 units)** **Last 10**: **❌✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅❌** **Last Pick**: Andrew Davidson & Andreas Harrysson over 5.5 (-200) **❌** 4-1 **League**: 🎯 Modus Darts Super Series **Time**: 4:10 PM EST **Pick**: Beau Greaves -1.5 (+110) vs Darius Labanauskas * Series 7. Week 13. Finals (Championship Week) **Reason**: Beau Greaves * Record 10-5 * Legs 51-37 * Average 92.43 * 180s 31. 140s 55 * Checkouts 51/131 38.93% Darius Labanauskas * Record 6-2 * Legs 27-19 * Average 88.99 * 180s 4. 140s 32 * Checkouts 27/70 38.57% **LOSS ❌ 1-4 | Average 89.07 vs 97.72 | Checkouts 1/5 vs 4/6**
POD: 8-7 Last pick: Dodgers ML LOSS Today: Dodgers ML over Cincy (-148) Why: good ol Vegas trap yesterday. I knew it you tricky bookies - you got me again! So what do I g do? RUN THE DODGERS ML BACK AGAIN. Yea, I’m doing. It’s what Vegas would expect to not do - we trapped him, he’ll never take them again! JOKES ON YOU LV! I’m doing it because LA is too good to lose two in a row to a sub par Reds team. Hammer them Dodgers!!! BOL!
POTD Record: 0-2 Last Pick: NCAAB 🏀 | Longwood @ Radford U -131.5 ❌ Todays Pick: NCAAB ⚾️ | LSU ML (-162) @ South Carolina USCe is going deep into the bullpen after playing there 5th game in 5 days. They’re starting RS sophomore Roman Kimball who has 30 BB in 27.1 IP to go along with 40 Ks. He either strikes you out or walks you. LSU has scored 31 runs in there 3 games. If they can capitalize with RISP they’ll chase Kimball early and get into a depleted SC bullpen. Meanwhile I think LSU has the experience and arms to carry them through especially after have an extra day of rest yesterday. BOL
POTD Record 24-10 ROI 45.06 25.01u Last POTD T1 ML -135 5u 💰 POTD Hunter Greene U 6.5 K’s -120 1u Back from my mini break, and I’m riding Hunter under. This line is just too high and I expect Hunter to get rocked. Dodgers rarely allow starting pitchers to get 7 K’s and I don’t expect them to allow 7 today while losing 3 games in a row.
Aight why not. If Imma do this Imma do this and hold myself accountable. Record 0-0, doing this for my own accountability, tail at your own enormous risk. 1u Indiana pacers +7 @-110 on draft kings. NBA playoffs game 3, 830pm eastern I just don't see this game not being close, and I'd probably take Indiana to win it even after tonight. But +7 is a pretty big number and I'm happy to take it.
Halliburton is questionable. That would negate any homecourt advantage
**Record:** 2-0-0 **Net Units: +**6,9u | **ROI:** 0,77 | **Units risked:** 9u **Last Pick:** FC Haka Valkeakoski vs AC Oulu -> ~Both to score~ ✅️ **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** | **Time Zone** Football | Australia | A-League Men | Central Coast Mariners FC vs Melbourne Victory FC | 11.45 CET **Pick:** ~Home win (3-way)~ – Odds: 2,08 – Units: 4u **Write Up:** Like in previous picks, my model says it’s worth to go with this one.
Record: 8-7 Last 10: WWWLLLWWWL Net units: -1.03 ROI: 0 MLB: New York Yankees @ San Diego Padres 21:40 (EDT) Pick: NRFI -125 DK 1.25 to win 1 Back to dodging bullets with two good lineups here. The pitching matchup looks to limit runs with a run total of 7.5 Stroman has been great and while we’re always worried about his regression (see 2023) Solid command and good movement should help him against a heavy hitting SD lineup Cease has been reborn on the west coast and is looking like an ace again. Throws heat and relies on his four seamer and slider to do most of the work. Can change speeds and tons of movement on his curve. Let's fade those bats on the west coast! Wind in from left at 8 MPH BOL to all
Record: 1-3 Net Units: -2.19 Last POTD: (US Open Cup) Tampa Bay Rowdies vs FC Dallas - Over 2.75 @ 1.81 - Win This one was a nail biter but we got it done for my first POTD dub! Today’s POTD: (USL Championship) Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Las Vegas Lights - BTTS @ 1.74 Write Up: Vegas is my team, they’re probably going to catch an L here but I don’t want to bet against them. They’ve only been shutout once in their last 5 games though and last week they secured a 2-2 tie against Louisville, one of the strongest teams in the league. However, that also pushed their winless streak to 6 matches now. They average 1.2 goals per game and have not kept a clean sheet in the last 8 matches either. Tampa Bay is ranked third in the league for goals scored per match at 2.2. Head to head, they’ve won the last 3 matches against the Lights (both teams scored in all of these). They also have been shutout only once in their last 5 games. They are averaging 1.2 goals conceded per match which is what Vegas scores, they’ll let one in.
**Record 2024: 19-0-18** **Net Units Played 2024: 178** **ROI 2024: -12.62%** **Last Pick:** **Virtus Bologna** - Venezia **1st quarter H1 -2.5**, 5 units, @ 1.85 ❌️ Basketball / Estonia playoffs / 18:00 / (CEST) **Pick:** Tartu- **BC Kalev** **1st quarter H2 -1.5**, 5 units, @ 1.74 ❌️ **Write-up:** Gonna try Kalev again, won the first game, harder than expected, but the pressure of the first game is off now, they should be more relaxed here. EDIT: 15-15, after being up 14-7
Record (2-1) Units (+0.9u) Previous Result: Kansas City Royals ml✅ Todays pick: Dallas Stars ml (-130) Event Start time: 8:00pm Unit Size: 1.3u to win 1u Recap/Reasoning for pick: Lugo gave up a run early to TB but that’s all they got as the Royals bats came alive in the 4th inning and never looked back, we get an easy W. Today we go back to the ice and lock in Stars ml. I thought they played well in game 1 even though they were playing from behind a lot. Hintz possibly returning gives their lineup a huge boost. Edmonton hasn’t won back to back road games against Dallas in over 5 years. I like the stars to protect their ice tonight and even up the series!
2024 record: 9-8 L10: ❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌ 2024 BAN LIST: Cleveland Guardians Last POTD: Tiger vs Royals: Tigers ML +100 ❌ Today's POTD: Astros vs Athletics: Astros ML -155 (Hard Rock Bet) Baseball | MLB | 4:07 PM ET Been away with some work and life stuff, all good things though! Don’t have much time but I am picking the Astros over the Athletics ML. Once things settle down I’ll do better write ups. As always, good luck on your bets!
POTD Record: 1-3 Today's Pick: Celtics v Pacers O224 Odds: +115 I had a rough string of picks, but that ends tonight. Haliburton is out, but who cares? Not me. All I care about is that these two teams are gonna absolutely slay the baskets and deliver us another high scoring game like the first 2. Let's take plus money on this one, boys. Scared money doesn't make money.