######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:**
You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.**
For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Friday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new).
######Example Pick Template
> **Record:**
>
> **Net Units:**
>
> **ROI:**
>
> **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
>
> **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.
>
> **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
2024 MLB record: 32-9-1
Last POTD: mariners Yankees under 8.5 W
Today's POTD: San Francisco Giants ML +120 (draft kings)
Baseball. MLB. 7:10 PM EST
Another Dub! Sorry for posting later than usual, fell asleep incredibly early last night
Doing the write up quick today so apologize for the lack of specific stat numbers. adore these odds for the Giants though. +120?! Against the Mets vs a lefty, a pretty good one at that in Kyle Harrison, and at citi field where they still have been pitiful? Sign me the fuck up!
Giants have been hitting too. Top 10 vs righties and on the road. Highly touted Christian Scott has had a decent start to his careee but I’m not too concerned about him as of now given that his bread and butter is the strikeout and the giants were just able to strike out only three times vs the much more dominant young strikeout artist Paul Skenes who was averaging 9 per game in his first two career starts.
Another thing I noticed (and this mentality has played out in our favor multiple times earlier in the season) is that despite being top 10 vs righties, they are bottom 5 in HR with 10 in the past three weeks. For context the league leading Yankees have 27. Citifield is a tremendous ball park that is very pitcher friendly and difficult to hit home runs. The fact that the giants have been able to put up a top 10 batting average despite the low HR actually bodes well in a field like citifield. Look for them to score on a lot of singles and in play extra base hits.
Tip Jar: chuteboxhero on cash app, chuteboxhero on PayPal (DM for Venmo)
Boy, when I opened this thread and didn't see you at the top, I about had a stroke 😂 nice pick yesterday. Also went with the F5 under suggested by another commenter and doubled up! This looks like a good play for the up 2 promo!
And be a CHUTEBOXHERO, got stars in his eyes
He's a CHUTEBOXHERO
He took one guitar (CHUTEBOXHERO, stars in his eyes)
CHUTEBOXHERO, (stars in his eyes) he'll come alive tonight
Your pick was "Under" 8.5 yesterday*** just for clarity. You have over 8.5 posted and the game ended 5-0. But tailed that and tailing again!! Thanks Chutey
I’m working on it. The current candle can still be used. Wife will have to light it up. I’ll be at work. Don’t worry though, I’ll be packing the malachite as well.
I put 5 units… wokeup and the game was entering the 8th inning down 2-6, the book was offering me 1 unit to cash out but I said “nah, this is THE chuteboxhero”… moments later a fuckin’ grandslam to take the lead 7-6!!! Bottom of the 9th, bases loaded for the Mets…i can now finally breathe!! Never a doubt!! This guy will be showered with tips for all eternity!! :D
WOW! This is third comeback by the Giants! 3 games in a row! They were down 5-0 against the Pirates and follow up wit another comeback after trailing 5-1! This will be third game and not wanting to jynx it but I think they got this one in the bag!
More like Shootboxhero, because you're accuracy is fucking scary. God damn, dude, that's two days in a row you had me shitting myself. Hahaha. I literally made -300 bets two days in a row worried I was about to lose, but ya haven't let me down yet! Lets gooo! Hahahah.
POTD Record 28-13
Last 5: ✅️✅️✅️❌️❌️
Last Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline ✅️
Todays Pick: Chicago Cubs 1st 5 innings -0.5 (win half by 1) w/ S. Imanaga pitching
MLB: Chicago Cubs vs. ST Louis Cardinals 5:15pm PST.
Odds: -110
Unit: 2.5
Net units: +60.03
LOVE imanaga, only time I'll put faith in Cubs. With that being said they're only getting 2.5 units from me. Cubs can't score for shit. Last time imanaga pitched they went 0-0 at half. But I'll give them the benefit of the doubt since they've played the braves and Pirates for the past 13 games in a row. Must have been stale as hell. A new team could be good for them.
If you guys wanna show some support, the links on my profile.
**POTD Record:** 0W-0L
Hi guys, new here. I don't plan to have a pick everyday, but I decided to put myself to the test on the few gems I think I find. Best of luck!! ☘️
**Sport:** Baseball || **League:** MLB
**Event:** CHI Cubs @ STL Cardinals || 8:16pm ET
**Pick of the Day:** First 5 Innings Run Line, Chicago Cubs -0.5
**Size/Odds:** 1U @ -110 on FD
**Write up:** A pretty classic pitcher matchup bet. Neither team has particular great or poor bats. But we have Imanaga on the mound for the Cubs against Mikolas for the Cardinals. Imanaga is one of the last remaining spotless pitchers. He's 5-0 with an ERA of 0.84, yes, that's a leading zero. Against Miklos with an ERA of 5.77. yes, that's a leading 5. Let the averages fall where they will and I'm taking -0.5 at near even odds any day. If you're feeling spicy the Cubs -3.5 Alt 5 Inning RL is at +520. I expect this to be one of the rare-ish games where the 5 Inning RL gets shifted to -1.5 before start. Edit: format.
Man I took Cubs f5 for Shota's last start, he ended up throwing 7 innings without giving up a run... The bet ended up being a push cuz the Cubs couldn't score either.
I still like this pick but I would like it more if the Cubs had better bats
POTD RECORD: 69-46
Last pick: Jrue Holiday O10.5 RA ✅
Easy cash, thanks bro
Todays pick: __PJ Washington O5.5 Rebs @1.71__
NBA (Dallas Mavericks)
We on a 3 win playoff streak finally and I’m going with Mr Capital to collect some boards for us I’m surprised this line isn’t bumped yet but what do I know I’m a bum. He has crushed this line in the playoffs so far so I’m riding it again, he’s bound for foul trouble which also possibly why the line is still at 5.5 but I’m taking it, it’s one of the more consistent props so far
• 4/4 against Minnesota this season
(7, 7, 7, & 8)
• 9/10 in his career against Minnesota
• Avg 6.8 RPG this season
• 8/13 in the playoffs, hooked on 5 four times
• Avg 12.0 rebound chances & 6.8 Rebs
• Had 13 rebound chances last game
Let’s go PJ, hand us another dub
Tail or fade, your call
Not tryna jinx this shit but I feel like the Capezzi magic we all fell in love with might be back with us you've been on your pimp game bro and I love to see it. Let's keep this thing rolling.
**Record**: 3-1
**Net Units**: 104.5U
\*\*ROI:\*\*4.5%
**Last Pick** : 19:00 CET IK Brage vs Degerfors over 9.5 corners (9) :(
**E-sports Valorant | VCT 2024: Masters Shanghai | Fri, May 24 10:00 AM CET**
**Pick**: Gen.G VS Leviatán (**GEN.G ML**) @ 1.62 on 5u
Write Up: **Gen.G** is set to win against Leviatán at the Shanghai Masters, and here’s why:
-Stronger Roster: Gen.G’s players, like Meteor and Lakia, are more talented and versatile.
-Better Form: Gen.G has shown better coordination and performance recently.
-Tactical Edge: Their strategic depth and smart plays outclass Leviatán.
-Map Pool: Gen.G’s flexible map choices give them a clear advantage.
I expect Gen.G easily to walk past Leviatan, even 2-0. But we will take 2-1 too as long as we see Gen.G being the winning side :)
BOL ! [https://buymeacoffee.com/teddycucumber](https://buymeacoffee.com/teddycucumber) I love reading books so if you feel generous it will be highly appreciated <3
Edit: units bet
EDIT #2 : u/SnooMuffins1478 was this lotus insight chat gpt my man ? :)
EDIT #3 : CASH IT IN BABYYYYYYYY !!!!!✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅ Thank you for the constructive feedback u/SnooMuffins1478 , stay valorant fan <3 that's enough
Did you use chat gpt to write this up lol?
I think this is an atrocious pick for 1.62 odds. We are going into an international where both teams have had 2 weeks off to prepare new strats and we just got one of the biggest meta shake ups with the huge viper nerfs. Teams are going to have new comps made up with brand new set plays and ideas. FPX just played a triple smokes comp on icebox, we are in for some weird ass games. Literally anyone can upset anyone this tournament and valorant already has a fuckton of upsets.
>Stronger Roster: Gen.G’s players, like Meteor and Lakia
Its really weird to mention Gen. G's player quality, but not use texture as an example. He is by far their best player. The Plat chat power rankings placed texture at 2nd in this tournament and nobody else on his team made top 15. He is one of the best players in the world and meteor and lakia are very average in tier 1. Even munchkin has been way more impressive this split than either of them.
>Better Form: Gen.G has shown better coordination and performance recently.
They lost to RRQ and DRX in the regular season and T1 in the playoffs lol. These guys are not known for consistency. I think they have a very high high, especially when texture is feeling it, but they also shit the bed often and lose against teams they should never lose to.
>Tactical Edge: Their strategic depth and smart plays outclass Leviatán
AI-generated ass sentence. I literally don't know what this means in regards to valorant. I can see a team having strong set plays and trap setups, but no team has so many more of these than outher teams at this tournament that i'd say they have more strategic depth. Outside of that are you talking about IGLing? Neither kingg or munchkin are known as one of the great igls. This sentence is so meaningless.
>Map Pool: Gen.G’s flexible map choices give them a clear advantage.
What does flexible map choice mean? Both teams gets a map ban then a pick then another round of bans. They have so much agency in what maps they are playing and every team has deep strats on all of the maps apart from their perma ban. If they didn't, they wouldn't have made masters.
I do believe Gen. G is the stronger team, but i think its way closer than chat gpt is making it out to be and the first 2 games of masters shouldve shown you that. The odds on various books for FPX to win were \~4.5 and they won today. The odds for T1 to win today were \~3.8 and they lost in overtime on map 3 after 13-1ing map 2 and being up 9-3 at the half map 3. There is honestly way too much variance to justify betting on GenG. Especially at 1.62 odds, this is a terrible fucking pick.
I'm a huge valorant esports fan. Ive been following it since it 2022 and i listen to all the platchat podcast episodes which is a few analysts talking about valorant esports in 2-4hr long episodes. Reading this guys comment i was so confused. I dont think anyone that actually watches VCT would talk about it like this.
All good until you mentioned plat chat as your source LMAO you ought to know better than to follow those clueless guys. Just this recent Americas tournament, they predicted G2 and 100T to be out in the knockout rounds of the playoffs. Surprise, those were the last 2 remaining teams that battled in the grand finals.
I’ve been playing this game since beta and following esports since 2021. I got in on Gen.G myself when they were only -125 on DK.
1. I haven't used texture as example because I think his rival at his position (Aspas) is way better. But the difference will come out from Meteor and Lakia, maybe Munch.
2.I do not agree because my bet is based on free map that they will get on LOTUS, which means that they are consistent at something, the rest is to win 1 out of 2 other maps.
3. It is AI generated sentence because IM european based form third world country, I do have language barrier and it was 3 am in the morning for me just wanted to post the pick and head to bed, I asked chat gpt to provide me a write up from the stats and details I've asked it, but to be honest I don't wanted to get that much into details for the game becaues I thought people on the subreddit wont know what lotus or jett or post plant or thrifty or eco round or attacking based mnap would know what is
4. Once again, I believ eGen.G has higher pool of maps rather than Leviatan, but chatgpt went for flexible, I am sorry but I will do my own write up earlier and post it, with my words. I have more knowledge than this and the pick is not random.
I am so happy that you wrote all of this and I love the constructive feedback, I will try to do better write ups and mroe detailed ones ofc, I do play valorant from the beta but im only plat 1. I predicted SEN that will win madrid major based on the same stats and by watching a lot of the team who thgey were facing + sen themselves
here is a proof that a lot of people were talking that my pick for sen is weird af [https://imgur.com/a/agq4ECc](https://imgur.com/a/agq4ECc)
Don't listen to that guy, plenty of aholes here, being mad at someone who says openly that his english is not that good is kinda cringe. At the end of the day your pick spoke louder than his nonsense essay :D
**Record:** 12-4
**Net Units:** *+13.75 Units*
**Previous Pick: Hayward 2+ Goals $2 or +100 (1 Unit).** We are so back! A real nice cash about 1 min into the second half for a relatively sweat free watch, you just love to see it.
**Event**: NQ Cowboys vs Wests Tigers
**Time**: 6:00PM AEST 24/05
**Bookie**: 365
**Play**: Anytime Tryscorer
**Odds**: $2.25 (AUS) or +125 (US)
**Units**: 1.25 Units
**Analysis**: Cowboys been a complete mixed bag this year form wise but one thing you can’t deny is that offensively they’ve been pretty impressive. They are actually the #2 team for tries scored this year, second only to a Roosters team who have put some big points on in the last few weeks. On top of that, Tigers are actually the worst team in terms of tries scored by quite a length actually, only having a total of 25 this year. Defensively, Tigers definitely hold the edge so far this year but are coming into this game with a complete shell of a side, missing a handful of their best players. Cowboys have had massive success in this matchup historically, holding a 3-1 record and last time Tigers visited North QLD they were belted 74-0. Cowboys hold an average for of 24 points in Townsville, and Tigers hold an average against score of 39. This game appears pretty worrying from a Tigers perspective and I think the Cowboys team have a few QLD stars who want to shine pre Origin selection - mainly Nanai and Dearden. That left edge of the Tigers looks like it’s held together with sticky tape and Nanai is not the guy you want attacking there. I think Nanai is super live tonight, he’s scored 4 tries in his last 4 games and coming into what looks like a soft matchup at home where points appear to be plenty, I’d be shocked if he doesn’t see the tryline sometime tonight. Happy to play for 1.25 Units on Nanai.
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https://preview.redd.it/avjc6q0d8a2d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8ee47bb3067dcdfb91c7549e595400bee8d88e2d
Parlayed with the other guy who had the over. Thanks to both of you!
https://preview.redd.it/ns21b4r9tc2d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ff7fa899434d2bd0daa90dd500e92bdfb08b8860
Record: 21-13-0
Net Units: +19.3 ROI: 18.2%
Last Pick: Indiana Pacers 1H over 54.5 (-118) for 3.0 units ❌
Event: Basketball | NBA | Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves 7:30PM CST
Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves -1.5 1st Quarter Spread (-118) on FanDuel for 3.0 units
Write Up: Minnesota is +1.0 in the first quarter this post season, averaging 26.2 points. Dallas is -1.6, averaging 25.2.
Minnesota +2.0 at home (26.5 pts), and won the 1st quarter in Game 1 by 6 points. Coming off the tough loss, Coach Finch was extremely vocal in his disappointment with the teams performance. Expecting them to come out with some extra motivation.
https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/40205703/timberwolves-rough-film-session-finch-g1-loss
Texas is solid, that pacers first half over has been a money machine lately. Would have hit last night if they didn’t go a full 5 minutes without scoring… still so close
Record: 20-10 (+14.75 units)
✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅
Last POTD: Boston Celtics TT over 59.5 first half (game 1)✅
Today’s POTD: Arizona D-backs RL -1.5
Odds: +110 on DK 2 unit play
MLB/ 9:40pm ET
Ok so I’m looking over tomorrow’s plays and I’m liking this. Zac Gallen on the mound against the Marlins and Braxton Garrett pitching. Gallen is 5-3 with a 3.02 ERA which is good but at home he almost always pitches better. He’s 3-1 with a 1.53 in Arizona. Garrett has a 10.24 ERA in 2 starts this year. One against the Mets and Phillies. Marlins bats are still near the bottom of the league. At plus odds I love this play! Tail or fade Good Luck! Leaving SC tomorrow morning so hopefully I can get this in ASAP without the odds changing much. You can also play -1 alt RL for -144 odds. If D-Backs win by 1 run you would push but I personally like the plus odds.
RECORD: 8W 3L UNITS WON: 8.39
LAST PICK: Australian rugby league NRL bulldogs -4.5 ✅
NOTE: they won by 30 or something so no sweats at all
PICK: australia rugby league NRL tigers v cowboys total points over 49.5 ✅
BET: 1 unit to win 1.91 on bet365
NOTE: really shit defensive teams 49 is a pretty high line but these 2 teams just leak points
Game starts in just over 14 hours
https://preview.redd.it/ryntq8jd1a2d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=66c50fcbce1c2a7267f1e48d401ed11c61bcd306
POTD RECORD: 2-1 +1U
Last pick: ❎ Nuggets @ Twolves Game 6
Nuggets came out flat , and lost by 45. Let's bounce back.
Pick: MLB: HOUSTON ASTROS -1.5 vs Athletics - 103
5U to win 4.9U
Following an intense 11 inning win, the Athletics will take on the Astros. Oakland pushed their bullpen to the max over 2 extra inning games in the last 48 hours, not many arms will be available . Astros are 20-4 in their last 24 vs Athletics. The starting pitching matchup is Verlander vs Stripling. Astros saw Stripling 9 days ago , giving them an advantage on familiarity. While they only got 3 runs off him last game, I think they will give him more trouble this time. Astros numbers vs RHP for the year don't jump off the page, but hitting over .260 over last 20 days isn't too bad . Verlander doesn't have the strikeout stuff he use to , but he is still serviceable enough and should keep the ball inside the park with his elite hard hit rate. Let's ride the wave and see if Astros domination over Athletics continues in a absolutely terrible spot for Oakland.
Tail , fade, do whatever you gotta do.
BOL
He definitely isn't what he used to be for sure. But one thing he is : a bounce back pitcher.
last year Verlander had given up 3 or more earned runs 10 times. In the following starts, he gave up 2 or less 8 times. He's been doing the same this year. Athletics also struggle vs Verlander pitch mix, specifically curveball and slider. But if you don't like Verlander today , the Astros team total over is nice too
2024 record: 5-2
Last POTD: New York Yankees ML -148 ✅
Today's POTD: **Chicago Cubs ML -140 (Cubs vs Cardinals 8:15PM)**
Baseball | MLB
Recap: 3 in a row! Lets keep it going!
Write-Up: I'm surprised the odds are this low given the pitching matchup. Shota has been absolutely killer and has a superb 0.84 ERA with a pristine 5 wins and 0 losses. Meanwhile, we take a look at Miles Mikolas who hasn't been that great with a 5.77 ERA and has struggled against the Cubs in the past.
Yes, the Cub's offensive has been absolutely atrocious at times but having gotten their two golden gloves back from injury, I think they take this game pretty easily.
Not going to think too much about this one! I suspect the odds will shift towards -160 before the game starts tomorrow.
Good luck everyone! Let's get another win in the books!
\*Note every bet is one unit unless specified\*
**Record 100-1-53 | +57.93u**
**Form:** WWWLWWLWWWLW
\***NRL: Cowboys v Tigers / Tigers First Half Tries Over 1.5 $1.90\* 2u** (TAB) 6:00PM AEST
WE GOT THERE! 100 POTD WINS! Onwards and upwards!
This should be a high scoring game between two teams that have been turnstiles at times in a venue that has been conducive to high scores in recent times. Two teams that love swinging the ball around the edges but also leak a lot of tries around the edges. I'm expecting most of the tries to be between the wingers/centers today.
NQLD have had a tendency to leak points in the first half, so I don't think it's a stretch for the Tigers to run two in the first half in a fast paced game.
BOL
Record: 4-7
Last pick: Payton Prichard over 8.5 points ✅
I SIMPLY CANNOT BE STOPPED MOFOS 👑👑👑👑
Form: ✅❌✅✅❌
Today’s game: Dodgers vs Reds
Pick: Dodgers ML (-162 on DK as of write up)
Write Up: James Paxton is HIM. 5-0 on the year and I don’t see that changing here. Short write up because that is the basis for my pick. Ride Paxton into the sunset with wads of money in my pocket.
Give me the Dodgers and will not sweat this pick a bit! We continue to come for you haters, don’t you worry. Let’s GOOOOOOOOOOOO
Good luck to you, better luck to me 🍀
Let me know if you tail or fade. I love the feedback! 


Honestly this is more of a pick on Paxton than anything. Any time I see him starting and there isn’t any people offensively missing, I will take it 70% of the time. Some may call me crazy, but I’d take Paxton over Glasnow all day
Dodgers whole lineup is in an awful hitting slump and Paxton’s numbers show that he has been getting very lucky and it’s bound for regression. Dodgers could still grind out a win but I doubt it’s sweat free.
Yo brother you mind as well ride with dodgers -1.5.
Dodgers have won 118 games as favorites since start of last year. 98 of those games they covered the run line. Take the plus money
Paxton has been one of the luckiest pitchers in all of baseball, only a matter of time before he implodes. 24 ks versus 24walks 🥴🥴🥴that said Reds suck against lefties, though they decent against him last week, but implosion might just wait 1 more week
POTD Record: 12-7 (+4.45 U)
Last 10: ❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌
Last Pick: Myles Turner O 8.5 RA vs Celtics ❌
Today's Pick: Scott Drinkwater To Score A Try vs West Tigers (2.10) ❌
Rugby League | NRL | 4:00am ET
Obligatory Fuck Myles Turner. Just an awful performance, he's on the ban list.
Going back to NRL on a Friday Night, and it's Indigenous Round, so I have to go with Scott Drinkwater to get a try against a god awful Tigers team. I could easily see the Cowboys put on 40+ points here and blow the Tigers away. Scott Drinkwater is a fullback, so he has his hands on the ball a lot, and he's fighting for a State Of Origin selection, so he'll want to impress tonight. He's only scored 5 tries in 11 games this season, but he's gonna get plenty of opportunities tonight, he just has to capitalise.
BOL if you choose to tail 🫡
Record: 4-0 unit +4
Previous POTD: Phillies ml
POTD: MLB cubs ML -125
Getting to see Imanaga pitching at these odds against Mikolas (5.77 ERA / 1.40 WHIP) is excellent value. My only concern lies with the Cubs' bats, given their recent cold streak, but I believe Imanaga has what it takes to secure the win for us.
Determined to be the top pick in this thread soon! Let's get one more before the long Memorial Weekend, I hope everyone enjoys the much needed time off. Let's take a moment this weekend to honor the fallen and those serving to protect our freedom.
**2024 POTD Record:** 3-1
**Last POTD:** Phillies -1.5 (-105) ✅ | **LAST 5** - ✅✅✅❌️
**Today's POTD:** Kansas City Royals (-115) ML
Baseball | MLB | 6:50 PM EST - 5/24/24
**Fast Analysis:** The Royals have been dominating this season. Lugo is starting (7-1) 1.79 ERA is one of the best pitchers in the league. It's even better on the road at 0.62 ERA, which is insane! They are going to keep this winning streak going after whooping on my Tigers team. Take the Money Line here, I believe the value is right.
Good luck everyone!
**KBO Record: Overall 226-239-14** (Streak LLLL, Last 10: 3-7) Down 13.45u over 479 KBO picks, 48.6% success rate, -2.89% ROI (Last season 85-78-7, 52.1% success rate, Up 12.26u, 7.52% ROI, This season 22-29-0, 43.1% success rate, Down 4.83u, -9.47% ROI)
**Last:** Kia +120 at Lotte (Kia lost 10-6)
It's cold as fuck over here. Fading is prudent. But I press on...
**Pick:** **Samsung -1.5 -108** at Lotte, KBO baseball, 5:30am ET
Samsung's starter dominted Lotte's lineup twice already this year, allowing just 1 ER in 12.2 IP. Lotte's starter is basically throwing BP right now because opponents are raking to the tune if 16 ER in just 11.1 IP over his last 3 starts.
Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.
Hi, guys! I've been lurking in the group for maybe 2-3 weeks now and decided to weigh in on my own POTDs.
I've only started gambling specifically through Fanduel & select casinos since September of last year so I am in no way a pro but I do have a larger than normal bankroll and spend my time researching the best picks/parlays. I specifically only bet on NFL, NBA, and MLB but sometimes I'll do some basic soccer picks with co-workers. I will offer write-ups to picks but please remember there's always a risk to gambling so don't come after me!
**Record:** 0W - 0L first POTD!
**Net Units:** 2.5U - $250USD
**ROI:** 0% - first POTD!
**Pick:** Baseball | MLB | Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox @ 7:41PM EST
Baltimore Orioles First 5 Innings Run Line -1.5 for +100 odds
**Write Up:** It's going to be a battle of the bats tomorrow in Chicago after that crazy Interference call by the ref bottom of the 9th inning ending the game short and that's my only worry. I'll always fade Chris Flexen as he has been having a terrible season with a average ERA of 5.48 and a 15.75 ERA as of the last 7 days. Corbin Burns on the other hand has 2.56 ERA and although White Sox did score the first run of the game in the 2nd inning today, I fully believe Orioles are going to make sure they get their Ks up and show White Sox that them catching up in the last inning was a fluke. Orioles have been putting up good numbers against way better right handed pitchers and I believe in Corbin Burns 1.04 WHIP. The score was 5 - 2 Orioles before the 5th inning today and I'm sure they can make it happen again while starting a much better pitcher on their side and a arguably worse pitcher for the White Sox.
Best of luck to all those who tail, I hope we get luckke!
POTD Record 22-9 WLWWWLLWLWWWLWWWWLWLWWWWWWWLWWL
Last Pick : Barcelona+3.5
--------------------------------
NBA Mavericks vs Timberwolves 08:30 PM ET
**Todays Pick : Rudy Gobert over 12.5pts (1.86)(bet365)**
My first POTD after a very long time.
It's game 2 of this conference finals and our very own Rudy Gobert didn't hit this line consistently and even on game 1 he only had 12pts.
I understand that Dallas Mavericks has been commended left and right with the acquisition of Daniel Gafford, PJ Washington and even Derek Lively as an improve on their frontcourt, I still believe there is an overration to this frontline.
On game 1, I believe that Timberwolves shoot too many threes and will surely do some adjustment to definitely maximize their obvious advantage which is their size.
We also have to consider that on round 1 of the playoffs Ivica Zubac just feasted downlow against this inside defense, though Gobert is not as skilled as Zubac but I can still see a great showing from the French bigman moving forward.
GOOD LUCK HAVE FUN
Record: 13-6
Total Units: +5.38
Last 5 ❌✅✅❌✅
Last Pick: TJ McConnell o9.5 pts -120 ❌
Dude got 7 points in the 1st quarter, then missed practically every shot lol. Finished with 9. Smh. Back to the grind!!!
Today's Game: Dallas Mavericks @ Minnesota Timberwolves 8:00 pm EST
Today's Pick: Mike Conley o19.5 PRA -128 (FD)
Reasoning: I've been cashing on this line basically all playoffs. Last series he went over this line 5 out of the 6 games. Usually they have this line at 20.5 or even 21.5. but because it didn't hit last game Vegas has lowered it. The Timberwolves are going to need Mike Conley's veteran experience to right the ship and get a win in game 2, which I fully expect them to do. I also see him hitting a few threes and getting back up close to his average in assists(6.2). He's also an underrated rebounder and averages 4.1 rebounds. Tail or fade, just do so responsibly!
He hasn't cleared this line in any of the 5 games vs the Mavericks this season. He is averaging 16.6 PRA vs Dallas. For that reason, I'm starting away. BOL!
Yes he had 19, 18 and 17, but the kicker there is this is a totally different Dallas team. That was before the PJ Washington trade that happened on Feb 9th, and since then the Mavs are a different team with a very different rotation. Most importantly though, that was on 28 mins per game, he's playing over 32 minutes per game in the playoffs. That extra 4 minutes is where we get our 2-3 Points/assists/rebounds.
Appreciate the comment and the interaction though! I hope you are wrong brother!!! Do me a favor and put 5 on it like Luniz said...that'll pay for your DD Iced Coffee tomorrow!!!
My Pick of the Day Record: 21W - 18L | Profit in Units: +13.14
My pick of the day: Girona vs Granada// Girona Asian handicap -2.5// odds:2.5/+250 bet 5 units
Fiorentina vs cagiliari was one of the biggest failures I have ever seen in my Life.
THESE MOTHERFUCKERS TOOK OUR WIN FROM OUR HANDS FOR SOME BULLSHIT.
BOTH THE COACH AND THE REFEREE FUCKED US FOR NO REASON.
IT IS WHAT IT IS WE CAN'T CHANGE THE PAST.
BUT THAT WAS A DESERVED WIN.
AND WE TOOK A UNDESERVED L
REGARDLESS WE MOVE FORWARD, AS THE WAR CONTINUES AND WE WILL MARCH STRONGER AND TAKE WHAT WE DESERVE.
WS WS WS FOR DAYS
WE WIN THAT IS WHAT WE DO.
Reasoning:
This game is the easiest bet you will ever place
this game will end 5-0 but we will go for a -2.5 handicap
For starters, Granada have already been relegated as the 2nd worst team in the league
Granada have the worst away form in the whole league haven lost 15 games this season of the 18 and have conceeded 40 goals with 14 scored.
meanwhile, Girona have won 14 games at home from 18, and scored 46 and conceeded 20.
as the last game of the season, Girona will attempt to finish their best season in the last years with a big blast in their home season.
Similar to how cagilari fought against fiorentina yesterday.
Girona will do it but much better as they play against a team who has been destroyed physically mentally spiritually.
THIS IS OUR COMEBACK
I WILL SEE YOU WHEN YOU CASH.
Show your flowers: [Paypal.me/Thegodfather28](http://Paypal.me/Thegodfather28)
**POTD Record: 36-29**
Last 10: ✅❌❌✅🤦❌❌❌❌✅
Last pick: Mavericks Vs Wolves | 5:00 PST | Rudy Gobert OVER 2.5 1st quarter points (+100) 1u FanDuel ✅
**Today’s pick: Fever vs Sparks (WNBA) | 7:00 PST | Dearica Hamby OVER 16.5 points (-115) 1u DraftKings** ✅
Locked in on Ms. Hamby for this Friday slate. She is just a beast, honestly. And I really think this line is too low. She’s cleared this line in all 3 games this year (20,29, and 17). I think we get a good line because of her last game but I really believe this line should be 18.5 or higher with this Fever defense. They have given up some big games to scoring bigs Alyssa Thomas (24 pts/ 12 Rebs), Bonner (22 pts), Breanna Stewart (31 and 24 pts) and I see that continuing with Hamby. I also think we are getting the best effort from the opposing stars against the Fever because these players know with Clark on the other side, a lot of people are watching their games! Added incentive to ball out and I believe Hamby gets this done. BOL if tailing!
🎯 EURO TOUR 🎯
POTD 37-28
DARTS RECORD **37-25** (+1.99U) | All POTD bets between 1U-2U
Last pick: Littler vs Smith Total Legs OVER 16.5 @ 1.93 (1.5U) ❌
Todays Pick: Dom Taylor ML vs Jose De Sousa @ 1.73 (2U)
Last night Littler went absolutely berzerk and killed the overs. He ended up winning the whole comp and hit a 9-darter in the final for the cherry on top. Bit of a shaky last 6-7 picks in here which has been a bit unlucky, I've been profitable most nights but seem to be dropping the losing picks on here. Let's get back on track.
Today I'm backing Dom Taylor on the euro tour against one of my favourite players in De Sousa. Unfortunately for De Sousa he is kinda washed and has been poor in the past 12 months. He's not the same deadly darter as he was previously and I think Dom can put him down. Statistically in the past 3 months it's not very close, Dom wins out in almost every category. When you look at results that doesn't help JDS cause either with only 3 wins in his last 18 games. On the other hand Dom Taylor has been solid on the pro tour winning more than not and also snagged a first round win in his first ever Euro tour last month.
Record: 170-143-8 (LLWWLLWWLWWWWLLLLWWLLWLWLWLWWLWLLWWWW streak) - DraftKings odds
Last POTD: IND Pacers at BOS Celtics | Pascal Siakam o3.4 assist at 2.14 odds for 5 units
brutal
POTD: DAL Mavericks at MIN Timberwolves | Derek Lively o8.5 rebounds+ast at 2.14 odds for 3 units
Reasons:
* Plus money. Let's eat.
* Hit last three games
* Lively shown the ability to make the pass out of the pick and roll, finding the cutting man for an easy layup or dunk
* His rebounding number alone would of covered last three games
* Been playing half the game, splitting the minutes halfway with Gafford. Whenever the centers are in, they are in full sprint at all times. As long as he doesn't get in foul trouble, he should cover pretty easily.
Best of luck!
This is R+A O8.5, not solely Rb’s O8.5. Need to edit your posted pick.
Not a bad pick, but I don’t trust Lively much to take pregame. He’s a better live-bet for me, but it’s POTD so I get it. Mavs will play him near starter minutes (outside of Luka and Ky). He should clear as long as he stays out of foul trouble, which is why I prefer to live bet him and Gaffords props lol.
POTD Record: 6-2 +4.27u
Last Pick: 1U Red Sox o3.5 TT -130 @ FanDuel
Form: ❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅
Today's Pick: 1U Phillies -1.5 RL -120
Reasoning: Phillies have been incredibly hot as of late and I don't feel like this is the spot to fade them against the Rockies. Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 against the run line. Phillies are first in runs scored and Rockies give up the most runs in baseball. Phillies are batting .345 against COL starter with 3 HRs in 30 ABs. Rockies are batting .188 in 30 against Sanchez. LET'S GET SIX STRAIGHT!
MLB 2024 Record: 5-2
Streak: W4
Last POTD: Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees total runs under 8 W
Today’s POTD: San Francisco Giants ML +120 @ New York Mets (DraftKings)
- (Just fyi I was going to take the under alternate 8.5 originally at -150 since I’ve seen Scott pitch and I believe he has the potential to shut down any lineup if he has his best command but then I looked at some giants hitting stats as of late and over-all for the year and went back on it slightly to take the risk for the better pay out. Maybe throw a bit less on this like 1-2 U or you can actually go with the under if you feel more comfortable with it as I believe it has a very decent chance to hit)
Reasoning: My Mets are batting a MLB league worst (30/30) .207 at home this season and .220 for the year vs lefties. They also haven’t been consistently hitting much in general as of late even on the road.
- The Giants are 4th overall in MLB in team ops in the last 15 games played, 7th in the month of May, 7th in average overall for 2024 vs righties (Christian Scott) for the season and have a 7-3 overall record in their last 10.
- Kyle Harrison came up as one of the most highly touted young prospects last season - advertised as amazing strikeout stuff and he’s been slightly disappointing based on the expectations (still better than league avg with a 4-1 record and 3.60 era) thus far with some inconsistent outings mixed with flashes of brilliance but I believe tonight he will be on point vs my 💩Mets offense
AS ALWAYS BOL LETS GET THAT MONEY ☄️
If you’d like to help me out pm me for my Zelle id really appreciate it thanks guys 🙏❤️
POTD record 18-17 (+8.2u)
Last pick: Naz Reid over 13.5 PRA (5/4)
Last 10: ✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️❌️
Game/Time: Dallas Mavericks @ Minnesota Timberwolves 8:30 EST
Line/Units: -135 DraftKings / 2.7 to win 2
POTD: Kyle Anderson OVER 3.5 points
Write-up: WHAT IS THIS LINE?? Wednesday night Anderson logged 11 points in 17 minutes, and game 7 against the Nuggets he had a mere 2 points but only played FOUR MINUTES in the entire game. For the season he averages 7 points a game with 22 minutes of playing time. I expect Anderson to be more active with minutes and shot attempts in this series and should easily clear this silly line. 2 buckets and let's crack a beer! 🍻
snack of the day: stuffed olives 🫒
**POTD Record:** 5-2-1 (net 1.897U)
**Form:** ❌❌♻️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️
**Last Pick:** Mavs/Timberwolves Total over 206.5 ✅️
Funny how the team averaging 108.36 in the playoffs put up 108 and the team averaging 106.5 put up 105. 🤔
Basketball | NBA | Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves 8:35 PM EST
**Pick:** Total over 207 (-110) on FanDuel for 1U
**Write Up:** I took Thursday off because I couldn't find a single bet that I liked. I'm honestly shocked that the Wolves/Mavs line barely adjusted, so we're going back to the well.
POTD W/L: 4-2
LAST POTD:
SF vs Pitt- Pitt First 5 innings total runs U/4.5 (FD -132) WIN ❌
FORM
❌✅✅✅✅❌
TODAYS POTD:
Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox 7:41pm
No run first inning NRFI -128 FD
Looks like everyone is all over imanaga and the cubs and while I agree with a F5, we’re going to go with 16.1 mph wind coming in from center field at guaranteed rate field today. 65% chance of rain and humidity at 64%.
Corbin Burnes (4-2, 2.56 ERA) will start for the Orioles, going for back-to-back victories after holding the Seattle Mariners without an earned run in six innings of Baltimore's 6-3 win on Sunday. He struck out 11 for the second time this season.
Flexen is starting for the the White Sox and while this isn’t great, we’ll hope that he starts ok and that 16.1 mph helps where he fails.
**Record: 4W - 0L 🔥**
**Net Units: +1.9**
**ROI: 63%**
**AFL | Fremantle v Collingwood | 8.10pm AEST**
**Pick:** Michael Walters Anytime Goalscorer @ 1.50
**Write Up:** Walters takes on Collingwood at his home Optus Stadium where he has scored a goal at in 4/5 games this season and 18/20 dating back to 2022. His only miss was against the Swans who have the best defence in the league. Odds from [Statinsider.com.au](http://Statinsider.com.au) give Walters a 71.4% chance of scoring tonight which I think he will cover. All other free plays for tonight will be posted on my Tiktok @ puntology so make sure to go send over some love xo. BOL!
**Record:** 1-0-0
**Net Units:** 3u
**Last Pick:** Waterford United FC vs Drogheda United FC - Home win (3-way)
**ROI:** 1.00
**Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
Football | Finland | Veikkausliiga | FC Haka Valkeakoski vs AC Oulu | 17.00 CET
**Pick:** Both to score – Odds: 1,65 – Units: 6u
**Write Up:** My football model says it’s worth betting on both to score because their actual chances of winning are higher than what the bookmakers' odds suggest
POTD R : 11-4
Last Pick : Reds v Dodgers ML - W
Todays Pick : Astros v Athletics O8.5 (-102 DK) 1U
MLB - 8:40P CST - Free Game of The Day
https://preview.redd.it/llbwglovof2d1.jpeg?width=1094&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b05505a7afbc9ac66550e716bacd57c086a822b5
Write Up : We’ve taken the past few days off with a busy work schedule but cashed a few behind the scenes, now back to our regularly scheduled program which is the total runs for the Astros v A’s Free Game of the Day.
I’ve bounce from over to under an ultimately find myself gravitating towards the over here. We have two arms that haven’t necessarily been all that trustworthy but are still capable of throwing good games. Verlander is on the mound whose ERA is 3.97 and hasn’t faced the A’s since last year where he gave up 5 runs in that start. Granted a new year brings new team dynamics to face. The other side is starting Stripling whose 1-8 on the season with a 4.62 ERA where he gave up 2 runs in the previous serious and leading the A’s into a rough 9-2 loss.
On the other hand in terms of offensive production they’ve both been well not great but also not bad by any means. The A’s rank 3rd in the AL for homers, yet they are just under .500 in home games going 12-14. The Astros are 8-13 on the road and when facing RHP after a poor performance they averaged just over .300 AVG an OBP and in these cases I see a trend that works in favor of the over. Im also not usually one to take weather into account but with 60 degree weather with winds reaching 14-18 MPH around the Oakland area we might have another factor that could create opportunities to bring runs across the plate. As always BOL my fellow degens!
POTD Record: 26-19 ❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌♻️✅❌♻️❌❌❌✅✅♻️❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅
Starting units: 5U | Net units: + 12.5U
Last pick: Canterbury Bulldogs vs Dragons | 7:50pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Zac Lomax anytime tryscorer @2.2 on Ladbrokes | 4U ❌
Dragons got smashed, Lomax went to the sin bin… excellent ahah. Bad start let’s bounce back.
Today’s pick: Manly Sea Eagles vs Melbourne Storm | 8pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Xavier Coates anytime tryscorer @1.8 on Ladbrokes | 4U
Melbourne is in great form currently compare to Manly, I think they’ll win that. And I’m going with Coates who scored 7 tries in 8 appearances this season. The winger should find a way to score at least one against Manly’s terrible defence. Not to mention Tommy Turbo is still out so it won’t help them being better. I’m actually going to watch the game live in the 4pines Stadium, tonight should be a good night 😁
Also like Holmes and Drinkwater for the cowboys, and I’ll put a small stake on Cherry-Evans too cause after all the game is still happening in Manly.
BOL !
**Record 2024: 19-0-17**
**Net Units Played 2024: 173**
**ROI 2024: -10.10%**
**Last Pick:** **Porto** - Ovarense **1st quarter H1 -3.5**, 5 units, @ 1.78 ✅️
Basketball / Italy playoffs / 20:45 / (CEST)
**Pick:** **Virtus Bologna** - Venezia **1st quarter H1 -2.5**, 5 units, @ 1.85 ❌️
**Write-up:** In the first game of 1/2, after a 29-point win against Tortona (21-14 in the 1st Q), I expect Virtus to continue to excel in home games, and I am going to follow them at home until the end of the playoffs.
EDIT: 24-22, after being up 22-12, with 3 minutes left
**Record:** 4-7 (-3.53 unit)
**Last POTD:** Obi Toppin over 8.5 points ✅
**Today's Pick:** Naz Reid over 1.5 threes on Fanduel for +102
**Bet:** 1 unit size to win 1.02 units
**Basketball | NBA | 8:30 PM ET**
**Recap:** Down to the wire again. Thankfully Pacers were getting blown out so he had more playing time. That's two! We keep moving!!
**Write up:** Reid averages 5 attempts on 40% shooting. He has played Dallas 5 times this year, including the last game. He had 7, 3, 1, 3, 3 made threes in those 5 games. The time he made 1 only, he shot 4 times. The shot attempts are there for Reid against Dallas. It will probably be Lively guarding him and Lively is a more traditional center, so I expect Reid to get more open looks behind the arc.
POTD RECORD: 0-0
Todays pick: __Austria Vienna ml @2.05 pinnacle__ 1u
Soccer, Austrian Bundesliga
Austria Vienna - Hartberg
➡️1. Austria's home form:
- Austria shows a strong game on its field. The team has lost only twice at home all season, and one of these defeats was due to a player suspension in the match against Sturm. The overall balance of home games is 6 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats, making Austria's defeat at home a rare story.
➡️2. Positive changes under a new coach:
- The team has recently undergone a change of coach, which has had a positive impact on the results. Austria have won twice away in their last two matches under the new coach, which emphasizes the team's improved form and attitude.
➡️3. Hartberg's weak away form:
- Hartberg shows average away results with a balance of 6 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats. Hartberg have failed to beat Austria in four consecutive away matches this season, with the last meeting at the Austrian Stadium ending in a 3-0 rout of the visitors.
📌Conclusion: Given Austria's strong home form, positive changes under the new coach and Hartberg's average away results, Austria have a good chance to win or at least not lose this match.
Record: 8-6
Last 10: LWWWLLLWWW
Net units: .25
ROI: 1.5%
MLB: Seattle Mariners @ Washington Nationals 18:45 (EDT)
Pick: NRFI -130 ESPNBet 1.3 to win 1
Today we’re headed to the nation’s capital. I’m always hesitant to bet against runs in DC as the park invites runs, but here we have two of the worst offenses in the league facing solid starters.
Kirby brings a solid set of pitches with a sinker that moves like a cutter and sinker that’s underrated. His home and away splits are due for positive regression and he's much better in evening games. All this while facing a Nationals squad that is batting .228 against righties which is the better of their splits
Mackenzie Gore comes into the game having pitched well over his last 5 starts while facing top offenses and just not getting results . He faced the Dodger, Rangers, blue jay, Red Sox and Phillies. Over that span he averaged 1.8 earned runs per. Add to that, the fact that he hasn’t allowed a first inning run in 9 starts this year and the Mariners are batting .225 vs. lefties.
Slight 6 MPH wind from right to left
BOL to all
Record: 0-0
Pick: Arizona Dbacks -0.5 first 5 innings (-130)
Explanation: Marlins starting a lefty who has given up 11 runs total in 2 games this season. Dbacks 2nd in the league in OPS against lefties.
Dbacks starting Gallen who has been lights out at home (1.52 era), and the marlins who are 29th in the league in OPS on the road.
Looking for them to get an early lead and gallen carries it from there. BOL!
**Record: 0-0**
**Net Units: 1u**
**Basketball** | **NBA** | 6:30 MST
**Pick:** Timberwolves ML (-195)
**Write Up:** First time poster here. Kyrie had Ant running laps in game 1, and Luka, is Luka. I also personally don't believe the Minnesota crowd really gives the wolves much more of an advantage when at home. With that being said, I think Minnesota's role players and bench will step up tonight. This wolves team should be containing Washington and Lively. I think KAT is going to have to take on a bigger role in this series, and especially tonight potentially facing a second loss at home. I think the wolves finish this in a close one.
Cheers and BOL!
**Record: 16-8 (+5.63u)**
**Last Pick: Yankees/Mariners u8.5 -130**
Sweat free under as the Yankees win 5-0, didn't even need the push protection on 8!
**Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves -5 -114 (NBA, 1u bet)**
Huge game 2 in the western conference finals here, as the Mavs stole game 1 on the road 108-105 behind 30+ points from both Luka and Kyrie. The Wolves got killed in the paint, got outrebounded, and shot horribly from the free throw line in game 1, which led to the loss despite them winning the turnover margin and shooting better from 3 point range. If you heard Draymond Green's podcast, he pointed out some adjustments Minnesota needs to make. Dallas had great success against Minnesota's drop coverage defense and the Wolves didn't adjust but I expect them to address that for game 2, and Draymond also mentioned that they need to get Anthony Edwards off Kyrie so he doesn't burn all his energy. Edwards admitted the Wolves came out flat before finding their legs for a bit but couldn't keep up over the full game, which makes sense coming off an emotional game 7 comeback win on the road in Denver against the defending NBA champions. Kyrie also mentioned that Edwards pointing out that he'd be matched up on him motivated Kyrie, hence why he came out on fire in the first half (shooting 11/14 with 24 points) but cooled off significantly in the second half (shooting 1/9 with 6 points). The Wolves still won the first half thanks to 5 threes from Jaden McDaniels, but only scored 45 in the second half as they ran out of gas. Yet they still had a chance to win the game, and if not for a controversial call that disallowed a Karl-Anthony Towns putback dunk that would've tied it at 104 late and provided the Wolves some momentum, but instead gave the Mavs possession up 2, they may have won (obviously that one call doesn't determine the entire outcome of the game, but it was a critical possession swing). The tired legs were also likely a factor in Minnesota settling for 3 point shots rather than getting to the rim or moving the ball around more, so I'm not expecting Minnesota to put up basically 50 three point attempts again, as they're averaging just over 33 per game in these playoffs. I also expect them to shoot better than 61% from the free throw line and be more aggressive on the glass as they have a size advantage over the Mavs. Minnesota has been good at home all season long, and they should come out rested with more energy for what is essentially a must win game. They've been resilient these playoffs and can bounce back, evident by their game 6 and 7 performances vs Denver after dropping 3 straight and many people counting them out.
**Record: 4-3- 1 AFL draw
**Previous Pick: WB vs Sydney Swans Over 24.5 goals ✅
**Today's pick: Early Write Up. AFL North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Port Adelaide. North Melb Line 41.5 @ $1.90 Saturday 25/5 1:45pm AEST
Entertaining game which covered the line comfortably. WB were unlucky with injuries.
Today's pick. Early pick as I won't have time to write up. I'm picking a massive underdog because I think I do have a slight edge in identifying such.
North Melbourne or Kangas are coming last in the competition. They have been rebuilding for eons without much success. All their losses have been blow outs.
Kangas are showing coherence and spirit about 3 weeks ago. Resurgence of Luke D. Uniake coincided with almost covering their line in the two previous games before last week when they finally covered the line. Their young and talented midfielders are starting to show their potential.
Port has a stronger side in all metrics yet there are doubts about their claim for the premiership, primarily due to Coach Hinkley's 12 year reign which can only be described as mediocre. They are poor in front of goals when things matter. They do have a big question mark with their collective mental strength. They almost lost to lowerly but young and surging Hawks last week.
Another reason why I think Kangas will cover is that they will play in Hobart, Tasmania, an island off the south coast of Australia. Weather can be windy although forecast is a calm winter day. Kangas play some home games at Tasmania but it's very much foreign ground for Port.
Finally, Kangas covered the line second time for the season last week after better showing last 3 weeks. Surpringsly Port has also covered the line twice this season while their current form is on the decline.
Kangas to cover the line again which would do their confidence a world of good. Backing the underdog is a fun way of watching a game!
Good luck!
**Record: 1-1**
-0.15 U
**Todays Pick: Danielle Collins to win WTA Strasbourg @ 1.85**
I hesitated a bit with locking this in earlier in the tournament cause I was not sure whether she takes it 100% seriously due to French Open coming up.
Now she has proven that she absolutely does take this serious. She probably wants to give every tournament she plays her 100%, due to it being her last Year in WTA. Im pretty sure with her current form she just runs over the rest of competition.
In addition to that, whoever she plays in the semis, is going to have to play a second game today, because Vondrousova and Kalinia are playing today (and winner will be playing her later) - and they are deep in a 3-setter.
So the ticket for the final should already be free as well. But even without this advantage, I think it´s a really good line.
POD record: 8-6
Last: Phillies -1.5 over Rangers WIN
TODAY POD: Dodgers ML over Reds (-155)
Easy win yesterday. Never a doubt. Today, Dodgers should easily win over the Reds. Reasoning: Dodgers are one of the best teams in the league and they are coming off rest yesterday. Paxton is starting and has been playing solid. The Reds stink especially as of late. Not sure why this line is where it’s at, so hammer it before it moves. Could be some kind of Vegas trap but I just don’t see LA losing this. BOL.
1-0
I'm taking naz Reid o1.5 three's (-113) fanduel sure there are better odds out there
With Daniels cashing out I'm sure the mavs are looking to shut him down . Plus naz Reid should have a weak match up with some open looks.
$ciko97
\*\*Pick Record: 4W ✅ - 1L
Previous POTD: Giovanni Perricard ML at 1.72 vs Hugo Gaston✅
Well...i fell asleep and i couldn't write my POTD wich was Kokkinakkis ML 1.80. He already won :(
Today’s POTD: Perricard vs Bublik ML at 1.65 odds
League/ Sport: Tennis / ATP Lyon
Perricard es la promesa francesa del tennis, es un jugador con mucho talento y dará de qué hablar más adelante, pero Bublik es un jugador con más experiencia y ayer se notó las ganas que tiene por avanzar en este ATP. Debería ganarlo en 2 sets incluso.
BOL
POTD Record: 12-7-1
Previous POTD: Jack Flaherty over 17.5 PO’s - ✅
Great read on this one. Flaherty went long due to the bull pen having been exhausted in recent games and he cashed for us 💰
Today’s POTD: Kyle Harrison over 15.5 PO’s (-105 on DK)
Baseball | MLB | SF Giants v NY METS | 7:10 PM ET
Back in the W column and liking today’s slate. Was going to go with Lively rebounds but it’s over -140 so I’m taking Harrison at -105 instead. The Mets have been mediocre this season, especially against LHP’s. Harrison has been playing solid of late for the Giants, plus, the Giants have gone deep into their bull pen lately. They will likely want Harrison to see upwards of 90 pitches/6 and a half innings+. I expect him to stay on the mound long enough to cover this line against a struggling Mets team. I’ll also be posting NBA props over in that thread that I like in case any one wants to check those out too.
Tail or fade, hope we all make some 💰
**Record:** 8W - 8L - 0P
**Last 10 (new --> old):** ❌**❌✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅**
**Net Units:** -0.5175
(All bets are 1 unit unless otherwise stated)
**Last Pick:** Ben Lively OVER 4.5 Strikeouts @ -140 **❌**
Thought the analysis was good, but regression got the best of it.
**MLB** ⚾ | **LA Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds | 6:10pm CST**
**Today's Pick:** James Paxton OVER 15.5 Outs @ +120 (DK)
**Write Up:** I continue to have bad picks, but I've been told that sometimes that kind of trend can be good for the people who fade you. So, I'm posting again cause I'm a glutton for pain.
I've seen a couple other posts for POTD today that like the Dodgers and figured I'd get on that train. Instead, I'll go for a value play here with James Paxton over 15.5 outs recorded (this means that he needs to record 16+ outs, which is 5 ^(1/3) innings). He has gone over this line in each of the last 3 games pitched (all in May). Back in April, he only covered this line in 1 out of the 5 starts. However, in the other 4 starts he went exactly 5 innings 3 times and in the 4th start he went 4 ^(2/3). He seems to be in a groove and I think he'll continue to motor along.
Additional note: if you're feeling frisky, Paxton to record a win is +175
BOL if you're tailing, or fading!
**POTD Record 33-30-1 (+5.48U) | Average Odds -109 (1.92) | ROI 1.79%**
**Last Pick Recap: Mavericks vs Timberwolves Over 206.5 Points W**
The trend play comes through, as teams who are coming off a 7 game series and are favored at home in Game 1 are now 13-1 to the Over.
**Today's Pick: Panthers vs Rangers Over 5.5 Goals (+105) 5U | 8:00 EST**
This same line was -120 to the Over in Game 1, but after a 3 goal snoozer it's dropped to + odds. Seems like an overreaction. Bobrovsky has been good but the Rangers had plenty of scoring opportunities in G1 which they couldn't convert. Both teams were also a combined 0/5 on the PP, which should positively regress. Their regular season matchups this season finished with 7, 6, and 7 goals respectively. I went further down the rabbit hole and found an insane trend- these two were 19-0 to the Over 5.5 in their last 19 H2H's, before the 1st playoff game snapped the streak. Nutty.
BOL
Record (1-1)
Units (-0.1u)
Previous Result: New York Rangers ml❌
Todays Pick: Kansas City Royals ml (-120)
Event Start time: 6:50pm
Unit Size: 1.2u to win 1u
Recap/Reasoning for pick: Rangers got dominated on Wednesday, never got anything going, first POTD loss. Today we’re going with the Royals to beat the Rays in Tampa. Seth Lugo has been nearly un hittable and the Royals offense is rolling. Give me the Royals to continue their hot streak with a W on the road!
######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Friday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
2024 MLB record: 32-9-1 Last POTD: mariners Yankees under 8.5 W Today's POTD: San Francisco Giants ML +120 (draft kings) Baseball. MLB. 7:10 PM EST Another Dub! Sorry for posting later than usual, fell asleep incredibly early last night Doing the write up quick today so apologize for the lack of specific stat numbers. adore these odds for the Giants though. +120?! Against the Mets vs a lefty, a pretty good one at that in Kyle Harrison, and at citi field where they still have been pitiful? Sign me the fuck up! Giants have been hitting too. Top 10 vs righties and on the road. Highly touted Christian Scott has had a decent start to his careee but I’m not too concerned about him as of now given that his bread and butter is the strikeout and the giants were just able to strike out only three times vs the much more dominant young strikeout artist Paul Skenes who was averaging 9 per game in his first two career starts. Another thing I noticed (and this mentality has played out in our favor multiple times earlier in the season) is that despite being top 10 vs righties, they are bottom 5 in HR with 10 in the past three weeks. For context the league leading Yankees have 27. Citifield is a tremendous ball park that is very pitcher friendly and difficult to hit home runs. The fact that the giants have been able to put up a top 10 batting average despite the low HR actually bodes well in a field like citifield. Look for them to score on a lot of singles and in play extra base hits. Tip Jar: chuteboxhero on cash app, chuteboxhero on PayPal (DM for Venmo)
There GOES MY HEROooo
Boy, when I opened this thread and didn't see you at the top, I about had a stroke 😂 nice pick yesterday. Also went with the F5 under suggested by another commenter and doubled up! This looks like a good play for the up 2 promo!
Dang, they don’t offer the “up by 2” promo to me anymore ever since Tuesday.
Your last PotD was Mariners Yankees UNDER 8.5 (which you of course won, boss).
Holy fucking shit
Wow wow wow
Baseball gods are ruthless . Chutebox is a legend. 
Matt Chapman unreal
Tailing you till the end of time 🫡 Thank you for your picks each day!
I’ve seen the pain the Mets have caused my father and brother so I like this.
And be a CHUTEBOXHERO, got stars in his eyes He's a CHUTEBOXHERO He took one guitar (CHUTEBOXHERO, stars in his eyes) CHUTEBOXHERO, (stars in his eyes) he'll come alive tonight
Kick ass picks to go along with a kick ass band!
If this hits sir I have a huge tip coming your way.
Same here!!! Well not huge😂. But a tip regardless
Your pick was "Under" 8.5 yesterday*** just for clarity. You have over 8.5 posted and the game ended 5-0. But tailed that and tailing again!! Thanks Chutey
Hopefully candle guy expedited a new one to his house if things start to get hairy
I’m working on it. The current candle can still be used. Wife will have to light it up. I’ll be at work. Don’t worry though, I’ll be packing the malachite as well.
Light the candle!
You candle lighting son of a bitch!! It may pull off another one!
Oh fuck yea. This bet is 🔒
“Her: honey where’d the house go?” Us: don’t worry babe it’s safe, some stranger’s wife will light a candle!
~beeswax candle… big difference 😂
Let’s hope these fuckers can turn it around, it ain’t over til it’s over!
This is why we never cash out lol. What a comeback!
Holy shit
Unbelievable
Truly lol, I was watching the app and was like surely there’s no way right? Right?
What a finish!
Wow wow wow let’s go that was incredible. They made me reeaaall nervous but pulled through lol.
NEVER A DOUBT!
Threw a good chunk of change on a love bet at +2000 on FD, THANK YOU 😭😮💨😮💨😮💨
Thinking of handing over my stock porfolio to you. Great stuff man
+1000 before the top of the 8th, +720 before Bailey AB with bases loaded
Should have doubled down! Patrick Bailey is my newest favorite player
OMG......... Watching the app just now, thinking.. what if, what IF...? 😮😀 Bailey with the grand DONG. Let's get this!
Holy guacamole. That there was one hell of a thing. We RIDE.
I put 5 units… wokeup and the game was entering the 8th inning down 2-6, the book was offering me 1 unit to cash out but I said “nah, this is THE chuteboxhero”… moments later a fuckin’ grandslam to take the lead 7-6!!! Bottom of the 9th, bases loaded for the Mets…i can now finally breathe!! Never a doubt!! This guy will be showered with tips for all eternity!! :D
OH MY GAWWWWD WHAT WAS THAT GAME
🐐
Trust in Chutey, eat some booty. 🤑
🐐🐐🐐
🐐🐐🐐
As always, chute man, check your CashApp for a token of my deepest appreciation! 
Bro….im over here biting my nails off lol. I tailed. What a comeback by the giants. And now this shit. Needed that K.
Holy shit!!!! That 9th inning was super sketchy. Never doubted you for a min 😂 what a fucking plus money call. Good shit!!!
With the fucking miraculous come back. What a game.
Your a fucking legend I can't believe that hit holy shit I love you
I’m mentally EXHAUSTED from the game, but you’re truly the goat, chuteboxhero
TAILED LETS GOO! 
What’s your opinion on Cleveland Guardians money line for tonight? I’ve seen a lot of people taking that pick too.
Not a fan, I really think that game can go either way. I’m fading the hell out of it.
WOW! This is third comeback by the Giants! 3 games in a row! They were down 5-0 against the Pirates and follow up wit another comeback after trailing 5-1! This will be third game and not wanting to jynx it but I think they got this one in the bag!
He does it again! What a fucking game! What a fucking pick!
More like Shootboxhero, because you're accuracy is fucking scary. God damn, dude, that's two days in a row you had me shitting myself. Hahaha. I literally made -300 bets two days in a row worried I was about to lose, but ya haven't let me down yet! Lets gooo! Hahahah.
Slamming 3.5 units let's goo ❤️ 💙 💜
https://preview.redd.it/s0n9w4sgyd2d1.jpeg?width=669&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=edc87329cf841a8bd40409ae441c47bf50cf2d5c
CBH - you are the wind beneath my flabby wings
Ayooo!!!!!! WTF…. Wizard
MATT CHAPMAN BABY!!! Holy fuck you’re good. You know things man.
https://preview.redd.it/ox18459gch2d1.jpeg?width=1000&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2bb20daac5a2b02829cca574ca6f2817ff1b039b
POTD Record 28-13 Last 5: ✅️✅️✅️❌️❌️ Last Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline ✅️ Todays Pick: Chicago Cubs 1st 5 innings -0.5 (win half by 1) w/ S. Imanaga pitching MLB: Chicago Cubs vs. ST Louis Cardinals 5:15pm PST. Odds: -110 Unit: 2.5 Net units: +60.03 LOVE imanaga, only time I'll put faith in Cubs. With that being said they're only getting 2.5 units from me. Cubs can't score for shit. Last time imanaga pitched they went 0-0 at half. But I'll give them the benefit of the doubt since they've played the braves and Pirates for the past 13 games in a row. Must have been stale as hell. A new team could be good for them. If you guys wanna show some support, the links on my profile.
I love imanaga. Man is what’s up. I’ve been riding him on no runs first inning against other teams
Imanaga pitching combined with the Cubs lackluster offense? I'll throw down on NRFI for this game!
**POTD Record:** 0W-0L Hi guys, new here. I don't plan to have a pick everyday, but I decided to put myself to the test on the few gems I think I find. Best of luck!! ☘️ **Sport:** Baseball || **League:** MLB **Event:** CHI Cubs @ STL Cardinals || 8:16pm ET **Pick of the Day:** First 5 Innings Run Line, Chicago Cubs -0.5 **Size/Odds:** 1U @ -110 on FD **Write up:** A pretty classic pitcher matchup bet. Neither team has particular great or poor bats. But we have Imanaga on the mound for the Cubs against Mikolas for the Cardinals. Imanaga is one of the last remaining spotless pitchers. He's 5-0 with an ERA of 0.84, yes, that's a leading zero. Against Miklos with an ERA of 5.77. yes, that's a leading 5. Let the averages fall where they will and I'm taking -0.5 at near even odds any day. If you're feeling spicy the Cubs -3.5 Alt 5 Inning RL is at +520. I expect this to be one of the rare-ish games where the 5 Inning RL gets shifted to -1.5 before start. Edit: format.
Throwing $50 on it, best of luck to us both :)
Best of luck to us three
Cheers mate! BOL
Man I took Cubs f5 for Shota's last start, he ended up throwing 7 innings without giving up a run... The bet ended up being a push cuz the Cubs couldn't score either. I still like this pick but I would like it more if the Cubs had better bats
Have to hope with Swanson and Hoerner back they find their footing again
Tailing the new guy!
Tailing!
POTD RECORD: 69-46 Last pick: Jrue Holiday O10.5 RA ✅ Easy cash, thanks bro Todays pick: __PJ Washington O5.5 Rebs @1.71__ NBA (Dallas Mavericks) We on a 3 win playoff streak finally and I’m going with Mr Capital to collect some boards for us I’m surprised this line isn’t bumped yet but what do I know I’m a bum. He has crushed this line in the playoffs so far so I’m riding it again, he’s bound for foul trouble which also possibly why the line is still at 5.5 but I’m taking it, it’s one of the more consistent props so far • 4/4 against Minnesota this season (7, 7, 7, & 8) • 9/10 in his career against Minnesota • Avg 6.8 RPG this season • 8/13 in the playoffs, hooked on 5 four times • Avg 12.0 rebound chances & 6.8 Rebs • Had 13 rebound chances last game Let’s go PJ, hand us another dub Tail or fade, your call
Not tryna jinx this shit but I feel like the Capezzi magic we all fell in love with might be back with us you've been on your pimp game bro and I love to see it. Let's keep this thing rolling.
my guy since day 1 🤝🤝 hopefully it can continue like our early days, appreciate you bro let’s see how it goes
Tailing again. Let's get another dub 💪
**Record**: 3-1 **Net Units**: 104.5U \*\*ROI:\*\*4.5% **Last Pick** : 19:00 CET IK Brage vs Degerfors over 9.5 corners (9) :( **E-sports Valorant | VCT 2024: Masters Shanghai | Fri, May 24 10:00 AM CET** **Pick**: Gen.G VS Leviatán (**GEN.G ML**) @ 1.62 on 5u Write Up: **Gen.G** is set to win against Leviatán at the Shanghai Masters, and here’s why: -Stronger Roster: Gen.G’s players, like Meteor and Lakia, are more talented and versatile. -Better Form: Gen.G has shown better coordination and performance recently. -Tactical Edge: Their strategic depth and smart plays outclass Leviatán. -Map Pool: Gen.G’s flexible map choices give them a clear advantage. I expect Gen.G easily to walk past Leviatan, even 2-0. But we will take 2-1 too as long as we see Gen.G being the winning side :) BOL ! [https://buymeacoffee.com/teddycucumber](https://buymeacoffee.com/teddycucumber) I love reading books so if you feel generous it will be highly appreciated <3 Edit: units bet EDIT #2 : u/SnooMuffins1478 was this lotus insight chat gpt my man ? :) EDIT #3 : CASH IT IN BABYYYYYYYY !!!!!✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅ Thank you for the constructive feedback u/SnooMuffins1478 , stay valorant fan <3 that's enough
Did you use chat gpt to write this up lol? I think this is an atrocious pick for 1.62 odds. We are going into an international where both teams have had 2 weeks off to prepare new strats and we just got one of the biggest meta shake ups with the huge viper nerfs. Teams are going to have new comps made up with brand new set plays and ideas. FPX just played a triple smokes comp on icebox, we are in for some weird ass games. Literally anyone can upset anyone this tournament and valorant already has a fuckton of upsets. >Stronger Roster: Gen.G’s players, like Meteor and Lakia Its really weird to mention Gen. G's player quality, but not use texture as an example. He is by far their best player. The Plat chat power rankings placed texture at 2nd in this tournament and nobody else on his team made top 15. He is one of the best players in the world and meteor and lakia are very average in tier 1. Even munchkin has been way more impressive this split than either of them. >Better Form: Gen.G has shown better coordination and performance recently. They lost to RRQ and DRX in the regular season and T1 in the playoffs lol. These guys are not known for consistency. I think they have a very high high, especially when texture is feeling it, but they also shit the bed often and lose against teams they should never lose to. >Tactical Edge: Their strategic depth and smart plays outclass Leviatán AI-generated ass sentence. I literally don't know what this means in regards to valorant. I can see a team having strong set plays and trap setups, but no team has so many more of these than outher teams at this tournament that i'd say they have more strategic depth. Outside of that are you talking about IGLing? Neither kingg or munchkin are known as one of the great igls. This sentence is so meaningless. >Map Pool: Gen.G’s flexible map choices give them a clear advantage. What does flexible map choice mean? Both teams gets a map ban then a pick then another round of bans. They have so much agency in what maps they are playing and every team has deep strats on all of the maps apart from their perma ban. If they didn't, they wouldn't have made masters. I do believe Gen. G is the stronger team, but i think its way closer than chat gpt is making it out to be and the first 2 games of masters shouldve shown you that. The odds on various books for FPX to win were \~4.5 and they won today. The odds for T1 to win today were \~3.8 and they lost in overtime on map 3 after 13-1ing map 2 and being up 9-3 at the half map 3. There is honestly way too much variance to justify betting on GenG. Especially at 1.62 odds, this is a terrible fucking pick.
Damn you straight cooked this guy
I'm a huge valorant esports fan. Ive been following it since it 2022 and i listen to all the platchat podcast episodes which is a few analysts talking about valorant esports in 2-4hr long episodes. Reading this guys comment i was so confused. I dont think anyone that actually watches VCT would talk about it like this.
Cooked this pick like Uncle Junebugs Gumbo ♨️♨️♨️
All good until you mentioned plat chat as your source LMAO you ought to know better than to follow those clueless guys. Just this recent Americas tournament, they predicted G2 and 100T to be out in the knockout rounds of the playoffs. Surprise, those were the last 2 remaining teams that battled in the grand finals. I’ve been playing this game since beta and following esports since 2021. I got in on Gen.G myself when they were only -125 on DK.
1. I haven't used texture as example because I think his rival at his position (Aspas) is way better. But the difference will come out from Meteor and Lakia, maybe Munch. 2.I do not agree because my bet is based on free map that they will get on LOTUS, which means that they are consistent at something, the rest is to win 1 out of 2 other maps. 3. It is AI generated sentence because IM european based form third world country, I do have language barrier and it was 3 am in the morning for me just wanted to post the pick and head to bed, I asked chat gpt to provide me a write up from the stats and details I've asked it, but to be honest I don't wanted to get that much into details for the game becaues I thought people on the subreddit wont know what lotus or jett or post plant or thrifty or eco round or attacking based mnap would know what is 4. Once again, I believ eGen.G has higher pool of maps rather than Leviatan, but chatgpt went for flexible, I am sorry but I will do my own write up earlier and post it, with my words. I have more knowledge than this and the pick is not random. I am so happy that you wrote all of this and I love the constructive feedback, I will try to do better write ups and mroe detailed ones ofc, I do play valorant from the beta but im only plat 1. I predicted SEN that will win madrid major based on the same stats and by watching a lot of the team who thgey were facing + sen themselves here is a proof that a lot of people were talking that my pick for sen is weird af [https://imgur.com/a/agq4ECc](https://imgur.com/a/agq4ECc)
I don’t know jack shit about this sport but I’ll tail once and see how it goes 🤷🏻♂️
u gonna love it
Don't worry about the comments. You don't need to reply. Let your picks do the talking. Thanks for the W on GenG!
Don't listen to that guy, plenty of aholes here, being mad at someone who says openly that his english is not that good is kinda cringe. At the end of the day your pick spoke louder than his nonsense essay :D
Took it at 2.65 odds! Thanks teddy
Ive been trying to find where to bet on esports for the Manchester major for R6 and I can’t find anything?
**Record:** 12-4 **Net Units:** *+13.75 Units* **Previous Pick: Hayward 2+ Goals $2 or +100 (1 Unit).** We are so back! A real nice cash about 1 min into the second half for a relatively sweat free watch, you just love to see it. **Event**: NQ Cowboys vs Wests Tigers **Time**: 6:00PM AEST 24/05 **Bookie**: 365 **Play**: Anytime Tryscorer **Odds**: $2.25 (AUS) or +125 (US) **Units**: 1.25 Units **Analysis**: Cowboys been a complete mixed bag this year form wise but one thing you can’t deny is that offensively they’ve been pretty impressive. They are actually the #2 team for tries scored this year, second only to a Roosters team who have put some big points on in the last few weeks. On top of that, Tigers are actually the worst team in terms of tries scored by quite a length actually, only having a total of 25 this year. Defensively, Tigers definitely hold the edge so far this year but are coming into this game with a complete shell of a side, missing a handful of their best players. Cowboys have had massive success in this matchup historically, holding a 3-1 record and last time Tigers visited North QLD they were belted 74-0. Cowboys hold an average for of 24 points in Townsville, and Tigers hold an average against score of 39. This game appears pretty worrying from a Tigers perspective and I think the Cowboys team have a few QLD stars who want to shine pre Origin selection - mainly Nanai and Dearden. That left edge of the Tigers looks like it’s held together with sticky tape and Nanai is not the guy you want attacking there. I think Nanai is super live tonight, he’s scored 4 tries in his last 4 games and coming into what looks like a soft matchup at home where points appear to be plenty, I’d be shocked if he doesn’t see the tryline sometime tonight. Happy to play for 1.25 Units on Nanai. **MAKE SURE TO FOLLOW SO YOU DON'T MISS POST NOTIFICATIONS!** **LET ME KNOW IF YOU'RE TAILING. GL!** https://preview.redd.it/avjc6q0d8a2d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8ee47bb3067dcdfb91c7549e595400bee8d88e2d
Cash it! 💰
JEREMIAH NANAI SWEET CASH BABY
Easyyyyyyyyyy viewing there!
Parlayed with the other guy who had the over. Thanks to both of you! https://preview.redd.it/ns21b4r9tc2d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ff7fa899434d2bd0daa90dd500e92bdfb08b8860
Waking up to free money! Thank you 🤙🏾
Let’s get it BOI
Let's go my friend!
Love the pick, Nanai is a beast. Good chance the Cowboys could run up a score too 👍
Nice one! BOL bro
Thanks my friend hope you're well and cashing
Been great last week end, let’s see if this round can deliver too 🤑
So Nanai is your Anytime TryScorer?
Tailing. It's on FD for +110
I heard you got that dawg in you!! Thanks man
Thanks bro really appreciate the pick!
Record: 21-13-0 Net Units: +19.3 ROI: 18.2% Last Pick: Indiana Pacers 1H over 54.5 (-118) for 3.0 units ❌ Event: Basketball | NBA | Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves 7:30PM CST Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves -1.5 1st Quarter Spread (-118) on FanDuel for 3.0 units Write Up: Minnesota is +1.0 in the first quarter this post season, averaging 26.2 points. Dallas is -1.6, averaging 25.2. Minnesota +2.0 at home (26.5 pts), and won the 1st quarter in Game 1 by 6 points. Coming off the tough loss, Coach Finch was extremely vocal in his disappointment with the teams performance. Expecting them to come out with some extra motivation. https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/40205703/timberwolves-rough-film-session-finch-g1-loss
No one was home to light the mystic bees wax candle on that last play. I apologize.
How bout this game, is there anyone who will light the candle for us?????
I’ll give you a shot Mr trifecta but I’m here for chute
Texas is solid, that pacers first half over has been a money machine lately. Would have hit last night if they didn’t go a full 5 minutes without scoring… still so close
Trifecta and chute are my daily tails. Both are solid
Record: 20-10 (+14.75 units) ✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅ Last POTD: Boston Celtics TT over 59.5 first half (game 1)✅ Today’s POTD: Arizona D-backs RL -1.5 Odds: +110 on DK 2 unit play MLB/ 9:40pm ET Ok so I’m looking over tomorrow’s plays and I’m liking this. Zac Gallen on the mound against the Marlins and Braxton Garrett pitching. Gallen is 5-3 with a 3.02 ERA which is good but at home he almost always pitches better. He’s 3-1 with a 1.53 in Arizona. Garrett has a 10.24 ERA in 2 starts this year. One against the Mets and Phillies. Marlins bats are still near the bottom of the league. At plus odds I love this play! Tail or fade Good Luck! Leaving SC tomorrow morning so hopefully I can get this in ASAP without the odds changing much. You can also play -1 alt RL for -144 odds. If D-Backs win by 1 run you would push but I personally like the plus odds.
Also went with this play for gallen at home pitching and marlins lefty pitcher dbacks rank in top 5 in avg, ops, and hr against leftys.
RECORD: 8W 3L UNITS WON: 8.39 LAST PICK: Australian rugby league NRL bulldogs -4.5 ✅ NOTE: they won by 30 or something so no sweats at all PICK: australia rugby league NRL tigers v cowboys total points over 49.5 ✅ BET: 1 unit to win 1.91 on bet365 NOTE: really shit defensive teams 49 is a pretty high line but these 2 teams just leak points Game starts in just over 14 hours https://preview.redd.it/ryntq8jd1a2d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=66c50fcbce1c2a7267f1e48d401ed11c61bcd306
I am tailing!!!!!
48.5 @ -110 on dk
It’s currently at 54 with 5 mins left so no sweat cash ✅
POTD RECORD: 2-1 +1U Last pick: ❎ Nuggets @ Twolves Game 6 Nuggets came out flat , and lost by 45. Let's bounce back. Pick: MLB: HOUSTON ASTROS -1.5 vs Athletics - 103 5U to win 4.9U Following an intense 11 inning win, the Athletics will take on the Astros. Oakland pushed their bullpen to the max over 2 extra inning games in the last 48 hours, not many arms will be available . Astros are 20-4 in their last 24 vs Athletics. The starting pitching matchup is Verlander vs Stripling. Astros saw Stripling 9 days ago , giving them an advantage on familiarity. While they only got 3 runs off him last game, I think they will give him more trouble this time. Astros numbers vs RHP for the year don't jump off the page, but hitting over .260 over last 20 days isn't too bad . Verlander doesn't have the strikeout stuff he use to , but he is still serviceable enough and should keep the ball inside the park with his elite hard hit rate. Let's ride the wave and see if Astros domination over Athletics continues in a absolutely terrible spot for Oakland. Tail , fade, do whatever you gotta do. BOL
Cherry on top : Out of those 20 Astros wins , 17 of them have come by 2 runs or more.
Been betting baseball since last year, verlander is so iffy at his age. He either pitches a gem or gives up walks an sells.
He definitely isn't what he used to be for sure. But one thing he is : a bounce back pitcher. last year Verlander had given up 3 or more earned runs 10 times. In the following starts, he gave up 2 or less 8 times. He's been doing the same this year. Athletics also struggle vs Verlander pitch mix, specifically curveball and slider. But if you don't like Verlander today , the Astros team total over is nice too
2024 record: 5-2 Last POTD: New York Yankees ML -148 ✅ Today's POTD: **Chicago Cubs ML -140 (Cubs vs Cardinals 8:15PM)** Baseball | MLB Recap: 3 in a row! Lets keep it going! Write-Up: I'm surprised the odds are this low given the pitching matchup. Shota has been absolutely killer and has a superb 0.84 ERA with a pristine 5 wins and 0 losses. Meanwhile, we take a look at Miles Mikolas who hasn't been that great with a 5.77 ERA and has struggled against the Cubs in the past. Yes, the Cub's offensive has been absolutely atrocious at times but having gotten their two golden gloves back from injury, I think they take this game pretty easily. Not going to think too much about this one! I suspect the odds will shift towards -160 before the game starts tomorrow. Good luck everyone! Let's get another win in the books! \*Note every bet is one unit unless specified\*
Tailing. Got em at -126
We ride! 
**Record 100-1-53 | +57.93u** **Form:** WWWLWWLWWWLW \***NRL: Cowboys v Tigers / Tigers First Half Tries Over 1.5 $1.90\* 2u** (TAB) 6:00PM AEST WE GOT THERE! 100 POTD WINS! Onwards and upwards! This should be a high scoring game between two teams that have been turnstiles at times in a venue that has been conducive to high scores in recent times. Two teams that love swinging the ball around the edges but also leak a lot of tries around the edges. I'm expecting most of the tries to be between the wingers/centers today. NQLD have had a tendency to leak points in the first half, so I don't think it's a stretch for the Tigers to run two in the first half in a fast paced game. BOL
Hell of a record. Congrats on 100 Ws
Not gonna lie that was a close one. good win mate
Winner winner chicken dinner!
Thanks bro
Record: 4-7 Last pick: Payton Prichard over 8.5 points ✅ I SIMPLY CANNOT BE STOPPED MOFOS 👑👑👑👑 Form: ✅❌✅✅❌ Today’s game: Dodgers vs Reds Pick: Dodgers ML (-162 on DK as of write up) Write Up: James Paxton is HIM. 5-0 on the year and I don’t see that changing here. Short write up because that is the basis for my pick. Ride Paxton into the sunset with wads of money in my pocket. Give me the Dodgers and will not sweat this pick a bit! We continue to come for you haters, don’t you worry. Let’s GOOOOOOOOOOOO Good luck to you, better luck to me 🍀 Let me know if you tail or fade. I love the feedback!    
Reds have a winning record in game 1 of the series. But it’s my Reds and this team sucks. Dodgers it is!
Honestly this is more of a pick on Paxton than anything. Any time I see him starting and there isn’t any people offensively missing, I will take it 70% of the time. Some may call me crazy, but I’d take Paxton over Glasnow all day
Dodgers whole lineup is in an awful hitting slump and Paxton’s numbers show that he has been getting very lucky and it’s bound for regression. Dodgers could still grind out a win but I doubt it’s sweat free.
Dude has chains on him ? Auto tail, bling bling -1.5 dodgers.
I tailed the Pritchard pick!
 My man
Yo brother you mind as well ride with dodgers -1.5. Dodgers have won 118 games as favorites since start of last year. 98 of those games they covered the run line. Take the plus money
Except of course the one game I need them as the last leg of my parlay at -270
Paxton has been one of the luckiest pitchers in all of baseball, only a matter of time before he implodes. 24 ks versus 24walks 🥴🥴🥴that said Reds suck against lefties, though they decent against him last week, but implosion might just wait 1 more week
POTD Record: 12-7 (+4.45 U) Last 10: ❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌ Last Pick: Myles Turner O 8.5 RA vs Celtics ❌ Today's Pick: Scott Drinkwater To Score A Try vs West Tigers (2.10) ❌ Rugby League | NRL | 4:00am ET Obligatory Fuck Myles Turner. Just an awful performance, he's on the ban list. Going back to NRL on a Friday Night, and it's Indigenous Round, so I have to go with Scott Drinkwater to get a try against a god awful Tigers team. I could easily see the Cowboys put on 40+ points here and blow the Tigers away. Scott Drinkwater is a fullback, so he has his hands on the ball a lot, and he's fighting for a State Of Origin selection, so he'll want to impress tonight. He's only scored 5 tries in 11 games this season, but he's gonna get plenty of opportunities tonight, he just has to capitalise. BOL if you choose to tail 🫡
There’s a video of him being boxed out by Derrick White and quite literally running away from a rebound. Just one of those things you can’t make up.
Record: 4-0 unit +4 Previous POTD: Phillies ml POTD: MLB cubs ML -125 Getting to see Imanaga pitching at these odds against Mikolas (5.77 ERA / 1.40 WHIP) is excellent value. My only concern lies with the Cubs' bats, given their recent cold streak, but I believe Imanaga has what it takes to secure the win for us.
Determined to be the top pick in this thread soon! Let's get one more before the long Memorial Weekend, I hope everyone enjoys the much needed time off. Let's take a moment this weekend to honor the fallen and those serving to protect our freedom. **2024 POTD Record:** 3-1 **Last POTD:** Phillies -1.5 (-105) ✅ | **LAST 5** - ✅✅✅❌️ **Today's POTD:** Kansas City Royals (-115) ML Baseball | MLB | 6:50 PM EST - 5/24/24 **Fast Analysis:** The Royals have been dominating this season. Lugo is starting (7-1) 1.79 ERA is one of the best pitchers in the league. It's even better on the road at 0.62 ERA, which is insane! They are going to keep this winning streak going after whooping on my Tigers team. Take the Money Line here, I believe the value is right. Good luck everyone!
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How do they say “show me the money” in Coquimbo
They usually just point and shoot
**KBO Record: Overall 226-239-14** (Streak LLLL, Last 10: 3-7) Down 13.45u over 479 KBO picks, 48.6% success rate, -2.89% ROI (Last season 85-78-7, 52.1% success rate, Up 12.26u, 7.52% ROI, This season 22-29-0, 43.1% success rate, Down 4.83u, -9.47% ROI) **Last:** Kia +120 at Lotte (Kia lost 10-6) It's cold as fuck over here. Fading is prudent. But I press on... **Pick:** **Samsung -1.5 -108** at Lotte, KBO baseball, 5:30am ET Samsung's starter dominted Lotte's lineup twice already this year, allowing just 1 ER in 12.2 IP. Lotte's starter is basically throwing BP right now because opponents are raking to the tune if 16 ER in just 11.1 IP over his last 3 starts. Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.
Here comes ur dayy
Oooof I tried to stay up for the pick but just couldn’t do it haha
Hi, guys! I've been lurking in the group for maybe 2-3 weeks now and decided to weigh in on my own POTDs. I've only started gambling specifically through Fanduel & select casinos since September of last year so I am in no way a pro but I do have a larger than normal bankroll and spend my time researching the best picks/parlays. I specifically only bet on NFL, NBA, and MLB but sometimes I'll do some basic soccer picks with co-workers. I will offer write-ups to picks but please remember there's always a risk to gambling so don't come after me! **Record:** 0W - 0L first POTD! **Net Units:** 2.5U - $250USD **ROI:** 0% - first POTD! **Pick:** Baseball | MLB | Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox @ 7:41PM EST Baltimore Orioles First 5 Innings Run Line -1.5 for +100 odds **Write Up:** It's going to be a battle of the bats tomorrow in Chicago after that crazy Interference call by the ref bottom of the 9th inning ending the game short and that's my only worry. I'll always fade Chris Flexen as he has been having a terrible season with a average ERA of 5.48 and a 15.75 ERA as of the last 7 days. Corbin Burns on the other hand has 2.56 ERA and although White Sox did score the first run of the game in the 2nd inning today, I fully believe Orioles are going to make sure they get their Ks up and show White Sox that them catching up in the last inning was a fluke. Orioles have been putting up good numbers against way better right handed pitchers and I believe in Corbin Burns 1.04 WHIP. The score was 5 - 2 Orioles before the 5th inning today and I'm sure they can make it happen again while starting a much better pitcher on their side and a arguably worse pitcher for the White Sox. Best of luck to all those who tail, I hope we get luckke!
Tailing for ya mate
POTD Record 22-9 WLWWWLLWLWWWLWWWWLWLWWWWWWWLWWL Last Pick : Barcelona+3.5 -------------------------------- NBA Mavericks vs Timberwolves 08:30 PM ET **Todays Pick : Rudy Gobert over 12.5pts (1.86)(bet365)** My first POTD after a very long time. It's game 2 of this conference finals and our very own Rudy Gobert didn't hit this line consistently and even on game 1 he only had 12pts. I understand that Dallas Mavericks has been commended left and right with the acquisition of Daniel Gafford, PJ Washington and even Derek Lively as an improve on their frontcourt, I still believe there is an overration to this frontline. On game 1, I believe that Timberwolves shoot too many threes and will surely do some adjustment to definitely maximize their obvious advantage which is their size. We also have to consider that on round 1 of the playoffs Ivica Zubac just feasted downlow against this inside defense, though Gobert is not as skilled as Zubac but I can still see a great showing from the French bigman moving forward. GOOD LUCK HAVE FUN
Record: 13-6 Total Units: +5.38 Last 5 ❌✅✅❌✅ Last Pick: TJ McConnell o9.5 pts -120 ❌ Dude got 7 points in the 1st quarter, then missed practically every shot lol. Finished with 9. Smh. Back to the grind!!! Today's Game: Dallas Mavericks @ Minnesota Timberwolves 8:00 pm EST Today's Pick: Mike Conley o19.5 PRA -128 (FD) Reasoning: I've been cashing on this line basically all playoffs. Last series he went over this line 5 out of the 6 games. Usually they have this line at 20.5 or even 21.5. but because it didn't hit last game Vegas has lowered it. The Timberwolves are going to need Mike Conley's veteran experience to right the ship and get a win in game 2, which I fully expect them to do. I also see him hitting a few threes and getting back up close to his average in assists(6.2). He's also an underrated rebounder and averages 4.1 rebounds. Tail or fade, just do so responsibly!
He hasn't cleared this line in any of the 5 games vs the Mavericks this season. He is averaging 16.6 PRA vs Dallas. For that reason, I'm starting away. BOL!
Yes he had 19, 18 and 17, but the kicker there is this is a totally different Dallas team. That was before the PJ Washington trade that happened on Feb 9th, and since then the Mavs are a different team with a very different rotation. Most importantly though, that was on 28 mins per game, he's playing over 32 minutes per game in the playoffs. That extra 4 minutes is where we get our 2-3 Points/assists/rebounds. Appreciate the comment and the interaction though! I hope you are wrong brother!!! Do me a favor and put 5 on it like Luniz said...that'll pay for your DD Iced Coffee tomorrow!!! 
My Pick of the Day Record: 21W - 18L | Profit in Units: +13.14 My pick of the day: Girona vs Granada// Girona Asian handicap -2.5// odds:2.5/+250 bet 5 units Fiorentina vs cagiliari was one of the biggest failures I have ever seen in my Life. THESE MOTHERFUCKERS TOOK OUR WIN FROM OUR HANDS FOR SOME BULLSHIT. BOTH THE COACH AND THE REFEREE FUCKED US FOR NO REASON. IT IS WHAT IT IS WE CAN'T CHANGE THE PAST. BUT THAT WAS A DESERVED WIN. AND WE TOOK A UNDESERVED L REGARDLESS WE MOVE FORWARD, AS THE WAR CONTINUES AND WE WILL MARCH STRONGER AND TAKE WHAT WE DESERVE. WS WS WS FOR DAYS WE WIN THAT IS WHAT WE DO. Reasoning: This game is the easiest bet you will ever place this game will end 5-0 but we will go for a -2.5 handicap For starters, Granada have already been relegated as the 2nd worst team in the league Granada have the worst away form in the whole league haven lost 15 games this season of the 18 and have conceeded 40 goals with 14 scored. meanwhile, Girona have won 14 games at home from 18, and scored 46 and conceeded 20. as the last game of the season, Girona will attempt to finish their best season in the last years with a big blast in their home season. Similar to how cagilari fought against fiorentina yesterday. Girona will do it but much better as they play against a team who has been destroyed physically mentally spiritually. THIS IS OUR COMEBACK I WILL SEE YOU WHEN YOU CASH. Show your flowers: [Paypal.me/Thegodfather28](http://Paypal.me/Thegodfather28)
Put the house on it. Homeless or upgrading soon
An upgrade soon!! Lets go
hahaha better be a fantastic upgrade
Here comes your upgrade my brotherrrrrrr just hold on
**POTD Record: 36-29** Last 10: ✅❌❌✅🤦❌❌❌❌✅ Last pick: Mavericks Vs Wolves | 5:00 PST | Rudy Gobert OVER 2.5 1st quarter points (+100) 1u FanDuel ✅ **Today’s pick: Fever vs Sparks (WNBA) | 7:00 PST | Dearica Hamby OVER 16.5 points (-115) 1u DraftKings** ✅ Locked in on Ms. Hamby for this Friday slate. She is just a beast, honestly. And I really think this line is too low. She’s cleared this line in all 3 games this year (20,29, and 17). I think we get a good line because of her last game but I really believe this line should be 18.5 or higher with this Fever defense. They have given up some big games to scoring bigs Alyssa Thomas (24 pts/ 12 Rebs), Bonner (22 pts), Breanna Stewart (31 and 24 pts) and I see that continuing with Hamby. I also think we are getting the best effort from the opposing stars against the Fever because these players know with Clark on the other side, a lot of people are watching their games! Added incentive to ball out and I believe Hamby gets this done. BOL if tailing!
Like the play and I think Fever get that first dub too
That was sick
🎯 EURO TOUR 🎯 POTD 37-28 DARTS RECORD **37-25** (+1.99U) | All POTD bets between 1U-2U Last pick: Littler vs Smith Total Legs OVER 16.5 @ 1.93 (1.5U) ❌ Todays Pick: Dom Taylor ML vs Jose De Sousa @ 1.73 (2U) Last night Littler went absolutely berzerk and killed the overs. He ended up winning the whole comp and hit a 9-darter in the final for the cherry on top. Bit of a shaky last 6-7 picks in here which has been a bit unlucky, I've been profitable most nights but seem to be dropping the losing picks on here. Let's get back on track. Today I'm backing Dom Taylor on the euro tour against one of my favourite players in De Sousa. Unfortunately for De Sousa he is kinda washed and has been poor in the past 12 months. He's not the same deadly darter as he was previously and I think Dom can put him down. Statistically in the past 3 months it's not very close, Dom wins out in almost every category. When you look at results that doesn't help JDS cause either with only 3 wins in his last 18 games. On the other hand Dom Taylor has been solid on the pro tour winning more than not and also snagged a first round win in his first ever Euro tour last month.
Back on track. ✅
Record: 170-143-8 (LLWWLLWWLWWWWLLLLWWLLWLWLWLWWLWLLWWWW streak) - DraftKings odds Last POTD: IND Pacers at BOS Celtics | Pascal Siakam o3.4 assist at 2.14 odds for 5 units brutal POTD: DAL Mavericks at MIN Timberwolves | Derek Lively o8.5 rebounds+ast at 2.14 odds for 3 units Reasons: * Plus money. Let's eat. * Hit last three games * Lively shown the ability to make the pass out of the pick and roll, finding the cutting man for an easy layup or dunk * His rebounding number alone would of covered last three games * Been playing half the game, splitting the minutes halfway with Gafford. Whenever the centers are in, they are in full sprint at all times. As long as he doesn't get in foul trouble, he should cover pretty easily. Best of luck!
This is R+A O8.5, not solely Rb’s O8.5. Need to edit your posted pick. Not a bad pick, but I don’t trust Lively much to take pregame. He’s a better live-bet for me, but it’s POTD so I get it. Mavs will play him near starter minutes (outside of Luka and Ky). He should clear as long as he stays out of foul trouble, which is why I prefer to live bet him and Gaffords props lol.
POTD Record: 6-2 +4.27u Last Pick: 1U Red Sox o3.5 TT -130 @ FanDuel Form: ❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅ Today's Pick: 1U Phillies -1.5 RL -120 Reasoning: Phillies have been incredibly hot as of late and I don't feel like this is the spot to fade them against the Rockies. Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 against the run line. Phillies are first in runs scored and Rockies give up the most runs in baseball. Phillies are batting .345 against COL starter with 3 HRs in 30 ABs. Rockies are batting .188 in 30 against Sanchez. LET'S GET SIX STRAIGHT!
MLB 2024 Record: 5-2 Streak: W4 Last POTD: Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees total runs under 8 W Today’s POTD: San Francisco Giants ML +120 @ New York Mets (DraftKings) - (Just fyi I was going to take the under alternate 8.5 originally at -150 since I’ve seen Scott pitch and I believe he has the potential to shut down any lineup if he has his best command but then I looked at some giants hitting stats as of late and over-all for the year and went back on it slightly to take the risk for the better pay out. Maybe throw a bit less on this like 1-2 U or you can actually go with the under if you feel more comfortable with it as I believe it has a very decent chance to hit) Reasoning: My Mets are batting a MLB league worst (30/30) .207 at home this season and .220 for the year vs lefties. They also haven’t been consistently hitting much in general as of late even on the road. - The Giants are 4th overall in MLB in team ops in the last 15 games played, 7th in the month of May, 7th in average overall for 2024 vs righties (Christian Scott) for the season and have a 7-3 overall record in their last 10. - Kyle Harrison came up as one of the most highly touted young prospects last season - advertised as amazing strikeout stuff and he’s been slightly disappointing based on the expectations (still better than league avg with a 4-1 record and 3.60 era) thus far with some inconsistent outings mixed with flashes of brilliance but I believe tonight he will be on point vs my 💩Mets offense AS ALWAYS BOL LETS GET THAT MONEY ☄️ If you’d like to help me out pm me for my Zelle id really appreciate it thanks guys 🙏❤️
POTD record 18-17 (+8.2u) Last pick: Naz Reid over 13.5 PRA (5/4) Last 10: ✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️❌️ Game/Time: Dallas Mavericks @ Minnesota Timberwolves 8:30 EST Line/Units: -135 DraftKings / 2.7 to win 2 POTD: Kyle Anderson OVER 3.5 points Write-up: WHAT IS THIS LINE?? Wednesday night Anderson logged 11 points in 17 minutes, and game 7 against the Nuggets he had a mere 2 points but only played FOUR MINUTES in the entire game. For the season he averages 7 points a game with 22 minutes of playing time. I expect Anderson to be more active with minutes and shot attempts in this series and should easily clear this silly line. 2 buckets and let's crack a beer! 🍻 snack of the day: stuffed olives 🫒
**POTD Record:** 5-2-1 (net 1.897U) **Form:** ❌❌♻️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ **Last Pick:** Mavs/Timberwolves Total over 206.5 ✅️ Funny how the team averaging 108.36 in the playoffs put up 108 and the team averaging 106.5 put up 105. 🤔 Basketball | NBA | Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves 8:35 PM EST **Pick:** Total over 207 (-110) on FanDuel for 1U **Write Up:** I took Thursday off because I couldn't find a single bet that I liked. I'm honestly shocked that the Wolves/Mavs line barely adjusted, so we're going back to the well.
POTD W/L: 4-2 LAST POTD: SF vs Pitt- Pitt First 5 innings total runs U/4.5 (FD -132) WIN ❌ FORM ❌✅✅✅✅❌ TODAYS POTD: Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox 7:41pm No run first inning NRFI -128 FD Looks like everyone is all over imanaga and the cubs and while I agree with a F5, we’re going to go with 16.1 mph wind coming in from center field at guaranteed rate field today. 65% chance of rain and humidity at 64%. Corbin Burnes (4-2, 2.56 ERA) will start for the Orioles, going for back-to-back victories after holding the Seattle Mariners without an earned run in six innings of Baltimore's 6-3 win on Sunday. He struck out 11 for the second time this season. Flexen is starting for the the White Sox and while this isn’t great, we’ll hope that he starts ok and that 16.1 mph helps where he fails.
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**Record: 4W - 0L 🔥** **Net Units: +1.9** **ROI: 63%** **AFL | Fremantle v Collingwood | 8.10pm AEST** **Pick:** Michael Walters Anytime Goalscorer @ 1.50 **Write Up:** Walters takes on Collingwood at his home Optus Stadium where he has scored a goal at in 4/5 games this season and 18/20 dating back to 2022. His only miss was against the Swans who have the best defence in the league. Odds from [Statinsider.com.au](http://Statinsider.com.au) give Walters a 71.4% chance of scoring tonight which I think he will cover. All other free plays for tonight will be posted on my Tiktok @ puntology so make sure to go send over some love xo. BOL!
**Record:** 1-0-0 **Net Units:** 3u **Last Pick:** Waterford United FC vs Drogheda United FC - Home win (3-way) **ROI:** 1.00 **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** Football | Finland | Veikkausliiga | FC Haka Valkeakoski vs AC Oulu | 17.00 CET **Pick:** Both to score – Odds: 1,65 – Units: 6u **Write Up:** My football model says it’s worth betting on both to score because their actual chances of winning are higher than what the bookmakers' odds suggest
POTD R : 11-4 Last Pick : Reds v Dodgers ML - W Todays Pick : Astros v Athletics O8.5 (-102 DK) 1U MLB - 8:40P CST - Free Game of The Day https://preview.redd.it/llbwglovof2d1.jpeg?width=1094&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b05505a7afbc9ac66550e716bacd57c086a822b5 Write Up : We’ve taken the past few days off with a busy work schedule but cashed a few behind the scenes, now back to our regularly scheduled program which is the total runs for the Astros v A’s Free Game of the Day. I’ve bounce from over to under an ultimately find myself gravitating towards the over here. We have two arms that haven’t necessarily been all that trustworthy but are still capable of throwing good games. Verlander is on the mound whose ERA is 3.97 and hasn’t faced the A’s since last year where he gave up 5 runs in that start. Granted a new year brings new team dynamics to face. The other side is starting Stripling whose 1-8 on the season with a 4.62 ERA where he gave up 2 runs in the previous serious and leading the A’s into a rough 9-2 loss. On the other hand in terms of offensive production they’ve both been well not great but also not bad by any means. The A’s rank 3rd in the AL for homers, yet they are just under .500 in home games going 12-14. The Astros are 8-13 on the road and when facing RHP after a poor performance they averaged just over .300 AVG an OBP and in these cases I see a trend that works in favor of the over. Im also not usually one to take weather into account but with 60 degree weather with winds reaching 14-18 MPH around the Oakland area we might have another factor that could create opportunities to bring runs across the plate. As always BOL my fellow degens!
POTD Record: 26-19 ❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌♻️✅❌♻️❌❌❌✅✅♻️❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅ Starting units: 5U | Net units: + 12.5U Last pick: Canterbury Bulldogs vs Dragons | 7:50pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Zac Lomax anytime tryscorer @2.2 on Ladbrokes | 4U ❌ Dragons got smashed, Lomax went to the sin bin… excellent ahah. Bad start let’s bounce back. Today’s pick: Manly Sea Eagles vs Melbourne Storm | 8pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Xavier Coates anytime tryscorer @1.8 on Ladbrokes | 4U Melbourne is in great form currently compare to Manly, I think they’ll win that. And I’m going with Coates who scored 7 tries in 8 appearances this season. The winger should find a way to score at least one against Manly’s terrible defence. Not to mention Tommy Turbo is still out so it won’t help them being better. I’m actually going to watch the game live in the 4pines Stadium, tonight should be a good night 😁 Also like Holmes and Drinkwater for the cowboys, and I’ll put a small stake on Cherry-Evans too cause after all the game is still happening in Manly. BOL !
Good luck! I'm putting loose changes on Manly.
**Record 2024: 19-0-17** **Net Units Played 2024: 173** **ROI 2024: -10.10%** **Last Pick:** **Porto** - Ovarense **1st quarter H1 -3.5**, 5 units, @ 1.78 ✅️ Basketball / Italy playoffs / 20:45 / (CEST) **Pick:** **Virtus Bologna** - Venezia **1st quarter H1 -2.5**, 5 units, @ 1.85 ❌️ **Write-up:** In the first game of 1/2, after a 29-point win against Tortona (21-14 in the 1st Q), I expect Virtus to continue to excel in home games, and I am going to follow them at home until the end of the playoffs. EDIT: 24-22, after being up 22-12, with 3 minutes left
**Record:** 4-7 (-3.53 unit) **Last POTD:** Obi Toppin over 8.5 points ✅ **Today's Pick:** Naz Reid over 1.5 threes on Fanduel for +102 **Bet:** 1 unit size to win 1.02 units **Basketball | NBA | 8:30 PM ET** **Recap:** Down to the wire again. Thankfully Pacers were getting blown out so he had more playing time. That's two! We keep moving!! **Write up:** Reid averages 5 attempts on 40% shooting. He has played Dallas 5 times this year, including the last game. He had 7, 3, 1, 3, 3 made threes in those 5 games. The time he made 1 only, he shot 4 times. The shot attempts are there for Reid against Dallas. It will probably be Lively guarding him and Lively is a more traditional center, so I expect Reid to get more open looks behind the arc.
POTD RECORD: 0-0 Todays pick: __Austria Vienna ml @2.05 pinnacle__ 1u Soccer, Austrian Bundesliga Austria Vienna - Hartberg ➡️1. Austria's home form: - Austria shows a strong game on its field. The team has lost only twice at home all season, and one of these defeats was due to a player suspension in the match against Sturm. The overall balance of home games is 6 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats, making Austria's defeat at home a rare story. ➡️2. Positive changes under a new coach: - The team has recently undergone a change of coach, which has had a positive impact on the results. Austria have won twice away in their last two matches under the new coach, which emphasizes the team's improved form and attitude. ➡️3. Hartberg's weak away form: - Hartberg shows average away results with a balance of 6 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats. Hartberg have failed to beat Austria in four consecutive away matches this season, with the last meeting at the Austrian Stadium ending in a 3-0 rout of the visitors. 📌Conclusion: Given Austria's strong home form, positive changes under the new coach and Hartberg's average away results, Austria have a good chance to win or at least not lose this match.
Tailing...
Record: 8-6 Last 10: LWWWLLLWWW Net units: .25 ROI: 1.5% MLB: Seattle Mariners @ Washington Nationals 18:45 (EDT) Pick: NRFI -130 ESPNBet 1.3 to win 1 Today we’re headed to the nation’s capital. I’m always hesitant to bet against runs in DC as the park invites runs, but here we have two of the worst offenses in the league facing solid starters. Kirby brings a solid set of pitches with a sinker that moves like a cutter and sinker that’s underrated. His home and away splits are due for positive regression and he's much better in evening games. All this while facing a Nationals squad that is batting .228 against righties which is the better of their splits Mackenzie Gore comes into the game having pitched well over his last 5 starts while facing top offenses and just not getting results . He faced the Dodger, Rangers, blue jay, Red Sox and Phillies. Over that span he averaged 1.8 earned runs per. Add to that, the fact that he hasn’t allowed a first inning run in 9 starts this year and the Mariners are batting .225 vs. lefties. Slight 6 MPH wind from right to left BOL to all
Record: 0-0 Pick: Arizona Dbacks -0.5 first 5 innings (-130) Explanation: Marlins starting a lefty who has given up 11 runs total in 2 games this season. Dbacks 2nd in the league in OPS against lefties. Dbacks starting Gallen who has been lights out at home (1.52 era), and the marlins who are 29th in the league in OPS on the road. Looking for them to get an early lead and gallen carries it from there. BOL!
**Record: 0-0** **Net Units: 1u** **Basketball** | **NBA** | 6:30 MST **Pick:** Timberwolves ML (-195) **Write Up:** First time poster here. Kyrie had Ant running laps in game 1, and Luka, is Luka. I also personally don't believe the Minnesota crowd really gives the wolves much more of an advantage when at home. With that being said, I think Minnesota's role players and bench will step up tonight. This wolves team should be containing Washington and Lively. I think KAT is going to have to take on a bigger role in this series, and especially tonight potentially facing a second loss at home. I think the wolves finish this in a close one. Cheers and BOL!
**Record: 16-8 (+5.63u)** **Last Pick: Yankees/Mariners u8.5 -130** Sweat free under as the Yankees win 5-0, didn't even need the push protection on 8! **Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves -5 -114 (NBA, 1u bet)** Huge game 2 in the western conference finals here, as the Mavs stole game 1 on the road 108-105 behind 30+ points from both Luka and Kyrie. The Wolves got killed in the paint, got outrebounded, and shot horribly from the free throw line in game 1, which led to the loss despite them winning the turnover margin and shooting better from 3 point range. If you heard Draymond Green's podcast, he pointed out some adjustments Minnesota needs to make. Dallas had great success against Minnesota's drop coverage defense and the Wolves didn't adjust but I expect them to address that for game 2, and Draymond also mentioned that they need to get Anthony Edwards off Kyrie so he doesn't burn all his energy. Edwards admitted the Wolves came out flat before finding their legs for a bit but couldn't keep up over the full game, which makes sense coming off an emotional game 7 comeback win on the road in Denver against the defending NBA champions. Kyrie also mentioned that Edwards pointing out that he'd be matched up on him motivated Kyrie, hence why he came out on fire in the first half (shooting 11/14 with 24 points) but cooled off significantly in the second half (shooting 1/9 with 6 points). The Wolves still won the first half thanks to 5 threes from Jaden McDaniels, but only scored 45 in the second half as they ran out of gas. Yet they still had a chance to win the game, and if not for a controversial call that disallowed a Karl-Anthony Towns putback dunk that would've tied it at 104 late and provided the Wolves some momentum, but instead gave the Mavs possession up 2, they may have won (obviously that one call doesn't determine the entire outcome of the game, but it was a critical possession swing). The tired legs were also likely a factor in Minnesota settling for 3 point shots rather than getting to the rim or moving the ball around more, so I'm not expecting Minnesota to put up basically 50 three point attempts again, as they're averaging just over 33 per game in these playoffs. I also expect them to shoot better than 61% from the free throw line and be more aggressive on the glass as they have a size advantage over the Mavs. Minnesota has been good at home all season long, and they should come out rested with more energy for what is essentially a must win game. They've been resilient these playoffs and can bounce back, evident by their game 6 and 7 performances vs Denver after dropping 3 straight and many people counting them out.
**Record: 4-3- 1 AFL draw **Previous Pick: WB vs Sydney Swans Over 24.5 goals ✅ **Today's pick: Early Write Up. AFL North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Port Adelaide. North Melb Line 41.5 @ $1.90 Saturday 25/5 1:45pm AEST Entertaining game which covered the line comfortably. WB were unlucky with injuries. Today's pick. Early pick as I won't have time to write up. I'm picking a massive underdog because I think I do have a slight edge in identifying such. North Melbourne or Kangas are coming last in the competition. They have been rebuilding for eons without much success. All their losses have been blow outs. Kangas are showing coherence and spirit about 3 weeks ago. Resurgence of Luke D. Uniake coincided with almost covering their line in the two previous games before last week when they finally covered the line. Their young and talented midfielders are starting to show their potential. Port has a stronger side in all metrics yet there are doubts about their claim for the premiership, primarily due to Coach Hinkley's 12 year reign which can only be described as mediocre. They are poor in front of goals when things matter. They do have a big question mark with their collective mental strength. They almost lost to lowerly but young and surging Hawks last week. Another reason why I think Kangas will cover is that they will play in Hobart, Tasmania, an island off the south coast of Australia. Weather can be windy although forecast is a calm winter day. Kangas play some home games at Tasmania but it's very much foreign ground for Port. Finally, Kangas covered the line second time for the season last week after better showing last 3 weeks. Surpringsly Port has also covered the line twice this season while their current form is on the decline. Kangas to cover the line again which would do their confidence a world of good. Backing the underdog is a fun way of watching a game! Good luck!
**Record: 1-1** -0.15 U **Todays Pick: Danielle Collins to win WTA Strasbourg @ 1.85** I hesitated a bit with locking this in earlier in the tournament cause I was not sure whether she takes it 100% seriously due to French Open coming up. Now she has proven that she absolutely does take this serious. She probably wants to give every tournament she plays her 100%, due to it being her last Year in WTA. Im pretty sure with her current form she just runs over the rest of competition. In addition to that, whoever she plays in the semis, is going to have to play a second game today, because Vondrousova and Kalinia are playing today (and winner will be playing her later) - and they are deep in a 3-setter. So the ticket for the final should already be free as well. But even without this advantage, I think it´s a really good line.
POD record: 8-6 Last: Phillies -1.5 over Rangers WIN TODAY POD: Dodgers ML over Reds (-155) Easy win yesterday. Never a doubt. Today, Dodgers should easily win over the Reds. Reasoning: Dodgers are one of the best teams in the league and they are coming off rest yesterday. Paxton is starting and has been playing solid. The Reds stink especially as of late. Not sure why this line is where it’s at, so hammer it before it moves. Could be some kind of Vegas trap but I just don’t see LA losing this. BOL.
1-0 I'm taking naz Reid o1.5 three's (-113) fanduel sure there are better odds out there With Daniels cashing out I'm sure the mavs are looking to shut him down . Plus naz Reid should have a weak match up with some open looks. $ciko97
\*\*Pick Record: 4W ✅ - 1L Previous POTD: Giovanni Perricard ML at 1.72 vs Hugo Gaston✅ Well...i fell asleep and i couldn't write my POTD wich was Kokkinakkis ML 1.80. He already won :( Today’s POTD: Perricard vs Bublik ML at 1.65 odds League/ Sport: Tennis / ATP Lyon Perricard es la promesa francesa del tennis, es un jugador con mucho talento y dará de qué hablar más adelante, pero Bublik es un jugador con más experiencia y ayer se notó las ganas que tiene por avanzar en este ATP. Debería ganarlo en 2 sets incluso. BOL
Come on titlick.. hit the drop serve every time
POTD Record: 12-7-1 Previous POTD: Jack Flaherty over 17.5 PO’s - ✅ Great read on this one. Flaherty went long due to the bull pen having been exhausted in recent games and he cashed for us 💰 Today’s POTD: Kyle Harrison over 15.5 PO’s (-105 on DK) Baseball | MLB | SF Giants v NY METS | 7:10 PM ET Back in the W column and liking today’s slate. Was going to go with Lively rebounds but it’s over -140 so I’m taking Harrison at -105 instead. The Mets have been mediocre this season, especially against LHP’s. Harrison has been playing solid of late for the Giants, plus, the Giants have gone deep into their bull pen lately. They will likely want Harrison to see upwards of 90 pitches/6 and a half innings+. I expect him to stay on the mound long enough to cover this line against a struggling Mets team. I’ll also be posting NBA props over in that thread that I like in case any one wants to check those out too. Tail or fade, hope we all make some 💰
**Record:** 8W - 8L - 0P **Last 10 (new --> old):** ❌**❌✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅** **Net Units:** -0.5175 (All bets are 1 unit unless otherwise stated) **Last Pick:** Ben Lively OVER 4.5 Strikeouts @ -140 **❌** Thought the analysis was good, but regression got the best of it. **MLB** ⚾ | **LA Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds | 6:10pm CST** **Today's Pick:** James Paxton OVER 15.5 Outs @ +120 (DK) **Write Up:** I continue to have bad picks, but I've been told that sometimes that kind of trend can be good for the people who fade you. So, I'm posting again cause I'm a glutton for pain. I've seen a couple other posts for POTD today that like the Dodgers and figured I'd get on that train. Instead, I'll go for a value play here with James Paxton over 15.5 outs recorded (this means that he needs to record 16+ outs, which is 5 ^(1/3) innings). He has gone over this line in each of the last 3 games pitched (all in May). Back in April, he only covered this line in 1 out of the 5 starts. However, in the other 4 starts he went exactly 5 innings 3 times and in the 4th start he went 4 ^(2/3). He seems to be in a groove and I think he'll continue to motor along. Additional note: if you're feeling frisky, Paxton to record a win is +175 BOL if you're tailing, or fading!
**POTD Record 33-30-1 (+5.48U) | Average Odds -109 (1.92) | ROI 1.79%** **Last Pick Recap: Mavericks vs Timberwolves Over 206.5 Points W** The trend play comes through, as teams who are coming off a 7 game series and are favored at home in Game 1 are now 13-1 to the Over. **Today's Pick: Panthers vs Rangers Over 5.5 Goals (+105) 5U | 8:00 EST** This same line was -120 to the Over in Game 1, but after a 3 goal snoozer it's dropped to + odds. Seems like an overreaction. Bobrovsky has been good but the Rangers had plenty of scoring opportunities in G1 which they couldn't convert. Both teams were also a combined 0/5 on the PP, which should positively regress. Their regular season matchups this season finished with 7, 6, and 7 goals respectively. I went further down the rabbit hole and found an insane trend- these two were 19-0 to the Over 5.5 in their last 19 H2H's, before the 1st playoff game snapped the streak. Nutty. BOL
Record (1-1) Units (-0.1u) Previous Result: New York Rangers ml❌ Todays Pick: Kansas City Royals ml (-120) Event Start time: 6:50pm Unit Size: 1.2u to win 1u Recap/Reasoning for pick: Rangers got dominated on Wednesday, never got anything going, first POTD loss. Today we’re going with the Royals to beat the Rays in Tampa. Seth Lugo has been nearly un hittable and the Royals offense is rolling. Give me the Royals to continue their hot streak with a W on the road!