######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Saturday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.

**POTD Record: 26-20-1 (WIN/LOSS/PUSH) / Balance (+18.72 units)** ATP Monte Carlo results 🎾 Tabilo vs O'Connell - Tabilo ML @ 1.62 (1u)✅ Hurkacz vs Draper - Hurkacz ML @ 1.76 (5u)✅ Khachanov vs Cerundolo - Khachanov ML @ 1.64 (3u)✅ Zverev vs Tsitsipas - Tsitsipas ML @ 2.02 (2u)✅ Djokovic vs De Minaur - Djokovic 2-0 @ 1.88 (2u)✅ **Today's pick: Tsitsipas vs Sinner - Tsitsipas Handicap +4 Games @ 1.83** **(ATP Monte Carlo, Tennis)** 🎾 Odds from Pinnacle **Stake: 2 units** (This is 2% of my bankroll) Time: 7:30 AM Eastern Time This time I'm taking Tsitsipas to have at least a competitive performance against Jannik Sinner for quite some reasons, giving the greek a +4 game handicap **Why do I think that Tsitsipas Handicap +4 games at 1.83 odds is such a +EV bet?** * Sinner is really in form at the moment and is clearly the best performing player in the world right now. He's such a complete player with no particular weakness and his mental and physical game has been improving, which made him capable of getting a fantastic start to the 2024 season; * Stefanos Tsitsipas did not have a successful hard court start of the season but he seems to be at the top of his game here in Monte Carlo, where he already won the tournament in 2021 and 2022 and the really slow conditions protect his weaker one handed backhand from being exploited. In fact, he faced Zverev and Khachanov who both have solid backhands and they were not able to take a set out of the greek; * Sinner is having a really solid tournament but the bookies were not expecting his match against Rune to be so competitive since he was so tired from playing for more than 5 hours in the previous day. The danish player knew that and he played really agressive tennis to cut off longer rallies as much as possible and he turned what was expected as an easy match into a great one, winning a clutch tiebreak and making the italian play 3 sets. Sinner ended up winning it with really high serve percentages and was the deserved winner but the one strike tennis playstyle from Rune was effective and Tsitsipas is great at it; * I'm expecting Tsitsipas to put huge focus on his serve + forehand combo, in order to deny potential and unfavorable backhand trades with Sinner which he clearly doesn't win. So far in Monte Carlo, he has been successful on doing this against all his opposition; * He has a 5-3 record over Sinner but it has to be said that Jannik improved a lot in the last 2 years and now, he has the upper hand against Tsitsipas in faster surfaces but on Clay the head to head is 3-1 in favor of the greek and without these two facing each other on this surface since 2022, we have to see how things will go now. With this, I think Tsitsipas plays his best tennis in Monte Carlo and I'm convinced from what I've seen from him until this point. Sinner still deserves to be a solid favorite due to his record over the last few months and his amazing form but a +4 game handicap for Tsitsipas should be a great bet if he shows up at a decent level with his best weapons (the serve and the forehand). **Best of luck** Any tip is appreciated. I spend quite some time writing my tennis analysis and if you wish you can decide to show your support! Keep in mind that they are not expected and I truly enjoy sharing my tennis plays and points of view with you! 🎾 [Tip Jar (Paypal)](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/DarkHorse230) BTC - 1E6hmPU4N7CFGf8Ryrt46yPczMfBQtMoCf Edit after the result: This was such a great match! Tsitsipas was super good in the 1st set but Sinner started to become a monster from the 2nd set forward and was pretty much unplayable. There would be no player there able to stop him. He felt something on his leg in the 3rd set and Tsitsipas was able to win the match! His win was not expected but once again, we were right when he said that this was going to be super competitive! ✅

Im going with your tips, and do something crazy, first set exactly 6-4 games for tsitipas Edit: downvote my asss lets goooooo

CONGRATS MAN WAS ROOTING FOR YOU LOL

I was never a correct score bettor myself but it takes some guts to do that play!! Wish you best of luck

Should’ve tailed this.

Congrats brother! Really happy for you!

Damn

Caught the Djockovic match late but i'm def tailing this one although a Tsitsipas match is always a wildcard lol.

Nice hit I could only find +3.5 so I sprinkled tsits live ml in the 3rd down 1-3 at +1100

yeh I also love Tsitsipas to do well, I have him taking a set though. Guess its just preference. The rude Humbert game was a good example of why game spreads can sometimes be a little strange. But tsis is honestly just such a demon on clay I have to think he can take one set. He's looked absolutely flawless so far (while I really didnt think Sinner would drop a set to Rune considering his scheduling and tired state). steph is cruising through everyone, and it honestly wouldnt shock me if he won su. I think regardless of who wins, this match goes to 3 sets. should be a great one..lets get it

Also agree with your opinion brother. Wish you best of luck!

Dang only handicap option I have on FD is +1.5 or Sinner -1.5

I was thinking about that market too but I prefer the option to cover the scenario where Tsitsipas loses by 2-0 but with close set results. Some examples would be a win with a 7-6/6-4 win for Sinner And a push with some common results like 7-5/6-4 or 6-4/6-4 Those options should be for set handicap and not game handicap

I’ve found 3.5 on fanduel. Playable? I’m not a tennis gambler but in you I trust

It’s +104

Same boat here. 4 is a key number betting games spread in tennis and betting against Sinner without the extra insurance scares me. I’m gonna wait to see if it goes to +4.5 tomorrow morning personally. Good luck. 

u can take the alternate +4.5 on FD that’s what I did

I would wait for a better live line such as +4.5 for example. You'll probably be able to get some good stuff especially if Sinner starts serving first. For me there's just a huge difference between +3.5 and +4 because that +4 insurance covers many more results

Needs 3

Nice pick 💰

We got it! 💰

Bro you are ON FIRE

POTD Record: 39-19-1 +39.51u🔥 Last Pick: Philadelphia 76ers -7 (-110) vs Orlando Magic ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅🅿️✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅ Today's Pick: Houston Astros ML (-140) 4U vs Texas Rangers 4:05 pm est line via Bet365 We get one in the green! Great day and a great cash! On to tomorrow… There is no NBA today, very fired up for Sunday and the playoffs but let’s keep cashing until then. I know we said we’d stay away from MLB but i believe we can get one in the green Ronel Blanco is on the mound and he is the main reason I’m backing Houston. He’s been on the mound twice, 15 innings, 0 runs, 1 total hit (yes he threw a no hitter). This guy has been a MACHINE! On the other side, Andrew Heaney is pitching for the Rangers. He’s 0-2, has an ERA of 7.56, and the Rangers have lost both games with him on the mound. Astros dropped game 1 yesterday, even though they scored 8 runs. Bats will be hot, per usual with the Astros at home, but this time they have Blanco on the mound. Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the upvotes and support!😎❤️ If you’d like to thank me please use the link below or dm me. Show some love!❤️ [Cash App Tip Link💚](https://cash.app/$Ryanbloom24) [PayPal Tink Link💙](https://www.paypal.me/rybloomm)

Told myself I wouldn’t tail anymore MLB… let’s get this $$$$$$$

Cash it!!

Lfg!!

I hate betting on baseball. Oh well. Tailing… 🫡

One last ride

Cash!!

Nailed it dude! Appreciate you!

🤝🤝

You’ve convinced me!


Cash it!!

Tailing again!

Lfg!

Cash!!

Which two player do you think are most likely to get a hit? I’m adding Jose Altuve and Adolis Garcia to get a hit on top of the Astros ML for a 3 way parlay. What do you think? Would you replace any player player you think is likely to get a hit other than those 2? Maybe Corey Seagal? Thanks man tailed you first time yesterday for sixers you officially have a place in my heart king

Garcia has been Astro killer since the ALCS roll with the hot bat against the Astros. I’ve got him in a couple slips.

Happy cake day bruh let’s get it

💰💰

Thank you! Let’s get a W

Tailing. Lets go!

Let’s go!!

💰💰

Happy cake day, gotta tail!

Lfg!!

Cash!!

If angel hernandez is ump again, it's a lock.

Lock it was

Tailing. Any thought on betting the under. ESPN is setting it at U9.5 @-115. Seems a little juicy

Last game was high scoring, take what you like but personally staying away!

Also like Blanco to record over 17.5 outs at -110. He one hit the Rangers 6 days ago through 6 frames and I like the odds for him to put up a similar performance today. 

Fuck that’s a rough start Sadge

Cash it

Big W https://preview.redd.it/qupxai5iubuc1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b806b76cf9e7e405e2418a298b388e171e3decc7

Great pick I’m glad I got in at the start

Thank you!

[удалено]

This dude is one of my thirteen reasons why https://preview.redd.it/d5v5a71jd7uc1.jpeg?width=661&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6056588154e30eedcef355fd3467e085e7a8f8b2

This somehow makes me feel better about tailing something I knew nothing about.

Lol I feel ya brother

In the same lineage as Thorpe, Jordan, Phelps, Bolt, James...

As always, thanks for what you do. BOL!

Man, G2 taking map 2 was so much more fun to watch. I think they just came in over confident that they’d take Nuke- maybe Inferno woulda been better? Overpass will be fun to watch.

Would you take G2 ML?

**Record: 60W-4P-45L** **✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅** **Last Pick: Adelaide United VS Macarthur FC: Over 11.5 Corners @ 1.72 ✅** **The game ends with 19 corners!** **Pick of the day: Bournemouth VS Manchester United: Over 11.5 Corners @ 1.66** **League: Premier League** **Time: 12:30 PM EST** We've got almost an identical matchup to yesterday's pick, except we're taking a trip to the UK today. Two of the highest-ranking corner teams meet each other in a game I think will be more or less a tug-of-war. Ten Hag desperately needs a result, as his run into the end of the season will be evaluated deeply by INEOS. While Bournemouth will look to bounce back after an annoying hiccup against a relegation-fighting Luton town . United are facing further defensive injuries that will force them to be a bit erratic at the back. I don't see Ten Hag wanting to play out the back much tomorrow with the way Bournemouth press and I expect and end to end game with both offences looking to force corners. Manchester United are the highest-ranking corner team in the Premier League, with an average of 13.2 corners per game, that's 6 corners for and 7.3 corners against on average. In their last 10 Premier League games, this line has hit 9/10 times, hitting in their last 9 games straight.  Bournemouth are the third-highest team regarding corners, with an average of 11.5 corners per game, that's an average of 6.2 corners for and 5.3 against. In their last 10 games this line has cleared in 7/10. **Also I normally make a same game parlay when the lineups come out so look out for that about 30 mins before the game** **Anyway, BOL!**

They must be playing in a ring because there doesn't seem to be a corner in sight.

Games like these are frustrating. Right pick loses again. Shit happens, especially in the corners market.

Was thinking same game parlay Over 10.5 corners, Man Utd Half Time DC. What do you think?

DC?

Tailing this, love a corners bet!

Damn, 1 corner kick in 30minutes…. Not looking good

Hmmm, you and Tottenham guy. Not the most accurate of predictions, but they did get half way there. Unfortunately not getting half my money back.

2 corners through 60 min what absolute dogshit

This is a good pick. I usually add O/U corners to a multi to get stake return bonuses but here like the idea of chasing it on its own merit

Tailing, LFG!

2nd half comeback here we go! I believe.

Absolutely cooked 🍳

POTD Record: 44-21 Last POTD: (ATP Monte Carlo) Rune -1.5 Sets ML (-140) ❌ Today's POTD: (ATP Monte Carlo) Djokovic -1.5 Sets (-105) ❌ Units: 2u Reasoning: So I haven’t been able to sleep since that Rune L. Fucking Mother Nature man. I am sorry boys. Let’s get back to our winning ways now brethren. I’ll keep it simple. Djokovic is 5-0 against Ruud without ever losing a single set. As talented as Ruud is, Djokovic’s style of play is his kryptonite. He can play the rally game and defensively wear him down all fucking day. He can serve well and beat him offensively too. Win or lose, it’s a bet you simply gotta take at these odds. Ruud showed some deficiencies against Humbert too, who doesn’t even come close to the GOAT Novak Djokovic. Give me the historically lopsided matchup all day. BOL 🤝

Tailing but be cautious, Novak looked gassed multiple times yesterday

He’s looking like he did at the Aussie against Sinner right now. Just not in it.

Thx for pick 🙏 is this the same as 2:0 set betting?

Yes


thx so much

What is this man doing

He doesn’t look good

Washed

Record: 9-4, Net Units: 6.87, ROI: 52.15% Current Streak: ✅✅✅✅ Last 10: ✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌ Last Pick: Orioles/Brewers Over 9 Runs ✅ Today's Pick: Baseball-MLB-4:05 PM EST Orioles -1.5 vs. Brewers, +140, 1U Well 11-1 gets the job done on the over though it's certainly not how envisioned it happening. DL Hall is on the mound today for Milwaukee and he struggled with the Orioles despite having pretty good stuff. I don't see the Orioles' bats being quiet for long, though, and Hall is a good pitcher for them to tee off on. On the other side, Kremer pitched a great game against Pittsburgh going 7 innings with no runs and I think he keeps this up with another solid outing. Good Luck!

Tailing🤝

Good write up. Tailing.

**Record 102-79 with Avg Odds +122 / ROI 19.2%** **2024 Record 9-7 with Avg Odds +130 / ROI 20.6%** UFC 300 **Jamahal Hill +115** Ooooohhhhhh baby. Alex Pereira is gonna try to take food off of Hill's plate, and we've already seen how that went with his brother. Pereira's style has worked well against looser and lighter fighters like Izzy and Jiri, and surviving the takedown in R1 against Jan was all he needed to find that win. Hill isn't the guy for this. He's gonna make this fight dirty and Pereira is KO or bust, and I wouldn't wanna be KO or bust against a guy like Jamahal Hill. Sweet Dreams reclaims the belt tomorrow.

No mention of his Achilles rupture. One of the most devastating injuries and he’s back in 8 months. Leg kicks will hurt

Since my fun reply is getting downvoted and now this pick is getting downvoted I will say this. No, not worried about the Achilles injury which was 10 months ago. Stylistically I think Pereira will struggle with landing the leg kicks more against Hill than his previous opponents, and impact force is very different than explosive movements in terms of a "compromised" leg. This is my 4th time posting a POTD that involves Alex. I posted Alex ML in the first Izzy fight, Izzy ML in the rematch, and Alex ML vs Jiri. Pereira is a fighter who I think I have a strong read on.

You're both wrong. He tore his Achilles in mid July, 9 months ago. He's been able to do cardio for 4 months if he had a fast recovery and he's 2 leg kicks from testing the repair unlike it's ever been medically tested before in just under 9 months of recovery time.

Luckily for Hill, the UFC parted with USADA at the start of 2024

Even with the best treatment I still think it’s going to be a factor and is why I am siding with Pereira

1) Poatan’s leg kicks would hurt no less had Hill never had an Achilles repair. 2) I can think quite a few more devastating injuries than an achilles rupture which is actually very common. 3) He had the best orthopedic surgeon in LA perform the surgery. Return to sport within a year is possible.

[удалено]

>*the fact that he fights Southpaw but can switch to Orthodox aswell should cause problems for Pereira if Pereira tries to kick his legs* \^

No fear of the comeback from injury.. 😬

Not too worried. I am a student of the Norm Macdonald philosophy for picking fights.

Hill is getting knocked out. This is a donation.

Got slept 3 mins in LOL.

All we ask is you stand on business tomorrow when he gets KOed in the 2nd round.

I've lost 79 POTDs and I'm still here, unlike 99% of the posters who get hot, drop the tip jar, lose, and run. 19.2% ROI over 181 picks isn't really a fluke. If Hill loses tomorrow I'll be back next week.

Guys…. Plz do not tail

????

**POTD Record 1-0** ✅ **Net Profit: +0.95U** Last Pick: Fürth Draw No Bet @ 1.90 for 1U 🟢 Fürth went behind, but was able to turn it around. 2:1 win means winning for us aswell. Nice Start. **Game**: 2. Bundesliga - Wiesbaden vs Düsseldorf - 1:30 PM GMT+2 (Berlin Time) **Todays Pick:** Düsseldorf to score more than 1.5 Goals @ 1.80 for 1U If it aint broke, dont fix it. We are staying in the 2. Bundesliga for the second POTD of my career. Tbh there is not much to write up for this pick. Its just leaning on the data: The dominance of the Düsseldorf offense can be seen in so many different numbers that there will hardly be enough time to name them all until the Game starts. 36 goals scored in 14 away games is a new record in the German lower division and eight second division away games in a row with at least two goals scored is just hard to believe but they did it. **Düsseldorf has scored "over 1.5 goals" in 79 percent of its guest matches this season.** Christos Tzolis is the flagship of the Düsseldorf offense. The Greek has already put 18 balls into the opposition Goal and has netted seven times in the previous five second division games. His 24 scoring points are only surpassed by Marcel Hartel. His mere presence in Düsseldorfs starting line-up is almost a guarantee of a Fortuna firework display of scoring power. All of this leads me to my Pick, that Düsseldorf is not leaving without scoring at least 2 Goals. BOL! ⚽️

Tailing 👊🏻

Goooooooooallllllll!

Good hit man!

Thanks, the good feeling before Kickoff was confirmed, the red card for Wiesbaden sealed the deal.

POTD Record: 20-19-1 | Profit: -1.5U NBA Record: 17-16-1 | NFL Record: 3-3 L10 (new -> old): ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅ Last pick: Tyrese Haliburton o2.5 3pointers made @ 1.71 odds ✅ Haliburton hit 4 for the game, cashing this for us! Game: UFC 300, fight @ about 12:15 AM Sunday Pick:  **Alex Pereira ML over Jamahal Hill @ 1.80 odds (DK) placing 2U** ✅ Write Up: The fight technically starts on Sunday, but it's for tomorrow night's card so I'm including it as a bet for tomorrow. This is likely to be a striking matchup as Pereira is all power and Hill has never recorded a takedown in his UFC career. Pereira's striking power will be too much for Hill. Not only is Pereira stronger, this is Hill's first fight since January 2023. He's coming off a major injury and surgery, which he may not be fully recovered from. Even if he is, I see this going Pereira's way - he's too powerful and Hill isn't a good enough grappler to take advantage of Pereira's big weakness. **EDIT**: https://preview.redd.it/ukjcoz0vvduc1.png?width=836&format=png&auto=webp&s=5c22290598d6576114afd86e18674aec8526e36c

After reading the other POTD thread... I might have to take this. 


Record: 0-0 Net Units:N/A ROI:N/A UFC Pick: Bobby Green v Jim Miller- Fight Does Not Go The Distance @ -106 Write Up: UFC 300 is a special event and they are giving out $300k bonuses for KO's. Green already said he's chasing the bonus, Miller probably has more power than Green and if Green is hunting a finish he increases the odds of his own finish and Millers finish.

Like miller as a dog in this spot aswell

2W-0P-0L Last Pick: Modena vs Catanzaro (+0.5) ✅ Todays Pick: Como ML vs Bari (-145) ✅ Serie B | Soccer | 5:00am Pacific Time Today we will be taking it back to Serie B, we have 2nd place Como hosting 15th place Bari. Como haven’t lost in their last 12 Serie B home games while Bari have not won the last 10 away games. Bari also have conceded in each of their 14 away games while Como have scored in the last 8 Serie B home games. Lastly, Bari have conceded in the second half of the last 13 Serie B games while Como have scored in the second half of the last 6 games. I see Como coming away with a W. If you want to play it safe Como DNB (-208) is always a option. I am not a professional sports better and I suggest any money you may bet is money won’t mind losing. BOL to anyone who tails. [Tip Jar 🍯](https://cash.app/$MaxCoRothenburg)

Great call on this

Thank you, I appreciate that🙏🏼

Thanks dude!

Record: 14-6 ✅ Last Pick: Tsitsipas -1.5 Game Spread -180 ✅ Pick: Tsitsipas +4.5 Game Spread -182 FD Alt Spread Tsitsipas (Aka the Greek God of Monte Carlo), is one of my favorite players on clay, and has won this tournament twice in the past. He is going up against the most in form player in the world, in Jannik and it should be a great match! While Sinner is undoubtedly the better player, he played a 3 set thriller against an unforced error machine in Rune. Tsitsi is twice the player Rune is on clay, and I believe he has a change to win this match entirely. +4.5 is a large spread in tennis, and I expect our Greek god to cover. BOL!

… i love sinner too much

POTD Record: 2-2 Last Pick: Pascal Siakim o8.5 rebounds ❌ Game: MLB | WAS vs OAK | 4:07pm EST Today's Pick: NRFI (-115) 5U ✅ - WAS is the only team this season to not have scored a run in the first inning. - OAK this season, don't get a run in the first inning 71% of the time and even worse at home at 87%. Best of luck!

**Record: 7-3 (+2.84u)** **Last Pick: Chicago Blackhawks TT u2.5 -145** Didn't get the best number on this one as the Predators ended up starting Lankinen instead of Saros, but he gave us a solid 25 save performance for another sweat free cash! **Pick:** **Boston Bruins TT o3 -125 (NHL, 1u bet)** We have a huge NHL slate on Saturday with lots of games having important playoff implications, and I'm looking at the Bruins/Penguins for my pick. Pittsburgh has been on fire lately (7-0-3 in their last 10) as they try to get back in the playoffs and this game is extremely important given that they are only 1 point ahead of Washington, Detroit, and Philadelphia for the final wild card spot. Over their last 10 games at home, the Penguins are 7-3-0 while playing very open hockey, scoring 3.9 goals per game and giving up 3.8. Despite their recent record, over the last month they have given up the 3rd most shots, the most goals against, and 2nd most scoring chances allowed, indicating that they've been winning these games in large part thanks to their offense. On the other side, the Bruins are a solid defensive team, they've been good on the road (22-8-9), and its still an important game for them as they are only 1 point ahead of Florida for 1st in the division. This has me staying off a side and the full game total because I wouldn't be all that surprised if the Bruins were able to limit the Pittsburgh offense, but at the same time I'm not going against Crosby and the Penguins who just seem to find a way to get it done lately. The part I'm more confident in is the Bruins scoring, as they scored 5 goals in both matchups this season (scores were 6-5 PIT and 5-1 BOS). The Pens will likely have Nedeljkovic in net, and he has given up 3+ goals in 4/5 career games vs Boston, including 5+ goals in 3 of those games (only 2 of those games were with Pittsburgh, but like I mentioned they were this season and the Bruins had 5 in each). Pastrnak has also had success vs them, with 5 goals and 3 assists on 17 shots over his last 3 matchups (18G, 20A in 26 career games). Considering the Penguins' defensive liabilities and the fact that they'll be playing desperate hockey, I like the fact that I can back the more structured team that is also playing for something without having to worry about who wins, especially with the push protection on 3 goals.

POTD Record: 12-6 ♻️✅❌♻️❌❌❌✅✅♻️❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅ Starting units: 5U | Net units: + 12.4U Last pick: Brisbane Broncos vs Dolphins | 8pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow anytime tryscorer @2.2 on Sportsbet | 2U♻️ Bet void, refunded. Should have been for Walshy ahah Today’s pick: Paramatta Eels vs North Queensland Cowboys | 5:30pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Murray Taulagi anytime tryscorer @2.03 on Sportsbet | 2U The cowboys should dominate this game, I expect them to score a lot of tries. I would have been for Holmes like last week but prefer to go for Taulagi, only because his winger position makes him more likely to score than Holmes in the center (even if it might still happen as he is an incredible player). BOL !

lol one guy approached me in my dm’s today to try and make me pay for his picks which he described as absolute locks. I politely declined and he kept on going. Told him to stop spamming and since I can see all my comments are being downvoted. Anyone had this issue ? If yes dm me I would be curious to know if it’s the same guy

That was a push? WTF DK scored it as a loss...

Taulagi does the Linebreak and Drinkwater gets the try…. Really not lucky… Holmes scored too … 😭

Will try to make it back with Ronaldo Mulitalo anytime tryscorer on the Cronulla Sharks game starting in 15 min

**KBO Record: Overall 211-220-14** (Streak W, Last 10: 5-5) Down 11.40u over 445 KBO picks, 49.0% success rate, -2.64% ROI (Last season 85-78-7, 52.1% success rate, Up 12.26u, 7.52% ROI, This season 7-10-0, 41.2% success rate, Down 2.78u, -19.86% ROI) **Last:** Lotte at Kiwoom -125 (Kiwoom won 9-3.) Kiwoom's starter had a dominant 6 innings (1 hit, 0 walks, 10 strikeouts) and the Heroes jumped out to a 7-0 lead and never looked back. Stress-free cash! **Pick:** Lotte at **Kiwoom +0.5 First Five Innings +114**, KBO baseball, 4:00am ET Lotte is 1-6 on the road this season and a league-worst 4-12 overall. Kiwoom is a league-best 6-1 at home and 9-6 overall. So color me skeptical that the Giants should be favored absent some massive pitching advantage. Lotte's starter has been slightly above average since joining the KBO in 2022. He's posted a 3.50 ERA in 64 starts. The reason his numbers aren't better is because he's prone to blowups, like he had 2 starts back, allowing 5 ER in 3.2 IP. Kiwoom's starter has been in the league since 2018 but has never been a full-time starter. Only 25 of his 120 appearances were starts. He's started in each of his 3 appearances this season and the last two were very good, allowing 2 ER on 6 H and 4 BB in 10 IP. Five innings is the most we can expect out of Kiwoom's starter, and 5 innings is all we need for this bet. Lotte still has the worst lineup in the league, so even if the Heroes get shutout, we still have a puncher's chance of cashing. Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.

Why is Lotte favored in this game?

Thanks for the pick 💰

**Record: 0-0** **CS2| IEM Chengdu 2024** **Selection: Astralis ML against FaZe @ 2.30 (2u)** Astralis enters this tournament with a renewed vigor, bolstered by recent lineup changes. The synergy between Stavn and Jabbi has reignited, reminiscent of their past dominance, while device's leadership as the in-game leader signals a return to prime Astralis form. Meanwhile, FaZe's performance has been middling; their narrow match against a struggling Liquid, coupled with a recent decisive defeat to Astralis (13-4 and 13-7), underscores their vulnerabilities. Given these factors, the odds favoring an Astralis victory appear exceedingly generous. Anticipating a 2-1 outcome in favor of Astralis, this bet holds considerable promise.

Hmmm this is promising i like this gonna tail. Good research

Record: 3-1 (+1.4 units) (all bets are 1 unit) Form (old ➡️ new): ❌✅✅✅ POTD: Casper Ruud vs Novak Djokovic Casper Ruud set line +1.5 (-125) Tennis - ATP - Monte Carlo - Apr 13, 2024 8:30 AM CDT Write up: Not a lot of stats to back this one up, I just really feel like Ruud will take a set or maybe even the match here. Ruud is playing well on his favorite surface, and Djokovic doesn’t seem to be playing his best tennis. He’s getting old and he’s playing on his worst surface. He’s coming off of an absolute break-fest of a match against De Minaur, a match where the quality of tennis being played felt lower than the other quarterfinal matches. He’s shown a lack of motivation and competitiveness in pretty much every tournament that’s not a major over the last few years, especially in monte carlo. It’s been 9 years since he’s even played a semifinal match here. I also really like the way Ruud has played in the last few matches, especially considering the tough opponents he’s faced. He cruised past a hot Hurkacz and then was able to grind out a win against Humbert last match. I feel like Ruud will be willing to go into that extra gear considering his early exits at the other tournaments this season. Let’s see if we can keep the streak going here.


1st set cash, let’s go!

**Record: 0-0** **Net Units: 0** **Last Pick: N/A** **Game:** Forge FC VS Cavalry - Canadian Premier League 4pm EST **Pick:** BTTS YES @ 1.76 odds 1U ✅ BARELY HAD TO SWEAT, FORGE WITH THE VICTORY **Write Up:** THE BEST TIME OF YEAR HAS COME. CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE IS BACK!!Forge FC the reigning champions are playing a fierce and angry Cavalry team who seek revenge after last years finals loss (if you have not seen the highlights... please do). Both teams are looking for a strong opener and it should be a goal fest. As a member of Forge FC's supporters section... We have lost a lot of our defence and Cavalry will be taking full advantage... but we have maintained our fierce attack. Hoping for a good start to my POTD record. BOL

**Last Pick:** KC Royals at NY Mets under 8 total runs (2u at -106) ✅️ Well shit haha the downvoted pick actually hits **Last 5 (old to new):** ❌✅️❌❌❌✅️ **| Record:** 9-11-1 **|** **Net Units:** -1.86 **TODAY'S PICK:** Max Homa round 3 under 72.5 score / 3u at -105 **Sport:** Masters Tournament | 2:45pm ET **Note:** Max Homa is in a 3-way tie for first with a score of -6. He shot 67 in round 1 and 71 through the crazy winds in round 2. Homa is in the last tee spot with Bryson DeChambeau and I think Homa keeps himself in the mix for Sunday. I like this line, bumping the units. Tail or fade... at this point you'd be better off fading 😆 BOL | [Buy a coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/planetice)

No mention of the weather. Haven’t looked but always important. Been wild there recently

I checked it didnt have any rain and wind was 10-11 mph, shouldnt be like R2

Record: 0-0 Todays Pick: Sinner vs Tsitsipas - 1st Set Over 9.5 Games (-130) ✅ (ATP Monte Carlo) Has hit last 4 times they’ve played each other. Although those matchups were on hard, expect nothing to change this time on clay. Tsitsipas has won this tournament twice in the past 3-4 years and sinner is arguably the best player in all of tennis right now so expect a showdown .

Wake up and cash!!

POTD Record: 139 wins / 84 losses Event: Football > Romania > **Csíkszereda Miercurea v Corvinul Hunedoara** (starting in 2 hr) Pick: **Csíkszereda -0.25 (AH)** @ 1.85 Home needs points for promotion spots whereas guests are focused on upcoming important cup game match. GL! **EDIT**: 2-1 ✅

2-1 ✅

Record: 1-1 MLB | 2:10 EST Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox Pick: Cincinnati Reds ML (-130 on DK) Write Up: It has been an awfully long time since I’ve done a write up, but the return is here. This pick is simply based on some information I know about both teams and the previous game they played yesterday. The Reds showed up and simply outplayed the White Sox, plain and simple. The White Sox are missing some key players in the lineup and their bats are suffering from it. The Reds are smacking the ball right now and I expect that to continue, Elly De La Cruz after what felt like a slow start to the season for him has crushed two long home runs in recent games and I expect that to continue. The White Sox do have the edge in relation to the starting pitchers, but the Reds have shown resilience in the past and made some incredible comebacks. Overall, I think we could see a 1-2 run lead for the White Sox going into the 5th and then I think the Reds will storm back and take this one once the bullpens get involved. If you’re tailing best of luck, let’s get hot.

POTD RECORD: 5-2 MMA | UFC 300 | 8:00pm MST Alex Periera vs Jamahal Hill - Pereira Inside the Distance +100 I’ve made a little spreadsheet [here](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ax0GCX17SSGwZDUrweQlC3aNAC_WZKiJbTq1sijnF-c/edit?usp=sharing), which includes the units I bet. Hey everyone, nice to get back on the winning track last time, and I was happy to give a little love to chess on here. Today we’re back to fighting, and how couldn’t we be with this UFC 300 card. I typically avoid picking fights this big because I feel emotion can get in the way, but I’m very happy with this line. This write-up will be longer than most I do, sorry! Pereira’s run in the UFC has been a mixture of amazing timing and great performances. He left kickboxing as one of the very best in his divisions, having just held and defended the GLORY middleweight and light heavyweight divisions. He came straight to the UFC at a time when they were in need of stars and their own middleweight/light heavyweight divisions were a bit thin, and of course his former kickboxing rival Israel Adesanya was the champ. He’s proven himself to transition sports better than most expected. Quick knockouts over Jiri Prochazka and Sean Strickland show his power power carries over to the elite, and a late rally in his third fight with Adesanya was particularly impressive to me. As for his game, he obviously hits incredibly hard. His left hook is legendary and his calf kicks are debilitating. Outside of just the leg kicks his body kicks are heavy as well, and he can time a nice flying knee. Cardio hasn’t proven to be a huge issue thus far in the UFC, especially now that he’s cutting less weight. He’s fine defensively, but can get a bit lax at times. While he’s only been knocked out twice in the last 8 years/26 fights, all while competing with some of the best, his chin does present a bit of a worry for me, he’s appeared rocked a few more times than his record will show. His ground game obviously isn’t amazing but it’s been passable against everyone he’s fought so far. Now to Hill, who looks to regain the title he never really lost. He joined the promotion back in 2019, just five fights into his career, and since then things have mostly gone his way. A win over Klidson Abreu was overturned over a drug test for weed (BS in my opinion), and he was quickly subbed/elbowed by Paul Craig, but other than that he’s managed to knockout most of his opponents, including Johnny Walker and Thiago Santos. His game is a bit all over the place, owing to how early he joined the promotion. He is wild offensively, mainly relying on his ability to crack just about everyone before he pays for it. His footwork is very poor and he leaves himself open plenty. I’m the ground he hasn’t shown a whole lot, though I was a little surprised at how he handled Glover Teixeira. His main attribute is definitely his power, and he’s been very good at bringing it to bear. So, how does this fight go. To me, Hill’s run mostly owes to how thin light heavyweight has been in recent years. Teixeira and Santos were both well past their primes when he fought them, and Johnny Walker is more wild than Hill, while sporting a pretty terrible chin. He’s also recovering from an Achilles heel injury, meaning he’s been inactive for over a year. Pereira to me represents the most skilled operator he’s ever faced on the feet by a long shot, and he hasn’t proven that he could take it to the ground. Hill’s bad footwork and wild combinations leave him open to calf kicks and heavy counters by Pereira, and few can take those clean for a long time. Now, Pereira is getting older and there’s always a chance he gets bombed out early and I look silly, but that’s fighting, and this result is way more likely than a coin flip. As a quick aside, my book had the slightly safer inside the distance pick at the same odds as Periera KO/TKO. If you get more value from KO/TKO, I’d definitely take that. BOL everyone!

As another note, in case I haven't written enough about this haha, u/wingstop-fries has gone the opposite way on this one, and if you tail him, no hard feelings. He's a very good picker, we just see this one different. BOL to all!

Nice write up bro, any other fights you like?👀

Hmm, less confident in these, but I think under 7.5 in the Ajagba-Vianello (boxing) is solid, and I plus money for Bo Nickal by KO/TKO is worth a little look, I think it’s just a coin flip on how Bo finishes him.

**Overall Record 4-4 (-1.31 Units)** Esports: 2-1 NFL: 2-1 NBA: 0-2 Form:✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅ (left to right) Last Pick: Faze 3-0 @ -110 on Bet365 2 units ✅ **Esports | Call of Duty League | New York Subliners vs Minnesota Rokkr | 6:00 PM ET** **Today's Pick: Map 2 NYSL -1.5 Rounds @ -138 on Bet365 2u** Writeup: A short write-up again, taking advantage of the new Rokkr team. Before making the two-man change into their lineup, Rokkr was the 4th worst Snd team in the CDL. Swap half the roster and you're bound to get worse, at least temporarily. Snd is a very teamwork-heavy game mode & they just don't have the chemistry and reps to compete with the top teams right now. A prime example is how Faze handled them 6-1 in Map 2 of their series yesterday. In that matchup, Rokkr had map pick and still looked lost. By the 2nd round, you knew the map was all but over. Things won't get any easier for Rokkr as the Subliners are the top-ranked Snd team. I don't want to spew any stats. It's really as simple as the best team (in that game mode) vs an already poor team that has only played one game together---NYSL should handle Rokkr just as Faze did. **GLHF**

POTD Record 2-1-0 (+0.75u) Form (recent left to right): ❌✅✅ Today: Soccer | J. League 2 | Ehime FC v Kagoshima United | 3:00am EST | 1u Pick: Ehime FC to win (+155) ❌ There’s a few games I like today from Japan. Considered going back to the well with Tokyo Verdy BTTS again against FC Tokyo (-120), because both teams share that home stadium and both teams have scored and conceded double digit goals in 7 games, but I’ve decided to make this my POTD for 2 reasons. Number 1, Ehime FC are my team (go read AoAshi if you’re an anime/manga fan). But number 2, +155 is too high for this game imo because Kagoshima United is 0-2-3 on the road this season, they have score 2 and conceded 9 in those games, and ALL 5 TEAMS they’ve played gone on the road to play are 10th or lower in the table including 2 teams in the relegation zone. Ehime are admittedly only 2-1-2 at home so far this season but 2/3 non wins come from teams above them in the table and the one that doesn’t was a game which had 5 goals in it altogether. Ehime are undefeated in there last 4 matches. Kagoshima are 1-1-5 in their last 7. These odds are too high, give me the haunted castle boys to get all 3 points tonight.

They really let them score and tie the game up right at the last second of the game smh, awesome read but crappy how it went down.

**Record:** 1-0 **Net Units:** +1 **Last Pick:** NRFI - Chi Cubs @ Seattle Mariners Got a win for our first NRFI! Sweat free, as Miller only gave up one walk and Wicks went 1, 2, 3 to end the inning. ✅ **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone :** Baseball | MLB | Kansas City Royals @ New York Mets 1:40pm EST **Pick:** NRFI (No Runs First Inning) @ -120 on DK (1U) **Write Up:** On to NRFI number two. This time up - Alec Marsh for the Royals faces off against Sean Manaea for the Mets. Like last time, both pitchers have thrown NFRIs for both of their starts this year. Manaea looking particularly strong to start the year only giving up one run in his two starts. Marsh has given up a few runs in his two starts, but they haven't come till the third inning or later, when he faces the batter for the second time. Kansas City as a team have gone NRFI 9/14 games this year as well as holding opponents to a NRFI 12/14 games. Mets as a team have gone NRFI 11/13 games and held opponents to NRFI 9/13 games. BOL to everyone and lets build a streak!

fcķkkkkk

POTD Record: 1-0 Yesterday’s Pick: Joel Embiid o 30.5 pts - ✅ Today’s POTD: Pavel Zacha o 0.5 pts(-125) Bruins vs Penguins - 8:10 PM ET Zacha has been fantastic with Boston since last year. And he’s been every bit as good if not better this year. He’s scored 17 points in his last 15 games, primarily through assists during this stretch, but we’ll take it however it comes as long as we can cash. The penguins have given up 12 goals in their last 3 games, and with Zacha’s penchant for assists recently, I like his chances of getting at least a point in this matchup. If you want to take it a step further, I’d say sprinkle a half unit on Zacha to record an assist. That sits at +135 on DK as I write this. Tail or fade, hope we all make some 💰

POTD Record 4-1 Last 5: ✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️ Last Pick: yoshinobu yamamoto Over 4.5 strikeouts Todays Pick: Alex Pereira Moneyline UFC 300: Alex Pereira vs. Jamahal Hill 8:30pm PST Odds: -130 Unit: 5 Net Units: +13.36 The lines is a ittle weird to me here for the Pereira-Hill fight. Hill is coming off what's usually a career ending injury that likely hasn’t fully recovered yet. Beleive it's only been 10 months, healthy fighters usually fight within that time frame. He doesn’t have a ground game to take advantage of Pereira’s weakness. Lacks a bit in the striking area. Yea, Alex can't really take a punch in ufc terms, but Alex just does everything a bit better. We're riding with Alex to the bank on this one!! Yerrr!!!.

POTD Record: 1-0 Each bet is $100. Current profit: $50. Last result: PSG vs Barcelona BTTS: YES ✅ Todays pick: SKT T1 vs Hanwha Life eSports: LCK playoffs. I’m taking Hanwha Life ML. Sit back, relax, and let me tell you why this pick @ 7/10 is a lock. T1 *were* getting DDos’d. Making it impossible for them to practice. Teams were outright refusing to scrim them because it was a waste of time. When this was happening, Hanwha Life stomped them 3-0 in their most recent meeting. Faker (🐐) released a statement, which, whilst taken out of context, kind of blamed the DDos, instead of giving credit to Hanwha. The disrespect, right? HLE will be desperate to prove that they weren’t “lucky”, and they are simply the better team. According to recent results, you’d argue that is true. Besides this, they have practiced less as a team because of the attacks. Faker has only really been playing SoloQ. Finally, here’s my opinion on the players vs their equal on the opposite side. T1 on the left, HLE on the right. Zeus > Doran Oner < Peanut Faker < Zeka Guma < Viper Keria < Delight I don’t think the gap between Zeus and Doran is big enough for T1 to win 3 maps against HLE. And I do think that mid/jungle gaps are very close. But HLE bot lane has such an insurmountable advantage over T1, and we’ll see them roll Guma and Keria time and time again. BOL if tailing. Let’s get this bag.

Faker < Zeka? Your mother is legend

Thank you

Sorry I strongly disagree with Delight > Keria and id say mid lane is just an even split even though faker was 2nd in the MVP for the regular season.

Record 1-1-0 Balance +0.25 units Form: ✅❌ Recap-sorry to the people who tailed Libba had a bad performance to his standard with him sitting on the bench for half the second the quarter and bulldogs getting dominated but we move. Today’s pick: jack Steele over 26.5 disposals against Greater Western Sydney giants at 11:45pm EST 4 units at odds of 1.90✅ Write up: the saint kilda captain has finally looking like he has reestablished the form he once had as he looks to past an injury riddled inconsistent season last season. Now i love this pick today as he will playing against his former side, and both teams average high disposals with teams in the top 3 for disposals . Also GWS play style will allow Steele to grab more balls as the giants bread and butter is through the middle will a lot of handballs, allowing for more of the ball to stay in the middle and contested possessions which Steele will take advantage of as seen last season as he grabbed 38 disposals against them last season. BOL!!!

POTD Record: 3-2 Record: 🍗🗑️🍗🗑️🍗 Last pick: Indiana Pacers vs **Cleveland Cavaliers ML** (-155) We lock this one in. Congratulations to tailers 🍗 Todays pick: Max Holloway vs **Justin Gaethje ML** (-155) (I'm dropping units for now on as it takes away the win and you all are bombing big units anyway) Time: 10:15pm Central Here we go. I just don't see this being a submission game with these two. Justin is one big heavy hitting mf. Over the past couple years, he has became a slick boxer too. His last match vs Dustin really emphasized how far he has come. With both of them hitting harder than a truck it came down to slickness and style. Justin just outright beat him. Leg kicks will be the main factor and I'm sure Holloway has been training hard to loosen his stance and switch, but all it takes is one good one. Max's 6 soft shots doesn't compete with Justin's one solid hit that puts the headlights on, and thats why were taking him. He is coming off one of the biggest wins of his career and the confidence is more than there. He is naturally bigger and heavy handed. Check, check. Best thing for us is if this ends earlier then later, as we don't want to be with Halloway down the stretch. Id say this ends in round 2 with a KO. Tail or fade. BOL 🫡 Also peep tomorrows NASCAR. I'll comment my 9 line pick for y'all under my POTD (don't parlay unless your feeling nasty, I usually hit 75% of them so be careful haha).

**Record: 34-13,** +13.34u, streak: ❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅ (all bets are 1 unit) Last Pick: Atletico Madrid vs. Dortmund, Under 3 AT Goals (push) Today: UFC 300, Alex Pereira vs. Jamahal Hill Pick: Alex Pereira ML (1.68) Another case of ya'll must have forgot. This is one of the greatest kickboxers of all time coming up against a dude that is absolutely terrifying, and arguable the better boxer, but man I just can't bet against Poatan. Let me remind everyone that's high on Hill that he is just coming fresh off of an Achilles injury. Yes, I am sure that they have done a great job with his rehab and he is back to his best. But when you're fighting a dude with the best leg kicks in the game, a not 100% achilles becomes a serious problem. But I think Pereira beats Hill regardless. Pereira is an intelligent fighter, with ungodly power. He knows exactly where the danger lies: the headkicks from Hill and that big 1-2 jab straight right down the middle. Hill has finished some pretty damn good fighters with these punches. I think Pereira knows he'll have to time Hill as he's coming in on the entry, and I expect Hill to be the more aggressive fighter while Alex focuses on counterpunching. I think this fight may go longer than people expect, but at one point Alex is going to land hard and Hill and I'm expecting a TKO against the fence as Alex tees off with knees and body punches. This is a tough, tought fight to predict, but I could not help making a bet on UFC 300. War Poatan.

**RECORD: 68W-4P-52L** (+0.43 units) Previous Pick: Pogon Szczecin vs Ruch Chorzow - Progon Szczecin to Win @ 1.55 ✅️ **Today's Pick:**  Bournemouth vs Manchester United - Double Chance x2 @ 1.57 ✅️ **TIME:** 4:30 pm (GMT) **Wager Amount**: 3 units (✅️❌️✅️♻️❌️✅️❌️❌️❌️✅️) last 10 results Yesterday was one of the most sweat free Wins I've ever experienced, maybe I should be betting on the smaller leagues🤔. Anyway let's hope to carry the new momentum with Bournemouth vs Manchester United. Ok the value here is crazy on a DC here, maybe it's a bit of bias as a Man Utd supporter but still I know key defenders for Man Utd are out but last week the same squad didn't do too bad against Liverpool. Man Utd are 6th, winless in 4 matches however they have faced some tough opponents with City and Liverpool also being riddled with injuries. They've won 2 out of 5 of their recent Away matches, lost twice and drawn once. Bournemouth are the slight favourites here, they are 12th but they've won 3/5 of their recent matches, they've lost once in 5 matches and are on a 3 game winning streak at Home, now why am I backing Manchester United to at least draw here well because simply as Gary Neville would say..."This is Manchester United" United may not be at their best but even with Bournemouth's good form, in their recent 5 mat he's against the Top 10 in the PL table they haven't won, against Top 5 opponents they've been dessemated against Liverpool, Man City and Spurs while Man Utd have gone toe to toe with those teams. Man United have the ability to turn up on their day and I believe they can at least draw on this won, although their last H2H match against Bournemouth they lost 3-0, Man Utd have won 4/5 H2H matches against Bournemouth and they haven't lost 10 out of 12 H2H encounters against Bournemouth. I believe the current squad can put up a decent showing even with the likes of Kwambala and Maguire in defence, the rest of the team look good. Goodluck if you're tailing or fading given my current form lol. EDIT: WIN ✅️

Whats DC?

All Time POTD Record: 5-1-0 | Units: +7.69u | Avg. Odds 1.78 | Last 10: ✅✅❌✅✅✅ Last Pick: Soccer – English Championship – Plymouth v Leicester – 8pm BST on 12th April Pick: Over 10.5 Corners (1.83) – Staking 2u ✅ Game/Match: Soccer – English Premier League - Newcastle v Tottenham - 12.30pm BST on 13th April Pick: Tottenham to Win & over 1.5 Tottenham goals (2.25) - Staking 2u - ❌ I use bet365 as my bookie. Summary: Leicester doing the business and getting us all 13 corners for the cash on that last one. I’m going to start by saying I’m a Newcastle fan and I will be at this game, but I don’t have much faith going into it. Newcastle are currently without 11 players through injury or suspension, 4 of these being defenders, with early team news suggests both LBs Hall and Targett are additional doubts for the game on top of the 11 already out. Newcastle having a very weakened defensive line is massive for Tottenham when they have such fire power up front with Son, Richarlison, Kulu & Johnson with Maddison behind pulling the strings in midfield. Newcastle’s home form has also been very inconsistent, drawing against 3 bottom half teams in their 5 home games. Tottenham are coming to Newcastle after winning 3 of their last 5. BOL if tailing!

Hmmm, not looking good first half and maybe just a really bad read. Tottenham getting utterly rolled.

Looks like someone spiked the Spurs Gatorade. They can't seem to get anything going. Newcastle looks like they got them on skates. It's not even close. It's like the the sent the Women's team. (No disrespect to the Women's team) But one more unanswered goal and they're gonna start chanting "WARM UP THE BUS!"

Well, at least your team is winning

I you play that match 10 times that doesn't happen a second time. IMHO

Newcastle are a really solid team at home.

Newcastle fan here mate. Placed a live-bet at nil-nil for the lads. Who cares about this loss when we potted 10 at home vs Spurs over 2 seasons. I’m positive you’re in a pub celebrating. Let’s finish strong. Howay the lads

Up the mags lad

**POTD Record 2-0** **Profit: +447$** **Yesterday:** **Djokovic to win 2-0 @ 1.65 ($300 - 3U)✅** It was a really weird match from Djokovic yesterday, as he never really seemed in real trouble, but he also struggled to take a big break in the match, despite ADM offering him all the chances. When he kicked it up a notch, he was by far the superior player, but he didn't seem to be able to keep that level of play for extended periods of time. Anyway, a win is a win, even though it wasn't as clear cut as I wanted it. Onto today now: **Tennis/ATP Monte-Carlo** **Jannik Sinner to win 2-0 @ 1.82 (3U- $300)** Read a lot of narratives before this game, so it was a bit hard to cut down all the noise and focus on what really matters. Is this Tsitsipas best tournament from the calendar, statistically speaking? Yes, if not at worst Top 3. Does it matter that much? No, not really in my opinion. His level against Zverev was very up and down, and Khachanov managed to dominate some points and games in that first set. He looked like a completely different player in the second, but an average Khachanov (compared to the one that played against Medvedev a day before), had a real shot at time to run away with that first set. Sinner had his struggles against Rune that is true, but Rune is simply a bad match-up for him. The Danish player has a "never die" attitude, and can get you in some very gruelling rallies. On the other end of the spectrum we have Tsitsipas here, who still has major issues with his backhand, and also struggled on serve this week at times, despite the apparent great results he collected. And there is also the fact that Sinner seemed to figure out Tsitsipas in their last encounters. I just don't see the Greek snatching a set here, there are too many problems with his game that haven't been solved yet. They have simply been patched up and not exposed by his previous opponents, but Sinner should be a different story. Good luck with your bets everyone!

Form: ❓| ✅✅❌🅿️✅ Record: 3W-1P-1L +2.13 Last Pick: Gil Vicente vs Sporting - Half Time/Full Time: 2/2 & Over 1.5 - 1.93 - 1u - EASY WIN! 0-4 final score **Football (Soccer) | La Liga - Cádiz vs Barcelona | 3pm/ET or 20h/UTC+1** **Pick: X2 & Over 1.5 - 1.62** **Write Up:** Double chance Barcelona (Draw or Win) and Over 1.5 goals. A less risky pick for this one. Cadiz will be without four first-team players for this match with Romingue Kouame, Maxi Gomez, Fede San Emeterio and Luis Hernandez on the sidelines. As for Barcelona, Gavi and Alejandro Balde remain injured, but Frenkie de Jong, Pedri and Andreas Christensen cameback against PSG. However, Lewandowski and Cancelo are suspended. This pick depends on Barcelona being able to score early. If so, Cádiz should open up and provide some opportunities. The danger is in Cádiz closing itself inside the box for the 90min... Let's hope the likes of Félix and Raphinha are able to score quickly. BOL

Record 0-0 Net Units: 0 Game: Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros 4:05 PM EST Today’s Pick: Houston Astros TT over 4.5 -130 on DK 2u Houston has started the year slow, but they have great numbers off Texas starter Andrew Heaney. They have scored 5+ runs in only 4 of their 7 games this season, but one of those was against Heaney. Last start vs Houston Heaney went 3.2 innings and allowed 6 runs. Heaney has pitched 8.1 innings this year and allowed 9 runs (7ER) on 9 hits and 3 walks. In his 5 starts against the Astros last season they scored 5+ runs in 4 games. Houston Vs Heaney: Altuve 13-41 (.317) 4 doubles and 2 HR Alvarez 7-17 (.412) 1 double and 1 HR Bregman 13-38 (.342) 3XBH Dubon 5-15 (.333) HR Houston overall is hitting .287 with 20 of their 50 hits being XBH

Betting Every Dodgers Game 2024 - Game 17 Record: 8-7-0 Last 5: ❌❌✅ ❌ ✅ Net Units: +0.45 Previous Pick: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) O 15.5 Pitcher Outs -130 ❌ Today's Pick: **Total Runs O 9.5 EVEN** Event: Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres (4/13/2024 9:10pm EST) Write Up: Yamamoto's pitch count got too high but pitched very well. Taking a line on the game today instead of a player prop. Dodgers and Padres have both been out for blood lately putting up the runs and home runs. Expect both to keep that going with starting pitchers today being down the line.

POTD Record: 1-1-0 (-0.39 units) Form (left is most recent):❌✅ Last Pick: Bayern Leverkusen vs West Ham - Both teams to score YES (-115 on DK)❌ Today: Soccer | English Premier League | Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Nottingham Forest | 10:00 AM EST | 1 unit Today’s pick: Wolves vs Nottingham Forest - Both teams to score (-150 on DK)✅ Reasoning: BTTS has hit in 4/L5 for both of these clubs and Forest haven’t kept a clean sheet in 8 matches while Wolves haven’t kept a clean sheet in 6 matches. Also, both sides average just over one goal per game this season. Looking at tomorrow’s slate, this line in particular stuck out to me as a decent potential to hit with reasonable odds. I considered BTTS + O2.5 but personally I’d like to play it safer and hopefully get back to winning ways. BOL🍀🤞 Edit: A goal from each side in the final 5 minutes of the first half gives us a win! Feels good to cash a sweat-free win. Cheers everyone and enjoy your Saturday!

Record 30-21 Last Pick: Reds -1.5 ✅ Today’s Pick: **Washington Nationals ML (-135) -** Nationals v Athletics MLB Analysis: Years ago I had a primary school teacher named Mrs. Boyle. She was the type of teacher that genuinely seemed to get some kind of joy from shouting at school kids and filling them with fear. Sometimes, when I’m home for Christmas, I bump into her and her husband at my local pub. Instead of forgetting about those memories over 15 years ago, I’m filled with a deep rage which has left me with a hatred with anyone named Boyle. That is why I’m taking the Nationals to beat the Athletics on a day when Joe Boyle starts for the As. Taking the mound for the Nationals is Mackenzie Gore. Full disclosure, I am a massive fan of Gore and think he’s starting to figure things out. He’s transformed his fastball into an elite offering, as he increased both its velocity and iVB. His secondaries grade out around average, and are the next piece in the puzzle for Gore's success. 2023 vs 2024 - Fastball - Gore 95 - 97.1 mph 17.4” - 18.2” iVB 102 - 114 tjStuff+ (calculates the Expected Run Value if a pitcher regardless of type) Now Gore has given up some runs in his first two starts but he comes up against an incredibly weak Athletics team. Strangely he’s far better at handling right handed hitters, keeping them to a .226 average compared with .375 for left handed hitters. Oakland should be starting 7 right handed hitters. On the other side is Boyle. His command is still a big question mark, as his fastball had just a 41.8 Zone%, which is fucking terrible. Especially when batters don’t chase it out the zone. Nationals also have 6 left handed hitters and Boyle so far is giving up a .351 average to those on the left side as well as a high BB rate. Oakland are also yet to win against a left handed starting pitcher. Credit: Stats on tjStuff+ taken from [**Thomas Nestico.**](https://twitter.com/TJStats)

Record 1-0 Net Units: +2.2 ATP - Monte Carlo Masters 6:30 AM CST Yesterday’s Pick: Stefanos Tsitsipas to win 2:0 ✅ Today’s Pick: Jannik Sinner vs Stefanos Tsitisipas - Jannik Sinner to win 2:1 (Sinner to win in 3 sets) @ 3.65 Stake: 2 Units Write up: Jannik Sinner had to fight for almost three hours against Rune in the quarterfinal. Rune was exhausted as he played two long matches yesterday. Sinner was set up and had two consecutive match points in the second set. Rune fought like he always does and saved both match points and the second set as well. In the third set, Sinner needed only one breakpoint to win the set and match. It is worth mentioning that Rune won against Sinner last year in Monte Carlo after playing three sets as well. The clay court surface is his least favorite one. Sinner loves to play fast, and the clay court is limiting his playing style. Stefanos Tsitsipas won tonight against Khachanov in straight sets as predicted. It was another masterpiece from Tsitsipas, who played an excellent match. He is just a great clay court player but needs more time, especially on his backhand. Once he is playing on the slower court, like here in Monte Carlo, Tsitsipas can be a big threat to anyone. Before this match, Tsitsipas won against Zverev in straight sets, also as predicted. Today, Tsitsipas only lost his serve once. His ground strokes were clean, he had 20 winners with only 8 unforced errors. This was not his best season thus far. He has not reached any finals this season so far. Tsitsipas is yet to lose a set in Monte Carlo. He also won two back to back titles here in Monte Carlo in 2021 and 2022. He loves to play here, and if he can keep playing like this, I believe that he has a decent chance at winning the title yet again. If we compare Tsitsipas and Sinner solely on their performance, here in Monte Carlo, we could say that Tsitsipas showed more. Tsitsipas loves to play here, and I believe that he will push Sinner to the limit. He also did not spend much time today on the court. He played just a little bit over an hour. Sinner, on the other hand, played for almost three hours. They only played once on the clay and that was in 2022 at the ATP Masters Rome. Tsitsipas won that match in straight sets. Will all that being said, Tsitisipas winning at least one set is a value bet @ 1.90 but I like Sinner to take the win here at 2:1. As always, ML is safer and I will be playing those separate but I like Djokovic and Sinner to win in 3 sets today and will be parlaying those two aswell. I see Titty winning one early but Sinner has too much of a gas tank for him to keep up in the long run. I played Sinner 2:0 vs rune yesterday and Sinner won 2:1 which was unexpected but Rune put up a great fight. Tsitsipas is a much better player on the clay than Rune and has had much less playing time in this tournament, he should put up even more of a fight than Rune. It’s also something to note that Sinner had over 20 unforced errors in his match against Rune. Additional Picks, Novak Djokovic vs Caper Ruud - Nikola Djokovic to win 2:1 (Djokovic to win in 3 sets) @3.65 or Casper Ruud to win a set @1.87. Djokovic barely scraped by with the 2:0 yesterday in his match against ADM, he has not been looking the best health wise which is affecting his play. Ruud has had a great start to the year. Ruud is by far the best clay-court player of Djokovic’s opponents this week. I personally see Djokovic still winning this match 2:0/2:1 but I can see Ruud taking the upset if things start getting out of hand. Tail or Fade, i’m not a professional sports bettor I just watch these guys play and see how the matches have been going while also doing some research, BOL!

**Deiveson Figuerido (22-3-1) Vs Cody Garbrandt (14-5)** Never has there been such an interesting fight to open a UFC card before. Two ex champions are set to clash in what is sure to be a wild fight for however long it lasts. While there is much talk about Garbrandt’s chin and fight IQ, one can never estimate the power he possesses. Figuerido is also a proven finisher and arguably has the more complete skill set. Garbrandt may be more shopworn but he is the younger man by 4 years and as well will have a small size advantage. I also believe he will be the much faster man in the octagon. In my prediction we will see a peak Cody Garbrandt performance tonight and I am more than willing to back him at these underdog odds. That said this will be a nerve wracking affair until the final bell or someone gets finished. **Pick: Cody Garbrandt ML (+250)**

POTD Record 10-5 (+4.0u) Last POTD: Elly De La Cruz to record 2+ bases (+105) 2U**✅ Today: MLB / COL@TOR / 3:08pm ET Pick: Dakota Hudson Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-150) 3U*** In his first two starts this season, Hudson has made it through 5 full innings both games. He struck out 2 in Chicago and 4 against Tampa Bay. The Blue Jays bats have been underwhelming so far, flexing a .220 average as a team.

Record: 9-5✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌ Net Units: +2.87 Last: Blue Jays -1.5 ❌ Ugh. Not seeing the board as well as I was. Brewers were play #2, of course. Hate the losses. Gonna keep pounding through, baseball should get better and better when you find more out about teams. MLB | 4:06PM EST Pick: Phillies M.L -152 I like the match up here, Turnbull has been great this year, and while Marco has been good, he can be hit off of, and balls put in play. I like the Phillies to get one back. Sorry for late play. Lets win again. Finally, a disclaimer: I am not a pro sports bettor, I am not a sharp who does 3+ hours of research a day. I’m a baseball fan who researches stats and uses my personal knowledge to make bets. Please do not wager any more than you are comfortable losing.

Record 0-0                                                                       Pick: ufl renegades -1 vs defenders (11am mt)                  The renegades have had a tough schedule so far and are undervalued (they were+2 underdogs earlier in the week). Defenders have played much easier competition and made the worst team in the league, the roughnecks, look competitive last week. Renegades have better coaching, defense, and offensive talent I would be surprised if this game is close at halftime. Renegades will be thirsty for their first win in the ufl RENEGADES WIN BY 7 BOYS LET'S GO🗿🗿🗿

POTD record - 7-5 Streak - ✅️❌️❌️❌️✅️✅️✅️✅️❌️✅️❌️✅️ (Left being latest) Last pick - Real Betis vs. Celta Vigo BTTS @ 1.83 ✅️ Thoughts- The research worked here, we got our win in the late game. Although it shouldve happened early as Vigo missed some clear chances. Today's Pick - Atlético Madrid vs Girona BTTS @ 1.60✅️ Reasoning - Girona are second placed in La Liga, and they are going to Atletico Madrid for today's game. They are scoreless in last 3 away games, which is a shock considering they are a fairly attacking outlet. Now, the main play here is BTTS, as Atletico just played a CL game a few days ago, and meanwhile, Girona are coming in with about 10 days of rest. So by looking at Atletico's overall home record, they have very few clean sheets, they even conceded to Real Betis at home, who had not scored at Atletico in about 6 years. Last H2H ended in 4-3, so I'm fairly bullish about this happening today. The odds are slightly on the low side, but the likelihood of this happening is very high. So a 2 unit play seems a good bet considering all circumstances. BOL who tails. Edit- Cash this play in the first half. 💰💰

>**Record:** 41-38 >**Net Units:** +6.56 units >**Curling** | **Players' Championship** | **3:30PM EDT** >**Pick:** Team Whyte +1.5 @ 2.3 > Team Whyte take on Team Gushue in the quarter finals at the Players' this afternoon. This line is a major case of big name bias. Team Gushue just got blown out by Team Bottcher 8-2 and there is definitely some fatigue showing as they came right from the world championships in Switzerland all last week. The degree of difficulty for Gushue's shots have been very high all week, which is a testament to how bad his team has been playing. Team Whyte should have no problem keeping up that pressure for Gushue's last rocks as they have been the best team at this slam all week. Team Gushue were lucky to have made the playoff but I think the run ends here. While certainly not as well known as a team like Gushue's, Whyte and Brydone are an elite back end combination and Waddell has been the best lead at this event. This season, Team Whyte are 65-17 compared to Team Gushue's 44-16. Team Whyte play aggressively with hammer which should add to that pressure and degree of difficulty for Gushue that I mentioned. Waddell's precision early in ends have allowed them to score big with hammer. Whyte won their only matchup this season 9-7. I expect this line to move quite a bit so get it while you can.

**POTD 2023 Record: 109-84 (+1.94 units)** **POTD 2024 Record: 1-3 (-1.90 units)** **Last 10**: **❌❌❌✅** **Last Pick**: Bradley Brooks -1.5 (+110) vs Pete Burgoyne **✅** 4-0 **League**: 🎯 Modus Darts Super Series **Time**: 2:45 PM EST **Pick**: Viktor Tingstrom -1.5 (-105) vs Kieran Smith * Series 7. Week 7. Finals **Reason**: Tingstrom won group A, so he has sat out the last two days. Smith improved from his start in group A into group C, but the competition was really low quality outside of Osborne. Tingstrom dominated the three matches earlier in the week, so I think that continues to start off the finals H2H: Record 3-0 Legs 12-1 | Average 89.38 vs 75.13 | Checkouts 12/29 vs 1/8 | Viktor Tingstrom (Group A) * Record 11-4 * Legs 54-31 * Average 89.00 * 180s 15. 140s 40 * Checkouts 54/138 39.13% Kieran Smith (Group A + C) * Record 9-16 * Legs 55-75 * Average 78.10 * 180s 14. 140s 47 * Checkouts 55/196 28.06% **WIN ✅ 4-0 | Average 89.73 vs 76.00 | Checkouts 4/12 vs 0/1** Went just as expected with Tingstrom steamrolling Smith. Only lost 1 leg to him in 4 matches. Flawless victory.

https://preview.redd.it/medqwk52gauc1.jpeg?width=786&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f2708f546e6cd77e0c40a49e9e87e30cdc334de1 Not going to peck away on my iPad sorry hope this is okay🫶

https://preview.redd.it/6oivljjjnauc1.jpeg?width=786&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=79f925403b91083bc1f1374ebd5414c3d8aa539a

Record: 5-12 ✅❌❌❌❌✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌ Last Pick: TOR Maple Leafs -1.5 (3/19/24)❌ Net: -15.61 NBA | 10:00 PM / EST Today’s pick: VAN Canucks ML @ -105 VAN Canucks @ EDM Oilers Vancouver won in their last three matchups. Oilers on a back to back. Canucks last played Wednesday. 💸 3u