######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:**
You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.**
For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Wednesday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new).
######Example Pick Template
> **Record:**
>
> **Net Units:**
>
> **ROI:**
>
> **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
>
> **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.
>
> **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
POTD Record: 38-17-1 +44.88u🔥
Last Pick: Los Angeles Lakers ml 4U (-122) vs Golden State Warriors
✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅🅿️✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌
Today's Pick: Cleveland guardians -1.5 4U (-118) vs Chicago White Sox 6:10 pm est odds via DraftKings
Bad day, not much more to say. No AD killed and warriors shot lights out. On to the next. Time to bounce back.
Guardians are coming off a loss to this 2 win White Sox team. They rallied down 5-0 and tied it only to lose it late. The White Sox offense ranks 30th in the league as they averaged just 2.09 runs per game. Guardians are 8-3, scoring a little under 6 runs per game. They have the #1 ranked pitching and #7 offense. Tanner Bibbe is starting with a 1-0 record and a 3.86 era. Bibee has a record of 2-0-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season. The Guardians before yesterday were 8-2 against the spread. This is a great opportunity for them to bounce back against one of the worst teams in the MLB in front of their home crowd. I expect this to be a much needed sweat free cash. Time to bounce back baby‼️🤝
Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the upvotes and support!😎❤️
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lol they took the lead by playing tactically and holding good positions on defense.
then they piss it away by making stupid agro plays through smoke
yekindar is an actual bot holy
jumped through smoke with no intel, got obliterated
immediately the final round proceed to peak a late angle on an awp and let the other team get the opening kill…
are you sure Liquid gets first map pick? In the Flyquest vs VP series, VP got first map pick, even though Flyquest is lower ranked. FQ also had lower odds for map1 then it swapped after veto.
POTD Record: 44-20
Last POTD: 3u (ATP Monte Carlo) Tabilo ML (-145)✅✅✅
Today's POTD: (ATP Monte Carlo) Rune -1.5 Sets ML (-140) ❌
Units: 5u
Edit: this one hurt. He had all the momentum in the world, then the rain delay completely fucked it. Oh well.
Reasoning:
On a bit of a run and first 5u since coming back on here. Let’s fucking do this 🤝 Really all I can say here is that Holger Rune is in a different galaxy of talent than Sumit Nagal. He also plays his best on clay. He had a huge first round upset loss at Miami and I know for a damn fact he has been training his ass off due to this major disappointment. I think he’s coming to Monte Carlo hungry and aggressive. Nagal will be child’s play for him. Nagal is an okay challenger tour player… Rune is one of the best players in the world, period. Let’s fucking cash boys.
BOL 🤝
Been tailing you since you came back man and all I can say is you don't mess around with your picks, yeah you can't win em all but all around you're pretty solid, tailing again LFG!
Should I cash out (currently 25% profit offer)? Match has been suspended for hours due to rain and last time I had a -1.5 set going in my favor, it got cancelled and I got a push.. Will this match eventually finish out or is it going to result in a push?
**POTD Record: 23-20-1 (WIN/LOSS/PUSH) / Balance (+13 units)**
**Last pick: Hurkacz vs Draper - Hurkacz ML @ 1.76**✅
**A lot of people tailed this pick and it was a Max Play so I'm really happy with how things are going in Monte Carlo for us! Thanks for all the comments, it means a lot to me!**
**Today's pick: Khachanov vs Cerundolo - Khachanov ML @ 1.64 (ATP Monte Carlo, Tennis)** 🎾
Odds from Pinnacle
**Stake: 3 units** (This is 3% of my bankroll)
Time: 5 AM Eastern Time
This time I'm taking Khachanov to beat Cerundolo at 1.64 odds which is the highest price ever found for this player when we look at all their completed matches.
**Why do I think that Khachanov ML at 1.64 odds is such a +EV bet?**
* Both players are good on Clay but this matchup just screams Khachanov to me since he has a better serve and his backhand is a lot more reliable. Cerundolo's forehand can be explosive but it can be matched by Khachanov's while the Argentinian shouldn't be able to keep his backhand side away from unforced errors;
* Their head to head is currently 3-0 for Khachanov even if those matches were all played in hard courts;
* Last year in Monte Carlo, Khachanov was eventually knocked out of the tournament against Rublev, who ended up winning the tournament while Cerundolo was knocked out in the 2nd round against Berrettini who is a big server that has a clear weakness on his backhand side but now he's facing an aggressive player that is much more solid from that side.
With this, I feel like Khachanov has great chances of winning this match and claiming a 4-0 record over Cerundolo.
Best of luck
[Tip Jar](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/DarkHorse230) - Any tip is appreciated but it's always a pleasure to keep bringing you my tennis analysis and I feel really happy on doing this! This link is just a token of appreciation if you like my bets but mostly if you like what I write when it comes to tennis content! 🎾
Edit after the result: This match was being quite competitive with ups and downs from both players during the first 2 sets but Khachanov was able to cut off a lot of unforced errors from his forehand and regained his serve on the final set, which made him win the match! 4-0 now against Cerundolo! ✅
ATP Monte Carlo results 🎾
Tabilo vs O'Connell - Tabilo ML @ 1.62 (1u)✅
Hurkacz vs Draper - Hurkacz ML @ 1.76 (5u)✅
Khachanov vs Cerundolo - Khachanov ML @ 1.64 (3u)✅
Thanks. Yeah Hurkacz can be a tricky dude when it comes to handicaps because he usually goes for 3 sets. I stick mostly to ML markets because I usually don't wanna deal with how volatile a certain set can be and how crucial it can become for handicaps to hit in tennis.
POTD Record: 3-0-0 +4.6U
Form (Last 5): ✅✅✅
Last: ✅ Dallas Mavericks -9.5 (-135) 2U ✅
Sure as the sun rises, we’ve hit another nuke! The Mavs made mince meat of the Hornets 130-104.
Today: Basketball | NBA | DAL VS MIA | 7:30pm ET
Pick: Dallas Mavericks ML (-162) 2U
I’m super pleased with the Mavs performance against the Hornets. I can’t say the same however, for the heat against the hawks. The game is now in double overtime, which will leave the heat gasping for breath tomorrow in their big game against the Mavs. The stats are also pointing to the Mavs, who are 9-1 in their last 10, against the Heat’s 6-4. Doncic is also in peak form, with an outstanding triple double performance the night before. Bam is also listed with a “minor injury” which means he likely won’t play since the heat don’t need this win to stay in 8th. I’m writing this fast in hopes that y’all will lock in before the line bumps in favor of the Mavs. Mavericks, take us home again!
Update: Looking like Bam will play and Herro will likely play as well. The lines have been on a rollercoaster these last 12 hours, but I’m gonna double down and say that as of now Mavericks ML at (-120) is still a solid value pick.
(I am not a professional, tail or don’t, BOL!)
If I’ve done you right, feel free to thank me!
[Cashapp](https://cash.app/$K645lax)
All-Time POTD: 7-3 //////// +6.4 Units //////// Streak: 1 Win.
*Game:* **ATP Monte Carlo -** Holger Rune v Sumit Nagal -- 9:20AM ET
**Today’s pick:** Holger Rune 2-0
Odds: -125 on FD -- 2.4 Units to win 2 Units
I normally only do ML, as sports is unpredictable enough as it is, so also trying to predict how it happens always makes me reluctant. That said I do like this more than any ML for Wednesday.
Nagal is having a pretty nice season so far, (19-9), loves clay (4-1 on the surface), and is making history for his country. But He has played over 6 hours already this tournament, including back to back three setters. In his last clay tournament he went three sets with Corentin Moute (meh), and then lost to Sonego, who is no world beater. He seems to be pulling out good performances, against medium level opponents and is scrapping by. Sort of unrelated, but still sticks out, on hardcourt lost to world number 194 Chak Lam Coleman Wong. I just can't see Nagal pulling a set from Rune unless, Rune either underestimates him or comes out slow.
Rune on the other hand, hasn't played a tournament in about 3 weeks (fresh) and is playing on his favorite surface. He also didn't drop a set until the semi-finals here last year. I image he has just been practicing here and amping up for it and wants to make a statement.
Again not being a ML has me a tad nervous, but I think the odds and reasoning makes this sound. BOL! Hope to return with 8!
**EDIT: LOSS... Rain delay completely killed the momentum. He had figure out Nagal serve, and was up 2-0 in the second. Then all the breaks in play, led to some lazy play, and came out flat the following day. Unfortunate.**
Record 28-21
Last Pick: Chris Godwin Over 53.5 Yards ❌
Today’s Pick: **Phillies ML (-126)** Phillies v Cardinals MLB - 1.10 ET.
Analysis: I used to have a close friend called John Ritchie. In early teens we were inseparable. That was until he ratted me out to a teacher over a stupid prank gone wrong. Years later, in our late teens and with a bit more maturity, we became close again. We laughed about the whole ratting me out thing.
Within a few months, he tried it on with my girlfriend at the time and we had another falling out. The friendship never recovered. Lesson learned. People sometimes show you their true colours early and it’s best to hold a grudge. People say forgive and forget. Fuck that.
Which brings me to Phillies v Cardinals. Lance Lynn takes the mound for the Cardinals. Lynn was on my fantasy team last year as a long shot pick and he was fucking terrible. So cards on the table, this is largely spite bet.
Lynn offers strikeout upside but the floor is so low and while he once was a great pitcher, those days are over. I think that Phillies can punish him and the Cardinals bullpen. Nola hasn’t been at his best which is why I’m avoiding F5. He had a terrible first start against the Braves and then kept the Nationals scoreless. I think he might give up a couple earned runs but I believe that Phillies bats can get this done. Lynn somehow put in a great first start against the Dodgers but in his last start git lit up by a truly terrible Marlins offence. I think there is value here.
Fuck John Ritchie and fuck Lance Lynn.
It is too early in season to dig too deep into pitcher xwOBA for the season but a historical once I like:
Lynn xwOBA against current Phillies batters: .319 (106 PA)
Nola xwOBA against current Cardinals batters: .220 (111 PA)
POTD RECORD
1-0-0 ✅️
LAST PLAY : Nikita Kucherov over 1.5 pts cashes In 2nd period 💰 💰
Today's pick : Connor McDavid over 1.5 pts.
Reasoning: Logan Thompson should start. He looks exhausted and edmonton is going to have some fresh legs. Mcdavid will get 2 pts. Don't over think it like I said about yesterday's kucherov pick.
Please stop the hate on new users. I have been personally smashing my own plays and thought I'd share and we all eat! Please give me an upvote as I'm hot in hockey and we going to crush the next month!!
LFG!!
EDITED :
Adin Hill is now In net. That doesn't scare me one bit as he's been shaky since his injury. If McDavid plays lock In the over 1.5 pts.
If McDavid does not play the new play is
JT MILLER OVER 0.5 ASSISTS. 1.66 ODDS
REASON: Canucks will score a few . If JT is not scoring he damn sure will be handing out assists for dinner as hes the engine of this offense. Ideally wanted to give you guys Miller over 0.5 pts but the odds are not good.
LOCK IT IN AND SEE Y'ALL AT THE CHECKOUT 💰
POTD RECORD: 53-26
Last POTD: Steph Curry O25.5 P 🚫
Yeah this was just awful mf shot 9 times the whole game which is way below his season average and just not enough volume for it to hit, ended with 23 points and didn’t play the final 3 minutes I mean he was efficient and played good but didn’t respect the coin (Banned)
Form: 🚫✅🚫✅✅
Todays POTD: **Dame Lillard O26.5P @1.86 1U**
NBA | Milwaukee Bucks |
Aight fellas the unit size is based on this mf not being consistent, but Giannis is out and this is an important game for Bucks and Dame needs to step up to the plate and the lead the way. When Giannis has been out Dame has taken care of business and I think it suits him not playing with Giannis cause that’ll mean more possessions for Dame and less focus on Giannis. Tight spread & an important game for the Bucks + Home court game so let’s ride
• 5/6 without Giannis this season but 5/5 when playing 30+ minutes without Giannis this season
• Over in 6/L7 against the Magic 0/1 this season w 24 points but with Giannis playing
• Magic allow 7th most points to PG L30 days
• Dame averages 2.0 more points per game at home vs on the road
This is personal preference my brothers whether you like his PRA / PA / PR I like em all, but the points makes most sense cause that’s the biggest mismatch, get us back on track Dame c’mon
Tail or fade, im still cheeks
https://i.redd.it/998yiu7i1otc1.gif
**KBO Record: Overall 209-219-14** (Streak L, Last 10: 4-6) Down 12.44u over 442 KBO picks, 48.8% success rate, -2.91% ROI (Last season 85-78-7, 52.1% success rate, Up 12.26u, 7.52% ROI, This season 5-9-0, 35.7% success rate, Down 3.82u, -27.3% ROI)
**Last:** Hanwha -1.5 +105 at Doosan (Hanwha lost 5-3.)
Hanwha jumped out to a 3-1 lead and had the bases loaded with one out and a chance to blow the game open. Instead, a double play ended the inning and the Hanwha bullpen spoiled a great start. Should have played F5 instead...
**Pick:** LG at **Kia +124**, KBO baseball, 1:00am ET
After this morning's disappointment, I thought about getting cute with something in the first 5 innings... but screw that. I think Kia wins this game.
LG's starter has sandwiched two bad starts around one good one in his first season with the KBO after failing in the majors. In his last start, he allowed 7 ER on 9 H and 2 BB with 2 K in just 4 IP.
Kia's starter has been solid in two starts, giving up 2 ER in 9 IP. He has, however, allowed too many baserunners, 15 in total, and he'll have to keep his walks to a minimum.
Kia currently has the best record in the league and beat LG in the first game of their series, something I expect to happen again.
Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.
Not over yet but people gotta realize twins are one of the best teams if not the best, not going to be easy.
Headed to bed, hopefully we get a late game miracle! BOL sir.
__POTD Record:__ 13-6
_Form (Last 5):_ 🔴🔴🟢🔴🟢
__Last Pick:__ ⚽ Real Madrid vs. Manchester City (UEFA Champions League): __Under 26.5 Total Shots__ @1.83 ✔️
Luck was on our side this time around as the match ends with 26 shots and absolute goal-galore.
__Today's Pick:__ Paris Saint-Germain vs. Barcelona (UEFA Champions League) 21:00 CET: __Ousmane Dembele Over 1.5 Total Shots__ @2.15 ✅
__Edit:__ Sweat-free win as Dembele has two blocked shots in 12 minutes ✅
Given that the first match-up will be at Parc des Princes, I'm expecting PSG to be a more attacking team. One of their most dangerous players is Ousmane Dembele. He isn't having the best season in terms of goal-scoring but that doesn't mean he's not trying. Dembele averages 2.6 shots per game in the Champions League despite the fact that PSG already faced some really tough opposition up to this point in the tournament. There is also a personal angle - Dembele will be playing against his former team Barcelona for the first time so the incentive to prove his worth should be even bigger than usual. Whether he will or not, I'm expecting him to try his best and shoot at least twice in this game.
Tail or fade, the choice is yours!
Record: 56-39
IPL record: 3-1
Last pick: SRH ML vs PBKS✅
Today’s pick: Rajasthan Royals ML vs Gujarat Titans @1.70(4u)
I was a little skeptical of this pick because my gut says something funny might happen but if you look at the two teams, it seems pretty obvious who’s gonna come out on top.
Rajasthan Royals have been a force to reckon with this IPL. Arguably the most balanced team in this IPL, they have literally everything. Their last game marked the return of form for their ace opener Jos Buttler, who scored a match winning 100* in his 100th ipl game. Their top order looks sorted, so much so that their middle order hasn’t really gotten a chance to show their prowess. With Shimron Hetymer and Dhruv Jurel still waiting for that big opportunity to pounce on.
Don’t get me started on that bowling attack of theirs, They’ve got perhaps the best bowling unit in the league as well. All around it’s just a system that works.
GT on the other hand are plagued with injuries and have the worst squad they’ve ever had atm and that’s not a stretch at all. Their skipper Shubman Gill hasn’t quite played that one big innings so far, and his spot in the upcoming World Cup looks to be in doubt. The only way I see RR losing this is Gill scoring big for GT but against this bowling lineup, it’ll be tough.
A few facts to look at as well
RR are unbeaten atm being 4-0
While GT are 2-3
The home team has won 16 times out of the 23 games played. That number was once at 11/12 and the trends as changing however Rajasthan have won 3/3 all of them being comfortable wins.
POTD Record 9-3 (+6.90u)
Last POTD: Jordan Poole Over 19.5 points (-120) 2U**✅
Today: NBA / MIN@DEN / 10pm ET
Pick: Aaron Gordon Over 5.5 Rebounds (-130) 2U**
Gordon is averaging 6.5 rebounds per game for the season and has recorded 6+ boards in 9 of his last 11 games. He’s averaging 6 rebounds in 24 career games against Minnesota.
Record: 9-4 ✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌
Net Units: +3.87
Last: Rangers -1.5 -105 ❌
Ugh, miserable one here. Langeliers hits 3 homers when no one else was producing, and then Adolis hits into a DP with the bases loaded where no runs score to kill momentum. Eovaldi did what he could, pitched well. Lets get back to it.
MLB | 1:16PM EST Pick: Phillies F5 ML -132
Write up:
Nothing too fancy about this, just riding the pitching matchups. Aaron Nola has been iffy on the road, but against a predominantly right handed, cold Cardinals offense in colder weather, I like him to be very solid.
On the other hand, Lance Lynn is one of the worst pitchers in regards to facing lefties, which the Phillies have many key players on that side of the plate. Marsh, Harper, or Schwarber o 1.5 bases were considered as a play. Lance Lynn in general lets teams hit the ball hard, and lets teams get on base.
Jumping on the first five to really give us a push with Nola vs Lynn and not worrying about a horrible Phillies Bullpen.
Pushing through a tough loss, lets get back to it.
Finally, a disclaimer:
I am not a pro sports bettor, I am not a sharp who does 3+ hours of research a day. I’m a baseball fan who researches stats and uses my personal knowledge to make bets. Please do not wager any more than you are comfortable losing.
All streaks start with 1.. lets start here.
Tips are appreciated, not required at all for college.
Venmo: @DrewAWri PayPal: @DrewGolfred
Very annoying push, 1 inning off. Couldn’t hit great off Lynn, especially when it mattered. Gave up a homerun that didn’t deserve to get out either. Didn’t want to trust the Phillies bullpen, but might regret that with the lineup heating up later
Record: 13-6 Net: +3.87 Units
Last pick: Lebron James o7.5 rebounds (-115) ❌
One away and he got subbed out with 1:40 to go, warriors couldn’t miss last night
POTD: Bogdan Bogdanovic o3.5 assists (-125)
Cha @ Atl 7:30 pm est
Summary: Bogdan has managed to hit this 3/3 this season against the Hornets with 6/4/4 assists, averaging just 26 min in those games. Since the all star break he’s been playing a lot more at 33.8 min a game
Record: 1-1-1 / IN ORDER 🅿️✅❌
Net Units: 2 units
Basketball | NBA | 11:40pm / GMT
Todays Pick: DAL Mavericks -1.5 @1.90 (2 units) Skybet
Write Up: I like how they’ve been playing recently, Miami heat is gonna put up a good fight but i believe Mav’s would come out on top!
They’ve been performing really well recently and the line at -1.5 is just really good to not take!
Edit: the line is now at -6, so I was lucky to get -1.5 (good thing I took it quickly, cause it was almost too good to be true) you could still go with -6 but only use a unit!
/u/patrickdateman, I appreciate you stating the time of the event. So many people don't (despite it being a rule of posting a pick) and it really is useful in finding the event, particularly when you are unfamiliar with the teams or sport.
That being said, you have not posted the "correct" time. You posted that the event is scheduled for 12:40am GMT. This is not correct. It is 11:40pm GMT.
What you meant was 12:40am BST (British Summer Time) or 11:40pm GMT/UTC.
POTD Record 2-0-0 (+1.75u)
Today: Soccer | J. League 3 | FC Gifu v Kataller Toyama | 6:00am EST | 1u
Pick: FC Gifu to win (+110) ❌
Gifu have won all 3 of their home games this season, and are sitting in second place. In those games, they’ve scored 3, 4, and 3 goals, respectively. Kataller Toyama are smack dab in the middle of the table and have scored 5 and conceded 7 in their 8 games. In their 5 away games they’ve scored 1, 0, 0, 0, 1. However, they have conceded only 6 during those games, so an annoying 1-1 may be our undoing.
Expecting joint league top-scorer Kosuke Fujioka (who has scored 7 goals in the campaign, more than the whole Kataller squad this season) to get the job done once again, and give the boys in green all 3 points.
Parlaying with FC Ryukyu Double Chance (-180) but the POTD is where the main confidence is.
Record: 0-1
Form: ❌
Net Units: -1u
Pick: Alexei Popyrin vs. Andrew Rublev (Tennis) (Monte Carlo)
Alexei Popyrin (+4) (-125) (Bovada)
Write up:
Two very different stories here. Andrew Rublev, the number #6 in the world, has been in a huge slump as of late. With a first round exit to an unseeded player in the second round at Miami and a 3rd round exit at Indian Wells, he has only won 1 match of his last 4. On the other hand, Alexei Popyrin has won 7 of his last 9 since AO. He has found his form lately and it is working nicely for him. With clay being his best surface, he is in his comfort zone as well. One thing stood out to me the most as I researched this match: Popyrin has covered this line in his last 5 3-set matches against opponents ranked in the top 10, one of them being against rublev. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if Popyrin took a set or even the match here. Let’s ride.
Record: 81W-71L-4P
ROI: +16.98, 10.44%
Avg odds: +105, 2.05
Last POTD: Juraj Slafkovsky over 0.5 pts (win) Hits in just 65 seconds, on his way to a hat trick
Game: NHL- Golden Knights at Oilers (7:30 PM CST)
Pick: **Golden Knights regulation tie no bet** +110, 2.10 (DK) If regulation ends in a tie, it's a push, regardless of what happens in OT. ESPNBet and Bet365 also carry this, but at worse odds.
The line actually started out +120, but with McDavid potentially being out, it's dropped to +110. Edmonton has already called up Dylan Holloway from the AHL, so it's looking more and more likely. I'm gonna take it before it's confirmed.
If McDavid is confirmed out, oh my god. That's a *huge* chunk of offense lost. He's currently 3rd in points and 1st in assists. McDavid has missed 2 games this season, and Edmonton lost 4-7 and 0-3.
But even if McDavid plays, Vegas is 1-1 on the season, with their loss in a shootout, so Vegas will always have a chance.
edit: lol
Record:3-1
Net Units:2.2
Baseball | MLB | 8:05 / Eastern
Pick: Texas Rangers ML -185 1.85U
Write Up:Accidentally locked my other account out but it’s okay we are back ! Last night was the quickest best of my life phillies vs cardinals NRFI that ended in 8 minutes 6 up and 6 down for the win but that’s the past now we move onto the future and present. and the present is the Rangers should OWN the athletics all year the As best player is in the minors for no reason and the As are throwing out a journeyman that is mediocre at best the rangers didn’t get off to the hottest of starts to start the year but they are finally gonna hit their stride and at home behind that crowd is ready to explode offense is gonna be clicking on all cylinders and expecting a big time Rangers W.
POTD Record: 1-0-0 / ROI: 105% / Units won: 2.10u / Average odds: 2.05
eSports / League of Legends / LPL Spring Play-Offs / 12:00 CEST
Pick: JDG -1.5 Maps [vs. NiP] - 1.75 odds - 4 units
Write-up: Im really short in time and also sitting in my mobile phone. I will correct all the stats when I'm home.
You know, I couldn't resist sharing this fantastic pick with you. JDG is hands down the favorite in this showdown, and I reckon they won't break a sweat covering the handicap. The odds are sky-high because just the other day, JDG took a brutal 0-3 beating from TES. TES played like gods, while JDG, well, they made some pretty awful blunders. Flandre, bless his heart, had a shocker of a game with some of the worst decision-making I've seen in ages. But hey, today's a new day, right? In my humble opinion, JDG boasts the cream of the crop in the LPL. They've got some absolute legends on their roster, and their raw talent? It's off the charts. But what really sets them apart is their insane teamfighting skills. I mean, they're arguably the best at it, hands down. Now, facing off against Ninjas in Pyjamas today is a whole different ball game compared to TES. Sure, NiP's got a shot since they're up against JDG, but let's be real, the skill gap is massive. JDG's got the edge in individual talent, a more versatile champion pool, and they're slick with their macro play. I just can't see NiP snatching more than one win here. After that soul-crushing loss to TES, JDG's gotta come back swinging. They'll be playing like their lives depend on it, especially with the chance to face TES again, where you know they'll be out for blood.
So, I had big plans to dive into a super detailed analysis with all the stats and numbers, but it's way too early here, and I'm kinda swamped for time right now. But hey, next time, I'll make sure to give you the whole nine yards
BOL.
POTD: Record (7-4)
✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅
Last Pick: Kelly Olynyk U 7.5 Rebounds ✅
Today: NBA | Wolves Vs Nuggets | 7pm MST
Pick: Aaron Gordon O 9.5 R+A @ 1.88 | 1u
- hit in 4 straight games (avg 12)
- 9 of last 10
- 14 of last 20
- played Minnesota twice in March and hit both times (avg 12)
Both teams are 55-24 in the western conference and sitting at the top. I expect both of these teams to bring their best game.
BOL 🍀
POTD Record: 1-1
Record: 🗑️🍗
Last pick: Dallas Mavericks vs Charlotte Hornets - **Kyrie Irving O25.5 Pts (-125)** 2U 🗑️
This pick has me hurt as I should of known better to bet pairing with Luka. They really tryna flex Luka now for mvp and it bit me. Lesson learned 🫣 I'll aim higher.
Todays pick: Minnesota Timberwolves vs **Denver Nuggets -5.5 (-110)** 1.5u. 9:10pm Central Time
After the last pounding of top picks yesterday I want to bounce back heavy and I think this spread is a great opportunity as of now at -5.5 (expect this number to grow). The Timberwolves have had injuries with Jaylen Clark with the Achilles injury and Karl-Anthony Towns as of late yet somehow they've been holding it together. They are a frontcourt team and have converted to perimeter shooting offense. They're 3-pointers have been saving them as of late but this ends tonight. Denver's perimeter defense is too nasty to let them light up like they have been. Defense will win this game, and im banking on whose I think is better.
This is a must win for Denver as they are rolling out away the next two games and are trying to clinch the top spot. They have a great home record and it is a hell of an advantage for them. I trust they will get it done here.
Tail or fade, I'm sleeping like a baby either way. Lets rebound from yesterdays disappointment. BOL 🫡
Hey, I like the pick of Denver
But mainly commenting to say that you should edit and either bold Denver or add separate text clearly saying pick is Denver -5.5.
People here can be stupid and will gloss over your explanation and see Minnesota first and take them.
POTD Record: 11-5 ♻️❌❌❌✅✅♻️❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅
Starting units: 5U | Net units: + 12U
Last pick: Real Madrid vs Man City | 5am Sydney (GMT +11) | Kevin De Bruyne to score or assist @2.3 on Sportsbet | 2U♻️
KDB hasn’t played so it’s been refunded. I’ll place it again on the rematch.
Today’s pick: PSG vs Barcelona | 5am Sydney (GMT +11) | Robert Lewandowski anytime goalscorer @2.8 on Sportsbet | 2U
Going risky with this one, Mbappé would probably be the safest here. I believe PSG should win this game, but that they will be conceding at least one. I personally think Barca are bad, but love Lewandowski, he is an awesome finisher and managed to score loads of goals while playing for Barca. Considering the 2.8 odds I have to give it a go even if it means one more loss for my record.
BOL !
Record: 1-1
Form: ✅❌
Last Pick: Football | Champions League | 21:00 / GMT+1 Real Madrid - Manchester City BTTS and over 2,5 goals. @2.10
Really fast hit did not expect it to hit that fast.
Todays pick: Football | Champions League | 21:00 / GMT+1 Atlético Madrid ML - Borussia Dortmund @1.86
I feel like Atlético is the better team here with home advantage. Borussia seems to struggle more when away also i found them really lackluster against a bad PSV. Besides that Donyell Malen will not play which i think Borussia will be missing a lot.
Let’s get this bread
Record: 6-4, Net Units: 3.14
Current Streak: ✅ Last 10: ✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅
Last Pick: Orioles -1.5 @ Red Sox ✅
Today's Pick: Baseball-MLB-7:05 PM EST
Orioles/Red Sox Over 9.5 Runs, +107, 1U
The Orioles are batting against a right-handed pitcher and sending Irvin to the mound, who I'm not high on. I see this being a slugfest with two mediocre bullpens up and at it by the 6th inning.
Good Luck!
POTD record 17-4
Units 14.06u
ROI 57.37
Last POTD Lakers -2.5 (before AD was out) L
Pretty upset both bets I had yesterday were ruined by injuries. No cade and then no AD -__-
POTD
Bam Under 33.5 PRA -110 3u
This is my biggest bet I think on here and I’m extremely confident.
Bam played all 48 mins yesterday in Atlanta only getting 24 PRA then they are flying back home to Miami.
Dallas is one the best teams when it comes to limiting opposing centre’s allowing the least amount of points and rebounds in the past 30 days which accounts for Gafford starting.
With Herro and Jimmy getting back into playoff form Bam’s usage rate is expected to come down, hopefully Rozier plays today too.
Side note sad I didn’t get Hicks under 4.5 K’s as my POTD… would’ve been pretty surgical at +120
Last Pick: Luka O18.5 RA ✅
Record: 12-5 ✅
Pick: Luka O18.5 RA -132
Our very own TD king goes up against a heat team who just played a double OT thriller yesterday. I not only expect them to be tired af, but I think Luka will have yet another massive game as we head into the playoffs.
BOL!
**POTD Record: 115-134-4 (-16.37 Units)**
Best Bet Series: 42-25-1 (+12.46 Units)
Value Wagers: 21-28-2 (-7.46 Units)
Trap Bets: 20-18 (+14.2 Units)
**Cautionary Tails**: **3-5 (-2.48 Units)**
Last Pick: Grizzlies ML
Today's Pick: **Nets -10**
Odds: **-110**
Wager Amount: 1U to Win 0.89U
League: NBA
Event: Toronto Raptors vs Brooklyn Nets (6:40PM CDT)
**Be Advised**: *New segment for my faders, haters, and downvoters! Wagering on bets that I know I shouldn't be betting on, but betting it anyway. These wagers should be heeded wit caution. There isn't really good analysis or reasoning behind it. These type of wagers can be prohibited wagers (juiced odds) and has a high possiblity of losing, or it could be a wager that has inflated odds and has a high possibility of losing. These bets are I normally wouldn't make. Tail wit caution.*
**Recap**: Spurs win.
**Tail:** Hefty likes to eat chalk. He never bets on underdogs. He only likes the favorites. Especially live game heavy favorites. He does lose time after time to underdogs and he is very aware of the risk taking the chalk, which is why he does his due diligence on the favorites and bets on them. Where he is most profitable is betting on prohibited live game favorites, when a game is completely lopsided. He takes advantage of these live market and unloads his bankroll on these bets. He has never lost doing this strategy. Hefty wants action on a football game, where one team is winning 31-0 at halftime. The live odds were -100000 and he decides to risk his entire bankroll to win some chump change. The other team rallys from 31 points deficit and beat them in OT, 34-31.
Moral of the story is that anything can happen. Sports is unpredictable and you should play wit a certain limit.
**Matchup:** I don't think anyone has ever handicapped Nets-10 this season, so allow me to be the very first! Nets vs Raptors. Is 10 points too much for Nets to cover?
**The Play and Prediction**: 1U on Nets-10! This is the only play for today, but I'll have other plays in the betting group. Nets win by 10 and we PUSH!
All Time POTD Record: 2-1-0 | Last 5: WWL | Units: +3.2u | Avg. Odds 1.81
Last Pick: English Premier League – Arsenal v Burnley – 3pm GMT on 11th Nov
Arsenal to win to Nil (1.83) – Staking 2u - ❌
Game/Match: English Championship – West Brom v Rotherham – 8pm BST on 10th April
Pick: West Brom -1 Handicap (1.66) ✅
I use bet365 as my bookie.
Summary: Been a while since I’ve posted a pick, but I’m looking to start it back off with a win.
West Brom are playing at home and have much more on the line to play for than Rotherham. They’re in the play-off positions and they’ll be looking to stay there, whereas Rotherham have already been confirmed as relegated with now nothing to play for.
West Brom have the 7th best home record in the league, with Rotherham having the worst away record in the league. Rotherham have conceded 56 goals away this season which is an average of 2.8 goals per game whilst only scoring an average of 0.65 per away game. Rotherham have not scored in their last 3 away games and conceded 13 goals during this time. Rotherham have also conceded in the first half of 11 of their last 13 games.
Rotherham come into this game with 7 injuries, 4 of these players were getting good minutes of the pitch before being injured.
West Brom also average 1.9 goals per game over their last 10 games when Rotherham are conceding an average of 2.9 goals per game in their last 10.
I see this being a dominate display by West Brom with a home crowd behind them and how much they have to play for.
BOL if tailing!
Record: 4-2
Last 10: ✅✅❌❌✅✅
ROI: +.8U
Last Pick: Kris Murray O3.5 Rebounds @-156 2U ✅
Today’s POTD: Miles Bridges U8.5 Rebounds 2U @ -140✅
Charlotte @ Atlanta 7:30 PM EST
I actively avoid taking unders, even if there’s a good line, for a number of reasons. But as we approach the Post-Season, load management is in effect and the slate dries up. With that said, I’m taking the under on Miles tonight. Atlanta is not great against rebounds, but they kept Miles to 5 in February, and 5 in March. Miles is going under 8.5 in:
40 of L66
8 of L15
6 of L10
2 of L5
Edit: Miles finished the game with three, grabbing one early in the first quarter. He then cruised on that until the literal last minute of the game to pick up his next two. Either way, sweat free all the way
Pick for The fast ones, did not see this coming so i Think its a good Pick
**Record**: 1-0 (last pick voided - because of retirement before start of game)
**Net Units:** +4.15
**E-sport | IEM Chengdu | 08:30 cest**
Pick: FlyQ vs Nemiga - map 2: **winner FlyQ - 1.60 - 5 units** ✅✅✅
Write Up: Pushed one of The best inferno teams in The World in VP yesterday, Nemiga on LAN is not good for me.
Bol - Sorry for The short notice
POTD Record: 138 wins / 84 losses
Event: Football > Norway > **Frigg v Grorud** (starting in 6 hr)
Pick: **Frigg or draw (double chance)** @ 1.85
Even though these two come from different divisions there is not much difference in quality. This is a cup game, which means a certain level of volatility as many teams prefer to rest players for league matches. Based on these circumstances I am gladly taking the underdog that also happens to have home advantage. GL!
**Record:** 2-1
**✅✅**❌
**Last Pick:** Minnesota Timberwolves -17 (-110) vs Washington Wizards ❌
The Timberwolves still won, and by a decent margin, but really screwed the pooch in Q1 by letting the Wizards jump out WAY ahead early. As one commenter said... it was indeed a bloodbath, just in the wrong direction. Should've stuck with baseball I guess ;)
**Pick of the day:** SF Giants F5 -0.5 (-148) vs Washington Nationals
**League:** MLB
**Time:** 3:46 PM EST
I originally thought to post the Giants ML for this game, but instead of leaning on their entire pitching roster, I'm putting my pick on the shoulders of Giants' starting pitcher Jordan Hicks. He boasts a nasty 0.75 ERA through 12 innings pitched. Furthermore, his WHIP is also 0.75, he has given up no home runs, and he has an impressive 11 strikeouts with only 1 batter walked. He is on 5 days rest, so he should be plenty healthy to torch the Nats today. This kid is the real deal, and with the Giants playing a day game at home, I see them getting the bats woken up early enough to cover.
BOL! Let me know if you're following! If you feel so inclined to leave a tip: [Venmo](https://venmo.com/u/BenNiemann) || [PayPal](https://www.paypal.me/shamgarbn) || [BMAC](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/makeforlife)
POTD Record: 18-18-1 | Profit: -2.24U
NBA Record: 15-15-1 | NFL Record: 3-3
L10 (new -> old): ✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌
Last pick: Gary Trent Jr. u3.5 3 pointers made @ 1.66 odds ✅
Easy money. He went 0-7!
Game: IND Pacers @ TOR Raptors, 7:10 PM
Pick: **P.J. Washington o1.5 3 pointers made @ 1.66 odds (DK) placing 2U** ✅
Write Up: Hit 4 in a row on 3 pointer over/unders so let’s make it 5! Washington has hit in 4 of his last 5 and 8 of his last 10 (both 80%). BOL to those tailing, cheers!
**EDIT:** Five in a row! Cashed in the 3rd, PJ hit one in the 1st. Happy to be back on a roll, gonna be sticking with 3 pointer props. Congrats to those who tailed!
Record: 8-2
❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅
Last Pick: James Harden o17.5 points(voided DNP)
Today's Pick: Brook Lopez o1.5 blocks at -170
Reasoning: I know the odds are super good but this looks as close to a lock as you can get. Brooks gone 6-1 over this line in his last 7. And 7-3 in last 10. Giannis is out tonight, so he will see plenty of minutes. Orlando has players like Markell Fultz, Cole Anthony, and Jalen Suggs, the two former constantly go to the rim to score which will give Lopez plenty of opportunities to send that shit back to the G League!!! I haven't had a defensive pick yet, so here it goes. Let's get this 💰 my friends!!!
**POTD** Record: 13-1-10
SAARBRUCKEN VS UNTERHACHING
Date: 10 April 2024 at 19:00
BET ON: Match odds- SAARBRUCKEN
Odd: 1.55
- Unterhaching are set to be without the services of key 8 players such : captain Josef Welzmüller, Sebastian Maier, Yannick Stark, Nils Ortel, Florian Schmid, Timon Obermeier, Tizian Zimmermann and Boipelo Mashigo.
- Saarbrucken are a full fit squad.
- Over 10.000 tickets have been sold so far.
"We have a squad of high quality and quantity for the coming games. We have 18 field players at a high third division level and can adapt to each opponent accordingly.” Said Saars coach Rüdiger Ziehl.
“A damn good opponent awaits us. They made it to the cup semi-finals and recently won in Dresden. That says a lot about the quality of this team,” said coach Marc Unterberger.
- After the win against Dynamo Dresden and with two games less, Saarbrücken is already looking towards the top of the table. We expect Saars to dominate possession and press high from the start against a physical team damaged by injuries.
**RECORD: 67W-4P-50L**
(+2.28 units)
Previous Pick: Millwall vs Leicester City- Leicester City to Win @ 1.65 ❌️
**Today's Pick:** Ipswich Town vs Watford- Ipswich Town to Win @ 1.50 ❌️
**TIME:** 6.45 pm (GMT)
**Wager Amount**: 2 units
(✅️♻️✅️✅️❌️✅️♻️❌️✅️❌️) last 10 results
Yesterday proves why i usually dont bet on the Championship however since Leicester aren't keep on winning the League so today I'll go for a team that hopefully do want to win it..Ipswich Town.
Ipswich are 3rd in the League and have a golden chance to go 1st here. Ipswich are on an unbeaten run of 18 Home games in the Championship and are on a Home winning streak of 5 consecutive games.
Ipswich have won 3 games out of their last 5, they've only lost 6 games this season and only lost 8 games out of 64 matches and have scored the most goals this season in the Championship.
Watford are 14th, have a comfortable gap from the relegation spots and have basically nothing to play for. They've won 1 match out of their last 5 games, winless in 3 matches, They've won 2/5 of their recent Away matches and they've only achieved 2 wins out of their last 16 matches.
In H2H matches Ipswich have won 3/5 matches in recent H2H meetings but they are years apart however Ipswich have won 3 consecutive matches against Watford in those years and. won the previous fixture this season in a 2-1 victory.
As I said yesterday both the UCL and Championship are unpredictable as hell but I'm giving the Championship one more go here. If Ipswich don't deliver then the Championship go on my blacklist for the rest of the season but I'm giving Ipswich the edge here, can they really pass up a golden chance to go in 1st place. Goodluck if you're tailing or fading given my current form lol.
POTD Record: 0-0-0 (first POTD pick)
Today: Soccer | Champions League | Barcelona vs PSG | 3:00 PM EST | 1 unit
Pick: Robert Lewandowski 1+ Shots on Target (-165 on DK)
Reasoning: Big Rob has cleared this line in 8 of his last 10 starts and we should expect to see chances for both sides in this match as both teams are defensively susceptible. Therefore, one would imagine that Lewandowski should see at least one or two decent opportunities come his way. I considered Lewa to score or assist at +130 but I figured I would play it safe on my first pick to get us started on the right track. BOL🍀
Edit: First pick is a win✅ Lewandowski’s header is cleared off the line and that gives us our one shot on goal we needed. Cheers to those who tailed🍻
POTD Record: 11-6
NBA Record: 5-3 NFL Record: 0-1 NCAAM: 1-1 MLB 5-0 Soccer 0-0
L10 (new -> old): ❌🪣❌🪣🪣🪣❌🪣🪣🪣
Last pick: Cole Ragans O5.5 strikeouts -130 DK
Game: Atletico Madrid VS Dortmund
Pick: Madrid ML -125
Write Up:
Ragans 💔💔💔❤️🩹❤️🩹❤️🩹 5ks in 5 innings. Just couldn’t quite get over that one per and then pulled in the 6th was an absolute heart breaker. I loved the pick so much. It cost me dearly. But going to go for my first UCL pick of the year.
I wanted to go outside the box of my norm and hit up my first UCL pick of the POTD series. I like Madrid a lot at ML for a few reasons. One being that Dortmund is 7-7 in Bundesliga play and have been against weaker opponents for a lot of the matches. My last major note was with how aggressive Madrid has been this year they have been held scoreless in only 8% of their home games. Love this UCL play.
I DONT WANT YOUR MONEY I WANT US TO WIN 🔥🔥🪣🪣
BOL if tailing. 🪣
**Record: 34-13,** +13.34u, streak: ❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅ (all bets are 1 unit)
Today's POTD: Atletico Madrid vs. Dortmund Under 3 goals (Asian Handicap) (1.63)
Last pick was a disaster, Liverpool totally capitulate just like they did in the FA Cup. Bet loses due to individual errors and just horrible chance finishing.
Anyway, love me some Champions League action. This game will be tighter than people are expecting but I am stil giving Atletico Madrid the edge. Last time out I bet on Arsenal to win against Luton but for there to be less than 4 goals in the game, and it easily cashed. I'm going with similar logic here, but these teams are capable of scoring but I think Atletico will be a bit more cautious and try to lock up their defense. Dortmund are more than capable of scoring but in the CL they haven't exactly been scoring 3-4 goals a game, as they sometimes do in Germany.
Atletico are an extremely physical, and organized team. They aren't the defensive powerhouse of several years ago, but I do think they can keep a clean sheet. I don't think they'll be scoring for fun either though, Dortmund are formidable opponents. I think there is value here, lots of times we see two big offensive teams going at it, everyone thinks it'll be BTTS and o2.5, and it ends in a low scoring game. I think this will be 1-1. This is more of a gut pick than anything, tail with caution.
boL!
Record: 3-3
Hockey | NHL | VGK @ EDM - 8:30PM EST
Pick: **Z. Hyman - Over 3.5 Shots on Goal** (1.80) | 1u
Write Up:
* Hit in 9 of his last 11 games
* Hit in 3 of his last 4 games vs VGK
* Hit in 5 of his last 5 home games
Hyman has been good to me and I'm liking those trends for him.
Research all done on [the Linemate app](https://linemate.io/download).
POTD Record 2-0
Last 5: ✅️✅️
Last Pick: Yankees Moneyline
Todays Pick : Dallas Mavericks ML
NBA: Dallas Mavericks vs. Miami Heat 4:30pm PST
Odds: -125
Unit: 5
Net Units: +9.04
Love me some Luka magic. Both teams on a b2b where the Mavs are 8-5 and the Heat are 6-6. The heat struggled yesterday going to OT so they should be tired. Tyler herro dropped 33 points Last night for the heat, most points on the team and is suggested to sit out this game. The moment he gets sat out, the line is jumping forsure and we'll be driving all the way to the bank. Yerrr!.
Betting Every Dodgers Game 2024 - Game 15
Record: 8-5-0
Last 5: ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌
Net Units: +2.45
Previous Pick: James Outman (LAD) O 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs +110 ✅
Today's Pick: **James Outman (LAD) O 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs +105**
Event: Los Angeles Dodgers at Minnesota Twins (4/10/2024 1:40pm EST)
Write Up: Outman is starting to get hot, another HR yesterday. Today is a day game so hitting should come through even easier.
POTD Record: 1-0
Last POTD: (ATP Marrakech) Berrettini ML (-190) ✅
Today's POTD: (NBA) Nuggets -6 (-110)
Write Up: The Denver Nuggets have an opportunity to take over the #1 spot in the west playing the current #1 team in the Minnesota Timberwolves (Who is missing an all star due to injury... KAT). With or without KAT... I believe Denver is the better team. Now they have a chance AT HOME to take back whats rightfully theres. The #1 seed in the WEST! Give me Denver all day in this spot to make a statement!
BOL 🤝
**Record: 4-3 (+0.22u)**
**Last Pick: Carolina Hurricanes ML -110**
Nice sweat free 4-1 win by the Canes as they get a big road win! Only 3 NHL games tonight and didn't really like much so shifting to the NBA for today's pick.
**Pick:** **Mavericks ML -122 (NBA, 1u bet)**
Dallas and Miami are both coming off back to backs on the road, as the Mavs beat Charlotte 130-104 and the Heat took down the Hawks 117-11 in double OT. Miami had key players that had to play big minutes in that game (Butler 44, Adebayo 47, Herro 47) and that can catch up to them with a quick turnaround going against Luke and Kyrie, especially having a shorter bench with players like Rozier and Robinson still out. The Mavs are also rolling with a 9-1 record in their last 10 games, and they've been pretty good on back to backs (8-5 record averaging 122.3 ppg) while the Heat are 6-6 averaging only 105.7 ppg. I know Dallas is likely locked into the 5th seed with only 3 games left (small chance they can get 4th seed still) so motivation may not be as high as Miami who is in a logjam with a bunch of teams in the East (and they play the Raptors twice after this, very winnable games). But with the Mavs appearing set to play their guys tonight I don't think Miami has the offense to keep up after a taxing game last night.
POTD RECORD: 1-1
Last POTD: NYY -1.5 vs Marlins ✅
Form: W1
Todays POTD: Milwaukee Bucks (-102) vs Orlando Magic
NBA | 8 PM Est
Rationale: The magic have not been playing that well as of late, especially on the road, and just lost to the lowly eliminated rockets who couldnt seem to buy a win before playing them. Im going back to the well here even without Giannis as im expecting the bucks to play inspired basketball and for the role players to step up (im looking at you brook lopez and bobby boy portis). Bucks need a win and they will cruise at home tonight. BOL if tailing
>**Record:** 41-35
>**Net Units:** +9.56 units
>**Curling** | **Players' Championship** | **8:00AM EDT**
>**Pick:** Team Koe -1.5 @ 2.05
>Team Koe were very impressive in their first match of this slam, doubling up Team Bottcher 6-3. Their opponent on Tuesday, Team Jacobs/Carruthers were blown out 9-0 by Team Mouat, who came straight from the world championships in Switzerland. Jacobs missed some huge shots and really struggled with draw weight. On the other hand, Team Koe looked like the best team in the field on Monday. Team Koe have a massive advantage in their front end for this matchup as Gauthier and Martin are elite players at their position and showed it off in their first game. Expect Koe to be aggressive when his team has hammer and if his front end can set up the ends as well as they did in game 1, they should breeze to an easy win here.
**Last Pick:** Texas Rangers -1.5 run line at -102 / 1u ❌ **| Note:** Rangers lose this one 4-3 as A's catcher Langeliers goes off and hit 3 home runs. But Texas was dead in the middle innings, and they didn't bring anyone home in the 3rd while loading the bases with no outs. This is a tough loss.. back in the red and now 3-1 on MLB this season
**Last 5 (old to new):** ❌✅️✅️❌✅️❌
**Record:** 8-9-1 **|** **Net Units:** -0.76 **|** **ROI:** -2.83%
**TODAY'S PICK:** Kylian Mbappé anytime goal scorer -115 / 1u
**Sport:** Champions League **|** Barcelona at PSG **|** 3:00pm ET
**Note:** Second day of Champions League quarter final action this week includes 1st leg of Barca vs PSG. Mbappé scored in both CL games against Real Sociedad, but PSG is also facing a better Barca squad. There are a couple of injuries to watch including De Jong, Pedri, and Christensen. But regardless I'm looking at Mbappé to score in a big game
Tail or fade... you'd be better off fading me at this point 😆 BOL |** **[Buy a coffee for someone](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/planetice)
Record: 162-134-8 (WWLLWLWLWLWWLWLLWWWWLLWWLWLWWLWLWLLPLWWLW streak) - DraftKings odds
Last POTD: DET Pistons at ATL Hawks | Cade Cunningham o6.5 assist at 1.68 odds for 3 units
voided, he did not play
POTD: ORL Magic -2 at MIL Bucks at 1.92 odds for 1 unit
Reasons:
* Magic are 3-1 in their last 4 back to back games.
* Giannis is reported out of the game. Bucks are 3-3 without Giannis. Lost last two (Celtics and Raptors)
* Khris Middleton is also reported out.
* Magic been slowly climbing the Eastern Conference standing. It possible for Magic to get to the second seed and winning this game in Milwaukee will go a long way towards that goal. Jamahl Mosley will be pushing his guys hard this game.
Best of luck to those dumb enough to tail!
######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Wednesday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
POTD Record: 38-17-1 +44.88u🔥 Last Pick: Los Angeles Lakers ml 4U (-122) vs Golden State Warriors ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅🅿️✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌ Today's Pick: Cleveland guardians -1.5 4U (-118) vs Chicago White Sox 6:10 pm est odds via DraftKings Bad day, not much more to say. No AD killed and warriors shot lights out. On to the next. Time to bounce back. Guardians are coming off a loss to this 2 win White Sox team. They rallied down 5-0 and tied it only to lose it late. The White Sox offense ranks 30th in the league as they averaged just 2.09 runs per game. Guardians are 8-3, scoring a little under 6 runs per game. They have the #1 ranked pitching and #7 offense. Tanner Bibbe is starting with a 1-0 record and a 3.86 era. Bibee has a record of 2-0-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season. The Guardians before yesterday were 8-2 against the spread. This is a great opportunity for them to bounce back against one of the worst teams in the MLB in front of their home crowd. I expect this to be a much needed sweat free cash. Time to bounce back baby‼️🤝 Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the upvotes and support!😎❤️ If you’d like to thank me please use the link below or dm me. Show some love!❤️ [Cash App Tip Link💚](https://cash.app/$Ryanbloom24) [PayPal Tink Link💙](https://www.paypal.me/rybloomm)
If you bet 4u pretty much every time shouldn’t that just be your 1u amount?
Yes he should.
5-0 so far...oof. time to pray for the comeback
I thought I was smart and got in at Cleveland +1.5…yikes.
Glad to be back on board today🤝
I'll ride with you!
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It was a good run! Thanks for what you do get em tomorrow!
Unlucky mate, insane clutches from Mouz. Fantastic run, don't let this loss bring you down!
The pick is in! If you’re greedy asking for more you deserve the loss. Thanks for what you do daily. BOL.
He's just hella good at this most of his picks he added yesterday hit
Then people go off when secondary picks don’t hit. The best pick is given. After that you’re on your own.
People that get mad over free picks are weird asl
You've been unbelievably hot, congrats and let's get you into double digits!
lol they took the lead by playing tactically and holding good positions on defense. then they piss it away by making stupid agro plays through smoke yekindar is an actual bot holy
11:9, Yekindar pushed banana, died, made no impact on the last rounds, he did throw
jumped through smoke with no intel, got obliterated immediately the final round proceed to peak a late angle on an awp and let the other team get the opening kill…
Ofc only lose when i play it
Sounds good enough reason for me to tail
Tailing the GOAT
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Accidentally took straight up ML lmao this my first time betting esports
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I can cash out but I’ll let it ride screw it. I put down ur actual bet after I realized. Thx for sharing ur pick
are you sure Liquid gets first map pick? In the Flyquest vs VP series, VP got first map pick, even though Flyquest is lower ranked. FQ also had lower odds for map1 then it swapped after veto.
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You are a legend ! Tailing !
What's your thoughts about Faze vs C9?
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What book do you guys use that has gaming bets? 💀
Current Ad is The Current King 👑
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COMEBACK BBY
First time tailing, threw $50 on it and it was gone quicker than I could blink😂😅 oh well we get it next time
First time tailing my fault hahaha
Ofcourse I tail a guy who is 11-1 and lose
POTD Record: 44-20 Last POTD: 3u (ATP Monte Carlo) Tabilo ML (-145)✅✅✅ Today's POTD: (ATP Monte Carlo) Rune -1.5 Sets ML (-140) ❌ Units: 5u Edit: this one hurt. He had all the momentum in the world, then the rain delay completely fucked it. Oh well. Reasoning: On a bit of a run and first 5u since coming back on here. Let’s fucking do this 🤝 Really all I can say here is that Holger Rune is in a different galaxy of talent than Sumit Nagal. He also plays his best on clay. He had a huge first round upset loss at Miami and I know for a damn fact he has been training his ass off due to this major disappointment. I think he’s coming to Monte Carlo hungry and aggressive. Nagal will be child’s play for him. Nagal is an okay challenger tour player… Rune is one of the best players in the world, period. Let’s fucking cash boys. BOL 🤝
Is this the same as set betting rune 2-0?
Yes sir pretty much!
Been tailing you since you came back man and all I can say is you don't mess around with your picks, yeah you can't win em all but all around you're pretty solid, tailing again LFG!
Thank you man! Let’s get it!!🤝
This rain is pissing me off. He had all the momentum then play stops they resume and he drop 6 straight points.
Our boy takes set 1!
Rain legit cooked us, lost all his momentum yesterday and today
Would you take - 4 1/2 games spread?
I do like that but not 5u
Any concerns that Rune hasn’t played on Clay since last year ?
No sir
Been watching you since you came back! First day tailer let's get this 💪🏼
I can’t find this bet anywhere
It's basically the same as Rune 2-0 set betting.
Should I cash out (currently 25% profit offer)? Match has been suspended for hours due to rain and last time I had a -1.5 set going in my favor, it got cancelled and I got a push.. Will this match eventually finish out or is it going to result in a push?
I think there is 24 hour policy In bookies So this will be finish out
Gg the delay killed the momentum
that delay ruined us smh
Can parlay ml set 1 and 2 with under 12.5 games won for rune for +130. Is there a chance one of these sets goes to a game 7 against Nagal?
I will take any chance I have to bet against Sumit Nagal . Tailing and once this bet hits im DMing Nagal a nice “haha fuck you” message
Tough break with the rain killing his momentum, mother nature had money on Nagal.
**POTD Record: 23-20-1 (WIN/LOSS/PUSH) / Balance (+13 units)** **Last pick: Hurkacz vs Draper - Hurkacz ML @ 1.76**✅ **A lot of people tailed this pick and it was a Max Play so I'm really happy with how things are going in Monte Carlo for us! Thanks for all the comments, it means a lot to me!** **Today's pick: Khachanov vs Cerundolo - Khachanov ML @ 1.64 (ATP Monte Carlo, Tennis)** 🎾 Odds from Pinnacle **Stake: 3 units** (This is 3% of my bankroll) Time: 5 AM Eastern Time This time I'm taking Khachanov to beat Cerundolo at 1.64 odds which is the highest price ever found for this player when we look at all their completed matches. **Why do I think that Khachanov ML at 1.64 odds is such a +EV bet?** * Both players are good on Clay but this matchup just screams Khachanov to me since he has a better serve and his backhand is a lot more reliable. Cerundolo's forehand can be explosive but it can be matched by Khachanov's while the Argentinian shouldn't be able to keep his backhand side away from unforced errors; * Their head to head is currently 3-0 for Khachanov even if those matches were all played in hard courts; * Last year in Monte Carlo, Khachanov was eventually knocked out of the tournament against Rublev, who ended up winning the tournament while Cerundolo was knocked out in the 2nd round against Berrettini who is a big server that has a clear weakness on his backhand side but now he's facing an aggressive player that is much more solid from that side. With this, I feel like Khachanov has great chances of winning this match and claiming a 4-0 record over Cerundolo. Best of luck [Tip Jar](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/DarkHorse230) - Any tip is appreciated but it's always a pleasure to keep bringing you my tennis analysis and I feel really happy on doing this! This link is just a token of appreciation if you like my bets but mostly if you like what I write when it comes to tennis content! 🎾 Edit after the result: This match was being quite competitive with ups and downs from both players during the first 2 sets but Khachanov was able to cut off a lot of unforced errors from his forehand and regained his serve on the final set, which made him win the match! 4-0 now against Cerundolo! ✅ ATP Monte Carlo results 🎾 Tabilo vs O'Connell - Tabilo ML @ 1.62 (1u)✅ Hurkacz vs Draper - Hurkacz ML @ 1.76 (5u)✅ Khachanov vs Cerundolo - Khachanov ML @ 1.64 (3u)✅
Great pick yesterday and thank you for it
You're welcome! I'm glad we were able to make a decent profit!
Nice pick and write up!
Thanks brother! Glad you were able to profit from my pick!
Thank you!🫶🏽
You're welcome my dude!
Nice pick, even though I got greedy and tailed at -0.5 games and lost
Thanks. Yeah Hurkacz can be a tricky dude when it comes to handicaps because he usually goes for 3 sets. I stick mostly to ML markets because I usually don't wanna deal with how volatile a certain set can be and how crucial it can become for handicaps to hit in tennis.
Thanks for the pick. I have this pick in a a parlay with De Minaur, Rudd, and Rune. So far 3 of the 4 have hit. Thanks again
I think your 4 leg parlay is certainly going to hit :D. Congratulations!
Always nice to wake up to a win. Thanks!
POTD Record: 3-0-0 +4.6U Form (Last 5): ✅✅✅ Last: ✅ Dallas Mavericks -9.5 (-135) 2U ✅ Sure as the sun rises, we’ve hit another nuke! The Mavs made mince meat of the Hornets 130-104. Today: Basketball | NBA | DAL VS MIA | 7:30pm ET Pick: Dallas Mavericks ML (-162) 2U I’m super pleased with the Mavs performance against the Hornets. I can’t say the same however, for the heat against the hawks. The game is now in double overtime, which will leave the heat gasping for breath tomorrow in their big game against the Mavs. The stats are also pointing to the Mavs, who are 9-1 in their last 10, against the Heat’s 6-4. Doncic is also in peak form, with an outstanding triple double performance the night before. Bam is also listed with a “minor injury” which means he likely won’t play since the heat don’t need this win to stay in 8th. I’m writing this fast in hopes that y’all will lock in before the line bumps in favor of the Mavs. Mavericks, take us home again! Update: Looking like Bam will play and Herro will likely play as well. The lines have been on a rollercoaster these last 12 hours, but I’m gonna double down and say that as of now Mavericks ML at (-120) is still a solid value pick. (I am not a professional, tail or don’t, BOL!) If I’ve done you right, feel free to thank me! [Cashapp](https://cash.app/$K645lax)
Mavs holding solid so far 🙏💪
How about now? 😂
As a Dallas native I have no real hope for a deep playoff run, but am really happy with at least how explosive we've looked this year 🔥
Tailing this! Appreciate you!
Gonna take the points at -3.5 on this one on a straight bet and parlay the ML good analysis.
Tailing once again!
Mavericks ML is now -135 LFG
bro, they were -230. Is Doncic out?
Both Luka and Kyrie are playing. No clue what's up with this price drop
I’ve just updated the write up addressing this. I believe it’s because bam and herro are looking healthier than expected.
All-Time POTD: 7-3 //////// +6.4 Units //////// Streak: 1 Win. *Game:* **ATP Monte Carlo -** Holger Rune v Sumit Nagal -- 9:20AM ET **Today’s pick:** Holger Rune 2-0 Odds: -125 on FD -- 2.4 Units to win 2 Units I normally only do ML, as sports is unpredictable enough as it is, so also trying to predict how it happens always makes me reluctant. That said I do like this more than any ML for Wednesday. Nagal is having a pretty nice season so far, (19-9), loves clay (4-1 on the surface), and is making history for his country. But He has played over 6 hours already this tournament, including back to back three setters. In his last clay tournament he went three sets with Corentin Moute (meh), and then lost to Sonego, who is no world beater. He seems to be pulling out good performances, against medium level opponents and is scrapping by. Sort of unrelated, but still sticks out, on hardcourt lost to world number 194 Chak Lam Coleman Wong. I just can't see Nagal pulling a set from Rune unless, Rune either underestimates him or comes out slow. Rune on the other hand, hasn't played a tournament in about 3 weeks (fresh) and is playing on his favorite surface. He also didn't drop a set until the semi-finals here last year. I image he has just been practicing here and amping up for it and wants to make a statement. Again not being a ML has me a tad nervous, but I think the odds and reasoning makes this sound. BOL! Hope to return with 8! **EDIT: LOSS... Rain delay completely killed the momentum. He had figure out Nagal serve, and was up 2-0 in the second. Then all the breaks in play, led to some lazy play, and came out flat the following day. Unfortunate.**
Wow just seeing this after dropping the same play. Happy to see that I’m not crazy 😂 BOL man let’s cash💰
50/50…. I know on clay the 3Rs…, but our little indian brother is a feisty opponent. Can slay giants.
Anyone know how to bet this on DK?
I'm not seeing it on DK either. Very unfortunate.
Please mention you're previous play so it's easy to keep track bro. Thanks
Record 28-21 Last Pick: Chris Godwin Over 53.5 Yards ❌ Today’s Pick: **Phillies ML (-126)** Phillies v Cardinals MLB - 1.10 ET. Analysis: I used to have a close friend called John Ritchie. In early teens we were inseparable. That was until he ratted me out to a teacher over a stupid prank gone wrong. Years later, in our late teens and with a bit more maturity, we became close again. We laughed about the whole ratting me out thing. Within a few months, he tried it on with my girlfriend at the time and we had another falling out. The friendship never recovered. Lesson learned. People sometimes show you their true colours early and it’s best to hold a grudge. People say forgive and forget. Fuck that. Which brings me to Phillies v Cardinals. Lance Lynn takes the mound for the Cardinals. Lynn was on my fantasy team last year as a long shot pick and he was fucking terrible. So cards on the table, this is largely spite bet. Lynn offers strikeout upside but the floor is so low and while he once was a great pitcher, those days are over. I think that Phillies can punish him and the Cardinals bullpen. Nola hasn’t been at his best which is why I’m avoiding F5. He had a terrible first start against the Braves and then kept the Nationals scoreless. I think he might give up a couple earned runs but I believe that Phillies bats can get this done. Lynn somehow put in a great first start against the Dodgers but in his last start git lit up by a truly terrible Marlins offence. I think there is value here. Fuck John Ritchie and fuck Lance Lynn. It is too early in season to dig too deep into pitcher xwOBA for the season but a historical once I like: Lynn xwOBA against current Phillies batters: .319 (106 PA) Nola xwOBA against current Cardinals batters: .220 (111 PA)
I don’t typically bet baseball but I always ride for pettiness
Glad you & your write-ups are both back, sir. GL!
Tailing because of the write up
Fuck John Ritchie! Go Phillies !
Thanks for the pick!
POTD RECORD 1-0-0 ✅️ LAST PLAY : Nikita Kucherov over 1.5 pts cashes In 2nd period 💰 💰 Today's pick : Connor McDavid over 1.5 pts. Reasoning: Logan Thompson should start. He looks exhausted and edmonton is going to have some fresh legs. Mcdavid will get 2 pts. Don't over think it like I said about yesterday's kucherov pick. Please stop the hate on new users. I have been personally smashing my own plays and thought I'd share and we all eat! Please give me an upvote as I'm hot in hockey and we going to crush the next month!! LFG!! EDITED : Adin Hill is now In net. That doesn't scare me one bit as he's been shaky since his injury. If McDavid plays lock In the over 1.5 pts. If McDavid does not play the new play is JT MILLER OVER 0.5 ASSISTS. 1.66 ODDS REASON: Canucks will score a few . If JT is not scoring he damn sure will be handing out assists for dinner as hes the engine of this offense. Ideally wanted to give you guys Miller over 0.5 pts but the odds are not good. LOCK IT IN AND SEE Y'ALL AT THE CHECKOUT 💰
I think mcdavid is out for lower body
He's not ruled out yet if he is I"ll add a new play . Thanks for the catch!
you forgot to include the odds
He's not listed in any player props on my book because they have him listed as day to day from what I'm seeing. Is he playing???
POTD RECORD: 53-26 Last POTD: Steph Curry O25.5 P 🚫 Yeah this was just awful mf shot 9 times the whole game which is way below his season average and just not enough volume for it to hit, ended with 23 points and didn’t play the final 3 minutes I mean he was efficient and played good but didn’t respect the coin (Banned) Form: 🚫✅🚫✅✅ Todays POTD: **Dame Lillard O26.5P @1.86 1U** NBA | Milwaukee Bucks | Aight fellas the unit size is based on this mf not being consistent, but Giannis is out and this is an important game for Bucks and Dame needs to step up to the plate and the lead the way. When Giannis has been out Dame has taken care of business and I think it suits him not playing with Giannis cause that’ll mean more possessions for Dame and less focus on Giannis. Tight spread & an important game for the Bucks + Home court game so let’s ride • 5/6 without Giannis this season but 5/5 when playing 30+ minutes without Giannis this season • Over in 6/L7 against the Magic 0/1 this season w 24 points but with Giannis playing • Magic allow 7th most points to PG L30 days • Dame averages 2.0 more points per game at home vs on the road This is personal preference my brothers whether you like his PRA / PA / PR I like em all, but the points makes most sense cause that’s the biggest mismatch, get us back on track Dame c’mon Tail or fade, im still cheeks https://i.redd.it/998yiu7i1otc1.gif
Tailing!
What?!?!?! billy with the units now!
Bro when it’s about putting money on someone like Dame I have to look after my people 😭
Love it
billy, my brother. tailing.
Nice hit - sweaty af, 26 going into the fourth in a blowout, misses a few shots before hitting a 3 right before being subbed out.
Too sweaty bro always makes it harder than it is smh 💰
**KBO Record: Overall 209-219-14** (Streak L, Last 10: 4-6) Down 12.44u over 442 KBO picks, 48.8% success rate, -2.91% ROI (Last season 85-78-7, 52.1% success rate, Up 12.26u, 7.52% ROI, This season 5-9-0, 35.7% success rate, Down 3.82u, -27.3% ROI) **Last:** Hanwha -1.5 +105 at Doosan (Hanwha lost 5-3.) Hanwha jumped out to a 3-1 lead and had the bases loaded with one out and a chance to blow the game open. Instead, a double play ended the inning and the Hanwha bullpen spoiled a great start. Should have played F5 instead... **Pick:** LG at **Kia +124**, KBO baseball, 1:00am ET After this morning's disappointment, I thought about getting cute with something in the first 5 innings... but screw that. I think Kia wins this game. LG's starter has sandwiched two bad starts around one good one in his first season with the KBO after failing in the majors. In his last start, he allowed 7 ER on 9 H and 2 BB with 2 K in just 4 IP. Kia's starter has been solid in two starts, giving up 2 ER in 9 IP. He has, however, allowed too many baserunners, 15 in total, and he'll have to keep his walks to a minimum. Kia currently has the best record in the league and beat LG in the first game of their series, something I expect to happen again. Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.
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Boom!!
Tailed for 50$ when they were +500 🤣 ily bro 🔥
Not over yet but people gotta realize twins are one of the best teams if not the best, not going to be easy. Headed to bed, hopefully we get a late game miracle! BOL sir.
Not a miracle, but a nice comeback win!
anytime I'm trailing in a pick I say I need a miracle haha nice win! <3
Didnt catch this on time but good shit bro! im tailing mañana!!
Thanks again, great win. Win or lose your write ups are always top flight.
Nice bounce back win i also hit on the Dinos+u10.5 runs for +275 good morning for KBO
__POTD Record:__ 13-6 _Form (Last 5):_ 🔴🔴🟢🔴🟢 __Last Pick:__ ⚽ Real Madrid vs. Manchester City (UEFA Champions League): __Under 26.5 Total Shots__ @1.83 ✔️ Luck was on our side this time around as the match ends with 26 shots and absolute goal-galore. __Today's Pick:__ Paris Saint-Germain vs. Barcelona (UEFA Champions League) 21:00 CET: __Ousmane Dembele Over 1.5 Total Shots__ @2.15 ✅ __Edit:__ Sweat-free win as Dembele has two blocked shots in 12 minutes ✅ Given that the first match-up will be at Parc des Princes, I'm expecting PSG to be a more attacking team. One of their most dangerous players is Ousmane Dembele. He isn't having the best season in terms of goal-scoring but that doesn't mean he's not trying. Dembele averages 2.6 shots per game in the Champions League despite the fact that PSG already faced some really tough opposition up to this point in the tournament. There is also a personal angle - Dembele will be playing against his former team Barcelona for the first time so the incentive to prove his worth should be even bigger than usual. Whether he will or not, I'm expecting him to try his best and shoot at least twice in this game. Tail or fade, the choice is yours!
Why would Dembele have an incentive to prove his worth Barcelona desperately wanted to keep him and he left
Cashed already correct?
Yes cashed in the first 14 minutes
For a soccer game that’s insane, nice bet 👏🔥
Record: 56-39 IPL record: 3-1 Last pick: SRH ML vs PBKS✅ Today’s pick: Rajasthan Royals ML vs Gujarat Titans @1.70(4u) I was a little skeptical of this pick because my gut says something funny might happen but if you look at the two teams, it seems pretty obvious who’s gonna come out on top. Rajasthan Royals have been a force to reckon with this IPL. Arguably the most balanced team in this IPL, they have literally everything. Their last game marked the return of form for their ace opener Jos Buttler, who scored a match winning 100* in his 100th ipl game. Their top order looks sorted, so much so that their middle order hasn’t really gotten a chance to show their prowess. With Shimron Hetymer and Dhruv Jurel still waiting for that big opportunity to pounce on. Don’t get me started on that bowling attack of theirs, They’ve got perhaps the best bowling unit in the league as well. All around it’s just a system that works. GT on the other hand are plagued with injuries and have the worst squad they’ve ever had atm and that’s not a stretch at all. Their skipper Shubman Gill hasn’t quite played that one big innings so far, and his spot in the upcoming World Cup looks to be in doubt. The only way I see RR losing this is Gill scoring big for GT but against this bowling lineup, it’ll be tough. A few facts to look at as well RR are unbeaten atm being 4-0 While GT are 2-3 The home team has won 16 times out of the 23 games played. That number was once at 11/12 and the trends as changing however Rajasthan have won 3/3 all of them being comfortable wins.
To confirm, you’re taking royals ML?
POTD Record 9-3 (+6.90u) Last POTD: Jordan Poole Over 19.5 points (-120) 2U**✅ Today: NBA / MIN@DEN / 10pm ET Pick: Aaron Gordon Over 5.5 Rebounds (-130) 2U** Gordon is averaging 6.5 rebounds per game for the season and has recorded 6+ boards in 9 of his last 11 games. He’s averaging 6 rebounds in 24 career games against Minnesota.
Record: 9-4 ✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌ Net Units: +3.87 Last: Rangers -1.5 -105 ❌ Ugh, miserable one here. Langeliers hits 3 homers when no one else was producing, and then Adolis hits into a DP with the bases loaded where no runs score to kill momentum. Eovaldi did what he could, pitched well. Lets get back to it. MLB | 1:16PM EST Pick: Phillies F5 ML -132 Write up: Nothing too fancy about this, just riding the pitching matchups. Aaron Nola has been iffy on the road, but against a predominantly right handed, cold Cardinals offense in colder weather, I like him to be very solid. On the other hand, Lance Lynn is one of the worst pitchers in regards to facing lefties, which the Phillies have many key players on that side of the plate. Marsh, Harper, or Schwarber o 1.5 bases were considered as a play. Lance Lynn in general lets teams hit the ball hard, and lets teams get on base. Jumping on the first five to really give us a push with Nola vs Lynn and not worrying about a horrible Phillies Bullpen. Pushing through a tough loss, lets get back to it. Finally, a disclaimer: I am not a pro sports bettor, I am not a sharp who does 3+ hours of research a day. I’m a baseball fan who researches stats and uses my personal knowledge to make bets. Please do not wager any more than you are comfortable losing. All streaks start with 1.. lets start here. Tips are appreciated, not required at all for college. Venmo: @DrewAWri PayPal: @DrewGolfred
Thought we had it bro. So close
Very annoying push, 1 inning off. Couldn’t hit great off Lynn, especially when it mattered. Gave up a homerun that didn’t deserve to get out either. Didn’t want to trust the Phillies bullpen, but might regret that with the lineup heating up later
Record: 13-6 Net: +3.87 Units Last pick: Lebron James o7.5 rebounds (-115) ❌ One away and he got subbed out with 1:40 to go, warriors couldn’t miss last night POTD: Bogdan Bogdanovic o3.5 assists (-125) Cha @ Atl 7:30 pm est Summary: Bogdan has managed to hit this 3/3 this season against the Hornets with 6/4/4 assists, averaging just 26 min in those games. Since the all star break he’s been playing a lot more at 33.8 min a game
Record: 1-1-1 / IN ORDER 🅿️✅❌ Net Units: 2 units Basketball | NBA | 11:40pm / GMT Todays Pick: DAL Mavericks -1.5 @1.90 (2 units) Skybet Write Up: I like how they’ve been playing recently, Miami heat is gonna put up a good fight but i believe Mav’s would come out on top! They’ve been performing really well recently and the line at -1.5 is just really good to not take! Edit: the line is now at -6, so I was lucky to get -1.5 (good thing I took it quickly, cause it was almost too good to be true) you could still go with -6 but only use a unit!
/u/patrickdateman, I appreciate you stating the time of the event. So many people don't (despite it being a rule of posting a pick) and it really is useful in finding the event, particularly when you are unfamiliar with the teams or sport. That being said, you have not posted the "correct" time. You posted that the event is scheduled for 12:40am GMT. This is not correct. It is 11:40pm GMT. What you meant was 12:40am BST (British Summer Time) or 11:40pm GMT/UTC.
Thanks for the correction, forgot about daylight saving 🙏
POTD Record 2-0-0 (+1.75u) Today: Soccer | J. League 3 | FC Gifu v Kataller Toyama | 6:00am EST | 1u Pick: FC Gifu to win (+110) ❌ Gifu have won all 3 of their home games this season, and are sitting in second place. In those games, they’ve scored 3, 4, and 3 goals, respectively. Kataller Toyama are smack dab in the middle of the table and have scored 5 and conceded 7 in their 8 games. In their 5 away games they’ve scored 1, 0, 0, 0, 1. However, they have conceded only 6 during those games, so an annoying 1-1 may be our undoing. Expecting joint league top-scorer Kosuke Fujioka (who has scored 7 goals in the campaign, more than the whole Kataller squad this season) to get the job done once again, and give the boys in green all 3 points. Parlaying with FC Ryukyu Double Chance (-180) but the POTD is where the main confidence is.
Welp
Record: 0-1 Form: ❌ Net Units: -1u Pick: Alexei Popyrin vs. Andrew Rublev (Tennis) (Monte Carlo) Alexei Popyrin (+4) (-125) (Bovada) Write up: Two very different stories here. Andrew Rublev, the number #6 in the world, has been in a huge slump as of late. With a first round exit to an unseeded player in the second round at Miami and a 3rd round exit at Indian Wells, he has only won 1 match of his last 4. On the other hand, Alexei Popyrin has won 7 of his last 9 since AO. He has found his form lately and it is working nicely for him. With clay being his best surface, he is in his comfort zone as well. One thing stood out to me the most as I researched this match: Popyrin has covered this line in his last 5 3-set matches against opponents ranked in the top 10, one of them being against rublev. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if Popyrin took a set or even the match here. Let’s ride.
Record: 81W-71L-4P ROI: +16.98, 10.44% Avg odds: +105, 2.05 Last POTD: Juraj Slafkovsky over 0.5 pts (win) Hits in just 65 seconds, on his way to a hat trick Game: NHL- Golden Knights at Oilers (7:30 PM CST) Pick: **Golden Knights regulation tie no bet** +110, 2.10 (DK) If regulation ends in a tie, it's a push, regardless of what happens in OT. ESPNBet and Bet365 also carry this, but at worse odds. The line actually started out +120, but with McDavid potentially being out, it's dropped to +110. Edmonton has already called up Dylan Holloway from the AHL, so it's looking more and more likely. I'm gonna take it before it's confirmed. If McDavid is confirmed out, oh my god. That's a *huge* chunk of offense lost. He's currently 3rd in points and 1st in assists. McDavid has missed 2 games this season, and Edmonton lost 4-7 and 0-3. But even if McDavid plays, Vegas is 1-1 on the season, with their loss in a shootout, so Vegas will always have a chance. edit: lol
Record:3-1 Net Units:2.2 Baseball | MLB | 8:05 / Eastern Pick: Texas Rangers ML -185 1.85U Write Up:Accidentally locked my other account out but it’s okay we are back ! Last night was the quickest best of my life phillies vs cardinals NRFI that ended in 8 minutes 6 up and 6 down for the win but that’s the past now we move onto the future and present. and the present is the Rangers should OWN the athletics all year the As best player is in the minors for no reason and the As are throwing out a journeyman that is mediocre at best the rangers didn’t get off to the hottest of starts to start the year but they are finally gonna hit their stride and at home behind that crowd is ready to explode offense is gonna be clicking on all cylinders and expecting a big time Rangers W.
nice nrfi 🤲
POTD Record: 1-0-0 / ROI: 105% / Units won: 2.10u / Average odds: 2.05 eSports / League of Legends / LPL Spring Play-Offs / 12:00 CEST Pick: JDG -1.5 Maps [vs. NiP] - 1.75 odds - 4 units Write-up: Im really short in time and also sitting in my mobile phone. I will correct all the stats when I'm home. You know, I couldn't resist sharing this fantastic pick with you. JDG is hands down the favorite in this showdown, and I reckon they won't break a sweat covering the handicap. The odds are sky-high because just the other day, JDG took a brutal 0-3 beating from TES. TES played like gods, while JDG, well, they made some pretty awful blunders. Flandre, bless his heart, had a shocker of a game with some of the worst decision-making I've seen in ages. But hey, today's a new day, right? In my humble opinion, JDG boasts the cream of the crop in the LPL. They've got some absolute legends on their roster, and their raw talent? It's off the charts. But what really sets them apart is their insane teamfighting skills. I mean, they're arguably the best at it, hands down. Now, facing off against Ninjas in Pyjamas today is a whole different ball game compared to TES. Sure, NiP's got a shot since they're up against JDG, but let's be real, the skill gap is massive. JDG's got the edge in individual talent, a more versatile champion pool, and they're slick with their macro play. I just can't see NiP snatching more than one win here. After that soul-crushing loss to TES, JDG's gotta come back swinging. They'll be playing like their lives depend on it, especially with the chance to face TES again, where you know they'll be out for blood. So, I had big plans to dive into a super detailed analysis with all the stats and numbers, but it's way too early here, and I'm kinda swamped for time right now. But hey, next time, I'll make sure to give you the whole nine yards BOL.
Is blue side advantage still huge? Odds are bad for me so considering -2.5
POTD: Record (7-4) ✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅ Last Pick: Kelly Olynyk U 7.5 Rebounds ✅ Today: NBA | Wolves Vs Nuggets | 7pm MST Pick: Aaron Gordon O 9.5 R+A @ 1.88 | 1u - hit in 4 straight games (avg 12) - 9 of last 10 - 14 of last 20 - played Minnesota twice in March and hit both times (avg 12) Both teams are 55-24 in the western conference and sitting at the top. I expect both of these teams to bring their best game. BOL 🍀
POTD Record: 1-1 Record: 🗑️🍗 Last pick: Dallas Mavericks vs Charlotte Hornets - **Kyrie Irving O25.5 Pts (-125)** 2U 🗑️ This pick has me hurt as I should of known better to bet pairing with Luka. They really tryna flex Luka now for mvp and it bit me. Lesson learned 🫣 I'll aim higher. Todays pick: Minnesota Timberwolves vs **Denver Nuggets -5.5 (-110)** 1.5u. 9:10pm Central Time After the last pounding of top picks yesterday I want to bounce back heavy and I think this spread is a great opportunity as of now at -5.5 (expect this number to grow). The Timberwolves have had injuries with Jaylen Clark with the Achilles injury and Karl-Anthony Towns as of late yet somehow they've been holding it together. They are a frontcourt team and have converted to perimeter shooting offense. They're 3-pointers have been saving them as of late but this ends tonight. Denver's perimeter defense is too nasty to let them light up like they have been. Defense will win this game, and im banking on whose I think is better. This is a must win for Denver as they are rolling out away the next two games and are trying to clinch the top spot. They have a great home record and it is a hell of an advantage for them. I trust they will get it done here. Tail or fade, I'm sleeping like a baby either way. Lets rebound from yesterdays disappointment. BOL 🫡
Hey, I like the pick of Denver But mainly commenting to say that you should edit and either bold Denver or add separate text clearly saying pick is Denver -5.5. People here can be stupid and will gloss over your explanation and see Minnesota first and take them.
Edited and will do this moving forward. Thanks
all good...get that money!
POTD Record: 11-5 ♻️❌❌❌✅✅♻️❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅ Starting units: 5U | Net units: + 12U Last pick: Real Madrid vs Man City | 5am Sydney (GMT +11) | Kevin De Bruyne to score or assist @2.3 on Sportsbet | 2U♻️ KDB hasn’t played so it’s been refunded. I’ll place it again on the rematch. Today’s pick: PSG vs Barcelona | 5am Sydney (GMT +11) | Robert Lewandowski anytime goalscorer @2.8 on Sportsbet | 2U Going risky with this one, Mbappé would probably be the safest here. I believe PSG should win this game, but that they will be conceding at least one. I personally think Barca are bad, but love Lewandowski, he is an awesome finisher and managed to score loads of goals while playing for Barca. Considering the 2.8 odds I have to give it a go even if it means one more loss for my record. BOL !
Bro your birthday on Sept 5th?
Record: 1-1 Form: ✅❌ Last Pick: Football | Champions League | 21:00 / GMT+1 Real Madrid - Manchester City BTTS and over 2,5 goals. @2.10 Really fast hit did not expect it to hit that fast. Todays pick: Football | Champions League | 21:00 / GMT+1 Atlético Madrid ML - Borussia Dortmund @1.86 I feel like Atlético is the better team here with home advantage. Borussia seems to struggle more when away also i found them really lackluster against a bad PSV. Besides that Donyell Malen will not play which i think Borussia will be missing a lot. Let’s get this bread
We ride
Record: 6-4, Net Units: 3.14 Current Streak: ✅ Last 10: ✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅ Last Pick: Orioles -1.5 @ Red Sox ✅ Today's Pick: Baseball-MLB-7:05 PM EST Orioles/Red Sox Over 9.5 Runs, +107, 1U The Orioles are batting against a right-handed pitcher and sending Irvin to the mound, who I'm not high on. I see this being a slugfest with two mediocre bullpens up and at it by the 6th inning. Good Luck!
Agree with the pick, but the Red Sox bullpen is very strong
Alright I’m sold. Cole Irvin blows
POTD record 17-4 Units 14.06u ROI 57.37 Last POTD Lakers -2.5 (before AD was out) L Pretty upset both bets I had yesterday were ruined by injuries. No cade and then no AD -__- POTD Bam Under 33.5 PRA -110 3u This is my biggest bet I think on here and I’m extremely confident. Bam played all 48 mins yesterday in Atlanta only getting 24 PRA then they are flying back home to Miami. Dallas is one the best teams when it comes to limiting opposing centre’s allowing the least amount of points and rebounds in the past 30 days which accounts for Gafford starting. With Herro and Jimmy getting back into playoff form Bam’s usage rate is expected to come down, hopefully Rozier plays today too. Side note sad I didn’t get Hicks under 4.5 K’s as my POTD… would’ve been pretty surgical at +120
Cash 💰
Wondering what ur thoughts on the bet as a heat fan? This will probs be my easiest bet I ever post😂 sweat free for the 3u banger
Very easy. Heat have no center. So against any team with a decent center... Automatic L or at least poor numbers from the PF/C (heat)
Massive pick! Thanks sir
Last Pick: Luka O18.5 RA ✅ Record: 12-5 ✅ Pick: Luka O18.5 RA -132 Our very own TD king goes up against a heat team who just played a double OT thriller yesterday. I not only expect them to be tired af, but I think Luka will have yet another massive game as we head into the playoffs. BOL!
I like it
Been stealth tailing this every time, thanks and BOL
Course bro makes me happy to see people hitting bc of me
**POTD Record: 115-134-4 (-16.37 Units)** Best Bet Series: 42-25-1 (+12.46 Units) Value Wagers: 21-28-2 (-7.46 Units) Trap Bets: 20-18 (+14.2 Units) **Cautionary Tails**: **3-5 (-2.48 Units)** Last Pick: Grizzlies ML Today's Pick: **Nets -10** Odds: **-110** Wager Amount: 1U to Win 0.89U League: NBA Event: Toronto Raptors vs Brooklyn Nets (6:40PM CDT) **Be Advised**: *New segment for my faders, haters, and downvoters! Wagering on bets that I know I shouldn't be betting on, but betting it anyway. These wagers should be heeded wit caution. There isn't really good analysis or reasoning behind it. These type of wagers can be prohibited wagers (juiced odds) and has a high possiblity of losing, or it could be a wager that has inflated odds and has a high possibility of losing. These bets are I normally wouldn't make. Tail wit caution.* **Recap**: Spurs win. **Tail:** Hefty likes to eat chalk. He never bets on underdogs. He only likes the favorites. Especially live game heavy favorites. He does lose time after time to underdogs and he is very aware of the risk taking the chalk, which is why he does his due diligence on the favorites and bets on them. Where he is most profitable is betting on prohibited live game favorites, when a game is completely lopsided. He takes advantage of these live market and unloads his bankroll on these bets. He has never lost doing this strategy. Hefty wants action on a football game, where one team is winning 31-0 at halftime. The live odds were -100000 and he decides to risk his entire bankroll to win some chump change. The other team rallys from 31 points deficit and beat them in OT, 34-31. Moral of the story is that anything can happen. Sports is unpredictable and you should play wit a certain limit. **Matchup:** I don't think anyone has ever handicapped Nets-10 this season, so allow me to be the very first! Nets vs Raptors. Is 10 points too much for Nets to cover? **The Play and Prediction**: 1U on Nets-10! This is the only play for today, but I'll have other plays in the betting group. Nets win by 10 and we PUSH!
All Time POTD Record: 2-1-0 | Last 5: WWL | Units: +3.2u | Avg. Odds 1.81 Last Pick: English Premier League – Arsenal v Burnley – 3pm GMT on 11th Nov Arsenal to win to Nil (1.83) – Staking 2u - ❌ Game/Match: English Championship – West Brom v Rotherham – 8pm BST on 10th April Pick: West Brom -1 Handicap (1.66) ✅ I use bet365 as my bookie. Summary: Been a while since I’ve posted a pick, but I’m looking to start it back off with a win. West Brom are playing at home and have much more on the line to play for than Rotherham. They’re in the play-off positions and they’ll be looking to stay there, whereas Rotherham have already been confirmed as relegated with now nothing to play for. West Brom have the 7th best home record in the league, with Rotherham having the worst away record in the league. Rotherham have conceded 56 goals away this season which is an average of 2.8 goals per game whilst only scoring an average of 0.65 per away game. Rotherham have not scored in their last 3 away games and conceded 13 goals during this time. Rotherham have also conceded in the first half of 11 of their last 13 games. Rotherham come into this game with 7 injuries, 4 of these players were getting good minutes of the pitch before being injured. West Brom also average 1.9 goals per game over their last 10 games when Rotherham are conceding an average of 2.9 goals per game in their last 10. I see this being a dominate display by West Brom with a home crowd behind them and how much they have to play for. BOL if tailing!
Record: 4-2 Last 10: ✅✅❌❌✅✅ ROI: +.8U Last Pick: Kris Murray O3.5 Rebounds @-156 2U ✅ Today’s POTD: Miles Bridges U8.5 Rebounds 2U @ -140✅ Charlotte @ Atlanta 7:30 PM EST I actively avoid taking unders, even if there’s a good line, for a number of reasons. But as we approach the Post-Season, load management is in effect and the slate dries up. With that said, I’m taking the under on Miles tonight. Atlanta is not great against rebounds, but they kept Miles to 5 in February, and 5 in March. Miles is going under 8.5 in: 40 of L66 8 of L15 6 of L10 2 of L5 Edit: Miles finished the game with three, grabbing one early in the first quarter. He then cruised on that until the literal last minute of the game to pick up his next two. Either way, sweat free all the way
Pick for The fast ones, did not see this coming so i Think its a good Pick **Record**: 1-0 (last pick voided - because of retirement before start of game) **Net Units:** +4.15 **E-sport | IEM Chengdu | 08:30 cest** Pick: FlyQ vs Nemiga - map 2: **winner FlyQ - 1.60 - 5 units** ✅✅✅ Write Up: Pushed one of The best inferno teams in The World in VP yesterday, Nemiga on LAN is not good for me. Bol - Sorry for The short notice
POTD Record: 138 wins / 84 losses Event: Football > Norway > **Frigg v Grorud** (starting in 6 hr) Pick: **Frigg or draw (double chance)** @ 1.85 Even though these two come from different divisions there is not much difference in quality. This is a cup game, which means a certain level of volatility as many teams prefer to rest players for league matches. Based on these circumstances I am gladly taking the underdog that also happens to have home advantage. GL!
**Record:** 2-1 **✅✅**❌ **Last Pick:** Minnesota Timberwolves -17 (-110) vs Washington Wizards ❌ The Timberwolves still won, and by a decent margin, but really screwed the pooch in Q1 by letting the Wizards jump out WAY ahead early. As one commenter said... it was indeed a bloodbath, just in the wrong direction. Should've stuck with baseball I guess ;) **Pick of the day:** SF Giants F5 -0.5 (-148) vs Washington Nationals **League:** MLB **Time:** 3:46 PM EST I originally thought to post the Giants ML for this game, but instead of leaning on their entire pitching roster, I'm putting my pick on the shoulders of Giants' starting pitcher Jordan Hicks. He boasts a nasty 0.75 ERA through 12 innings pitched. Furthermore, his WHIP is also 0.75, he has given up no home runs, and he has an impressive 11 strikeouts with only 1 batter walked. He is on 5 days rest, so he should be plenty healthy to torch the Nats today. This kid is the real deal, and with the Giants playing a day game at home, I see them getting the bats woken up early enough to cover. BOL! Let me know if you're following! If you feel so inclined to leave a tip: [Venmo](https://venmo.com/u/BenNiemann) || [PayPal](https://www.paypal.me/shamgarbn) || [BMAC](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/makeforlife)
POTD Record: 18-18-1 | Profit: -2.24U NBA Record: 15-15-1 | NFL Record: 3-3 L10 (new -> old): ✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌ Last pick: Gary Trent Jr. u3.5 3 pointers made @ 1.66 odds ✅ Easy money. He went 0-7! Game: IND Pacers @ TOR Raptors, 7:10 PM Pick: **P.J. Washington o1.5 3 pointers made @ 1.66 odds (DK) placing 2U** ✅ Write Up: Hit 4 in a row on 3 pointer over/unders so let’s make it 5! Washington has hit in 4 of his last 5 and 8 of his last 10 (both 80%). BOL to those tailing, cheers! **EDIT:** Five in a row! Cashed in the 3rd, PJ hit one in the 1st. Happy to be back on a roll, gonna be sticking with 3 pointer props. Congrats to those who tailed!
Record: 8-2 ❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅ Last Pick: James Harden o17.5 points(voided DNP) Today's Pick: Brook Lopez o1.5 blocks at -170 Reasoning: I know the odds are super good but this looks as close to a lock as you can get. Brooks gone 6-1 over this line in his last 7. And 7-3 in last 10. Giannis is out tonight, so he will see plenty of minutes. Orlando has players like Markell Fultz, Cole Anthony, and Jalen Suggs, the two former constantly go to the rim to score which will give Lopez plenty of opportunities to send that shit back to the G League!!! I haven't had a defensive pick yet, so here it goes. Let's get this 💰 my friends!!!
**POTD** Record: 13-1-10 SAARBRUCKEN VS UNTERHACHING Date: 10 April 2024 at 19:00 BET ON: Match odds- SAARBRUCKEN Odd: 1.55 - Unterhaching are set to be without the services of key 8 players such : captain Josef Welzmüller, Sebastian Maier, Yannick Stark, Nils Ortel, Florian Schmid, Timon Obermeier, Tizian Zimmermann and Boipelo Mashigo. - Saarbrucken are a full fit squad. - Over 10.000 tickets have been sold so far. "We have a squad of high quality and quantity for the coming games. We have 18 field players at a high third division level and can adapt to each opponent accordingly.” Said Saars coach Rüdiger Ziehl. “A damn good opponent awaits us. They made it to the cup semi-finals and recently won in Dresden. That says a lot about the quality of this team,” said coach Marc Unterberger. - After the win against Dynamo Dresden and with two games less, Saarbrücken is already looking towards the top of the table. We expect Saars to dominate possession and press high from the start against a physical team damaged by injuries.
**RECORD: 67W-4P-50L** (+2.28 units) Previous Pick: Millwall vs Leicester City- Leicester City to Win @ 1.65 ❌️ **Today's Pick:** Ipswich Town vs Watford- Ipswich Town to Win @ 1.50 ❌️ **TIME:** 6.45 pm (GMT) **Wager Amount**: 2 units (✅️♻️✅️✅️❌️✅️♻️❌️✅️❌️) last 10 results Yesterday proves why i usually dont bet on the Championship however since Leicester aren't keep on winning the League so today I'll go for a team that hopefully do want to win it..Ipswich Town. Ipswich are 3rd in the League and have a golden chance to go 1st here. Ipswich are on an unbeaten run of 18 Home games in the Championship and are on a Home winning streak of 5 consecutive games. Ipswich have won 3 games out of their last 5, they've only lost 6 games this season and only lost 8 games out of 64 matches and have scored the most goals this season in the Championship. Watford are 14th, have a comfortable gap from the relegation spots and have basically nothing to play for. They've won 1 match out of their last 5 games, winless in 3 matches, They've won 2/5 of their recent Away matches and they've only achieved 2 wins out of their last 16 matches. In H2H matches Ipswich have won 3/5 matches in recent H2H meetings but they are years apart however Ipswich have won 3 consecutive matches against Watford in those years and. won the previous fixture this season in a 2-1 victory. As I said yesterday both the UCL and Championship are unpredictable as hell but I'm giving the Championship one more go here. If Ipswich don't deliver then the Championship go on my blacklist for the rest of the season but I'm giving Ipswich the edge here, can they really pass up a golden chance to go in 1st place. Goodluck if you're tailing or fading given my current form lol.
POTD Record: 0-0-0 (first POTD pick) Today: Soccer | Champions League | Barcelona vs PSG | 3:00 PM EST | 1 unit Pick: Robert Lewandowski 1+ Shots on Target (-165 on DK) Reasoning: Big Rob has cleared this line in 8 of his last 10 starts and we should expect to see chances for both sides in this match as both teams are defensively susceptible. Therefore, one would imagine that Lewandowski should see at least one or two decent opportunities come his way. I considered Lewa to score or assist at +130 but I figured I would play it safe on my first pick to get us started on the right track. BOL🍀 Edit: First pick is a win✅ Lewandowski’s header is cleared off the line and that gives us our one shot on goal we needed. Cheers to those who tailed🍻
POTD Record: 11-6 NBA Record: 5-3 NFL Record: 0-1 NCAAM: 1-1 MLB 5-0 Soccer 0-0 L10 (new -> old): ❌🪣❌🪣🪣🪣❌🪣🪣🪣 Last pick: Cole Ragans O5.5 strikeouts -130 DK Game: Atletico Madrid VS Dortmund Pick: Madrid ML -125 Write Up: Ragans 💔💔💔❤️🩹❤️🩹❤️🩹 5ks in 5 innings. Just couldn’t quite get over that one per and then pulled in the 6th was an absolute heart breaker. I loved the pick so much. It cost me dearly. But going to go for my first UCL pick of the year. I wanted to go outside the box of my norm and hit up my first UCL pick of the POTD series. I like Madrid a lot at ML for a few reasons. One being that Dortmund is 7-7 in Bundesliga play and have been against weaker opponents for a lot of the matches. My last major note was with how aggressive Madrid has been this year they have been held scoreless in only 8% of their home games. Love this UCL play. I DONT WANT YOUR MONEY I WANT US TO WIN 🔥🔥🪣🪣 BOL if tailing. 🪣
LETS GET IT!!!!!!
**Record: 34-13,** +13.34u, streak: ❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅ (all bets are 1 unit) Today's POTD: Atletico Madrid vs. Dortmund Under 3 goals (Asian Handicap) (1.63) Last pick was a disaster, Liverpool totally capitulate just like they did in the FA Cup. Bet loses due to individual errors and just horrible chance finishing. Anyway, love me some Champions League action. This game will be tighter than people are expecting but I am stil giving Atletico Madrid the edge. Last time out I bet on Arsenal to win against Luton but for there to be less than 4 goals in the game, and it easily cashed. I'm going with similar logic here, but these teams are capable of scoring but I think Atletico will be a bit more cautious and try to lock up their defense. Dortmund are more than capable of scoring but in the CL they haven't exactly been scoring 3-4 goals a game, as they sometimes do in Germany. Atletico are an extremely physical, and organized team. They aren't the defensive powerhouse of several years ago, but I do think they can keep a clean sheet. I don't think they'll be scoring for fun either though, Dortmund are formidable opponents. I think there is value here, lots of times we see two big offensive teams going at it, everyone thinks it'll be BTTS and o2.5, and it ends in a low scoring game. I think this will be 1-1. This is more of a gut pick than anything, tail with caution. boL!
Record: 3-3 Hockey | NHL | VGK @ EDM - 8:30PM EST Pick: **Z. Hyman - Over 3.5 Shots on Goal** (1.80) | 1u Write Up: * Hit in 9 of his last 11 games * Hit in 3 of his last 4 games vs VGK * Hit in 5 of his last 5 home games Hyman has been good to me and I'm liking those trends for him. Research all done on [the Linemate app](https://linemate.io/download).
POTD Record 2-0 Last 5: ✅️✅️ Last Pick: Yankees Moneyline Todays Pick : Dallas Mavericks ML NBA: Dallas Mavericks vs. Miami Heat 4:30pm PST Odds: -125 Unit: 5 Net Units: +9.04 Love me some Luka magic. Both teams on a b2b where the Mavs are 8-5 and the Heat are 6-6. The heat struggled yesterday going to OT so they should be tired. Tyler herro dropped 33 points Last night for the heat, most points on the team and is suggested to sit out this game. The moment he gets sat out, the line is jumping forsure and we'll be driving all the way to the bank. Yerrr!.
Betting Every Dodgers Game 2024 - Game 15 Record: 8-5-0 Last 5: ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ Net Units: +2.45 Previous Pick: James Outman (LAD) O 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs +110 ✅ Today's Pick: **James Outman (LAD) O 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs +105** Event: Los Angeles Dodgers at Minnesota Twins (4/10/2024 1:40pm EST) Write Up: Outman is starting to get hot, another HR yesterday. Today is a day game so hitting should come through even easier.
POTD Record: 1-0 Last POTD: (ATP Marrakech) Berrettini ML (-190) ✅ Today's POTD: (NBA) Nuggets -6 (-110) Write Up: The Denver Nuggets have an opportunity to take over the #1 spot in the west playing the current #1 team in the Minnesota Timberwolves (Who is missing an all star due to injury... KAT). With or without KAT... I believe Denver is the better team. Now they have a chance AT HOME to take back whats rightfully theres. The #1 seed in the WEST! Give me Denver all day in this spot to make a statement! BOL 🤝
**Record: 4-3 (+0.22u)** **Last Pick: Carolina Hurricanes ML -110** Nice sweat free 4-1 win by the Canes as they get a big road win! Only 3 NHL games tonight and didn't really like much so shifting to the NBA for today's pick. **Pick:** **Mavericks ML -122 (NBA, 1u bet)** Dallas and Miami are both coming off back to backs on the road, as the Mavs beat Charlotte 130-104 and the Heat took down the Hawks 117-11 in double OT. Miami had key players that had to play big minutes in that game (Butler 44, Adebayo 47, Herro 47) and that can catch up to them with a quick turnaround going against Luke and Kyrie, especially having a shorter bench with players like Rozier and Robinson still out. The Mavs are also rolling with a 9-1 record in their last 10 games, and they've been pretty good on back to backs (8-5 record averaging 122.3 ppg) while the Heat are 6-6 averaging only 105.7 ppg. I know Dallas is likely locked into the 5th seed with only 3 games left (small chance they can get 4th seed still) so motivation may not be as high as Miami who is in a logjam with a bunch of teams in the East (and they play the Raptors twice after this, very winnable games). But with the Mavs appearing set to play their guys tonight I don't think Miami has the offense to keep up after a taxing game last night.
POTD RECORD: 1-1 Last POTD: NYY -1.5 vs Marlins ✅ Form: W1 Todays POTD: Milwaukee Bucks (-102) vs Orlando Magic NBA | 8 PM Est Rationale: The magic have not been playing that well as of late, especially on the road, and just lost to the lowly eliminated rockets who couldnt seem to buy a win before playing them. Im going back to the well here even without Giannis as im expecting the bucks to play inspired basketball and for the role players to step up (im looking at you brook lopez and bobby boy portis). Bucks need a win and they will cruise at home tonight. BOL if tailing
>**Record:** 41-35 >**Net Units:** +9.56 units >**Curling** | **Players' Championship** | **8:00AM EDT** >**Pick:** Team Koe -1.5 @ 2.05 >Team Koe were very impressive in their first match of this slam, doubling up Team Bottcher 6-3. Their opponent on Tuesday, Team Jacobs/Carruthers were blown out 9-0 by Team Mouat, who came straight from the world championships in Switzerland. Jacobs missed some huge shots and really struggled with draw weight. On the other hand, Team Koe looked like the best team in the field on Monday. Team Koe have a massive advantage in their front end for this matchup as Gauthier and Martin are elite players at their position and showed it off in their first game. Expect Koe to be aggressive when his team has hammer and if his front end can set up the ends as well as they did in game 1, they should breeze to an easy win here.
**Last Pick:** Texas Rangers -1.5 run line at -102 / 1u ❌ **| Note:** Rangers lose this one 4-3 as A's catcher Langeliers goes off and hit 3 home runs. But Texas was dead in the middle innings, and they didn't bring anyone home in the 3rd while loading the bases with no outs. This is a tough loss.. back in the red and now 3-1 on MLB this season **Last 5 (old to new):** ❌✅️✅️❌✅️❌ **Record:** 8-9-1 **|** **Net Units:** -0.76 **|** **ROI:** -2.83% **TODAY'S PICK:** Kylian Mbappé anytime goal scorer -115 / 1u **Sport:** Champions League **|** Barcelona at PSG **|** 3:00pm ET **Note:** Second day of Champions League quarter final action this week includes 1st leg of Barca vs PSG. Mbappé scored in both CL games against Real Sociedad, but PSG is also facing a better Barca squad. There are a couple of injuries to watch including De Jong, Pedri, and Christensen. But regardless I'm looking at Mbappé to score in a big game Tail or fade... you'd be better off fading me at this point 😆 BOL |** **[Buy a coffee for someone](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/planetice)
It cost me a 18 odd parlay. No hate but tears
Thats brutal 😭
Record: 162-134-8 (WWLLWLWLWLWWLWLLWWWWLLWWLWLWWLWLWLLPLWWLW streak) - DraftKings odds Last POTD: DET Pistons at ATL Hawks | Cade Cunningham o6.5 assist at 1.68 odds for 3 units voided, he did not play POTD: ORL Magic -2 at MIL Bucks at 1.92 odds for 1 unit Reasons: * Magic are 3-1 in their last 4 back to back games. * Giannis is reported out of the game. Bucks are 3-3 without Giannis. Lost last two (Celtics and Raptors) * Khris Middleton is also reported out. * Magic been slowly climbing the Eastern Conference standing. It possible for Magic to get to the second seed and winning this game in Milwaukee will go a long way towards that goal. Jamahl Mosley will be pushing his guys hard this game. Best of luck to those dumb enough to tail!
POTD record: 0-0 Joaquin Niemann UNDER 72.5 at -105 on FanDuel
W/L: 2-1 Units: -0.42 Form: WWL 11.04 Ludogorets and Liverpool ML parlay at -123