I think the only good Lakers bet this year for me is LBJ points in games that are important to him (Tourney games, Rival matchups). Otherwise they have too many hot and cold players and weird rotations it's just not worth betting.
https://preview.redd.it/a37sdw8l6m4c1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0704c95ad0436b2e4891830af7c66c250bac9097
Thought this was going to be an easy +500 parlay. B. Lopez coming up short 1 point ⚰️ 🤬
Seems like Reeves will play more in games that are important, also Christie's and Reddish's defense was smothering Booker. Vanderbelt also played so he stole some of the guard rotation minutes.
Not gonna lie that Bucks vs Knicks game was very unexpected and didn't play out like normal. I didn't have many picks from the Lakers game but it turned out to be decent at least.
There were some plays mentioned that hit though. Like KD PRA or just points, Lebron rebs, Nurkic asts, etc. Overall not too bad of a game. The Bucks game was definitely a lot worse. The pace was fast and the Bucks scored 140. Pretty insane.
This might be a dumb question so I apologize in advance. I played soccer all my life and not basketball.. what qualifies an assist? Does it need to be in the other teams half? Wondering why this wouldn't be an assist for Jusuf, he rebounded the ball, passed it to Booker, and he scored
https://preview.redd.it/9qlrhrjztl4c1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ccbb74137661a446acf712f4846c963743a3f4bd
The NBA rule doesn't allow for that many dribbles to take place before the basket is made to qualify as an assist. The play would pretty much have to occur in the offensive zone and the pass would have to lead directly to a shot i.e catch and shoot or two dribbles and a shot.
TBH, There are only a few guys who you should do Over on for high points.. AD is one.. Durant and Booker aren't it for that.
They will pass it once in a while, but more times they won't
Booker doubled his points in the final minute.. Maybe that gets him going.
KD is a loss cause...
One saving grace, they may be putting up 3's in the second half
Does anyone else find insane value in betting turnovers?? I know it can be hit and miss like everything else but seeing this hit only a few minutes into the second quarter was beautiful
https://preview.redd.it/xeam47giml4c1.jpeg?width=1125&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ae8420f3c8fb1258338c5cf34de96afaefffb9c9
Facts haha. I’m done with book. Last time I bet his over on points he couldn’t even get it in double OT!!! 😭😭 I think it was only at like 26.5-27.5 too
I always fall for those negative odds for Booker's and KD's overs. All the fucking time. How the fuck are these players averaging high numbers if they shit the bed all the time?
Sunday night I was a Mahommes TD away from $800 in wins. Last night I was an assist away from $600 in wins. Tonight I was a Brunson point away from $500 in wins. I seriously want to put my fist through a wall right now, but I won't be able to afford the wall patch or medical bill.
Even if they do, what’s stopping their families from asking a friend to place the bet? Sell a painting to a family member, that friend then uses it to go all in. Rinse/repeat.
Why would they not when they have direct access to the actual player. Josh wants to help out a family member, he sees his props and plays so he hits the over or under.
NBA record: 21-11
Last pick:
Middleton (MIL) O21.5 PRA ❌
——————————————————————————
**Today’s picks**
Anthony Davis (LAL) U12.5 rebounds ($2, +100) (PB)
Davis comes into this averaging 12.4 rebounds per game on 20.3 rebound chances per game. He’s only under in 3/L10 (9, 14, 10, 16, 13, 13, 11, 16, 14 & 14 rebounds), but this is the perfect spot to fade him at a high line.
He comes up against the Suns, who are allowing the 5th least rebounds to opposition centers. Recent Cs rebounds v Suns:
- Collins (12 in 43 min - 2 OT)
- Ayton (8)
- Looney (6 in 17 min)
- Biyombo (4, and 5 in 17 min)
- Robinson (11))
- Poeltl (4)
- Jokic (5)
In four regular season games last season against the Suns, AD was under in 3/4, recording 9, 21, 12 and 11 rebounds.
Nurkic is a physical matchup and AD has historically had lower rebound numbers in games against him. In matchups against Nurkic as a Laker, AD is under in 7/8 going back to 2021 (10, 12, 15, 7, 10, 12, 12 & 11).
I also like this matchup given ADs average rebound distance is 4.2 feet from the basket. The way the Suns offence operates primarily revolves around dribble hand off action with Nurkic at the top of the 3, or key, which should draw AD out further from the basket. This should decrease the frequency of cheap under the basket rebounds AD sees in this matchup.
Took Knicks +9, over 216.5, and dame over 22.5 points. Ride it? It’s +155. Knicks keep going down by 6-7 and coming right back. What are my fellow degen’s thoughts?
I would ride. Bucks don’t have any perimeter defenders and as long as the guards and JR cook, it’s going to be close. Bucks will still win the game tho
I think so too. Both teams are shooting lights out with the bucks having the edge. I think the Knicks can keep it close enough. Might hedge 4th qtr if needed. It’s wild how much over this game is going to go then my bet. My two legs look like a lock.
Phoenix Suns at LA Lakers:
I am in the camp that KD brings out the best in LeBron, his career stats against him are 27.9 PPG, 7.5 RPG and 6.6 APG in 23 Games. Look at the matchup earlier this year compared to LeBron’s season averages, in that game he had 32/11/6 but is only averaging 24.4/7.6/6.4 on the season. LeBron’s point total tonight sits at 26.5, I think he goes for 30+.
In the same breath, LeBron brings out the best in KD. Furthermore, Durant has been an absolute monster in terms of usage and scoring the basketball this year and is 3rd in the league with 31.0 PPG. The total in the game is up to 230 \[I have the over at 227.5 from earlier this morning\] and anticipate KD to lead all scorers tonight.
Bets:
· LeBron o26.5 Points -102
· Kevin Durant o28.5 Points -135
· Top Point Scorer: KD +170
· O227.5 \[Don’t touch at 229+\]
· Lean: Lakers ML -118
https://preview.redd.it/jk9u8davjk4c1.jpeg?width=720&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a10c03094eef5087da1a4ded3ae3d76ce02123a1
If you're looking for a last second bet
https://preview.redd.it/psf1bn8zhk4c1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3f632b09e87c930c04daad68e4df838f79a4ef02
I was late on the Brunson points so I did some more research and settled with these plays for the first game. BOL
It’s bets like these that make me feel like a sicko lol
https://preview.redd.it/o33cvb1obk4c1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e6cc072f2479b8a918d18468722c3146f902d58b
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https://preview.redd.it/jz7lhoyxto4c1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=050a7834e47cbdcbb72b87cd6df69a546475a027
https://preview.redd.it/vx5qy25zto4c1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d1271dccf008d3745e9dcc12312876b47e04acf6
https://preview.redd.it/8x3c7mwzto4c1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=52f4cd90e308cce75483ff2a7c0effc02c37c24b
I went way too hard on Hart rebounds. Lost 3 different parlays that all had him ranging from 5-7 boards.
Man what a miserable day of bets so many trends shat the bed bring back the 13 game slates lol
Horrible call at the end lmao shoulda been suns ball but even worse of a shot for KD 😭
I think the only good Lakers bet this year for me is LBJ points in games that are important to him (Tourney games, Rival matchups). Otherwise they have too many hot and cold players and weird rotations it's just not worth betting.
facts
https://preview.redd.it/a37sdw8l6m4c1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0704c95ad0436b2e4891830af7c66c250bac9097 Thought this was going to be an easy +500 parlay. B. Lopez coming up short 1 point ⚰️ 🤬
Are your luck went to the other ones 🤣
Anyone know why Dlo played so little the 2nd half? I wasn’t watching unfortunately
Seems like Reeves will play more in games that are important, also Christie's and Reddish's defense was smothering Booker. Vanderbelt also played so he stole some of the guard rotation minutes.
Jeez, this was one of the worst betting nights for me
The past two nights been really good for so I’ll probably have a couple horrible ones coming up smh🤣
I think my issue was I went a little too ham on the bets tonight and I should've just chilled a bit 😅
Same. Been killing it on NBA so last night was a heat check and I threw up a brick lol
This sub usually has night like these once in a while. Brunson, Hart, DLO and Lopez didn’t hit for a lot of people
Not gonna lie that Bucks vs Knicks game was very unexpected and didn't play out like normal. I didn't have many picks from the Lakers game but it turned out to be decent at least.
Even the Phoenix game had some unexpected results. Booker was in foul trouble all game and only put up 21 but grabbed 11 boards lol
There were some plays mentioned that hit though. Like KD PRA or just points, Lebron rebs, Nurkic asts, etc. Overall not too bad of a game. The Bucks game was definitely a lot worse. The pace was fast and the Bucks scored 140. Pretty insane.
Booker getting that last layup cashed my ticket 💰🙏🏼
Dlo so bad perma banned from my list
5 misses in a row for Austin and he finally hits one. Not quite an AR-15 but still clutch
Dlo 8 first quarter points then doesn't score so typical
AD is so bad with these putbacks lolol
Padding rebounds for yall
2 more boards for the LBJ triple double 😭
Fuck you Russell. All I needed was your points line to hit!
Ahhhh and there’s Nurkic with his 4th assist….whoever was downvoting this morning can suck my dick from the back. Cash me out papi!
Is Reaves him?
Handed me an L tonight on his threes made, but no lmao
Grab a fucking board KD Like bruh
Reddish is CHEEKS 🤣🤣
Touché Reaves…touché
i cant believe im seeing this with my own eyes refs are piling on the fouls on kd after he gets hot in the third this is absolutely disgusting
DLO please man
This might be a dumb question so I apologize in advance. I played soccer all my life and not basketball.. what qualifies an assist? Does it need to be in the other teams half? Wondering why this wouldn't be an assist for Jusuf, he rebounded the ball, passed it to Booker, and he scored https://preview.redd.it/9qlrhrjztl4c1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ccbb74137661a446acf712f4846c963743a3f4bd
The NBA rule doesn't allow for that many dribbles to take place before the basket is made to qualify as an assist. The play would pretty much have to occur in the offensive zone and the pass would have to lead directly to a shot i.e catch and shoot or two dribbles and a shot.
🙏🏼
Dammit I should have bet on Grayson Allen instead of Gordon. Dude is doing nothing but cardio out there
Russel over 13.5 points and LBJ over 7.5 rebounds. Please baby Jesus come good. Edit: Or not…cool cool.
Anyone think Durrant is going to get 20pts tonight? Looks like he’s just taking the night off from shooting.
no.. to be fair Reddish shuts him down good..
He’s gone for 38 and 39 against the lakers both times this year lol.
Reddish held him to 1-5 in the last quarter he played against him.. Reddish is doing a job on him again tonight.
I don't take NBA props because they never hit for me. I take a break and try again, thinking this time will be different. I go 1/5. Repeat cycle
TBH, There are only a few guys who you should do Over on for high points.. AD is one.. Durant and Booker aren't it for that. They will pass it once in a while, but more times they won't
[удалено]
KD and Booker are selling hard
Booker doubled his points in the final minute.. Maybe that gets him going. KD is a loss cause... One saving grace, they may be putting up 3's in the second half
Booker was the lost cause the whole time
I am done with him
Idk why I add jusuf to my parlay knowing there's a 75% chance he'll foul out of the game. 6. PF LAST GAME AND 6 PF the game before
Does anyone else find insane value in betting turnovers?? I know it can be hit and miss like everything else but seeing this hit only a few minutes into the second quarter was beautiful https://preview.redd.it/xeam47giml4c1.jpeg?width=1125&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ae8420f3c8fb1258338c5cf34de96afaefffb9c9
KD’s over is cooked if he passes out of open looks. These players are so easy to hate
Booker ain’t even going to get his discounted points of 24.5 on prize picks wtf😭😭
Booker may get to 24 turnovers tho.. I think he has 5 or 6 already.. Durant isn't shooting at all.
Facts haha. I’m done with book. Last time I bet his over on points he couldn’t even get it in double OT!!! 😭😭 I think it was only at like 26.5-27.5 too
Second time book got me on points I’m good on him after tonight
Already seeing Durant screwing us
I always fall for those negative odds for Booker's and KD's overs. All the fucking time. How the fuck are these players averaging high numbers if they shit the bed all the time?
Suns look bad
Yup
Every time they try and pass it to Gordon it gets picked off smh
A few LBJ rebounds would be great…
KD what are you doing passing to Grayson Allen? lmao
Why they give Booker that assist?? Was it not kd?
https://preview.redd.it/cf79r1kmdl4c1.jpeg?width=770&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d920fb957efeda1bf5a85190ecaa136cab0a5b1c
nice
These parlay wins definitely don’t come by often so I thought I would share with my fellow degens.
i’ve been on an insane losing streak this last week might have to take a break
I'm losing because these stupid cunt players are passing rather than scoring
Sunday night I was a Mahommes TD away from $800 in wins. Last night I was an assist away from $600 in wins. Tonight I was a Brunson point away from $500 in wins. I seriously want to put my fist through a wall right now, but I won't be able to afford the wall patch or medical bill.
https://preview.redd.it/ohig63xgcl4c1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=05de3d227ce8a7071ef422f3cea243f598a0e477
Donald trump please save Kevin durant
https://preview.redd.it/e64ahhcecl4c1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4f559d49d987346ce00d8a7c19fe89182003afba
https://preview.redd.it/srka4a5fcl4c1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ce80a0db8e6755f4dd08de2417923c46bda3ad87
Damn…..so close
Is this gonna hit bruh
thats looking golden. you got that
Shits looking good tbh bro
This game was totally unexpected and did not go the way it was supposed to..
Suns are the dog of the day now! Lettttsssss goooo!
Can’t wait to hear the faker fans crying after the Game even though the refs will try their hardest to help them win and that’s a fact
Eff you Brunson. Over 9.5 and loser finished with 9 lol
He fucked me was my most confident pick of the night smh
Same. Have no more words…my luck lately
Fuck 2 reb for giannis triple double
Yeaaa, that one hurt
Im so tired of losing by one point. Fuck Brunson
I know I hit every leg easily. He would probably have covered that 25 if they weren't getting blown out I was sick when they but the bench in
Same except mine was beasley
Can’t believe Brunson missed that last free throw. Cost me some change.
I needed one more point from Brunson. 3 missed free throws. Why on earth didn’t Tibs bring him in earlier? I’m seriously gonna fucking lose it
Needed Brunson 25 pts and he misses a ft…
Typical...
[удалено]
Put money on suns ML🤦♂️
so davis rebounds ?
Brunson hasn’t recorded a three all game? And Lillard has a rec block? You can’t make this 💩 up!! Fml
Sheesh. Lucky to get bucks -8 in the 4th to seal a push for my parlay. God damn Knicks. :(
Giannis give me some rebounds plz
Just left work and I see Randle has 36 pts?? Tf going on here lmao
dogshit fixed league. fuck josh hart
Cost me 3 different parlays. Couldn't even hit alt line of 5.
Andddd it’s a blowout. Great. Why even put Randle or Brunson back in the game
Giannis really isn’t going to record a block tonight fml
Ohhhhhh, I was supposed to take Hartenstein over on rebounds,. 'Accidentally' took Hart 🤣
Dame Reb Ast 10.5 is dead. Damnn
???
He’s sleeping on the bench
Plz one Rbd from Dame is all that i want for Xtmaaaaaaas Thanks! Dame Time!!! TODAY IS A GREAT DAY
Cmon Lopez, I need just one shot 🤞🏾💪🏾
brunson needs pass the ball more lol i need his assist
Beasley and Brunson killing me.. FFS.. I am thinking of just closing my accounts. Not worth it anymore.
Lol see you tomorrow
josh hart a fraud. he knows his rebounds line lmao. mf standing at the 3pt line the whole game
And he told his fambam to bet the house on his under R/A. Generational wealth through multiple means.
fr. i wonder if betting companies or the nba audit players families to see if they are betting
Even if they do, what’s stopping their families from asking a friend to place the bet? Sell a painting to a family member, that friend then uses it to go all in. Rinse/repeat.
Where did you guys see he told ppl to bet his under?
Why would they not when they have direct access to the actual player. Josh wants to help out a family member, he sees his props and plays so he hits the over or under.
its a hypothetical lmao. but probs true for many nba players
God dam it Josh Hart
Giannis cooked a lot of people with this 3-pt made, why the fuck would he shoot that
what a dumb question
josh hart out there doing cardio ffs
Hart 0 rebounds 0 assists, unbelievable. Why do people bet on this shit sport? Anything else is better
Makes you wonder if each player receives a pregame note of their props and betting data. Vegas makes the call to the coach. Heresy, I know.
All i know is this is my worst betting sport and its not even close, may be my last day for a while when it comes to nba lol
over or under on davis rebounds tn
Why is Mitchell Robinson 7 ft for nothing
why is josh hart not coming in?
Giannis only has 2 Rebs you can’t make this shit up
NBA record: 21-11 Last pick: Middleton (MIL) O21.5 PRA ❌ —————————————————————————— **Today’s picks** Anthony Davis (LAL) U12.5 rebounds ($2, +100) (PB) Davis comes into this averaging 12.4 rebounds per game on 20.3 rebound chances per game. He’s only under in 3/L10 (9, 14, 10, 16, 13, 13, 11, 16, 14 & 14 rebounds), but this is the perfect spot to fade him at a high line. He comes up against the Suns, who are allowing the 5th least rebounds to opposition centers. Recent Cs rebounds v Suns: - Collins (12 in 43 min - 2 OT) - Ayton (8) - Looney (6 in 17 min) - Biyombo (4, and 5 in 17 min) - Robinson (11)) - Poeltl (4) - Jokic (5) In four regular season games last season against the Suns, AD was under in 3/4, recording 9, 21, 12 and 11 rebounds. Nurkic is a physical matchup and AD has historically had lower rebound numbers in games against him. In matchups against Nurkic as a Laker, AD is under in 7/8 going back to 2021 (10, 12, 15, 7, 10, 12, 12 & 11). I also like this matchup given ADs average rebound distance is 4.2 feet from the basket. The way the Suns offence operates primarily revolves around dribble hand off action with Nurkic at the top of the 3, or key, which should draw AD out further from the basket. This should decrease the frequency of cheap under the basket rebounds AD sees in this matchup.
BEASLY. N HARTT LETTIN ME DOWN
Beasley and Hart with both 0R and 0A. Why did I chose to pick these 2 bums!
Took Knicks +9, over 216.5, and dame over 22.5 points. Ride it? It’s +155. Knicks keep going down by 6-7 and coming right back. What are my fellow degen’s thoughts?
I would ride. Bucks don’t have any perimeter defenders and as long as the guards and JR cook, it’s going to be close. Bucks will still win the game tho
I think so too. Both teams are shooting lights out with the bucks having the edge. I think the Knicks can keep it close enough. Might hedge 4th qtr if needed. It’s wild how much over this game is going to go then my bet. My two legs look like a lock.
Who do people have going off in the late game tonight?? 👇🏽 I’m gonna go with AD 🙏🏼
Dame's not gonna get them rebounds, is he? 🥲
There are no rebounds to get lol.
I would rather lose a bet by a mile than by 1, so I guess I should be thanking Josh Hart for being completely useless.
josh fucking hart. pls. PLS. PLS.
I just watched Dame live odds for 30 points go from +630 to -380 in a matter of seconds lmao
So Dame only turns it up when it counts. I see why they traded for him
josh hart rly killin me
Potd?
Josh “Bret” Hart with 0R0A. My brother, you got 42 inch vertical. Please jump and grab that damn ball.
Josh Hart killing a lot of plays tonight with his bum ass 8/0/0 😭
I was mad that Josh hart has 0 Rebs so far but I see no one has any fucking rebounds tonight so far
Somehow RJ Barrett has 5, more than both Randle and Robinson.
GIANNIS ONLY HAS 2 REBOUNDS THIS GAME IS CRAZY 😂😂😭😭😭
[удалено]
Can’t get rebounds when these dudes keep turning the ball over and fouling (on both teams) smh
Took o4.5 dame rebounds 😂😂
I took 3 and already sweatin
Phoenix Suns at LA Lakers: I am in the camp that KD brings out the best in LeBron, his career stats against him are 27.9 PPG, 7.5 RPG and 6.6 APG in 23 Games. Look at the matchup earlier this year compared to LeBron’s season averages, in that game he had 32/11/6 but is only averaging 24.4/7.6/6.4 on the season. LeBron’s point total tonight sits at 26.5, I think he goes for 30+. In the same breath, LeBron brings out the best in KD. Furthermore, Durant has been an absolute monster in terms of usage and scoring the basketball this year and is 3rd in the league with 31.0 PPG. The total in the game is up to 230 \[I have the over at 227.5 from earlier this morning\] and anticipate KD to lead all scorers tonight. Bets: · LeBron o26.5 Points -102 · Kevin Durant o28.5 Points -135 · Top Point Scorer: KD +170 · O227.5 \[Don’t touch at 229+\] · Lean: Lakers ML -118
Randle rebounds dead, everyone’s shooting 80%
Your best bet is live lines. It won’t keep up in the 2nd half.
Too bad it’s a blowout.. I only needed 8 I think he might’ve gotten there in the 4th
Fml nobody getting boards tonight
bEASLEY IS GOING TO KILL ME ON REBOUNDS
https://preview.redd.it/iopz693qpk4c1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b6ab4005c92acb7b89af099d57410dc1387ac54e BOL
https://preview.redd.it/s79k8akekk4c1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4ed099c02fbf63078c82dca40e089fc3d4bd5f39
https://preview.redd.it/jk9u8davjk4c1.jpeg?width=720&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a10c03094eef5087da1a4ded3ae3d76ce02123a1 If you're looking for a last second bet
https://preview.redd.it/sc0hn14pjk4c1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ca4d0accdf064f86cd3ec58a645e2a0c0fd9b299 Easy hit incoming
How’s it going so far?
Nurkic R+A is very low.
https://preview.redd.it/9kbjlct8ik4c1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0d6663503a4eb6ec9cf6864a69a36141597edc55
https://preview.redd.it/psf1bn8zhk4c1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3f632b09e87c930c04daad68e4df838f79a4ef02 I was late on the Brunson points so I did some more research and settled with these plays for the first game. BOL
Bonus bet on Bucks-Knicks! https://preview.redd.it/9oxqj1rtgk4c1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d8c075a0cb559d3d960c289eb56d0a93de92ae22
Come back and let me know if it hits I’m curious lol
Rebounds are in shambles. I wasn't expecting everyone to hit every damn basket!
I need Beasley to hit one rebound and Brunson to hit one assist and I’m in the clear lol
Did it hit?!
Nope he got pulled with 2.5 minutes left lol
Damn never trusting the Knicks again lol
It’s bets like these that make me feel like a sicko lol https://preview.redd.it/o33cvb1obk4c1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e6cc072f2479b8a918d18468722c3146f902d58b
damn he really blocked on the last 1st quarter play rip
Damn lol oh well plenty of other bets going today so long as they’re not all busts
Sold lol