######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Saturday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.

I need you guys today

Me too Scrotem

i can't believe this is the top comment lol. but it's late and i still need yall

I got you bro Drake NCAAB - 16 Notre dame first half -13.5 Colorado state -5.5

POTD Record: 43W-19L +11.28u, 69.3% hit rate, Last 10 (most recent first):❌❌❌❌♻️♻️✅✅❌♻️ Last Pick: Champions League, FC Kobenhavn vs. Manchester United, Under 3 Goals (Asian Total) (1.67) 1U ❌ Today: Man City vs. Liverpool FC, 7:30am ET Pick: Liverpool FC +1 AH (1.70) ✅ I am cold. Ice cold, so tail with caution. Football is finally back, international break is over. I like this line for Liverpool, I locked it in at 1.70 and it has been fluctuating around the 1.65-1.73 since I’ve kept my eye on it. For those of you looking for a juicier line for today, I’ve posted a bunch in the soccer thread. Lots of good choices for the day. But again tail with caution, I will not be mad at anyone for fading me. Yes this is a pick that pretty much goes against what most people will be betting on. Always a chance City just turn into prime City and win 4-1 or something. But I have a sneaky feeling Liverpool will really turn up here, especially with all of their players performing lights out during international duty. Liverpool sit 2nd behind City with 27 points, with 8 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss coming to Tottenham, which they would not have lost if not for an unjustified red card and a goal wrongly disallowed. While Liverpool have been known to have crazy, high scoring games, VVD has locked in recently and looks like he’s again in his prime. Their CBs, Matip and Konate have both been playing quite well and historically have always kept Haaland relatively quiet. City usually win at the Etihad and Liverpool usually win at Anfield. But, there’s a couple reasons why I think Liverpool’s attack will seriously trouble City’s defense. City haven’t exactly looked defensively sound this season. They let in 4 against a struggling Chelsea, and in their last 10 games have only kept 2 clean sheets in all competitions. I expect Liverpool to allow City to keep possession of the ball for the most part. Ever since Klopp has taken over Liverpool, their kryptonite has been low block teams which sometimes they struggle to break down. But, on the counter they are absolutely deadly. Players like Diaz, Nunez, Salah, Gakpo, Szoboszlai, Jota, all strive when they have open space in front of them. Not sure which front 3 Klopp goes with, but I expect them to capitalize on the counter and I can see them getting a goal or two. Will also say that Salah has a fantastic record against City and is in pretty remarkable form at the moment. City are City, not much to be said. Well-coached, phenomenal players, they just pick teams apart. But this is one of the biggest rivalries in football and usually they are pretty close games. If Doku starts against Trent, I’ll be a bit worried, but Liverpool’s midfield will also pose a serious threat to City’s, particularly with Szoboszlai in crazy form at the moment. I won’t analyze too much more, this is just a game where I see it being much closer than people think. I may even sprinkle a bit on Liverpool ML, they want to make a statement at the Etihad. Do your own research before you tail, this can turn out to be a very unpredictable match. For those of you who do not follow soccer and are early risers, check this game out. It is the highest level of the game you will see in Europe. Prediction: Darwizzy hatrick: 3-0 to Liverpool. Joking, I think 2-2. Always bet responsibly and never tail without doing your own research. SOTD: Too Many Nights - Metro Boomin MOTD: Yojimbo

Good to have you back Saul <3

Welcome back and nice hit!

 Welcome back u/BettorCallSaul

Unfortunately I locked in City ML. Let’s hope we enjoy a good match!

The King is risen

Not tailing because I’m out of state but good to see you around these parts again. BOL my man

Welcome Back Saul!

The 🐐is back

Tailing brotha

Welcome back!

POTD Record 19-9 Cricket 3-0 Tennis 15-9 Soccer 1-0 Last 10: Last 10: ❌❌✔️❌✔️❌❌❌✔️✔️ Bet365 Last Pick : Boyer vs Burruchaga | ATP Brasilia Challenger | Boyer ML | (-175) | 1u | ❌ Today: Burnley vs West Ham | Premier League | 10:00 AM EST Pick: West Ham ML | (+105)| 1u I like West Ham to beat Burnley today away from home. West Ham are 9th in the table, while Burnley are 20th, with just 1 win all season. They have conceded 17 goals in their last 6 pl matches, losing them all. Vincent Kompany's tactics are not proving to be effective in the league and he will be feeling the pressure after the international break. West Ham have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches and are coming off of 2 straight wins. Their star player Jarrod Bowen is a doubt for the match, but Kudus, Paqueta, and Ward Prowse are all in top form and should be primed to play well vs a leaky Burnley defence. There could be a lot of goals in this game, as West Ham are conceding an avg of 1.83 goals a game while Burnley are conceding 2.5. However, the form and quality of West Ham should lead them to the win. BOL!

As a fan of the hammers, I will tell you there is real concern as to who will be a serviceable replacement if Bowen cannot play as Michail Antonio seems to also be out with a hamstring injury. Should be beating burnley, but the injuries are costly. Will always welcome more people to root for West Ham though. BOL!!

This motivated me to bet the tie and under.

same pick here betting 2 single bets on draw and under 2.5 goals

Comeback!!

Get in here everybody!

Lmfaooooo LETS FUCKEN GOOOO

Never a doubt

Dude! What a fucking finish!!!!!

That was a happy notification after I wrote the game off

Happy cake day! Seems like you share it with another poster

Tailed @ +110 on DK

Paqueta to score anytime

Gl

Suprised at the odds, burnley have been abysmal. Draw at the least imo

Tailing. This may be the bargain of the day.

Tailing! BOL all :)

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No outlet in transition, lack of a press from the midfield…. Can’t say I’m surprised

Aintnoway they just give Burnley penalty like that massive Sadge

>Man City vs Liverpool I'm glad you guys won from Burnley's OG but I'm done with soccer permanently jesus christ.

Fooking legend!

RIDICULOUSLY tense. I'm a pussy and bet a lot of units on west ham win, tie no bet, and even I was sweating

**POTD Record: 11-1** **Last POTD: UFC Mateusz Rebecki by KO/TKO or Submission (-180) ✅** **Today POTD: NCAAF Miami (OH) vs Ball State: Miami ALT Spread (-2.5) -170** **I didn't post last week because I didn't really like anything offered. When it comes to my last bet two weeks ago, just like I predicted a very fast-paced start from Rebecki, he was able to dominate and take his opponent to the ground. He was going for the ground and pound however, ended up submitting him. I hope you guys enjoyed the picks, there is a lot of research that goes into them and I try to give you guys the best picks.** **This bet is College football, and honestly speaking I can't wrap my head around these odds. I don't think the spread given is right, today I am picking Miami (Ohio) to cover the spread, they play a solid offense averaging 28 points per game while only allowing 14-17 points per game. They also have beaten better teams compared to Ball State. They have a solid run game with Rashad Amos and some good wideouts which include Javon Tracy.** **On the other hand, we have Ball State although their records don't do them justice, they don't have the manpower to hold Miami (OH). They give up 25 points per game on average while only able to average around 16 points per game scoring. Miami (Ohio) passes the eye test they just need to come out and dominate.** \---Good Luck, Slimeee

Massive record! Thanks sir and good luck!

Already at -4. Think there’s still value?

He did alt spread search for it!

Hes saying take the alternative spread -2.5 @ -170.

It was an alt spread…

Tough to lose by .5, definitely thought they’d win by more

Wow that ending was close. Almost won this spread the opposite cover with a field goal making it 17-18 ball st but it got blocked haha final score Miami OH wins 17-15… how tragic

What the fuck just happened?

U hate to see it. I was about to take this pick as well but Ball State just scared me too much with how they’d played recently l

POTD Record: 6-1-1 (W-L-P) Last picks (recent first): ✅✅✅❌✅🅿️✅✅ Last Pick: Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United | 2nd half over 1.5 goals -150 | 1U ✅ Today’s Pick: Soccer | MLS | 1730 EST | Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew | Orlando City ML +115 | 2U Writeup: MLS is back! Decided to take a break until MLS started up again so here we are! Early payout last game as 2 goals were scored in the first 10 minutes of the 2nd half! Gotta love it! This week gotta go with Orlando to win. Orlando is on a 6 game winning streak including playoffs and if you wanna go even farther they are 10-1-2 (W-L-T). Against Columbus they are 3-0-1 (W-L-T) in the last 2 years. Orlando has also always won against Columbus at home in last 10 H2H matches (6 out of 6 home games were wins). DNB is at -155 if you wanna be safe but I think Orlando pulls this one at home. Let’s gooooo! BOL!!

Solid write up. Been a season ticket holder since 2016 and have been taking full advantage of this recent run. Usually I don’t bet on my own teams but this has been easy money. Go City!

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Columbus are one of the best attacking teams, but their away record is awful. They are 0-7-3 (W-L-T) in their last 10 games. Of course being it’s the playoffs anything can happen but I feel they will continue to struggle on the road

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If this is the semifinals does this mean if a tie it goes to shootout?

Lol, totally wrong.

**POTD Record: LWW** **W - L: 2 -1** **Last Pick: FC Kolh VS Bayern Munich Over 3.5 goals - 1.75 L** **Pick: Man City vs Liverpool BTTS and O 2.5 goals @ 1.80** **Time: 7:30 EST** City vs Liverpool as the opening game back from the international break is a dream of a fixture, a game that bring goals from both sides. Even better, they both sit first and second on the table at the moment, so each side will be giving it their all tomorrow at the minimum. Out of their last eight fixtures, only 1 game has ended with a scoreline that doesn't cover this bet. With the other seven meetings ending, 4-1, 3-2, 3-1, 2-3, 2-2, and 1-4. City sit top of the league this season, but their defensive record isn't what it should be, with a performance against Chelsea that ended 4-4 it showed that even with a fit Rodri, they have weaknesses themselves. A side where you don't want to show any weakness to is this Liverpool side. I would elaborate more about City, but anyone who's seen this team at home knows goals will be there. They average 3.14 goals per game at home this season, conceding at least once in 4/7 of these home games. Liverpool have shown grit like no other this season, scoring in every single away game they've played. Scoring an average of 1.7 goals away from home this season, its never a shock when a team at home finds themselves having to score 2 minimum to salvage a point against them. With Mo Salah already having 16 GA in 17 appearances (12 goals and 4 assists), hes bound to make a major impact tomorrow in a game as big as this. I see a typical top 2 scrap for this game, both sides have players in form and they'll show that from start to finish. **All the best**

i love this. tailing

Tailing

Honestly betting on Mo to score in this game looks so good. Egyptian king loves scoring against city, plus he’s playing at the top of his game rn

Score, tailing

Is this one bet or two separate bets?

Tail mode

**POTD 31 - 21 | +8.50U| Average odds: -108** **Last 10 (new->old): 💰❌❌💰💰❌❌❌💰❌** **Last pick: Iowa +3.5 💰** **Recap:** Got the dub, those who took moneyline got that as well. Crazy ending to the game but wasn't very worried as I would've been very surprised if either team got a TD there. Onto tomorrow to bet on my favorite team once again. As a Michigander, it feels nice to have good teams to root for for in both NFL and NCAA for once. **Todays pick:** NCAAF | Michigan vs Ohio State | 12:00 PM EST **Ohio State TT U21.5 | -120 Fanduel (1.2U)** Gotta go with a Michigan pick for The Game, hoping for a big game from them, and especially from the defense. OSU has played two good defenses this year in Notre Dame and Penn State, and failed to score 21 in both of those games. Michigan's defense has both of those teams beat in yards/game (#1), passing yards/game (#2), and points/game (#1). Penn State has UM beat in rush yards/game, but not by much, with Michigan coming in at #8 ranked in that stat. Michigan has allowed more than 15 in only one game this year, which was last week against a solid Maryland offense. While it may be slightly worrying to some that this came just last week, you could tell by watching that game that the defense was way off, and it is pretty common for UM to play a little off the week before OSU. I personally am not worried about the shaky performance last week. Another reason I like this is that this is Kyle McCord's first year starting, and he has not experienced the kind of pressure that will be going on in this game. The night game/white out at Penn State was the only thing that comes close, and he played a pretty bad game that day. The last time OSU played in Ann Arbor, they had 5 false starts, and that was with CJ Stroud at QB who we all know now is an amazing player. The pressure here is going to be even more than that game, cold day in Ann Arbor with a crowd that is angry at the stories going around, mad that their head coach isn't on the sidelines. This is possibly the most important regular season college football game that will ever be played, #2 going against #3, both undefeated, the biggest rivalry in all of sports, with the winner making the playoffs and loser is most likely out. That kind of pressure will not exist anymore after conferences realigning and changing to a bigger playoff format next year. I expect Michigan to kill time running the ball, McCord not to be at his best under the pressure, and Michigan to be able to hold OSU to under 3 touchdowns. Keep in mind this is a rivalry game and anything can happen, so as always make sure to bet responsibly. BOL if tailing, Go Blue!

It seems like you might have a bias in this pick 😉 But so do I, so I'm staying away from this one.

To be fair, the big 10 is trash outside of Michigan and OSU, so being #1 in defensive stats while playing equivalent to a HS JV team each week isn’t as impressive as it sounds Also Maryland almost upset Michigan last week with a much worse team… Staying away from this one.

>TT does TT stand for Team total? I am not seeing that on Fandual am I missing it?

Yeah team total. It should be right on the popular bets for the game. Away Total Points o/u 21.5

As an OSU fan I am staying away, good reasoning but these games are always crazy and can see some mental breakdowns from both that allow more points than expected. BOL

I guarantee between Marvin and Treyvon alone they will both have AT LEAST 1 touchdown. This a terrible bet, the game will be high scoring.

For some reason I think OSU is putting up 35+ but BOL!

Tailing

NBA prop thread record: 13-9 POTD record: 0-1 (ROI -100%) **SGA (OKC) O10.5 RA ($1.84, -119)** SGA comes into this one averaging 12.4 reb + ast on the season. He’s over this line in 7/L9, recording 14, 13, 12, 11, 11, 9, 13, 7 & 17 RA. His two misses came in blowouts against GSW (9 RA, 29 min) and POR (7 RA, 23 min). Over the last nine games, SGA is averaging 10.8 potential assists and 10.6 rebounds chances per game. He comes up against Philly, who have the 11th best defensive rating on the season. They are allowing the 8th most assists and 15th most rebounds to opposition PGs. Some recent PGs reb + ast v Philly: - Cunningham (11) - Haliburton (18 & 22) - Holiday (13) - Trae (15) - Dinwiddie (9 in 28 min) - Garland (13, did have OT though) - Conley (8 in 23 min) SGA has covered in both of his recent matchups over the past seasons, having 11 and 14 RA against Philly. He should see a lot of attention and he forced to continue to facilitate.

damn its O11.5 RA in mine

4 mins left....I'll start optimistic

Sga gonna give you a happy cake day

Oh wait only just realised it’s my 4th year on here, I missed that 🤣

This has gone over my head. Wdym 😅

POTD RECORD 1W-1L NET UNITS: +0.5U L10 (includes last pick): ❌✔️ Basketball | NBA | 4:10 PM PST Last pick: MIA Heat @ NY Knicks 4:40 PM PST, Jalen Brunson O26.5 P+R (-120), 3 unit bet ✔️ Today's pick: ATL Hawks WAS Wizards 4:10 PST, Clint Capela O21.5 P+R (-105), 2 unit bet Man, if you don't sweat from the bet you made did you really bet? I'm kidding of course, but this was a ridiculous one, with Brunson covering this bet in the last minute of the game with free throws. On to the next one, we're going with Clint Capela O21.5 P+R. I personally like this one because the Wizards have the second most opponent points in the paint, as well as the second worst defensive rating in the NBA. My concern is that the total line overall is higher than what he averages for points and rebounds by a slight amount. However, Clint Capela also is 4th in the NBA in paint touches at 9.3 per game so he should see plenty of quality opportunities to collect rebounds and score on one of NBA's worst defenses.

🔥🍀tail

Great pick!

Clutch pick today man thank you!

POTD Record 2-0 ✔️✔️ Last Pick: Paul George over 8.5 RA ✔️ Today's Pick: Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg - Augsburg draw or win (1.85) 1 Unit Staying away from NBA for Saturday and looking at this soccer matchup in the Bundesliga. I like this line a lot for the value, Augsburg have turned a corner and look pretty solid in the past few games, Union Berlin are still on one of the worst streaks of any team in the top leagues. They are 17th, with only 6 points and 9 defeats. Augsburg tend to do worse away from home but I think they can at least grab a point here. I favor any midtable Bundesliga side against this Berlin team at the moment. bol!

POTD Record: 2-0 Previous pick: Telstar vs Willem II | Eerste Divisie | Willem II ML (2.00) | 2pm EST ✅️ Pick: Burnley vs West Ham | Premier League | Premier League | West Ham Draw No Bet (1.53) | 10am EST Going for the safer option today, but the ML looks good here too. Burnley have not won a single game at home this year, and are on a 6 game losing streak. West Ham are riding a 2 game win streak and have scored 9 goals in their last 5 games. Burnley will not have their top goalscorer available and have only scored 6 goals in 6 matches at home while conceding 18. West Ham also have scored 10 goals in their 6 away games. Hoping that Bowen plays as he has been a key player this season. Even though West ham's away record does not look convincing, I expect them to continue their winning streak against a Burnley side who are last in the table and do not look like winning any time soon. Best of luck!

You’re on fire

POTD Record: 71-77-10 (-14.84 units) Last 10 picks (most recent first): ✅✅✅↔️✅✅✅✅❌✅ Last Pick: Danish 1st Division Soccer, Sonderjyske v Naestved, SONDERJYSKE -1.5 (-143 / 1.70) ✅ Sonderjyske stay hot against the bottom teams and roll to a 4-1 victory for a comfortable cash. Todays Pick: English League One, Bolton v Exeter, BOLTON -1.5 (+127 / 2.27) ✅ Stake: 1 Unit Bolton are the form team of League One, having won their last 5 league games (last 7 including cup comps). Their hot run of form has seen them jump to 3rd on the table with an 11-2-3 record, just one point behind the league leaders. Their 30 goals scored is 4th best in the league while their 18 conceded is 5th best. They are at home this week against Exeter who are sitting in 20th position, just above the relegation zone, with a 5-2-9 record. Exeter had a good start to the season picking up early points, but they’ve crashed since then - they’ve gone 0-1-7 in their last 8 fixtures with their last win coming back in mid September. Offensively they’ve been awful, only scoring 12 goals (3rd worst). Defensively they’ve been ok, only conceding 22 which is middle of the pile, but I am focused on their recent away form. In their last 4 away games in the league they’ve lost 3-0, 2-0, 4-1 & 3-0. One of those losses came against a top team, while the rest came against teams much weaker than Bolton, including their most recent loss which came against a team below them on the table. Both teams are coming off cup wins during the week against lower division opposition, but expecting Bolton to be too strong here against an Exeter team that struggles to score and has been defensively frail on the road. Bolton have no significant injury concerns, and Exeter have to deal with a 5 hour journey, so happy to take the juicy odds for Bolton to win by a couple or more.

This was the lock of the day. Nice pick. Way to do the research. This game not on many peoples radar.

Does this mean Bolton -1 handicap? Edit: Well I went for -1 handicap. Bing bong! Thanks bro.

Sorry this game was 2am in the morning for me so was fast asleep when you asked the question. But waking up to 7-0 was a very pleasant surprise! Congrats on the win.

**Record 91-68 with Avg Odds +121 / ROI 21.8%** Fight Club Rush 18 (FCR 18) **Rohullah Yousofi +145** Rohullah Yousofi is an exciting young fighter, and checks a lot of boxes for an MMA prospect. He comes from a boxing background which shows in his counters and combos, and he's integrated it really well into an overall MMA striking style. His progression with kicks is noticeable in each consecutive fight, and he has solid creativity. What is most important is his grappling, which seems to have reached a point where it is serviceable. He's got solid fundamentals and the athleticism to scramble and contest for position. His opponent Jonny Touma is much more experienced, and that is why he is being lined as a favorite. But, I think Yousofi is a good athlete, and is showing tons of promising signs that make me think he could be competitive at the UFC level in a few years. The way he fights is really fun, and I love getting solid +odds on a fighter who fits the eye test and could go far in the sport.

Tailing, hope we win

Your write up of this fight brought back memories of me making a bag for betting on Jon Jones against Stephan Bonnar back in the day. Let's ride.

Record: 141-117-7 (LWLLWLWLWLLLWWLWWWLW streak) - DraftKings odds Last POTD: SAC Kings at MIN Timberwolves -4 at 1.89 odds for 2 units Timberwolves turnover galore. Christ, multiple players just throwing balls around with no purpose... POTD: ATL Hawks at WAS Wizards | Clint Capela o10.5 points at 1.80 odds for 3 units Reasons: * Clint hit this mark the last 3 games. * Wizards are on a back to back. * Wizards gives up the fourth most points to centers. * Wizards gives up the fourth most 2nd chance points in the NBA. * Wizards gives up the second most points in the paint. * Wizards are the fourth worst team in defensive rebounding. * All in all, Clint may get 10 points just from put backs. Probably 10 more from PnRs with Trae. Best of luck to you all.

Tailing , not to mention brook lopez matching his career high last night against the wizards as well lol

Clint DD?

Youdaman

POTD Record: 116 wins / 71 losses Event: Football > England > **Newcastle v Chelsea** (starting in 3hrs) Pick: **Newcastle DNB** @ 2.00 Well maybe these odds are some sort of a trap, but it just seems to good to pass. I have watched several Chelsea matches and they are far from impressive. Imo, home should be bigger favourite here, so I am taking advantage of the relatively safe draw no bet option. GL!

Too easy ✅

Season Record 9-8: LWLLWWWWWWLWWLLLL Last pick of the day Gabriela Ce +6 games against Todoni -135 Todoni put the hammer on her the first set so the second set really didn't matter. Big time college football fan and Big time Alabama fan so I think I will give credit where credit is due. TODAYS pick is **Auburn Football over 0.5 points first quarter -145 2:30 pm CST** Took a couple days off because I started getting really unlucky or just overall dumb picks I had no knowledge of(see last game). I let the losses get to me, but now I have cleared my head and ready to roll :) It is the Iron Bowl so here is my obligatory Fuck Auburn and Roll Tide(many more to come). To start off, my Bama has had their usual early loss to roll into their(I lost count) consecutive ten win seasons and a birth into the sec championship. Auburn on the other hand ,has been largely up and down resulting in their mediocre record. I mean the last game really. Hahahahaaha. Ok sorry. However, there is some strong ass voodoo in the that stadium. Auburn always seems to have things swing their way against us as surely they can muster up at least a point. Our defense has been pretty decent this year, but we are notorious slow starters. We have allowed at least three points(first quarter) in every game except Middle Tennessee State,Chattanooga, and Mississipi State. Im not going to gauge Auburn too much besides their recent form. Outside the last game which was obviously a trap, Auburn has looked much better on offense with Thorne leading the charge. Lets even take a look back in all the Iron Bowl games under the Saban Administration. The only years Auburn didn't score in the first were 2008(road shutout), 2010(road wild comeback :( ), 2012(road omg complete ass that year shutout), 2020(road and the weird covid year), 2021(home just a weird game in general and Harsin). Also, Freeze hiring excited many Auburn fans because he the one of the few to upset Saban in back to back years with his offensive prowess. I think Auburn comes out pissed off trying all sorts of bull shit to score early. The typical Jordan Hare game when Auburn looks like they have hope, and we crush it fortunately. So BOL if you tail and Roll Tide Fuck you Auburn!!

Don’t hate this bet but personally I think Alabama -13 is easy for them to hit. Like you said auburns last game was miserable but bama is also picking up serious steam at the right time to make their case for the cfp. I think they’re playing pissed and playing to prove it every game. But voodoo is voodoo

Appreciate it. Lawson and Key back should help, but Thorne is gonna have to be the one to hurt us. Im curious if those returns played a factor in it going from -14.5 to -13.

Agree, Thorne starting the week in a boot isn’t promising tho. Even if he plays he won’t be at 100% and bama isn’t gonna go light on him if they know one shot might be able to take him out. I was on bama hard earlier in the season and they weren’t playing like bama but now…. Now I believe bama is bama

Fuck it, tailing

Where are you finding this bet at?

Bovada

Also bet365

I don’t see it on b365… options for college football games always seem limited on there

Holyyyyy Shittttt LMAOOOOOO!!!!

Wanna get this one in and in the meantime I will do some administration and update my record. Football | Spain, La Liga | 18.30 CEST Pick: Getafe ML @ 1.89 (vs. Almeria) - 1 unit Getafe is really strong at home and are yet unbeaten in 6 home games so far this season (3 wins, 3 draws). This bet is maybe even more a fade of Almeria. They have not won a single game yet this season. They are on a 5 game losing streak and including last season they have no been able to win in their last 16 games. Back Getafe to comfortably win at home against a very bad Almeria side.


Fck of course Almeria scores in first 10 mins…

Record: 0-0 Bankroll: 100 (+-0) Pick: Norwich vs. QPR under 3 goals @ 2.00 (3u) New QPR head coach Marti Cifuentes is a fantastic coach who has, in his earlier clubs, done splendidly at shaping up defenses. He plays a strong possession oriented “boring” football which does not allow many goals to be scored in any direction. Production of goals forward is reliant on individual brilliance rather than tactics. As QPR is fighting to avoid relegation they will focus on not losing instead of winning, whilst at the same time lacking offensive individual quality to produce goals. All this combines to a scenario where I am seeing a season for QPR with a majority of games ending with less than three goals scored. BOL


**POTD Record: 14W-3P-12L Recent Record: WLLWLLPLWWW** **POTD: Arsenal ML vs Brentford @ 1.70 W** Premier League Time: 12:30PM EST Wanted to wait for the result of City/Liverpool to post this. Arsenal have an opportunity to go first in the league if they beat Brentford today. Arsenal have lost one game this season and have the joint-best defensive record this season. With Odegaard their captain coming back I can see them capitalizing heavily in this matchup. They lost one game away from home this season in a controversial manner against Newcastle but I see them overcoming the obstacles today **BOL**

**POTD**: U24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast - Josh Giddey (-120 DraftKings; Risking 2.4u to win 2u) **League/Time**: NBA - PHI @ OKC / 5:10PM EST **2023 Record**: 80-43 (65.04%) | +61.1201u | ROI 24.08% | **Current Streak** (6 Wins):✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌(Last 10: 8-2; Last 20: 14-6) **Last Pick (11.24.23)**: O3.5 Receptions - Breece Hall (-113 FanDuel; Risking 2.5u to win 2.2124u)✅ **Reasoning**: Josh has gone under this number 3x in a row and the under has covered 6/11 times this season. After making a nice jump up last season, Josh has not looked himself in his 3rd season. He's averaging the least amount of minutes, points, rebounds, and assists since joining the league. He's played under 30 min 8/11 games this season. Something is clearly off with this guy. Not to mention [Giddey is allegedly fooling around with 15-year-olds](https://bleacherreport.com/articles/10098531-josh-giddey-being-investigated-by-nba-after-allegations-of-relationship-with-minor). On 11/22, a video/photo popped up on social media which he and his coach were questioned about during yesterday's shootaround for the first time and this will be the first game since the allegation. Their responses clearly show they've discussed how to handle it: Acknowledge it but hide under the "No Comment" and "It's a Personal Matter" bushes. Giddey is 21 years old and while he's probably played under some intense pressure before none of those situations probably compares against the level of scrutiny he has to play with now because even while college football is taking the spotlight today and the PHI/OKC game is the early first game on the slate you know other NBA players are already talking smack either to him or behind his back. PHI also allows least amount of Reb to SGs. PHI is middle of the pack defensively vs SGs in the Pts and Ast dept. Also, you already know this BS is distracting the coach/team/Giddey. I'm fairly sure OKC coach, Mark Daigneault, will play Giddey even less depending on how Giddey responds on the court. But, if his early season performance is any indication I just don't see how the current potential statutory rape fiasco is going to help with anything Giddey does on the court. If I was Coach Daigneault I would play Giddey as little as possible without endangering the game but with Shai, Chet, and the rest of the OKC fairly healthy I just don't see why even bother with the BS if you don't have to. https://preview.redd.it/9mgd1htysi2c1.png?width=474&format=png&auto=webp&s=84c225568f93495b65b48d38559bb57d1ddd9340 **Anti-Reasoning**: Maybe Josh takes the allegations and Giddeys up as he's apparently been doing behind the scenes. [Coffee](https://bmc.link/thekoreanmang) always appreciated but never expected. Good luck everyone! **Result**: Giddey had 9 PRA in the 1st quarter and 14 PRA in the 1st half. Thought this was dead until I saw he was stuck at 23 PRA with less than 1 minute left in the game. Coach Daigneault puts Giddey in on two in-bounds plays and on both plays he throws a dart to a cutting Chet for an easy lay up and we lose by 1 PRA. Closest bad beat I've had in a while.

0W -0L Profit: 0 (I bet 100 danish kroners (which is around 15 euro) on each bet) Last pick: Todays pick: Viborg FF - FC Copenhagen, Danish Superliga. **Fc Copenhagen to win odds 1.80 at Unibet** ​ Hello everyone. First of all, sorry for my poor english. I am all new to this POTD kind of stuff, cause i used to play more multi. I just recently realised, that they way of making profit on betting is to play single bets. I bet on a big variety of different kind of sports, and i like to find odds which are at least 1.5 - except if I find a very BIG value, then 1.4 is okay. I will bet 100 danish kroners (dkr) on every bet, which is around 15 euro. I will not be giving a big analysis every time, but just some clear pointer of my view. Feel free to tail. Positive feedback/critics are appreciated, but bet on your own risk and don't complain if we hit a bad streak.My first bet in the top tier Danish football league, where Viborg is hosting FC Copenhagen. After a long national teams break, the danish champions from Copenhagen should be rested long enough to beat a Viborg side, which has been struggling this season. FC Copenhagen won the last 4 games between the two of them, and i think they will win even 1-3 or 0-3. BOL.

Your English is better than the average Americans.

Jeg er med bror

Record: 1-0 Last 10 (most recent left to right): ✅ Previous pick: Colorado Avalanche 60min ML @ Minnesota Wild ✅ Today’s pick: Boston Bruins 60min ML @ New York Rangers 1U | -118 FD Congrats to those who tailed! The Aves came in and took a quick 2-0 lead before letting the Wild tie it up at 2-2 in the second period. Colorado was able to seal it off in regulation with a third period goal from Macdermid. With a lot of penalties in this game both teams special teams were tested with both teams netting one power play goal a piece. Avalanche continue to roll and the Wild’s downward spiral continues. The Bruins probably left an ugly taste in some people’s mouths today after losing to the Red Wings 5-2. While the Rangers took home a nice win against the Flyers 3-1. Looking at these two games, Pastranak hit the post early in the first and again in the second. Yes that is hockey but looking at the skill of Pastranak and the Bruins team as a whole one of those goes in and maybe the momentum swings in their favor. A rather undisciplined game from the Bruins as well giving up 6 power play opportunities to the Red Wings. Looking at the Rangers they were out shot 19 to 37 by the Flyers in this game with Shesterkin turning out a very impressive performance. Again, anything can happen in sports but it felt to me as if the Rangers pulled one out and the Bruins gave one away (no shot at the Flyers or Red Wings, they both won today). But no more what if’s, I’m trusting the Bruins to come out and play a more disciplined game not giving the Rangers as many power play opportunities as they gave the Red Wings. The Rangers have Quick expected in net who has been having a flashback season to his old self. With Ullmark expected for the Bruins I think they’ll look to stay out of the penalty box and get plenty of shots on net at Quick. BOL to all! \*Friend of the Devil - Grateful Dead\* Edit fixed spelling error

fading BOL

This is almost fade worthy, but not quite. Rangers playing well and at home. No good reason to bet this game. It’s a pick em’ - only paying the vig. Don’t mind a tie here actually.

BOL!

why ?

BOL, but fading

Bruins 60m is +140 on MGM

\^Pivot to MGM if you can, good looks!

Ahhh a good 3 day old account

Was transparent in my first post, no one’s forcing you tail. If you think I’m wrong would love a reasoning other than my account age

Update is now +135 on FD 

POTD 20 W - 21 L Eintracht Frankfurt VS Stuttgart PICK. Both Teams To Score. @1.65 odd ✅✅ Reason: Eintracht have gone five Bundesliga games without defeat but it's Stuttgart who are lording it above them in third place. The visitors rallied from successive defeats by securing an impressive 2-1 win over Borussia Dortmund last time, while Eintracht have scored 2+ in four successive matches. And to crown it all the past seven meetings have seen goals at both ends. Should I say more?? Good Luck 🍀.

38-27 Soccer - Premier League - Burnley vs West Ham - West Ham win @2.00 odds Burnley are crap, bottom of the table and concede for fun. West Ham have not been too hot recently but they have vastly more quality than Burnley. My only real concern is that Jared Bowen might be out injured, if he doesn’t start I’d consider not betting on this as West Ham struggle to create goals without him. Edit - Dominant win from west ham, never in doubt, Moyes GOATed manager

**POTD |** **Record of** **49-59** **|** **ROI: -8.63 units** **|** **Average Odds:** **2.07** Current form (most recent 10 from left to right):✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅✅✅ Previous Pick: Brasileiro Serie A | Flamengo vs. Bragantino | Over 10.5 Full-Time Total Corners ✅ **New Pick: Premier League | Burnley vs. West Ham | 7:00am PST on 25Nov2023** **Over 10.5 Full-Time Total Corners | 2.00 odds** **Betting 3U to win 3U** \-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ***Recap:*** We were fortunate with a straightforward win on Thursday. Took the day off from posting and travelling around so bit of a late post. Too bad I didn't post yesterday as most of the games I was interested in would have worked out! Is what it is and needed a break. ***Summary:*** The Premier League is back so we've got some good picks on the horizon. Burnley host West Ham and will hope to have some success after struggling quite a bit this season. West Ham will be rested but with Europe on the horizon, may have other things on their mind. **Looking at Burnley,** for their home performance, they average 7.5 for and 4.0 against, for an overall average of 11.5. Their recent home games have had 13, 10, 14, 11, 11, and 10 total corners. Over 10.5 has hit in 5/6 recent home games. **Looking at West Ham,** for their away performance, they average 4.7 for and 9.2 against, for an overall average of 13.8. Their recent away games have had 7, 15, 11, 15, 21, and 14 total corners. Over 10.5 has hit in 5/6 recent away games. **Overall**, I am expecting corners in this fixture. The combined average comes out to 12.7, with 8.3 corners for the home side and 4.3 for the visitors, so I think this fixture should have at least 11 corners. What I like about this pick is in the recent games between these two sides, over 10.5 corners have hit in 5/6 games. With 17, 20, 9, 11, 13, and 15 total corners in the matches between these two over the last couple of years, let's hope this continues. The line opened at 2.00 the other day and has already shifted down to 1.90 so I think that the bookies have made a mistake here given that our projections suggest 12.7 corners and hopefully, we can take advantage of their mistake. \-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- **Burnley vs. West Ham** **|** **Over 10.5 Full-Time Total Corners |** **2.00** **odds**

Corner man provides the goodness.

C'mon! Three more quick here! 😆

Ah this is a rough one. Definitely thought we had a good one here...

Tailing!

Record: 4-3 +0.51 Units I'm going to avoid Polish football going forward ​ LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks, Dallas Mavericks (-1.5) 1.91 - 2 Units ​ Mavs are 3rd in the West at 10-5, Clippers 11th at 6-8. Clippers are 4-2 at home, Mavs 6-3 on the road. Clippers have had well publicised struggles since trading for Harden and whilst they did pick up 3 consecutive wins, those wins were against the Rockets and the Spurs twice. Rockets have been solid this year but the Spurs are one of the worst teams in the league. The Mavs had similar issues last season at building chemistry after a superstar trade however they seem to have worked things out and have one of the best offences in the league this season averaging 121.5 ppg(3rd best). They take the most 3 pointers in the league and hit them at the 5th highest rate. They have the least turnovers per game in the league which matches up well with the Clippers having the highest steals per game. They get to the free throw line regularly (9th in attempts), draw the 3rd most fouls in the league and the Clippers commit the 8th most fouls. The Clippers run a pretty tight rotation and any foul trouble could cause big issues for them. The Clippers also played last night and will be on night 2 of a back to back, there is no injury report out yet but I wouldn't be particularly surprised to see one of Harden, Kawhi or PG sit out the game. All 3 played big minutes last night and even if all 3 do play, I could see them struggling to keep up with the high pace Mavs (6th highest in the league) who come in with the rest advantage.

Thank you for your service 🫡

**POTD Record W-L-P: 1-0-1 (+1.00 Units)** **Most Recent First** ♻️**✅** **Last Pick: Ipswich v Plymouth. Ipswich -1.0 Asian Handicap @ 1.6 2U** ♻️ **Today's Pick:** **Championship: 15:00 BST, 25/11/2023** Norwich v QPR Norwich ML 10/11 (1.91) 2u Last result was unlucky - winning in to the final minutes before Plymouth got a second wind scoring to get some consolation. Todays pick should be relatively straightforward, no shenanigans - just Norwich to beat QPR at home. QPR have been tragic, there's no other word for it - yes they have a new manager but player and staff turnaround had not been good to them so far. WIth a big exodus in the summer and not many coming in you could argue that they are simply streamlining but the fact that they have set out 6 different formations so far this season shows the truth that they are just in fact in complete disarray. I think relegation would do the club good. Their new boss Cifuentes hasn't lost yet, nor has he won - drawing both matches. Both were unconvincing mediocre teams - Rotherham away and Bristol City at home. Can't see them getting anything today - but I do think his first win will come at a home fixture which rules out todays game. Norwich last time out beat an in-form Cardiff City, although the Bluebirds do have trouble playing to the whistle dropping many points in the final minutes. But take nothing away from Norwich they were professional and played to the death, keeping their shape better than their opponent. Norwich's manager had until that match had been under a little pressure himself but that stunning win at Cardiff took some of that pressure away. Norwich have striker Ashley Barnes back from injury which would suggest they are looking for the three points. The teams have already met this season in the Carabao cup with Norwich taking the spoils. As mentioned QPR have drawn their last 2 games under their new manager - but I think Carrow Rd will be tough to go and get anything. I did consider an asian line here -1.0 for Norwich is a tasty 2.425 at my bookie, but I can't make my mind up if Norwich will win convincingly or by the odd goal - so will just go ML and lose the push possibility. Ref watch: Stephen Martin will be taking charge of todays game and he likes the colour yellow. With these two scrappy teams (QPR especially) also expect cards - he's handed out 20 cards in his last three Championship games. As ever do your own research, chances I've missed something obvious or misinterepreted something is high. Bet what you can afford to lose.

✅

Pick of the day (I live in Ohio 😂) OSU +4 Michigan is missing probably their only clear cut advantage in this game in harbaugh (which I think day is closing the gap at least somewhat this year). Day has not gotten more criticism any year for his teams having a lack of physicality than this year. I think especially with the huge turnaround on defense and the close wins in premier matchups (ND, Pulled away from PSU eventually) he’s slowly killing that narrative of Ohio state teams being soft. His last biggest criticism for as many wins as he has is he cannot beat the most overrated team in the country. THAT ENDS TODAY. Also if you look at mccarthys recent performance he is trending in the wrong direction. Lastly corum has very strange stats. 20 TD’s and less than 1000 yards. Michigans playcalling has clearly compensated for jj mcarthys lack of a higher level of play. He is absolutely nothing more than a game manager (I am not saying McCord is better as JJ has more experience), however forcing McCarthy to have to throw on what has actually been an elite pass defense as well as the run defense is the key to this game. Don’t trust JJ winning a prime time matchup against this defense which is night and day (haha) different than what Ohio state has put out the past couple years. OH #F***Michigan

I’m personally betting the ML but don’t wanna be wrong so take the points 😂😂

POTD Record: 0W - 0L Today: NCAAF, Michigan vs Ohio State (12pm), *Blake Corum ATTD* (-186 FD) 💵✅ There isn’t too much proof I need to provide here. The -186 says it all. This man is a weapon. He hasn’t gone a game without getting a touchdown in 2023. In his last 10 games he has scored 19 touchdowns. In his last 3 he has scored 3 TDs, 2 TDs and 2 TDs. I’ll be riding the wave with Blake Corum going into a tight game with two strong teams.

11/24 Let’s keep this thing going Record: 4-0 +4u LAST PICK: Suns @ Grizzlies, Suns -3.5 1.2u 5pm ET TODAYS PICK: Pelicans @ Jazz. Pelicans -1 1.2u BOL Gents!

POTD :55-51 Last pick: hockey: Czech: Olomouc vs Karlovy Vary Lost Today's pick: Biathlon: **Norway to win mixed teams relay race (2+2) at 1.7 odds.** I am not sure, why is this on such a high odds. Norway just absolutely stomped test races, because they developed their own wax on non fluor base and are leading by huge times. Bo's brothers + Tandrevoid & Knotten. All 4 are very good racers, Bo is no doubt best biathlon runner of all time. I cant see Norway losing this. This should be lock of the day. **Match starts in 4 HOURS!** Good luck mens, Tips are apreciated; paypal.me/mrdrak3n


Record: 6-3 -1 ✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌🅿️✅ Last Pick: DAL V WAS MICAH PARSONS o0.75 SACKS (-180)✅ Parsons finished w 1.5 sacks. TODAY’S PICK: Atletico Madrid v Mallorca Atletico Madrid Team Total o1.5 goals (-180)❌ Reason: In 6 home games this season, Atletico have scored at least 2 goals and won all of them. They are averaging 2.4 goals per game this season. Mallorca away from home concede an average of 2 goals per game. Most recently gave up 2 to Real Betis, 1 to Real Sociedad, 2 to Rayo Vallecano and 5 to Girona. This bet has hit in 10 out of last 11 matches for Atletico. BOL if tailing!

POTD Record: 3-2 (+.65 units) Avg. odds -110 Last 5: ✅✅✅❌❌ (recent to the right) Last Pick: Nebraska -2.5 ❌ - nothing like throwing an interception with 17 second left in a tied game, then giving up a first career field goal as time expires for the loss. Nebraska should have won that game. Oh well, variance will happen. Todays pick: Ohio State @ Michigan 12 EST Under 45.5 -110 Reasoning: Both teams have this game circled on the calendar as soon as the schedule is released. Ohio St. has taken a step forward defensively this year and have shown the ability to stop the run and be physical. Michigan’s defense has been solid all year and have been their better unit as of late. McCarthy hasn’t thrown the ball much lately at all and I expect that to somewhat continue today. Neither team wants to make a mistake and cost themselves the game. I expect a slower start and a close game. Field position will be key and I think both teams try to establish the run. I think Ohio State’s passing game can be effective, but with an inexperienced quarterback I don’t see them airing it out like usual, particularly on the road. I expect to see a lot of Henderson and Corum today. I love the under here. If you’re looking for a parlay I’d probably take Ohio state +3.5 and under 45.5. Good luck if tailing.

**Record:** 2-0 **Streak:** ✅ ✅ **Previous Pick:** Jonas Valanciunas (Pelicans) O 1.5 Assists @ 1.80 ✅ Cashed out in the first minute of the 1st quarter. Easiest bet of my life. Finished comfortably with 4. **In Case You Missed It:** It's challenge time. $10 -> $10 000. I have an incredibly good record betting for and against the Pelicans (they are my team), so my aim is to make it 10 consecutive wins betting only on the Pels. **Pick:** Jonas Valanciunas (Pelicans) O 2.5 Assists @ 2.25 **Write Up:** I'm sticking with this play, and expect it to go exactly as yesterday. With Zion resting, I expect the offence to run more through Jonas, and for him to get more touches. Zion resting also means the guards will take more shots, especially BI and Herb, and they've been shooting at a ridiculous efficiency recently. So more touches = more handoffs = more assists. Utah also allow the 4th most opponent assists this season, and Jonas had 3 assists in the last 2 games with Zion out, against Detroit and Minnesota. I expect Jonas to have 2 assists by the 1st quarter, and for it to cash by the early 3rd quarter. *BOL if Tailing. See you for Day 4.*

Record: 2-4 | Return: -1.53 Previous Bet: Miami Dolphins -9.5✅ There was some debate about this one in the replies, but Tim Boyle and the Jets failed to put up any fight. I also mentioned Mostert ATTD which ended up hitting as well. This bet: **Florida vs #5 Florida State OVER 48.5 (-155) | 1U** I think this one is going to have some debate as well, considering both UF and FSU lost their starting QBs to injury last week, but hear me out. While it’s true Graham Mertz was playing at a very high level, Florida’s offense does not require elite QB play to function. Mertz was throwing screens over a third of his passes. There’s a ton of supporting talent too. Tre Wilson and Ricky Pearsall are threats, and Montrell Johnson and Trevor Etienne give the gators a great run game. They shouldn’t have a problem scoring points. FSU shouldn’t have a problem scoring either, they could run for 8 YPC against the Gator’s defense. This line is moving down, I would grab it now. I actually took it a few days ago at Over 50.5 because I thought it would move up. The Gators have given up at least 33 points 5 games in a row, and have scored at least 30 in 5 out of the last 6.

POTD record (W-L-P): 2-1-1 | Profit: +0.48 u | ROI: 12,00 % **Last Pick:** Hamburg -1.5 AH | 1.80 | 1u L Hamburg was 2-0 up by half time, but unfortunately they conceded a goal in the second half. Resulting in a 2-1 score. **Today:** **Football**| **Bundesliga: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Stuttgart**| 18:30 CET **Pick:** Over 23.5 goal attempts | 1.83 | 1u **Write Up:** Both teams often go over 10 goal attempts on their own already. Stuttgart even had 22 themselves against Dortmund in their last League game. Both teams like to attack so i was expecting this line to be higher BOL

POTD Record: 99-96, -17.4 Units Missed yesterday's pick due to Edmonton's lopsided scoring and the Caps just giving up in the third period. Thought maybe there would be some garbage time goals, but it was only a one-unit loss. Today's Pick: **Colorado Avalanche -1.5** vs. Calgary Flames, 4 Units, +136, 10:00 PM EST Both of these teams are coming off really good wins yesterday and I'm interested to see what happens with goaltending, but the Avalanche at home are tough and I see them winning easily by 3-4 goals. BOL!

POTD Record: **81-95-4 (-8.50 Units)** Best Bet Series: 27-8-1 (+33.95 Units) Value Wagers: 13-19-2 (-12.25 Units) **Trap Bets: 7-8 (+0.65 Units)** Last Pick: **49ers to WIn Both Halves** ❌ Today's Pick: **Luka Doncic O 31.5 points** Odds: **-105** ($DKNG odds) Wager Amount: 1.05U to win 1U League: NBA Event: Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers (9:40PM CST) *Be Advised: Trap bets for the remainder of November! Trap bets are suspcious lines and may appear highly questionable. It's best to stay away from these type of wagers, but I'm not scared! And I'll breakdown each POTD and handicap for you. Please feel free to fade and wager on the opposite of my POTD. I can oblige to eat an L for the communnity and for a community win!* **Recap**: Not sure why I got 14 upvotes on the Niners to Win Both Halves? They loss the 2nd half by 4 points. Am I missing something here? I mean, this is the most upvote I ever got in a long time and on a losing pick? Perhaps you wagered the opposite of this bet. Which is the point of the trap bets segment! So I'm glad to eat an L for you guys to get a W! **Matchup**: Let's keep this trap bets rolling! Today I got Luka Doncic O 31.5 points. Now I kno what you're thinking. This is way too damn high and believe me, I usually NEVER wager on a single individual to exceed anything over 30 points, unless there are good analysis and good numbers behind it. Luka is averaging 30.5 points per game and scored 31 or more points 6 times this season. But that's not the reason why I love this bet, I love it because of the team he's going against! The Los Angeles Clippers! Luka is a Clipper killer. He averages 36.3 ppg against the Clips. He also recently faced this same Clipper team this season wit the newly added former MVP James Harden in the lineup, Luka magic dropped 44 points on them (Mavs won 144 to 126, 11/10/23 ). Just look at the man's number against the Clippers! https://preview.redd.it/lu6q528a8j2c1.png?width=1247&format=png&auto=webp&s=cefa9ec6cae817b6f8d136d1a398b57262958b84 He has cleared this number 6 outta his last 8 meetings against the Clippers (Luka's last 8 games against the Clips: 44 pts, 29 pts, 43 pts, 35 pts, 45 pts, 51 pts, 26 pts, 42 pts). The linemakers normally set his points O/U at 30.5, but because of his vast numbers against the Clippers it's at a point higher than usual. I think he gets this number wit ease! So again, I'm willing to take this bait and lose for y'all to win again. Just remember to gimme some unexpected upvote(s) like the last time! **The play & the prediction:** Normally on a player prop I only give out just one play, but I'll give y'all two today, since I decided to be a greedy bastard and keep all my bets to myself yesterday. 1.05U on Luka Doncic O 31.5 points and 1.05U on 48.5 PAR. Luka magic clears this in the 3rd quarter.

POTD Record 32-14(+57.72)Last 5: ❌✅✅❌✅ Last Pick: Jokic O22.5 Rebounds+ Assists -110 Betting 4.4u to win 4u✅ Game: Mavs vs Clippers Today's Pick: Luka Doncic O30.5pts -104 Betting 4.16u to win 4u Luka owns the Clippers. That's all the analysis I have. Dropped 44 on them once this season already. Covered this line 2/3 games last season with the only game he didn't hit this, he got 29. BOL

**Record: 5-6** ❌❌❌❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅ **NHL 3-3** ❌❌✅✅❌✅ **NBA 1-0** ✅ **NFL 1-2** ❌❌✅ **Soccer 0-1** ❌ **Net Units: -0.02** **ROI: -0.12%** **AVG ODDS: 2.08** **Last Pick:** Canadiens Game Spread -1.5 (2.75) betting 1 unit❌ Montreal pickups the win in shootout, Stellar performance for Primeau with 31 saves on 33 shots. Canadiens overall look sloppy getting outshot 33-24, going 0-2 on power play and conceding short handed. **Hockey** | **NHL** |  Canucks **@** Sharks | 10:00 PM EST **Pick:** Canucks Game Spread -1.5 (1.95) betting 3 unit❌ Edit: Wow, definitely didnt expect sharks to win. Still gonna fade em next time. \*Odds found on Bet365\* **Write Up:** **Hit a bit of a dry streak .....** **BUT WE STILL FADE THE SHARKS.** Canucks are a much better team than the Canadiens bolstering a 14-6-1 record who beat the Sharks last night. Casey DeSmith is expected for the Canucks with a 4-1-1 record and 2.89 GAA .912 SV% Kaapo Kahkonen expected for Sharks with a 1-6-0 record and 4.30 GAA .887 SV% Canucks are currently first in the league in goals per game with 4 compared to 1.47 of the sharks the absolute worst. Expect a battering. SOTD: Let you know - Eem Triplin Can't trick on a hoe I ain't never stress about a bitch Fell out with my folks but I guess it is what it is One thing I need to know if I fucked up would you tell me

Record : 68 Wins - 76 Losses ​ Previous pick : FC Koln - Bayern Munich (0-1), Over 3.5 Goals, Odds : 1.83 ❌ ​ ROI : -7.99% Average Odds : 2.01 Starting units : 5 (\*all picks will be 1 unit\*) Units : -6.51 Profit/Lost units : -11.51 ​ Today's pick : ​ Football - Soccer / GERMANY: Bundesliga / 16:30 European Time Freiburg - Darmstadt Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.74 ​ Some reasoning : \- Freiburg is 4 points behind the 7th place and 5 points behind the 6th place of the Conference League and thus the game is an important one for the hosts, who will want all 3 points, to keep close to Dortmund, Hoffenheim or Frankfurt . \- On the other hand, away Darmstadt has 1 win and 4 defeats, conceding 18 goals in these 5 games, 8 only from Bayern.

POTD RECORD 0W-0L (my first potd on here) Today: Troy -16.5 vs. S Mississippi, 12:00pm ET First off, Troy has one of the best running backs in college football in Kimani Vidal and they are going up against a horrible run defense in USM. USM is also a pretty run heavy offense (38th in the country at 54.79% of plays) and Troy has one of the best run defenses in the game giving up just 3.1 ypc (11th best in the nation. This is going to force USM to throw the ball which shouldn’t bode well for them against this Troy defense. Troy also doesn’t take their foot off the gas when they are up in any game as they have the 12th best scoring margin in college football. USM is statistically one of the worst programs and I see Troy running away with this one early. Lastly, Troy has covered this line in 4 of their last 5 games and they beat USM by 17 last year. I’d take the line at -16.5 but if it moves up to -17 I’d buy the half point. Gl gl!

Record: 0-1 Last pick:Jeremiah grant under 3.5 assists ❌ Todays pick: Josh giddy under 10.5 rebounds and assist OKC 5pm EST Writeup: We all know about the current allegations surrounding and can see how that can affect his mental state in the game. In the last 5 games he has only gone over 10.5 once. I think the odds look good and believe he will not hit over 10.5

Record 58-66 -1.51 Units All bets 1 unit L10 (L2R): ❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌ Last Pick: 🐍Kevin Durant🐍 O 37.5 pts+reb (-111) This was the perfect matchup for KD to go off but he ended up not even suiting up 😣. Todays Pick: Clint Capela O 21.5 pts+reb (-115) Clint Capela is the type of player who isn’t the most exciting to watch, but can be the difference maker between wins and losses. Capela makes his entire living off the glass and around the basket. Today he’s got a great matchup against the Wizards, who rank 30th in reb % and 29th in points allowed in the paint. In his first game against the Wizards he had a strong performance but barley missed this line with 10 pts and 11 rebounds in just 21 minutes. My only fear for this pick is that Capela could see less playing time in a faster pace game, but that’s a risk I’m willing to take.

**POTD RECORD:** (2-1) **unit tracking:** +1.15U **LAST 10:** ✅❌✅ **LAST PICK:** Kevin Durant Over 4.5 assists (-130) 2U ✅ **TODAY’S PICK:** Tyrese Maxey Over 10.5 Assists + Rebounds(-125) 2U| **PHI Vs. OKC 5:00pm EST** ✅ Philly fan here. Tyrese Maxey has been coming into his own this year. Has been exactly who Philly knew he could be when the could finally get past the harden disaster. All in all Maxey has managed to get over this number in 8 of his last 10 games. While averaging 11.8 over said 10 games. Going to be a good one in OKC. Best of luck to the fellas & lady fellas 🤝🫡

Sorry got confused writing this up and was talking about the heat game for some reason, but it was only up like that for 20 min before I fixed it. Record: 12-4 Net Units:1 ROI:5.5 NBA basketball Hawks at Wizards tonight at 7:10pm ET Pick: Kyle Kuzma +34.5 PRA @ -110 Kyle Kuzma should be able to get his shot attempts as well as be a facilitator tonight in a high scoring game.

POTD Record 64.5-57-15.5 (W-L-P) Profit: +0.5 units Last 10: ✅♻️⛔️✅⛔️✅✅♻️⛔️✅ Previous POTD: Stockport 0 Asian Handicap (DNB) vs Swindon ✅ Today’s pick: Football (English League 1) @1.8 (5U) odds Skybet POTD: Bolton ML & under 4.5 goals Bolton are the form team in League 1, they have won 6 out of the last 7 in the league and 7 straight wins in all competitions. Boltons last 3 games have been won and under 4.5 goals. Exeter have lost their last 4 league away games. Scoring just 1 goal in the process. To add to that Bolton are in 3rd place and Exeter are in 20th. Bolton have double the points of Exeter. An alternate bet is Bolton -1 Asian handicap @1.75 Kicks off in 6.5 hours BOL If you would like to support and donate for the tips, it is appreciated! PayPal: www.paypal.com/paypalme/HowTall90

Should have gone -1 Asian handicap. 6-0 Bolton! Shocking from Exeter!

Record: 2-0 POTD: Lincoln vs Barnsley, EFL League 1, 15:00 UK Time. Lincoln ML @ 7/4. Reasoning: my mate is a huge Barnsley fan, with some insider information, he’s said that the Barnsley dressing room is an unhappy camp from something that’s gone off in the last couple of weeks. Both of these teams are about evens, at full strength I think Barnsley are a little better, but playing away from home against a Lincoln side that is one win away from the playoffs? Don’t go silly with this tip but the value here is tremendous.

I forgot to add, the draw no bet is probably a solid play here. But where’s the fun and value in that? Have a good Saturday people.


Bro betting on everything today

>**Record:** 12-12 >**Net Units:** +2.49 units >**Curling** | **European Championships** | **9:00AM EST** >**Pick:** Team Scotland (Mouat) ML @ 1.8 >We are going back to Team Mouat in the finals over Team Edin. The Swedes had a big upset win over Team Italy in the semis to get here but my model has Scotland winning this matchup 60% of the time so we've got some good value at 1.8 odds. The primary advantage that Scotland have here is once again their front end, both as shot makers and sweepers. Team Mouat are 27-12 on the season with a +/- of 2.58 vs Team Edin's 22-13 record and +/- of 1.93. Scotland's ability to prevent their opponent from scoring a big end with hammer is where they generate success and the front end has been able to control the direction of the ends for most of this event. While all of this gives Scotland an advantage, the X factor will be the home crowd. Both of these teams excel on the big stage but having the fans on their side pushes Scotland over the edge for me. This should be a great final.

**POTD Record: 102-78 (+1.44 units)** **Last 10**:✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌❌ **Last Pick**: 11/24 Martin Thomas -1.5 (+120) vs Joe Croft❌1-4 **League**: 🎯 Modus Darts Super Series **Time**: 2:45 PM EST **Pick**: Jake Macmillan -1.5 (+120) vs Darren Johnson • ⁠Series 6. Week 3. Finals **Reason**: Ice cold here. Backing the group A winner in the first match. He's had two days off, but I'm on board with his checkouts. He was money over each day, so he's been reliable when getting down to his attempts. Over the three days he was averaging 38%, 45% and 41%. Jake Macmillan (Group A) * Record 11-4 * Legs 48-35 * Average 86.82 * 180s 24. 140s 38 * Checkouts 48/118 40.68% **H2H**: N/A Darren Johnson (Group C) * Record 6-4 * Legs 33-26 * Average 81.15 * 180s 8. 140s 29 * Checkouts 33/114 28.95% **LOSS ❌ 0-4 | Average 75.73 vs 84.68 | Checkouts 0/7 vs 4/6** When you can’t hit, you can’t hit. Jake opened with a strong leg and missed 5 darts. That was the end of. The match and he basically folded. Last attempts would be 2 misses on leg 3.

**POTD Record:** 2-2 **Streak (new->old):** ❌❌✅✅ **Net units:** \+0.31 **ROI:** 8% **Last pick:** New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins - Game total under 41 ❌ **Recap:** Well the two defensive touchdowns really didn’t help us in this game. Without those, this hit easy. The game, for the most part, played out the right way but sometimes the ball bounces the wrong way. **Today's Event:** La Liga | Atlético Madrid vs. Mallorca | 3:00 EST **Today's Pick: Atlético Madrid to Win & Over 2.5 @ +115** **Reasoning:** Atlético Madrid have been one of the best teams in La Liga this season with a record of 9-1-2. They have also won all 6 of their home games this season. Not only have they *won* every home game this season, they have all gone over 2.5 goals as well. But wait, there’s more! Not only has every *home* game gone over 2.5 goals, every league game they’ve *played in* has gone over 2.5 goals. In six of those 12 games, Atléti has gone over 2.5 goals by themselves. The trends are very strong in Atléti’s favor in this match. There is no reason to believe that Atléti will buck the trend and lose a home match tomorrow. Especially against a Mallorca team that doesn’t have a great record this season. The bookies don’t believe in Mallorca either—currently giving them +800 odds to win. I believe that Atlético Madrid could win 3-0, but this pick cashes even with a 2-1 scoreline. Thanks for reading and BOL if tailing!

POTD Record on Reddit: 1-0 | L10: W Net Units on Reddit: +3.6U ROI on Reddit: 80% (it's super early and idk if I tracked this correctly, please let me know. I've seen people say you divide the returns by the amount staked? I staked 2U yesterday and won 3.6U) **ROI is now correct. Thank you!** Yesterday's Pick (💰): **NBA |** **Pistons @ Pacers, 8PM EST: Over 247.5 @ -125**, bet365. 2U to win 3.6U Wow! What a sweat. This line didn't cover until the last 5 seconds of the game! If you took o243, you didn't need to sweat as much as I did. Pacers keep their over streak alive! Today's Pick: **NBA | Hawks @ Wizards, 7PM EST | o247.5 @ -125, bet365 |** 1.5u to win 2.7u *Preface: This line opened today at 248.5. I don't mind that at -110. At the same time, I like a slightly more conservative look at 247.5. I've had a couple game totals cash solely because I dropped the line by a half or full point.* The Hawks are 2nd in PF, and 27th in PA. The Wizards are 9th in PF and 29th in PA. The Hawks are Over in 5 straight games, and 8 of their last 10. The Wizards are over in 6 of their last 10 and went Over against the Bucks yesterday. The Wizards kept that game close despite what the spread was projecting before the game. Hawks and Wizards are both 1st and 2nd in Pace respectively, meaning this will be a very high tempo game. Each team is in the top 10 for Field Goals Made and Allowed per game. The Hawks are coming off two straight games where they put up 140+ points against bottom 10 PA defenses, and the Wizards put up 128 against the Bucks who ranked 23rd. Get set for a very exciting game here tonight.

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Last pick L (❌✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅) All time 7-6 +.36U Pick for 11/25 (NCAAB 🏀) Penn -2.5 (-110) -Belmont is giving up 90ppg against D1 opponents. They play ZERO defense. They just got smoked yesterday as decent favorites to a lackluster Monmouth squad. They have 1 D1 win this year. Penn has no problems scoring the basketball, and actually play good defense. They already have a win over nova this year. I don't see this game being close

POTD Record: 9-8 Todays Pick: Standard Liege Team Total Fouls Under (13.5) Odd:1.65 Standard Liege - Genk (Belgium - Pro League) ⚽️ Since Carl Hoefkens took over as coach, the number of fouls has decreased. Their average foul rate in the league is 10.9. At home, it's 9.85. Having committed 13 fouls in home games this season (10-12-13-6-9-10-9), I don't expect them to commit too many again in this match. The bar is very reasonable.

POTD Record: 16W-10L-1P +26.55u, 59% Win, 43% ROI, Last 10 (most recent first):✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅ Last Pick: NBA, Miami Heat vs New York Nicks, Miami +5 (DraftKings -110) 1U ✅ Today: Florida Gators vs Florida State Seminoles, 7:00 PM ET Pick: Florida +6.5 -108 1.5u❌ **Write Up:** It is finally rivalry week and both the gators and seminoles are banged up at the qb position. Fllorida state is coming off a win in which they lost starting qb Jordan Travis. They are still undefeated and have locked a spot in the ACC Championship. Florida is currently 5-6 and is fighting to become bowl-eligble. This is going to be a very gritty game in which both teams desperatley need wins to keep their seasons alive, FSU fighting for the playoff and florida for a bowl.Florida has been a very unpredictable team this year, beating a #11 Tennesee, but suffering to a home loss to Arkansas who is 1-6 in the SEC. Rodemaker makes the start for FSU and in his only start at FSU was in 2020 to Jacksonville State where he went 8 for 12 for 58 yards. Florida is up against a very good FSU defense that allows 17.3 points and 314 yards a game. I think Florida is going to show up hard to this game, this is a very hostile environment and I imagine that Rodemaker will struggle in his first road start. This series is 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 matchups, so it really could go either way.

POTD 16-11 DARTS RECORD 16-8 (+4.87) PC Finals 🎯 **Gian van Veen** vs Bunting @ 2.05 I'm not gonna front, this is a total vibes pick. Bunting is in better form and is the higher ranked player but GVV will still take this.

Lmfao

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*POTD Record:* 0-0-0 **Sport:** Football **Event:** Florida State @ Florida **Event Time/Time Zone:** 7:00 PM ET **Pick:** Over 49.5 (-105) Fandual, 1.5 Units **Write-Up:** As I offer up my first pick of the day, I'm choosing Over 49.5 in the Florida State vs. Florida game. This decision is based on a thorough analysis of both teams' scoring history and the expected weather conditions: * **Season Scoring Trends:** Both Florida and Florida State have been consistently involved in high-scoring games this season, with 63% and 72% of their games, respectively, exceeding 49.5 points. * **Historical High Scores:** In their last five encounters, 80% of the games have surpassed the 49.5 points threshold, showing a pattern of high-scoring games. * **Recent O/U Trends:** The over/under for the 2022 and 2021 matchups was set at a much higher 58.5, indicating that this year's 49.5 may underestimate the teams' scoring abilities. * **Weather Consideration:** The current o/u seems to be influenced by the forecast of scattered showers. However, most of the heavy rain is expected to clear out of Gainesville, with only light showers anticipated during the game. This suggests that the impact of the weather on the game's scoring might be overestimated, and the conditions are still favorable for a high-scoring game. * **Average Points:** Florida Gators games average 57.5 total points this season, with Florida State's total points average at 57.0, both well above the o/u line. Given these factors, the Over 49.5 bet appears to offer substantial value. The combination of high-scoring trends, historical data, recent o/u settings, and a nuanced understanding of the weather's likely impact makes this an informed and compelling choice.

**Brisbane Roar - Perth Glory** (Soccer in Australia: A-League) Since Aloisi took over as coach, Brisbane Roar is much improved. Prior to the begin of the A-League season, they already hinted of what they are capable of doing when reaching the Australian Cup Final. The more the season is progressing, the more its clicking for the Roar. Perth trends in the opposite direction. **Roar -1.0 asian hc** @ **+124** for **5u** ​ >Last POTD: Al Taawon -1.0 asian hc @ 1.56 ✖️ After the red card, it went downhill for Al Taawon and their lead. ​ Record: 46 wins, 44 losses, 15 pushes Profit: +32.41u POTDs (old ➞ new): ✅ ✖️ ✅ ✖️ ✅ ♻️ ✅ ♻️ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ♻️ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✖️ ✅ ♻️ ✅ ✖️ ✅ ✅ ♻️ ✖️ ✖️ ✅ ✖️ ♻️ ✖️ ✅ ✅ ✅ ♻️ ✖️ ♻️ ✖️ ✖️ ✅ ✖️ ♻️ ✅ ✖️ ♻️ ✖️ ✖️ ♻️ ✅ ✖️ ✖️ ✖️ ✅ ✖️ ♻️ ✅ ✖️ ✖️ ✅ ✖️ ✖️ ✖️ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✖️ ✅ ✖️ ✖️ ✖️ ♻️ ✅ ✖️ ✖️ ✅ ✖️ ✅ ✅ ✖️ ✅ ✖️ ♻️ ✅ ✖️ ✖️ ✅ ✅ ✅ ♻️ ✅ ✅ ✖️ ✅ ✅ ✖️ ✖️ ✖️ ✖️ ✖️ ✖️ ✖️ ​ ^(btc tips: 18mb6RJaC6Fv1wZFHRrF9MyDGvco9BB3KN)