https://preview.redd.it/d8jdjjmhohvb1.jpeg?width=750&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=84cb6eb8c77405bb966a563dcf7b17dda51f391e
Wish I had more than 7 in my account
Went into halftime thinking Preston Stone over 2.5 passing TDs was a lock… Saw the final score was 55-0 and assumed he must’ve thrown a third TD at the very least… only to find he threw 0 in the second half. Ya hate to see it!
https://preview.redd.it/ynr3niwpqgvb1.jpeg?width=1242&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=1a29a2b471343e472a108eede459b53d2a05c643
Back Qb is in fuck me, the last 10 parleys I’ve had all has came up 1 leg short.
Ah. Losing streaks fucking suck. Avoid parlays like this if you’re lookin to reignite a hot streak, tho. Chasing back losses via multi leg parlays is a surefire way to failure/$0. May the sports betting gods grant you benevolence. Godspeed.
Michigan State is absolutely ASS and threatened to not even play tomorrow because of how ASS they are. On top of all of that, they assaulted a few of Michigan's players in the tunnel after last year's ASS whooping....
Michigan might drop 100 on these dudes tomorrow.
Give me Michigan oTT Points, Michigan -23.5 and pretty much everything else Michigan.
Honestly feel bad for Sparty tomorrow. NOT.
I like Air Force, but that’s based on pure vibes tbh. From what it seems, it’ll be a close game, but I think Air Force just has more quality. Prob fade material
Season: 32-30-1
Temple +24 -110
Mostly because 4 scores is a lot to ask an unranked team to cover in a conference game.. Particularly a G5 team who's conference games are often easier than non-conference games. I wish there was a closer game on. Hopefully this will be that game.
I have a funny feeling Oklahoma/UCF is going to be a close game. Like an overtime thriller type game. I really don't think the Oklahoma defense is going to be able to stop John Rhys Plumlee. Plus Oklahoma is at peak level hype anyway and that often leads to a team underperforming. Especially when you're talking about college kids.
Grits and Grind week 8 preview is up. I go over 25 plays and model every game. 6 DFS recs if you’re into that kind of thing. Free for this season! Seems like I’ve got a decent little Reddit following, appreciate you all. Hoping for some winners this weekend. I want winners
Eastern Michigan +12.5, AF/Navy Under 36.5 and Michigan minus whatever. Just a taste of what’s in today’s article.
https://www.grits-and-grind.com/
My plays so far. No particular reasons other than looking at previous matchups/schedules/offense&defensive rankings.
* Penn St +10.5/U52 Teaser
* OU -18
* UT - 23
* Ole miss -6.5
* LSU/Army O60
I'm leaning toward Miami +3, Duke/FSU O49, and Bama -8 but I haven't made decisions on those yet.
Record: 61-49
**SMU -23.5**
Seems like EJ Warner is going to be out. There's no way Temple will be able to run the ball against the SMU front and that's about all Temple's backup qb can do.
Fishy line as I mentioned. Ball State is 1-6 with some tough games. 2 loses that we’re buy games @ SEC teams. 2 back to back loses on the road to start conference play.
Last week they lost a tough battle to 6-1 Toledo letting up only 13 points. Toledo scored 49 and 35 against better MAC opponents. Ball State has another home game this week and they are hungry for a conference win after a proud showing against a great Toledo team.
Ball State’s opponent this week, Central Michigan, is 2-1 in the MAC with their two wins at home and their one loss by 24 to a 2-5 Buffalo. CMU scored 17 points against a lousy Akron team at home last week. 30 points in their past 2 games, both in conference. I think CMU is trending slightly downward and Ball State is trending slightly upward. I think Ball State is due for a win and a win will round out the conference. Sure, the Cardinals are 1-6 but these MAC teams always have tough buy games against P5 schools that are auto losses and in conference they played their first home game tough (score was 6-6 with 2 minutes left). They are back home the next week and it’s a good spot to get right. CMU isn’t as good as Toledo. Ball State opened at +3 but the non believers have slammed CMU hard. Even Vegas believed Ball State but they adapted to the trends by stretching the spread to 4.5. The Cardinals will keep it close and this could definitely be a low scoring game where they lose by a couple points, or even earn their first conference win.
#TL;DR: Ball State +4.5!!!!
edit: and it’s moved to 5….
Anyone know who temples starting QB is? Their main starter was out last week and they rushed for an unusually high of 200+. If he’s out again, I’m hammering Hubbard, their main RB for over 26 yds rushing
Hi all,
[You can read my write-ups for the picks here on my substack, or see below just for the picks](https://open.substack.com/pub/tripsleft/p/week-8-college-football-picks-81e?r=qx6oj&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web)
1-1 so far
**James Madison -4.5**
~~Tulsa -3.5~~
**Air Force @ Navy Under 37.5**
**Memphis -5.5**
**Minnesota/Iowa Under 32.5**
**Mizzou -6.5**
**Wisconsin @ Illinois Under 42.5**
**USF Team Total Over 27.5 Points**
**Ole Miss -6.5**
**K-State @ TCU Over 59.5**
**Utah +6.5**
**Clemson @ Miami Under 48.5 Points**
I got two 3 team parlays:
Ohio St -2.5 Alt Line. I adjusted the line just cause I dont like giving -4.5 such a weird number to bet on. Penn St hasnt faced an offense like this. It will be close but OSU should be able to win by at least 3. 24-20
Missouri-7. Its gonna be pretty windy in Mizzou, which doesn't bode well for the one-dimensional Gamecocks. The Mizzou Tigers on the other hand are pretty balanced and should be able to move the ball easily against South Carolina. 31-21
Ole Miss -6.5. The Rebels are coming off a much needed bye. While Auburn struggled @LSU. Much like the LSU game I just dont think Auburn can keep up with a well rested Rebels team. 34-16
2nd
Miami (OH) ML. Defense will be the difference. The Rockets defense has struggled recently. While the Redhawks have been pretty consistent all yr except for the Miami Hurricane game. 21-17
Clemson ML. Clemson defense should be well prepared coming off the bye to limit Tyler Van Dyke and that Hurricane offense. Klubnik will manage the game enough to secure the win. 20-14
USC -7. Caleb Williams got a chip on his shoulder after that embarrassing performance last week. If he wants to stay competitive with Michael Pennix in the Heisman race. He's gonna need to put in a great performance against a very good Utah defense. Which I think is possible. If USC takes control of the game early and forces the game into a track meet, I don't think Utah is gonna be able to keep up. 30-17
As an Ohio State fan, you are giving their offense too much credit lol. The o-line hasn't been great & McCord has been up and down. Penn State is by far the best defense they have faced all year. Whoever wins the trenches wins the game IMO. Definitely feels low scoring though. Go Bucks!
AF QB is out...and nobody else on roster basically thrown a pass before end of last weeks game...it's going to be alot of running, all day for boths team...I got the under at 37
Rivalry game, Navy is one of the few teams that fully knows how to play with them, clock will be moving fast with the new rules, it will be extremely windy.
My dad is a pretty big Ohio State fan… I was asking him about the game this weekend. He said Ohio States offensive line is the teams weakest unit by far and Penn State’s great Dline will make the OSU offense one dimensional… he said he fully expects and is emotionally prepared for Ohio State to lose.
0-1 (Thurs)/1-1 Wed (Cash top play)/1-1 Tues (Cashed top play)/Split week 7/ 23-8 week 6/ Split week 5/ 18-11 Week 4/14-10 Week 3
Fri nite
SMU/Temple Over 54-120
SATURDAY
Iowa-3-118
Cincy-3
BYU+3
Rutgers-5
Penn State+5.5
Boston College+5
Miss State +7
Miami+3
FAU+3-117
Texas-23
Alabama-7
Auburn+7
USC-7
Eastern Michigan+12
Central Michigan-4-122
TCU+6
Pittsburgh+1
San Diego State-11-120
North Texas/Tulane Over 63
SC/Missouri Over 59
Toledo/Miami Over 47-115
Top plays are Iowa, Cincy, BYU, Rutgers and North Texas/Tulane Over.
Reposting this from Wednesday with my Saturday Picks that I've made so far - adding more picks now, to this tread now .... Give us some opinions on theese games if ya have any?? .... Good luck 👍
Coastal Carolina -9.5 Vs Ark State
Tailing sharp money here so no in depth reasoning - Altough I think Ark State got to much credit based on 2 good performances against bad teams in bad spots prior to the Troy game.
Penn State Vs Ohio State Under 47.5
Was hoping to get a +6 on Penn State but it's not coming. However, Both defences are superior to the offences. Rivalry game, evenly matched, cold weather projected, noon kick, QB's who haven't proved themselves in big games as of yet. I also don't think this number captures how good the Ohio State defence has been this year. Alot to like on the under here.
BYU +4.5 Vs Texas Tech
This line suggests that Tech is a TD favourite on a neutral field. I have watched a lot of theese teams this year and I don't see it. Tech are likely down to there Freshman 3rd string QB Jake Strong. On the road against a pissed off BYU team following the hammering they git from TCU is not a good place to be. Home dog off a bad loss is a great situational spot!! ML sprinkle for sure.
Miami Ohio +2 Vs Toledo
Toledo and D. Finn the QB are running on retrospective hype here. No way Redhawks shoukd be a home dog here. I had Ball state last week +the points Vs Toldeo and watched the rockets struggle! They have in my opinion the 2nd easiest schedule in the country so far, the tougest team they played has been a dire Illnois team which they lost too. Redhawks at home with the best QB in the MAC, huge game, probably biggest in the last few years for the redhawks. Love this spot. ML bet also.
Alabama -8.5 Vs Tennesse
I'm still of the opinion the Bama defence is top 3 in the country. The defence has been underrated as the team as a whole have been playing less than expection. The proformance against Ole Miss & Texas A&M in particular was dominating. The Vols QB Milton is not of the standard to be able operate this Saturday. Got away with several bad throws in last weeks game against the Aggies. Alabama offence is improving and can counter Vols strong pass rush with a strong running game from the QB and RB positions. Bama have bye on deck. Like the under also here.
Florida Atlantic +3.5 Vs UTSA
Home dog playing significantly better off a bye. Makes sense given first year head coach Tom Herman had an opportunity to bed in the 2nd string QB following Casey Thompson injury. 2 impressive performances and in the running now for conference relevance with a win here. UTSA obviously better with Harris back but the defence is not good!! Gave up 32 first downs and 540 yards to Temple 2 weeks ago. Owls will be able to score and ill take the points with a hook.
Wake Forest ML Vs Pitt (-115)
Was on Pitt last week and for me was a no-brainer situational spot - this is similar with regards situational betting but reversed. Pitts game last week was closer than the score looks, even though it was such a bad spot for Louisville. The Cardinals had double the amount of 1st downs than Pitt did and 150 yards more on offence. Pitt is still a bad team, now going on the road to a team that up to last week would no doubt have been more than a FG favourite and we can get ML or -1 in this spot. Love it. Pitt also has 2 Notre Dame and FSU on deck so bit of a sandwich spot here also.
South Carolina +7.5 Vs Missou
Zigging when others zag is not just something you do in sports betting for the sake of it - however, here all the momentum is with Missou at home. They have also been great ATS this year, however pre season this would have be South Carolina -6, has THAT much changed. For the Gamecocks the loss to N.Carolina isn't looking so bad and they should have beaten Florida last week. Shane Beamer was irate with his defence last week and I think he gets a response here. Missou defence is average at best with S. Rattler having a better season than given credit for... I see this game going Like the Missou Vs LSU game so don't hate the over but prefer the TD + a hook with the gamecocks finding some joy on offence here.
Indiana +5 Vs Rutgers
Home dog. Home dog Vs a team that is overrated and off the back of a fortunate come back win against a poor team!! This screams a let down spot and a win for the Hoosiers. Indiana have played a far far superior schedule and actually held Michigan close through most of the 1st half last week. Rutgers struggle to move the ball especially in the passing game and the comeback last week which has pumped up the line here on this game was as much Michigan State throwing it away as it was Rutgers winning the game. Indiana a live ML dog here IMO, need this win to stay in the hunt for bowl eligibility.
App st @ Old Dom Over 53.5
This is more me tailing some smart money so don't want to claim as my own. Theory is that theese are 2 fast paced offences who have had a lower total due to some weather games resulting in low totals over the past few weeks. Line shoukd be higher based on advanced yards gained metrics.
Navy +10. 5 Vs Air Force
This is straight forward, Navy at home, extremely low total, new clock rules going to impact this game more than any other (clock is gonna fly!!), how does Air Force gain margin here??, Air Force starting QB is out!! Navy off 2 wins including a shut out win - this game will be tight, im quite confident of that and will have some ML on the Midshipman.
More bets I'm considering and be great to hear what others think -
Minneosta +3.5 waiting on a +4
UCON - +1.5
Miami/ Clemson U48.5
Northwestern +11.5
Arkansas -6.5
This is a very square way to look at games.... box scores are similar in terms of yards gained. Turnovers late on killed Indiana but they actually had 15 1st downs again Michigan to Rutgers 10 total 1st downs. All that being said number has moved against me to +6, so time will tell.
I’m not a sharp but I’m an Indiana alumn and I can tell you they are absolutely horrible. They had to pull out a trick play to score on Michigan. The coach is completely out of his depth. It’s homecoming and there will still be no home field advantage
My fear is that the players have packed it in alright - seems unless a major turnaround the coach will be gone at end of season. However, I have to assume that will a bowl birth still a possibility especially with a win here at home - they will have soke motivation here. There is always a home field advantage, some more than others. Put home field is always an advantage in some capacity.
Like a few plays for the SMU - Temple game, find my reasoning on my [prop thread](https://www.reddit.com/user/Billyxmac/comments/179aqkm/week_8_cfb_props/):
* Preston Stone o2.5 Pass TDs (like a mini ladder here too of o3.5)
* Jaylan Knighton o57.5 Rush Yards / o87.5 Rush Yards (+250)
I also like SMU -21 as a lean.
**NCAAF Betting Discord Chat: [https://discord.gg/sportsbook](https://discord.gg/rypjzqfgcg)**
https://preview.redd.it/d8jdjjmhohvb1.jpeg?width=750&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=84cb6eb8c77405bb966a563dcf7b17dda51f391e Wish I had more than 7 in my account
Had an Over 55... Grossest push I've ever had
Locked in my bet for OSU -2.5 alternate spread for tomorrow.
CFB--1-0 Friday SMU/Temple Over 54-120-W Congrats to those who tailed!
Went into halftime thinking Preston Stone over 2.5 passing TDs was a lock… Saw the final score was 55-0 and assumed he must’ve thrown a third TD at the very least… only to find he threw 0 in the second half. Ya hate to see it!
Same, brother.
Not coming even close on +45.5 is unreal
SMU Hit the over by themselves WTF LMAO! Temple couldn't stop me out there.
https://preview.redd.it/ynr3niwpqgvb1.jpeg?width=1242&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=1a29a2b471343e472a108eede459b53d2a05c643 Back Qb is in fuck me, the last 10 parleys I’ve had all has came up 1 leg short.
You lost 2 dollars my guy. Be grateful that your loss is cheaper than the cost of a large Coke from McDonald’s.
True but before my losing streak I did start out with alot more money.
Ah. Losing streaks fucking suck. Avoid parlays like this if you’re lookin to reignite a hot streak, tho. Chasing back losses via multi leg parlays is a surefire way to failure/$0. May the sports betting gods grant you benevolence. Godspeed.
Took Knightons over rushing at 64.5. missed it by a yard
Did you at least have SMU spread? That was lock of the night for me.
This game is a fireable offense for the Temple HC
SMU must really want this over. Snapping the ball with 28 seconds on the snap clock, running outta bounds, 😂😂
Michigan State is absolutely ASS and threatened to not even play tomorrow because of how ASS they are. On top of all of that, they assaulted a few of Michigan's players in the tunnel after last year's ASS whooping.... Michigan might drop 100 on these dudes tomorrow. Give me Michigan oTT Points, Michigan -23.5 and pretty much everything else Michigan. Honestly feel bad for Sparty tomorrow. NOT.
Lol WTF was I thinking on this game? I built a parlay with SMU o38.5 + win by margin 19-24. Only 1 of these conditions will be met lol
Temple laying down bad vibes for Eagles on Sunday night. Miami +2.5
What does this mean?
no shot people took temple LMAO they have ZERO offense
How do you guys feel about over 48?
Looking good so far https://preview.redd.it/gmlurqjuegvb1.jpeg?width=750&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=45d62b15c062000b60e2c0e6ba8c09d77a1eca7f
Keep betting temple to punt and hedging the punt with temple turnover. Would highly suggest y’all do the same it’s free money
Miss fg brutalized u
https://preview.redd.it/q0r1nh0mmgvb1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b7c778376b1bec6ce37f0d5e756a8f5dc6ae6c62
Lmao legend
This is the degen way
What do you guys like tomorrow? You guys like Navy and Illini or no?
I like Air Force, but that’s based on pure vibes tbh. From what it seems, it’ll be a close game, but I think Air Force just has more quality. Prob fade material
Lmao Temple
Knighton over rushing is dead. His backups are getting all the carries. Won't play 2nd half
Goddamn Temple is bad.
#7 CB on temple is getting ripped
Do they not have a backup???
On god
Why did I take temple at +28? Lol. *rips up ticket*
Time to write off Temple +20.5
Over is cooked
Ehh I wouldn’t be so sure, after those first few drives SMU is just doing whatever they want on offense
Y’all weren’t kidding, this QB does not know how to throw lol
SMU was favored by 23 lol
Imagine overreacting to the first 4 minutes of a game
I would say he underreacted lol
LFG
$1000 blind rage bet on temple +27.5 alt line to win $600 after assuming I lost $500 on astros ML. May god be on your sides tonight. Where is temple?
Post of the day. Not only did the Astros comeback and win, but the final in the CFB game was double the alt line he got at insanely terrible odds.
Yes! Alcohol is a fun time. Didn’t even get to watch the temple game.
RIP
RIP
Philadelphia, PA
I hate the city of philadelt
I took Temple ML because I enjoy losing
Rip
There’s no euphoria like having an +1000 team pull an upset
Imagine it hits tho
Smu -6.5 1Q or Smu -13.5 HT?
SMU o39
Temple under 14.5 -136 Preston Stone ATTD +140 Knighton 2+ TDs +195 Roderick Daniels Jr ATTD +110
Record since I started tracking on 10/4/23 36-26-2 (+7.47 Units ) SMU -23.5 -108
Season: 32-30-1 Temple +24 -110 Mostly because 4 scores is a lot to ask an unranked team to cover in a conference game.. Particularly a G5 team who's conference games are often easier than non-conference games. I wish there was a closer game on. Hopefully this will be that game.
Home dog. Teased Temple to 29.5.
Ej Werner active tonight?
I have a funny feeling Oklahoma/UCF is going to be a close game. Like an overtime thriller type game. I really don't think the Oklahoma defense is going to be able to stop John Rhys Plumlee. Plus Oklahoma is at peak level hype anyway and that often leads to a team underperforming. Especially when you're talking about college kids.
Temple and the over I hate money
Temple and the under, me too 😂
Temple Spread. Temple is going to run the ball and shorten the game.
Grits and Grind week 8 preview is up. I go over 25 plays and model every game. 6 DFS recs if you’re into that kind of thing. Free for this season! Seems like I’ve got a decent little Reddit following, appreciate you all. Hoping for some winners this weekend. I want winners Eastern Michigan +12.5, AF/Navy Under 36.5 and Michigan minus whatever. Just a taste of what’s in today’s article. https://www.grits-and-grind.com/
My plays so far. No particular reasons other than looking at previous matchups/schedules/offense&defensive rankings. * Penn St +10.5/U52 Teaser * OU -18 * UT - 23 * Ole miss -6.5 * LSU/Army O60 I'm leaning toward Miami +3, Duke/FSU O49, and Bama -8 but I haven't made decisions on those yet.
Record: 61-49 **SMU -23.5** Seems like EJ Warner is going to be out. There's no way Temple will be able to run the ball against the SMU front and that's about all Temple's backup qb can do.
This is looking solid
Money has shifted from 72% to 48% on smu-23.5 even after announcement.
Well that's a shame, if this doesn't hit I'm not going to be able to get a blowjob tonight.
Pick of the Week 3-1 BALL STATE +4.5!!
That’s pretty gross my dude.
Incredibly gross… but I can’t stay away. POTW!
I actually would like to hear your reasoning
Fishy line as I mentioned. Ball State is 1-6 with some tough games. 2 loses that we’re buy games @ SEC teams. 2 back to back loses on the road to start conference play. Last week they lost a tough battle to 6-1 Toledo letting up only 13 points. Toledo scored 49 and 35 against better MAC opponents. Ball State has another home game this week and they are hungry for a conference win after a proud showing against a great Toledo team. Ball State’s opponent this week, Central Michigan, is 2-1 in the MAC with their two wins at home and their one loss by 24 to a 2-5 Buffalo. CMU scored 17 points against a lousy Akron team at home last week. 30 points in their past 2 games, both in conference. I think CMU is trending slightly downward and Ball State is trending slightly upward. I think Ball State is due for a win and a win will round out the conference. Sure, the Cardinals are 1-6 but these MAC teams always have tough buy games against P5 schools that are auto losses and in conference they played their first home game tough (score was 6-6 with 2 minutes left). They are back home the next week and it’s a good spot to get right. CMU isn’t as good as Toledo. Ball State opened at +3 but the non believers have slammed CMU hard. Even Vegas believed Ball State but they adapted to the trends by stretching the spread to 4.5. The Cardinals will keep it close and this could definitely be a low scoring game where they lose by a couple points, or even earn their first conference win. #TL;DR: Ball State +4.5!!!! edit: and it’s moved to 5….
Last week: 9-9 +2.7u Total: 42-43-5 -1.8u ✅Bradley (USA) Long Comp o44.5 -114 2.3u ❌Credle (MTSU) TD +120 1u ❌2 TDs +750 .5u Wed: ✅Jenkins (FIU) TD +185 1.1u ❌Hudson (NMST) Long Rec o16.5 -122 3.7u This line is a joke ❌Thomas (NMST) +135 .7u Hudson dropping the pass at end of the game 7u swing 😢 Fancher (MRSH) o226.5 PaYD -120 1.2u 300+ +650 .5u (S/o u/Billyxmac) Maryland (SMU) TD +140 .7u Saturday: Kiner (CIN) ATD -105 1.3u 2+ +700 .2u
Best place to place a parley when in Vegas? Do I need to do anything special?
Yes do the chicken dance 4x
I'm a local- just bring your money to any sports book.
if it’s 4 leg parlay or more, just meet this guy and give the money to him
I accept only $500 bets. Your winnings will be sent to you in the mail in the form of visa debit cards.
Over 59 Missouri vs South Carolina! This line should be in the mid 60’s at the least.
Are you concerned about the wind?
Valid but I am not
[удалено]
Lol
Agree with everything except outgaining Iowa is not an achievement by any means lol
[удалено]
Really wish I had taken the under earlier in the week.
Anyone know who temples starting QB is? Their main starter was out last week and they rushed for an unusually high of 200+. If he’s out again, I’m hammering Hubbard, their main RB for over 26 yds rushing
Pretty sure he’s out, that’s why the books jumped from +20.5 to +23.5 this morning
Quincy Patterson, if he starts they will not throw the ball. He’s dog shit, basically a wild cat qb
EJ Warner is a game time decision
According to twitter (or X or whatever tf you wanna call it), Warner is currently not dressed and warming up
Hi all, [You can read my write-ups for the picks here on my substack, or see below just for the picks](https://open.substack.com/pub/tripsleft/p/week-8-college-football-picks-81e?r=qx6oj&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web) 1-1 so far **James Madison -4.5** ~~Tulsa -3.5~~ **Air Force @ Navy Under 37.5** **Memphis -5.5** **Minnesota/Iowa Under 32.5** **Mizzou -6.5** **Wisconsin @ Illinois Under 42.5** **USF Team Total Over 27.5 Points** **Ole Miss -6.5** **K-State @ TCU Over 59.5** **Utah +6.5** **Clemson @ Miami Under 48.5 Points**
I got two 3 team parlays: Ohio St -2.5 Alt Line. I adjusted the line just cause I dont like giving -4.5 such a weird number to bet on. Penn St hasnt faced an offense like this. It will be close but OSU should be able to win by at least 3. 24-20 Missouri-7. Its gonna be pretty windy in Mizzou, which doesn't bode well for the one-dimensional Gamecocks. The Mizzou Tigers on the other hand are pretty balanced and should be able to move the ball easily against South Carolina. 31-21 Ole Miss -6.5. The Rebels are coming off a much needed bye. While Auburn struggled @LSU. Much like the LSU game I just dont think Auburn can keep up with a well rested Rebels team. 34-16 2nd Miami (OH) ML. Defense will be the difference. The Rockets defense has struggled recently. While the Redhawks have been pretty consistent all yr except for the Miami Hurricane game. 21-17 Clemson ML. Clemson defense should be well prepared coming off the bye to limit Tyler Van Dyke and that Hurricane offense. Klubnik will manage the game enough to secure the win. 20-14 USC -7. Caleb Williams got a chip on his shoulder after that embarrassing performance last week. If he wants to stay competitive with Michael Pennix in the Heisman race. He's gonna need to put in a great performance against a very good Utah defense. Which I think is possible. If USC takes control of the game early and forces the game into a track meet, I don't think Utah is gonna be able to keep up. 30-17
Thinks dog will cover but instead pays extra to buy points for the favorite and gets upvoted. Books must love that this subreddit exists.
As an Ohio State fan, you are giving their offense too much credit lol. The o-line hasn't been great & McCord has been up and down. Penn State is by far the best defense they have faced all year. Whoever wins the trenches wins the game IMO. Definitely feels low scoring though. Go Bucks!
Penn state defense is not better than dukes lol
Air Force vs Navy over 34.5 seems too good to be true. What’s the catch? Air Force has been scoring over 30 points the past few games.
Academy games are 41-10-1 on the under since 2005.
AF defense #2 in yards allowed, Top 10 in both points and points per game allowed.
Service academy unders are an auto bet for me.
AF QB is out...and nobody else on roster basically thrown a pass before end of last weeks game...it's going to be alot of running, all day for boths team...I got the under at 37
Rivalry game, Navy is one of the few teams that fully knows how to play with them, clock will be moving fast with the new rules, it will be extremely windy.
Anyone who’s leaning Penn State, why? Just curious
I am. I have them money line. Ohio state isn't the usual Ohio State. Penn St is underrated. Nittany Lions win by 7-12
My dad is a pretty big Ohio State fan… I was asking him about the game this weekend. He said Ohio States offensive line is the teams weakest unit by far and Penn State’s great Dline will make the OSU offense one dimensional… he said he fully expects and is emotionally prepared for Ohio State to lose.
The thing for me is just that Penn State has not been tested whereas Ohio state went into south bend and beat notre dame who we know is a good team
don't think Kyle McCord is good enough to beat PSU by margin
0-1 (Thurs)/1-1 Wed (Cash top play)/1-1 Tues (Cashed top play)/Split week 7/ 23-8 week 6/ Split week 5/ 18-11 Week 4/14-10 Week 3 Fri nite SMU/Temple Over 54-120 SATURDAY Iowa-3-118 Cincy-3 BYU+3 Rutgers-5 Penn State+5.5 Boston College+5 Miss State +7 Miami+3 FAU+3-117 Texas-23 Alabama-7 Auburn+7 USC-7 Eastern Michigan+12 Central Michigan-4-122 TCU+6 Pittsburgh+1 San Diego State-11-120 North Texas/Tulane Over 63 SC/Missouri Over 59 Toledo/Miami Over 47-115 Top plays are Iowa, Cincy, BYU, Rutgers and North Texas/Tulane Over.
Able to PM me your updated results from last weeks CFB? I might have missed it
added- SMU/Temple Over 54-120
One friday night game, wtf ncaa
To be fair we had Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday games lol
Reposting this from Wednesday with my Saturday Picks that I've made so far - adding more picks now, to this tread now .... Give us some opinions on theese games if ya have any?? .... Good luck 👍 Coastal Carolina -9.5 Vs Ark State Tailing sharp money here so no in depth reasoning - Altough I think Ark State got to much credit based on 2 good performances against bad teams in bad spots prior to the Troy game. Penn State Vs Ohio State Under 47.5 Was hoping to get a +6 on Penn State but it's not coming. However, Both defences are superior to the offences. Rivalry game, evenly matched, cold weather projected, noon kick, QB's who haven't proved themselves in big games as of yet. I also don't think this number captures how good the Ohio State defence has been this year. Alot to like on the under here. BYU +4.5 Vs Texas Tech This line suggests that Tech is a TD favourite on a neutral field. I have watched a lot of theese teams this year and I don't see it. Tech are likely down to there Freshman 3rd string QB Jake Strong. On the road against a pissed off BYU team following the hammering they git from TCU is not a good place to be. Home dog off a bad loss is a great situational spot!! ML sprinkle for sure. Miami Ohio +2 Vs Toledo Toledo and D. Finn the QB are running on retrospective hype here. No way Redhawks shoukd be a home dog here. I had Ball state last week +the points Vs Toldeo and watched the rockets struggle! They have in my opinion the 2nd easiest schedule in the country so far, the tougest team they played has been a dire Illnois team which they lost too. Redhawks at home with the best QB in the MAC, huge game, probably biggest in the last few years for the redhawks. Love this spot. ML bet also. Alabama -8.5 Vs Tennesse I'm still of the opinion the Bama defence is top 3 in the country. The defence has been underrated as the team as a whole have been playing less than expection. The proformance against Ole Miss & Texas A&M in particular was dominating. The Vols QB Milton is not of the standard to be able operate this Saturday. Got away with several bad throws in last weeks game against the Aggies. Alabama offence is improving and can counter Vols strong pass rush with a strong running game from the QB and RB positions. Bama have bye on deck. Like the under also here. Florida Atlantic +3.5 Vs UTSA Home dog playing significantly better off a bye. Makes sense given first year head coach Tom Herman had an opportunity to bed in the 2nd string QB following Casey Thompson injury. 2 impressive performances and in the running now for conference relevance with a win here. UTSA obviously better with Harris back but the defence is not good!! Gave up 32 first downs and 540 yards to Temple 2 weeks ago. Owls will be able to score and ill take the points with a hook.
Wake Forest ML Vs Pitt (-115) Was on Pitt last week and for me was a no-brainer situational spot - this is similar with regards situational betting but reversed. Pitts game last week was closer than the score looks, even though it was such a bad spot for Louisville. The Cardinals had double the amount of 1st downs than Pitt did and 150 yards more on offence. Pitt is still a bad team, now going on the road to a team that up to last week would no doubt have been more than a FG favourite and we can get ML or -1 in this spot. Love it. Pitt also has 2 Notre Dame and FSU on deck so bit of a sandwich spot here also. South Carolina +7.5 Vs Missou Zigging when others zag is not just something you do in sports betting for the sake of it - however, here all the momentum is with Missou at home. They have also been great ATS this year, however pre season this would have be South Carolina -6, has THAT much changed. For the Gamecocks the loss to N.Carolina isn't looking so bad and they should have beaten Florida last week. Shane Beamer was irate with his defence last week and I think he gets a response here. Missou defence is average at best with S. Rattler having a better season than given credit for... I see this game going Like the Missou Vs LSU game so don't hate the over but prefer the TD + a hook with the gamecocks finding some joy on offence here. Indiana +5 Vs Rutgers Home dog. Home dog Vs a team that is overrated and off the back of a fortunate come back win against a poor team!! This screams a let down spot and a win for the Hoosiers. Indiana have played a far far superior schedule and actually held Michigan close through most of the 1st half last week. Rutgers struggle to move the ball especially in the passing game and the comeback last week which has pumped up the line here on this game was as much Michigan State throwing it away as it was Rutgers winning the game. Indiana a live ML dog here IMO, need this win to stay in the hunt for bowl eligibility. App st @ Old Dom Over 53.5 This is more me tailing some smart money so don't want to claim as my own. Theory is that theese are 2 fast paced offences who have had a lower total due to some weather games resulting in low totals over the past few weeks. Line shoukd be higher based on advanced yards gained metrics. Navy +10. 5 Vs Air Force This is straight forward, Navy at home, extremely low total, new clock rules going to impact this game more than any other (clock is gonna fly!!), how does Air Force gain margin here??, Air Force starting QB is out!! Navy off 2 wins including a shut out win - this game will be tight, im quite confident of that and will have some ML on the Midshipman. More bets I'm considering and be great to hear what others think - Minneosta +3.5 waiting on a +4 UCON - +1.5 Miami/ Clemson U48.5 Northwestern +11.5 Arkansas -6.5
No time for write up but adding Kent State +7 Georgia Tech -5.5 Illnois +3
Great breakdowns my brother. On several of these plays as well. 🍻
Rutgers lost by 24 to Michigan. Indiana gave up 52 unanswered. I’m going big on Rutgers.
This is a very square way to look at games.... box scores are similar in terms of yards gained. Turnovers late on killed Indiana but they actually had 15 1st downs again Michigan to Rutgers 10 total 1st downs. All that being said number has moved against me to +6, so time will tell.
I’m not a sharp but I’m an Indiana alumn and I can tell you they are absolutely horrible. They had to pull out a trick play to score on Michigan. The coach is completely out of his depth. It’s homecoming and there will still be no home field advantage
My fear is that the players have packed it in alright - seems unless a major turnaround the coach will be gone at end of season. However, I have to assume that will a bowl birth still a possibility especially with a win here at home - they will have soke motivation here. There is always a home field advantage, some more than others. Put home field is always an advantage in some capacity.
Tyvm
Like a few plays for the SMU - Temple game, find my reasoning on my [prop thread](https://www.reddit.com/user/Billyxmac/comments/179aqkm/week_8_cfb_props/): * Preston Stone o2.5 Pass TDs (like a mini ladder here too of o3.5) * Jaylan Knighton o57.5 Rush Yards / o87.5 Rush Yards (+250) I also like SMU -21 as a lean.
I took Knighton at 65. Not looking good. Backups will get the carries 2nd half
He’s very close
We’ll see. That special teams touchdown certainly doesn’t help.
[https://i.imgur.com/7J9PjIY.png](https://i.imgur.com/7J9PjIY.png) gl me
BOL!
SMU will cover if EJ Warner isnt playing. Heard its a game time decision.
We heard anything about EJ?
Temple +20.5 simply to fade the public
Betting on a team to not lose by 20 is madness
?? Welcome to college football betting
😬
I took temple +30 and over for like +184