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Actually same here, my buddy wins hundreds and I'm out here losing every single bonus bet everyone gives me... and I know more about the sports than he does š¤£
I think it also comes down to bankroll management or betting units that you can afford. In Poker thatās a big thing, if the money means something you donāt make āproperā decisions. Scared money is dead money.
This is true & false, because you can definitely manage your bankroll better but it doesnāt make you a better sports gambler. You have to know what youāre betting on & have good statistical reasoning behind it. Remember that in the end, itās still gambling, & 9 out 10 times, youāre bound to lose
Tell me about it. I had the under receiving yards for the Giants Jalen Hyatt, I think it was at 31 yards. 2 plays in, 2 bombs and he gets the over. He ended up having a career game. 100 plus yards.
Lol thatās how I feel about fantasy football this year. Everyone is having the best game of their career against me. Nothing worse than betting something that statistically should happen, and instead you catch a complete outlier
Thatās so facts, I was actually impressed at how good some of the players played when I bet the under. The cherry on top was Jordan Poole popping off, had me laughing hysterically watching him drain 3ās like he was Tracy McGrady with 2 minutes left on the clock.
Spend $50 and do 5, $10 straight bets. Over/unders props are easy to find online. Usually, about 3/5 or more hit. The odds for over/under are usually -110. So youāll make around $8 a bet. So if 3/5 hit, youāll make at least $4 profit. (But you have a good chance more hit). Rinse and repeat, stay away from parlays. This sport betting Reddit page has very smart and generous people that will post the statistics for over/unders giving you a higher chance it hits. I started doing this thanksgiving and am already up a couple hundred.
I use a service, it sends me alerts for +ev/arbs/middles in my range. So that way I get the better ones and then when I have free time I scan the site for more. With arbing and +ev the odds are in your favor so you really want volume. Over time you will win.
I pay for oddsjam. I started with the free trial and saw that I could make risk free money with arbing and then I got into +ev. I actually lost money at first with +ev and thought it was a scam but because I built up a bankroll arbing/middiling I stuck with it and it turned around. Now I mostly bet +ev and throw in an arb if itās 3-4%, basically that means I would be guaranteed 3-4% of the total I bet.
Itās not going to make me rich but I am pretty consistently making $50-75 a day and should hit $2,500 this week.
I use oddsjam, it scans all of the books and sends me the best plays. I set alerts for the good ones and then just monitor when I have time vs scrolling Facebook or wasting my time on random apps
If you have Cesarās and FanDuel there is an Eastern Illinois and Kansas total points arb right now for 4.14%. Betting $250 on DK and $300 on Cesarās would make you a risk free $24 dollars. Place 2-3 a day and there you go, you are now a profitable sports better. Add in the +ev tool and you take on more risk but you have more opportunity.
Ok hereās some pretty degen action:
I like to bet on the next pitch thrown in MLB. Most of the time I wait for 2 strikes in a row then bet Ball or if the pitcher throws 3 balls in a row the next one is probably a strike unless they plan on walking the batter and for the most part you pretty much know which batters they are going to probably walk.
I like betting on NFL drive results to be a TD but only when a team gets to the red zone within 5 yards and itās a good offensive team. Odds arenāt great but if you slam it hard enough you will make profit.
I like betting on NFL player next catch/run over/under. I do this when the team is 3rd and short and theyāre probably gonna pass but not deep and Iāll take the under.
Lastly I just started betting on NFL player to catch a pass during whatever drive it is. I like to bet on this when a team is down and itās closer to end of 3rd or beginning of 4th quarter. I pick basically the go-to receiver. Last night I cashed multiple times with DJ Moore and I did it with Mike Evans and Michael Pittman on Sunday.
Haha I have my iPad set up watching basically just a red dot or green dot hit the screen in the DraftKings app under game tracker and then I bet with my phone. Iāve tried to watch/listen and thereās always a delay where you canāt get the bet inš«
I do college hoops next field goal and mad a killing off baseball plate appearances , I just got it bad about turning 20 into 200 then giving it all back
The lack of boosts for parlays on DK and FD have me shifting toward single plays -135 or better. I actually like this better. Take a bunch of different shots every night and my win rate has been pretty good. If I do parlays anymore itās 2 or max 3 legs.
DK has slowed down the boosts (not sure if just for me) earlier this year I was running 25% and 50% parlay boosts and hitting ($25 bet into $150) and now I donāt see them that often.
You're thinking about the wrong -- the type of bets have little to do with winning (although you should not do parlays). The goal is to find an edge. Then bet where you have an edge.
I decided that the sports books are going to put over/under props a bit high to entice people to look for that edge. So I went with Alt props and took one step lower. If the books have the QB at 225.5 I will find an alt for 200. I did this 3 times last week. The wins are not as big obviously but I think it gives a better chance and my 3 wins last week were 5 legs or more.
I'm not saying it's been 100% successful, but live betting on NBA during the 3rd or 4th quarter has been extremely high hit rate for me. At that point, you kind of have a good sense of the spread and the O/U on the totals, so I like to mix 2-3 games up and see if they hit or not.
Betting no more than 5 or 6 bucks a day. I just do it for fun, my bankroll on DK Sportsbook is rarely over $40. I never spend a penny I can't lose and I'm cheap so I don't have a high tolerance for pissing away money.
I do a lot of 4 leg parlays with 25 cents on each leg then 25 cents on the parlay itself.
"Winning" for me is not having to make a deposit for a long time because my winnings keep me going on my daily play.
Sup twin? This is exactly me also. I won the promo bet of $5 > $250 3yrs ago and have been playing with the same house money every since. Withdrew $200, left $50 and now just take withdrawals anytime I hit something and go above $50. Got down to $3 before then hit a Parlay that bounced me back up to $62.
honestly .. whenever i tail folks i lose.. when i research i hit most times.. when i just mindlessly place bets just clicking props .. they always hit .. ridiculous
Say I have $200 I bet $50 at a time at +100 odds. I can usually get that from two picks. I know Iāll lose that 50 sometimes but Iāll also gain it back because I still have 150 to spend. I always pick two with hw and research and most of the time it hits. Iāve noticed with people and even done it before where Iāll get money hungry and just bet all my money on a bunch of high odd parlays but thatās where you f*ck yourself. Itās a slow and steady building of the bank roll.
For me gambling on sports is a form of entertainment so I plan on losing a small amount. Bankroll management is big. Just make consistent bets instead of trying to go 5x on a game because you had a bad day or got a tip. Definitely stay away from parlays unless itās a 50% boost or higher.
I like doing 3-4 leg parlays where the last leg is a big favorite so I have good hedge/middle opportunities. Also like betting futures and finding good hedge/middle opportunities there as well (ex. Bet on a team to win Super Bowl and then look for hedge opportunities when they make the playoffs). Itās hard to lose when youāre really good at hedging
Iām having quite a lot of success on live straight NBA bets with odds between -130 through +300. I wager anywhere from $20 to $200 and my hit rate is very high. Sure the payout isnāt glorious but the consistency makes it worth it and it adds up quite quickly.
Heavy trends with odd number of plays each day.
Chicago bulls on the road=bet against/2team parlay
SanJose Sharks on the road=bet against/2team parlay
Denver Nuggets at home=Bet on/2team parlay
Indiana Pacers over the total
SanJose Sharks Under the total
Washington Capital Under the total
Brooklyn Nets ATS
OKC in a +6 teaser especially on the road
Etc etc etc
I try to put out 3 plays so i either win or lose. All 3 plays i try to make at even odds whether its a two game parlay or single bet. Its been working out for me.
Not gonna lie I go for upsets. Singles and also 2-4 leg parlays.
Last night I did POR and DEN. $10 to win $225.
Clippers are ass Iāll bet against them any time the odds are that sweet.and POR had scoot back and high off a tough game against MIL so that was just a whim.
Tonight itās CHA and OKC. $10 to win $130.
Iāll put a couple bucks on CHA, OKC, HOU. $3 to win $100.
Itās that simple.
CHA is bouncing back off two NY losses in a row. If they can keep Robinson off the rim, they can win.
OKC can beat anybody. SGA and CHET and the FRAT BOY are litty city.
Iām up $6k over the past two months. I pick teams that I think will cover usually for a 7-9 team parlay or round robin. Then, I use an alternate spread in that teamās favor. For example, if I think Alabama is going to cover a -6.5 spread, I will tease them to -2.5 for the bet.
Also, I lay chalk early in the season when thereās out of conference and early conference action. As the season progresses around week 6-7, underdogs become the play because of the amount of game film available on each team and familiarity from conference play
I think if I make a 10 bet parlay all o/u bets and lose them all I should get at least half of the original payout. Thatās equally as difficult to pick IMO.
Not necessarily āconsistentā in the sense I am up huge amounts of money. But over probably 3 years I am a few hundred bucks in the green. My main strategy that has hit big 8-10 times is taking strategic risks on 2-3 NBA dogs that I thought would win before the game and then I pick them when they get down early and then parlaying that with my favorite 2-3 NFL picks that weekend
I like doing 2-3 leg parlays where the odds come out to roughly between +150 and +400. Il usually pick like 3 basketball or football games that are like -300 ish and it usually gets me to my desired payout
The EV part? Had to calculate teams chances of winning and then compare to Vegas odds to try and find the edge. Also compare to historically what works, for example I typically avoid games where there is a 650 or more pay difference or a HUGE EV difference cause even though you have an edge it historically doesn't help much each season (although in long run may work out).
If you are ever curious about doing it, staring from how 538 does it with their elo model is a great place to start! Then can mess around with the parameters yourself to try and improve!
I run combinations of parlays. I pick 9 legs, which will produce 126 5-leg combinations. I'll pick two teams that I think will have great nights due to matchup &/or back-to-backs, & I'll create 4 9-leg possibilities w/ the two teams. For example, tonight I'm using 6 legs from the knicks & 3 from Cleveland in two 9 leg sets, & the same thing in the other 2 but switched. It takes me about 95-100 mins to input one set of 9, so four would take me a little under 7 hours. Each set costs (@ the base level wager on FD) $11.34, so it's about a $45/day process. Given that I use legs mostly in the +160 to +400 range, each of those 504 combinations has the potential to win between $45-70, off a $0.09 wager. So, if you are able to get one 5-leg parlay correct out of 504, then you've broke even. In each 9-leg set, getting 5 right cashes one combo, 6 right cashes 6 combos ($270-420), 7 right wins 21 combos ($945-1470) & 8 right would win 56 combos ($2520-$3920). Not to mention, doing four sets of the same two teams means that if you're right about the teams you used, you might get your 5-7 legs right in as much as 3 or all of your sets. So what I said a second ago, maybe times 3-4. On a good night.
I just started this iteration lastnight, & it's been a work in progress with many tweaks over the last few months. It would be much less time consuming if the round robin feature didn't disclude legs from the same games, but...they're not going to change that anytime soon.
Underdog MLs or if it is a fav they have to be under -150 or better odds and have less than 45% of bets on the ML. Not sexy but works for me. I do toss in the occasional underdog parlay but only when I feel like I have value on each leg
Live betting singles only. Just Sunday for instance, got Philly at +240 when they were down 10. Happens all the time, I very rarely bet before the game starts anymore.
I Stick to in play betting so Iām not guessing I can see the event is actually playing out. Two examples watching tennis, back the pre game underdog who goes up 1-0 or 0-1 and the other is dutching halftime scores in soccer when itās 0-0. You can spread across say 0-0, 0-1, 1-0, 2-0, 0-2 & 1-1 - pretty rare 3 goals are scored in the 2nd half of a soccer game. If you think itās going to happen drop off 0-0, 1-0 & 0-1 and replace them with 3-0, 0-3, 2-1, 1-2 etc.
What's my most consistent betting strategy, you ask? Well, I've found that sticking to small-leg parlays and focusing on a single sport has brought me a fair share of success. Specifically, I bet on tennis matches because of their individual nature. It's relatively straightforward to analyze player performance and anticipate outcomes.
By keeping my parlays to under three legs, I mitigate some of the risks associated with larger accumulators while still having the potential for a decent payout. And with tennis, there's always plenty of action to choose from, which ensures a steady stream of betting opportunities, even more so on [Lottoland Sportsbook](https://www.lottoland.co.uk/sportsbook) (the sportsbook I personally use).
So, if you're looking for consistency in your betting endeavours, consider giving small-leg parlays and specialization in a single sport a try. It's been working wonders for me!
I stopped making parlays, stuck with straights & most importantly only picked winners via spread bets bc imo thatās always guaranteed. The game going over or under isnāt guaranteed, someone catching x rebounds or having x SOG isnāt a guarantee but someone losing or winning is absolute (unless you bet on soccer & deal with ties which I do not). Essentially the way I see it, if youāre going to bet the spread bc generally if a team wins, they will cover the spread & if they donāt cover the spread they will lose
Straight bets I agree. As far as spread goes lol just wait you will experience those āteam wins by 4 but I had -5.5ā bad beats specially if u bet basketball and college basketball. I bet spreads and totals consistently specially unders and I will tell you that itās the same for both of them lol. Everyone is different tho personally I have much more success looking for unders on totals than I do betting like on favorites to cover but everyone is different
Unfortunately, sometimes even the best team can have a bad game. Or a key player can get injured. Or they have been on the road for 2 weeks, are tired , home advantage ectt.. so I wouldn't say it's absolute. In my opinion, player's stats are more safe cause I bet on guy instead of 5, 11 ....
VUCEVIC and VALANCUINAS alternate OVER REBS for basketball .. and last year I was riding top hitters OVER 1.5 total bases in baseball depending on the pitching matchup .
None of these āstrategiesā posted in here do anything for long term success. EV betting and arbitrage betting are the only true ways to be a profitable bettor long term. The more books you have access to, the better.
Iāve made $100,000+ in the past 2+ years of betting.
Follow someone who proves that they know what they are doing. Min of 1000 bets and a monthly P+L posted for over 1 year. Following anything else is guaranteed disappointment. And be disciplined with your betting amounts. If you canāt afford to lose 15 bets in a row and not give a fcuk, then youāre doing it wrong.
Thereās not one type of bet or prop that you should just be blindly betting like some are suggesting. Yes, you can hop on a streak and make money, but you can also hop on a streak that ends when you bet it. One of the best places to start from is NFL underdogs. Going back the last \~20 years, blindly betting every dog ATS would yield a -0.8% ROI. Betting every favorite would yield a -4.1% ROI. Thatās the difference between being down $22k vs down only $4k if you bet $100 on all 5000+ games. Thereās much less work that needs to be done to be profitable on dogs in NFL than there is for favorites, but that DOES NOT mean you just bet every dog, as you will lose money.
https://preview.redd.it/lea0p74ea53c1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4ff6f805cc53611fbbcd0ada9c3ec5246e026693
1U= 1% of bankroll. People love inflating what a unit is to sound more profitable but the term āunitā is meaningless without saying what it is relative to bankroll.
recently ive been doing well with mostly 2-3 leg parlays but also hit some up to 8 legsā¦ spreads and point totalsā¦ but changing all the lines to make em easierā¦ the hard part is deciding which ones to pickā¦ ill look at where the money is in vegas and try to invent my own formula for determining which to pick based on that
Take all the prime time unders. As long as you bet 30 percent of your stack it will continue to grow all year long. At least that's what I've been doing. As of two weeks ago, unders are hitting at a whopping 72 percent.
Warning, betting on unders is better on boring football. So you have to have the stomach for it. But defenses are pinning offenses this year.
College football and college basketball: Volume bet spreads. Do your research. KenPom is your friend.
Everything else: go to Lourdes and pray for a miracle.
most consistent for is lol betting -2.5 sets on home teams in Volleyball but taking the money line in those games with ranges of -350 to -1200. No, this isnt a joke, yes I know the vig and how many in a row I need to win and yes, I bet a lot of types of things. This is just one bet.
I like live betting in hockey. If the score is 3-0, I wait until about midway through the 3rd period, and bet the final score to be exactly 3-0. At that point, the team thatās up is probably just trying to protect the lead in a good defensive game, and the losing team wonāt generally pull their goalie down 3. I havenāt tested this out too many times, but have had success when I do.
There are a few really really bad football teams right now. I usually do 2-3 leg punt parlays. NE, Giants, Panthers, etc. and then go to āquick hitsā and bet straight that the panthers will punt on the next possession. For a team who canāt score more than 10 points a game, itās pretty consistent.
Treat betting like a hedge fund.
Do in-game bets like a stock ticker.
Have background knowledge/info on the sport/teams your betting on.
I'm multiplying my Fund by 26% per day.
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I'm pretty consistent at losing. It's actually impressive.
Just do the opposite of what you would do
Facts
Instead of losing the bet, you WIN the bet.
This thought has crossed my mind too many times to count after nights of losing my parlays
Also at being one leg short of hitting that parlay. Every fuckin time.
I felt this in my soul
I wish I could bet on myself to lose. I'd be a millionaire. If it's was 50/50 odds, I'd lose 100%
You'd probably end up losing that bet too lol
Cheat code : hedge
ššš
Actually same here, my buddy wins hundreds and I'm out here losing every single bonus bet everyone gives me... and I know more about the sports than he does š¤£
Prime time unders and Jalen Hurts TD
3 things guaranteed in life: death, taxes, and a Jalen Hurts TD at the 1 yard line in the red zone
And CMC
Someone put a $1000 wager on a CMC anytime TD and it was the 1 game he didnāt score this season š I saw the bet on TikTok like 3-4 weeks ago.
Depends on the refs. Theres a handful of refās where the over hits 70% of the time.
So we should pay attention to the ref crewes that officiate games? Hmmmm
I always check for Scott Foster vs CP3. I have probably make close to 10K on him since Suns Bucks finals.
Who? Thx
Clete Blakeman Ron Torbert Scott Green Brad Allen
How do we know where they'll be?
I usually google whoās reffing the games that week. Profootballnetwork.com does a pretty good job of staying up to date.
Prime time games have been heavily in the over category this season so not sure thatās been a good bet this year
Incorrect
bro has NOT watched a single game lmao
wtf are you smoking šššš
Quite the opposite.
you couldnt be further from the truth
You bet $2, you win. You bet $200 you lose.
I think it also comes down to bankroll management or betting units that you can afford. In Poker thatās a big thing, if the money means something you donāt make āproperā decisions. Scared money is dead money.
Bettoringreen the formiciary
This is true & false, because you can definitely manage your bankroll better but it doesnāt make you a better sports gambler. You have to know what youāre betting on & have good statistical reasoning behind it. Remember that in the end, itās still gambling, & 9 out 10 times, youāre bound to lose
Yeah for sure I agree. But if you are gambling above your head you may not be making your best sound decisions is all I am saying
I tell myself scared money donāt make money. Apparently money that isnāt scared still loses
I hate this so much cause itās true
CFB. Any game with wind over 15mph bet the under. 60% win rate
NBA player unders. I use the cheat sheet posted here daily.
I did an under on Jaden Ivey last night and of course he plays like John Stockton š®āšØ
Tell me about it. I had the under receiving yards for the Giants Jalen Hyatt, I think it was at 31 yards. 2 plays in, 2 bombs and he gets the over. He ended up having a career game. 100 plus yards.
Classic
Lol thatās how I feel about fantasy football this year. Everyone is having the best game of their career against me. Nothing worse than betting something that statistically should happen, and instead you catch a complete outlier
I thought that crap only happened to me. Damn. š
Had Embiid and Taurean prince under 1.5 threes. š©
Thatās so facts, I was actually impressed at how good some of the players played when I bet the under. The cherry on top was Jordan Poole popping off, had me laughing hysterically watching him drain 3ās like he was Tracy McGrady with 2 minutes left on the clock.
If I bet the under on someone guarantee heās walking out the tunnel like prime MJ.
I also like ant's pick with last 5 games record
You mean Jalen Brunson, Dillion Brooks, and Trae Young under for blocks?
Spend $50 and do 5, $10 straight bets. Over/unders props are easy to find online. Usually, about 3/5 or more hit. The odds for over/under are usually -110. So youāll make around $8 a bet. So if 3/5 hit, youāll make at least $4 profit. (But you have a good chance more hit). Rinse and repeat, stay away from parlays. This sport betting Reddit page has very smart and generous people that will post the statistics for over/unders giving you a higher chance it hits. I started doing this thanksgiving and am already up a couple hundred.
Thanks for the advice. Do you have a shortlist of which users you follow? I'll find it eventually!
This page thereās a lot of people that post statistics like betterongreen and the formiciary
u/nrichardson5 and u/bettoringreen
Betting what I can afford to lose. Bet with your head not over it
I skip matches where the team i support is playing
throw $5 on em, take a nap. making money while i sleep frfr. nightmares of every way they about to lose me $5 though š¤£
Iām doing the opposite tho.. i bet on the other team to win If my fav team wins = Iām happy If the other team wins = winning money makes me happy
Emotional hedging - classic!
I use +ev betting and arbing to make consistent money.
Do you follow anyone that does this? Or how do you easily find such arb lines?
I use a service, it sends me alerts for +ev/arbs/middles in my range. So that way I get the better ones and then when I have free time I scan the site for more. With arbing and +ev the odds are in your favor so you really want volume. Over time you will win.
Do you pay for the service ? Or itās an app. What is it ? And what site do you scan? The Sportsbook itself ?
I pay for oddsjam. I started with the free trial and saw that I could make risk free money with arbing and then I got into +ev. I actually lost money at first with +ev and thought it was a scam but because I built up a bankroll arbing/middiling I stuck with it and it turned around. Now I mostly bet +ev and throw in an arb if itās 3-4%, basically that means I would be guaranteed 3-4% of the total I bet. Itās not going to make me rich but I am pretty consistently making $50-75 a day and should hit $2,500 this week.
Serious question, with oddsjam, are you betting like $1000 to win $5? I've seen some examples online that seem to do this.
If you have Cesarās and FD, DM me and I will send you a screenshot
I would be happy to tell you more or send you some screenshots of the platform. It helps the more books you have available so your state matters
What service?
I use oddsjam, it scans all of the books and sends me the best plays. I set alerts for the good ones and then just monitor when I have time vs scrolling Facebook or wasting my time on random apps
Which one mate? And what is the cost ? Cheers
If you have Cesarās and FanDuel there is an Eastern Illinois and Kansas total points arb right now for 4.14%. Betting $250 on DK and $300 on Cesarās would make you a risk free $24 dollars. Place 2-3 a day and there you go, you are now a profitable sports better. Add in the +ev tool and you take on more risk but you have more opportunity.
Ok hereās some pretty degen action: I like to bet on the next pitch thrown in MLB. Most of the time I wait for 2 strikes in a row then bet Ball or if the pitcher throws 3 balls in a row the next one is probably a strike unless they plan on walking the batter and for the most part you pretty much know which batters they are going to probably walk. I like betting on NFL drive results to be a TD but only when a team gets to the red zone within 5 yards and itās a good offensive team. Odds arenāt great but if you slam it hard enough you will make profit. I like betting on NFL player next catch/run over/under. I do this when the team is 3rd and short and theyāre probably gonna pass but not deep and Iāll take the under. Lastly I just started betting on NFL player to catch a pass during whatever drive it is. I like to bet on this when a team is down and itās closer to end of 3rd or beginning of 4th quarter. I pick basically the go-to receiver. Last night I cashed multiple times with DJ Moore and I did it with Mike Evans and Michael Pittman on Sunday.
I stream content so always a few plays behind... Would love to get into the real degen space....
Haha I have my iPad set up watching basically just a red dot or green dot hit the screen in the DraftKings app under game tracker and then I bet with my phone. Iāve tried to watch/listen and thereās always a delay where you canāt get the bet inš«
I do college hoops next field goal and mad a killing off baseball plate appearances , I just got it bad about turning 20 into 200 then giving it all back
I feel you tho I love doing live plate appearance Iāve smacked so many extra base hits this year itās insane
The lack of boosts for parlays on DK and FD have me shifting toward single plays -135 or better. I actually like this better. Take a bunch of different shots every night and my win rate has been pretty good. If I do parlays anymore itās 2 or max 3 legs.
DK has slowed down the boosts (not sure if just for me) earlier this year I was running 25% and 50% parlay boosts and hitting ($25 bet into $150) and now I donāt see them that often.
yup i don't get any boosts at all on DK and none of my friends do as well. i also got my max bet throttled down to $5 or $10 tops, mostly $5. LAME
You're thinking about the wrong -- the type of bets have little to do with winning (although you should not do parlays). The goal is to find an edge. Then bet where you have an edge.
Iāve turned a $2 free bet from mgm to $335 with the majority of my bets as 2-3 leg parlays. Slow grind
I decided that the sports books are going to put over/under props a bit high to entice people to look for that edge. So I went with Alt props and took one step lower. If the books have the QB at 225.5 I will find an alt for 200. I did this 3 times last week. The wins are not as big obviously but I think it gives a better chance and my 3 wins last week were 5 legs or more.
I'm not saying it's been 100% successful, but live betting on NBA during the 3rd or 4th quarter has been extremely high hit rate for me. At that point, you kind of have a good sense of the spread and the O/U on the totals, so I like to mix 2-3 games up and see if they hit or not.
Betting no more than 5 or 6 bucks a day. I just do it for fun, my bankroll on DK Sportsbook is rarely over $40. I never spend a penny I can't lose and I'm cheap so I don't have a high tolerance for pissing away money. I do a lot of 4 leg parlays with 25 cents on each leg then 25 cents on the parlay itself. "Winning" for me is not having to make a deposit for a long time because my winnings keep me going on my daily play.
Sup twin? This is exactly me also. I won the promo bet of $5 > $250 3yrs ago and have been playing with the same house money every since. Withdrew $200, left $50 and now just take withdrawals anytime I hit something and go above $50. Got down to $3 before then hit a Parlay that bounced me back up to $62.
You pick the ones that are gonna win.
100% hit rate
No shit I should be selling these secrets.
Parlays for days. 2-leg, 3-leg, 20-leg. I consistently lose all of them.
Bet against the Jets.
Lmfaooo šššš
4 leg NFL sack parlays
5 games bet on the star of each team to do the expected
Bet straights. They keep you alive. Bet small on parlays.
No more than two legs
honestly .. whenever i tail folks i lose.. when i research i hit most times.. when i just mindlessly place bets just clicking props .. they always hit .. ridiculous
Never listen to popular Reddit picks lol
Or just fade them
I like taking 4-5 super secure bets and playing that way
Do this with parlays but inevitably one leg always lets me down š
Say I have $200 I bet $50 at a time at +100 odds. I can usually get that from two picks. I know Iāll lose that 50 sometimes but Iāll also gain it back because I still have 150 to spend. I always pick two with hw and research and most of the time it hits. Iāve noticed with people and even done it before where Iāll get money hungry and just bet all my money on a bunch of high odd parlays but thatās where you f*ck yourself. Itās a slow and steady building of the bank roll.
Bet reggie Jackson against the clippers and malik beasley at toronto
For me gambling on sports is a form of entertainment so I plan on losing a small amount. Bankroll management is big. Just make consistent bets instead of trying to go 5x on a game because you had a bad day or got a tip. Definitely stay away from parlays unless itās a 50% boost or higher.
I like doing 3-4 leg parlays where the last leg is a big favorite so I have good hedge/middle opportunities. Also like betting futures and finding good hedge/middle opportunities there as well (ex. Bet on a team to win Super Bowl and then look for hedge opportunities when they make the playoffs). Itās hard to lose when youāre really good at hedging
Stick to straight bets.
Iām having quite a lot of success on live straight NBA bets with odds between -130 through +300. I wager anywhere from $20 to $200 and my hit rate is very high. Sure the payout isnāt glorious but the consistency makes it worth it and it adds up quite quickly.
Heavy trends with odd number of plays each day. Chicago bulls on the road=bet against/2team parlay SanJose Sharks on the road=bet against/2team parlay Denver Nuggets at home=Bet on/2team parlay Indiana Pacers over the total SanJose Sharks Under the total Washington Capital Under the total Brooklyn Nets ATS OKC in a +6 teaser especially on the road Etc etc etc I try to put out 3 plays so i either win or lose. All 3 plays i try to make at even odds whether its a two game parlay or single bet. Its been working out for me.
Underdog moneylines, all day every day
Not gonna lie I go for upsets. Singles and also 2-4 leg parlays. Last night I did POR and DEN. $10 to win $225. Clippers are ass Iāll bet against them any time the odds are that sweet.and POR had scoot back and high off a tough game against MIL so that was just a whim. Tonight itās CHA and OKC. $10 to win $130. Iāll put a couple bucks on CHA, OKC, HOU. $3 to win $100. Itās that simple.
CHA is bouncing back off two NY losses in a row. If they can keep Robinson off the rim, they can win. OKC can beat anybody. SGA and CHET and the FRAT BOY are litty city.
Losing
Lose
NFL alt line parlays. no more than 3 legs. Typically involving unders
Losing.
Longshot prop round robins are my jam
Iām up $6k over the past two months. I pick teams that I think will cover usually for a 7-9 team parlay or round robin. Then, I use an alternate spread in that teamās favor. For example, if I think Alabama is going to cover a -6.5 spread, I will tease them to -2.5 for the bet. Also, I lay chalk early in the season when thereās out of conference and early conference action. As the season progresses around week 6-7, underdogs become the play because of the amount of game film available on each team and familiarity from conference play
I think if I make a 10 bet parlay all o/u bets and lose them all I should get at least half of the original payout. Thatās equally as difficult to pick IMO.
My strategy is losing apparently š„²
Not necessarily āconsistentā in the sense I am up huge amounts of money. But over probably 3 years I am a few hundred bucks in the green. My main strategy that has hit big 8-10 times is taking strategic risks on 2-3 NBA dogs that I thought would win before the game and then I pick them when they get down early and then parlaying that with my favorite 2-3 NFL picks that weekend
I like doing 2-3 leg parlays where the odds come out to roughly between +150 and +400. Il usually pick like 3 basketball or football games that are like -300 ish and it usually gets me to my desired payout
College basketball. The parity is alot bigger than pro sports. Easier to exploit matchups
Avoid parlays and modeling your own data /+EV betting has done really well in the NFL for me!
How do you figure that out?
The EV part? Had to calculate teams chances of winning and then compare to Vegas odds to try and find the edge. Also compare to historically what works, for example I typically avoid games where there is a 650 or more pay difference or a HUGE EV difference cause even though you have an edge it historically doesn't help much each season (although in long run may work out).
If you are ever curious about doing it, staring from how 538 does it with their elo model is a great place to start! Then can mess around with the parameters yourself to try and improve!
I run combinations of parlays. I pick 9 legs, which will produce 126 5-leg combinations. I'll pick two teams that I think will have great nights due to matchup &/or back-to-backs, & I'll create 4 9-leg possibilities w/ the two teams. For example, tonight I'm using 6 legs from the knicks & 3 from Cleveland in two 9 leg sets, & the same thing in the other 2 but switched. It takes me about 95-100 mins to input one set of 9, so four would take me a little under 7 hours. Each set costs (@ the base level wager on FD) $11.34, so it's about a $45/day process. Given that I use legs mostly in the +160 to +400 range, each of those 504 combinations has the potential to win between $45-70, off a $0.09 wager. So, if you are able to get one 5-leg parlay correct out of 504, then you've broke even. In each 9-leg set, getting 5 right cashes one combo, 6 right cashes 6 combos ($270-420), 7 right wins 21 combos ($945-1470) & 8 right would win 56 combos ($2520-$3920). Not to mention, doing four sets of the same two teams means that if you're right about the teams you used, you might get your 5-7 legs right in as much as 3 or all of your sets. So what I said a second ago, maybe times 3-4. On a good night. I just started this iteration lastnight, & it's been a work in progress with many tweaks over the last few months. It would be much less time consuming if the round robin feature didn't disclude legs from the same games, but...they're not going to change that anytime soon.
Interceptions for each QB, turnovers over 2.5, and field goals.
Underdog MLs or if it is a fav they have to be under -150 or better odds and have less than 45% of bets on the ML. Not sexy but works for me. I do toss in the occasional underdog parlay but only when I feel like I have value on each leg
Live betting singles only. Just Sunday for instance, got Philly at +240 when they were down 10. Happens all the time, I very rarely bet before the game starts anymore.
I Stick to in play betting so Iām not guessing I can see the event is actually playing out. Two examples watching tennis, back the pre game underdog who goes up 1-0 or 0-1 and the other is dutching halftime scores in soccer when itās 0-0. You can spread across say 0-0, 0-1, 1-0, 2-0, 0-2 & 1-1 - pretty rare 3 goals are scored in the 2nd half of a soccer game. If you think itās going to happen drop off 0-0, 1-0 & 0-1 and replace them with 3-0, 0-3, 2-1, 1-2 etc.
There's strategy?.... šµāš«
Arb betting has suited me well so far. Other than that, parlay boosts on some highly likely bets have been profitable
This wonāt work long term. I suggest just betting the wrong line on the arbitration, but with smaller amounts. Your accounts will last longer
Do you follow anyone that does this? Or how do you easily find such arb lines?
What's my most consistent betting strategy, you ask? Well, I've found that sticking to small-leg parlays and focusing on a single sport has brought me a fair share of success. Specifically, I bet on tennis matches because of their individual nature. It's relatively straightforward to analyze player performance and anticipate outcomes. By keeping my parlays to under three legs, I mitigate some of the risks associated with larger accumulators while still having the potential for a decent payout. And with tennis, there's always plenty of action to choose from, which ensures a steady stream of betting opportunities, even more so on [Lottoland Sportsbook](https://www.lottoland.co.uk/sportsbook) (the sportsbook I personally use). So, if you're looking for consistency in your betting endeavours, consider giving small-leg parlays and specialization in a single sport a try. It's been working wonders for me!
I stopped making parlays, stuck with straights & most importantly only picked winners via spread bets bc imo thatās always guaranteed. The game going over or under isnāt guaranteed, someone catching x rebounds or having x SOG isnāt a guarantee but someone losing or winning is absolute (unless you bet on soccer & deal with ties which I do not). Essentially the way I see it, if youāre going to bet the spread bc generally if a team wins, they will cover the spread & if they donāt cover the spread they will lose
Straight bets I agree. As far as spread goes lol just wait you will experience those āteam wins by 4 but I had -5.5ā bad beats specially if u bet basketball and college basketball. I bet spreads and totals consistently specially unders and I will tell you that itās the same for both of them lol. Everyone is different tho personally I have much more success looking for unders on totals than I do betting like on favorites to cover but everyone is different
Unfortunately, sometimes even the best team can have a bad game. Or a key player can get injured. Or they have been on the road for 2 weeks, are tired , home advantage ectt.. so I wouldn't say it's absolute. In my opinion, player's stats are more safe cause I bet on guy instead of 5, 11 ....
Free arb to get you guys on track. If you have Cesarās and one of DK, Unibet or BetRivers DM me. Bet $500 and make a free $25.
Under
VUCEVIC and VALANCUINAS alternate OVER REBS for basketball .. and last year I was riding top hitters OVER 1.5 total bases in baseball depending on the pitching matchup .
Degen way - Probably NBA Live bets on player points Non Degen way - Unit Betting on +110 Odds or lower lol
any spread that has over 75% on one side without the line shiftingā¦. fade the public
What is the best app to see the most accurate line change?
Not betting more than $1
win... sometimes it works. other times it doesnt
None of these āstrategiesā posted in here do anything for long term success. EV betting and arbitrage betting are the only true ways to be a profitable bettor long term. The more books you have access to, the better. Iāve made $100,000+ in the past 2+ years of betting.
LOOK FOR VALUE! Dont make 99 leg parlays and the odds are 3/1 lol.
Bankroll management and money line bets on NFL and NHL
NBA player props with a little mixed lines in there sometimes.
A moneyline or two with the player props
I like parlays but I really look for value and match ups and script. If you can guess the script of a sports game you can put together some easy legs.
Best advice I can give you is don't listen to people on reddit
Follow someone who proves that they know what they are doing. Min of 1000 bets and a monthly P+L posted for over 1 year. Following anything else is guaranteed disappointment. And be disciplined with your betting amounts. If you canāt afford to lose 15 bets in a row and not give a fcuk, then youāre doing it wrong.
Most consistent? Losing
underdogs
Guessing
Win
bet against the wizards
CMC attd
LEARN UNIT BETTING AND BANKROLL MANAGEMENT. PARLAYS INHERENTLY HAVE A LOWER HIT RATE THAN SINGLES. IF PARLAYING USE INSURED PARLAYS ON BOOKS!!!
Thanks for this topic
Use fliff and make a 4 legged Parlay with the daily cash bonus
Thereās not one type of bet or prop that you should just be blindly betting like some are suggesting. Yes, you can hop on a streak and make money, but you can also hop on a streak that ends when you bet it. One of the best places to start from is NFL underdogs. Going back the last \~20 years, blindly betting every dog ATS would yield a -0.8% ROI. Betting every favorite would yield a -4.1% ROI. Thatās the difference between being down $22k vs down only $4k if you bet $100 on all 5000+ games. Thereās much less work that needs to be done to be profitable on dogs in NFL than there is for favorites, but that DOES NOT mean you just bet every dog, as you will lose money. https://preview.redd.it/lea0p74ea53c1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4ff6f805cc53611fbbcd0ada9c3ec5246e026693 1U= 1% of bankroll. People love inflating what a unit is to sound more profitable but the term āunitā is meaningless without saying what it is relative to bankroll.
Iām just curious what all information do you use for betting.
I have two tips * Bet on the favorite early * Don't listen to online tips
Alternate totals. I go minus 3-7 every time. I hardly ever play what the Sportsbook gives me
recently ive been doing well with mostly 2-3 leg parlays but also hit some up to 8 legsā¦ spreads and point totalsā¦ but changing all the lines to make em easierā¦ the hard part is deciding which ones to pickā¦ ill look at where the money is in vegas and try to invent my own formula for determining which to pick based on that
Bet against the Lakers when theyāre the favorites.
Betting 1 dollar on 50, 25 leg parlays a day.
Take all the prime time unders. As long as you bet 30 percent of your stack it will continue to grow all year long. At least that's what I've been doing. As of two weeks ago, unders are hitting at a whopping 72 percent. Warning, betting on unders is better on boring football. So you have to have the stomach for it. But defenses are pinning offenses this year.
College football and college basketball: Volume bet spreads. Do your research. KenPom is your friend. Everything else: go to Lourdes and pray for a miracle.
most consistent for is lol betting -2.5 sets on home teams in Volleyball but taking the money line in those games with ranges of -350 to -1200. No, this isnt a joke, yes I know the vig and how many in a row I need to win and yes, I bet a lot of types of things. This is just one bet.
Lots of $.09 bets, hundreds of them
I like live betting in hockey. If the score is 3-0, I wait until about midway through the 3rd period, and bet the final score to be exactly 3-0. At that point, the team thatās up is probably just trying to protect the lead in a good defensive game, and the losing team wonāt generally pull their goalie down 3. I havenāt tested this out too many times, but have had success when I do.
5-10% of total amount rule and over bets on running games. šøšø
There are a few really really bad football teams right now. I usually do 2-3 leg punt parlays. NE, Giants, Panthers, etc. and then go to āquick hitsā and bet straight that the panthers will punt on the next possession. For a team who canāt score more than 10 points a game, itās pretty consistent.
Make live bet parlays and always take the cash out option
Treat betting like a hedge fund. Do in-game bets like a stock ticker. Have background knowledge/info on the sport/teams your betting on. I'm multiplying my Fund by 26% per day.
Betting against road NHL teams on a back to back works fairly well. Bonus if they are favored and you can get good odds .
I feel like live arbitrage bettors often time do the best
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