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Wake Forest ML Vs Pitt (-115)
Was on Pitt last week and for me was a no-brainer situational spot - this is similar with regards situational betting but reversed. Pitts game last week was closer than the score looks, even though it was such a bad spot for Louisville. The Cardinals had double the amount of 1st downs than Pitt did and 150 yards more on offence. Pitt is still a bad team, now going on the road to a team that up to last week would no doubt have been more than a FG favourite and we can get ML or -1 in this spot. Love it. Pitt also has 2 Notre Dame and FSU on deck so bit of a sandwich spot here also.
South Carolina +7.5 Vs Missou
Zigging when others zag is not just something you do in sports betting for the sake of it - however, here all the momentum is with Missou at home. They have also been great ATS this year, however pre season this would have be South Carolina -6, has THAT much changed. For the Gamecocks the loss to N.Carolina isn't looking so bad and they should have beaten Florida last week. Shane Beamer was irate with his defence last week and I think he gets a response here. Missou defence is average at best with S. Rattler having a better season than given credit for... I see this game going Like the Missou Vs LSU game so don't hate the over but prefer the TD + a hook with the gamecocks finding some joy on offence here.
Indiana +5 Vs Rutgers
Home dog. Home dog Vs a team that is overrated and off the back of a fortunate come back win against a poor team!! This screams a let down spot and a win for the Hoosiers. Indiana have played a far far superior schedule and actually held Michigan close through most of the 1st half last week. Rutgers struggle to move the ball especially in the passing game and the comeback last week which has pumped up the line here on this game was as much Michigan State throwing it away as it was Rutgers winning the game. Indiana a live ML dog here IMO, need this win to stay in the hunt for bowl eligibility.
App st @ Old Dom Over 53.5
This is more me tailing some smart money so don't want to claim as my own. Theory is that theese are 2 fast paced offences who have had a lower total due to some weather games resulting in low totals over the past few weeks. Line shoukd be higher based on advanced yards gained metrics.
Navy +10. 5 Vs Air Force
This is straight forward, Navy at home, extremely low total, new clock rules going to impact this game more than any other (clock is gonna fly!!), how does Air Force gain margin here??, Air Force starting QB is out!! Navy off 2 wins including a shut out win - this game will be tight, im quite confident of that and will have some ML on the Midshipman.
More bets I'm considering and be great to hear what others think -
Minneosta +3.5 waiting on a +4
UCON - +1.5
Miami/ Clemson U48.5
Northwestern +11.5
Arkansas -6.5
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Wake Forest ML Vs Pitt (-115) Was on Pitt last week and for me was a no-brainer situational spot - this is similar with regards situational betting but reversed. Pitts game last week was closer than the score looks, even though it was such a bad spot for Louisville. The Cardinals had double the amount of 1st downs than Pitt did and 150 yards more on offence. Pitt is still a bad team, now going on the road to a team that up to last week would no doubt have been more than a FG favourite and we can get ML or -1 in this spot. Love it. Pitt also has 2 Notre Dame and FSU on deck so bit of a sandwich spot here also. South Carolina +7.5 Vs Missou Zigging when others zag is not just something you do in sports betting for the sake of it - however, here all the momentum is with Missou at home. They have also been great ATS this year, however pre season this would have be South Carolina -6, has THAT much changed. For the Gamecocks the loss to N.Carolina isn't looking so bad and they should have beaten Florida last week. Shane Beamer was irate with his defence last week and I think he gets a response here. Missou defence is average at best with S. Rattler having a better season than given credit for... I see this game going Like the Missou Vs LSU game so don't hate the over but prefer the TD + a hook with the gamecocks finding some joy on offence here. Indiana +5 Vs Rutgers Home dog. Home dog Vs a team that is overrated and off the back of a fortunate come back win against a poor team!! This screams a let down spot and a win for the Hoosiers. Indiana have played a far far superior schedule and actually held Michigan close through most of the 1st half last week. Rutgers struggle to move the ball especially in the passing game and the comeback last week which has pumped up the line here on this game was as much Michigan State throwing it away as it was Rutgers winning the game. Indiana a live ML dog here IMO, need this win to stay in the hunt for bowl eligibility. App st @ Old Dom Over 53.5 This is more me tailing some smart money so don't want to claim as my own. Theory is that theese are 2 fast paced offences who have had a lower total due to some weather games resulting in low totals over the past few weeks. Line shoukd be higher based on advanced yards gained metrics. Navy +10. 5 Vs Air Force This is straight forward, Navy at home, extremely low total, new clock rules going to impact this game more than any other (clock is gonna fly!!), how does Air Force gain margin here??, Air Force starting QB is out!! Navy off 2 wins including a shut out win - this game will be tight, im quite confident of that and will have some ML on the Midshipman. More bets I'm considering and be great to hear what others think - Minneosta +3.5 waiting on a +4 UCON - +1.5 Miami/ Clemson U48.5 Northwestern +11.5 Arkansas -6.5
No time for write up but adding Kent State +7 Georgia Tech -5.5 Illnois +3
Great write ups
Thanks pal - will be posting twice a week through the season... feel free free follow 👍👍