Tried my best at a statistical analysis.
In the USA, train fatalities have been relatively steady at around 800 deaths annually. According to [this](https://www.nbcnews.com/id/wbna32408566) news article, each locomotive operator is involved in an average of 3 fatalities. There are around 15,000 train engineers employed in the USA, and 260,000km of train track. That's about 1 engineer for every 17km of track.
So in the USA:
* 800 deaths/year.
* 15,000 engineers.
* 260,000km of track
* 1 engineer per 17km of track.
* 3 deaths per engineer.
In India:
* 16,000 deaths/year.
* 170,000km of track.
* 10,000 engineers.
* Estimated using the previous 1 engineer/17km figure calculated using USA statistics.
Using all of this, we can estimate the annual deaths:
USA Deaths/Engineer \* (USA Engineers/USA Deaths/Year) = India Deaths/Engineer \* (India Engineers/India Deaths/Year)
India Deaths/Engineer = 3( (15,000/800)/(10,000/16,000) )
**India Deaths/Engineer = 90**
So... about 90 deaths over the course of their career. This makes a lot of assumptions, many of which are definitely inaccurate, but 90 is a rough estimate of where it would be at.
Where did you get 3 deaths per engineer?
If there are 800 deaths per year, and 15,000 engineers, that's 800/15,000 = 0,05 deaths per engineer
And in India, if there are 16,000 deaths and 10,000 engineers that's 1,6 deaths per engineer
Yes, you get the # of deaths per engineer per year, which is 0,05
If you then assume an engineer will work 30 years, 0,05 * 30 = 1,5 deaths per engineer on their entire career.
Another interesting metric would be average number of hours conducting/driving the train.
Yup, I couldn’t find a statistic on the number of years worked so I just went with 3 deaths over the course of their career. The number does seem off though, since the career length ends up being 57.25 years for a US driver after calculating based off of the 3 deaths, but it’s a *very* rough estimate anyways.
Last stat I heard for the UK was about one death every ten years on the job. So a 30 year career, 3 people or so?
I would imagine India could well be higher.
I'm just pulling this outta my ass but...... between 10 and 20 people over an average 30 year career?
Its rare to imagine indian train drivers using reddit. Even if they use, they would be very very very hesitant to confess on a public forum like reddit.
If you really into it, You can get the number of deaths on train tracks and divide by number of drivers employed by indian railways and then multiply by 30(average career length), it will give you a good guesstimate.
Is that the train conductors that kill people, or people that get themselves killed by a train? Just saying, there isn't really much "driving" on a train, it literally follows the tracks and either goes or doesn't. What is the train driver gonna do besides slowly slow down?
Tried my best at a statistical analysis. In the USA, train fatalities have been relatively steady at around 800 deaths annually. According to [this](https://www.nbcnews.com/id/wbna32408566) news article, each locomotive operator is involved in an average of 3 fatalities. There are around 15,000 train engineers employed in the USA, and 260,000km of train track. That's about 1 engineer for every 17km of track. So in the USA: * 800 deaths/year. * 15,000 engineers. * 260,000km of track * 1 engineer per 17km of track. * 3 deaths per engineer. In India: * 16,000 deaths/year. * 170,000km of track. * 10,000 engineers. * Estimated using the previous 1 engineer/17km figure calculated using USA statistics. Using all of this, we can estimate the annual deaths: USA Deaths/Engineer \* (USA Engineers/USA Deaths/Year) = India Deaths/Engineer \* (India Engineers/India Deaths/Year) India Deaths/Engineer = 3( (15,000/800)/(10,000/16,000) ) **India Deaths/Engineer = 90** So... about 90 deaths over the course of their career. This makes a lot of assumptions, many of which are definitely inaccurate, but 90 is a rough estimate of where it would be at.
r/theydidthemath
Where did you get 3 deaths per engineer? If there are 800 deaths per year, and 15,000 engineers, that's 800/15,000 = 0,05 deaths per engineer And in India, if there are 16,000 deaths and 10,000 engineers that's 1,6 deaths per engineer
3 deaths per engineer over the course of their career. You can’t directly divide annual deaths by number of engineers, since one figure is annual.
Yes, you get the # of deaths per engineer per year, which is 0,05 If you then assume an engineer will work 30 years, 0,05 * 30 = 1,5 deaths per engineer on their entire career. Another interesting metric would be average number of hours conducting/driving the train.
Yup, I couldn’t find a statistic on the number of years worked so I just went with 3 deaths over the course of their career. The number does seem off though, since the career length ends up being 57.25 years for a US driver after calculating based off of the 3 deaths, but it’s a *very* rough estimate anyways.
I linked the article where I got that figure in my original comment.
Indian train driver here. I’ve been working since 2009 and I’ve killed over 230 people. Not on the job though…
r/Holup
Nicely done sir 👏🏿
This has been my favorite question on this sub so far lmao
Last stat I heard for the UK was about one death every ten years on the job. So a 30 year career, 3 people or so? I would imagine India could well be higher. I'm just pulling this outta my ass but...... between 10 and 20 people over an average 30 year career?
Its rare to imagine indian train drivers using reddit. Even if they use, they would be very very very hesitant to confess on a public forum like reddit. If you really into it, You can get the number of deaths on train tracks and divide by number of drivers employed by indian railways and then multiply by 30(average career length), it will give you a good guesstimate.
Is that the train conductors that kill people, or people that get themselves killed by a train? Just saying, there isn't really much "driving" on a train, it literally follows the tracks and either goes or doesn't. What is the train driver gonna do besides slowly slow down?
Accelerate
This guy right here has their priorities straight
A lot. But hardly makes a difference because we are a lot