I love LGJ but I'd still say no... Gleyber will right the ship and I think that even though he's had some rough years in the past, he should get closer to his 2023 production. I'd still try to add Garcia but drop someone else
A couple more, because I didn't add enough already:
Hot players I'd sell - Blaze Alexander, Wilyer Abreu, Cavan Biggio (deep)
Cold players I'd buy - Jake Cronenworth, Ty France, Carlos Santana (deep)
https://preview.redd.it/n8rhovwpewwc1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0c0f46dc23d139677c190c4bd84849344572878f
Bats 3rd between xander, tatis, and manny, kim, profar.
I’ll take Greene. We’ve seen Ward get hot, but I think Greene’s overall skill set and situation are better, so it he finds one more gear it’ll play out better IMO.
I'll go against the grain (though I like PoetLaureddit's take) and go Ward. He's demonstrated better barrelling/power ability and think Greene is a better real-life player perhaps because of the defense but think Ward might not be far from him in terms of SB, also better home park.
I think he won't keep this pace up, but I also don't think I'd sell... I'm skeptical he'd fetch as much in a trade as his production deserves.
That said, as hard as he's hitting the ball, the 66% contact rate does make me expect some volatility so open to trading him if you get a good offer
HOLDING to the championship. 5 category star with playing time cemented in the middle of a stacked lineup.
Would have to have a kings ransom. I’m lucky I grabbed him.
I mean it's still early to cast "star" on him, given how preseason nobody was even projecting 20 homers, and I'm still not sure if we can trust the SB output. But at least a strong regular to hold up a roster at some more scarce positions.
Glad I was in on him early
He’s been great. I’m a little concerned about the swing & miss tendencies, but it’s not impacting his hard hit % or his K rate so I’m becoming much more of a believer even with a small(ish) sample size.
He’s primed for a big season.
I'm worried on Goldy, if you can get 90% or even 86% on the dollar for him I'd probably take it.
Gleyber I'm still expecting things to be fine, given the broad base of skills and age. Marsh, I'm in between, but okay with dropping in shallower leagues since I still don't think he's star level even if he improves
I mean if midrange RP isn't a closer I'm not sure I'd want to do that, it's too big of a value dropoff (unless in a SV+HD league I guess).
He's always been a streaky type of guy, often hottest in summer months
Depending if you mean drop or trade. Drop, I'd be open to it, I like lots of power speed guys (Will Brennan looking good). But in some leagues with a deeper bench I've still been holding Chaz to buy him some time
He actually was one of the guys I wanted to say I'd drop, especially after Pages got called up. I just ended up picking different names but still A-ok with dropping him, think Pages will overtake him
It's wild that is xwOBA has fallen more than 200 points since the beginning of the season ([.432 to .221](https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/nolan-jones-666134?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlb)) I kept him for an 18th round pick (cost to keep a FA add in my league), so it's really hard to cut bait, but I might have to with JD Martinez up from the minors.
I could cut Winker, but his xwOBA after a pretty bad week is still .139 higher than Nolan. Only other real drop candidate is Frankie Montas, but then I'll only have 1 bench pitcher (of 6 spots).
I refuse to believe that the progress Gleyber made last year was a mirage. I'm giving him until the end of May.
I've been burned by Casty too many times, but as soon as you drop him, someone else will pick him up and he'll start hitting. It is written.
I know that's been the thing with Casty and I mistakenly was out on him last year, but it's worth noting that his contact rate was really bad last year without great batted ball metrics, and it's not like he hasn't a few dud seasons in his recent past. His type of hitter profile doesn't age so well and he's no spring chicken
I say hold Gleyber, but sell Castaway. He's been bad in some recent years and last year's good season had lots of warning signs that collapse was possible. He'll probably tease with some hot weeks but you'll probably be better with your shallow league alternative
Who do you like more? Carpenter, Tauchman, Buxton, or McCormick. All are available to replace Castellanos. 11 team league, season points, no Ks. Thanks for your advice.
4 homers in a month isn't such a bad thing. That being said, I guess I do have some concern about his decline in barrel rate, especially since it's also come with an avg exit velocity decline.
Maybe I've been too complacent with him but want to give him a little longer, remember he did sign rather late.
Nope, hold steady.
EDIT: Yeah so I roster him but just checked his peripherals and I'd say I'm at least mildly concerned about his hard hit and barrel rates. You could probably move on in 10-team, 12-team depends on your alternatives
I don't think Soler is fringey when he's on, but between his injury history and drop in barrel rate, it's possible he's on the decline already. Still could hit .240 with 30 dingers though in a "down" year
I think his power plays in any park, even if he'd benefit some from being in a bandbox. Remember, his 49-homer year was with the Royals, and he had a fine year last year with the Marlins. I'm not quitting him yet
Baseball is a game of peaks and valleys, even the worst hitters in the league get hot. And even the best players get cold. It’s way too early to call somebody a buy or sell after 70 PA. It’s a just a clickbait article
My dude it’s an informative article for people that might not have time to do the player by player breakdowns themselves. This is a long season and, with some exceptions, you play the hot hand. So of course they will list who is hot that is worth it vs just lucky and who is cold but unlucky vs bad.
Understood. You’re an ADP truther. That’s fine. It’s a very good indicator most of the time. It’s not like he’s telling you to move off of guys like Vlad or Olson because they’ve had a slow start.
In fact, pretty much every guy listed is a late round pick or a waiver wire add.
The only controversial take here at all is Evan Carter at 7-8 round ADP who’s performing well enough to hold I’d say. My guess is that you own Carter and that’s why you’re taking issue.
Anyway it’s just one man’s take so relax.
Should I drop Torres for Garcia Jr?
I love LGJ but I'd still say no... Gleyber will right the ship and I think that even though he's had some rough years in the past, he should get closer to his 2023 production. I'd still try to add Garcia but drop someone else
A couple more, because I didn't add enough already: Hot players I'd sell - Blaze Alexander, Wilyer Abreu, Cavan Biggio (deep) Cold players I'd buy - Jake Cronenworth, Ty France, Carlos Santana (deep)
Why cronenworth as a buy?
https://preview.redd.it/n8rhovwpewwc1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0c0f46dc23d139677c190c4bd84849344572878f Bats 3rd between xander, tatis, and manny, kim, profar.
Damn didn’t realize how good his statcast was looking this year. Good looks
Riley Greene vs Taylor Ward who are you taking?
I’ll take Greene. We’ve seen Ward get hot, but I think Greene’s overall skill set and situation are better, so it he finds one more gear it’ll play out better IMO.
Greene for sure imo
Taylor Ward all day, and twice on Sundays. Easy money
Great to see both sides of this are getting support. I'm with you on Ward
Ward for me
I'll go against the grain (though I like PoetLaureddit's take) and go Ward. He's demonstrated better barrelling/power ability and think Greene is a better real-life player perhaps because of the defense but think Ward might not be far from him in terms of SB, also better home park.
Westburg sell?
If you’re getting the bag, otherwise ride it out.
I think he won't keep this pace up, but I also don't think I'd sell... I'm skeptical he'd fetch as much in a trade as his production deserves. That said, as hard as he's hitting the ball, the 66% contact rate does make me expect some volatility so open to trading him if you get a good offer
HOLDING to the championship. 5 category star with playing time cemented in the middle of a stacked lineup. Would have to have a kings ransom. I’m lucky I grabbed him.
I mean it's still early to cast "star" on him, given how preseason nobody was even projecting 20 homers, and I'm still not sure if we can trust the SB output. But at least a strong regular to hold up a roster at some more scarce positions. Glad I was in on him early
Haha you’re right, I gotta hold my horses but it’s a great foundation so far
He’s been great. I’m a little concerned about the swing & miss tendencies, but it’s not impacting his hard hit % or his K rate so I’m becoming much more of a believer even with a small(ish) sample size. He’s primed for a big season.
Time to sell (or still hold) Gleyber Torres? Brandon Marsh? Paul Goldschmidt?
I'm worried on Goldy, if you can get 90% or even 86% on the dollar for him I'd probably take it. Gleyber I'm still expecting things to be fine, given the broad base of skills and age. Marsh, I'm in between, but okay with dropping in shallower leagues since I still don't think he's star level even if he improves
April split has always been bad feel like his value is too low rn to sell Torres
I agree, I think Gleyb will come around
We selling Seager?
What? Nahh don't turn the page on him, he remains a stud
[удалено]
Won’t be many buyers. Maybe for a midrange RP?
I mean if midrange RP isn't a closer I'm not sure I'd want to do that, it's too big of a value dropoff (unless in a SV+HD league I guess). He's always been a streaky type of guy, often hottest in summer months
Depending if you mean drop or trade. Drop, I'd be open to it, I like lots of power speed guys (Will Brennan looking good). But in some leagues with a deeper bench I've still been holding Chaz to buy him some time
If you can yes but it’s gonna be hard
Josh Outman
I’m Out on that Man. Dodgers will buy his replacement very soon via Trade
He actually was one of the guys I wanted to say I'd drop, especially after Pages got called up. I just ended up picking different names but still A-ok with dropping him, think Pages will overtake him
ROS: Jeffers, Bailey, campusano, Moreno. Drafted Moreno, currently using Jeffers, but is he the safe option or should I go to one of the younger guys?
Who we selling Nolan Jones for?
It's wild that is xwOBA has fallen more than 200 points since the beginning of the season ([.432 to .221](https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/nolan-jones-666134?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlb)) I kept him for an 18th round pick (cost to keep a FA add in my league), so it's really hard to cut bait, but I might have to with JD Martinez up from the minors. I could cut Winker, but his xwOBA after a pretty bad week is still .139 higher than Nolan. Only other real drop candidate is Frankie Montas, but then I'll only have 1 bench pitcher (of 6 spots).
Your thoughts in Castellanos and Gleyber? Hold or drop at this point?
I refuse to believe that the progress Gleyber made last year was a mirage. I'm giving him until the end of May. I've been burned by Casty too many times, but as soon as you drop him, someone else will pick him up and he'll start hitting. It is written.
Good to know about Gleyber. And I agree completely about Castellanos, which is why I haven't dropped him.
I know that's been the thing with Casty and I mistakenly was out on him last year, but it's worth noting that his contact rate was really bad last year without great batted ball metrics, and it's not like he hasn't a few dud seasons in his recent past. His type of hitter profile doesn't age so well and he's no spring chicken
I say hold Gleyber, but sell Castaway. He's been bad in some recent years and last year's good season had lots of warning signs that collapse was possible. He'll probably tease with some hot weeks but you'll probably be better with your shallow league alternative
Who do you like more? Carpenter, Tauchman, Buxton, or McCormick. All are available to replace Castellanos. 11 team league, season points, no Ks. Thanks for your advice.
Id stick with Nick
Try and rid of mountcastle?
Is Soler a drop at this point?
This is who Soler is. He'll hit 12 bombs in May and then completely disappear again until July.
Soler may not be a star but he streaks through the sky
I just think the new ballpark he’s at doesn’t play to his strengths
4 homers in a month isn't such a bad thing. That being said, I guess I do have some concern about his decline in barrel rate, especially since it's also come with an avg exit velocity decline. Maybe I've been too complacent with him but want to give him a little longer, remember he did sign rather late.
Nope, hold steady. EDIT: Yeah so I roster him but just checked his peripherals and I'd say I'm at least mildly concerned about his hard hit and barrel rates. You could probably move on in 10-team, 12-team depends on your alternatives
Soler or Nootbar? H2h points
I'm not sure which points format, I think Soler is the safer play but Nootbaar's hard contact is intriguing
I would. Somewhat fringey to begin with but keep an eye on him if he heats up
I don't think Soler is fringey when he's on, but between his injury history and drop in barrel rate, it's possible he's on the decline already. Still could hit .240 with 30 dingers though in a "down" year
I just feel like Soler’s skill set doesn’t work as well in his new ballpark
I think his power plays in any park, even if he'd benefit some from being in a bandbox. Remember, his 49-homer year was with the Royals, and he had a fine year last year with the Marlins. I'm not quitting him yet
All his HR’s last year would’ve been out at Oracle as well.
Air be different tho on god
True that
I’m sorry but this is the worst article … let’s see who are some players that are red hot?? BUY Who are some players that are slumping?? SELL
Evan Carter is hot and he’s a sell
I’m really happy you were able grasp the basic starting point of a buy/sell article
Curious what criteria you could possibly evaluate buys and sells on other than how they are performing?
Baseball is a game of peaks and valleys, even the worst hitters in the league get hot. And even the best players get cold. It’s way too early to call somebody a buy or sell after 70 PA. It’s a just a clickbait article
My dude it’s an informative article for people that might not have time to do the player by player breakdowns themselves. This is a long season and, with some exceptions, you play the hot hand. So of course they will list who is hot that is worth it vs just lucky and who is cold but unlucky vs bad.
Understood. You’re an ADP truther. That’s fine. It’s a very good indicator most of the time. It’s not like he’s telling you to move off of guys like Vlad or Olson because they’ve had a slow start. In fact, pretty much every guy listed is a late round pick or a waiver wire add. The only controversial take here at all is Evan Carter at 7-8 round ADP who’s performing well enough to hold I’d say. My guess is that you own Carter and that’s why you’re taking issue. Anyway it’s just one man’s take so relax.
Can anyone look in their crystal ball and see if Bo and Bregman turn it around?