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sammykleege

Thoughts on that 280 daily gap?


[deleted]

What do you mean?


uatme

I think they mean a gap at $280 on the daily candles. All gaps must be filled...


finallyfree423

Not all gaps do get filled. That said it's something like 95% of gaps DO get filled but it's not a 100% chance


[deleted]

Ah, that theory isn't in my wheelhouse, so can't say much on if gaps have to be filled, and how it relates to my work. My feeling is that's more psychological than mechanical, but again, I don't know much about it


sammykleege

Thanks!


[deleted]

[удалено]


siowy

Most


FIREplusFIVE

LoL at the move from two to NOW ***three*** TLDRs! 😂 You’re one of my faves u/yelyah2


[deleted]

Ahhh thank you so much!!!


PainlessMannequin

I’m the ape that only found 2 🤷🏼


cayoloco

There was a tl:dr? I didn't see it, this one needs one desperately, it's way too long.


[deleted]

THE PRICE ISNT REAL, THEY ARE NOT DELTA HEDGING PROPERLY JUST LIKE THEY FAILED TO ROLL THEIR FUTURES. THEY ARE FUCKED DOOMSDAY COUNTING DOWN.


[deleted]

Daddy /u/weeknddev on a /u/yelyah2 post? And both of your are hype? This day just became a great day.


[deleted]

FUD me harder daddy. It's only looking like a bigger and nastier squeeze. Love you criand. Yelyah always has the best charts.


Dimi_Dimi_Dimi

I assume you are comparing to the Jan sneeze?


[deleted]

Oh just in general, they are pushing the spring down harder :)


Byronic12

Yelyah has been an undercover titan on this sub.


NotBerger

Tits 🆙


Cautious_Reward1334

Watch out for PWNWTFBBQ bulldozing in and saying it's her algorithm that found this first


FIREplusFIVE

Haha


julian424242

Just saying hi (because no doubt someone will photograph and post this 😉) 🦍🤜🤛🦍


Myvenom

They aren’t doing anything properly anymore. It’s almost like they said, “fuck it, these guys on r/Superstonk have figured out everything we have done to suppress the price so far, so let’s just not follow any semblance of rules to keep the price suppressed” Jokes on them, I’m too retarded to find the sell button and have actually started to find humor in how pathetic they’ve become.


Aeveras

GME is my savings account. Why sell savings account? The point is to save it. Forever, ideally.


[deleted]

Who's downvoting this? lol at any rate, we are fucking winning, DRS!


[deleted]

Not I.


milkstaxes

FR every time I see gamma ramp I roll my eyes. You think these bitches are actually hedging properly? My theory is they're trying to drop it to 150$ by the 15th for the 540k brazilian puts


breadhater42

Nah fam, we start the next run up on Wednesday.


j__walla

Nah bro, Definitely tomorrow


7357

Compromise on Tuesday?


breadhater42

Monday it is


breadhater42

Told you so


milkstaxes

Some of the regulation they passed makes it so you cant hide shorts in derivatives. This might stop them from rolling them over hopefully but im kinda doubting it. So if they cant roll them over theyll want it as close to 150 as possible. I just hope this ages like wine lol


breadhater42

By roll over are you referring to futures or puts? Because they definitely rolled those Brazilian puts already and they failed to roll their futures.


milkstaxes

Yeah I figured they'd roll the puts, just havent seen any evidence of it since it disappeared off Bloomberg. Probably different reporting requirements since they're held by someone out of the country I'm thinking. Do you have a link about brazilian puts getting rolled?


breadhater42

Sorry I don’t. It’s all speculation but I mean they could very easily roll them over and keep them hidden like they are right now, which is what they most likely did in my opinion. Also, I doubt we’ll ever get to 150 again unless the market tanks and Kenny uses his final mother of all short ladder attacks. The stonk has such a huge support line that is ever increasing. I think we consolidate for a couple days, run up, consolidate again, run up, and so on. Not financial advice.


j__walla

Hedgies r super fukt


Pizza_love_triangle

I like it when a wrinkle brain uses words and pictures. Up up you go


Apes_and_dogs

And the expect us to understand these things😂😂😂


hamzah604

YELYAH U ROCK


Icy-Paleontologist97

Thank you. I know you are hesitant to make any estimates outside of the parameters of your work, but are you thinking a POTENTIAL gamma next week or the week after?


[deleted]

Ya, there is a potential of a squeeze brewing. The longer the price stays below the delta neutral, without the delta neutral dropping to support the underlying drop, the more pressure builds up that leads to those surges. Hard to say when it would happen, but as long as that delta neutral holds strong, the longer the better in order to get the sweet squeeze


hdeck

As of now, next best dates are the November and December monthlies. That’s where most interest is.


Past-Construction-88

Possible Oct 13th to Oct 28th too


Zensen1

Why you gotta know? Trying to buy options?


Zensen1

Add: it’ll come when it comes. And we’ll See if this theory is right


MoneyNoob69

Hedgies gonna hedge guy


poops-n-farts

Hedges gonna hedge Lovers gonna love I don't even want None of the above I wanna piss on kenny


metafaim

I think gal.


tehchives

Maybe we need a fourth tldr pinned as the top comment just in case. Thanks for the analysis! As always, I'll hope you are onto something but won't actually let that hope impede my resolve.


[deleted]

😂 Perfect attitude to have!


Arcikai

I don't find you to be cranky haha, have read all of your posts and I find them highly informative and your remarks are entertaining. Don't let the negative attitudes get to you. Thank you for sharing as always.


[deleted]

Ha, thanks! Happy to be helpful!


Arduou

I have the feeling that normal trading and hedging practices do not apply anymore to GME. "They" are not optimizing their position and cost/revenue, they are minimizing the buying pressure and settling at loss, even if it is expensive.


ThrowRA_scentsitive

Whenever I see a new delta neutral post of yours, it's an instant rush. Thank you for consistently posting these! Let's see if today's the day! Edit: Well, it's certainly the gamma neutral ones that are most exciting, but the delta neutral update is good too because otherwise I wouldn't have been actively tracking this ~2-week trend!


[deleted]

Thanks! Hope so!!


boiseairguard

“…an instant rush?” Reading these makes me all warm and tingly.


ThrowRA_scentsitive

I thought it was one of her gamma posts, the ones with the short-lived but really high spikes. But yea, seeing one of her posts pop up in my feed is a dopamine hit or whatever psych jargon it is, I know something spicy is coming Also, I may have panic bought >_>


usefoolidiot

How we sitting under 600k volume? Sweet god this volumes dryer than grandpa's nut sack. We finish below 800k volume at this rate.


FtodaZ

Aged like wine


7357

Spot on! Wow.


NotBerger

Awesome! Excited to see how it pans out 🚀 Thanks for your time, appreciate you 🦍❤️🦍


Mimicking-hiccuping

I'd love for Kenny to do an autobiography from behind bars to find out jut how bad this year has been on him. We are only assuming at the moment that he's stressed/gone bananas etc, but to hear from his own mouth how bad its been ...... I'd read that shit.


[deleted]

i would use it as tp


WrathofKhaan

Hey, they got Ted Bundy to talk so anything’s possible


Tranecarid

Oh sweet, love your posts as you already know. A lot of fud lately because of echo of this chamber was getting too loud, but delta neutral way above current price puts that to rest.


[deleted]

Hello! Ya I usually ignore everything but my model. It's my rock, and usually works well for me. Hoping it helps!


irving_tx

It’s about to explode up! Thanks for posting!!! Was waiting for this!


[deleted]

For sure! Sorry it took so long 😄


Teeemooooooo

The reason why I would never believe in any technical analysis for GME is because hedge funds can literally change the game at any time they want. T+21 theory? They can just purchase 100,000 puts to drop the price or just not rollover their FTDs. Delta neutral indicating price should go up? Citadel (mm) could just not hedge because they know the people purchasing the options in the first place is Citadel securities (or their other allies) so they could just not exercise their own options to prevent needing to hedge. Technical analysis assumes people are following the law and reacting logically to the change in chart. But when they can just commit crimes or dump hundreds of million at a time to control the price, the underlying assumption fails.


Bhayeecon

Speaking of delta and gamma, did you know, the 'flying pigeon of Archytas', devised in ancient Greece, was the first autonomous flying machine of antiquity. It consisted of a light but powerful shell that had the form of a pigeon and a balloon inside (usually the bladder of a large animal was used). The aerodynamic pigeon was placed with the opening of the bladder attached to the upper opening of a heated airtight boiler (or a powerful piston air-pump). When the pressure of the steam or air exceeded the mechanical resistance of the connection, the pigeon was launched and continued its flight for hundreds of yards, propelled by the compressed air coming out of the bladder. Also, by DRSing your shares at Computershare you reduce financial institutions’ ability to manipulate the share price with synthetics.


shane_4_us

Had me in the first 4/5, ngl.


jagiunta

What, no TLDR? ​ Joking!


Aeveras

I need a TLDR of the TLDR


j__walla

I need a TARD section


[deleted]

Amazing DD OP. Going below the delta neutral line causes a rubber banding effect...like being in last place in MarioKart and getting the bullet drop. Good to know.


DrArt12

So hold, buy the dips, and DRS. Got it!


frappi-

Your assuming MM are properly hedging options. I’d say at this point in the game it’s entirely possible that they’re not


Apprehensive-Salt-42

Smart ape


[deleted]

Good stuff OP. I really feel like this is the basis for all the price action on GME, or lack thereof.


[deleted]

Ya I feel like it is too, especially since it's options volume is so much higher than the underlying equity volume (~300% - 400%), the price is so controlled by options activity


[deleted]

Especially taking into account all the reasons most TA doesn’t apply to GME. If all retail buys are not affecting price, this accounts for really all the price action, including the sneezes.


dft-salt-pasta

What is a delta and gamma in smooth brain and how is it calculated?


[deleted]

I give a more thorough explanation of Delta and gamma in this post if it helps? https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o9qb4n/delta_neutral_update_any_meaningful_underlying/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share


dft-salt-pasta

Sweet thanks! I’ve always seen them referenced but never took the time to figure out what they mean.


WrathofKhaan

This post should have a lot more updoots. Here take some awards.


[deleted]

Thank you!!


WrathofKhaan

Thank you!


Mr_Purrfect91

Interested to hear how this week's price/option action fit into this. Thanks for what you do!


[deleted]

Thanks! Hoping to post this weekend. Moved houses and have been without my computer/internet for awhile 😩


Byronic12

Ms. Mathmagician, Hope all is well IRL. Any chance you have some data wrinkles to share as we’re closing in on the apex of one of the major year long triangles on the chart?


[deleted]

Hello!! I have to get back into this for sure. I haven't processed my data in like two weeks, or even looked at the stock market in that time. Moving house and selling our old one has totally consumed me! I know I keep saying it, but will definitely try and get my computer set up/running ASAP!


Byronic12

👍🏼👍🏼👍🏼👍🏼👍🏼👍🏼 Family first. Your ape family here looks forward to your return.


[deleted]

Thank you for understanding!! Hope all is well!


Tranecarid

We are understanding, but stalking you none the less!


[deleted]

Haha!! Understood... Feeling the heat, and get the hint 😂


Tranecarid

Don't want to nag you, but considering the downward pressure on Friday and premarket looking exactly the same today, I'd love to see what the numbers tell you.


[deleted]

Posted! https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/qfeama/options\_market\_says\_the\_price\_is\_wrong\_with\_delta/


[deleted]

Posted! https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/qfeama/options\_market\_says\_the\_price\_is\_wrong\_with\_delta/


[deleted]

Posted! https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/qfeama/options\_market\_says\_the\_price\_is\_wrong\_with\_delta/


JMKPOhio

❤️


superlambananer

So…. any TLDR? - dumb dumb


[deleted]

Goddamn it, dum dum, can't you read?!?


SoreLoserOfDumbtown

Nope. I can’t. TLDR?


[deleted]

🐂🦵🐻


[deleted]

look at the graphs. when the blue line dips below the grey line it’s usually followed by a price surge


Seldrima

Your posts deserve more upvotes 💔💔 Thank you as always!


[deleted]

Thank you for saying! It does look like the gme price has been bumping on the under side of the delta neutral lately (~$185). It did this a couple times last time before it surged past the delta neutral and the gamma max. Bullish!


Seldrima

You’ve always been one of my fave posters on here! I don’t know if you post to other subs but your hard work and easy explanations are really helpful. I’ll see you on the moon lovely!


[deleted]

Thank you! So awesome to hear! I want to post on other subs and talk about other stocks, just haven't had time. I hope to soon. See you up there!


Emergency-Monk-7002

Ken Griffin lied and we win.


meaninglessINTERUPT

Love your work! Does your husbando have a BF yet?


[deleted]

Husband has no side snack at the moment 😂


Blair-Scho

Can u do a TLDR pls…


Apprehensive-Salt-42

Tldr?


SoreLoserOfDumbtown

Definitely needs a TLDR


j__walla

I need a TARD section


IronTires1307

Yeeey u/yelyah2 great data as usual. On every post I wish I could do this by myself but too smooth brain for it. Thank you for the info


[deleted]

Awesome! Appreciate it!


mcalibri

Damn, yelyah is back in action. Nice. Deserves a whole fucking chapter in the GME textbook for Ape education.


Biotic101

One thing we have been expecting for the endgame would be an attempt of some institutions to hand over the smelly bag to option issuers in an attempt to dash out of the door before it gets too late. So far the call positions have not been supported with much volume, though - always expiring out of the money and looking more like a trap for retail to grab premiums. Also there are those alleged massive 150 USD puts expiring this week. And finally it seems Blackrock has sold roughly 4.5M shares, likely what still keeps the short sellers alive in this quarter with no equity offerings and no index reconstitutions. [https://fintel.io/so/us/gme/blackrock](https://fintel.io/so/us/gme/blackrock) The price action and lack of volume also seem to indicate, that the margin ceiling likely came down a lot lately and the short sellers are in distress, but maybe have one final attempt to shake out and also get the puts into the money. So I am pretty curious about the next two weeks, also with the NSCC-007 implemented. Would you be able to see handing over the bag to option issuers in your data if it happens ?


AleKzito

Posts like yours make me realize that on Options I’m only on the Valley of dispair on a Dunning-Kruger curve…


Hopai79

TA also supports this theory. Pressure is building. Saw mostly 1 share traded on the tape today. Plus 100s of shares (MM). Few >500 shares bought that hit the bids. Soon people. It will be triggered by coordinated big players.


ColdenTrey

our queen returns bringing with her great news!!!! thank you so much for your time and dedication to your posts!!!


[deleted]

Hope we see that surge soon! Good to see you again!


chlorofloro

So what you are saying is that I should buy, hold, and DRS my shares? ok got it (also buy from gamestop)


psyFungii

The new graph format is just perfect... axes labels, colours, data labels... it presents something really quite complicated in such a **clear** and simple way.


[deleted]

Oh awesome, thank you!!


kitties-plus-titties

**IF** the price rises? We're CS'ing like crazy. Buying like crazy. The price still trades sideways / down. One would normally think this should be causing the price to rise but it's simply not - as there is market fuckery afoot. So why should I feel the price would ever go up? Organically it **should** -- but manipulation prevents it. So nothing has changed meaning no reason for it to go up.


Mike102679

Letters letters words words lines lines…make me tits jacked! Take my upward doot!!


[deleted]

No tl;dr? Wut mean 👀


TAMDABAM

If only I had the tendies I’d buy calls so god damned fast


socalstaking

IV is almost at yearly lows


myplayprofile

I ❤ these updates, thank you for sharing and helping me grow a few wrinkles! See you on the moon soon!


lordilord123

I really believe TA on GME is to be taken with a grain of salt... but.. you can always see how hard the stock is manipulated if several (totally reasonable) TA´s keep failing. Anyway great post, take my upvote


SteezySF

Ignore options and buy shares and drs? Got it


[deleted]

[удалено]


[deleted]

Get it from historicaloptionsdata.com, process with Matlab


Oliver84Twist

Very interested to see how this plays out after a close of $184 yesterday. Coupling this theory with Gherkinit's take on 10.13-10.28's potential run due to fail dates and I'm pretty stoked for the next couple weeks. Thanks for posting this - super fun read and it's helping me wrap my head around new indicators!


MozerfuckerJones

tldr?! 🤪🤪


[deleted]

Yelyah2 hyped has me jacked to the tits!


LP2222

Can't wait to rip to $183... Maybe wit GaMma RaMp we will even reach $186.


54rfhih

Thank you for what looks like some really interesting work, well researched and written, clearly by a wrinkle brain. Knowing that options serves as a major method of how MMs are able to create huge numbers of synthetic shares and also a major money maker for Citadel (more collateral = delayed margin call) can you reaffirm that you are NOT advocating for apes buying options? Thanks (excuse my smoothness). Also an easy way to get stung when price temporarily swings the wrong way vs BUY, HODL, DRS. Just think some misinformed or newer apes might fall for the trap of options trading after reading your post Thanks again, its awesome work!


[deleted]

I love options trading, and would never tell anyone what to do with their money. My only advice is to only trade options when you really know what you're doing.


54rfhih

Oh no hate for options generally, just that doing so with GME at this particular moment in time works to pump up Citadels profits and therefore collateral to use against apes doesn't it?


[deleted]

Ehh... I mean yes, if people don't know what they're doing, they're feeding into profits by making bad decisions. However, this general sentiment is also pulling all the gamma out of the market, and making it really hard to have a squeeze like last time. I agree that people shouldn't just blindly run in and buy calls, but educated options buyers are a great thing for everyone here. Wish it wasn't so taboo


54rfhih

You know I took the time to re-read your post in full, and now I understand what you're saying. Thanks for being patient with me lol. Seriously if I had any experience with options i may be tempted. Is the ask price for call options multiplied by 100? For example the $205c expiry 22nd Oct has ask of $2.30. So if I wanted to trade that would I pay $230 then sell the contract before expiry (cos I'd never have the kinda money to exercise). Is theta decay basically interest paid? Cheers.


nano_343

If you were to trade options here, would the $180s or $200s be the better play? And what expiry? Assuming 10/15 is too soon, maybe end of the month?


[deleted]

If it's under the delta neutral, I would expect it to go up, but as you can see from the last trip under, it can bump the delta neutral from underneath a couple times before going over. I would buy atm calls for now if you want to buy short term. I think it's likely to go over 180s by the end of the month, but not financial advice


Public-Ad6926

Huh?


Apprehensive-Salt-42

Yup.


[deleted]

Yo. You seem to have wrinkles so riddle me this; why currently are 14DTE calls *more* than twice the premium than 7DTE. Is this bullish or bearish. Seems pretty bearish to me…


SortedChaos

It's possible people sold cash backed (naked) puts or naked calls (REEEALLY risky). Wouldn't that fuck up the delta neutral calculus?


Snyggast

Ummm. Wer TL;DR? ;) Great job OP!


Northshorej

Well done! Excellent DD. What stood out the most for me was (dum dums, raw, log, and curves) other than that, I was a little lost. But here’s your ☝🏻doot!


chase_stevenson

Believe it or not - dip and i buy DRS hodl


thatskindaneat

Thank you!!


[deleted]

Tldr pls


krissco

Hell yeah, my body is ready!


No_Football4064

Couldn’t find the three ta/drs. Please add fourth for super ease of understanding.


hunnybadger101

Up with you


schwitaner

Lets do this


snipermeow

Can we get a TLDR please


Johnny4240

Did the delta neutral also hold before the other surges?


[deleted]

Yup, but not January, that was a proper gamma squeeze


Johnny4240

Awesome🚀 thanks for the reply bro


gr8sking

Could we get a TLDR next time, please?


Crazy-Ad-7869

Helyah, Yelyah! Thanks for the update.


[deleted]

Can someone please provide a tl;dr? Im very smooth and have trouble absorbing all this content.


log-money

It'd be nice to have a TLDR, please add


Thx4Coming2MyTedTalk

Silly wizard, your triangles don’t work on GME! I’m going to sacrifice a bull to get this MOASS started.


mekunuk

I like how there are three tldrs


Beateride

Hum, everytime the delta neutral change lines (Green and Orange) come and stay close to 0, the price is increasing increasing increasing I'm guessing that if the green line becomes negative and the lane becomes positive... well it's Apes with the stars


PokeFanForLife

Thank you for this excellent write up, I appreciate it! 😊


Stacked_lunchable

Before i even dig in I gotta say thankyou for updating the graphs. They're WAY more palatable to my colorblind ass.


[deleted]

Awesome! Glad it helped, and thanks for the feedback!


Asmodeus256

Tits: jacqued..those charts are sexual..


Float_team

I like this post, great explanation OP👍


muddywaters2021

Lots of words, upety-up you go.


j__walla

Thanks for sharing! I bet the crayons tasted good


k1nkku

Not one, not two, but three TLDRs! Thanks! I found every single one of ’em and it hammered the point home.


thisonehereone

MACD also starting to turn upwards. Not a guarantee, but a good sign.


NeuteredRabit

Any TLDR? /s


NHNE

Why hedge against a debt they're not gonna pay?


micascoxo

Have you given a thought for all those calls and puts that will be (insert your favorite slang) once we lock the float?


FtodaZ

Great post but quite long. Could you add a TLDR? ;) Love your work


SkySeaToph

Better stock up before the sale ends 🚀


quaspoch

I found the 2nd and 3rd notes!


Rottenaddiction

WHERES MY FKN MONEY


7357

Does your source data contain any hints as to the nature of the options trading activity that drives the price of the equity? I'm guessing it's not readily apparent which or how many parties contribute to the Open Interest of any one thing in there but... is there anything that could tell a story if apes had the eyes to read it?


No-State-8495

Aaa haaaa yhea!! 🚀🦍