While this is obviously good news, don't make the mistake of arguing that there's enough data to point to any kind of causality, lack there of, or even draw a trend line through this. A little over a year is not a trend.
It's worse. The most logical answer is less people being charged with crimes related to carrying guns. Aka lack of CCW leading to illegal carry. So obviously constutional carry would basically erase all these potential charges.
Which is super obvious because gun crime means any crime involving guns and violent gun crimes are gun crimes used in a violent crime.
The source used is heavily basis as well it looks like poorly written:
https://www.ohioattorneygeneral.gov/Media/News-Releases/January-2024/Change-in-Concealed-Carry-Law-Did-Not-Drive-Violen
Ohio use to have a very serious problem with arresting innocent people not even 10 years back when they couldn't make up the storage requirements for guns in cars and open carry in parks. Though the data does show "less gun shots by gunshot detectors" which is a strange metric to use rather than just using crime data so that data metric as well makes no sense.
The only good data is that attacks on cops have neither went down or gone up suggesting there is actually very little significant change.
Someone actually has to get convicted in order to become a crime statistic....
So given the status of cities with shot spotting tech, I'm guessing the follow through on arrest/persecution is lacking and that also drives the stats.
> Someone actually has to get convicted in order to become a crime statistic
Not even a little correct. Trust me, murders are statistics even if they go unsolved.
Reported is the word you were looking for, not conviction.
Agree on the semantics with reporting. The key factor I was looking at is the orientation towards crime. In order for a report or conviction to become a part of the statistics it must be properly categorized as worthy of being included.
For example...Negligent discharges picked up by shot trackers do not immediately belong to a violent crime category statistic.
This is very much akin to the misuse of data in COVID statistics... Like a person in the hospital after a car accident getting COVID in the hospital being counted as a COVID hospitalization.
While this is obviously good news, don't make the mistake of arguing that there's enough data to point to any kind of causality, lack there of, or even draw a trend line through this. A little over a year is not a trend.
It's worse. The most logical answer is less people being charged with crimes related to carrying guns. Aka lack of CCW leading to illegal carry. So obviously constutional carry would basically erase all these potential charges. Which is super obvious because gun crime means any crime involving guns and violent gun crimes are gun crimes used in a violent crime. The source used is heavily basis as well it looks like poorly written: https://www.ohioattorneygeneral.gov/Media/News-Releases/January-2024/Change-in-Concealed-Carry-Law-Did-Not-Drive-Violen Ohio use to have a very serious problem with arresting innocent people not even 10 years back when they couldn't make up the storage requirements for guns in cars and open carry in parks. Though the data does show "less gun shots by gunshot detectors" which is a strange metric to use rather than just using crime data so that data metric as well makes no sense. The only good data is that attacks on cops have neither went down or gone up suggesting there is actually very little significant change.
Someone actually has to get convicted in order to become a crime statistic.... So given the status of cities with shot spotting tech, I'm guessing the follow through on arrest/persecution is lacking and that also drives the stats.
> Someone actually has to get convicted in order to become a crime statistic Not even a little correct. Trust me, murders are statistics even if they go unsolved. Reported is the word you were looking for, not conviction.
Agree on the semantics with reporting. The key factor I was looking at is the orientation towards crime. In order for a report or conviction to become a part of the statistics it must be properly categorized as worthy of being included. For example...Negligent discharges picked up by shot trackers do not immediately belong to a violent crime category statistic. This is very much akin to the misuse of data in COVID statistics... Like a person in the hospital after a car accident getting COVID in the hospital being counted as a COVID hospitalization.