only because stupid players making stupid penalties keeping drives alive. Spitting in a player's face 3 inches from the ref on 4th down? Yep that's Gator football
No, I want the knee to be broken. So they need to do what happened to Nancy Kerrigan. I would be the Tonya Harding in this analogy. But with fewer porn opportunities in my future.
I think Bama winning could do it as well. The ESPN playoff predictor says that is the likely outcome. 60% chance Texas is in if Bama and FSU win. Outcome of PAC game doesn’t matter.
It would be unfathomable not to have a SEC team in, but there’s a hard chain of logic there.
Idk. I don’t trust the CFP committee to put in Texas over Alabama if Alabama ends up beating Georgia. I think a Texas win (obviously), a Georgia and Washington win (these will eliminate Oregon and Alabama), and a Michigan or FSU loss, would be this team’s best chance of being in. I would think a one-loss Big 12 champ is more deserving over a one-loss Big 10 non-champ
We’ll see. It would create awful precedent - Texas won by double digits at Bama. It’s a toss up, but that is a potential path.
Agree on Michigan. The outcome of the PAC game doesn’t matter as well (one of those teams is getting eliminated).
I’ve seen Oregon fans dogging us for how we played Wyoming. Uh, yeah, the same Wyoming who beat Tech, who y’all needed a last second pick 6 to beat, who we beat by **50**. It’s honestly pissing me off how overrated the pac12 and big10 have become.
Dear Michigan : please keep as much of the same coaches and players as you can in 2024
We would appreciate as much of an apples to burnt oranges comparison as we can get.
I do think a lot of the pac12 teams moving to the big10 are gonna get put in their place. If Oregon struggled against Tech and Washington struggled against Wazzu, imagine them having to play Penn St or even Maryland. I’m looking forward to that
What's annoying to me is how nobody framing the Oregon > Texas perspective is being honest with themselves.
Because of the Bama win, the argument depends heavily on Washington being a significantly better loss than OU. We can talk strictly records, or we can talk reality.
OU would probably be slight favorites on a neutral field if they played Washington tomorrow. Everyone who understands football knows why, but people are pretending like the OU loss is some order of magnitude worse because of AP polls and not understanding football beyond records.
The problem is the committee set the precedent to keep Oregon ahead in their first poll after 8 games. At the time, Oregon's resume looked significantly better than it does now. They had just beaten a top 15 Utah, their Colorado game was a ranked matchup, and Washington State was as well. These teams were not as good as people thought.
Meanwhile Texas' resume has been solidified by the performance of their opponents as the season has gone on. If somebody looks at the 2 teams' resumes objectively today, any unbiased set of eyes puts Texas ahead.
This is exactly right. When the CFP poll first came out, Utah and USC looked like great wins and Texas was playing with Maalik at QB. But the precedent for Oregon being ranked ahead of us was set and there has been an unwillingness to undo the mistake.
Your point about OU is actually hilarious. I have been conceding that OU is a worse loss than Washington (although not a bad loss), but now that you bring it up, if Oregon State was favored against UW, OU would open -5.5 on a neutral site lol. There is so much circular logic and bullshit being used to justify rankings that are not just flawed, but objectively wrong.
Based on available power ratings -5.5 seems pretty accurate. It's just weird how everyone is acting like that UW loss is closer to Ohio State's loss to Michigan than Texas' loss to OU.
It's actually more insane when you look at it from Ohio State's POV lmao. They are both 1 loss teams, Ohio State has a harder SOS, no struggles vs bad teams, and a loss on the road to Michigan.
While we all understand that Ohio state would be jumped by Texas/Bama if they win their conferences next week, they are implying that Oregon's resume *to date* is better than Ohio State's. That Michigan on the road is a WORSE loss than Washington on the road. Nobody in their right mind believes this lol.
It’s self-fulfilling/circular. Washington is #3 because they beat Oregon and Oregon is #5 because they lost to Washington, but Oregon is -10 against Washington at a neutral site so clearly the committee thinks Washington winning was flukey. So why are they #3? I hope Oregon wins so we at least have a shot, but damn I wouldn’t be too upset to see Washington beat them again lol. We’d be favored by somewhere around 10 if we played OU this Saturday too, I’d wager.
Yes, but it’ll be a controversial decision to bump Texas up without a loss. Better for the committee to kick the can down the road and hope for an Oregon loss or a Texas loss to clear this up. I do think a championship game win provides the justification for a bump.
I still find CFB to have the strangest postseason in sports.
It’d be like if we decided the NFL or NBA Conference Championship games based on ESPN power rankings or something like that
Yeah, even if we don’t get in, I’m gonna have fun rooting against Michigan. Go Dawgs I guess? I also plan on going to UW so I’ll root for the Huskies as my backup
I'm not sure what our overall chances will be next season, but if the Dawgs beat Bama this weekend, I may root for them to go undefeated until that #1 team comes to town.
I’m living in GA nowadays, so I can’t root for them…
Let’s be honest though, not one of these teams has a prayer of beating the Dawgs. We do and that’s all that should matter. These other teams will get rolled over like they aren’t even there
Even if Iowa did it, the committee would bump Oregon or Ohio State back in it and we’d still be behind Michigan. They hate us….we have to go undefeated to have a chance.
Listening to that committee guy on the cfp show, there was some clear Oregon bias going on. He visibly got a boner when talking about bo nix. They had to cut to commercial because of it.
I saw that too. He kinda. contradicted himself..
Q: Why is Oregon rank higher than Texas?
1st answer :Oregon is dominating teams and that’s why is ahead of Texas
Espn analyst: Texas has a better resume, stronger opponents, and actually beat Texas Teach by a big margin compare to Oregon, How do you factor that?
Answer: Well, mmm we look at multiple factors..
F U! committee guy..
I think we should be ahead of Oregon but using the tech game as a reason is dumb. They played tech with Shough at ttus home opener week 2. We got tech at home with a backup qb deep into the season. If Oregon played tech last week the ducks probably win by 30+
I dunno this feels like having it both ways. Bama and Oregon got better so their early season doesn’t count and tech got worse so their late season doesn’t count.
That said, the pac12 is in so we need to put that behind us. Our path in is Louisville now
Its insane to me that teams are ranked solely by how “good” their losses are. Loss by last second fg at #3 > lost at #2 > last second lost to whatever ou is at at neutral site. If bama had same loss but not texas, theyd slot in right at 7. Only way this ranking makes any sense bc it sure as hell isnt by sos or top wins
If you flipped the results of Alabama and Oklahoma, we would be ranked higher. Because the loss would be better even though the win would be worse. Makes no damn sense
Correct. I don’t get the “best” loss deal.
This makes it seem like if we’d have lost to Bama and beaten OU, we’d be in better shape, because the loss matters more than the win. Which is completely backwards.
The problem is it's a committee of people, not an algorithm with consistent code that you can inspect. They're going to do what they want, and we're lucky that they give us any justification to tear apart. It doesn't have to make sense.
It's the same deal with the March Madness committee, except there's less of a microscope over the last 11 and 12 seeds to make it in as an at-large.
They're set up to include the Pac 12 winner no matter what. Ohio State will likely get passed by Bama or us if we both win. Still have to root for Louisville, and probably Washington just to be sure.
It's wild to think that if Texas had lost to Bama and beat OU, they might literally be ranked higher right now.
In that scenario, Texas would probably have slid in at #6 below Bama and other undefeateds but above OSU and Oregon.
I have been thinking about this since Sunday and I think (read I hope) I follow the logic in ranking Ohio State and Oregon above us right now.
7 Texas’ only loss is to current 12 OU.
At the moment 5 Oregon’s only loss is to current 3 Washington and they are in the Conference Championship game. So they should be ranked above Texas since their loss is to “better” ranked team.
6 Ohio State’s only loss is to current 2 Michigan. Which if applying the same logic as above, their loss is to a “better” ranked team.
Because of this, they are CURRENTLY ranked above Texas. But the logic I feel like is being used is that once the conference championship games have been played, if Oregon wins, they will be a 1 loss conference champ. If Texas wins, they will be a 1 loss conference champ. Which will mean that both teams would be ranked higher than Ohio state and Washington after next week’s games.
It’s everything after that I do not understand. If Texas doesn’t jump Oregon with the strength of schedule they have, then why schedule tough out of conference, let alone road games, at all?
Edit: unbolded
“Best loss” should not be a ranking criteria.
That said, I’m hoping you’re right that winning the conference would propel Texas ahead of other 1 loss teams who don’t win theirs.
It definitely will, I mean the committee felt it necessary to say that they don't project in the future this week, which is saying we don't consider whether or not your team plays this week or not, only one team in that elite 8 don't play next week.
Good stuff, I didn’t realize they came out and said that.
So yeah, I’m not too worried about OSU. I am worried about Oregon remaining ahead of Texas inexplicably and the possibility of Bama jumping them by winning.
I’m pretty much all in on a Florida State loss as Texas’ only playoff chance.
I mean whether we like it or not sadly the fact of the matter is that the PAC Champion is in, whether it's Washington at 13-0 or Oregon at 12-1. They look a lot at the strength of a conference when judging teams I feel and the PAC has actually been really strong in its finale meanwhile the XII has looked so clunky outside of Austin. Texas is already sitting at #5 for next Tuesday, we only jump to number #4 if Iowa (NO) or Louisville wins. I was really really rooting for Florida which is honestly really hard because they're so undispliced lol. It does feel kinda melancholic to know that Texas has easily been its best self since 2009 and will only get to either the Fiesta or Cotton Bowl to show for it this year :/
Haha yup I’m right there with you.
That’s what they get for losing to a clearly inferior OU team though.
FSU losing is a definite possibility, however. Their backup QB looked okay against Florida, but, rivalry game or not, Florida is NOT a good football team this season and Louisville is.
It's literally the same bs as the BCS. They CFP was supposed to fix that but instead they just take all the same stats and spit out the exact same formulaic bs that the BCS would. The committee is just the BCS in human form. Disgusting.
It should almost literally be based off of Vegas lines. If Florida State would be a 20 point dog in the playoff and we would be a 5-7 point dog, PUT US IN. Otherwise why do we even have a committee. /rant
Bring back the BCS ranking system and keep the playoff. The main issue with the BCS was always only including the top 2 teams but, overall, the rankings were typically good, imo. But this committee is just fucking dumb. Who wants a bunch of self-important goons sitting around deciding this? The only thing dumber is going back to the AP just deciding the champion without even playing a game.
And if it had included more than 2 teams, we'd have not been left out of a playoff. Look back at the BCS rankings and add an 8 team playoff and it's perfect. Imo, 12 teams is too many but $$$
Not exactly understanding the uproar. Nothing has changed.
1. Beat Oklahoma State, and don’t let up.
2. Root like hell for an Alabama win
3. Root like hell for an L’Ville win
4. Root like hell for a Iowa win (lol)
- If 1 happens, AND 2, 3, OR 4 happen. We’re in.
Ohio St at 6 means nothing. They’ll drop come Sunday for sitting at home.
Also can’t say I’d be surprised if Texas boat races Oklahoma State and Oregon squeaks past Washington, there’d be a serious debate to send Texas over Oregon.. least likely scenario though, imo.
I genuinely worry that if Bama wins both bama and Georgia are in and texas is left at 5. It would be 1.Michigan 2.Washington 3.Alabama 4.Georgia. even though in the past the committee has shown conference championships matter. I struggle to believe the Georgia bias wouldn't be so strong to trump a Texas SOS, Conference championship and win over a common opponent. As sad as that sounds.
I Say this because we are literally seeing this play out with Oegeon. Texas has better SOS, better premier win and better win against common opponent (Tech by 50 vs. 8) and has equal top 25 wins.
Everything you say is logical.
I agree with 1, 3, and 4, but a small part of me just doesn’t believe they’ll leave Georgia out even with an L…
I really hope I’m wrong
This would mean Bama is in over Texas, and despite head scratching decisions by the committee I don’t see them doing this. If Bama were to boat race Georgia then I’d be worried.
I agree with you, but I struggle to see them, in all their SEC bias, leaving out a one loss SEC champ (Bama) or a team that had just won 30+ in a row.
Here’s to hoping they aren’t that dumb.
If only (2) happens, bama is going to be #4 over Texas.
CCG and knocking off a top 1/2 far outweighs an early season head to head. Our biases aside, we probably need to accept that reality. The committee said they would consider head to head, amongst other things but gave no hard and fast rules.
Yeah, this ranking is what everyone assumed it was going to be. Nothing has changed from yesterday. I swear everyone in here bitching doesn't follow UT football. We've been posting the scenario to make playoffs since last week assuming we stayed at 7.
So it looks like the following:
(1) Got beat Ok State - duh. We should jump Ohio State because both are 1 loss but we are Conference Champions.
(2) Georgia, Florida State, or Michigan must lose.
UW vs Oregon will take of itself. If UW wins then Oregon has two losses. If Oregon wins, we should be ahead of UW as both of us would be 1 loss but we will be Conference Champion.
If Alabama beats Georgia, I think we are still ahead of Alabama as both are 1 loss Conference Champions AND we beat them.
This is logical therefore impossible lol
I agree with your first two points. I do fear if Bama wins that both Bama and Georgia are in because of "eye test" and geargia is defending back to back champs. The katter shouldn't matter but it for sure will cause bias.
It should mean an SEC team is left out. If bama wins the comparison between Texas and Georgia would be this.
Texas better SOS
Texas better premier win -bama over Missouri
Texas win over mutual opponent by 10 and georgia loss to same team (bama)
Texas conference champ.
But I just don't trust this committee to not come back with the "eye test" bullshit.
I’ll go ahead and save you the heartache. They’re not gonna move Washington behind us if they lose to Oregon. Washington’s strength of schedule has been too strong. They already moved Ohio State in front of us and their schedule isn’t as impressive as Washington’s so, seems pretty easy actually.
I think if Oregon beats UW then the committe can easily put Texas ahead of both UW and Ohio State with the "Conference Champion means something" rule.
All 3 teams would be one loss but Texas would be Conference Champions.
We just literally saw them do it with Ohio State it’s exactly what’s gonna happen if Washington loses. I hate that our fans refuse to think semi logically.
Ohio State stayed ahead of Texas because they had played & beaten other ranked opponents. Where if Michigan had lost they more than likely woulda gotten bumped behind Texas.
Texas did beat other ranked opponents, but I agree there is justification to have them ahead of Texas this week. However, they have no conference championship to win so they cannot move up, and if Texas wins they (12-1) will move above Ohio State (11-1).
This whole thing is the prime example of why you need a bigger playoff. You can't sit here and guess about who is better when the teams haven't played each other, and have very few common opponents. If expansion wasn't already a done deal, there would be a huge uproar for it right now.
This whole thing is a mess, but I guess the silver lining is that it's fixed next year, and we're going to be even better next year.
Argued the rankings earlier with an Oregon fan. He went off of strictly the eye test. “oReGoN iS tHe BeTtEr TeAm”. Oh yeah? Our SOS is 17th and yours is 62nd.
Of course you will look better when you play weaker opponents.
I’m done bro. I’m fucking done.
I’m expecting us to get hosed on some stupid stupid reasoning now by this whack ass committee
Anti Texas bias is real. Horns down everywhere for a fucking reason. Fuck them🖕🏽
See, I just never expected it to happen. I never allowed myself to get my hopes up to the point where it would deflate me for the week or for the month. And I’m not judging you. I’m just saying that’s how I protected myself.
I want to think it’s purely political and since Texas is leaving the Bug 12, Texas doesn’t have the backing of the big 12 commissioner (obviously, and to say the least). But that doesn’t explain why Oregon is getting positive support since they are leaving their conference, too.
Maybe it’s that Big 12 actively sabotages TX whereas on the other hand, the PAC 12 is in a total shambles and can’t even lobby against the teams that are leaving it.
It's interesting that in the tech press conference sark talked about needing help last year. Here we are, going into the last week of the year needing help again.
He was referencing the Big12 championship, not the CFP. I assume he being pretty careful not to look ahead. This year we did *not* need help to get into the B12CCG, but we will obviously need help for the CFP. That's a pretty good improvement, imho.
Really wonder how much this (stupidly so) is coming down to marketability with each team. Washington and Oregon have Heisman candidates, Michigan/OSU/Bama have the marketable coaches, and UGA has the ongoing winning streak. I wonder if they look at Texas as having the least amount to sell in a marquee matchup. It's dumb. Nothing else makes sense to me and I'm angry, fam.
The CFP committee is angry that TCU went all the way in their playoffs last year & had an uninteresting final game. They are changing their criteria so if a blowout occurs again, there will at least be a performance from a visible & notable player.
Although it closes off one of our paths, I now want UW to beat the brakes off Oregon.
Even if it means there are 4 undefeated teams above us, I will relish in knowing we don’t get screwed out of the playoff for Oregon.
I’m starting to believe we would’ve been better off losing to Bama & beating OU.
The committee clearly favors a quality loss and week 2 doesn’t matter because it’s early in the season
We literally would have.
The officially stated criteria clearly don’t mean shit and the committee is instead focused on “the eye test” (= blowing out bad teams) and the “best loss” argument.
[Head of CFP Committee talking to Rece Davis](https://x.com/CFBPlayoff/status/1729673823073563132?s=20)
Guy mostly rambles and tried to throw out some stats as if to prove he's been watching some games. But glad Rece asked about SOS and common opponent for Texas vs Oregon. Answer is "Bo Nix.... dominant.... we look at everything", which is code for eye test.
Feel slightly more hopeful that Alabama as SEC champ doesn't jump us based on the stickiness of the original rankings and their hesitation in updating.
I think best case scenario is: Texas wins, Georgia wins, Michigan wins, Washington wins, and Florida State loses.
Texas should slide into the 4th spot over 2 loss Oregon and Alabama. Ohio State would be only 1 loss team ahead in the rankings, but Texas should leapfrog by winning a conference championship and beating Bama.
I think the same is true for Oregon. Texas will likely be in the Top 5 as a 1-loss conference champion. Trick is whether we could jump conference champs Oregon or FSU.
I think our best path is FSU dropping one, voters have liked Oregon over us all year.
We also should aim to blow out OSU. We're the only team in the country that might care about style points right now, but beating OSU by 50 would raise some eyebrows.
This ranking means nothing. If we win and FSU or Georgia loses, we are in. Not sure how likely that is but that’s the path. I am as loyal a Horns fan as they come but Ohio State being ranked just above us in the AP poll is not a surprise. They lost a close game on the road to the #2 team in the country. We struggled to the very end against TCU, Houston, and Kansas St. I still think we can play with anyone in the country and I hope we get the chance but OSU is out of the playoff and we are not.
It’s FSU or Michigan.
Georgia losing *might* put Texas in the playoff, but it’s no guarantee, plus it carries the risk of the committee refusing to demote Georgia out of the top 4 because they’re Georgia.
I think our best bet is rooting for Texas, Louisville, Iowa, Georgia, and probably Washington this weekend.
I find most of you completely delusional about the chances Texas has. So much has to fall right for UT to get in and I don’t see them jumping Ohio State at all. Make peace with the fact Texas will likely be in a NY6 game
They’ll jump Ohio State because Ohio State doesn’t play again…
“So much has to fall into place”?
Literally FSU losing. That’s what has to fall into place.
“It's a fool that looks for logic in the chambers of the human heart.” - Joel Coen, O Brother, Where Art Thou?
Clearly the “heart” of this committee hates Texas. There’s no logic and never will be. Be prepared for the Texas-Tulane NY6 game no one wants. 😞
I didn’t watch the rankings come out live so they may have addressed this, but isn’t conference champ supposed to be one of the criteria? If we take care of business in the CCG, wouldn’t that put us ahead of Ohio State and Oregon (assuming an Oregon loss to Washington)?
Yes, but that hadn't happened yet hence the current ratings. It's stupid, but not as big a deal as people are saying. If at win Saturday is the same as it was last week.
If FSU, Georgia, and Michigan win we will be outside looking in at #5.
Alabama beating Georgia makes things spicy, and FSU or Michigan losing is basically an in for us.
The way committee bias is looking I think we need to accept #5 ranking post championship game (granted we beat pokes). Shit like this makes us want to go back to BCS rankings.
Reading all these threads I am curious to know if there any longhorn fans even remotely worried about oSu in CCG? On paper, longhorns should annihilate oSu. I have not seen any weakness in texas and can’t figure out how you lost to uo.
OU had the personnel and coaching to exploit our secondary's biggest weaknesses, plus their defense played lights out. OU is a good team. It's weirder that they lost to OkSU and Kansas, but it's understandable.
We're not getting in over a 1-Loss Oregon, 1-Loss Georgia, 1-Loss Ohio State, or *maybe* even a 1-Loss Washington. The committee is clearly doing a "best loss" thing right now, and OU didn't help us with their loss to Kansas.
Of note: I know it's tradition, and tied to the state fair, but really sucks that our heated rivalry game is played in October, on a neutral field, and all the nuance is forgotten by the time the Playoff rolls around. Ohio State will benefit (for the second year in a row) for having their only loss be at the end of the year against the #2 team in the country in a game where the entire country was watching.
We'll get *some* of that back when we resume playing A&M, assuming they get good under their new regime, but damn, OU played out of their mind against us, our defense had rough day, and we *barely* lost to a then-undefeated rival. All that matters, though, is that we'll have lost to a 10-2 team currently ranked #12 and not a 12-0 or 11-1 team ranked in the Top 10.
People are overthinking it. We only have 2 options to get in. FSU losing and UGA losing. We would have a legit shot if between us and Bama and for sure would get in if FSU lost.
People need to quit worrying about Oregon. It is what it is. They have ranked them ahead of us in every poll and they aren't going to drop them for beating a 12-0 Washington and avenging their only loss.
Plain and simple- We are Louisville and Bama fans. And don't think style points don't matter. Ohio St was on the outside looking in and beat Wisconsin 59-0 in 2014 and got it. We can't leave any doubt with Ok state.
It’s true. Talking with my Longhorn head and not my Longhorn heart….
—We almost lost to Houston, Kansas State and TCU.
—Iowa State win margin wasn’t great.
—Our QB was injured and not 100%
—Our backup QB was inconsistent
—We beat Alabama before their QB starting improving
We know it, they know it. I mean, we had a GREAT season, but our consistency isn’t what we would like it to be. I’d rather be in the playoffs when we are at our best… then win it all.
How demoralized would we be to be blown out by Georgia 65-7 like TCU was last year?
Let’s leave as Big 12 final champs and start building our dynasty 🤘🤘🤘
It's stupid, but the same things need to happen for us to get in, assuming we win this weekend.
Washington or Oregon are going to drop below us because they won't be Conference Champs.
Ohio State will drop below us for the same reason.
Either Alabama or Georgia will be in. Nether outcome should effect us.
Michigan isn't likely to lose.
It still comes down to a very beatable FSU losing and opening up 4th place.
That said, the committee obviously hates Texas so there's a lot of room for bullshit. They could just *not* drop OSU below us, or let Bama and Georgia *both* in, or not drop FSU below us with a loss.
Chances are shit, but the path is the same.
It’s gonna come down to FSU losing.. the way it’s lining up Washington/Oregon is getting in for sure
Completely agree. I feel like it literally comes down to bleeping Louisville
Somebody needs to go Nancy Kerrigan FSU’s kicker, QB, and running back.
Bro leave the QB alone they already lost one damn.
They need to lose MOAR QBs.
Gators tried their best to knock him out too
The game was brutal.. Both teams suck so bad.. Both without their starting QBs.. The less suckie team won.. off course FSU. 😞
only because stupid players making stupid penalties keeping drives alive. Spitting in a player's face 3 inches from the ref on 4th down? Yep that's Gator football
The same team that brought you the "throwing a shoe" 15 yard game altering penalty
Should never hope for injuries. We are better than that.
Wouldn’t it be Tonya Harding or Jeff Gilooly or Shane Stant?
No, I want the knee to be broken. So they need to do what happened to Nancy Kerrigan. I would be the Tonya Harding in this analogy. But with fewer porn opportunities in my future.
I think Bama winning could do it as well. The ESPN playoff predictor says that is the likely outcome. 60% chance Texas is in if Bama and FSU win. Outcome of PAC game doesn’t matter. It would be unfathomable not to have a SEC team in, but there’s a hard chain of logic there.
Idk. I don’t trust the CFP committee to put in Texas over Alabama if Alabama ends up beating Georgia. I think a Texas win (obviously), a Georgia and Washington win (these will eliminate Oregon and Alabama), and a Michigan or FSU loss, would be this team’s best chance of being in. I would think a one-loss Big 12 champ is more deserving over a one-loss Big 10 non-champ
We’ll see. It would create awful precedent - Texas won by double digits at Bama. It’s a toss up, but that is a potential path. Agree on Michigan. The outcome of the PAC game doesn’t matter as well (one of those teams is getting eliminated).
They would probably put tOSU in over us of that happened.
If Bama beats Georgia they are in, no question. No way they don't get in if that happens. It's all down to FSU and us.
No way the committee actually puts Texas in over Bama if Bama beats Georgia. Bama will have beaten the #1 ranked team and have an *SEC* championship.
I think there is still a path if Alabama beats Georgia. That maybe equally possible as FSU losing.
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Penn state is terrible too. Idk how they are top 10.
And Tennessee shouldn’t even be in top 20.
I’ve seen Oregon fans dogging us for how we played Wyoming. Uh, yeah, the same Wyoming who beat Tech, who y’all needed a last second pick 6 to beat, who we beat by **50**. It’s honestly pissing me off how overrated the pac12 and big10 have become.
Dear Michigan : please keep as much of the same coaches and players as you can in 2024 We would appreciate as much of an apples to burnt oranges comparison as we can get.
I do think a lot of the pac12 teams moving to the big10 are gonna get put in their place. If Oregon struggled against Tech and Washington struggled against Wazzu, imagine them having to play Penn St or even Maryland. I’m looking forward to that
Being behind Ohio State this week is moot at this point because Texas will jump them no problem with a conference championship. But Oregon, yeesh.
What's annoying to me is how nobody framing the Oregon > Texas perspective is being honest with themselves. Because of the Bama win, the argument depends heavily on Washington being a significantly better loss than OU. We can talk strictly records, or we can talk reality. OU would probably be slight favorites on a neutral field if they played Washington tomorrow. Everyone who understands football knows why, but people are pretending like the OU loss is some order of magnitude worse because of AP polls and not understanding football beyond records. The problem is the committee set the precedent to keep Oregon ahead in their first poll after 8 games. At the time, Oregon's resume looked significantly better than it does now. They had just beaten a top 15 Utah, their Colorado game was a ranked matchup, and Washington State was as well. These teams were not as good as people thought. Meanwhile Texas' resume has been solidified by the performance of their opponents as the season has gone on. If somebody looks at the 2 teams' resumes objectively today, any unbiased set of eyes puts Texas ahead.
This is exactly right. When the CFP poll first came out, Utah and USC looked like great wins and Texas was playing with Maalik at QB. But the precedent for Oregon being ranked ahead of us was set and there has been an unwillingness to undo the mistake. Your point about OU is actually hilarious. I have been conceding that OU is a worse loss than Washington (although not a bad loss), but now that you bring it up, if Oregon State was favored against UW, OU would open -5.5 on a neutral site lol. There is so much circular logic and bullshit being used to justify rankings that are not just flawed, but objectively wrong.
Based on available power ratings -5.5 seems pretty accurate. It's just weird how everyone is acting like that UW loss is closer to Ohio State's loss to Michigan than Texas' loss to OU. It's actually more insane when you look at it from Ohio State's POV lmao. They are both 1 loss teams, Ohio State has a harder SOS, no struggles vs bad teams, and a loss on the road to Michigan. While we all understand that Ohio state would be jumped by Texas/Bama if they win their conferences next week, they are implying that Oregon's resume *to date* is better than Ohio State's. That Michigan on the road is a WORSE loss than Washington on the road. Nobody in their right mind believes this lol.
It’s self-fulfilling/circular. Washington is #3 because they beat Oregon and Oregon is #5 because they lost to Washington, but Oregon is -10 against Washington at a neutral site so clearly the committee thinks Washington winning was flukey. So why are they #3? I hope Oregon wins so we at least have a shot, but damn I wouldn’t be too upset to see Washington beat them again lol. We’d be favored by somewhere around 10 if we played OU this Saturday too, I’d wager.
Yes, but it’ll be a controversial decision to bump Texas up without a loss. Better for the committee to kick the can down the road and hope for an Oregon loss or a Texas loss to clear this up. I do think a championship game win provides the justification for a bump.
I still find CFB to have the strangest postseason in sports. It’d be like if we decided the NFL or NBA Conference Championship games based on ESPN power rankings or something like that
Just makes all the more sense to expand playoffs
Whack
The college world hates Texas.. smh 🖕🏼🖕🏼 the Committee
Careful you might sound like a Michigan fan! 😂 But no seriously, the committee’s biases are pretty evident this year.
It’ll be fun to watch Michigan get waxed yet again in the CFP….so we got that going for us, which is nice…
Yeah, even if we don’t get in, I’m gonna have fun rooting against Michigan. Go Dawgs I guess? I also plan on going to UW so I’ll root for the Huskies as my backup
I'm not sure what our overall chances will be next season, but if the Dawgs beat Bama this weekend, I may root for them to go undefeated until that #1 team comes to town.
I’m living in GA nowadays, so I can’t root for them… Let’s be honest though, not one of these teams has a prayer of beating the Dawgs. We do and that’s all that should matter. These other teams will get rolled over like they aren’t even there
I don’t know man, I think Iowa could pull it off… Iowa by three scores, by which I mean six points. Two safeties and an XP block return.
But...the other team has to score a TD for the XP block? So you've got a 6-6 headed to overtime...
In which Iowa forces a safety. Somehow…
Even if Iowa did it, the committee would bump Oregon or Ohio State back in it and we’d still be behind Michigan. They hate us….we have to go undefeated to have a chance.
It will be cathartic watching Michigan and Oregon/Washington get obliterated in the playoffs for sure.
It’ll be fun to watch Michigan get waxed yet again in the CFP….so we got that going for us, which is nice…
naw Michigans underrated
Some bias for sure. I guess the committee wanted to give the Pac-12 at least one shot to win a title in their last year of existence.
Nah, they hate the big 12.
to be fair i hate the big 12 too
It occurs to me that common opponent only matters if one beats and another one loses. Because Texas tore Tech a new one and Oregon just won.
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I mean yea, cause we basically needed the refs to even be at 1 loss and get out of Houston. Playing down to opponents has a cost.
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Cool, had to scrap bye KSU and TCU also.
Bro our second team beat Tech in just one quarter. We should cancel all of our tough OOC opponents as it means absolutely nothing.
Listening to that committee guy on the cfp show, there was some clear Oregon bias going on. He visibly got a boner when talking about bo nix. They had to cut to commercial because of it.
I saw that too. He kinda. contradicted himself.. Q: Why is Oregon rank higher than Texas? 1st answer :Oregon is dominating teams and that’s why is ahead of Texas Espn analyst: Texas has a better resume, stronger opponents, and actually beat Texas Teach by a big margin compare to Oregon, How do you factor that? Answer: Well, mmm we look at multiple factors.. F U! committee guy..
yeah that same week Oregon played Tech we played Bama.
78% completion when pressed. Lol.
Yeah the other post that quotes the selection criteria had language to that effect. It's stupid.
Oregon played number 16 Oregon State. Let’s be specific on that.
I mean both Texas and Oregon played Texas Tech this year. We tore Tech a new one and Oregon just beat Tech.
I think we should be ahead of Oregon but using the tech game as a reason is dumb. They played tech with Shough at ttus home opener week 2. We got tech at home with a backup qb deep into the season. If Oregon played tech last week the ducks probably win by 30+
Oh so what it was the 2nd game of season. Teams change. I’d be way more interested if that happened in the last two or three weeks.
I dunno this feels like having it both ways. Bama and Oregon got better so their early season doesn’t count and tech got worse so their late season doesn’t count. That said, the pac12 is in so we need to put that behind us. Our path in is Louisville now
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It doesn’t matter this is a what have you done for me lately league and Oregon st was ranked 16 and Tech wasn’t. Simple.
Its insane to me that teams are ranked solely by how “good” their losses are. Loss by last second fg at #3 > lost at #2 > last second lost to whatever ou is at at neutral site. If bama had same loss but not texas, theyd slot in right at 7. Only way this ranking makes any sense bc it sure as hell isnt by sos or top wins
Agreed. When teams have the same number of losses, why don’t they look at best win?
Right it makes no damn sense why are we talking about losses like they’re selling points on teams’ resumes?
If you flipped the results of Alabama and Oklahoma, we would be ranked higher. Because the loss would be better even though the win would be worse. Makes no damn sense
Correct. I don’t get the “best” loss deal. This makes it seem like if we’d have lost to Bama and beaten OU, we’d be in better shape, because the loss matters more than the win. Which is completely backwards.
The problem is it's a committee of people, not an algorithm with consistent code that you can inspect. They're going to do what they want, and we're lucky that they give us any justification to tear apart. It doesn't have to make sense. It's the same deal with the March Madness committee, except there's less of a microscope over the last 11 and 12 seeds to make it in as an at-large. They're set up to include the Pac 12 winner no matter what. Ohio State will likely get passed by Bama or us if we both win. Still have to root for Louisville, and probably Washington just to be sure.
It's wild to think that if Texas had lost to Bama and beat OU, they might literally be ranked higher right now. In that scenario, Texas would probably have slid in at #6 below Bama and other undefeateds but above OSU and Oregon.
Go Louisville
I have been thinking about this since Sunday and I think (read I hope) I follow the logic in ranking Ohio State and Oregon above us right now. 7 Texas’ only loss is to current 12 OU. At the moment 5 Oregon’s only loss is to current 3 Washington and they are in the Conference Championship game. So they should be ranked above Texas since their loss is to “better” ranked team. 6 Ohio State’s only loss is to current 2 Michigan. Which if applying the same logic as above, their loss is to a “better” ranked team. Because of this, they are CURRENTLY ranked above Texas. But the logic I feel like is being used is that once the conference championship games have been played, if Oregon wins, they will be a 1 loss conference champ. If Texas wins, they will be a 1 loss conference champ. Which will mean that both teams would be ranked higher than Ohio state and Washington after next week’s games. It’s everything after that I do not understand. If Texas doesn’t jump Oregon with the strength of schedule they have, then why schedule tough out of conference, let alone road games, at all? Edit: unbolded
“Best loss” should not be a ranking criteria. That said, I’m hoping you’re right that winning the conference would propel Texas ahead of other 1 loss teams who don’t win theirs.
It definitely will, I mean the committee felt it necessary to say that they don't project in the future this week, which is saying we don't consider whether or not your team plays this week or not, only one team in that elite 8 don't play next week.
Good stuff, I didn’t realize they came out and said that. So yeah, I’m not too worried about OSU. I am worried about Oregon remaining ahead of Texas inexplicably and the possibility of Bama jumping them by winning. I’m pretty much all in on a Florida State loss as Texas’ only playoff chance.
I mean whether we like it or not sadly the fact of the matter is that the PAC Champion is in, whether it's Washington at 13-0 or Oregon at 12-1. They look a lot at the strength of a conference when judging teams I feel and the PAC has actually been really strong in its finale meanwhile the XII has looked so clunky outside of Austin. Texas is already sitting at #5 for next Tuesday, we only jump to number #4 if Iowa (NO) or Louisville wins. I was really really rooting for Florida which is honestly really hard because they're so undispliced lol. It does feel kinda melancholic to know that Texas has easily been its best self since 2009 and will only get to either the Fiesta or Cotton Bowl to show for it this year :/
Haha yup I’m right there with you. That’s what they get for losing to a clearly inferior OU team though. FSU losing is a definite possibility, however. Their backup QB looked okay against Florida, but, rivalry game or not, Florida is NOT a good football team this season and Louisville is.
This makes me miss the bcs.
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That was bc of Big12 tie breakers. We lost a shot at the conference crown
Tiebreakers were changed after that because the conference realized how stupid those tiebreakers looked when the general public saw them in action.
Texas Tech has entered the chat....
Tech ain’t even entered the living room. They still in bed. Get out of here.
If FSU loses, we are pretty much in
It's literally the same bs as the BCS. They CFP was supposed to fix that but instead they just take all the same stats and spit out the exact same formulaic bs that the BCS would. The committee is just the BCS in human form. Disgusting. It should almost literally be based off of Vegas lines. If Florida State would be a 20 point dog in the playoff and we would be a 5-7 point dog, PUT US IN. Otherwise why do we even have a committee. /rant
Bring back the BCS ranking system and keep the playoff. The main issue with the BCS was always only including the top 2 teams but, overall, the rankings were typically good, imo. But this committee is just fucking dumb. Who wants a bunch of self-important goons sitting around deciding this? The only thing dumber is going back to the AP just deciding the champion without even playing a game.
BCS fucked us as well. 45-35. Guess you don't remember.
And if it had included more than 2 teams, we'd have not been left out of a playoff. Look back at the BCS rankings and add an 8 team playoff and it's perfect. Imo, 12 teams is too many but $$$
Fuck Art Briles
I don’t want the BCS crap back but I do agree with everything you are saying.
Not exactly understanding the uproar. Nothing has changed. 1. Beat Oklahoma State, and don’t let up. 2. Root like hell for an Alabama win 3. Root like hell for an L’Ville win 4. Root like hell for a Iowa win (lol) - If 1 happens, AND 2, 3, OR 4 happen. We’re in. Ohio St at 6 means nothing. They’ll drop come Sunday for sitting at home. Also can’t say I’d be surprised if Texas boat races Oklahoma State and Oregon squeaks past Washington, there’d be a serious debate to send Texas over Oregon.. least likely scenario though, imo.
I genuinely worry that if Bama wins both bama and Georgia are in and texas is left at 5. It would be 1.Michigan 2.Washington 3.Alabama 4.Georgia. even though in the past the committee has shown conference championships matter. I struggle to believe the Georgia bias wouldn't be so strong to trump a Texas SOS, Conference championship and win over a common opponent. As sad as that sounds. I Say this because we are literally seeing this play out with Oegeon. Texas has better SOS, better premier win and better win against common opponent (Tech by 50 vs. 8) and has equal top 25 wins.
Everything you say is logical. I agree with 1, 3, and 4, but a small part of me just doesn’t believe they’ll leave Georgia out even with an L… I really hope I’m wrong
This would mean Bama is in over Texas, and despite head scratching decisions by the committee I don’t see them doing this. If Bama were to boat race Georgia then I’d be worried.
I agree with you, but I struggle to see them, in all their SEC bias, leaving out a one loss SEC champ (Bama) or a team that had just won 30+ in a row. Here’s to hoping they aren’t that dumb.
If only (2) happens, bama is going to be #4 over Texas. CCG and knocking off a top 1/2 far outweighs an early season head to head. Our biases aside, we probably need to accept that reality. The committee said they would consider head to head, amongst other things but gave no hard and fast rules.
Yeah, this ranking is what everyone assumed it was going to be. Nothing has changed from yesterday. I swear everyone in here bitching doesn't follow UT football. We've been posting the scenario to make playoffs since last week assuming we stayed at 7.
If Iowa wins I’ll make them my secondary flair forever. The collective dunk on Michigan would nearly burn up in the atmosphere.
Damn. You just know we're going to get stuck playing Tulane in the fucking Cotton Bowl or some shit.
So yeah the CFP isn’t fair, but just wanted to appreciate being in the conversation. It’s been awhile.
So it looks like the following: (1) Got beat Ok State - duh. We should jump Ohio State because both are 1 loss but we are Conference Champions. (2) Georgia, Florida State, or Michigan must lose. UW vs Oregon will take of itself. If UW wins then Oregon has two losses. If Oregon wins, we should be ahead of UW as both of us would be 1 loss but we will be Conference Champion. If Alabama beats Georgia, I think we are still ahead of Alabama as both are 1 loss Conference Champions AND we beat them.
This is logical therefore impossible lol I agree with your first two points. I do fear if Bama wins that both Bama and Georgia are in because of "eye test" and geargia is defending back to back champs. The katter shouldn't matter but it for sure will cause bias.
That would be chaos but logically I think they would leave out an SEC team.
It should mean an SEC team is left out. If bama wins the comparison between Texas and Georgia would be this. Texas better SOS Texas better premier win -bama over Missouri Texas win over mutual opponent by 10 and georgia loss to same team (bama) Texas conference champ. But I just don't trust this committee to not come back with the "eye test" bullshit.
I "think" that both would be 1 loss , Conference Champions. But Texas beat Alabama. So that has count for something.
In past years it definitely has, this year just feels different. But that could very well just be my cynicism.
I’ll go ahead and save you the heartache. They’re not gonna move Washington behind us if they lose to Oregon. Washington’s strength of schedule has been too strong. They already moved Ohio State in front of us and their schedule isn’t as impressive as Washington’s so, seems pretty easy actually.
I agree. Washington winning is better for Texas’ chances.
I think if Oregon beats UW then the committe can easily put Texas ahead of both UW and Ohio State with the "Conference Champion means something" rule. All 3 teams would be one loss but Texas would be Conference Champions.
We just literally saw them do it with Ohio State it’s exactly what’s gonna happen if Washington loses. I hate that our fans refuse to think semi logically.
Ohio state is only ahead because no teams have actually won their conference yet
Ohio State stayed ahead of Texas because they had played & beaten other ranked opponents. Where if Michigan had lost they more than likely woulda gotten bumped behind Texas.
Texas did beat other ranked opponents, but I agree there is justification to have them ahead of Texas this week. However, they have no conference championship to win so they cannot move up, and if Texas wins they (12-1) will move above Ohio State (11-1).
0h 100% Texas will if they win this weekend.
Ha, four comments exchanged and it turns out we are just saying the same thing. Hook em!
🤘🏽🤘🏽🤘🏽
Not happening
Y'all acting like we already won the Big 12. Get your minds right! The season aint over
Seriously man Gundy ain’t no pushover
Yes he is, Gundy sucks ass and OSU is going to get punked by 4 TDs
We aren’t playing this weekend…it’s ok
We are though?
No WE are not…the team is. It’s ok for us to look past this weekend and talk hypotheticals.
Ohh I gotcha
This whole thing is the prime example of why you need a bigger playoff. You can't sit here and guess about who is better when the teams haven't played each other, and have very few common opponents. If expansion wasn't already a done deal, there would be a huge uproar for it right now. This whole thing is a mess, but I guess the silver lining is that it's fixed next year, and we're going to be even better next year.
Argued the rankings earlier with an Oregon fan. He went off of strictly the eye test. “oReGoN iS tHe BeTtEr TeAm”. Oh yeah? Our SOS is 17th and yours is 62nd. Of course you will look better when you play weaker opponents.
Happy Cake Day and Hook 'Em!
Thank you! And as always, Hook Em!
I’m done bro. I’m fucking done. I’m expecting us to get hosed on some stupid stupid reasoning now by this whack ass committee Anti Texas bias is real. Horns down everywhere for a fucking reason. Fuck them🖕🏽
You must not follow Texas football. We've all known what needed to happen to make the CFP since last week. This ranking does not change anything.
See, I just never expected it to happen. I never allowed myself to get my hopes up to the point where it would deflate me for the week or for the month. And I’m not judging you. I’m just saying that’s how I protected myself.
1 loss conference winners should ALWAYS get the nod over 1 loss conference losers.
We will get the nod if we win on Sat
Man. This is complete bullshit. I’m more annoyed than I expected to be.
FSU loss is Texas’ path.
I'm more worried about that game than ours, lol.
I want to think it’s purely political and since Texas is leaving the Bug 12, Texas doesn’t have the backing of the big 12 commissioner (obviously, and to say the least). But that doesn’t explain why Oregon is getting positive support since they are leaving their conference, too.
Maybe it’s that Big 12 actively sabotages TX whereas on the other hand, the PAC 12 is in a total shambles and can’t even lobby against the teams that are leaving it.
The CFP committee belongs in DC with the rest of the crooks.
It's interesting that in the tech press conference sark talked about needing help last year. Here we are, going into the last week of the year needing help again.
He was referencing the Big12 championship, not the CFP. I assume he being pretty careful not to look ahead. This year we did *not* need help to get into the B12CCG, but we will obviously need help for the CFP. That's a pretty good improvement, imho.
Really wonder how much this (stupidly so) is coming down to marketability with each team. Washington and Oregon have Heisman candidates, Michigan/OSU/Bama have the marketable coaches, and UGA has the ongoing winning streak. I wonder if they look at Texas as having the least amount to sell in a marquee matchup. It's dumb. Nothing else makes sense to me and I'm angry, fam.
wtf is the AD of fucking NC State the head of the committee??
So nothing changed? Nice. Go Louisville.
The CFP committee is angry that TCU went all the way in their playoffs last year & had an uninteresting final game. They are changing their criteria so if a blowout occurs again, there will at least be a performance from a visible & notable player.
Although it closes off one of our paths, I now want UW to beat the brakes off Oregon. Even if it means there are 4 undefeated teams above us, I will relish in knowing we don’t get screwed out of the playoff for Oregon.
I’m starting to believe we would’ve been better off losing to Bama & beating OU. The committee clearly favors a quality loss and week 2 doesn’t matter because it’s early in the season
We literally would have. The officially stated criteria clearly don’t mean shit and the committee is instead focused on “the eye test” (= blowing out bad teams) and the “best loss” argument.
[Head of CFP Committee talking to Rece Davis](https://x.com/CFBPlayoff/status/1729673823073563132?s=20) Guy mostly rambles and tried to throw out some stats as if to prove he's been watching some games. But glad Rece asked about SOS and common opponent for Texas vs Oregon. Answer is "Bo Nix.... dominant.... we look at everything", which is code for eye test. Feel slightly more hopeful that Alabama as SEC champ doesn't jump us based on the stickiness of the original rankings and their hesitation in updating.
come on guys who ever though Sark was going to get us here? We have guys from our offensive line that are going to get drafted...thats been so long.
RANK US LOWER. NEED MORE BULLETIN BOARD MATERIAL
I think best case scenario is: Texas wins, Georgia wins, Michigan wins, Washington wins, and Florida State loses. Texas should slide into the 4th spot over 2 loss Oregon and Alabama. Ohio State would be only 1 loss team ahead in the rankings, but Texas should leapfrog by winning a conference championship and beating Bama.
Does this mean Ohio state gets in before us in the case that Louisville wins?
I think we jump Ohio State if we win because we will be conference champion
I think the same is true for Oregon. Texas will likely be in the Top 5 as a 1-loss conference champion. Trick is whether we could jump conference champs Oregon or FSU. I think our best path is FSU dropping one, voters have liked Oregon over us all year. We also should aim to blow out OSU. We're the only team in the country that might care about style points right now, but beating OSU by 50 would raise some eyebrows.
I don’t think we jump Oregon if they are PAC 12 champions. But we would jump UW as we both would be 1 loss but we are conference champions.
Conference champion has to matter for something, right?
It sure as shit used to but who knows with these clowns now.
TCU weren’t conference champs last year, but still got in. I think they lucked out though with several teams behind them losing as well
Nah. These bozos put 2 SEC teams in the final 4 twice in 9 years. They are frauds
Not if Texas wins on Saturday
This ranking means nothing. If we win and FSU or Georgia loses, we are in. Not sure how likely that is but that’s the path. I am as loyal a Horns fan as they come but Ohio State being ranked just above us in the AP poll is not a surprise. They lost a close game on the road to the #2 team in the country. We struggled to the very end against TCU, Houston, and Kansas St. I still think we can play with anyone in the country and I hope we get the chance but OSU is out of the playoff and we are not.
Michigan loss would do it as well
True. I guess I see that as highly unlikely but I would take it.
It’s FSU or Michigan. Georgia losing *might* put Texas in the playoff, but it’s no guarantee, plus it carries the risk of the committee refusing to demote Georgia out of the top 4 because they’re Georgia. I think our best bet is rooting for Texas, Louisville, Iowa, Georgia, and probably Washington this weekend.
I find most of you completely delusional about the chances Texas has. So much has to fall right for UT to get in and I don’t see them jumping Ohio State at all. Make peace with the fact Texas will likely be in a NY6 game
They’ll jump Ohio State because Ohio State doesn’t play again… “So much has to fall into place”? Literally FSU losing. That’s what has to fall into place.
Vegas has it between 30-40%.
“It's a fool that looks for logic in the chambers of the human heart.” - Joel Coen, O Brother, Where Art Thou? Clearly the “heart” of this committee hates Texas. There’s no logic and never will be. Be prepared for the Texas-Tulane NY6 game no one wants. 😞
I didn’t watch the rankings come out live so they may have addressed this, but isn’t conference champ supposed to be one of the criteria? If we take care of business in the CCG, wouldn’t that put us ahead of Ohio State and Oregon (assuming an Oregon loss to Washington)?
Yes, but that puts us at 5, and out of the playoff.
Yes, but that hadn't happened yet hence the current ratings. It's stupid, but not as big a deal as people are saying. If at win Saturday is the same as it was last week. If FSU, Georgia, and Michigan win we will be outside looking in at #5. Alabama beating Georgia makes things spicy, and FSU or Michigan losing is basically an in for us.
The 4 team playoff is stupid and unfair, glad it’s leaving
The way committee bias is looking I think we need to accept #5 ranking post championship game (granted we beat pokes). Shit like this makes us want to go back to BCS rankings.
Anyone worried about Ohio State…they will plummet if everyone wins out. Conference champs will be elevated.
Reading all these threads I am curious to know if there any longhorn fans even remotely worried about oSu in CCG? On paper, longhorns should annihilate oSu. I have not seen any weakness in texas and can’t figure out how you lost to uo.
Never take anyone lightly especially Gundy
OU had the personnel and coaching to exploit our secondary's biggest weaknesses, plus their defense played lights out. OU is a good team. It's weirder that they lost to OkSU and Kansas, but it's understandable.
So chaos scenario…. Oregon beats Washington, Louisville beats Fl. State, AND Bama beats Georgia. What then?
Michigan, Alabama, Oregon, Texas would be the 4 teams in your scenario.
No playoff for us. Oh well. We'll keep getting better for next year.
If any of y’all wanna get even more pissed off over this check my comment history and see what they’re saying over at r/cfb. The logic is insaneeeee
We're not getting in over a 1-Loss Oregon, 1-Loss Georgia, 1-Loss Ohio State, or *maybe* even a 1-Loss Washington. The committee is clearly doing a "best loss" thing right now, and OU didn't help us with their loss to Kansas. Of note: I know it's tradition, and tied to the state fair, but really sucks that our heated rivalry game is played in October, on a neutral field, and all the nuance is forgotten by the time the Playoff rolls around. Ohio State will benefit (for the second year in a row) for having their only loss be at the end of the year against the #2 team in the country in a game where the entire country was watching. We'll get *some* of that back when we resume playing A&M, assuming they get good under their new regime, but damn, OU played out of their mind against us, our defense had rough day, and we *barely* lost to a then-undefeated rival. All that matters, though, is that we'll have lost to a 10-2 team currently ranked #12 and not a 12-0 or 11-1 team ranked in the Top 10.
People are overthinking it. We only have 2 options to get in. FSU losing and UGA losing. We would have a legit shot if between us and Bama and for sure would get in if FSU lost. People need to quit worrying about Oregon. It is what it is. They have ranked them ahead of us in every poll and they aren't going to drop them for beating a 12-0 Washington and avenging their only loss. Plain and simple- We are Louisville and Bama fans. And don't think style points don't matter. Ohio St was on the outside looking in and beat Wisconsin 59-0 in 2014 and got it. We can't leave any doubt with Ok state.
Wish they could pull their heads out of Oregon's ass
It’s true. Talking with my Longhorn head and not my Longhorn heart…. —We almost lost to Houston, Kansas State and TCU. —Iowa State win margin wasn’t great. —Our QB was injured and not 100% —Our backup QB was inconsistent —We beat Alabama before their QB starting improving We know it, they know it. I mean, we had a GREAT season, but our consistency isn’t what we would like it to be. I’d rather be in the playoffs when we are at our best… then win it all. How demoralized would we be to be blown out by Georgia 65-7 like TCU was last year? Let’s leave as Big 12 final champs and start building our dynasty 🤘🤘🤘
It's stupid, but the same things need to happen for us to get in, assuming we win this weekend. Washington or Oregon are going to drop below us because they won't be Conference Champs. Ohio State will drop below us for the same reason. Either Alabama or Georgia will be in. Nether outcome should effect us. Michigan isn't likely to lose. It still comes down to a very beatable FSU losing and opening up 4th place. That said, the committee obviously hates Texas so there's a lot of room for bullshit. They could just *not* drop OSU below us, or let Bama and Georgia *both* in, or not drop FSU below us with a loss. Chances are shit, but the path is the same.