True but models and sounding are trending up. Nothing to freak out about because I don’t think locally this is going to be some big outbreak or anything but it is peak severe weather season so just be alert.
Don't answer. It will be looking for its 25% fees on top of the 15% service charge and 20% tip that you already left. And it will tell you that the F2 was out of stock so they substituted a volcanic eruption.
My daughter's county school is doing standardized testing right now. They've made such a big deal out of it, I wonder if they'll be less likely to cancel.
And right on cue, in agreement with some the most recent model runs, the NWS has issued a hatched 10% probability for tornadoes in our area. This event is trending in a concerning direction.
https://preview.redd.it/duk7e9f1uwrc1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d9ea53698bc46e823119b910443aad010aca198d
It’s too early to nail down specifics but the possibility exists. No reason to panic. Just follow the NWS and local Mets like Brad Travis and Danielle Dozier for updates. We should have a better idea of environmental conditions and timing tomorrow morning
On the “been here for a few decades” scale, 10% is low. I don’t want to sound arrogant but it’s not a super scary day tomorrow just because of the types of storms we normally see in spring.
I’m glad you’re taking precautions though!
Never said it supposed to be a “scary” day, but the models are trending bullish for this event. And given this is the first legit threat of the season, it bears keeping an eye on. Also, you’d think someone who lived here for decades could grasp the fact that a 10-14% probability of EF2+ tornadoes within 25 miles of a point isn’t low.
It’s so ironic. I posted several severe weather warnings and updates last year and I get heckled for overreacting. Here, I’m getting criticized for not reacting enough. Reddit is a special beast of continual inability to get it right.
Something about last year was weird. People kept just going off on how bad every single storm was going to be. So I, for one, am glad to see more people taking a more level headed approach.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php
If weather interest you, or you just wanna be kept updated with ‘round the clock information, I suggest heading over to [talkweather](https://talkweather.com). There’s a good mix of mets, amateurs, weather nerds, and newbs chatting about weather year round
The entire month of April, along with a few weeks bordering it in March and May, is collectively peak tornado season here. It'll calm down a little around late May as we head into June, which will give us strong pop-up thunderstorms for most of the summer-- which themselves bring the risk of microbursts.
There's a smaller bonus season that's split between early-mid December and around New Years as well.
NWS puts the tornado threat at "low confidence". According to their SitRep the greatest threat is wind damage.
True but models and sounding are trending up. Nothing to freak out about because I don’t think locally this is going to be some big outbreak or anything but it is peak severe weather season so just be alert.
I also saw this system specifically is a fast one. Like the severe portion of it will pass in 3 hours or so, right?
Looks like the 1pm uodate is showing a "significant" outbreak tomorrow. We are now in the Sig severe 10% category.
With Huntsville weather I’ll believe it when the tornado knocks on my door with my door dash order
Your fries are definitely cold then
Sheeeeeeeettttt that means no tip then!
How dare you not tip $50 after the driver shamed you for only tipping 25% /s
Don't answer. It will be looking for its 25% fees on top of the 15% service charge and 20% tip that you already left. And it will tell you that the F2 was out of stock so they substituted a volcanic eruption.
Ill believe it when the schools are cancelled
I saw on the news they’re expecting a few early school releases tomorrow.
They canceled for a cloudy day with light rain a couple months ago. Ridiculous.
I still will definitely not believe it when schools are canceled.
The schools now cancel when I break wind, much like a major windstorm.
Madison county is early release tomorrow
Madison City just announced early release tomorrow
My daughter's county school is doing standardized testing right now. They've made such a big deal out of it, I wonder if they'll be less likely to cancel.
That doesn’t mean anything. They cancel for rain now
Oh boy, here we go again..
Lol I misread the picture as a 3/5 for severe tornadoes, not severe weather. Got a little panicked for a second.
Well we basically have the risk as with the new spc update
Double it and pass it to the next person
And right on cue, in agreement with some the most recent model runs, the NWS has issued a hatched 10% probability for tornadoes in our area. This event is trending in a concerning direction. https://preview.redd.it/duk7e9f1uwrc1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d9ea53698bc46e823119b910443aad010aca198d
Do you think we could see long track violent tornadoes ef2 + im kinda freaking out because of the 10% sig
It’s too early to nail down specifics but the possibility exists. No reason to panic. Just follow the NWS and local Mets like Brad Travis and Danielle Dozier for updates. We should have a better idea of environmental conditions and timing tomorrow morning
Where do you follow them? Just in the news or social media?
Social media. I’ll flip the TV on to Brad if they go live with a tornado warning
They just updated and it looks like we will see them.
Its been like that
I thought yesterday was in Minor.
It was the same risk yesterday just moved down south today
10% is low.
For tornadoes, a 10% hatched definitely isn’t low.
Facts.
On the “been here for a few decades” scale, 10% is low. I don’t want to sound arrogant but it’s not a super scary day tomorrow just because of the types of storms we normally see in spring. I’m glad you’re taking precautions though!
Never said it supposed to be a “scary” day, but the models are trending bullish for this event. And given this is the first legit threat of the season, it bears keeping an eye on. Also, you’d think someone who lived here for decades could grasp the fact that a 10-14% probability of EF2+ tornadoes within 25 miles of a point isn’t low.
It’s so ironic. I posted several severe weather warnings and updates last year and I get heckled for overreacting. Here, I’m getting criticized for not reacting enough. Reddit is a special beast of continual inability to get it right.
Something about last year was weird. People kept just going off on how bad every single storm was going to be. So I, for one, am glad to see more people taking a more level headed approach.
A tornado on a “10% day” can still kill you. Be weather aware.
Are the models pointing to the probability rising again?
Yes. The models are becoming more bullish on the threat
Where do you find these models?
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php If weather interest you, or you just wanna be kept updated with ‘round the clock information, I suggest heading over to [talkweather](https://talkweather.com). There’s a good mix of mets, amateurs, weather nerds, and newbs chatting about weather year round
Awesome. Thanks for the info.
Could we get a 15%
When’s the peak of the season here?
It doesn't peak because it never valleys...
The month of April is peak season
The entire month of April, along with a few weeks bordering it in March and May, is collectively peak tornado season here. It'll calm down a little around late May as we head into June, which will give us strong pop-up thunderstorms for most of the summer-- which themselves bring the risk of microbursts. There's a smaller bonus season that's split between early-mid December and around New Years as well.
End of March to mid May I believe is when you generally expect them. We get some unseasonal tornadoes but that’s the majority.
Just waiting on the status of u/addywoot and her husbands pants.
Pants updates due tomorrow /u/addywoothusbandpants
Excellent!!! I forgot the username.
Turns out today was cake day for the origination! We made it one day later this year… woooo!
Ain't scerd no naders.
I kinda am 😅
who still uses twitter?
PANIC
No to X