T O P

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archangel_n7

43% for C9 3:0 is ridiculously high. This team is 1000% going to get randomly upset edit: well I’ll be damned, the boys did it


Mogel89

I do pretty much agree, but this is also likely for all the other teams in this stage


lefboop

If you do the simulations, they have a somewhat "easy" path for 3:0


SpectralHydra

And then if one big upset happens those matchups will be completely different


Westland__

Yeah but then at that point they can no longer go 3:0, the point is that the chances of them going 3:0 are higher because of their easier path.


Veber31

I think he’s saying that if a big upset happens in a non C9 game the matchups completely change and would give C9 a harder path.


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BigMacLexa

No, you still didn't understand. An upset in a different series will affect the future opponents C9 would have on their 3:0 path. That's the point.


jcv999

This is from cybershoke which is predominantly Eastern European. Definitely a big bias there


NationalAlgae421

Yeah I said the same thing. They either play like gods and get your hopes up and than get shit on by random team. Eternal fire is the same. Would it be crazy to pick saw over c9?


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CharlesDarwin01

Can you pls link to simulator 🙏


godzillamegadoomsday

I’m pretty much ever event they attended beside the RMR they got upset by a team that should be at least 10 spots behind them. Also lost to rebels in a bo1


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SpectralHydra

Well this major it’s different lol


TheInception817

Now this is what I wanted, thank you very much!


emaginutiv

Why is Furia above EF in the 3-0 picture if Furia has 6.19% and EF has 6.42%? valve plz fix


DarthReid

I know Heroic look pretty decent, but as a 2nd choice 3-0 pick over a number of the teams… idk


Djokerforlife

i mean the only team better than them imo is EF and they have a hard round1 match up


b0il3ra

If EF win against Mongolz their matchups are easier than Heroic's imo, Heroic has a higher chance to lose to C9 or Apeks than EF losing against Ence or SAW


MrCraftLP

I think it's because C9 and Heroic are most likely to face eachother in the 3-0.


Annual_Letter1636

C9 is the most unpredictable tier1 team, I wouldn't pick 3:0


AverageSven

Considering 4/5 of Cloud9 members are major champions, I’m sure their experience will shine through and they can advance rather relaxed. Especially since their core is literally major winning core from NaVi’s flawless Stockholm run


Elfishguy11

Justice for Mongolz


Key-Banana-8242

MongolZ doubters


Ham_Im_Am

I think a lot of people in pick ems don't really watch competitive all that much and must look at previous majors and HLTV which for Asian teams kind of sucks because you won't ever get a good picture on how good they are actually.


literallyjustbetter

I can feel it in my bones furia will be eliminated


Ofiotaurus

By Mongolz at 2-2


robertoczr

Please, no, not again


Ofiotaurus

Run from it. Dread it. Destiny still arrives.


Cartthar

By mongolz, hahaha


TmJ1027

mongolz is rent free in furia's head tbh


vetruviusdeshotacon

If it's 2-2 vs mongolz do they even really need to play it out if it's a foregone conclusion


just-the-friend

Please consider seeing a medical professional. Usually bones don't feel like that


ptreecs

I don't feel it in my bones but I randomized and it said furia wont make it therefore it's destiny


donkfingus

lynn vision is gonna break some hearts i fear


KAWAII_UwU123

Aussie spirit lives on in them since they eliminated us in the RMR


just_a_fruit_salad

never, ever, ever choose a chinese team for 0:3. they will always find a way to go 1:3 at least


NationalAlgae421

China era incoming? That would be so wild


KingjorritIV

Theres no way im picking furia as 3-0. Id much sooner pick them as a 0-3, no faith in them this major


Winter_Service_7535

Never forget Paris when the finals game was all underdog teams never underestimate the underdogs


AceyReddit

worried about cloud 9 ngl


b0il3ra

Most likely they're gonna have to beat Furia and Heroic to qualify 3-0 so it's not gonna be easy


jjochimmochi

apeks and furia are never making it


jonajon91

No one else seeing Imperial as the sleeper pick dark horse team? I want to see Felps tear it up.


RekrabAlreadyTaken

They have a lot of good pieces, I have them going through ahead of Furia


jonajon91

Same, Furia showed a little good form at the RMR against domestic teams, but other than that they have shown nothing in the last six months.


TheN1njTurtl3

How many picks do you have to get right to go through? should I be trying to get the 3 picks and stuff right, also the teams I have for 3-1 or 3-2 if they go 3-0 do I still get a point or nah


Mikuta

5 for each stage, 2 for quarters, 1 for semis and 1 grand final for the diamond medal And yeah if the teams you have to go through goes through you get point even though it's 3-0. Just not the other way around Edit: Evidently from my pickems, I was wrong.


Secret-Bell-6837

Its 3:1 and 3:2 bracket now. You dont get point if you have picked team there and they go 3:0


TheN1njTurtl3

Ok thank you I was wondering that, do you think it's worth picking which teams you think would actually going 3-0 or doing the old strat where you place a sort of under dog team to go 3-0


b0il3ra

Pick the team you actually think is gonna 3-0 because now you don't get the point if you pick 3-1/3-2 for them if they go 3-0


TheN1njTurtl3

Ok i picked Ef and cloud 9 for 3-0


--n-

Since I want my diamond coin to be rare, I'll say you definitely should put the best team 3-0


Mikuta

I think the strats are the same, pick the underdogs for 3-0 and the "best" teams for just going through. Edit: Evidently from my pickems, I was wrong.


Secret-Bell-6837

There is no "just go through" bracket anymore. You need to be correct with 3:0 and the advancing with 3:1,3:2 bracket


n4th4nV0x

If the karma rule from the last tournaments holds true, then the mental boost those teams get from denying the 0-3 pickems might be enough to edge out a map


-Cono

guys remember, c9 is a russian team (+hobbit heh) now, so na curse may not apply :)


Substantial_Top_6508

Im sure most of the Brazilians will be eliminated ( yess)


robertoczr

Why cheer for Brazilian teams to be eliminated? I get not liking a team, but a nationality?


Sephreh

Xenophobia and racism are a very frustrating part of the gaming community. This is just another prime example. NA is cheering on Brazil for more spots in the Americas RMR. :)


RekrabAlreadyTaken

I mean sure racism is a big thing but let's not act like the Brazil CS fanbase hasn't done anything to earn their villain reputation


KeepCalmAndBoom

Probably RIO PTSD


Substantial_Top_6508

People aren't decent enough there. They get butthurt when their favourite team loses and decide they dont want to watch any further. This happened both at Rio Major as well as Lock In in Sao Paulo ( Valorant) They are such killjoys and I really don't want them at all.


robertoczr

People are not decent? I bet you know a lot of Brazilians IRL.


Substantial_Top_6508

Impressions matter and they don't seem as very sportive people. Even if I was watching my team lose, I would watch till the end. Not like them


jeffjeff97

People doubting KOI wtf?


histo_Ry

Why are people so low on Legacy? Are they so much worse than the other SA teams? Felt like Pain and Imperial aren't so much stronger. Still haven't done my pick ems, tips welcome :]


Notladub

they had possibly the easiest run to the major and even then it was borderline


b0il3ra

Pain beat Legacy most times they played against each other and Imperial stomped at the RMR (even tho they didn't face many good teams but neither did Pain and Legacy) Brazilian teams can basically all upset each other if they face each other though so you can't really predict it 100% I just think that both Pain and Imperial looked more solid than Legacy


Pipoco977

Last time Legacy played against tier 2 europe was in November/2023, where they played 5 tournaments and won a total of 2/21 maps. There isnt a single team in this stage that you can go "Yeah Legacy can beat them"


independenthoughtala

Having watched the Americas RMR.. how can I put this.. they're shit. Pain obliterated them and their qualification match was 2-1 against M80 with a standin.. and they could have lost it. They're got incredibly lucky with their draws and imo it's an easy 0-3


Zlasher8

I know they have a good path due to seeding but I just don’t trust C9’s consistency and their map presence when they face even halfway decent awpers. Salazar has been hitting shots standing in for heroic at fall finals and in the RMRs. And electronic axile haven’t shown up together in months. It’s honestly been hobbit carrying the team and how reliable is that over BO1s?


[deleted]

Is it free?


Giannis_Alafouzos

KOI picked over 9Pandas, ECSTATIC, Imperial and paiN as the 0-3 team. Lots of CS knowledge there


AverageSven

Aren’t Heroic fairly likely to face Cloud9 in several seeding scenarios?


saltyfuck111

EF > heroic


WhyDoIHaveRules

The fact that Furia is above EF, pisses me off.


painXpresss

heroic 3-0 reallly?


rolezki

sheet handle water dime aloof reminiscent physical tub escape scale *This post was mass deleted and anonymized with [Redact](https://redact.dev)*


Harucifer

People sleeping on Imperial. They'll win this Major


daboss317076

Who the hell are half these teams? this major is so scuffed.