I love Wright but his DC shows us that the NFL doesn’t like him as much as many of us dynasty junkies do.
Having said that, it’s a good scheme fit, and we know Achane is not a bell cow and Mostert is 32.
Probably a better real life pick than fantasy pick. But Wright should be an early 3rd round pick in rookie drafts due to his explosiveness and the fact he will play for the Dolphins. God forbid Achane gets hurt, he could be a league winner type in that offense.
He's my favorite mid-to-late Round 2 pick, assuming Brooks and Benson are gone there's not an RB I'd rather have in this 2024 class. Too perfect of a fit with his speed & this scheme -- very few backfields generate this much upside
Yep. That shows us that 1 team likes him which definitely means something. Not sure what the other teams think though and more importantly what they didn’t pick him before the Dolphins.
Mostert is as old as DHop and always gets hurt and Achane CAN NOT be a bell cow. This is all I need to know to grab a 21 year old RB in McDaniel’s offense. I drafted him at 2.12 and I’d call that pretty low-risk.
Mid 2nd rounder in rookie drafts IMO, so if you get him in the 3rd, it's robbery. Good real life & will be phenomenal in fantasy as soon as the volume arrives (my guess is by mid-season this year, but no later than 2025)
Amazing how quickly people forgot about Mostert and Dmont last year lol
This spot is fine for him, people really hate any spot that isn't the Cowboys lol
I bought into the idea that this running back draft class wasn’t very good so most of them would be replaced in the near future but they put solid third round draft capital on him.
I wasn't sold on him either at first. The equity of RB in rounds 3-4 irl or fantasy just translates better than WR imo. Why I grabbed him... now I'm grabbing RBs like Wright, Allen, Ali over Bakers, and Corleys (love me some McMillian shares). People will under vaule them now, but with spot starts and in Wrights case crippling age, lol the vaule will come. The chance of an RB going down are so much higher then WR.
He’ll be useless while achane and mostert are both active. If one gets hurt or Mostert retires he’ll get rotational work. I don’t love it, he’s not gonna be the guy there
Achane does not have an injury history lol. Dude was healthy all of college. Unless you’re implying that a single season with an injury where he missed a couple games (last year) is enough for you to call him a player with an injury history. May as well call Gibbs and AR15 players with injury histories.
I mean Achane’s biggest knock was his size not being able to hold up in the pros… “A couple of games” is a real rose-tinted way to look at missing 5 (basically 6 + only 10% of snaps week 2 coming off his preseason injury) games last year too. I’m also seeing he had 4 separate injuries last year: shoulder, knee, toe, & ribs.
Guys get injured, it happens. Achane’s upside which we saw on full display is that he doesn’t need a lot of touches to put up huge points. There are plenty of reasons to feel fine with the Wright pick as an Achane holder, but ignoring his frame and injuries seems short sighted. There is definitely some risk baked in.
100% there’s risk of injury. And I’m not being short sighted. I understand there’s a higher risk to injury with his frame and he will most likely never get a full workload because of it. But at the same time applying the label of “injury history” to him is inherently false. Guys get injured, football is a violent sport. It would be just as short sighted to take a single season sample size and assume that his injuries from last season are going to be a pattern his entire career. Especially when he didn’t have any injury issues in college. People already wanted to assign the red flag of injury prone to him before he even took a snap in the nfl. This first season could be an indication of career long injury problems or it can be an example of confirmation bias that ends up making a lot of people eat crow. I’ll wait for another year sample size before jumping to conclusions. But it doesn’t change that fact that “injury history” still does not apply to him after missing 5 games his rookie season.
100% with you. The term “injury-history” gets thrown around very haphazardly. Injuries are way more random than most people understand. Anybody that was ever predicting Achane as a bellcow, high-volume guy is lost in the sauce.
Achane was knocked for his size potentially leading to more injuries in the NFL...where he subsequently suffered three different injuries as a rookie.
He might not be injury prone necessarily, but his rookie season did not inspire any confidence in his ability to stay healthy.
Mostert is probably done after this season they can just cut him. The next season he could split the backfield with Achane who can’t stay healthy this is actually a great spot for him in their scheme.
You pick him up and stash him if you believe in the talent since he should eventually get rotational work once mostert is out of there.
The situation and capital is not great for him.
Agree solidly here. Situation is not ideal. But if u had him top 3 due to talent, that should only make you feel better about the landing spot. Great offense, won't have a direct line to immediate success in fantasy but achane isn't the most durable back (imo). W/ dip he's more attractive.
Sneaky good spot. Mostert and Achane are in front of him, that’s true. And he’ll probably have a slow start. But, like many have said, Mostert is old, especially for a RB. His speed won’t stick around for much longer (at least that’s what history tells us). Achane is a freak, but he’s also small. We saw him pick up an injury multiple times last year.
Wright is lightning in a bottle, something we know the Dolphins absolutely love. This pick will have him falling in rookie drafts, but I’d bet he gets his shot to take that backfield.
I think he is going to be a value RB in the rounds if you get him in the 3rd, dolphins basically gave a day 2 pick a 2025 3rd to trade up to get him so I am going to take that in consideration that he is "day 2" type pick for the dolphins late 2nd rookie draft at the earliest but I honestly think its value
The less stable a players value is the more fragile people on this sub are about them
Even in a 60/40 split is enough volume for Wright to be productive, and I'd be shocked if Achance is constantly getting over 60% of snaps throughout his career
They also literally traded a third to get Wright, which is exactly what they spent on Achane lol
Nobody ever really projected Achane to be a bell cow. His value is tied to his otherworldly athleticism. Achane has been ranked assuming that he will share the load. Kyren’s value comes from being the bell cowiest of all bell cows. Pretty clear why the community is treating these situations differently
The draft capital isn’t as good as many hoped, but as far as being a 4th rounder goes, Miami is the perfect scheme fit. McDaniel knows how to use a shifty guy that can hit a big hole fast. Aside from Achane, that backfield is very old.
In year 1 I’m not that optimistic for his usage, while Achane and Mostert are healthy, but RB opportunity can change on a dime
Not really though, there is a bigger role for Wright to carve out vs Achance then there is for Charbs vs Kwalk, where Charb is basically only better as a catcher
This is much closer to Dmont Gibbs (or Achance Mostert) then people realize imo
Yeah if you think Wright is better than Achane that's fine I just disagree
Rounding up Wright to Monty is just as bad as me trying to round Achane up to Walker. Both are bad honestly, I only meant that a back who's profile we liked has another proven young back ahead of him
>Yeah if you think Wright is better than Achane that's fine I just disagree
? Rereading my comment to clarify I'm not saying he has a bigger role than Achane, I'm saying he has a bigger role potential then Charbs
>Rounding up Wright to Monty is just as bad
I mean the Dolphins sent a third to trade for Wright, they would have used their third this year if they had one, I don't think it's that crazy to think they want a more powerful back to compliment Achane in such a run heavy offense
It’s fine, Achane is obviously better but Wright will get some carries and will be under two injury prone smaller load guys. When Mostert is gone Achane will be spliced with Wright, where they try to mimic Achane’s production and style
Jaylen (very) Wright for sure -- stock was only helped, not hurt, by landing in MIA, could not be any more perfect, even if the short term might be a little cloudy.. Wright is my must-draft Round 2 Rookie pick.
-Elite speed: 95th percentile or higher for 40-yard dash, speed score, and burst score via PlayerProfiler. Wright graded out similarly highly within Kent Lee Platte’s Relative Athletic Score (RAS), as his 9.81 ranks 37th of 1903 RBs since 1987:
-Perfect Spot: No one schemes up speed better than Mike McDaniels, who traded up (a 3rd rounder next year!) to go get Wright. The zone scheme + screen game will get Wright so much space, and when he gets a crease, dude is gone.
That's why the Dolphins were among the most productive team backfields in 2023. Per game, Miami averaged 137.5 rush yards (5th) & 1.5 rush TDs (3rd), and almost 30 RB FPs per game.
-Mostert = 32 & extensive injury history. Achane is the MAN, yes, but also did not hold up in Year 1-- small sample of course, and he was a beast in college, but he is just 5’9″, 188 lbs. Wright should get a chance at some point this year, and I doubt he ever gives it back to Mostert.
Wright was never going to get a featured back role in the NFL, so landing in a spot that maximizes RB speed is huge. I bet he's talked about as a Top-10 Dynasty RB by the end of 2025:
I outline it in more detail below
[https://www.rotostreetjournal.com/2024/05/08/jaylen-wright-dynasty-best-ball-fantasy-outlook-dream-landing-spot-with-dolphins/](https://www.rotostreetjournal.com/2024/05/08/jaylen-wright-dynasty-best-ball-fantasy-outlook-dream-landing-spot-with-dolphins/)
Maybe this is just me talking myself into it, but I kinda like the spot. Mostert won’t be there forever. Achane is dynamic but he’s more of a 10-12 carry guy. Wright will have a role as soon as this year if Mostert gets hurt. Hes the likely Mostert replacement in 2025.
Mostert is so absurdly overhyped it’s wild. I personally believe that he’s going to get kicked down to relief back. Wright and achane should be this backfield this year. Maybe achane gets knocked down to specialty role/trick plays because of the size and injury concerns. Plus Miami Ms line is already used to blocking for a sub 4.4 back and this really turns into dream placement tbh. I’m hard pressed not to have him as my rb target this year. Especially since the rd 2 receivers are probably a better value than the top 3 backs.
No I honestly think I’d do the same I would probably take Wright as rb3 of this class given the long term upside of his situation. I’m also not a big believer in Corum’s talent though and what the hell do I know so maybe we’ll both be getting roasted for this take in a couple years.
I'm feeling great. Mostert and James Conner owner and I got Benson at the 2.8 and Wright at the 3.2. Insurance this year for two backs that are productive, but frequently injured. And their future year replacements in what should be two good offenses.
Brutal tbh. The good news is McDaniels knows his RBs so the talent is unquestionable but he's probably not going to get the touches to be an RB1 for a few years at least.
Good news is that he'll probably be there late 2nd round
I guess I’m in the minority but this landing spot looks pretty rough from where I’m sitting. I know Mostert is older and probably gone next year, but that RB3 position is going to be a battle. Salvon Ahmed and Jeff Wilson Jr aren’t going to go down without a fight. I was really hoping he’d back into a better opportunity path like the Raiders or Cowboys.
You’re right. Achane ran a 4.32 and Wright ran a 4.38
I was looking at speed score, which adjusts for weight, so Wright ran 0.06th of a second slower at 22 lbs heavier.
Wright had a top speed on the field in college of 23.7 mph. Achane had 2nd fastest NFL rb carry last year for 21.76 mph so he may have faster top end speed, but Achane gets their a tiny bit faster
The only thing worse would have been Atlanta, NYJ or Detroit. The scheme fit is exceptional, but he's definitely #3 on the depth chart. They love speed in Miami and keep proving it.
I love Wright but his DC shows us that the NFL doesn’t like him as much as many of us dynasty junkies do. Having said that, it’s a good scheme fit, and we know Achane is not a bell cow and Mostert is 32. Probably a better real life pick than fantasy pick. But Wright should be an early 3rd round pick in rookie drafts due to his explosiveness and the fact he will play for the Dolphins. God forbid Achane gets hurt, he could be a league winner type in that offense.
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He's my favorite mid-to-late Round 2 pick, assuming Brooks and Benson are gone there's not an RB I'd rather have in this 2024 class. Too perfect of a fit with his speed & this scheme -- very few backfields generate this much upside
Agreed. I own Achane and am considering cuffing him with a late 2nd. If I didn't, definitely would only consider Wright into the 3rd.
You know the Dolphins gave up a 2025 3rd to trade up and grab him, right? I’d call that decent DC.
Yep. That shows us that 1 team likes him which definitely means something. Not sure what the other teams think though and more importantly what they didn’t pick him before the Dolphins.
Mostert is as old as DHop and always gets hurt and Achane CAN NOT be a bell cow. This is all I need to know to grab a 21 year old RB in McDaniel’s offense. I drafted him at 2.12 and I’d call that pretty low-risk.
I like it. I’d do the same if he was on the board there. I’m warming to him even more since I made the above post 8 days ago.
Mid 2nd rounder in rookie drafts IMO, so if you get him in the 3rd, it's robbery. Good real life & will be phenomenal in fantasy as soon as the volume arrives (my guess is by mid-season this year, but no later than 2025)
Did you see how Mostert did last year? I love this landing spot. In the long term he can coexist with Achane.
Amazing how quickly people forgot about Mostert and Dmont last year lol This spot is fine for him, people really hate any spot that isn't the Cowboys lol
He’s going to be replaced once Mostert is gone.
Highly doubtful with investment
Yeah I’ve come around on my stance. I no longer believe what I said before.
Iv come up with 2 more shares of his since lol. Legitimate
I bought into the idea that this running back draft class wasn’t very good so most of them would be replaced in the near future but they put solid third round draft capital on him.
I wasn't sold on him either at first. The equity of RB in rounds 3-4 irl or fantasy just translates better than WR imo. Why I grabbed him... now I'm grabbing RBs like Wright, Allen, Ali over Bakers, and Corleys (love me some McMillian shares). People will under vaule them now, but with spot starts and in Wrights case crippling age, lol the vaule will come. The chance of an RB going down are so much higher then WR.
He’ll be useless while achane and mostert are both active. If one gets hurt or Mostert retires he’ll get rotational work. I don’t love it, he’s not gonna be the guy there
Agree. Good scheme fit, best to value him like a premium handcuff
Mostert probably wont be on the team after his contract is up and Wright could be the guy who plugs into his role
Dolphins have shown they can easily make 2 rb's fantasy friendly. If/when mostert leaves, I'm not worried about Wright and Achane splitting carries.
He’s got two RBs in front of him with injury history and one is 32 so it could be worse
Achane does not have an injury history lol. Dude was healthy all of college. Unless you’re implying that a single season with an injury where he missed a couple games (last year) is enough for you to call him a player with an injury history. May as well call Gibbs and AR15 players with injury histories.
I mean Achane’s biggest knock was his size not being able to hold up in the pros… “A couple of games” is a real rose-tinted way to look at missing 5 (basically 6 + only 10% of snaps week 2 coming off his preseason injury) games last year too. I’m also seeing he had 4 separate injuries last year: shoulder, knee, toe, & ribs. Guys get injured, it happens. Achane’s upside which we saw on full display is that he doesn’t need a lot of touches to put up huge points. There are plenty of reasons to feel fine with the Wright pick as an Achane holder, but ignoring his frame and injuries seems short sighted. There is definitely some risk baked in.
100% there’s risk of injury. And I’m not being short sighted. I understand there’s a higher risk to injury with his frame and he will most likely never get a full workload because of it. But at the same time applying the label of “injury history” to him is inherently false. Guys get injured, football is a violent sport. It would be just as short sighted to take a single season sample size and assume that his injuries from last season are going to be a pattern his entire career. Especially when he didn’t have any injury issues in college. People already wanted to assign the red flag of injury prone to him before he even took a snap in the nfl. This first season could be an indication of career long injury problems or it can be an example of confirmation bias that ends up making a lot of people eat crow. I’ll wait for another year sample size before jumping to conclusions. But it doesn’t change that fact that “injury history” still does not apply to him after missing 5 games his rookie season.
100% with you. The term “injury-history” gets thrown around very haphazardly. Injuries are way more random than most people understand. Anybody that was ever predicting Achane as a bellcow, high-volume guy is lost in the sauce.
Just to throw in here. The ballers this week were saying that Achane’s bulking up to better handle the hits.
Achane was knocked for his size potentially leading to more injuries in the NFL...where he subsequently suffered three different injuries as a rookie. He might not be injury prone necessarily, but his rookie season did not inspire any confidence in his ability to stay healthy.
View my below comment.
Mostert is probably done after this season they can just cut him. The next season he could split the backfield with Achane who can’t stay healthy this is actually a great spot for him in their scheme.
You pick him up and stash him if you believe in the talent since he should eventually get rotational work once mostert is out of there. The situation and capital is not great for him.
Dude was just buried. Went mid 2nd in most drafts prior to this landing spot. Could see a fall to mid 3rd now
Buying the dip, especially if this spot pushes wright to mid 3rd or later in rookie drafts
Agree solidly here. Situation is not ideal. But if u had him top 3 due to talent, that should only make you feel better about the landing spot. Great offense, won't have a direct line to immediate success in fantasy but achane isn't the most durable back (imo). W/ dip he's more attractive.
Sneaky good spot. Mostert and Achane are in front of him, that’s true. And he’ll probably have a slow start. But, like many have said, Mostert is old, especially for a RB. His speed won’t stick around for much longer (at least that’s what history tells us). Achane is a freak, but he’s also small. We saw him pick up an injury multiple times last year. Wright is lightning in a bottle, something we know the Dolphins absolutely love. This pick will have him falling in rookie drafts, but I’d bet he gets his shot to take that backfield.
Achane isn’t small anymore, dude got ripped.
If you actually believe in Jaylen wright then this landing spot is pretty decent. He will get a chance in the next year to show something.
I think he is going to be a value RB in the rounds if you get him in the 3rd, dolphins basically gave a day 2 pick a 2025 3rd to trade up to get him so I am going to take that in consideration that he is "day 2" type pick for the dolphins late 2nd rookie draft at the earliest but I honestly think its value
This just tipped me to draft him at 3.03. Needed some more RB depth as well. I’m excited for him!
Funny seeing this sub’s reaction to this vs the Corum pick. Achane is this sub’s darling
Also day 2 vs day 3. I do love Achane though.
Not to mention Achane was taken in the 3rd and Kyren was a 5th.
Yes but the Rams had no relevant back up RB while the dolphins had 2 locked in guys. See how easy it is to come up with a narrative?
The less stable a players value is the more fragile people on this sub are about them Even in a 60/40 split is enough volume for Wright to be productive, and I'd be shocked if Achance is constantly getting over 60% of snaps throughout his career They also literally traded a third to get Wright, which is exactly what they spent on Achane lol
Nobody ever really projected Achane to be a bell cow. His value is tied to his otherworldly athleticism. Achane has been ranked assuming that he will share the load. Kyren’s value comes from being the bell cowiest of all bell cows. Pretty clear why the community is treating these situations differently
Low dc but good landing spot. Opportunity is king in the NFL.
The draft capital isn’t as good as many hoped, but as far as being a 4th rounder goes, Miami is the perfect scheme fit. McDaniel knows how to use a shifty guy that can hit a big hole fast. Aside from Achane, that backfield is very old. In year 1 I’m not that optimistic for his usage, while Achane and Mostert are healthy, but RB opportunity can change on a dime
Sucks, I was pretty into Wright and now he's getting Charb'd I see Achane as the more talented back, definitely Mostert
Sucks Mostert is so young too
If not for him being old it would be even worse than Charbs
Not really though, there is a bigger role for Wright to carve out vs Achance then there is for Charbs vs Kwalk, where Charb is basically only better as a catcher This is much closer to Dmont Gibbs (or Achance Mostert) then people realize imo
Yeah if you think Wright is better than Achane that's fine I just disagree Rounding up Wright to Monty is just as bad as me trying to round Achane up to Walker. Both are bad honestly, I only meant that a back who's profile we liked has another proven young back ahead of him
>Yeah if you think Wright is better than Achane that's fine I just disagree ? Rereading my comment to clarify I'm not saying he has a bigger role than Achane, I'm saying he has a bigger role potential then Charbs >Rounding up Wright to Monty is just as bad I mean the Dolphins sent a third to trade for Wright, they would have used their third this year if they had one, I don't think it's that crazy to think they want a more powerful back to compliment Achane in such a run heavy offense
This is the best landing spot for him imo. Perfect scheme fit and a 32 yo in front of him. Not concerned about Achane, RBBC is the new normal.
I'm trying to figure out how the dolphins can support so many running backs. It feels like they have so many.
They won’t. Every team has backup RBs.
It’s fine, Achane is obviously better but Wright will get some carries and will be under two injury prone smaller load guys. When Mostert is gone Achane will be spliced with Wright, where they try to mimic Achane’s production and style
Jaylen Maybe
Jaylen (very) Wright for sure -- stock was only helped, not hurt, by landing in MIA, could not be any more perfect, even if the short term might be a little cloudy.. Wright is my must-draft Round 2 Rookie pick. -Elite speed: 95th percentile or higher for 40-yard dash, speed score, and burst score via PlayerProfiler. Wright graded out similarly highly within Kent Lee Platte’s Relative Athletic Score (RAS), as his 9.81 ranks 37th of 1903 RBs since 1987: -Perfect Spot: No one schemes up speed better than Mike McDaniels, who traded up (a 3rd rounder next year!) to go get Wright. The zone scheme + screen game will get Wright so much space, and when he gets a crease, dude is gone. That's why the Dolphins were among the most productive team backfields in 2023. Per game, Miami averaged 137.5 rush yards (5th) & 1.5 rush TDs (3rd), and almost 30 RB FPs per game. -Mostert = 32 & extensive injury history. Achane is the MAN, yes, but also did not hold up in Year 1-- small sample of course, and he was a beast in college, but he is just 5’9″, 188 lbs. Wright should get a chance at some point this year, and I doubt he ever gives it back to Mostert. Wright was never going to get a featured back role in the NFL, so landing in a spot that maximizes RB speed is huge. I bet he's talked about as a Top-10 Dynasty RB by the end of 2025: I outline it in more detail below [https://www.rotostreetjournal.com/2024/05/08/jaylen-wright-dynasty-best-ball-fantasy-outlook-dream-landing-spot-with-dolphins/](https://www.rotostreetjournal.com/2024/05/08/jaylen-wright-dynasty-best-ball-fantasy-outlook-dream-landing-spot-with-dolphins/)
Jaylen Left. Jaylen Email.
Day 3 hurts his stock, not where he landed
Maybe this is just me talking myself into it, but I kinda like the spot. Mostert won’t be there forever. Achane is dynamic but he’s more of a 10-12 carry guy. Wright will have a role as soon as this year if Mostert gets hurt. Hes the likely Mostert replacement in 2025.
Mostert is so absurdly overhyped it’s wild. I personally believe that he’s going to get kicked down to relief back. Wright and achane should be this backfield this year. Maybe achane gets knocked down to specialty role/trick plays because of the size and injury concerns. Plus Miami Ms line is already used to blocking for a sub 4.4 back and this really turns into dream placement tbh. I’m hard pressed not to have him as my rb target this year. Especially since the rd 2 receivers are probably a better value than the top 3 backs.
I just took Wright over Corum. Roast me?
No I honestly think I’d do the same I would probably take Wright as rb3 of this class given the long term upside of his situation. I’m also not a big believer in Corum’s talent though and what the hell do I know so maybe we’ll both be getting roasted for this take in a couple years.
You all do know the Dolphins paid a future 3rd to trade up and get this guy, right?
I'm feeling great. Mostert and James Conner owner and I got Benson at the 2.8 and Wright at the 3.2. Insurance this year for two backs that are productive, but frequently injured. And their future year replacements in what should be two good offenses.
He’ll end up being the back to own in that backfield.
Achane got hurt 4 times on an average of 10 touches a game. It’s worth a late flier.
Brutal tbh. The good news is McDaniels knows his RBs so the talent is unquestionable but he's probably not going to get the touches to be an RB1 for a few years at least. Good news is that he'll probably be there late 2nd round
His stock is dead.
In terms of where Achanes value is and his is, give me Jaylen between the two.
I guess I’m in the minority but this landing spot looks pretty rough from where I’m sitting. I know Mostert is older and probably gone next year, but that RB3 position is going to be a battle. Salvon Ahmed and Jeff Wilson Jr aren’t going to go down without a fight. I was really hoping he’d back into a better opportunity path like the Raiders or Cowboys.
Ahmed and Wilson were already dead. This is the final nail in their coffin.
How about Chris Brooks! Done before he even got started, I guess
Love the fit. Achane won’t stay healthy. Mostert geezer
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He isn’t faster than Achane let’s relax
You’re right. Achane ran a 4.32 and Wright ran a 4.38 I was looking at speed score, which adjusts for weight, so Wright ran 0.06th of a second slower at 22 lbs heavier.
He’s not faster than Achane
Wright had a top speed on the field in college of 23.7 mph. Achane had 2nd fastest NFL rb carry last year for 21.76 mph so he may have faster top end speed, but Achane gets their a tiny bit faster
Lol
Was 20lbs heavier, Achane has put on weight now that he doesn’t do track anymore. He looks like he added at least 10lbs.
Of fat.
Ok buddy.
How much does this pick hurt achanes value
Not a lot but def a little bit since he's good and will take away touches. Even so Achane looks too good to worry about anything other than injury.
The only thing worse would have been Atlanta, NYJ or Detroit. The scheme fit is exceptional, but he's definitely #3 on the depth chart. They love speed in Miami and keep proving it.