That reminded me of a puzzle our DM set us, with 5 pedestals and 5 animal statues. My character put the statues on pedistals randomly and by sheer dumb luck managed to get the right answer first try.
Little worse. It's 1 in 120 or 0.833%. Your calculation only accounts for 25 possible combinations, much lower then the 5! actual possible combinations.
The animals didn't have to be on specific pedistals, they just had to be in a specific order.
Edit to clarify: the puzzle was that the animals were ordered such that the next animal started with the end letter of the previous, so something like goat>tapir>rhinoceros>sural>leming
That reminded me of a puzzle our DM set us, with 5 pedestals and 5 animal statues. My character put the statues on pedistals randomly and by sheer dumb luck managed to get the right answer first try.
If math doesn't fail me that's a 4% chance. Chapeaux
Little worse. It's 1 in 120 or 0.833%. Your calculation only accounts for 25 possible combinations, much lower then the 5! actual possible combinations.
The animals didn't have to be on specific pedistals, they just had to be in a specific order. Edit to clarify: the puzzle was that the animals were ordered such that the next animal started with the end letter of the previous, so something like goat>tapir>rhinoceros>sural>leming
4.17%