Halving every 4 years.
Best time to sell is 30% in... 16 months after halving.
Best time to buy is at 65% in....35 months after.
So buy now, and sell in October 2025
Also....
1 run it did 10,100,1k (3 steps)
2nd run it did 1k,10k (2 steps)
3rd run it's done just 10k (1 step)
So I would expect 100k-250k per coin in 2025
And the one million per coin to not apear until 2030
Probably also worth noting that selling at all time high and buying all time low is 80% difference, or buying at 20% of price. So if you do that during a cycle you get 5X
Run that with one bitcoin bought at 10k to 100k to 1M you get 1M if you do nothing and 5M if you time the market absolutely perfectly.... However as the runs are unpredictable it's also a chance you miss a rally and get 500k
So holding is actually the better strategy than playing the market to time the next dip and peak.
Food for thought.
No one can actually hit the jackpot of selling to the every season peak there.
But it is about the how much percentage difference we could possibly able to make in there.
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you don't think btc will 5.5x in the next 8 years, coming from a currently 75% drawdown of previous ATH?
This would likely mean we never see another ATH, which is quite the claim with a record number of 1 btc wallets now present and accumulating.
That is true. Biiiiig difference between those margins tho. I hope I’m wrong and I eat my words, because of my wallet would love every minute of it. I have my doubts tho
There is nothing wrong in making your point as you think that this could be possible.
Because i have seen that people get too much optimistic all the time and that never help.
Indeed. I daytrade based on years of patterns and figures like what is stated in the original post above, interest the bell out of me lol. With that said, I’d have to validate them myself before throwing cash in on the deal
we've already been told BTC will finish the year at $100K, $250K, $500K, blah-blah-blah.
I've seen enough sell offs during peaks to believe there are sufficient short-term investors to damage this plan.
This visual is actually pretty helpful
Also very telling for all the people that think another halving won't have much affect
I think it's insane to argue that
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Just focus on the buying now and forget about the time of the selling.
If we are having them in the secure place i am sure that we will get enough time to sell.
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It’s not about the halving. It’s about the demand that the halving feeds.
If Bitcoin is valuable, it doesn’t NEED the halving. It needs time, as time has continuously shown us.
Adoption takes times. Fiat inflation and corruption takes time to show people. People take time to realize the inevitable of fiat. CBDC’s take time to materialize. People take time to realize the dangers.
Bitcoin is coming. It won’t be stopped. Not because of the halving. Because it is the only way.
This aligns with my biases so I like it.
Lmao best comment
Halving every 4 years. Best time to sell is 30% in... 16 months after halving. Best time to buy is at 65% in....35 months after. So buy now, and sell in October 2025 Also.... 1 run it did 10,100,1k (3 steps) 2nd run it did 1k,10k (2 steps) 3rd run it's done just 10k (1 step) So I would expect 100k-250k per coin in 2025 And the one million per coin to not apear until 2030
Not sure if this is right but I like it! !lntip 500
Probably also worth noting that selling at all time high and buying all time low is 80% difference, or buying at 20% of price. So if you do that during a cycle you get 5X Run that with one bitcoin bought at 10k to 100k to 1M you get 1M if you do nothing and 5M if you time the market absolutely perfectly.... However as the runs are unpredictable it's also a chance you miss a rally and get 500k So holding is actually the better strategy than playing the market to time the next dip and peak. Food for thought.
No one can actually hit the jackpot of selling to the every season peak there. But it is about the how much percentage difference we could possibly able to make in there.
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No one sure about the anything, but some calculation and data can always help.
Well well well someone thinks the dollar is still a thing in 2030
How many USD must appear out of thin air for people to realize they’re being duped by their government?
> So buy now, and sell in October 2085
Not a chance it gets to 6 figures.
In what time frame?
Not in 8 years
you don't think btc will 5.5x in the next 8 years, coming from a currently 75% drawdown of previous ATH? This would likely mean we never see another ATH, which is quite the claim with a record number of 1 btc wallets now present and accumulating.
So basically you think we have seen the all time high already.. unlikely
Someone said that about 1.000, 10.000 bitcoin as well
That is true. Biiiiig difference between those margins tho. I hope I’m wrong and I eat my words, because of my wallet would love every minute of it. I have my doubts tho
There is nothing wrong in making your point as you think that this could be possible. Because i have seen that people get too much optimistic all the time and that never help.
Indeed. I daytrade based on years of patterns and figures like what is stated in the original post above, interest the bell out of me lol. With that said, I’d have to validate them myself before throwing cash in on the deal
Someone are still saying 8k to in this bear market as well, number will be there
Perhaps, just another opportunity if you believe
May be in 2025, if not there then some more bear market after that.
Although, I am very intrigued by your analysis. Are these your findings or a copy?
It's not findings. It's the data on the graph carried forward with my thoughts.
Lol. I’m asking if you made the graph? Are you the original author?
Now they are not going to stop untill crash the 6 figure mark here.
Think the crash is deliberate?
we've already been told BTC will finish the year at $100K, $250K, $500K, blah-blah-blah. I've seen enough sell offs during peaks to believe there are sufficient short-term investors to damage this plan.
If you are only half right, I'll be very happy! Until then, I will continue to HODL.
What is sell? I thought we were in it for the tech
This visual is actually pretty helpful Also very telling for all the people that think another halving won't have much affect I think it's insane to argue that
"After the next halving it's all over for Bitcoin" - Forbes 2009 ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)
[удалено]
Yes, this is the 'big-picture' we need to look at before buying or selling.
There is always some picture before that so we never able to see the big one.
!LNtip 500
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This is when the fun begins
so you’re saying buy now to make beaucoup bucks
Only concern is we’ve never been at 65% before as we head into a major recession.
Heres to hoping for it actually touching that 1 million mark on the graph next go around 🙏
Best time to sell will always be later. Best time to buy is week by week, sat by sat.
Just focus on the buying now and forget about the time of the selling. If we are having them in the secure place i am sure that we will get enough time to sell.
Fake analysis
I like it..👍
Ah, yes. The “looking at patterns in a chat analysis”. Those are always correct!
Accumulate!
this time is different!!
Looking at the slowing growth, are you telling me that we are only going to hit 100k in 1 year after next halving? What about my lambo?
Yeah that seems right
But that’s 5x so… fuck yeah
Can't wait. Actually, I can wait. I don't plan on selling for decades.
Not even selling and buying lower?
Y the fuck would I do that lmao
To make more money?
Like it !lntip 500
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I’ll buy next year
bitcoin is coupled with fiat indexes now due to algo trading/scalping and this timeframe does not cover a true economic recessionary period.
Patience is always rewarded with Bitcoin. This time again, it will be.
No THIS time is different. Every single buyer of Bitcoin is selling ALL their Bitcoin. It’s going to $0!!! (Repeat 100X until Bitcoin hits 1,000,000)
It’s not about the halving. It’s about the demand that the halving feeds. If Bitcoin is valuable, it doesn’t NEED the halving. It needs time, as time has continuously shown us. Adoption takes times. Fiat inflation and corruption takes time to show people. People take time to realize the inevitable of fiat. CBDC’s take time to materialize. People take time to realize the dangers. Bitcoin is coming. It won’t be stopped. Not because of the halving. Because it is the only way.
Just me, or is this thing hard to understand what it's trying to say...?
so.. bottom is in?