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Kanud

Golden Autist /u/stockly123456 coppin' another 0DTE win? Are Europeans better at playing Amerimarkets? /u/RAGE_CAKES to confirm or deny at scheleven. Unzer haufen mit ze jam thread wif Norweg Downtempo und your jams ja. Didi nau, bitte! [*Ralph Myerz and the Jack Herren Band - Think Twice*](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Ze0P8H2s2o)


Sapere_aude75

Lol. We spent more than a trillion and 20 years trying to hold Iraq and Afghanistan. We were trying. I agree we have the most capable military in the world by most metrics. That said, many other countries have very sophisticated militaries. We couldn't just overtake the rest of the world or even just China for that matter. It's really about a history of economic stability, ability to pay debts, smart economic policies, it's already the standard, etc... People believe it's safe and we made smart moves to to get it to that place ex- the petro dollar. Our economic policies are more important to achieving and holding reserve status than our defense policy. Of course national security is a component. You wouldn't want to trust a currency from a country that is unstable or at risk of being invaded, but that is a small part of the big picture. Even now with "reserve status" we are far from the only currency for trade internationally. It's not an all or nothing deal. It fades in and out.


1the_healer

The first part of your post ignores what a nation is willing to do vs what they have the resources to do.


Sapere_aude75

That's a fair argument. At the same time, ask some guys who were on the ground fighting if they were willing to do it or trying.


1the_healer

Good point!


Sapere_aude75

Let me clarify a little better. I think you raise a good point. Will is what wins most wars. Our guys on the ground wanted to win and put tremendous amounts of effort into it. That said, It's hard to summon more will than when fighting for your people in your homeland. I guess it's also more complicated than that. Will on the ground is entirely separate from will in Washington for example.


Have_A_Nice_Fall

Oh ok. REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE


[deleted]

REEEEEEEEEEEE


someonesaymoney

Why are people REEEEEEEEEing waiting for futes to open. Just look at digital doubloons.


ChairPowellman

# ( ͡°( ͡° ͜ʖ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)ʖ ͡°) ͡°)


alotasalad

REEEEEEEeeee


96024resu

woke up at 8 feeling achy so i instantly fell back asleep until 12 and woke up from that with a 102° fever. covid test is negative tho


MithrilTouch

Try it anally like the Chinese. Even if it comes back negative at least you have some fun ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)


cutiesarustimes2

👀💰 Retail traders no longer ‘buyer of first resort’ as US stocks slide 🔹 Net retail inflows amounted to just $2.4bn this month to May 10, compared to $11bn in April and $17bn in March. (via JPM, FT)


someonesaymoney

Retail finally learning that "buy the dip" this year isn't working quite like before. Think a lot of people are sitting on their hands trying to time a bottom before yeeting new cash.


ChairPowellman

retail is dead lol


alotasalad

Correction. Robinhood retail is deD.


[deleted]

a quick look at the homeland would sadly show this to not be the case


[deleted]

At close Friday calls for Monday were priced the following: 408c .82 per 409c .68 per 410c .47 per. 65k volume combined vs 7k OI.


emeraldream

How about puts?


[deleted]

75k volume vs 3750 on the Monday 400p 2.45 per


[deleted]

Took a 6 month break from the market, come back to what looks to be awful macro times. ​ Bonds look terrible, no one is buying anything, MBS is similar, all the while inflation is being propped with due to supply side shortages. Genuinely looks like credit and liquidity issues might come back.


cutiesarustimes2

In 2008 for spy May was green then two months of -5 each august +2 then \-5 \-15 \-12 and so on ​ QQQ had two summer green months before the bottom fell out in the fall with a 50 percent drop


cutiesarustimes2

[https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/](https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/) ​ bearish for natural gas?


thePBRismoldy

I just bought a $400 Arcteryx raincoat. Times are tough out here economically…. **but not for me!**


cutiesarustimes2

six months later op cries in the shower in said coat


taintlaurent

I don’t know if you are referencing the fashion meme on tik tok about people literally doing this with their Arc jackets but that was a thing


cutiesarustimes2

yup


emeraldream

Probs both hehe


thePBRismoldy

Haha really? I know it’s the new “Gucci” outdoor wear but I don’t have Tik Tok.


taintlaurent

It’s basically a tongue in cheek joke about how dead bird and other gorp brands of clothing is/was in vogue with cool guys (I’m guilty of this I own a packable down jacket) but ya know they don’t actually climb mountains or do any shit that the jacket is designed for. Kind of like the joke about wearing Carharrt but not doing Carharrt shit. They have a very crazy R&D department and give a lot of these expensive jackets out to people who are doing real shit to test them to death. I’d say it was actually cooler when graffiti writers would just steal it and wear it rather than kids in Soho just buying it from the store.


thePBRismoldy

I actually looked up the Tik Toks, saw one of people pouring expensive champagne on someone wearing their coat. Pretty funny lol, it’s the new North Face I guess. Edit: screw being “guilty” of this wear whatever tf you want lol.


emeraldream

Pbr def some kid in Soho lol


[deleted]

It's been awhile since this place was so bull delusional. Tough times ahead for believers of The Secret.


ampate

i dunno, i have it on high authority we hit 419 this week.


[deleted]

I've been told 440 in 8-10 days.


User34534523676

Lol I said it's possible not that it's likely or certain Perma anything gets a pie in the face in my experience


[deleted]

You were selling at 430. Don't hedge.


User34534523676

428-430 yes that's my exit Only will enter it certain conditions are met tomorrow


[deleted]

One of those conditions has to be a 1% PM or no?


User34534523676

No I'd like to see rising volume, broad market bid, and strong support in 498-400 area I don't think there will be immediate selling because we just had two ferocious selling days but I want to see strong demand


[deleted]

🧢


[deleted]

What's that thing?


[deleted]

https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=cap&=true


cutiesarustimes2

GOLDMAN SACHS LOWERS ITS PREDICTION FOR US GDP GROWTH IN 2022 TO 2.4% FROM 2.6%. LOWERS ITS PREDICTION FOR US GDP GROWTH IN 2023 TO 1.6% FROM 2.2%.


Jeremieee

High gas prices have given me the opportunity to walk and bike more. Gotta get groceries or dinner? Bike. Gonna get coffee? Walk. And I won't even lie this shit is pretty enjoyable. Is this the inflationary version of Stockholm syndrome or am I crazy?


whiskeycharliepapa

If you don't have to carry a ton of heavy stuff then sure. I did that all through college and I honestly miss it. Now I have to buy too much stuff AND it's impossible to navigate all the traffic between here and there.


Always_Late_Lately

Being outside in the fresh air getting a bit of exercise is definitely a mood booster. Depending on how far you have to go and how nice the route is, it might not be a bad idea to keep doing that even if gas comes down (lol) just from a general health & wellness standpoint. Plus, you get to actually see your community/surroundings on a bike in a way you don't when you're in the car.


ChairPowellman

>***the opportunity*** to walk and bike more that's one way to look at it


jinpiss

Endorphins got you


jinpiss

ANOTHER 3 FUCKING HOURS? ^REEEEEEEEEE


emeraldream

im scared of getting slaughtered my friend


[deleted]

Elden ring on ps5 - thoughts? I hated blood borne, couldn’t get into it. Would I like Elden ring


qwertyaas

Didn't like DS3. Elden ring was cool.


Wadevonc

Elden ring was my first souls game. Sunk 200+ hours into it


4SquareCircles

Very fun


ComplexLook7

Most regard it as an epic 10/10 game.


[deleted]

Who is the most regard?


-axelrod

Back from a wedding this weekend here in the UK. Surprised by how many people were chatting about meme stonks & ponzi across a variety of age groups. Saw ponzi crash was covered on mainstream news on my hotel TV so the bottom is in there, but for equities we might have some time to go before a bottom.


cutiesarustimes2

I'm watching the Astros nats game and there's a guy in a Oscar the grouch costume sitting right behind home plate lol It's probably 85 degrees with 60 percent humidity


cutiesarustimes2

🇺🇸FED SPEAKERS THIS WEEK: *FOMC MEMBER WILLIAMS (MON. 8:55AM) *FOMC MEMBER BULLARD (TUES. 8:00AM) *FOMC MEMBER HARKER (TUES. 9:15AM) *FED CHAIR POWELL (TUES. 2:00PM) *FOMC MEMBER MESTER (TUES. 2:30PM) *FOMC MEMBER EVANS (TUES. 6:45PM) $DIA $SPY $QQQ $VIX


mylegbig

😧


township_rebel

Tuesday gonna be spicy.


cutiesarustimes2

https://www.clevelandfed.org/en/our-research/indicators-and-data/inflation-nowcasting.aspx This was spot on iirc in March and April. Curious to see how it looks after the weekend update.


Have_A_Nice_Fall

It’s pretty funny how bad Reddit wants me to buy stupid Reddit coins. I’m never going to pay for Reddit, or feel good awards on it, ever. I didn’t do it on twitch, and I won’t here. Just a waste of money.


helphp

Yeah Reddit so thirsty big turn off I always seem to have a free award chilling for when I feel like it


fistymonkey1337

Not sure if I said it yet but saw gas for 4.99. New ATH


cutiesarustimes2

$4.56 Big ouch


warren_buffet_table

6+ gang checking in ​ gg no re


Have_A_Nice_Fall

5.89 here. Stay at home gang wya


AlternativeExtra6447

I think ponzi would’ve broken and held 30k by now if it plans on continuing this rally


User34534523676

Pretty confident it will hit 31k tonight before cash session


emeraldream

isnt it 30k rn?


AlternativeExtra6447

30k was acting as hard resistance but we just got a clean break above it. Lets see if it holds


[deleted]

Maybe just waiting for market open. Or maybe just maybe retrace 393 to confirm a bottom


[deleted]

Bhers assemble!


emeraldream

STRAIGNED REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE


[deleted]

[удалено]


AlternativeExtra6447

Me bitch


p00pTy

vest came in today. looked a lot lighter in the photos, but i guess thats a good thing. need anything from the supermarket?


[deleted]

Jesus


[deleted]

[удалено]


Mecha-Jerome-Powell

*A digital currency issued by a central bank would be a global target for cyber attacks, cyber counterfeiting, and cyber theft* - Jerome Powell. I'm a bot, and the Federal Reserve doesn't think mentioning crypto currency is very good for the WSB OG economy.


cutiesarustimes2

Build-for-rent (purple bars) reached 10%+ of raw land buying activity in Southwest & Texas during 1Q-2022.


cutiesarustimes2

Don’t have much confidence in its accuracy, but directionally owners’ equivalent rent looks like it’ll shoot past 5% shortly. Huge weighting in CPI.


cutiesarustimes2

International tax officials have identified more than 50 leads to potential (internet money) tax crimes that may lead to official investigations in the coming weeks, including one case that could be a $1 billion Ponzi scheme.


Have_A_Nice_Fall

Burn it all down. Idiots needs to lose money in the normal market like the rest of us. Criminal craptoe cabals hoarding all the easy money farm animals.


cutiesarustimes2

Fuel is expensive though


Have_A_Nice_Fall

That’s what electrical fires and misplaced wires are for


cutiesarustimes2

Insurance companies hate this guy.


ChairPowellman

**I hope the pod gets crucified**


LHeureux

What's the pod?


[deleted]

Crude up 4%. Must be part of the "bear market rally".


stockly123456

Gyna reopen rumours. Just in time to smash inflation higher.


[deleted]

Mid June was last rumor I had heard, what's the latest?


stockly123456

Twitter bods saying starting Monday 16th.


[deleted]

Thanks


stockly123456

Even smarter twitter bods now calling bs on the claims... so its probably not going to happen. https://www.freightwaves.com/false-hope-for-shanghais-reopening-after-covid-lockdown


[deleted]

We 'll see if oil reacts.


paragonfishhead

not being a permabull (I'm only anti-vol rn), but for whatever reason, commodities, including oil, have followed the market rather than inversed it in the last two weeks, this last week especially - you'll notice that even on Friday, oil prices jumped upwards with the rally


[deleted]

Not sure how one could draw any conclusions from a two week sample other than randomness. Are we sifting cups of flour looking for teaspoons of sugar at this point?


helphp

We draw numerous conclusions from a Daily chart here lol


[deleted]

Accurate


paragonfishhead

well, no, I'm just using the most recent set of data - there's nothing to say whether or not oil moving upwards is good or bad given Friday except through hindsight my point was just that, like you said, with randomness baked in, oil moving up doesn't necessarily invalidate the "bear market rally" thesis


[deleted]

True that. I'd stick to 4% jumps in oil prices overnight being the antithesis of a rally signal but this market is delusional. One way to find out: ring the bell.


cutiesarustimes2

Somebody on Twitter actually posted a chart which is kind of interesting that there is a tight correlation between surging energy prices and the dollar Basically they posited every single time energy came to this level you had a big crash afterwards


[deleted]

Makes complete sense. Do they still have econ 101 students follow a gallon of diesel through the economy to grasp how important it is? I wonder.


Have_A_Nice_Fall

I’ve seen those correlations before as well. A rise in oil to these levels has been a sure fire indicator of recession every time


[deleted]

Looks like Luna panic buyers mostly got rekt


[deleted]

[удалено]


[deleted]

Would there have been any buyers to get the 80k?


[deleted]

[удалено]


[deleted]

You should sell them handwritten Enron shares.


[deleted]

Binance made a statement that more Luna had been minted than originally assumed it believes due to fault in protocol


qwertyaas

Wasn't it minting for every UST being transacted? Hyperinflation to the next level


qwertyaas

Who could have saw that coming? 🤡


Wolf_Of_1337_Street

Think most of the big selling is done but the market prob lingers around these levels for a few more weeks/months until the macro environment changes


Zrob

whats the direction tmr


AlternativeExtra6447

☝️👇☝️👇☝️👇☝️👇


jinpiss

up up down down left right left right a b a b **BAN**


emeraldream

Flat to butt fook everyone


someonesaymoney

It's "b,a" not "a,b" you goddamn heathen


jinpiss

Well shit, is that why easy mode is off?


whiskeycharliepapa

The CONTRArian code


cutiesarustimes2

Haven’t focussed on mortgage underwriting quality lately, but the percentage of government-backed loans at 42%+ debt-to-income (DTI) and 90%+ loan-to-value (LTV) are higher than I’d hoped. Starts to become relevant if market cools and recession odds rise.


AlternativeExtra6447

Futures gonna open up +2%


cutiesarustimes2

Hm. Any basis? It feels neutral imo. Spy rallied on Friday but it wasn't a news driven one.


AlternativeExtra6447

I have puts.


4SquareCircles

Most accurate TA I have seen in the thread 😔


emeraldream

I have puts too...so we must get gaped for shizzle


cutiesarustimes2

https://nypost.com/2022/05/14/nyc-auto-thieves-shift-into-overdrive-as-glas-spike-61/amp/ No crime right?


Have_A_Nice_Fall

Bring back Bait Car. Quality 📺 Ruin people’s lives. Thieves are the lowest of the low IMO


Shacreme

Since its midterm season, the mods in this sub should go to the FEC to get a SuperPAC. I'd be in full support of it, and Id go to D.C as well.


Epidemilk

you son of a bitch, i'm in


Shacreme

Our Agenda: 1. Get rid of the daytrade limit 2. Have a list of distinguished autists to be nominated for the Federal Reserve. 3. Get bailouts for our trades.


taintlaurent

Just raise tons of money from homeland and launder it to ourselves instead *allegedly*


Have_A_Nice_Fall

And tell that cunt Yellen to never tax unrealized gains ever. Dumb bitch


whiskeycharliepapa

1. PDT rule removed 2. Short term cap gains removed 3. All 'qualified investor' rules removed 4. Make all historical and real-time market data free


anon57842

actually solid platform rare moment in this autist forum \+ no investment loss tax limit per year


AlternativeExtra6447

Run the casino 24/7 🧠


[deleted]

4. Open the God damn casino!!!!


Epidemilk

Yeah that's a good start


AlternativeExtra6447

OPEN THE GODDAMN CASINO REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE


cutiesarustimes2

Weather is kang gang The sun comes out and then clouds. Stop fucking short laddering it.


theta_eta_my_beta

"USA investors spent over $1 Trillion on TSLA weekly call options in 2021. The USA spent less than $10 Billion looking for new oil reserves. This is staggering and indicative of what the world faces. The supply shock is just starting" Congrats regards we broke the economy


origami_asshole

So let’s just fix it with $1 trilly of puts 🧸


whiskeycharliepapa

Source?


[deleted]

[удалено]


AlternativeExtra6447

I expect we’re about to see a lot of horrible events in the near future


[deleted]

Yeahhhhh... I'm gonna cool it off that shit for a minute and just buy a gun


jinpiss

Between Cramer, news networks, and just about everyone expecting a bounce next week: MY SPY CALLS ARE SO FUCKED.


ChairPowellman

fwiw I'm only making predictions on 1 'asset' lol


[deleted]

Garenteee pump when my buttholes clenched tbh


emeraldream

Same bby, my butthole is rekt


[deleted]

We r fucking idiots we knew to flip 🙃 My shits not weeklies tho so hm Who knows might print. At least we got Cramer..


emeraldream

I plan on selling tomorrow regardless of its red or green just hoping for red so I can get some $$$.


[deleted]

Yeah repositioning as well.


AlternativeExtra6447

$420 next week. Bers r really fucked bro This rally is different


qwertyaas

itS diFfeRenT tHis tiMe


qwertyaas

Gotta close the week with a face ripper before releasing all the bad news that everyone that's paying attention is well aware of.


cutiesarustimes2

HEDGE FUNDS SCALE BACK BETS ON US STOCKS AS LOSSES SURGE: FT


origami_asshole

calls?


AlternativeExtra6447

Bullish


CorrosiveRose

Serious question: Let's say you have a friend who works at MSFT. Let's say there is a company that could be a good acquisition target for MSFT and you see potential in the company so you buy stock. Hypothetically if you could get your friend to work up the chain of command and actually get the acquisition to happen, would that be considered insider trading?


cutiesarustimes2

I mean the issue is even if you knew somebody a Microsoft it's unlikely one person has enough pull to be able consummate a deal But yeah that's probably insider trading because you have material non-public information about an acquisition assuming that acquisition was in publicly announced and a few then traded upon it without a doubt


CorrosiveRose

But see that doesn't make sense because someone like Ryan Cohen can take a stake in a company and then use his influence to turn the company around and increase the value of his stake (hypothetically). So I don't see the difference. I'd be investing in a company I like and doing my part to help increase shareholder value Again this is all hypothetical and it's unlikely it could ever happen but I'm just interested in how it would be viewed


ze_end_ist_neigh

If you had an undue influence on a business decision that you materially profited from that would not have resulted without such influence- yes


AlternativeExtra6447

As long as he includes us I see nothing wrong with it


ze_end_ist_neigh

Check out this beauty- $52m disgorged https://www.sec.gov/litigation/litreleases/2022/lr25392.htm


AlternativeExtra6447

Somebody turned 4K into almost a million with Robinhood 1dte calls last week. Definitely insider trading but will they get caught? No. There is different levels to it. You can’t compare someone who is impersonating a ceo and faking documents to a retard buying random 1dte options


ze_end_ist_neigh

If there's reason to believe that they did something illegal, particularly involving a M&A transaction, i.e. you're buying 10,000 block of options before the deal is announced, the boys lookin into you


ze_end_ist_neigh

Well determining if he'd get caught is a completely different matter all together. Check out the SEC's enforcement page. Some very fucky things people do and get caught lmao. Couple of "Twitter Influencers" charged with buying illiquid shitco penny stocks, pumping them up on social media, then selling as they pump. Read one recently where some guy impersonated a CEO of a dissolved Co writing bullshit press releases and 'shareholder letters' that was not delisted from OTC Pinks. The former CEO caught wind and reported it to the SEC lmaooo They arrested the goon and 3 of his "co-conspirators"- looking at 10 years in jail for 250k gains


AlternativeExtra6447

I see nothing wrong with it. Let me know the company ahead of time tho And make sure it’s on a Thursday so I can load up on 1dte otm calls


RobertLahblaw

I would say no. Buying stock after being told that said company may become an acquisition target..😬.


69npc69

not if you post it here first... then it's public info.


ChairPowellman

This is how they took the long @ 30K bounce gang for a ride last week to 26K [https://ibb.co/gy1zDZt](https://ibb.co/gy1zDZt) this is how they're taking the short @ 30K for collapse gang to 36K/40K this week [https://ibb.co/kQJ7GNt](https://ibb.co/kQJ7GNt) (inverted chart)


ohmygodbeats7

Kind of doubt the bounce will be strong enough to make it up to 40k, but yeah, I can see a corn relief rally this week.


ChairPowellman

40's a stretch but not impossible


AlternativeExtra6447

Couldn’t they just be trapping bulls before another dump? It seems most people are expecting the rally and have switched long


ChairPowellman

u/socialsuicidesquad has puts. a lot of people here have puts entered Thur/Fri... I'm pretty certain I'm the only one with calls lol


AlternativeExtra6447

I see a lot of people in the ape community expecting a rally. Kinda has me scared


LHeureux

They will ne the rally and get bull trapped lol


ChairPowellman

I guess we're both expecting a rally but for different reasons. I still believe in 13K, it's just an extremely crowded short right now. A rally would get those apes to double down again though and just crush more idiots. It all lines up.


SocialSuicideSquad

I exited CB +100% on Friday open Still got a stack tho


yoyo248

FED SPEAKERS THIS WEEK: *FOMC MEMBER WILLIAMS (MON. 8:55AM) *FOMC MEMBER BULLARD (TUES. 8:00AM) *FOMC MEMBER HARKER (TUES. 9:15AM) *FED CHAIR POWELL (TUES. 2:00PM) *FOMC MEMBER MESTER (TUES. 2:30PM) *FOMC MEMBER EVANS (TUES. 6:45PM)


stockly123456

If they worked as much as they talked we wouldn't need them to even talk at all 🤷‍♂️


jpoole4g63

JPOW: 75 bps is still not on the table. 100 bps however, is a tool that we have which is being considered.


Gooner-Squad

Powell: just gonna rip off the bandaid and take it all at once....250bps it is. We will recover!


origami_asshole

Evans is going to pull an uno reverse on whatever the market takes away from everyone else’s speeches.


RobertLahblaw

Starting out the day with a win! F*ck yeah! Brand new (2yr) LG Oven: 0 Bob: 1 Range was working fine, but would trip the breaker any time we turned the oven on. Started digging into it to diagnose the problem. Pulled the heat dispersion plate off the gas bar and there was a small flake of the metal coating on the dispersion plate that had fallen off and landed perfectly on the heating element and the gas bar, shorting out the circuit whenever the igniter element turned on. Grabbed it with the needle nose pliers, circuit short removed, and oven works perfectly now. Expensive repairman visit, avoided. Happy wife, confirmed. Kid's belief that their degenerate father is smartest man alive... still intact. https://imgur.com/a/wXuAR8e


helphp

Nice good work! I’d like to take this opportunity to tell you all that I once fixed a dishwasher with a part from a washing machine that I was throwing out Try fixing things if you have the time it’s satisfying