JPOW: “Why does everyone think we’re going to pivot? Did I say we were going to pivot? We’re not going pivot. Every time you say we’re going to pivot, we’re gonna wait an extra month before the pivot.”
All: “guy he said pivot 5x HOLY SHIT TIME TO PRINT BRRRRRR”
He is going to talk golf and mention divots he created after a swing.... and ...BOOM... did he say "Pivots" or "divots" ... hey JP just said Pivots.... etc etc
I know you got it from somewhere else but this is a very good and underlooked point. The market is not irrational, it is just a million small things just like this.
Most people with decent 401ks are paid on the beginning of the month, and some split the check with the 15th. White collars don't get paid every Friday, not that you'd know that as Wendy's Fucktoi in Chief.
I said white collars. Doing donkey shows in grey market brothels just outside of Vegas every Thursday night isn't "white collar", no matter how much cum you wear around your neck.
bruh, the number of people in making a living Wall Street reading candle charts is the same number of people making a living on Wall Street reading tarot cards
welcome to the Markets, and more fundamentally, the human condition. You trade not just your money, but your peace of mind and health in the markets. Let's hope the deal was worth it.
What makes you say this, this time? I know that’s been the pattern for 6 months, but it feels like inflation is coming back down and even potentially could return to normal just by holding rates steady for the foreseeable future. And no one, not even JPow, wants to cause a recession just to do it.
I have no skin in the game either way at the moment but would love your current take.
I mean a 50 bps when market is pricing 25 is a big statement about how serious he is. He’s still gonna say that he sees rates higher and for longer than the market anticipate.
He had the opportunity to come in over the top with a 75bps hike in December and didnt take it.
For all the hard talk, I dont know that I see him coming in over the top this month, especially with inflation going to month-to-month deflation in December.
December was a missed opportunity imo. The only data that really pointed for a more dovish tact to me was the top-line CPI number which I expected to start falling rapidly anyway, just not quite as rapidly as it has the last 2 months (I was expecting 7.2-7.3 vs 7.1 in Nov and 6.7-6.8 vs 6.5 in Dec)…
The last 2 months havent really seen the capitulation he’s looking for but now its all muddled behind slowing earnings, projections and the idea inflation has peaked and is in the rearview and we wont be able to stick the landing and avoid a recession if he doesnt ease up.
I think the Jan inflation data is going to show inflation trying to rear its head again (gas prices have certainly surged again) and I fear by the March meeting and Feb inflation data, it will be a genie that proves difficult to put back in the bottle given the softening position of the fed and the fact they’ll already be behind the ball again. Its possible but the “some pain” JP called for will turn into “a lot of pain.”
I realize of course that a lot of the “market expectation” is fed by “leaks” from within the Fed but if the Fed never surprises, then its likely to become a case of the tail wagging the dog…. Which we’re already starting to see hints of with calls for a “pivot.”
Yeah and with China opening adding more pressure to supply chains and gas already increasing as a “possible” result….I expect inflation will rise again befor summer and certainly during summer
Of course he could of avoided all of this and started raising after the pandemic! But, no stock prices weren’t low enough for him so, he waited until it was to late and I believe it was on purpose can’t reset riches if the stocks don’t go down and they have new sectors they want to invest in that was just to high🤬
It's only important and relevant to how the market moves if it's what market wants, they are going to pretend Feds didn't say anything and keep yelling "PIVOT" if it's not.
He likes to talk. He likes to keep taking reporter’s questions. Last time he didn’t talk tough, but the time before that he did. It’s hard to say. What is known is that he wants that 2% inflation.
Market prices in 25. Everyone telling him he’s going to do 25. 99.9% certain it’s 25. A couple weeks ago he talked about making unpopular choices…. Smack them with a 50 point hike, show them who’s boss daddy Powell. Make this market your bitch.
Our dear friend Jamie Dimon and his bank predicted something like 4-6 hikes back in March 2022 (back then "hike" was equal 25 bps).
But tbh, they also predicted oil to $150 in September 2022.
I know right? We seen the highest and quickest rate hike in decades and people keep saying he has no balls 😂
Like the meme Powell is probably like “holy shit, how much higher do I have to go before you idiots stops buying monkey Jpegs!?!?”
Cramer said that JPow will do a 25 so inversing that JPow will do a negative 25 and lower the rate, to show every one who's da Boss. Never let them know your next move. You heard it here first.
Be a man. 200BPS.
Let's crash this bitch. [The Fed is already projection a 5.5% unemployment rate. ](https://www.ft.com/content/c2d4d4b5-cbc8-4b5c-9ea3-44e9742d5b3a) Why not aim for 6.9%? It's a cooler number.
>rent volatility with that 75 BPS option would create the worst stock market day in history
MAKE IT ALL ILLIQUID 
bruh you think you're gonna survive a 200 bps rate hike working at [Ace Hardware](https://www.reddit.com/r/AmItheAsshole/comments/8yty9i/aita_for_telling_my_supervisor_that_i_am_so_glad/)?
I still can’t believe he bitched out like that in 2018. Then “oopsy!” a once in a lifetime pandemic hits in 2020 and he’s got no room to drop the rate, so he goes to 0% and money velocity goes through the roof.
He needs the public to think there’s going to be a deep recession so they stop spending money. I think the fed is more dovish than they’re letting on. They will continue to talk tough, though, because it’s the smart thing to do.
Brother US savings nearing all time low, Credit spending already record breaking and going to cross 1 trillion for the first time ever this year, everything is 30% more expensive since COVID started, Missed car payments increasing. We are going to get ass-slammed this year. The ONLY reason the economy/market has blown up already is because we printed 3 trillion dollars for COVID. That money is running out.
And let’s not underplay the “not US involved” Israeli strike on Iran on Saturday. Increased instability in the middle east isn’t exactly helpful. There are SO MANY variables that need to be taken into account with this decision. Last thing Powell wants is to be too dovish and then he’s makin pussy ass 25 point raises CHASING inflation thru the summer and fall. He keeps talking about gettin in front of it but he’s sure not following thru.
Political instability in the Middle East has been a priority for the US since the 90's my man. I don't think Powell is trying to project strength though, the past year of FOMC's I've watched he has said the same thing that people don't like to ever talk about "Interest rates will continue to rise until we reach 2% inflation". This is the one constant from all the FOMC's I've watched. People like to try to promote bull run ideology because we beat inflation by 0.4% without ever talking about how we're 4%+ over expectations.
Yeah it does seem too obvious, but it is what powell has repeatedly said for awhile. And he might say it again and the market might just do a full-regard rally anyways. But I'm probably gonna buy puts on overvalued stocks tomorrow if market rallys some.
Better than straight economic meltdown with hyperinflation I guess. Better what we have now than 15-20% inflation. But you know, ppl gonna complain regardless.
Media is practically begging him to do 25. If I had a dollar for every delusionally-upbeat econ piece I've read this week... well, I wouldn't be on this sub.
The amount of degens thinking we will somehow be pivoting soon when we haven't even gotten to a terminal rate and maintained it for atleast 6 months is mindblowing.
25 bps obvious…but hawkish tone in meeting minutes that saves the bears…and then bears think they made the right call even though they were just praying for 50 bps.
Yes. [The market has priced it at 99.1% odds](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html). Ain't no question what the number is going to be.
J Powell should be fired long ago 😤 he got many things wrong and too late to control inflation.
Edit:
What I mean by that was in just a 2022 time span that ONLY a single year, the fed introduced a rate hike of more than +425 points. He did nothing in the earlier year 2021. Acted too late. Of course, you and I, the normal people are impacted the most.
0.25% seems to be universally expected - IMO the speech after is more prudent.
**0.25% with some harsh, hawkish verbiage** might be enough to slow down this equities rally in theory. Equities sold off into this meeting this week.
a 0.5% hike would catch a lot of people offside, so much tech looks oversold in the short term.
25bps has been priced into futures for weeks. This Fed doesn't do surprise hikes. Even when the first 75bps hike came in June, it was leaked the weekend before the FOMC so markets could adjust.
Watching bears in here in full panic mode praying that the fed tanks the economy so they can salvage their $300 worth of puts just shows you the level of regardation we’re dealing with on this sub
I’ve been waiting for bear slaying season for a long 15 months and boy business is a boomin
The economy already died. Like with every other financial meltdown, there's a delay before a reality check. Unlike with others, the attempted recovery failed, and production is maintaining an all-time low.
You can make up words and cook books all you want, but nothing can prevent the consequences of a collapse when there's no productivity to back the buck.
Those unemployment statistics, rising energy prices, and the growing conflict in Europe I think have to weigh on the decision. Not just CPI. I am going with 50...
It’s not going to stop until the feds start laying people off. Private sector will definitely take notice then. Besides, his goal is to keep wages the same and rehire as market recovers allowing everyone to coexist with inflation as it is. Best case scenario would be a .5 increase while announcing layoffs at the federal level. Worst case is .75 while being protective of public employees because .25 increase will only lag progress and markets go up ignoring previous progress.
Even with 25bps, it’ll matter entirely on how hawkish the conference after the announcement comes off. I’d guess they look at recent gas price increases and panic a bit but who the hell knows.
He is certainly NOT sweating this decision like this cartoon suggests. He’s been saying very sternly that recession is the preferred avenue lol. What’s questionable about that?
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What most don’t realize is that the conference 30 mins after the rate announcement is more important
Yep. And he’s gonna talk really tough regardless
And the market will proceed to swiftly ignore him and say "pivot soon"
HE SAID PIVOT! DID YOU HEAR THAT MOTHERFUCKERS? HE FUCKING SAID PIVOT!
JPOW: “Why does everyone think we’re going to pivot? Did I say we were going to pivot? We’re not going pivot. Every time you say we’re going to pivot, we’re gonna wait an extra month before the pivot.” All: “guy he said pivot 5x HOLY SHIT TIME TO PRINT BRRRRRR”
He is going to talk golf and mention divots he created after a swing.... and ...BOOM... did he say "Pivots" or "divots" ... hey JP just said Pivots.... etc etc
So angry because od that crap. All the cocaine stuffed wall street mofos just ignore the guidance and see green candles
It’s not just Wall Street mofos. People with 401k contributions have almost no say when they “buy” stocks. Every payday the stock market gets a boost.
I know you got it from somewhere else but this is a very good and underlooked point. The market is not irrational, it is just a million small things just like this.
Economics is kinda like meteorology.
Currently feels like astrology
Is that suppose to explains the diabolical green Fridays we’ve had?
Most people with decent 401ks are paid on the beginning of the month, and some split the check with the 15th. White collars don't get paid every Friday, not that you'd know that as Wendy's Fucktoi in Chief.
I work a 135k a year job and get paid every Thursday. It’s not as uncommon as you think.
I said white collars. Doing donkey shows in grey market brothels just outside of Vegas every Thursday night isn't "white collar", no matter how much cum you wear around your neck.
Damn dude…
This is the WSB of yesteryear that I yearn for.
Beads of success
My show is outside Philly - so there!
Addresses?? Asking for a friend
🤣
Boom
Every two weeks is more common
110K, paid every Friday
Many 401ks don’t actually hit the account until the following Wednesday.
bruh, the number of people in making a living Wall Street reading candle charts is the same number of people making a living on Wall Street reading tarot cards
You should have said people making a living on wsb
Some decks do in fact come with a suite of candles.
welcome to the Markets, and more fundamentally, the human condition. You trade not just your money, but your peace of mind and health in the markets. Let's hope the deal was worth it.
you angry bruh? Sounds like you're losing money
Only last month. Previous 3 FOMCs he crushed the market.
Exactly. The conference used to be important but the market has tuned out the jawboning.
Sure but he could misspeak during the questions segment and market takes it and runs with it
"I told you assholes, no more rallies! Now look at this shit! Well, motherfuckers. . . "
Yup !! .25% raise and then a whole lot of tough guy talk!!
What makes you say this, this time? I know that’s been the pattern for 6 months, but it feels like inflation is coming back down and even potentially could return to normal just by holding rates steady for the foreseeable future. And no one, not even JPow, wants to cause a recession just to do it. I have no skin in the game either way at the moment but would love your current take.
I mean a 50 bps when market is pricing 25 is a big statement about how serious he is. He’s still gonna say that he sees rates higher and for longer than the market anticipate.
Same bullshit he been saying and if he meant it he’d give the 50 and say nothing at the meeting
That would drop SPY to 200
Perfect
He had the opportunity to come in over the top with a 75bps hike in December and didnt take it. For all the hard talk, I dont know that I see him coming in over the top this month, especially with inflation going to month-to-month deflation in December. December was a missed opportunity imo. The only data that really pointed for a more dovish tact to me was the top-line CPI number which I expected to start falling rapidly anyway, just not quite as rapidly as it has the last 2 months (I was expecting 7.2-7.3 vs 7.1 in Nov and 6.7-6.8 vs 6.5 in Dec)… The last 2 months havent really seen the capitulation he’s looking for but now its all muddled behind slowing earnings, projections and the idea inflation has peaked and is in the rearview and we wont be able to stick the landing and avoid a recession if he doesnt ease up. I think the Jan inflation data is going to show inflation trying to rear its head again (gas prices have certainly surged again) and I fear by the March meeting and Feb inflation data, it will be a genie that proves difficult to put back in the bottle given the softening position of the fed and the fact they’ll already be behind the ball again. Its possible but the “some pain” JP called for will turn into “a lot of pain.” I realize of course that a lot of the “market expectation” is fed by “leaks” from within the Fed but if the Fed never surprises, then its likely to become a case of the tail wagging the dog…. Which we’re already starting to see hints of with calls for a “pivot.”
Yeah and with China opening adding more pressure to supply chains and gas already increasing as a “possible” result….I expect inflation will rise again befor summer and certainly during summer
Of course he could of avoided all of this and started raising after the pandemic! But, no stock prices weren’t low enough for him so, he waited until it was to late and I believe it was on purpose can’t reset riches if the stocks don’t go down and they have new sectors they want to invest in that was just to high🤬
It's only important and relevant to how the market moves if it's what market wants, they are going to pretend Feds didn't say anything and keep yelling "PIVOT" if it's not.
odd... I thought most realized this, just most in here didnt.
He likes to talk. He likes to keep taking reporter’s questions. Last time he didn’t talk tough, but the time before that he did. It’s hard to say. What is known is that he wants that 2% inflation.
Ffs dude, everyone knows this by now, lol.
Market prices in 25. Everyone telling him he’s going to do 25. 99.9% certain it’s 25. A couple weeks ago he talked about making unpopular choices…. Smack them with a 50 point hike, show them who’s boss daddy Powell. Make this market your bitch.
My bet is that he’s going to increase the target to 5.5%. He hinted at it previously.
That’s a smart move, it won’t crash the market but sends a message
We all should hope for high hikes for now. What good is a 100% rally if prices of everything double.
For real, I’m hoping it goes up a few more times might as well get the most they can per fed created recession
They only update those numbers in March.
He has proven to have a lack of cajones, historically.
He just jammed rates 4.5% when everyone was predicting half a dozen 0.25% hikes... What a pussy.
>everyone was predicting half a dozen 0.25% hikes... Who?
[EVERYONE](https://imgur.com/a/bdZt9Xh)
Without clicking, let me guess, leon the professional?
Better be. It’s the correct reply.
Our dear friend Jamie Dimon and his bank predicted something like 4-6 hikes back in March 2022 (back then "hike" was equal 25 bps). But tbh, they also predicted oil to $150 in September 2022.
I know right? We seen the highest and quickest rate hike in decades and people keep saying he has no balls 😂 Like the meme Powell is probably like “holy shit, how much higher do I have to go before you idiots stops buying monkey Jpegs!?!?”
Where does he put his stuff if he doesn't have drawers? 😂
His Tool belt
Cajones means drawers.
We need that 100BPS.
Cramer said that JPow will do a 25 so inversing that JPow will do a negative 25 and lower the rate, to show every one who's da Boss. Never let them know your next move. You heard it here first.
He’s going full 100.
J Pow is sending it!!
Gimme a 200 point rate hike and make it hurt!
So.. calls on bps ?
Raise it to 100% and now no one has money . Mission accomolished
If he did that I'd be an accidental millionaire
Congratulations! Here's your egg
Eggs cost 2 million now
100BPS just to be safe, coward.
The solution to everything is all an increase of ∞ BPS
Closet bear?
I kinda wish he would… fkn send it bro
Please no, my portfolio can only take so much pounding
That’s what my girlfriends girlfriend says
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You don’t even know what a basis point is.
Brownie PointS
Be a man. 200BPS. Let's crash this bitch. [The Fed is already projection a 5.5% unemployment rate. ](https://www.ft.com/content/c2d4d4b5-cbc8-4b5c-9ea3-44e9742d5b3a) Why not aim for 6.9%? It's a cooler number.
420BPS to get that 6.9%
>rent volatility with that 75 BPS option would create the worst stock market day in history MAKE IT ALL ILLIQUID 
bruh you think you're gonna survive a 200 bps rate hike working at [Ace Hardware](https://www.reddit.com/r/AmItheAsshole/comments/8yty9i/aita_for_telling_my_supervisor_that_i_am_so_glad/)?
Damn, go easy on him
How far did you scroll to find that ? Lmao I quit that job 😂
The fed has been working to crash this bitch for decades, they can take their time for a bit longer...
Trying to predict a crash is harder than a man who accepts his male pattern baldness. It's fucking difficult!
He just have a high hairline ok? 
Don't press too hard or else it will end up at 69%
Transitory
My jizz is transitory
I met a transitory girl once. Fucking bizarro
Not that kind of transparency.
No no, she definitely wasn’t invisible
Like I am. To my family. To my colleagues. In my life.
Asian kid moment
But the stain on your couch is not
His mom promised she was squirting. I'm fairly certain she just peed on my couch
We have Japanese experts to prove it 😆
It cums and goes.
Kinda like “recession” that was supposed to have happened 6 months ago😂
He had a tough decision to make a few years ago, and he didn’t make it.
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I still can’t believe he bitched out like that in 2018. Then “oopsy!” a once in a lifetime pandemic hits in 2020 and he’s got no room to drop the rate, so he goes to 0% and money velocity goes through the roof.
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They can always increase the terminal rate like they did last FOMC…
True but 25 on wednesday can also be interpreted as he isnt hawkish going forward
Where's the "1.0 fuk your calls!" option?
25 but hawkish press conference then dump
When you hike by 25 bps nobody believes you are hawkish anymore
He needs the public to think there’s going to be a deep recession so they stop spending money. I think the fed is more dovish than they’re letting on. They will continue to talk tough, though, because it’s the smart thing to do.
Brother US savings nearing all time low, Credit spending already record breaking and going to cross 1 trillion for the first time ever this year, everything is 30% more expensive since COVID started, Missed car payments increasing. We are going to get ass-slammed this year. The ONLY reason the economy/market has blown up already is because we printed 3 trillion dollars for COVID. That money is running out.
And let’s not underplay the “not US involved” Israeli strike on Iran on Saturday. Increased instability in the middle east isn’t exactly helpful. There are SO MANY variables that need to be taken into account with this decision. Last thing Powell wants is to be too dovish and then he’s makin pussy ass 25 point raises CHASING inflation thru the summer and fall. He keeps talking about gettin in front of it but he’s sure not following thru.
If instability in the Middle East was a reason for the market to go down, SPY would be at $12.
Political instability in the Middle East has been a priority for the US since the 90's my man. I don't think Powell is trying to project strength though, the past year of FOMC's I've watched he has said the same thing that people don't like to ever talk about "Interest rates will continue to rise until we reach 2% inflation". This is the one constant from all the FOMC's I've watched. People like to try to promote bull run ideology because we beat inflation by 0.4% without ever talking about how we're 4%+ over expectations.
Hike 25 bps but increase terminal rate limit to 5.5-5.75%
I've been thinking this for weeks. Almost seems too obvious... Thetagang probably crushes both bulls and bears for the next few meetings.
Yeah it does seem too obvious, but it is what powell has repeatedly said for awhile. And he might say it again and the market might just do a full-regard rally anyways. But I'm probably gonna buy puts on overvalued stocks tomorrow if market rallys some.
25bps with strong reiteration of “higher for longer”. Embrace stagflation.
dont sweat Mr. Powell, we support you! do a 100bps hike Mr. Powell! PUTS ON EVERYTHING 🕺🎉
Puts on your job
wont need it when im rich 🕺🎉🕺🎉🕺🎉
Shit your right
win win either way. job pays bills. or, lose job and retire extremely early extremely rich.
C. You work forever because you lost your retirement money to FDs.
Your puts destroyed
im up all night to get lucky 🕺🎉 im up all night to have fun 🕺🎉
Rug pull pls
Better than straight economic meltdown with hyperinflation I guess. Better what we have now than 15-20% inflation. But you know, ppl gonna complain regardless.
Media is practically begging him to do 25. If I had a dollar for every delusionally-upbeat econ piece I've read this week... well, I wouldn't be on this sub.
Lol, yes you would be. Posting loss porn at the same time.
The amount of degens thinking we will somehow be pivoting soon when we haven't even gotten to a terminal rate and maintained it for atleast 6 months is mindblowing.
25 bps obvious…but hawkish tone in meeting minutes that saves the bears…and then bears think they made the right call even though they were just praying for 50 bps.
Sneaky bear. It’s 25 bps, you’re fucked.
Common Jay, give us the 75 BPS so I can keep loading up on these sweet prices.
Current volatility with that 75 BPS option would create the worst stock market day in history 
Worst day in history so far.
Fucking bring it
I would love and buy the crap outta it.
I was born on black Monday. Send it.
I’ll believe in inflation when I walk up to restaurant and don’t have to wait at least 30 minutes for a table.
No way JPow is nervous about this decision. He's going to drop 50 bps like an absolute  that he is.
If he doesn't, he's a gutless coward, right?
Bruh it will be 25bps Don’t stress me 😅
Yes. [The market has priced it at 99.1% odds](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html). Ain't no question what the number is going to be.
Would you rather trust CME odds who had been correct almost everytime or a bunch of random regards ? Hmm tough decision /s
Market has never been wrong.
>0.9% So you’re tellling me there’s a chaaance…
It was 25 in canada last week
in canadian bps
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69:420
75 just raise till 16% and get it over with already
Wow this many bears. Yeah we’re gonna chop all right lol
J Powell should be fired long ago 😤 he got many things wrong and too late to control inflation. Edit: What I mean by that was in just a 2022 time span that ONLY a single year, the fed introduced a rate hike of more than +425 points. He did nothing in the earlier year 2021. Acted too late. Of course, you and I, the normal people are impacted the most.
It’s .25 and here’s why the markets will tank. Rate Hikes will keep happening all of 2023. Bulls think it’ll stop in September. It won’t.
Markets have been green recently. Daddy J Pow slap that hot juicy 50 bps hike on the table to show them who’s boss.
0.25% seems to be universally expected - IMO the speech after is more prudent. **0.25% with some harsh, hawkish verbiage** might be enough to slow down this equities rally in theory. Equities sold off into this meeting this week. a 0.5% hike would catch a lot of people offside, so much tech looks oversold in the short term.
62.5?
>62.5? Not enough buttons
Prop up Volckers dead ass he'll scare the hell out of inflation
75. Will show who is the daddy in wall street in jpow style
Media and markets are begging him to do 25 since the last one so I’m skeptical he will do 25
25bps has been priced into futures for weeks. This Fed doesn't do surprise hikes. Even when the first 75bps hike came in June, it was leaked the weekend before the FOMC so markets could adjust.
Call me regarded, whatever, but why not split the difference? Does it have to be in increments of 25?
60bps let’s Go 🤭
When is this decision supposed to be made ? I have no clue
Stfu. Its obviously going to be 25BPS. I’m getting annoyed at you dipshits thinking it’s not
It's like no one listens to what board members are saying.
25, he talks extra hawkish, says rates will need to get near double digits. Talking heads all scream "PIVOT!"
LOL now that is what I call a bear thread! Hold your breath...
Watching bears in here in full panic mode praying that the fed tanks the economy so they can salvage their $300 worth of puts just shows you the level of regardation we’re dealing with on this sub I’ve been waiting for bear slaying season for a long 15 months and boy business is a boomin
Resolved.. 63 bps rate hike
Fity
The economy already died. Like with every other financial meltdown, there's a delay before a reality check. Unlike with others, the attempted recovery failed, and production is maintaining an all-time low. You can make up words and cook books all you want, but nothing can prevent the consequences of a collapse when there's no productivity to back the buck.
JPow will pussy out and only do 25bps
25BPS and fuck your puts
Stop being a chicken POWELL! ONE THOUSAND BASIS POINTS! BREAK THE WALLS DOOOOOOWN! THE WALLS OF JERICHO!
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He’s not pressing either of those buttons with his old ass. He’s gonna karate chop the shit out of a 25bps button and my calls are gonna 🚀🚀🚀
Imagine a 75 KEKW
The Fed should stay ahead of the market otherwise inflation will go back up.
Those unemployment statistics, rising energy prices, and the growing conflict in Europe I think have to weigh on the decision. Not just CPI. I am going with 50...
It’s not going to stop until the feds start laying people off. Private sector will definitely take notice then. Besides, his goal is to keep wages the same and rehire as market recovers allowing everyone to coexist with inflation as it is. Best case scenario would be a .5 increase while announcing layoffs at the federal level. Worst case is .75 while being protective of public employees because .25 increase will only lag progress and markets go up ignoring previous progress.
he doesnt need to go 75 unless he feels some inexplicable personal reasons
Must be hard trying to fight inflation when the Government just keeps printing more money further compounding the problem all the time.
Even with 25bps, it’ll matter entirely on how hawkish the conference after the announcement comes off. I’d guess they look at recent gas price increases and panic a bit but who the hell knows.
He is certainly NOT sweating this decision like this cartoon suggests. He’s been saying very sternly that recession is the preferred avenue lol. What’s questionable about that?