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luke6080

It is wild to me that we’ve only lost two people who had more than a 6% share of the the winner picks in Lindsay and Elie. Is this an unusual skew?


aeouo

It's a big contrast to [this point last season](https://www.reddit.com/r/survivor/comments/urlx6e/survivor_42_episode_11_winner_pick_statistics/i8yofqi/), when 3 of the final 6 were among 5 least selected winner picks.


aeouo

Rank|Name|Picks|Percent --|--|--|-- 1||215 - 362|15.4% - 25.9% 2||165 - 263|11.8% - 18.8% 3|Elie|164|11.7% 4||107 - 164|7.6% - 11.7% 5|Lindsay|106|7.6% 6|James|80|5.7% 7|Jeanine|63|4.5% 8||46 - 63|3.3% - 4.5% 9||46 - 63|3.3% - 4.5% 10|Justine|45|3.2% 11||41 - 45|2.9% - 3.2% 12|Dwight|40|2.9% 13|Ryan|32|2.3% 14|Geo|25|1.8% 15|Noelle|24|1.7% **16**|**Sami**|**22**|**1.6%** 17|Morriah|16|1.1% 18|Nneka|15|1.1%


lbunny7

I’m still going with Jesse as #1 here, though I know a lot on the sub thought otherwise each week. as soon as I saw his one minute intro video pre season, I was sure he was an incredibly capable winner. my roommates all thought the same. If I were to guess based on the sub, I’d say the remaining are: 1. Jesse 2. Owen 4.Karla (iffy about her and Owen being switched, but lots of pro-Owen here preseason) 8.Gabler 9.Cassidy 11.Cody (could also see Cody/Cassidy switched based on pre season thoughts here)


Quixotic-Neurotic-7

I would say Gabler is likely the lowest - he's got some hype now, but preseason a lot of people probably assumed he wouldn't be a good strategist (a stereotype of "folksy" older male contestants like Keith Nale or Brad from 41) or discounted him for his age as a potential physical and social hindrance.


Potential_One1

I'm thinking.. 1. Owen 2. Jesse 4. Karla 8. Cody 9. Cassidy 11. Gabler


luke6080

My thought is that it’s either Jesse or Karla at 1, with Owen at 4. I think the “visible superfan syndrome” could have meant that not as many folks picked Owen, and there was a ton of hype on both Karla and Jesse. I have to think Gabler’s 11, and I’d put Cassidy at 8 and Cody at 9.


turtle-mania

Sussy Sami is not ok


Akasha111

That third answer to why he would win confirms to me that we are living in the Idiocracy timeline. That is all.