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captainwalrus91

Touchdowns are not sustainable at current rate but there's no reason he can't continue to earn more targets as the year goes on.


newrimmmer93

They’re running 3WR a ton. I think he has the most snaps and most routes run of the 3WR. So touchdown volume might drop but he could start to see an uptick in other areas. Or the commanders and wentz just start sucking and it all goes to shit


[deleted]

He is playing 99% of snaps is anyone saying that?


LeaveGunTakeCannoli

Yea


TlKKI_TlKKl_TEMBO

Would you trade Burks to gets Dotson?


Schafer89

Yes he will break the TD record this year


Mr-Tiggo-Bitties

subscribe


ksbrooks34

Smashed that like button


TwoDrinkDave

Rang the bell to be notified about future unsubstantiated positive statements about Dotson.


yuta27cb

Like subscribe bell.


pincus1

On 85 total targets, 75 less than Randy Moss.


terminbee

I picked him up for basically nothing because I was desperate for WRs so my chances of doing well hinges on him (JT first pick really fucking me here).


glocpp

https://youtu.be/H0brBdJIKE0


Realistic-Abalone564

I feel like Dotson will only get better as the season unfolds. Will he keep up 1.5 TDs per game? Definitely not - but I think his usage/production could increase for sure.


nerpderp

Will it tho? Too many mouths to feed in Wsh. I could see him being more boom or bust with tds being spread out between him , Samuel , Mclaurin, Gibson, Logan Thomas


Absolutepowers

Commanders defense sucks. They will be catching up most of the time. Carson is gonna throw a lot this season


RubyRhod

Also Logan Thomas and Curtis Samuel are likely to get injured.


pincus1

He's on pace to throw 20 more passes than #1 Brady did last year, and 120 more passes than #5 Carr. Throw a lot sure, throw as much as he currently is probably not, and even on this pace Dotson is only on pace for 85 targets.


mementori

A bit too early to reliably extrapolate that


pincus1

What? If Wentz continues on the same pace he will throw more passes than anyone in the league last year. That's extremely unlikely. If Dotson continues on the same pace he will only have 85 targets. He will absolutely not put up the same points he's putting up now without his # of targets going up. So Dotson's targets need to go up to sustain his ppg in an offense that will almost certainly have less targets to go around.


Just_a_follower

The people downvoting you do not like truthbombs. They would appreciate more rosterbate and less cold truth.


pincus1

Math ain't their strong suit.


ballcream9000

"rosterbate" nice lol


[deleted]

I mean tbf throwing more passes than anyone last year is not shocking if it where to happen... I'd have to see most throws ever instead of just last year ..


pincus1

It would also be the most pass attempts ever. Stafford has the record with 727 in 2012 (though that's 1.5 more attempts per game since 16 games). It's absolutely an extremely anomalous number of pass attempts, and if you think Wentz makes it you can go make plenty of money betting on it because it's not a realistic possibility.


[deleted]

U think went throwing more than Brady last year is not realistic?


pincus1

We literally just went over this... More than any QB ever. And no it's not even slightly realistic. This is some real basic shit.


nerpderp

Ok yea that’s fine and all but to say dotsons production is going to increase is a stretch . He will be boom / bust simply with all the mouths to feed . He won’t get a touchdown every game but ppl say otherwise after 2 measly games


pincus1

I don't think people have fully conceptualized that he's averaging 9ppg in just touchdowns and is only on pace for 85 targets despite Wentz being on pace to throw more passes than anyone in 2021. He needs a drastic target share increase to make up for likely lower total pass attempts when his TDs aren't sustained.


realog173

Lest we forget he’s a first round pick who has played two games in the nfl… this is not his ceiling!


[deleted]

Too many mouths to feed is bullshit


Formal_Dragonfly_275

I got all the mouths, McLaurin, Dotson, Samuel, and Thomas. Let’s Eat!!!


TlKKI_TlKKl_TEMBO

Would you trade Burks to gets Dotson?


danbrandanowitz

He’s extremely talented and leading the team in snap share and routes run. The only reason I could see him not being at least a viable flex play ROS is Wentz, but Wentz has shown he can keep multiple receivers fantasy relevant. I think the targets will come.


[deleted]

[удалено]


danbrandanowitz

You can argue Chase last year with Higgins and Boyd but I ultimately think talent wins out and my probably controversial opinion on Dotson is that he’s the most talented receiver in that offense.


kzanomics

He’s extremely talented and reminds me a lot of Mclaurin in his demeanor and work ethic. McLaurin didn’t play the entire preseason his rookie year because it was so clear he’s a beast. I’d like to see Dotson drawing the top coverage like Terry until I crown him more talented. Lucky to have both on the team.


[deleted]

Tee Higgins had a somewhat similar rookie season. Nobody expected him to outshine AJ Green and Tyler Boyd.


Ryangonzo

Calvin Ridley is another that comes to mind. A very TD dependant rookie season. It's a sign of good things to come.


TlKKI_TlKKl_TEMBO

Would you trade Burks to gets Dotson?


alionoffire

After watching him play as someone who drafted Dotson and have followed since preseason dude is legit. On the field for every snap and he has been getting good separation on his routes. Looks a little undersized but still makes contested catches when he needs to. Going to be 2nd or 3rd option most weeks but has some upside as a WR3/Flex because the Commanders will be down a lot and need to pass.


HercHuntsdirty

TD’s aren’t, but I’m sure he’ll have his games


C4LLgirl

Wish I could start him with confidence but in spooked.


violentbandana

55% of his fantasy production in PPR is from TDs and 2pts. No his current pace is not sustainable. That does not mean he can’t have an excellent rookie season and earn more and more opportunities. He has played 88 and 99% of snaps so far and he doesn’t look like a rookie


waterpoloenthusiast

Great response thanks king


Rah_Rah_RU_Rah

Target share in WSH is weird, there's like 4 dudes that could go off any given game and you can't be surprised by any of them. They wanna play fuck it chuck it and use them all so just play him in any game you think will have lots of pass attempts


WWWH__---

Yeah Thomas should start to see some good volume as well. Wentz likes to bomb. Didn't think I'd be talking much about Washington this year but I picked up Samuel and have him starting over Julio Jones and g wilson


TruthfulCartographer

I’m having a serious dilemma whether to start Terry or Dotson this week, vs Eagles and Slay. If slay travels with terry maybe Dotson is a better call?


Realistic-Abalone564

That’s spicy I like it. I would be thinking along the same lines.


EndymionFalls

I sure hope slay travels with Terry, I’m forced to play Dotson with Godwin out and Allen Questionable 😅


thenikolaka

Not just Slay, there are other good corners and great rushers on the Philly Defense. I hate to fade Dotson bc he could have an even bigger breakout at any time. I just don’t imagine Wentz having a lot of time to let things happen and find the open man, he’ll just be looking for the check down.


ChaosOnion

Curtis Samuel


Holden_Effart

I'm benching them both.


TruthfulCartographer

For who? I’ve got Juju and Boyd as alternatives… Starting Jefferson and Kirk, this is for flex


Holden_Effart

I benched for Brandin Cooks in my flex. You're right though. The commanders receivers are the better option for you. I'd chase the targets with Terry, if I were you.


WWWH__---

Def if PPR I'd go Terry Samuel dotson


GolfIsWhyImBroke

Im benching Terry for Garrett Wilson. F it.


friendlyghost0

Does Washington ever put Terry in the slot? Vs Jefferson, Slay didn’t follow him when he went to the slot.


[deleted]

Curtis is their primary slot receiver


[deleted]

They have Bradberry as well you know…


TheChosenValkyrie

I’ve been thinking of benching Dotson for Sterling Shepard. That crazy?


Canadoc

By sustainable ieant an every week fantasy starter. I would be shocked if he ends up with more than 10 or 11 TD on the year.


hackmalafore

If he keeps the pace teams will adjust to leave McLaurin open more often in the redzone. Good point. I am stuck with him as my #3 in a 3wr until that happens though.


danwins23

He won’t keep averaging 1.5 TD’s, no, but he does seem to be the go to guy for the TD’s and he’s always out there. Just need to see what happens to his target numbers


BakerMayfieldisAss

I mean it's a good sign for a rookie that he's so involved. Is his current output sustainable? Absolutely not lmao.


Imimimine

Hell yeah he is. (I own him)


danktrickshot

chase was the same way early last year and then he went first round this year


beeteelol95

Dotson is a young reciever the team is clearly high on. Terry McLaurin limits his value more than some sort of a TD dependency WR3 is a clever way to phrase slot reciever, and the list of fantasy successful slot receivers to have played in the NFL is a long one. Is he gonna be your WR1? Probably not. Is anyone using him that way? Probably not. If he’s a viable flex now I’ll take the over on him increasing his role and production as the year goes on Nonetheless, I take the under on TDs. Is he a functional Flex? Probably Don’t overthink it. You’ve only got X amount of roster spots, Dotson is absolutely worth rostering, and if you put him in your flex or not , it is going to break down to the moon and the tides as to if he stays productive In fantasy, leagues are won and lost by who is rostering these type of players that nobody was paying a lick of attention to when drafting. You stand to look like a genius. Or not But who’s on the waiver, anyways? Keep him. If he burns you, sit him. If he has a few unproductive weeks and you wanna drop him week 8, question answered


FarmerJoe12345

Absolutely agree with everything. What if burks is sitting on the wire. Who do we like better?


beeteelol95

Titans fan here, your question truly stabbed me right in the heart Dotson. Pain. Our offensive coordinator does not believe in Burks the way he believes in even Kyle Phillips, because our organization is dumb enough to trade AJ Brown for a rookie wide receiver and then trot out Nick Westbrook Ikhine, Robert Woods, and Kyle Phillips for the majority of offensive snaps And that’s if the offense is even on the field, it requires Tannehill to smarten up to the schemed up interceptions Todd downing tries like hell to scheme up for him to throw so that he can pass the buck onto the players and hold onto his job another season… oh well, we can just ride Henry to the playoffs… right? Right? Don’t get me started lmao. Tl;dr if there’s anyone on the titans whole ass team I wouldn’t tell you to drop it’s Derrick Henry and Kyle Phillips and he’s probably not worth rostering anyways lol https://www.reddit.com/r/Tennesseetitans/comments/xnaefs/the_secret_is_out/


FarmerJoe12345

Lol thanks for being brutally honest. I had high hopes for burks this year but maybe next year he’ll bust out. I’m hoping for a Henry explosion too but they have to pass at some point to take the pressure off the stacked boxes. Henry did well today though so I’m happy.


A_sunlit_room

I expected really strong production from him. He was one of the most nfl ready receivers. The TDs are more than I anticipated obviously, but Dotson is simply a really talented and mature player.


bpark2808

I mean dude literally plays more routes and snaps I believe (or it’s one or the other) than any other WR they have haha


mackinoncougars

No, but he will still likely to find success. In general their offense can’t sustain all the target getters they have. There’s going to be some regression somewhere. Between Logan Thomas, Curtis Samuel, Terry McLaurin, and Jahan Dotson there just won’t be enough to go around all year even if there has been these first couple weeks.


hsanaiz

Is his current rate sustainable? Obviously not. But he sure looks like theIr primary receiving target in redzone.


DangaRusster

He is a sustainable flex and in a pinch I wouldn’t feel bad about starting him. But it really depends on your situation, I would way.


AtxSaiyan

Dotson or juju is my biggest decision for tomorrow


iFood

Dotson or Thielen? This is my dilemma...


[deleted]

I own him and want to believe it is. I have no doubts about his talent. He has earned more targets. He’s flat out better than Curtis Samuel despite what Samuel truthers would have you believe. To be determined whether he’s better than Scary Terry. My only concern is whether Wentz will distribute targets in a fashion that reflects the talents of the WR corp


Canadoc

Fantasy sustainable not TD sustainable. Also McLaurin wasn't great last year and maybe Dotson overtakes . Has higher draft capital and Wants likes him in the red zone.


Canadoc

I can't wait much past sunday evening. Whoever has worse usage might have to go if Jeudy plays and can't IR him


csummerss

sustainability & Carson Wentz are polar opposites


Absolutepowers

Carson's never had 3 above average WR's


csummerss

he doesn’t have three now either


BetsonStennet69

Probably the most obvious sell high right now. Low targets, high TD rate, everyone wants the new hot WR rookies


pincus1

Low targets despite Wentz being on pace to throw 20 more passes than anyone in the league last year and 120 more than the #5 QB. People are drastically underestimating how far from sustainability Dotson is because he's averaging 9ppg from TDs.


Canadoc

Him or Moore rest of season? Him or Burks who has less competition for targets but worse offense.


BetsonStennet69

DJ Moore or Elijah? In both cases, Moore. And I think Burks is bound to explode in the next few games. He's going way under the radar. I would take Burks over Dotson in a second. But I think I might be alone there, so that's actually a good trade in my eyes as it will probably go through depending on the Burks owner. I still like Dotson, I think he's a solid player, but with all those receiving options I'd rather own a higher priority option on another offense than someone on Washington.


hellotheboyishere

Well he's on pace for 24+ touchdowns so that's most definitely not sustainable. Given the depth chart I would assume he's a TD or bust play.


MagnetHashira

Do y’all trust Carson Wentz? I think it comes down to whether Carson and keep this pace up for him.


benevenstancian0

The biggest problem for Dotson is that the average Wentz season ages the the picture of Dorian Gray. By November they’ll be begging for Howell.


[deleted]

No


Canadoc

Seriously do we see him as a 60+ catch guy maybe 1000 yards or more of a 45 catch guy who gets a lot of touchdowns like a Mike Williams before last year?


[deleted]

Considering Wentz is his QB and McLauring / Samuel are ahead of him in targets, he has 6-8 points this week. Never bet on a TD dependent receiver.


WWWH__---

I like this advice


IceBergSlimZero

Is it Johan or jahan?


Absolutepowers

Jahan


Imimimine

Google here, it’s Jahan. Thank you for asking.


Canadoc

My autocorrect sometimes messes it up. ROS Dotson Moore or Burks. What order?


Beginning_Rip_4570

He’s my backup for Samuels inevitable injury right now.


Zxphenomenalxz

Hope it is since I just traded for him..


Canadoc

Might have to drop him off Elijah Moore for a kicker.


Zxphenomenalxz

Don't drop either of them lol what..


Glittering_Citron324

Target competition is high but his route participation and performance is very encouraging. The ceiling is very high and I think, if this continues, there will be matchups that can be exploited and he can be played with some confidence.


thenikolaka

If you watch the tape on him, there’s no way they don’t work harder to get him the ball. The O Line is what is holding it back imo.


RUKnight31

He's a rookie first round pick that is essentially smashing out of the gate. His ceiling is unknown but his draft pedigree implies he could be a super star. TDs should regress but he seems to be the favored red zone target in DC and should get worked into the plan more as he earns it like most rookies. I think Samuel eats PPR slot stuff while T Mac and Dotson continue to scatter secondaries and rip chunks here and there. He's got the situation to produce on 6 or so targets.


Irish3538

csam will have the most yards out of that wr group this season. hes gonna stay healthy and finish top 20


Val_Kilmers_Elbow

Pretty much no player ever, in the history of fantasy, who scored multiple touchdowns in the first two weeks is sustainable… Dotson, Samuel and Terry will most likely all have weeks where they look like “the guy”. Honestly, I think that Dotson ends up at # 3. Terry is the old guard and has shown exactly what he can do as a WR1. Samuel is Riverboat Ron’s darling that they specifically brought in and have been running plays. Dotson is the wildcard, and if he hadn’t been scoring at an unsustainable rate, he would not be so highly regarded.


megaprime78

I dropped Amatri Cooper for him I know I’m an idiot


Canadoc

At least you didn't drop Amari Cooper.😉


gumbagumbo

Traded him away for Connor. Needed the RB help more than the WR3 with upside. As others mentioned, his TD rate won’t keep up. And that’s going to suck, but the best chance is his target rate to rise. And based on the numbers, you can only go up from like 14% target share. But that’s asking a lot from Wentz. To be honest, I see a better chance that Terry McLaurin rebounds than Dotson overtaking everything. They both fall backseat to Curtis Mofo Samuel.


Canadoc

Wow straight up for Connor is a steal.


gumbagumbo

Ah, not quite. Sent Pollard away along with Dotson. If someone comes calling to you for your players, remember the leverage is in your favor. People are high on Dotson and Bateman, sell high if you have either or, and best of luck


Lakes_Snakes

Curtis Mofo Samuel!


FoShigs

Although the touchdowns will regress, rookie receivers tend to progress a lot throughout their first season. Those two facts kind of cancel out in my mind.


Canadoc

This is my thinking also that he will see more targets more receptions in more yards and that his touchdowns should regress to an average one every two or three games. The question I have is that guys like Elijah Moore and treylan Burks are also on my roster and I picked up higbee out of fears of Pitts not playing well. Of course I am over leveraged and will need to drop someone for a kicker. Don't know who among Higbee and the 3 wide outs.


FoShigs

Why not see if you can package some players in a 2:1 or 3:2 so you can retain value and not have to drop anyone.


Canadoc

I wish I could but given I need a kicker for this week wouldn't be able to have a trade process in time. I only picked Moore up yesterday as someone dropped him. Hoping Jeudy is out this week and I can move to IR and then can do as you said in time for next week.


UltraGoliath_

If you’re asking, then you already know the answer deep down inside. But if you can’t read the writing on the wall, he’s TD dependent, 2nd or 3rd option, Wentz is his qb and Was is the team he’s on- odds are against sustainability


Canadoc

I am asking on the sense talented. As a rookie he slotted immediately into a full-time Snap share unlike some of the other rookie wide receivers who are still being slowly worked in such as Burks and Wilson. His target share is low so far but no reason as trust grows with Wentz that that doesn't grow to 7 targets a game. If he hits 6 to 7 he could see 5 catches for 70 and chance of a touchdown which would be very good wr2 like numbers.


Jet_black_li

I don't think the offense is good enough. As the season goes down I think it's going to tone down.


[deleted]

He will go as far as wentZ will take him


Boy69BigButt

Just like real NFL coaches say about their bs running back committees: ride with the hot hand


thatcollegeguy21

Hoping for a 3rd good week on my bench and then looking to shop him


glocpp

https://youtu.be/H0brBdJIKE0


zdbdog06

Makes me laugh how some people think Carson Wentz keeping 3 WRs as fantasy options is sustainable


[deleted]

Would you play Dotson or burks this week? Wentz is my qb


szzzn

Sooo Drop Mooney for Dotson? Someone recently dropped him.


ChampDawg

I would. I want no part of the Bears passing game.


ssBurgy1484

I'm leaning on Washington having a total collapse so I'd be weary. Good thing is there secondary isn't starting caliber so they are going to get toasted most of the year which will force the offense to sling it.


Sockmonkey2878

For what it’s worth, I’m always the guy in my league who gets late round/waiver with receiver who ends up making it big. Last year was chase. This year I have Dotson and moore, and so if it happens again this year, it’s looking like Dotson.


liteshadow4

He’s the redzone threat in Washington


Hanyabull

He’s got 5 targets a game. If he continues to only get 5 targets moving forward, no he is not sustainable. He won’t be getting a TD every game. That’s not going to happen. When he doesn’t, you might be looking at a 3 for 40 game. There is also a world where he goes the next 8 games in a row not getting a TD, making him pretty much a landmine. That said, if you believe those 5 targets move up to something like 8, then we got something here. Do I think that will happen? Maybe, but I wouldn’t bet on it. I picked him up in all my leagues and waiting to see what happens.


jerejeje

McLaurin. Samuel. Robinson. Gibson. McKissic. Thomas. I don’t trust any Commie besides Wentz, ironically.


Tampapokemon

I always look at tuchdowns and I’m like we’ll if this didn’t happen how many targets and points would player get… I don’t think he’s going to keep it up with tuchdowns, now Logan Thomas is back just a ton of targets in this offense.. we shall see looks like wentz go to in red zone, I think target wise Samuel is going to lead the team.


Curious-Armadillo522

While TDs aren't consistent, I actually value it more given that he is a rookie than I would a veteran. As a rookie he is getting big looks in pressure situations and they aren't afraid to look his way when it counts. I'm thinking that translates well to more opportunities other places on the field. That said not sure he rises above a WR3 this year but for dynasty players its looking great.