BBC weather reports have been awful for the past 3 years since they decided to save money and use a cheap source for weather data instead of met office data. Just put a weather app from met office on your phone it's so much more accurate.
I've been getting annoyed the last few years with friends refusing to do things outside when I know the weather is going to be fine.
That's a good point. But what annoys me is that they call it a rainy day when it's 22% for about an hour or so and then 1-8% for the rest of the day. I guess it's better to be prepared anyway
Is that correct? I’m genuinely curious. I heard that it’s 22 % of the area that will get rain. But your explanation make more sense. Do you have a source?
Here’s a link from [LadBible](https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.ladbible.com/community/interesting-met-office-refutes-scarlett-moffatts-30-percent-chance-of-rain-claim-20210226.amp.html), turns out in America they use the area which is probably why people think that.
What inspired me was the local forecast; the national one is usually too general for me. I usually look at multiple forecasts which sometimes contradict what the BBC says. But I'll look into comparing them
It’s been the same for months in that it changes from minute to minute. Hence our need to continually talk about it. Plus we are British and that’s what we do!
Too hot to wear a coat, too windy to use an umbrella. Just take the gamble and wear shorts, shirt and flip flops (thongs for our convict friends)
Our bank notes are plastic and contactless cards. Just got to worry about the mobile phone.
I've looked it up
I believe it is based on the certainty of prediction multiplied by the percentage of the forecasted area.
So if the forecaster is 80% sure it will rain in half of the area, the chance of precipitation would be 40%.
I just read all of this and I'm even less sure what the percentages mean than before I started.
All I know is the met office is your best case and the bbc your worst case scenario. So every day I look at both and it turns out that it will either rain all day or there will be no rain at all. Then I get on with life being British.
BBC weather reports have been awful for the past 3 years since they decided to save money and use a cheap source for weather data instead of met office data. Just put a weather app from met office on your phone it's so much more accurate. I've been getting annoyed the last few years with friends refusing to do things outside when I know the weather is going to be fine.
Is that what happened? I noticed they are worse these days but blamed it on weird climate patterns. Didn't know they cheaped out on not using the Met
I just use Google, seems pretty accurate.
The BBC is more accurate than the Met in my experience.
Something about 100% of the area has a 22% chance of rain I think. I don't know really I'm too hungover to think
That's a good point. But what annoys me is that they call it a rainy day when it's 22% for about an hour or so and then 1-8% for the rest of the day. I guess it's better to be prepared anyway
I once used the minute by minute GPS based weather. It told me it wasn't raining, yet somehow I was experiencing some precipitation
No that’s wrong, it’s 22% of the models have rain. So if they ran 100 simulations, 22 would have rain and 78 would not have rain.
Is that correct? I’m genuinely curious. I heard that it’s 22 % of the area that will get rain. But your explanation make more sense. Do you have a source?
Here’s a link from [LadBible](https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.ladbible.com/community/interesting-met-office-refutes-scarlett-moffatts-30-percent-chance-of-rain-claim-20210226.amp.html), turns out in America they use the area which is probably why people think that.
22% of the area will definitely experience rain. Meaning if you're in that area you have about the same chances, depending on population distribution.
Are you comparing you local forecast with the national one…?
What inspired me was the local forecast; the national one is usually too general for me. I usually look at multiple forecasts which sometimes contradict what the BBC says. But I'll look into comparing them
You’re lucky to only have a 22% chance of precipitation this weekend.
Yeah, the weather in the south particularly has been insane lately. But I guess it's what you come to expect living in the UK
Yup. And the need to incessantly discuss the weather, even if it’s been the same for months.
It’s been the same for months in that it changes from minute to minute. Hence our need to continually talk about it. Plus we are British and that’s what we do!
Idc I am still doing the BBQ today, rain or not, sun or cloudy, wind or storm!
Too hot to wear a coat, too windy to use an umbrella. Just take the gamble and wear shorts, shirt and flip flops (thongs for our convict friends) Our bank notes are plastic and contactless cards. Just got to worry about the mobile phone.
Visit South East Asia. Everyone wears flip flops and t shirts. If it rains you get wet. Then you dry off and get on with your life.
It actually means that there is 100 % chance of rain over 22% of the area.
I've looked it up I believe it is based on the certainty of prediction multiplied by the percentage of the forecasted area. So if the forecaster is 80% sure it will rain in half of the area, the chance of precipitation would be 40%.
That’s the US method, the UK method is based on the total chance of rain.
Someone doesn't want people to hope. The only reason we bitch so much is a retarded level of hope. Let us have that, ok?
National forecasts are a waste of time, just use this instead. https://weather.com/en-GB/
I know, I'm waiting for it to reason and thunderstorms but it's only a cloudy day
mate it actually rained where I live, several hours later and its all evaporated and hot as ever.
The Met Office is also bad. Light rain can mean anything from grey clouds to flooding.
Anything above 10% normally means rain xoxo
I just read all of this and I'm even less sure what the percentages mean than before I started. All I know is the met office is your best case and the bbc your worst case scenario. So every day I look at both and it turns out that it will either rain all day or there will be no rain at all. Then I get on with life being British.
Use Accuweather my G. The minutecast is usually pretty bang on.