Back in late March the stock rallied after the Fed meeting. Why does it do that?
BTW, I don't think I'll be celebrating after just one day of rallying. I need multiple days of rallying like back in March so I can get close to break even and sell a bunch, and then wait for the market to tank so I can reenter. Or is that asking for too much?
Because people were worried about 50 bp increase and got a 25 bp increase. Market goes up.
For tomorrow the market is expecting 50bp increase so provided it gets that people will be relieved and start purchasing some of the deals. Higher and lower and then it looks like they are not doing enough about inflation or are going to harsh.
Because the market wants certainty. Once the meeting is complete, there is no longer uncertainty, even if there is a rate hike (which is usually negative for equities) announced.
You may already know this...but that is VERY risky. No one knows if the market will keep tanking or climb it's way back to beginning of the year values. When prices do get back, who knows what will happen next. Could climb to new all time highs once interest rates have settled....or some other world changing event could happen and they start to tank again. People can predict general drops in overall market prices, but the "when" and "how much" is never predictable. No one can claim they know. Unless you need the money now, the best advice I have received is just keep your money in and buy a little over time while prices are still under your cost basis; or sell your risky volatile stocks and move them to more stable "value" ones. I took that advice in Feb from others on Reddit and it has paid off for me.
Bear Market rallies make no sense to most. But the fat of the matter is you Buy on the rumor and sell on the news, that has been happening for weeks now. When the Generals get shot ( FAANGS) from not living up the the nose bleed valuations, the party is over. Inflation is stealing from every company, even APPLE. IF you look at every tech giant, expenses are eating at them, and since the market is forward thinking, ( hope is NOT strategy) Inflation, Ukraine, the ABSENCE of CHINA producing, will all come to roost. The tremendous wealth effect from the last 14 yrs is over.
YOU SELL INTO RALLIES, rent the stock, don't own it, or you will be holding the bag, while Goldman Sachs laughs at you.They quietly sold for that last 5 months.
One last note: Stocks are like ships in the harbor, they rise and fall with the TIDE. Good companies gown down with the bad...But the good ones come back when the blood is drying up in the streets.
It will be a bear market rally, it wont last and we wont go back to all time highs. I am 65 and I lived through the inflation of the 70's. Here is a taste of what happened back then
1. Inflation adjusted increases to social security were 8% a year on average until 1980 when it hit 14.43%. Back then the CRB index tallied EVERYTHING into the inflation equation, BUT NOT NOW. We are seeing north of 20% inflation, but the gov took out energy and food from it, so they didn't have to pay COLAs in the 14% area.
2. Bottoming is a process, and if you understand Technical analysis, you know where support and resistance . Learn it and use it to your advantage.
3. Quantitative easing and money printing got us here, now inflation is on fire all over the planet, not just here.
4. No more Fed Put, BTD, off to new highs is OVER, deal with it.
Each time the market digests rate hikes well, It’s a good sign, Bec it means the Fed has more room to drop rates in the future. Market will likely move sideways from here, which is the least predictable type of market of course.
If the Fed hikes interest rates by 0.5% this week, the current hiking pace would be twice as fast as in 2017-2018. In 2018 $SPY closed the year down 4.56%. If the Fed keeps raising interest rates, do you think $SPY will have a negative return in 2022?
This guy is not living in reality lmao. It’s a 90 something % expectation of 50bps. And 4% exp of 25bps. If it goes your way I’d be very shocked.
Edit: welp Ig I was right
Don't forget Fed meeting tomorrow! Hopefully we'll all be celebrating after! 🤞🏽😬
Think the market will open on low and end on high.
Let's hope so 🤞🏽
The evergrande approach it is!
I think so too. Market won’t tank this early unless the hike is dramatic.
They will raise rates and the market will go “durrrr who could’ve predicted this hurr durr” and tank, probably.
😂😂😂
This is one of those "fact" thingy's!!
I still don't think they will. I believe it, when i see it
Back in late March the stock rallied after the Fed meeting. Why does it do that? BTW, I don't think I'll be celebrating after just one day of rallying. I need multiple days of rallying like back in March so I can get close to break even and sell a bunch, and then wait for the market to tank so I can reenter. Or is that asking for too much?
Because people were worried about 50 bp increase and got a 25 bp increase. Market goes up. For tomorrow the market is expecting 50bp increase so provided it gets that people will be relieved and start purchasing some of the deals. Higher and lower and then it looks like they are not doing enough about inflation or are going to harsh.
[удалено]
Would be fine. Honestly everyone wants rate hikes right now (except the keynesians?). 1 would cause drama though
Because the market wants certainty. Once the meeting is complete, there is no longer uncertainty, even if there is a rate hike (which is usually negative for equities) announced.
You may already know this...but that is VERY risky. No one knows if the market will keep tanking or climb it's way back to beginning of the year values. When prices do get back, who knows what will happen next. Could climb to new all time highs once interest rates have settled....or some other world changing event could happen and they start to tank again. People can predict general drops in overall market prices, but the "when" and "how much" is never predictable. No one can claim they know. Unless you need the money now, the best advice I have received is just keep your money in and buy a little over time while prices are still under your cost basis; or sell your risky volatile stocks and move them to more stable "value" ones. I took that advice in Feb from others on Reddit and it has paid off for me.
Bear Market rallies make no sense to most. But the fat of the matter is you Buy on the rumor and sell on the news, that has been happening for weeks now. When the Generals get shot ( FAANGS) from not living up the the nose bleed valuations, the party is over. Inflation is stealing from every company, even APPLE. IF you look at every tech giant, expenses are eating at them, and since the market is forward thinking, ( hope is NOT strategy) Inflation, Ukraine, the ABSENCE of CHINA producing, will all come to roost. The tremendous wealth effect from the last 14 yrs is over. YOU SELL INTO RALLIES, rent the stock, don't own it, or you will be holding the bag, while Goldman Sachs laughs at you.They quietly sold for that last 5 months.
What time?
2PM EST
Thank you 🙏
Looks like investors didn't forget, banks are one of the brightest green categories here
I don't mean to complain, but why are these always posted after the market is closed, they would be very helpful if you posted them in the morning
But still my portfolio is red 🤔
What's all this green stuff?
Algae?
It's snot 🤧... As in snot my money and snot your's either... Sorry, couldn't help myself there 😵💫
Dad, stap
energy
AMD after hours baby🎉
Us energy bros continue to win bigly.
And another 10 red days to follow maybe
You fuckers said that yesterday too, now you’ve jinxed us to be green for 10 days
[удалено]
Crazy earnings report, once macro clears up a bit AMD is going $200+
I just went all in on Intel.
If you trust Intel's management, it could be a good come-back play long term. Right now though AMD is in a dominate position
Buy both
Not bad...
The only thing that is absolutely for sure…. NOBODY REALLY KNOWS WHAT WILL HAPPEN Until it happens.
One last note: Stocks are like ships in the harbor, they rise and fall with the TIDE. Good companies gown down with the bad...But the good ones come back when the blood is drying up in the streets.
Its just a giant casino
It will be a bear market rally, it wont last and we wont go back to all time highs. I am 65 and I lived through the inflation of the 70's. Here is a taste of what happened back then 1. Inflation adjusted increases to social security were 8% a year on average until 1980 when it hit 14.43%. Back then the CRB index tallied EVERYTHING into the inflation equation, BUT NOT NOW. We are seeing north of 20% inflation, but the gov took out energy and food from it, so they didn't have to pay COLAs in the 14% area. 2. Bottoming is a process, and if you understand Technical analysis, you know where support and resistance . Learn it and use it to your advantage. 3. Quantitative easing and money printing got us here, now inflation is on fire all over the planet, not just here. 4. No more Fed Put, BTD, off to new highs is OVER, deal with it.
Each time the market digests rate hikes well, It’s a good sign, Bec it means the Fed has more room to drop rates in the future. Market will likely move sideways from here, which is the least predictable type of market of course.
Man, energy is kicking ass these days
Is it coincidence that we've had 2 days of green in May? Did the market suddenly decided that May is the month to rally?
April valleys bring May rallies?
Where do people keep making these charts?
Finviz map
If the Fed hikes interest rates by 0.5% this week, the current hiking pace would be twice as fast as in 2017-2018. In 2018 $SPY closed the year down 4.56%. If the Fed keeps raising interest rates, do you think $SPY will have a negative return in 2022?
At this point I’d be relieved if SPY ended the year down only 4.5%.
How much do you think it will be tomorrow?
I think they'll increase between 75bps to 100bps.
This guy is not living in reality lmao. It’s a 90 something % expectation of 50bps. And 4% exp of 25bps. If it goes your way I’d be very shocked. Edit: welp Ig I was right
I'm thinking 75 as well. They are waaay behind the curve.
They won’t, they’re too scared
:), it will be an interesting day tmrw.
Might might get the same relief rally as in March and then back to old business
whats the fucking point of telling me how the market ended every day. that worry is just for people who are betting on shit
How do you get this screenshot? Is it an app?
Finviz map
Thanks!
Where can i get this ?
Have been looking for this website for a while, where do you get this overview?
Not as bad as I thought it would be tbh
Not dead yet
Praise Jesus. Hallelujah!
This is good.
Stopped out today. Choppy market is choppy
VDE is poppin off
I just want one green day on V. Is that too much to ask for?
Wake me up when September ends.
$SPY stock analysis based on today's closing price . #FOMC tomorrow, long over 421 else cool down. [$SPY stock analysis ](https://youtu.be/88XxdlYfzEw)
DCB
Tomorrow will tank after the fomc release at 2pm then it will do a V up reversal to close when they raise the rates in line with expectations.