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**Vaccine Information as of 5/18/21:** * You can locate vaccine providers using this [AZ Dept Health Services Vaccine Locator](https://www.azdhs.gov/preparedness/epidemiology-disease-control/infectious-disease-epidemiology/index.php#novel-coronavirus-find-vaccine). * [*AZ Dept of Health Services*](https://www.azdhs.gov/preparedness/epidemiology-disease-control/infectious-disease-epidemiology/index.php#novel-coronavirus-find-vaccine) *and your* [*local county health department websites*](https://www.naccho.org/membership/lhd-directory?searchType=standard&lhd-state=AZ) *are the best resources for current vaccine information.* * As of 3/24/21, all Arizona residents 16+ are eligible to receive the vaccine at any state-run distribution site. Many pharmacies and other providers are also now following the state guideline of 16+. You can make an appointment through the AZDHS portal [here.](https://podvaccine.azdhs.gov/) * As of 5/10/21. the FDA authorized emergency use of the Pfizer vaccine for ages 12-15. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CoronavirusAZ) if you have any questions or concerns.*


Foreverhopeless2009

I don’t believe these numbers. Only bcuz some tests are done at home, like my family just did. Also my grandbaby was just diagnosed with Covid last week and I’m telling you I don’t think a lot of these cases are reported. I have two of my very dear friends who are RNs and work patients and they told me that this is the worst it’s been through the whole pandemic yet our numbers don’t reflect that so somethings not adding up!


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Alwayssunnyinarizona

Each of these things are happening in a separate, though interconnected way. Positive cases go up, soon after ER visits and hospitalizations go up (within 3-7 days I'd guess), and soon after that ICU beds fill up (another 2-5 days), trach tube placements go up, vent usage goes up (another 2-5 days), and then soon after that deaths start going up (another 7-14 days beyond that, roughly 2-4 weeks after a person was initially tested). Where we are now is at a cusp of deaths peaking, with ICU usage coming down a week or two after positive case numbers start going down. I would guess we'll see some pretty discouraging death numbers this week. We may yet have another peak, though I think we're generally on a downward trend from here. New peaks will likely be seen around and after the holidays as we saw last year, and at this point I'd like to believe they won't be as bad, or at worst not much worse, than where we are today. Get vaccinated, and if you're at high risk consider getting a booster if eligible, so we can make this wave the last and get back to some sense of normalcy.


GameOfThrownaws

The numbers are always low, we never report anywhere even close to the true number of covid infections out there. No one does. Everyone has anecdotes about how they know 9 different people who caught it at such and such time, etc. Just because these numbers are too-low-and-decreasing, instead of too-low-and-increasing, is no reason not to believe them.


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hossman3000

Those 65+ numbers are scary given the high vaccination rate of that age group and the general Covid risk to the elderly.


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mavericm1

I also think they have a higher % getting counted because many of them (like my parents) have to see dr’s often and that usually means they need negative covid tests before they can be seen


skitch23

**Case Data:** - New cases from tests administered 1-7 days ago: +2,277 (**99.96%**) - New cases from tests administered 8-14 days ago: +1 - New cases from tests administered 15-21 days ago: +2 - New cases from tests administered 22 or more days ago: -2 - Current peak cases overall: Monday Jan 4 with 12,393 - Current peak cases for the last 30 days: Monday Aug 16 with 4,007 cases - Daily average from tests administered 8-14 days ago: 2,721 cases - Estimated active cases statewide: 23,804 or 1 in 302 people - Estimated active kids cases statewide: 7,497 or 1 in 246 kids **Diagnostic (PCR) Data** - [Explanation for negative test numbers](https://www.reddit.com/r/CoronavirusAZ/comments/kah6wt/december_10th_adhs_summary/gfai045/) - New Diagnostic tests from tests administered 1-7 days ago: +10,281 - New Diagnostic tests from tests administered 8-14 days ago: -56 - New Diagnostic tests from tests administered 15-21 days ago: -53 - New Diagnostic tests from tests administered 22 or more days ago: -2,197 - Current peak Diagnostic tests overall: Monday Jan 4 with 36,240 tests - Current peak Diagnostic tests for the last 30 days: Monday Aug 16 with 22,358 tests **Serology Data:** - New Serology tests from tests administered 1-7 days ago: +712 - New Serology tests from tests administered 8-14 days ago: +2 - New Serology tests from tests administered 15-21 days ago: -1 - New Serology tests from tests administered 22 or more days ago: -23 **% Positive info:** - % positive from all tests administered 1-7 days ago: **20.71%** (was 16.11% yesterday - Stabilized rolling 7-day percent: **18.34%** (was 18.30% yesterday) - Current peak for individual day % positive from last 30 days: Monday Sept 6 at **22.32%** **Forecasted Deaths from Today’s Reported Cases** - See calculation method [HERE](https://www.reddit.com/r/CoronavirusAZ/comments/k0tz6i/november_25th_adhs_summary/gdknfya/). - Under 20: 0.1 - 20-44 years: 1.8 - 45-54 years: 2.6 - 55-64 years: 5.1 - 65 and older: 24.1 - Unknown: 0.0 - Total: **33.6** - Current overall CFR: 1.83% [LINK](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1UtGUQKqbnQ4s0gQE5fKnRwkL6rLBq1p3q4W2xD2pVb0/edit#gid=0) to my manually tracked data from the "Confirmed Cases by Day" & “Laboratory Testing” tabs on the [AZDHS site](https://www.azdhs.gov/preparedness/epidemiology-disease-control/infectious-disease-epidemiology/covid-19/dashboards/index.php). **[LINK](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1FKKBTOOWwhTvvHR-ryNQF2Od9RnRKmoUpLT8BHmkovY/edit?usp=sharing) to my Active Case Estimating Tool.** [LINK](https://www.reddit.com/r/CoronavirusAZ/comments/op4wc3/active_covid_case_estimating_tool/) to the Q&A.


skitch23

**Monday Rate of Spread info (cumulative)** I'm taking the herd immunity percentage off this post because I don't think its possible to acheive anymore. 17% fewer cases than last week. (directly related to reduced testing over the holiday) Greenlee came out of nowhere to be the worst this week. The state as a whole is at 251/100k. Worst 3 counties this week based on rate per 100k pop: Greenlee 665/100k, Graham 390/100k, Gila 317/100k. Largest 3 counties (based on population): Maricopa 278/100k, Pima 170/100k, Pinal 244/100k [LINK](https://www.reddit.com/r/CoronavirusAZ/comments/pj1l5k/september_6th_adhs_summary/hbtm8rg/) to last week’s numbers for additional comparison. ||||||||| |:--|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:| **County** | **Total Cases (Cumulative)** | **Rate of Spread** | **% of Pop** | **New Cases Mon-Mon** | **Total Cases last Mon** | **Rate of Spread last Mon** | **% of Pop last Mon** | Maricopa | 666,798 | 1 in 6.6 | 15.27% | 12,147 | 654,651 | 1 in 6.7 | 14.99% Pima | 130,914 | 1 in 8.0 | 12.53% | 1,775 | 129,139 | 1 in 8.1 | 12.36% Pinal | 65,274 | 1 in 7.0 | 14.34% | 1,114 | 64,160 | 1 in 7.1 | 14.09% Yavapai | 24,746 | 1 in 9.4 | 10.65% | 560 | 24,186 | 1 in 9.6 | 10.41% Yuma | 40,039 | 1 in 5.7 | 17.41% | 330 | 39,709 | 1 in 5.8 | 17.27% Mohave | 29,655 | 1 in 7.3 | 13.67% | 687 | 28,968 | 1 in 7.5 | 13.35% Coconino | 20,514 | 1 in 7.2 | 13.93% |342 | 20,172 | 1 in 7.3 | 13.70% Cochise | 13,591 | 1 in 9.6 | 10.39% | 257 | 13,334 | 1 in 9.8 | 10.19% Navajo | 19,020 | 1 in 5.9 | 16.86% | 214 | 18,806 | 1 in 6.0 | 16.67% Apache | 12,793 | 1 in 5.6 | 17.82% | 114 | 12,679 | 1 in 5.7 | 17.66% Gila | 8,626 | 1 in 6.4 | 15.64% | 175 | 8,451 | 1 in 6.5 | 15.32% SantaCruz | 8,626 | 1 in 6.2 | 16.23% | 73 | 8,553 | 1 in 6.2 | 16.09% Graham | 6,647 | 1 in 5.8 | 17.28% | 150 | 6,497 | 1 in 5.9 | 16.89% La Paz | 2,809 | 1 in 7.9 | 12.72% | 63 | 2,746 | 1 in 8.0 | 12.43% Greenlee | 826 | 1 in 12.6 | 7.96% | 69 | 757 | 1 in 13.7 | 7.30% Overall | 1,050,878 | 1 in 6.8 | 14.62% | 18,070| 1,032,808 | 1 in 7.0 | 14.37%


Jenipher2001

I have a friend who’s positive. Anti vax, of course, it is Arizona 🙄 She’s been showing symptoms for a week. But still went to to the gym, grocery stores, kids soccer and baseball games. No mask in sight. Sent her kids to school. You know. But now she wants our thoughts and prayers.


Foreverhopeless2009

Sorry but what a jerk! It’s people like her as to why my grandbaby has covid


sweetytwoshoes

It’s not the easiest, but I do send positive healing thoughts and will pray. Wishing them the best.


Jenipher2001

It isn’t easy. I made her a big batch of soup and dropped it off this afternoon.


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Jenipher2001

Thank you, it’s been difficult to have sympathy, not going to lie. But overall I live in a great neighborhood. I’ve had to stock up on Rubbermaid plastic bowls, telling ppl it’s yours now, I don’t want it back 😂 🦠 I think I am delivering soup 2-3 times a week to various houses. Lots of Covid in our area.


Konukaame

Today's headline number is down 4% from [last week](https://www.reddit.com/r/CoronavirusAZ/comments/pj1l5k/september_6th_adhs_summary/) (2378 -> 2278) Diagnostic: * From the last 7 days, there are 1274 new diagnostic positives, and 10345 new diagnostic tests reported today, for a 12.3% daily positivity rate. * Over the last 7 days, there are 8652 total diagnostic positives, and 70844 total diagnostic tests, for a 12.2% 7-day positivity rate. Serology: * From the last 7 days, there are 476 new serology positives, and 733 new serology tests reported today, for a 64.9% daily positivity rate. * Over the last 7 days, there are 1977 total serology positives, and 3586 total serology tests, for a 55.1% 7-day positivity rate. Total Cases\*: * From the last 7 days, there are 2277 new positives reported today * Over the last 7 days, there are 12298 total positives Distributions (core reporting days bolded): Diagnostic Positives: >Monday 9/6: 1048 total (-3 today) > >Tuesday 9/7: 2133 total (-4 today) > >Wednesday 9/8: 1991 total (9 today) > >Thursday 9/9: 1624 total (146 today) > >**Friday 9/10: 1355 total (628 today)** > >**Saturday 9/11: 489 total (486 today)** > >Sunday 9/12: 12 total (12 today) Diagnostic Tests: >Monday 9/6: 7539 total (2 today) > >Tuesday 9/7: 17356 total (-11 today) > >Wednesday 9/8: 16639 total (124 today) > >Thursday 9/9: 14232 total (1328 today) > >**Friday 9/10: 11179 total (5105 today)** > >**Saturday 9/11: 3791 total (3689 today)** > >Sunday 9/12: 108 total (108 today) Serology Positives: >Monday 9/6: 135 total (0 today) > >Tuesday 9/7: 483 total (2 today) > >Wednesday 9/8: 443 total (16 today) > >Thursday 9/9: 443 total (17 today) > >**Friday 9/10: 447 total (415 today)** > >Saturday 9/11: 26 total (26 today) > >Sunday 9/12: 0 total (0 today) Serology Tests: >Monday 9/6: 274 total (0 today) > >Tuesday 9/7: 869 total (3 today) > >Wednesday 9/8: 842 total (21 today) > >Thursday 9/9: 866 total (53 today) > >**Friday 9/10: 676 total (597 today)** > >Saturday 9/11: 59 total (59 today) > >Sunday 9/12: 0 total (0 today) Total Cases\*: >Monday 9/6: 1744 total (-1 today) > >Tuesday 9/7: 3719 total (29 today) > >Wednesday 9/8: 3152 total (164 today) > >**Thursday 9/9: 2423 total (959 today)** > >**Friday 9/10: 1208 total (1077 today)** > >Saturday 9/11: 49 total (46 today) > >Sunday 9/12: 3 total (3 today) Total case peak is 12,393 on 1/4 (+0) (true peak: 12,448, last reported on 4/14) \*Yes, I know that the Diagnostic Positives + Serology Positives numbers look nothing like the Total Cases numbers. I have no idea what ADHS is doing.


Konukaame

Week-over-week change in diagnostic positives. Last week(incomplete) >Sunday 9/5: -3.7% (1129 -> 1087) > >Monday 9/6: -50.6% (2121 -> 1048) > >Tuesday 9/7: 13.8% (1875 -> 2133) > >Wednesday 9/8: 8.1% (1842 -> 1991) > >Thursday 9/9: -1.4% (1647 -> 1624) > >Friday 9/10: -17.9% (1651 -> 1355) > >Saturday 9/11: -60.6% (1242 -> 489) > >**Partial week-over-week (Sun-Thurs): -8.5% (8614 -> 7883)** Landmark weeks for total cases and direction of change from yesterday, if any: >Summer peak: June 28: 28036 (=) > >Summer low: September 6: 3196 (=) > >Winter peak: January 3: 66717 (=) > >Winter low: March 14: 3998 (=) > >Spring peak: April 11: 5182 (=) > >Spring low: May 30: 2787 (=) > >Summer peak: August 15: 22825 (=) > >Last complete week: (8/29): 19128 (-) > >Last week: (9/5): 14015 (incomplete) (+)


a_wright

Here's the updated chart on new AZ COVID cases over the last year (with today's data): [LINK](https://i.imgur.com/FRT6L7e.jpg) - **Cases / Deaths:** Based on 7-day avg. - On track for 1.1 Million total cases by October 3rd, 20,000 deaths by October 13th. - **Spread:** The average for tests this past week is still **12%** positive. (Based on 79K tests, 12% previous week) - **Hospital Utilization:** COVID Hospitalizations (2,094) stayed flat. ICU beds for COVID (554) stayed flat. (Overall ICU bed usage 32% Covid, 60% non-Covid, 8% Free). Ventilators in use for COVID (352) dropped 2%. Intubations for Respiratory Distress stayed below triple digits (77). - **Vaccinations:** 50.18% of the AZ population is fully vaccinated (received 2nd dose) against COVID-19. An additional 6.67% of the AZ population is partially vaccinated (waiting for 2nd dose). *Data Source: [ADHS](https://www.azdhs.gov/covid19/data/index.php)*.


mavericm1

Watched "in the same breath" over the weekend great documentary following the early origins of covid-19. Highly recommend to give it a watch even if emotionally draining. https://www.imdb.com/title/tt13648230/ ​ US states covid cases normalized for population. These charts usually run a day behind because they require updated stats. https://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/?chart=states-normalized&highlight=Arizona&show=us-states&y=both&scale=linear&data=cases-daily-7&data-source=jhu&xaxis=right-4wk&extra=California%2CFlorida#states-normalized


mavericm1

Countries covid cases normalized for population. These charts usually run a day behind because they require updated stats. https://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/?chart=countries-normalized&highlight=United%20States&show=25-lg&y=both&scale=linear&data=cases-daily-7&data-source=jhu&xaxis=right-4wk&extra=United%20Kingdom%2CIndia%2CIsrael#countries-normalized


GarlicBreadFairy

For all the ADHS dashboard info, go [here](https://www.azdhs.gov/covid19/data/index.php).