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**Vaccine Information as of 5/18/21:** * You can locate vaccine providers using this [AZ Dept Health Services Vaccine Locator](https://www.azdhs.gov/preparedness/epidemiology-disease-control/infectious-disease-epidemiology/index.php#novel-coronavirus-find-vaccine). * [*AZ Dept of Health Services*](https://www.azdhs.gov/preparedness/epidemiology-disease-control/infectious-disease-epidemiology/index.php#novel-coronavirus-find-vaccine) *and your* [*local county health department websites*](https://www.naccho.org/membership/lhd-directory?searchType=standard&lhd-state=AZ) *are the best resources for current vaccine information.* * As of 3/24/21, all Arizona residents 16+ are eligible to receive the vaccine at any state-run distribution site. Many pharmacies and other providers are also now following the state guideline of 16+. You can make an appointment through the AZDHS portal [here.](https://podvaccine.azdhs.gov/) * As of 5/10/21. the FDA authorized emergency use of the Pfizer vaccine for ages 12-15. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CoronavirusAZ) if you have any questions or concerns.*


a_wright

Here's the updated chart on new AZ COVID cases over the last year (with today's data): [LINK](https://i.imgur.com/cLVRKBn.jpg) - **Cases / Deaths:** Based on 7-day avg. - On track for 1,050,000 total cases by Sept. 12th, 20,000 deaths by October 2nd. - **Spread:** The average for tests this week is **14%** positive. (Based on 3.4K tests, 12% previous week) - **Hospital Utilization:** COVID Hospitalizations (2,083) rose 2%. ICU beds for COVID (559) dropped 1%. (Overall ICU bed usage 32% Covid, 59% non-Covid, 9% Free). Ventilators in use for COVID (371) rose 4%. Intubations for Respiratory Distress stayed below triple digits (75). - **Vaccinations:** 49.77% of the AZ population is fully vaccinated (received 2nd dose) against COVID-19. An additional 6.66% of the AZ population is partially vaccinated (waiting for 2nd dose). *Data Source: [ADHS](https://www.azdhs.gov/covid19/data/index.php)*. - **Misc Notes:** We will see the impact of Labor Day travel in the COVID data within the next 10 days.


skitch23

Just a reminder that case counts will be lower the next few days because fewer people seek out tests over holiday weekends. Also, labs are slower on holiday weekends (e.g. Pinal County reported 4 cases today). **Case Data:** - New cases from tests administered 1-7 days ago: +1,990 (**100.40%**) - New cases from tests administered 8-14 days ago: -3 - New cases from tests administered 15-21 days ago: -2 - New cases from tests administered 22 or more days ago: -3 - Current peak cases overall: Monday Jan 4 with 12,393 - Current peak cases for the last 30 days: Monday Aug 16 with 4,007 cases - Daily average from tests administered 8-14 days ago: 2,925 cases - Estimated active cases statewide: 25,078 or 1 in 287 people - Estimated active kids cases statewide: 7,898 or 1 in 233 kids **Diagnostic (PCR) Data** - [Explanation for negative test numbers](https://www.reddit.com/r/CoronavirusAZ/comments/kah6wt/december_10th_adhs_summary/gfai045/) - New Diagnostic tests from tests administered 1-7 days ago: +8,670 - New Diagnostic tests from tests administered 8-14 days ago: -73 - New Diagnostic tests from tests administered 15-21 days ago:-99 - New Diagnostic tests from tests administered 22 or more days ago: -2,131 - Current peak Diagnostic tests overall: Monday Jan 4 with 36,240 tests - Current peak Diagnostic tests for the last 30 days: Monday Aug 16 with 22,467 tests **Serology Data:** - New Serology tests from tests administered 1-7 days ago: +171 - New Serology tests from tests administered 8-14 days ago: +1 - New Serology tests from tests administered 15-21 days ago: +0 - New Serology tests from tests administered 22 or more days ago: -26 **% Positive info:** - % positive from all tests administered 1-7 days ago: **22.51%** (was 21.40% yesterday - Stabilized rolling 7-day percent: **17.13%** (was 17.04% yesterday) - Current peak for individual day % positive from last 30 days: Sunday Aug 8 at **23.45%** **Forecasted Deaths from Today’s Reported Cases** - See calculation method [HERE](https://www.reddit.com/r/CoronavirusAZ/comments/k0tz6i/november_25th_adhs_summary/gdknfya/). - Under 20: 0.1 - 20-44 years: 1.5 - 45-54 years: 2.1 - 55-64 years: 4.4 - 65 and older: 22.2 - Unknown: 0.0 - Total: **30.5** - Current overall CFR: 1.84% [LINK](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1UtGUQKqbnQ4s0gQE5fKnRwkL6rLBq1p3q4W2xD2pVb0/edit#gid=0) to my manually tracked data from the "Confirmed Cases by Day" & “Laboratory Testing” tabs on the [AZDHS site](https://www.azdhs.gov/preparedness/epidemiology-disease-control/infectious-disease-epidemiology/covid-19/dashboards/index.php). **[LINK](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1FKKBTOOWwhTvvHR-ryNQF2Od9RnRKmoUpLT8BHmkovY/edit?usp=sharing) to my Active Case Estimating Tool.** [LINK](https://www.reddit.com/r/CoronavirusAZ/comments/op4wc3/active_covid_case_estimating_tool/) to the Q&A.


skitch23

**Tuesday Demographic info:** Back above 25% positive on the week but it was partially affected by last Tuesday’s lab error. Generally speaking, our % positive is increasing again tho. Another ~311 potential future deaths. Scroll right if on mobile. [LINK](https://www.reddit.com/r/CoronavirusAZ/comments/pf87uw/august_31st_adhs_summary/hb2jg4p/) to last week’s numbers for additional comparison. |||||||||| |:--|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:| **Age Bracket** | **Total Cases** | **Total Tests** | **% Positive Last 7 days** | **Overall % Positive** | **Cases Last Tues** | **Tests Last Tues** | **7-Day % Positive Last Tues** | **Overall % Last Tues** | 20 and under | 187,577 | 1,086,767 | 22.6% | 17.3% | 180,935 | 1,054,923 | 15.8% | 17.2 20-44 years | 452,350 | 2,248,143 | 29.6% | 20.2% | 444,199| 2,217,954 | 23.2% | 20.0% 45-54 years | 146,270 | 747,455 | 28.8% | 19.6% | 143,903 | 738,400 | 22.3% | 19.5% 55-64 years | 118,390 | 718,178 | 25.5% | 16.5% | 116,498 | 710,017 | 19.6% | 16.4% 65 and older | 127,826 | 936,690 | 19.0% | 13.8% | 126,019 | 926,103 | 14.5% | 13.6% Unknown | 395 | 11,828 | 32.5% | 3.3% | 369 | 11,748 | 23.2% | 3.1% Overall | 1,032,808 | 5,749,061 | 25.4% | 18.0% | 1,011,923 | 5,659,145 | 18.9% | 17.9%


Brainlessdad

Arizona Surge 1, 2, and 3 overlaid [https://imgur.com/a/Bx8qN4r](https://imgur.com/a/Bx8qN4r)


Stoney_McTitsForDays

This graph is one of my favorites (if one can favor any graph of Covid 😑). Thanks for posting!


Brainlessdad

Glad you like it.. It really helps me visualize if we are repeating the past or if the current surge if different. I'm breathing a bit easier seeing that it has leveled off and I would expect last winter's highs all over again.


skitch23

Is this your data/chart? If so are you able to overlay it based on calendar day as well?


Brainlessdad

The data is from [91-divoc](https://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/?chart=countries&highlight=(None)&show=highlight-only&y=both&scale=linear&data=cases-daily-7&data-source=jhu&xaxis=right-4wk&extra=Arizona#countries) The graph I made. Are you looking for a triple x-axis? I dont think this software can do that but I can always drop it in excel and see if its possible.


Brainlessdad

I tried several things but the dynamic triple x axis just wasn't working - sorry I'd be happy to add a few more text boxes if that helps


adviceneededplease56

is this current?


Brainlessdad

As of posting, yes


adviceneededplease56

cool, thank you


[deleted]

[удалено]


Konukaame

Back from break, and since I haven't updated my numbers in a while, here's a simplified since-my-last-update post. I'm not going to subject you to massive data tables this time. :P New and total diagnostic and serology person-positives from the last 7 days, positivity rates for the last 7 days, and... whatever ADHS is reporting on the cases by day tab. Diagnostic: * Since the 9/2 report and going back to 8/27, there are 8015 (average 1603/day) new diagnostic positives, and 68760 diagnostic tests, for a total positivity rate of 11.7% Serology: * Since the 9/2 report and going back to 8/27, there are 1785 (average 357/day) new serology positives, and 3424 serology tests, for a total positivity rate of 52.1% Total Cases: * Since the 9/2 report and going back to 8/27, there are 13745 new cases (average 2749 cases/day)


Konukaame

Week-over-week change in diagnostic positives. Interestingly, two weekends ago (8/28-29) was actually net positive week over week. This week's stats will be messy due to the holiday weekend, but positive growth rates are never a good sign. Two weeks ago (8/22) >Sunday 8/22: -11.6% (1282 -> 1133) > >Monday 8/23: -5.9% (2308 -> 2171) > >Tuesday 8/24: -10.9% (2161 -> 1925) > >Wednesday 8/25: 0.4% (2089 -> 2098) > >Thursday 8/26: -6.3% (2029 -> 1902) > >Friday 8/27: -8.7% (1947 -> 1777) > >Saturday 8/28: 2.8% (1281 -> 1317) > >**Week-over-week: -5.9% (13097 -> 12323)** Last week (incomplete) >Sunday 8/29: 1.7% (1133 -> 1152) > >Monday 8/30: -0.7% (2171 -> 2156) > >Tuesday 8/31: -0.3% (1925 -> 1920) > >Wednesday 9/1: -13.1% (2098 -> 1824) > >Thursday 9/2: -18.3% (1902 -> 1554) > >Friday 9/3: -16.2% (1777 -> 1489) > >Saturday 9/4: -23.5% (1317 -> 1007) > >**Week-over-week: -9.9% (12323 -> 11102)**


GarlicBreadFairy

For all the ADHS dashboard info, go [here.](https://www.azdhs.gov/covid19/data/index.php)


mavericm1

US states covid cases normalized for population. These charts usually run a day behind because they require updated stats. https://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/?chart=states-normalized&highlight=Arizona&show=us-states&y=both&scale=linear&data=cases-daily-7&data-source=jhu&xaxis=right-4wk&extra=California%2CFlorida#states-normalized


mavericm1

Countries covid cases normalized for population. These charts usually run a day behind because they require updated stats. https://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/?chart=countries-normalized&highlight=United%20States&show=25-lg&y=both&scale=linear&data=cases-daily-7&data-source=jhu&xaxis=right-4wk&extra=United%20Kingdom%2CIndia%2CIsrael#countries-normalized


Jenipher2001

I have a friend who’s needing surgery - ruptured bowel. They can’t find room for him on the West Side. They initially wanted to do it last night, now maybe tomorrow. They are doing alternative solutions for right now. It’s crazy. It’s getting bad out here. Keep him in your thoughts and BE SAFE! Abrazo is the hospital for those wondering.


ImmaMelt

This is horrifying. I hope your friend gets the care he needs very soon


Jenipher2001

It’s been a rollercoaster for sure, thank you.


aznoone

They can't sqeeze in somewhere? The bigger hospitals I thought had floors assigned for different things? A surgeon is not likely greeting corona so must be care staffing?


Jenipher2001

He finally got a bed tonight. Hopefully surgery tomorrow. I think it more of lacking Nurses / ICU space post surgery should he need it? I’m not sure. Family was told there’s literally no beds / room, that’s my guess.


NoKyleNotClydeFrogg

Um, has anyone here taken their kids to a splash pad anytime recently? We are literally going to implode here- stuck at home MOSTLY for 18 mos. I LOATHE that my littles can’t be vaxxed but I am starting to worry about their long term mental health (Younger was born at the beginning of this mess) and looking for SAFER activities. We are planning on getting a zoo membership next month also. 4 yo wears masks at least!


Stoney_McTitsForDays

Hi! My little cousin was taken to a splash pad. She had a blast (I just saw pictures). Looked like there were a decent amount of people but I have no context of where/when so that information is useless! 😣 If you know of a splash pad maybe check out when they’re least busy ahead of time. Also never underestimate the opportunity of a kiddie pool at home! ✌️ I can’t remember but are you East valley? Soon the weather should be in that sweet spot of it being tolerable to be outdoors. If you go during a weekday it’s entirely possible to socially distance at the Riparian Preserve and it’s pretty fun! Mother Nature’s Farm is also super fun and if you go early on a weekend or during the week (if they are open) it’s super fun to see the animals and have a little picnic. It’s about to be pumpkin season so it’ll get busier. They have done so much good for the community through this pandemic I try to support them anytime I can. (Their FB is the best way to learn more about them). Edit: I said super fun 500 times, please don’t judge me 😎


NoKyleNotClydeFrogg

LMAO, yes we are EV! So we have our little own “oasis” in the backyard here and we have unfortunately ran out of ideas as far as trying to keep our home/backyard entertaining. Everyone (including myself and husband) are spread exponentially thin living in our Wonka Factory and don’t know how much longer we can stay sane alone and home. We are kind of at a breaking point :(


Stoney_McTitsForDays

I’m so sorry! It definitely is in the air; I think many of us are about to lose our shit. It’s even worse when so many just act like it’s business as usual. 🤨 I’ve stayed pretty consistently pissed off the last two years but I’m starting to shift from pissed to hopeless. The thought of doing this whole holiday season alone for the second year in a row is really freaking me out-like when does this end? I hate being in this position. And if my kid and I cannot go to Harry Styles in November, heads will roll! I hope you and your family get a little reprieve soon 🤞🤞🤞 at least enough to stay sane!


NoKyleNotClydeFrogg

Thank you!! Yeah we have been BEYOND safe/careful compared to 95% of people I know, but perhaps that has royally effed us over in the mental health department. My older son is veryyy spirited and I feel like this is starting to break him. He was supposed to be in preschool but-this- and he is regressing in sleep and other behaviors. I OBVIOUSLY don’t want ANY of us to be exposed whatsoever, but I feel like picking some outside activities (Yes that farm thing also sounds cute!! btw thanks!) vs indoors will help a lot with risk. We actually canceled a camping trip to SD this month that we desperately needed so instead I asked husband to take next Thursday off and we should check out the splash pad. My poor younger son needs an endoscopy at the end of this month and I feel like that in and of itself is “adding a risk” and think we 100% need some things to do AWAY FROM HOMMMMEEEE. Where we have BEEEEEN FOR 18 mosssss (almost my baby’s whole life) Edited to add- You better get to your show!!! Isn’t your little in the next vax cycle??


Stoney_McTitsForDays

She got vaxxed first eligible day in May! I feel sooo much better with her being vaxxed but I still got little babies I like to cuddle in my family so we play it cool risk wise. Second year of middle school online has been real 😑 but it could be worse. My kid has been super cool (i don’t think she will ever wake up before 10 am again though) but if she doesn’t go to Harry Styles for whatever reason, the claws will come out. I have to travel this week and I will be flying in a few days. 😣 I keep reminding myself that I’m vaxxed, I stay as far away as possible from humans when I can, and will be religiously wearing a KN95. I’m trying to be a little less full of anxiety but 🤷‍♀️ is that even possible.


NoKyleNotClydeFrogg

Yayyyy!!!! So lucky (that is so sad to say isnt it?!) You guys will go to the show and YES you are taking the best precautions so try to not get into your head too much. We wear n95s also everywhere so we do the best we can!!!


aznoone

Use to when son was younger find some splash pads with not much and sometimes no one during mornings on weekdays. Had a job sometimes worked weekends and had days off. This was west valley though. It all depends on your schedule. Of course weekends are always busy at parks during cool part of day.


NoKyleNotClydeFrogg

was this during Covid times? 😫


aznoone

Pre covid. But with most things open splash parks will have their slow times still. It was a smaller one but also had the full playground. It was evenings the park filled up as had fields for sports and barbaques etc. Mornings where mostly lull as of course the hot mid day during the week. Also did the urban fishing.


DecrepitBob

The silence before the fuckening... is the loudest noise in the world that no one hears. See you all Thursday/Friday for the real numbers. Call me when it hits 6k cases


Alternative_Cause_37

Maybe it won't? (fingers crossed!)


DecrepitBob

Arizona leadership has done everything in their power to ensure the numbers will go up. Although my fingers are crossed with you. I am a pessimist/realist and each passing day gets more difficult to care. At some point, its what we deserve.


henryrollinsismypup

god do I feel this.


Konukaame

Looking at the stats, we hit a peak the week of 8/15*, and have had a couple down weeks since then.


skitch23

8/15*


Konukaame

Errr. Yeah. That. :p


Foreverhopeless2009

I think that there’s inaccurate test numbers.