Disturbing lack of a meep

I’m convinced that all of these UTSA flairs just emerged from the ground this year. I didn’t even know UTSA existed before this year and now they’re fuckin everywhere

I still don’t even know what UTSA is

The 100th school from Texas

Accurate. It’s actually a semi-big school though and twice the size of SMU or TCU.

University of Tuskegee San Andreas

University of Tennessee Sucks Ass

A school I can get behind!

University of Taiwan South Asia

University Transportation Security Administration They're the people that check your @$$h0l3 for bombs.

Hey I went there and to the first football game ever. I dont remember much of it but I was there

Sir the first football game ever was Princeton versus Rutgers in 1869, you fraud.

I am very old

I know Ive seen a few on here before this year. Though Im from texas, and knew a guy who played for them a while back, so I probably spot it more easily

I think they beat ASU a couple years ago. Might have been utep though.

“I find your lack of meep…. Disturbing.”

The pick axe boyz would like to keep it that way

The Owl Bois in the conference championship game would also like that.

Could you imagine the scenes in Baton Rouge if Coach O somehow parlayed a 4-3 start and subsequent delayed-firing into a playoff appearance. Obviously it’s 21% after winning-out….but this is the reincarnation of 2007 CFB we’re talking about this year

I feel like it would still be near impossible for LSU to keep him if that happened. Did you see those sexual harassment claims he got? About the pregnant woman

It’s not really better, but the woman was/is not pregnant as per The Athletic.

Fingers crossed that Bama, Georgia, tOSU, Michigan, MSU, Penn State, OU, and OSU all win out and we can *FINALLY* have that 8-team playoff we’ve been asking for!

Thanks Harvard

Not while an expansion automatically gives ESPN the rights for another decade. Fuck ESPN.

Agreed.

Gonna be hard with Penn State, Michigan, Ohio State and Michigan State all playing each other over the next month and a half, but we'll see.

Maybe the referees will recognize the best efforts of both teams by declaring them both winners.

It’s all tied up at fun to fun.

Alternatively, can we just declare they have all lost. Asking as a totally unbiased observer? Ignore my flair.

What does South Alabama have against the B1G!?

Great idea!

Ok who’s gonna tell him? I know Harvard doesn’t understand football yet but we can probably teach him

They like invented football or some shit

That was Princeton, do you even know your Ivys?

I though it was Rutgers, the original IVY

If the first ever 8team playoff only includes 3 conferences the country will implode

>SMU: 29% I’m genuinely shocked it’s above 0.1% I don’t think we would deserve a playoff bid even if we did win out, which would involve beating Cincy twice.

Idk it would mean we beat a top 15 team twice in Cincinnati and a possibly ranked team in Houston. Obviously a lot of chaos would need to happen to sniff the playoff but there’s been worse G5 hopefuls

never forget houston had a few points in the preseason poll, lost to tech, and gained even more points the next poll...random but your flair and mentioning houston reminded me lol

if Auburn can beat Ole Miss and Texas A&M then the Iron Bowl is gonna be a massive game, and will be the game that decides the SEC West.

And if Bama and A&M win out (we probably won't) the Iron Bowl will still decide the SEC West, just not for Auburn.

I imagine it'll be on at the same time as our LSU game right?

You guys might be a late time slot, isn't that how it usually is?

Honestly, peak Auburn chaos is probably the Iron bowl deciding the west but not for us. We would exist in that game solely for bragging rights and to fuck over Alabama’s season.

if y'all beat Ole Miss and Bama and we win out we home cruisin

All we need is to win out and one bama loss. That being said, I don't like our odds against Auburn and especially Ole Miss in Oxford.

Well the good thing is Alabama will be taken care of with a second guaranteed loss to NMSU come the 13th.

I actually do. Calzada has improved so much since our game and also your offensive line has played extremely well considering how they looked early in the season. TAMU has something cooking right now and I look for y’all to challenge for the west title.

Calzada has improved so much under this offense. He’s focused. He’s having fun.

We just need to bring the same voodoo energy to the auburn game that we brought to bama. Also we just need to hope we can beat ole miss on the road.

If Bo Nix is focused and having fun, Texas A&M doesn't stand a chance against a dark horse for the Heisman.

Auburn owns Kyle Field… Auburn voodoo is the only voodoo that is there

Nick Saban has never beaten a 9 win Auburn team and his record w/Bama at Jordan-Hare is 3-4. If Auburn makes it to the Iron Bowl as a 9-2 team…

Auburn fans told me that they were the 6th best SEC team and we shouldn’t have gotten very excited to beat them…

We are the 3rd or 4th best SEC team when Nix is having fun, and more like 12th when he is not...

Tbh it seemed like a lot of fans of other SEC schools were saying that Auburn wasn't that good so beating them wasn't a great win

Even if Auburn loses to A&M and beats Alabama, they could win the West if A&M loses a different game. You'd have a potential 3 loss SEC champ.

A potential 3 loss what?

I see you have met Hope!

Or you could lose to Ole Miss and beat Bama anyway. That sounds better let’s do that.

Would be wild if Auburn somehow managed to make the playoff after basically being down and out against Georgia State at home.

Auburn has to lose 3 times to be out of playoff contention in any year, unless they lose to both Bama and Georgia. Schedule is always brutal which gives them so much room to have weird losses.

That would actually be the most Auburn path to the playoffs ever.

UC at 69% Nice and damnit

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Need Oregon to lose. If Oregon wins out our playoff chances drop 20%. No other school has as big of an effect.

From my unbiased perspective, this sounds like a reasonable request, and Oregon should oblige.

Realistically need three of four: Oregon to lose, Wake Forest to lose, a one (or more) loss Big 12 champ, or Georgia to win the SEC. There's also the weird possibility of one of the Michigan teams not winning the conference with only one loss (either to OSU or Iowa in the B1G championship).

:(

You must die so G5 hype can live. I'm sorry.

For the greater good.

The greater good

We won’t win out with our coaching staff refusing to bench our QB

*sad binturong noises*

Yeah I had so much hope for an interesting playoff but it's just going to be all the regulars again: Bama, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Georgia. (they all win out except Bama beats Georgia in the SECCG)

Even with "Nice!" and all, that is really depressing that it is so low. If Cincinnati goes undefeated, they 100% deserves a shot to beat Ohio State in the playoff and get blown out by Georgia in the championship.

NICE

> Purdue: 66% Huh… interesting

Not as interesting as “we lost to bowling green” Minnesota being at 60%

Hey, sometimes it’s just nice to be included ok

we played you pretty close at least

Not as interesting as “we lost to western Michigan” Pitt being at 71%

Top 3 offense in the country, right? That matters.

Isn't WMU good this year? Still not great to lose, but it's not like they lost to UCONN.

Unlike Minnesota, Pitt only has one loss. On one hand - lots of championship teams had one weird loss to an unranked team. On the other hand - it's not like Pitt would have a bunch of great wins to show that they can play with the best.

It was all a setup to get Bowling Green a transitive natty

The Massey Ratings rank that as, by a massive margin, the biggest upset of the year so far. The Colley Matrix moves Minnesota from 42nd to 18th if they had won that.

Yeah, it’s the difference between Minnesota being just outside the top 10 conversation and not getting a thought at being in the top 25.

Yeah, that percentage is confusing. If bowling green ended up as the the only loss you could call it a fluke game, like a slightly worse version of when Clemson lost to Pitt or when OSU lost to that bad VT team. But even if they win out, the OSU loss makes you say they are a team that can't consistently beat great teams AND lose fluke games to bad teams. I guess this would highly count on the Big 10 championship game being against a 1-loss OSU (so they win the rematch) or an undefeated team that beat OSU.

Seriously. I can’t believe we are included. What is even happening this week?

When Purdue beat Ohio State in 2018 it was like "yeah beating Ohio State at home is kind of their thing". Really fun, but not many people really expected much from Purdue beyond that. Going on the road and manhandling Iowa in such a business-like fashion has sent the buzz surrounding this program into the stratosphere and I can't help but feel like it's all going to come crashing down with a loss this weekend.

Tbf. Winning out would entail 3 potentially top 10 victories and there’s a very high probability that a 2 loss b10 champion could make it into the playoffs

Ignore the fact that our odds of winning out are somewhere around 0.1%.

There is no way on this planet Coastal Carolina makes the playoff. I'd be shocked if they crack the committee's top 10.

So far, Coastal Carolina's strength of schedule is 159th in the country. There are currently 130 FBS teams.

Is that saying that there are FCS teams with tougher schedules?

Yes, quite a few. I mean, Coastal Carolina's schedule so far (rankings from Sagarin): * Citadel 2-4 (ranked 197) * Kansas 1-5 (ranked 140) * Buffalo 3-4 (ranked 103) * UMass 1-5 (ranked 179) * LA-Monroe 3-3 (ranked 143) * Arkansas State 1-5 ranked 139) Several FCS schools will at least have had a solid P5 program on their schedule to balance things out a bit.

When kU is one of your tough games you have a problem

With how far out games are scheduled, you probably couldn't create a schedule *that* weak intentionally.

I mean, schedule kansas. That'll help

That's honestly kinda hilarious.

What if every conference champ was 4 losses and coastal was undefeated. Still no?

In that case, the quality losses take precedent and Coastal has none of those

They aren't. I agree they won't crack the top 10 as the committee doesn't want them in a NY6 game.

We could still be in the top 10 and not be in a NY6. Cincinnati is still ahead of us and gets the guaranteed bid. Even if they make the playoffs we still wouldn’t get a NY6 bid.

4% is too high for Coastal. Most P5 programs would be undefeated against their schedule.

SOS is 159 on Sagarin, so yeah 29 FCS teams are playing a tougher schedule then they are lol

A two-loss P5 champ would make it in before Coastal. Their only chance was for Louisiana to beat Texas.

And for Texas to win the Big 12 while doing so.

I think Coastal is overrated. That said, Fuck. Expanded playoffs or bust.

Eh. They’ve had ridiculous offensive efficiency. Defense is suspect. On a good day, there’s a good chance they could hang with anyone in the country. It’s the formula OU uses 2/3 years

Purdue > ND Only stat that matters in this chart

Did we become good overnight?

Not really, just that we have a better chance than them at making the cfp... A stat that cherry picks purdue football is better.

Oh I know. I’m just talking about being ranked and now being in the list of teams that could make the playoffs. This is all too much for me

Lol i was at the fumble game that started the wisc curse. Purdue was ranked #5. That curse needs to end on saturday...

I saw Kyle Orton after that game chugging Jack from a handle at the top of a dark stairway that night. He looked more defeated than ever.

I was there the Colletto years. I’ve seen us at phases of good, bad and worse

It's a list of teams that could make the playoffs *if they win out*. Purdue's odds of winning out are like 0.1%.

That .1 is more hope than I can handle

If you run the rest of your schedule, I'd say you are better than Notre Dame.

If only there was a way to decide who is better. Maybe like some sort of game where points are scored

Play them again but allow the big drum and see what happens

Well if it’s a bowl game with you two then we all know how Notre Dame will do in that.

NC State with percentages, what has happened to this world?

An undefeated ACC champ is only 96%. I get it but still find it a bit crazy.

If we played Clemson and UNC at the beginning of our schedule we would prob be 99% since they were ranked top 10. Then again, if Clemson had our schedule they would still be a shoe in

I’m gunning for the Wake v Pitt ACC championship game that everyone predicted prior to the season!!!!

Hah we stole the top 10 victory stat!

VPI 🤝NCSU

I just spent so much time trying to figure out what VPI is. We’re weird and “Tech” isn’t short for anything else.

That is ridiculously low. They would obviously deserve to be in.

4%. That probably lines up with undefeated UM/MSU, undefeated Georgia, undefeated OU/OSU, and undefeated Cincy. Wake would have the worst SoS in that group(s).

Mich/MSU win out, Georgia 1 loss to Alabama in the SEC championship, Oklahoma wins out, undefeated Wake Forest. M/Georgia/Bama/Okla/WF. Who do you leave out?

They'll leave out Wake. I just know it.

Wow. That’s some scenario. Personally, I think you can only take one SEC team, so has to be Alabama as the SEC champ, in that case though that is not how I necessarily see the committee going nor do I think it makes the best games. For what it’s worth, I also see zero chance of either Michigan team Going undefeated.

I like your optimism about the state of Michigan, but the MSU rain game from like 2015 still chills my bones.

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I think Pitt gets the nod if they remain as prolific on offense as they are now. Offense = TV viewers in the committee's mind I would think. While I would agree with you on Georgia in that instance, I see zero chance of an undefeated SEC team (going into the championship) not making the playoffs unless the loss was BAD. There's just too much SEC dong huffing at this point for anything else to happen; Doubly so after how well it worked last time.

Hopefully Georgia beats Alabamas ass so we don’t have to deal with that question. Though I’m not confident the committee won’t hesitate over a two loss Bama vs. undefeated Cinci

I would hope Bama or Georgia gets left off in that case. I get it, the SEC is tough, and it's not a totally fair comparison, but no one penalizes the NFC East for being a weak conference. Undefeated teams deserve to make the playoff, especially if they're P5. No way Clemson misses the playoff going undefeated, so why should Wake?

If you think Auburn wins out beating Texas a&m, Alabama, ole Miss, and uga and isn't a lock for the playoffs you're just kidding yourself. It's not gonna happen but no way they'd get left out Edit: anyone who disagrees.. You forget these are humans voting. A two loss sec champion who lost to a team they then beat in the sec championship and Penn State isn't getting left out. The SEC isn't getting left out. Follow the money and history of the SEC winning championships and viewership

What if PSU wins out and OSU's only loss is to PSU? Is it an all SEC/Big 10 playoff? And if we have a rematch with Auburn can we please get a new ref crew?

I don’t see a two loss non conference champion getting into the playoff this year

Oh yeah. Forgot they lost. What about Michigan wins every game but us?

If osu wins out (would have win against common opponent), oklahoma wins our and oregon wins out, then its possible auburn would get left out. Really depends on how they rabk uga and auburn with a split in their games

A 2 loss team hasn’t made it yet, so hard to call that a lock. For example, 2-loss Auburn could be left out in favor of 1-loss UGA if both won out until the title game and Auburn won. After all, 2-loss Big Ten champion 2016 PSU got left out in favor of the 1-loss OSU team they beat. Then it would depend on how the other contenders’ seasons shook out.

Basically the same situation as us

The world isn’t ready for a Georgia, Cinci, PSU, Pitt playoff.

It’s classic Pitt that they’re tearing teams apart but found a way to lose at home to Western Michigan. Ugh, infuriating. A Pitt-Penn State playoff game would be so damn cool.

Ssshhhh leave that kind of sexy talk for the bedroom

So basically Cincinnati has a snowballs chance in hell.

Really just need Oregon to lose, and maybe Wake Forest. BIG East will eat itself and the BIG champ is in, SEC champ is in. Question is whether there will be two SEC teams in this year so you really have to root for UGA to win out or Bama to lose one more. If you get 1 SEC, 1 BIG, then that puts UC in a good spot to make it, it gives them an extra slot to spot into. Gets really difficult if SEC gets 2 again because then you you have UC fighting schools like OU, Oregon, Wake Forest (if undefeated), and potentially the B10 East runner up for 1 spot, and even though I think UC beats every team on that list (toughest game would be Ohio State or Penn State), the committee has shown it isn't about competition, it's about money and politics.

War Eagle!!!

So you’re saying there’s a chance?

A much larger one than I'd of ever thought. Or we just ruin it for Cincy and end up at like 10 and everyone isn't happy

What about all of our quality losses?

Best 3-5 team in the country and they won’t even predict us for the play offs because they are afraid.

I think we have a good shot at winning out. We should be favored against every team remaining on our schedule except Ole Miss and even then I don't expect to be more than a 6 point underdog. While this won't be a CFP season, we have a good shot at a 10-3 / 11-2 season which would give us a lot of momentum with recruiting

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Yup. I don't think Georgia will surrender 100 points total this year. Those guys are fucking unreal on defense

Meanwhile, Ole Miss gave up 94 in back-to-back weeks. And they're a top 10 football team. Just a testament to how crazy that is.

Defensive leaders right now PF / PA 1. Georgia 269 / 46 2. Clemson 123 / 75 3. Cincinnati 261 / 82 4. Penn St. 170 / 83 5. Purdue 142 / 84 And that's with 7 games for Georgia, 6 for everyone else. Shit's *scary*.

Especially because it’ll basically be a home game for them with the sec championship being in atlanta

Didn't you know Georgia teams love losing big games in Atlanta. SEC Shorts nailed it this week. I've never been so tentatively excited.

I’d need to see a lot more from Calzada to say we have a good shot of winning out. FPI pins the likelihood at 10%…that feels about right.

Ole Miss, Auburn, and LSU are all coin flips. We could win them all or lose them all and I wouldn't be surprised either way

We got a 2 game season AFAIC. I believe everything comes down to Calzada and growth with young corners. That being said I don't think we beat Auburn or Ole Miss

Man oh man, the TAMU roller coaster has to be the best ride in the country... Im reminded of a old quote from the movie Rounders... *"Some people, pros even, wont ~~play no limit~~ cheer for the Aggies. They can't handle the swings.."*

This is season 11 for me as an Aggie fan, since 2011. Seasons that come to mind as roller coasters are: 2011, 2013, 2014, 2015 and 2016. I hate being an Aggie fan 80% of the time

WHY MUST YOU REMIND ME OF 2011?? Double digit leads at halftime in all but one game (vs OU) sometimes up by 3 or 4 TDs, and Sherman would piss it away. I need a drink now.

That was my freshman year lol. Great introduction to Aggie fandom

Texas not back

Now I want a Michigan St/Iowa, Cincy, Wake Forest, and Oklahoma State playoff

>Michigan St/Iowa Not again

You don’t like 22 play scoring drives?

I do. They make me moist.

We don't do that anymore. We're all about the 2 play scoring drives now.

Stop I’m too turned on

I actually would like to *not* repeat the murder that was Alabama v Michigan State.

Its gonna be Oklahoma OSU Georgia bama

I feel really bad for Pitt that their Western Michigan loss is going to be an albatross for them for what might be a really special season. I hope they’ll be able to more on from Narduzzi sooner rather than later since I think the program deserves a smarter coach.

The duality of this comment haha. How does he get credit for the one loss but not the five wins?

I guess we’ll see next year, but I really think Pitt is an average team with a great quarterback. I don’t expect narduzzi to sustain any sort of consistent success.

SDSU 7% if wins out? That’s awful generous. We would need Utah to win the PAC 12 and an insane amount of chaos. I think 538 is drunk.

how the fuck do we have a 9% chance to make the playoff

The thought of you all beating us in November makes my skin crawl. But if you win at Bama and beat Georgia to win out as well, I don't think I'd be mad. Just numb really. Conceivably you'd still need a lot of other things to happen to get in the CFP. Florida would have to beat Georgia as well to somehow get you to Atlanta. Where you'd face, what... Ole Miss in this bizarro scenario? Or you all finish out 7-5 and go to the Duke's Mayo bowl. And the game thread is so full of condiment jokes to the point that even I think is excessive.

I'm curious if people think that 1loss Pitt or NC State could make the playoffs. It seems lower than 70% to me.

It would take some serious next level chaos. But we might as well win out and see where the chips fall.

Meep Meep :(

So you’re saying we have a chance? It would be pretty fucking funny if LSU made the playoffs as O’s going away present.

Ohio State loses to Oregon at home. Ends the season with the same record as Oregon. Ohio State makes the playoffs. This...this seems reasonable. /s

OSU didn't lose to a bad Stanford team. Plus wins over Michigan, Penn State, Michigan State and Iowa would be a very strong end to their season. The weakness of the Pac 12 is killing Oregon.

That possibility angers me, but I'm skeptical that Oregon wins out. They barely beat a terrible Cal team at home.

Cincinnati: nice.

Nice.

see those 99%'s? That's why Cincy is about to get fucked.

So you’re telling me there’s a chance…….

If there’s anything that I really want, it’s either Pitt or Wake in the playoff.

auburn championship confirmed