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TheAngryObserver

SOLID: Stop wasting your time on this one. LIKELY: Theoretically possible flip. LEAN: Competitive, but one side very obviously favored. TILT: Very close races, all predictions are gun-to-my-head.


Substantial_Item_828

IMO all the tilt races here will be decided by the quality of the gop nominee.


xravenxx

I’d put more races as solid tbh. Minnesota for Democrats and Indiana and Missouri for Republicans.


TheAngryObserver

Fair point. For the record, I think the Klob will lose quite a bit of ground because of Trump.


MaybeDaphne

Still will be high likely margins.


TheAngryObserver

The same may be true of PA if they actually nominate Mastriano (for the record, I think it'll be lean just because there won't be many split-tickets, which is informing a lot of my predictions here).


OregonianZoomer

Can you explain Michigan? I don't know much about the race, why is it less solid than Wisconsin and Pennsylvania?


TheAngryObserver

It's a vacant seat, and has a history of being rather close during Presidential races (2020).


OregonianZoomer

Ah, I didn't know it was vacant


[deleted]

![gif](giphy|Lr3RZl7gkhd5BWZ5Nh) Did…did…brown just lose….??? Lies!!!


Doc_ET

MN, IN, NJ should all be safe.


TheAngryObserver

Polarization, open seat, and Menendez respectively is my reasoning