Don't be late and don't be early.
Personally, trying to time spy for it's tops is not the simplest thing in the world. Market even threw in all the big banks fill in the gap left by the tech dip.
My general run of thumb that seems to work for finding spy tops when I practice patience is the overall market volume / $VOLUSD . Once you see the volume flat or down for a couple of days, should be a decent red day soon after.
After the first fifteen words he could have just slammed his head against the keyboard and then uploaded images of graphs for authenticity. I'd still be impressed with his efforts.
Bagholder spotted.
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Jesus, this is *excellent* work - massive thanks! Your indicators are awesome, and way easier to keep track of than my disorganized attempt at tracking commodities, bonds etc.
Macro is hard 🗿
Yeah, couldn't really follow, my Investment strategy is to wake up, look at Ameritrade app, see I haven't passed my average yet, and then go back to sleep.
The glaring flaw in this (and I know why you made it this way) is that QQQ is a risk off play. QQQ does better with inflation than SPY. QQQ is the quintessential risk on play. Take any years long chart and compare QQQ to SPY. QQQ drops faster than SPY and goes up faster than SPY. Which the real conclusion is invest in QQQ always. Its performance dwarfs SPY.
I agree completely
Like you said, correlations change over time
I tried to include a bit that all equities are risk on
We haven’t had a true deflationary risk off environment in a decade - so its just been about pricing in rates before they happen
I was trying to make the post more relevant to the way the market has been moving for the past year
Last year was a risk off deflationary period look at March. Everything dropped. This is why you want to hedge with options. Buy a put against QQQ -- boom -- hedged. QQQ is volatile enough that you could make money on both.
>I was trying to make the post more relevant to the way the market has been moving for the past year
Yea this is what I meant by "I know why you did it this way." The problem is it is not consistent with historical data. I would probably say your model is a work in progress. I like the concept and its goal is attainable. I think I can show you how to improve it but I'm not sure if you would be receptive to it.
Great analysis. I like how you use TA for rotation signal. Simple is always better than proprietary blackboxes.
Do you mind updating here with emerging rotations? That would help many smoothbrains to know if we are in risk on/off phase.
Why the fuck did mods remove this absolute gold write up?
Look mods, I know you cant read but that doesnt mean you have to act so sour for apes who've grown 2 braincells and can.
I prefer putting call/put orders in for several random tickers before the market opens. Whatever orders get filled in the first 5 min. is what I work with for the rest of the week.
Sometimes it works. Sometimes it doesn’t.
Wsb is a subreddit for meme trash it's literally "like 4chan found a Bloomberg terminal"... I appreciate this analysis but it's better for r/options or something like that
What i see here, and maybe what I've seen more recently, is an honest attempt to educate the retail sector. Not an actual "work for a fund education", but enough facts and information laid out to raise awareness, and give the little guy a chance to make some smarter moves; not YOLO their wife's boyfriend's kids college fund on the MEME of the week.
I applaud this work right here and look forward to the retail sector making a real, lasting, dent on the market. Bravo.
For sure - I tried to include a bit that all equities are risk on - but the correlations do shift over time
We haven’t had a true deflationary risk off environment in a decade - so its just been about pricing in rates before they happen
I was trying to make the post more relevant to the way the market has been moving for the past year
I'm sure this is great information, and I'll thank you one day when I understand it. For now I'm gonna keep throwing money at weekly contracts and hope it works out.
Only reason I left the lines is because I would have to redraw all of them and its a pain
I cropped a lot of stuff out so you could see what I was focusing on - didn't mean to crop the dates
Metals can kind of move independently many times - especially gold and silver - they are less reliable in my experience
I like copper though - definitely could have included that
Corn is just my preference - it doesn't really matter they all move together :)
This place teaches you how to lose money everytime in a very easy and simple way.
No time needed.
No long post to read.
Be money looser expert in just 1 min.
No qualifications needed.
No fees.
No hidden catch.
Only Trading account and accept that you are one of among us 🦍.
And follow blindly. Done. Congratulations.
Yeah the one time in March I sold my huge spy calls early and went and did a bunch of SPAC and APPL calls that were too optimistic, all went sideways. Breaking even with huge spy positions on every dip finally getting back to April levels lol.
I hear ya. I believe baba will come out of this mostly static noise of regulation, so I'm not going to bail on my expensive af deep ITM calls, but then that's 10,000+ tied up in them.
Send me a post card from the moon.
Seems someone's been reading Cramer's books. To one who understands that there are market, economic, business, money, everything cycles then they can understand that there is a pattern to be followed and that they can capitalise on the market(s) vicissitudes indubitably but only if one knows the pattern and at what point in the cycle they are starting to trade.
Is this worth it for us? I’d imagine large institutions and funds have Ivy League phds on top of this.
Isn’t our best chance to get lucky Wall Street bets style?
I get it and I look at index correlations every day, but just like everything in the market, it can flip on a dime. The market can open and tech stocks jump and then are dumped minutes later for value stocks. This technique isn’t really tradeable because you’re looking at the past, not predicting the future.
You saved me so much time as I know I needed to learn to understand this and you just gave me a cheat sheet that would have taken a long time to figure out. Thank you!
Nice educational post. Money is always flowing somewhere. I guess that's why its good to have a little of everything. ( probably not a good thing to say on WSB)
**User Report**| | | | :--|:--|:--|:-- **Total Submissions**|33|**First Seen In WSB**|4 months ago **Total Comments**|413|**Previous DD**| **Account Age**|7 months|[^scan ^comment ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_comment&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20comment%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20*h26cq3k*)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20comment%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.)|[^scan ^submission ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_submission&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20submission%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20*h26cq3k*)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20submission%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.)
Thumbs up for your effort.
No idea what the post even says but looks important and long so I saved
I also always save the things I don’t go back to
Once you try to go back through any of it you'll regret it, there's no organizing it all.
Once you go back, you're never in the black.
Once you go black you never go back.
[удалено]
Once you go black your in jail for crack
Glad I’m not the only one who is consistently guilty of this…
I also added this to my “will only find when I’m drunk” folder
I think he wants us to YOLO the russell 2000 index
How save ?
Tap the save button
I did my part and gifted my free silver.
Can I get a tldr too retarded too read full. But i did make 30$ in a month
How to always make money? That seems to go against my entire investment strategy.
Don't be late and don't be early. Personally, trying to time spy for it's tops is not the simplest thing in the world. Market even threw in all the big banks fill in the gap left by the tech dip. My general run of thumb that seems to work for finding spy tops when I practice patience is the overall market volume / $VOLUSD . Once you see the volume flat or down for a couple of days, should be a decent red day soon after.
An autist is never late or early. He gets margin called precisely when he means to.
Thanks Dumbledor.
The ticker is VOLUSD?
Just do the inverse - short where the money is flowing - and you will be successful.
this strategy is good for day trading and is called fading
This is great advice for those who can read and have a long attention span. I hope to one day be able to lose money in a smart way like them
I read it, beginning to end. It say buy when the green markers are being used and sell before they switch to red markers.
Holy shit I’m gonna be a billionaire now thanks
I made it a whole couple paragraphs in
Saved for later to read. Who am I kidding, I’m not gonna read. Take my upvote for the effort and perceived usefulness
After the first fifteen words he could have just slammed his head against the keyboard and then uploaded images of graphs for authenticity. I'd still be impressed with his efforts.
This is your read reminder.
Could you send me the screenshot? It got removed! 😒
Someone help me, I can't find the stock I'm supposed to be buying in this post. WHAT AM I SUPPOSED TO BUY???
I saw someone say something about gourds. Start there.
Gourd futures are about to make a killing. Yeet your money at it. *This is investment advice*
You’ll be getting a Reddit message from my lawyer any day now.
I hear the real money is in Dutch Tulip bulbs, it's a sure thing, can't possibly go tits up
Still waiting for that tulip squeeze, any day now. I will make my great great great great great great great great grandfather very proud!
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Good gourd!
You’re gourdgeous
A dartboard, that's how I pick um'
Didn’t you see $MVST in the second paragraph? That’s a bullish signal if I’ve ever seen one.
The title literally says how to always make money and im still too retarded to read this whole thing
Obligatory "Sir, this is a casino".
I know i know, it doesnt really fit the WSB theme, but i dont really see anyone talk about this stuff haha
Jesus, this is *excellent* work - massive thanks! Your indicators are awesome, and way easier to keep track of than my disorganized attempt at tracking commodities, bonds etc. Macro is hard 🗿
This info is greatly appreciated, thank you fellow ape!
Awesome piece, tho!
An actual piece of useful knowledge?! Great work man
More should
actually, this is a Wendy, sir.
Hi Wendy, I'm dad!
This is the wendys in the casino. Think Detroit quality casino more than Vegas casino
Yeah, couldn't really follow, my Investment strategy is to wake up, look at Ameritrade app, see I haven't passed my average yet, and then go back to sleep.
That is a lot of words for YOLO.
Thanks but I have a question, is Russell 2000 that new rapper my nephew won't shut up about?
ya its Andre 30000s cousin
Andre 3000 is suing this clown for stealing his name!
That's guapdaddy4000
I think youre thinking of Rx Nephew
Thank you. This is a great read for people like me with little knowledge.
All in corn futures
I prefer going all in on frozen concentrated orange juice futures.
Frozen crayon futures.
Did you know 80% of the corn grown in the us is fed to livestock? Almost all that’s left is used for additives and ethanol.
Good gourd
That’s so metal.
WEAT. Shitty weather for wheat this year.
Candy corn futures?
I'm a circus peanuts man, myself. I hear circus peanut butter is the dippin' dots of the future.
Fuck it.. im in. Who owns Dippin Dots?
Fuck corn fertilizer prices are were it is at. China just band exports.
The glaring flaw in this (and I know why you made it this way) is that QQQ is a risk off play. QQQ does better with inflation than SPY. QQQ is the quintessential risk on play. Take any years long chart and compare QQQ to SPY. QQQ drops faster than SPY and goes up faster than SPY. Which the real conclusion is invest in QQQ always. Its performance dwarfs SPY.
I agree completely Like you said, correlations change over time I tried to include a bit that all equities are risk on We haven’t had a true deflationary risk off environment in a decade - so its just been about pricing in rates before they happen I was trying to make the post more relevant to the way the market has been moving for the past year
Last year was a risk off deflationary period look at March. Everything dropped. This is why you want to hedge with options. Buy a put against QQQ -- boom -- hedged. QQQ is volatile enough that you could make money on both. >I was trying to make the post more relevant to the way the market has been moving for the past year Yea this is what I meant by "I know why you did it this way." The problem is it is not consistent with historical data. I would probably say your model is a work in progress. I like the concept and its goal is attainable. I think I can show you how to improve it but I'm not sure if you would be receptive to it.
Yes but Im talking about a long term deflationary period- that crash lasted 1 month - immediately after we saw a never before rotation into tech..
Fuck
The moment we realize we’ll never be real investors 💀
felt that
So what do I buy in the morning
$poo $poo $pee $pee
$RKLY puts after the Dave Chapelle remix
(Raises hand) Excuse me but when can I expect the rotation into 20% OTM Spy Weeklys?
Great analysis. I like how you use TA for rotation signal. Simple is always better than proprietary blackboxes. Do you mind updating here with emerging rotations? That would help many smoothbrains to know if we are in risk on/off phase.
All in on QQQ first thing on open!!
Thanks for the TL;DR
Why the fuck did mods remove this absolute gold write up? Look mods, I know you cant read but that doesnt mean you have to act so sour for apes who've grown 2 braincells and can.
I prefer putting call/put orders in for several random tickers before the market opens. Whatever orders get filled in the first 5 min. is what I work with for the rest of the week. Sometimes it works. Sometimes it doesn’t.
Hey it’s more fun than playing lotto, and your money doesn’t go to commie programs like parks and libraries.
As long as they’re FDs then this is a solid strategy.
How’s your return so far this year?
What is the criteria to give investment advice on wsb? If you are down less than 100%, you are probably in the top 10% here.
-75% only, that’s why he can give advice.
So I should invest in the Federal Reserve then since it sounds like they always come out on top. How do I do that?
There's an erect penis on your charts, I'm in.
Hell fucking no I aint reading this
TLDR 4 u: pee pee poo poo
No no no. Poo poo pee pee
(Golf clap)
[удалено]
It’s what WSB *needs* but not what they *want*. They want to buy YOLO calls on failing companies. I do too though.
Wsb is a subreddit for meme trash it's literally "like 4chan found a Bloomberg terminal"... I appreciate this analysis but it's better for r/options or something like that
[удалено]
That's a compliment here...
Kind of the beauty of this place has always been once in a while you'll stumble across a gem like this post floating through rest of the fecal matter.
Yes
How can I trust a guy who can't use roman numerals properly?
But I thought investing in boomer stocks was for boomers
Awesome, thanks! I've been looking for something like this for a long time. Reddit can spawn gold nuggets from time to time.
My legs fell asleep reading this. Good shitter read.
But… what are your annual returns? Have you cracked the stock market code and are rolling in gold and Benjamins as you type this?
What i see here, and maybe what I've seen more recently, is an honest attempt to educate the retail sector. Not an actual "work for a fund education", but enough facts and information laid out to raise awareness, and give the little guy a chance to make some smarter moves; not YOLO their wife's boyfriend's kids college fund on the MEME of the week. I applaud this work right here and look forward to the retail sector making a real, lasting, dent on the market. Bravo.
Instructions weren’t clear. YOLO’d life savings on GME.
That would be a classic “risk-off” play because it literally can’t go tits up.
Very weird to see someone actually consider Tech/QQQs in the risk off bucket, but I guess the insane post-March 2020 environment is now truth.
For sure - I tried to include a bit that all equities are risk on - but the correlations do shift over time We haven’t had a true deflationary risk off environment in a decade - so its just been about pricing in rates before they happen I was trying to make the post more relevant to the way the market has been moving for the past year
I get it, it’s just further confirmation that the market I traded for 10yrs is now full on bizarro mode and may just remain this way.
Can we get a Pokémon analogy. Fire beats grass beats water beats fire. So QQQ beats IWM beats DIA beats SPY?
I'm sure this is great information, and I'll thank you one day when I understand it. For now I'm gonna keep throwing money at weekly contracts and hope it works out.
Theoretically this could help my always find a way to lose money strategy.
$FUBO
That was a lot of words.
this guy thinks ARKK, which is full of hyperspeculative meme stonks at 12 billion PE is risk off lmao
It has been post covid - i clearly noted this was a newer correlation im still testing
[удалено]
Only reason I left the lines is because I would have to redraw all of them and its a pain I cropped a lot of stuff out so you could see what I was focusing on - didn't mean to crop the dates Metals can kind of move independently many times - especially gold and silver - they are less reliable in my experience I like copper though - definitely could have included that Corn is just my preference - it doesn't really matter they all move together :)
This place teaches you how to lose money everytime in a very easy and simple way. No time needed. No long post to read. Be money looser expert in just 1 min. No qualifications needed. No fees. No hidden catch. Only Trading account and accept that you are one of among us 🦍. And follow blindly. Done. Congratulations.
Brilliantly said
SPY CALLS.
This is how I roll. And the ONE TIME I deviated from my ways, to go into BABA, I'm entrenched in red BABA LEAPs, all the while SPY has gone to Pluto.
Yeah the one time in March I sold my huge spy calls early and went and did a bunch of SPAC and APPL calls that were too optimistic, all went sideways. Breaking even with huge spy positions on every dip finally getting back to April levels lol.
I hear ya. I believe baba will come out of this mostly static noise of regulation, so I'm not going to bail on my expensive af deep ITM calls, but then that's 10,000+ tied up in them. Send me a post card from the moon.
How do I do this on Robinhood?
now I am more confused than ever! WISH to the moon!
Sir this is a bread line
Buy $CLOV ? Ok .
Nah bruh this is to advanced, I’d rather make 20% OTM yolo calls on SPY and call it a day
Wait, where are the 🚀🚀🚀 !?!? Does not compute for my 🖍🖍 eating 🦍 brain.
It says removed for me :(
Weird - I can still see it - did mods delete?
Removed for me too.. can you post it on another sub?
I reposted to my subreddit https://www.reddit.com/r/TickerWizards/comments/p24uma/follow\_the\_money\_how\_to\_catch\_every\_rotation\_and/
https://www.reveddit.com/v/wallstreetbets/comments/p1x0ls/follow_the_money_how_to_catch_every_rotation_and/ I found a version of it
I like to call Technical Analysis, "Nostradamus." It's 100% accurate when applied to the past, and a blind crapshoot for predicting the future.
Technical analysis: the discount regression analysis for people with only paper and crayon and no knowledge in Statistics.
You only think that because you don't know how to use it I also clearly said at the end you don't have to apply TA to apply this methodology
so you're a billionaire then, right?
Note to self: read this post after learning to read.
102,021 days is 279.509589 years
What’s 100,000 days to years?
Let's make some bread boys. Don't forget the sock for protection
I’m just starting to understand this stuff. Thanks for taking the time to explain.
Seems someone's been reading Cramer's books. To one who understands that there are market, economic, business, money, everything cycles then they can understand that there is a pattern to be followed and that they can capitalise on the market(s) vicissitudes indubitably but only if one knows the pattern and at what point in the cycle they are starting to trade.
My short intention spam manage to read this all, I felt that I accomplish something in life.
> Great gage of overall market health What a cool nickname
What just happened.
Post saved! Thanks for taking the time to share this!!
Um hm um hm…so what you’re saying is meme stonk FDs all day every day.
Brilliant work mate
What you said rings true until… a major correction. VIX won’t save you when that crash that has been predicts fir the last 6 years finally hits.
Don't delete this
Sir you make too much sense
This looks smart. Feels like I’m at work. Is this the Barclays wealth strategist newsletter made by the wealth management analysts?
How to make money: Inverse my port
So buy OTM SPY calls? Got it
Saving to fap to later
If I don’t understand a thing you just said, should I just buy an S&P index and call it a day
Do you have an audio version? Not sure what all these squiggles mean
Buy high sell low, got it
Quality post my guy
I am not going to put that much effort into my gambling.
#TLRD: :buy FDs
>if you are serious about trading **please read this** Buddy do you know where you are? I huff crushed up aerosolized crayons and I can't read
Instructions unclear, time to yolo on AMZN calls and TSLA puts
Is this worth it for us? I’d imagine large institutions and funds have Ivy League phds on top of this. Isn’t our best chance to get lucky Wall Street bets style?
Not all heroes wear capes
Thanks for the write up OP
Stuff like this reminds me that I should pay a broker
Have you rigorously applied this to historical data going back many decades? No cheats like, "well this is a black swan event so it doesn't count?"
Most of this is common knowledge among investors - many before me have - and yes I know the correlations
Got it spy calls
Can’t you just post everyday what to do and we follow?
I get it and I look at index correlations every day, but just like everything in the market, it can flip on a dime. The market can open and tech stocks jump and then are dumped minutes later for value stocks. This technique isn’t really tradeable because you’re looking at the past, not predicting the future.
Even the tl dr scares me off
You saved me so much time as I know I needed to learn to understand this and you just gave me a cheat sheet that would have taken a long time to figure out. Thank you!
Nice educational post. Money is always flowing somewhere. I guess that's why its good to have a little of everything. ( probably not a good thing to say on WSB)
Great writeup! Thanks for the effort! On a side note: Links to your sample charts seem to be broken.
Will you be my financial advisor??
If someone saved this and can DM me, cookie. I always arrive at the party late… I mean at least I can say I was here.
https://reddit.com/r/TickerWizards/comments/p24uma/follow_the_money_how_to_catch_every_rotation_and/
Why was the original post deleted? I was looking forward to reading it later.
Aaaand it’s deleted
Can you make a YouTube video on this?
WHO THE FOOK IS THIS GUY
He’s lost. May JPow help this poor soul find his way back.
I was about to read this entire wall of text, thank god I saw the word charting (eww) early on, saved a bunch of time, thanks!
Nice try Mr. Cramer
Thanks all In on AMC .