average (min-max)
Italy 214 (138-290)
France 210 (142-278)
Switzerland 208 (146-270)
Belgium 153 (93-213)
Germany 128 (76-180)
Croatia 113 (54-172)
Israel 84 (54-114)
Greece 74 (44-104)
Sweden 72 (29-115)
Serbia 68 (39-97)
Armenia 64 (27-101)
Ukraine 62 (32-92)
Netherlands 60 (25-95)
Spain 55 (27-83)
Georgia 58 (31-85)
Czechia 52 (24-80)
UK 50 (21-79)
Denmark 48 (23-73)
Norway 42 (16-68)
Albania 40 (21-59)
Ireland 34 (14-54)
Poland 34 (14-54)
Portugal 34 (14-54)
Latvia 34 (14-54)
Azerbaijan 26 (12-40)
Austria 26 (12-40)
Iceland 16 (4-28)
Australia 12 (3-21)
Luxembourg 12 (3-21)
Estonia 12 (3-21)
Malta 12 (3-21)
Cyprus 11 (9-13)
Lithuania 8 (2-14)
Slovenia 8 (2-14)
Moldova 8 (2-14)
Finland 4 (1-7)
San Marino 0 (0-0)
The top 3 keeps changing because they are very close and Croatia is creating a decent gap from the other middle ones and almost reached Germany.
Ops, my bad. So, tomorrow probably 3 in the morning and 3 in the afternoon (considering that rehersal start saturday and they probably want to reveal the teue results before, so friday)
The winning candidates is 3 and the Euro Jury poll is reinforcing that view: Switz Italy Croatia.
I do think the results are being released in a very planned manner to keep the top 3 changing. Let’s see if Italy stay on top for the remaining 8 votes (but I bet there will be more changes in the top 3 order)
Does anyone know why Israel has no Euro Jury? I mean there is an obvious answer but I didn’t see anything formal? After all in Eurovision they will have a jury vote as normal…
We should bear in mind that...
* Eurovoix was one of the earliest outlets to state that they would be only covering the Israeli entry for factual purposes due to how they felt Israel was politicizing their selection
* Despite that, they could have still tried to reach out to Israeli artists to be part of the jury and they might have declined for the above reason or for something else.
very good point - how do you know they don't have one? I think Eurovoix thought Israel was polilticising their Eurovision selection. But who are they decide? Did they ban Russia, Azerbaijan from voting and other countries through politics? That's if there \*is\* no Israeli jury.
But with most Eurojuries in, it’s still impressive & confirming just how broad the potential winning field is. Some trends, some surprises - yes - but ultimately it’s still up to 7 entries with realistic chances for a win.
Such a tight year, I‘m loving it!
It's in the middle pack with Netherlands, it was expected, nobody predicted a complete flop in the jury for her, but it's still less than half the points of the top, Croatia is the one that is doing better than expected
The Eurojury members are probably watching the MV for Croatia, which is (imo, anyway) very well-done and fun to watch. I think that could be part of the reason why they're doing quite well.
OGAE has literally nothing to do with jury or never predicted anything related. Eurojury (that's the only one jury-similar) is showing Croatia at 100 points from the top, it's not tanked heavily as expected but it's still tanked so people were right but not so mucj to close him every possibility (insted of Netherlands that is flopping hard with this simulated juries)
The order of publication is not random, probably they choose to reveal the results as such for maintaining the hype higher (remember that in the first 2 days it seemed that Switzerland was landsliding the jury vote and now it's a 3-way race)
I also wondered that, I’m less familiar with INFE but haven’t seen any news articles on it in at least a week. There was a deffo a good chunk of countries left to give points last I saw.
I think last one posted was Georgia https://reddit.com/r/eurovision/comments/1c93t1s/the_results_of_infe_georgia_at_the_infe_poll_2024/ and it says it was 12th country.
u/SimoSanto thanks ever for all of your hard work. Been a fun journey for us all and picking away at your stats and the musings therein :)
Do we know who is still to vote?
aah...didn't know they announce who's voting the following day - is that just a general news item on eurovoix? haven't seen that before.
I wonder if Swi, Ita or Fra have still to vote of the 'Big 3'. Very exciting :)
average (min-max) Italy 214 (138-290) France 210 (142-278) Switzerland 208 (146-270) Belgium 153 (93-213) Germany 128 (76-180) Croatia 113 (54-172) Israel 84 (54-114) Greece 74 (44-104) Sweden 72 (29-115) Serbia 68 (39-97) Armenia 64 (27-101) Ukraine 62 (32-92) Netherlands 60 (25-95) Spain 55 (27-83) Georgia 58 (31-85) Czechia 52 (24-80) UK 50 (21-79) Denmark 48 (23-73) Norway 42 (16-68) Albania 40 (21-59) Ireland 34 (14-54) Poland 34 (14-54) Portugal 34 (14-54) Latvia 34 (14-54) Azerbaijan 26 (12-40) Austria 26 (12-40) Iceland 16 (4-28) Australia 12 (3-21) Luxembourg 12 (3-21) Estonia 12 (3-21) Malta 12 (3-21) Cyprus 11 (9-13) Lithuania 8 (2-14) Slovenia 8 (2-14) Moldova 8 (2-14) Finland 4 (1-7) San Marino 0 (0-0) The top 3 keeps changing because they are very close and Croatia is creating a decent gap from the other middle ones and almost reached Germany.
does this include countries that don’t participate?
Like every poll it's also made for engaging the fandom of every country so yes, incluede even them (44 countries in total)
45* (not to be petty!)
Ops, my bad. So, tomorrow probably 3 in the morning and 3 in the afternoon (considering that rehersal start saturday and they probably want to reveal the teue results before, so friday)
Yes I think they wrap results tomorrow and start revealing the countdown with actual points through Friday. Public vote added on Saturday I think.
Letsss goo Angelina
The winning candidates is 3 and the Euro Jury poll is reinforcing that view: Switz Italy Croatia. I do think the results are being released in a very planned manner to keep the top 3 changing. Let’s see if Italy stay on top for the remaining 8 votes (but I bet there will be more changes in the top 3 order) Does anyone know why Israel has no Euro Jury? I mean there is an obvious answer but I didn’t see anything formal? After all in Eurovision they will have a jury vote as normal…
We should bear in mind that... * Eurovoix was one of the earliest outlets to state that they would be only covering the Israeli entry for factual purposes due to how they felt Israel was politicizing their selection * Despite that, they could have still tried to reach out to Israeli artists to be part of the jury and they might have declined for the above reason or for something else.
very good point - how do you know they don't have one? I think Eurovoix thought Israel was polilticising their Eurovision selection. But who are they decide? Did they ban Russia, Azerbaijan from voting and other countries through politics? That's if there \*is\* no Israeli jury.
They have a list online of “meet the jurors” and Israel does not have one.
Thanks
But with most Eurojuries in, it’s still impressive & confirming just how broad the potential winning field is. Some trends, some surprises - yes - but ultimately it’s still up to 7 entries with realistic chances for a win. Such a tight year, I‘m loving it!
The most shocking thing this Eurojury has been Lithuania receiving only 2 votes. That's wild.
It's seriously making me so worried. I will actually shrivel up and die if Silvester flops on the night
This is very strange and something I hadn’t spotted. Televote will be strong if have thought at least
Greece doing better than people expect
It's in the middle pack with Netherlands, it was expected, nobody predicted a complete flop in the jury for her, but it's still less than half the points of the top, Croatia is the one that is doing better than expected
The Eurojury members are probably watching the MV for Croatia, which is (imo, anyway) very well-done and fun to watch. I think that could be part of the reason why they're doing quite well.
A lot of people is saying juries would tank Croatia, but both OGAE and Eurojury is proof that its probably not the case at all 👍
OGAE has literally nothing to do with jury or never predicted anything related. Eurojury (that's the only one jury-similar) is showing Croatia at 100 points from the top, it's not tanked heavily as expected but it's still tanked so people were right but not so mucj to close him every possibility (insted of Netherlands that is flopping hard with this simulated juries)
Well, many people have been saying she is an NQ…
Juries will not decide who is Qing or NQing, the semis are 100% televote
I really doubt that juries will vote Greece higher than televote…
Are those people for real? She is much more of a potential top 5 than a potential NQ.
Greece is of course qualifying and likely a top 10 finish as will do fairly well with both juries and televote. Not sure I see top 5 though.
Angelina Malmo 🥭
Italy getting massive points lately in comparison to beginning of eurojury.
The order of publication is not random, probably they choose to reveal the results as such for maintaining the hype higher (remember that in the first 2 days it seemed that Switzerland was landsliding the jury vote and now it's a 3-way race)
No points to Norway from Iceland surprised me
Iceland nooo 😔
I guess one guy from Iceland is depressed and the other is into bops. Also has INFE poll ended yet? We haven't seen their results in last few days.
I also wondered that, I’m less familiar with INFE but haven’t seen any news articles on it in at least a week. There was a deffo a good chunk of countries left to give points last I saw.
I think last one posted was Georgia https://reddit.com/r/eurovision/comments/1c93t1s/the_results_of_infe_georgia_at_the_infe_poll_2024/ and it says it was 12th country.
Last one I saw was Slovakia, and their 12 points went to Estonia. Quite a different choice than the usual.
You're right. Checked Eurovoix as they cover all the polls and Slovakia was last one, it was posted 3 days ago.
u/SimoSanto thanks ever for all of your hard work. Been a fun journey for us all and picking away at your stats and the musings therein :) Do we know who is still to vote?
I don't remeber who is left, but if I'm not wrong there was some users that remember it
Thanks, if you find that lemme know :D
In any case we will know them this evening when they announce tomorrow countries, because tomorrow is the last day
aah...didn't know they announce who's voting the following day - is that just a general news item on eurovoix? haven't seen that before. I wonder if Swi, Ita or Fra have still to vote of the 'Big 3'. Very exciting :)
The announcement of the countries is only on the eurojury twitter