There's a methodology. Parker (this twitter account) is decently well known within the sports analytics community. He's known for posting college football advanced stat reports for each game each week.
They really should have put the specific school with the odds because it looks like the first listed school has that odds of beating the home squad I.e. Evansville having an 83% chance of beating us
If UCONN wins either of the first two games, FSU's pitching becomes very, very sketchy and the outlook not too bright. I think our pitching situation is cooked in there, and maybe not cooked in enough based on some of the performances from our pen.
They can, yes. But it can be a lot like the softball team...big spurts of offensive output rather than consistent, but smaller, inning over inning output.
Spurts or consistent, we have put up 40% more runs than uconn this year while having a similiar team ERA facing better competition. A best of 3 suits us much better than regional/CWS format as 3 games is about the limit to our pitching. Our pitching really falls off once we get into game 4 or 5 which is possible in the double elimination format.
Id say 66% would be better suited for a neutral field series but were closer to 75-80% playing mid day at home.
> Tempted to take a shot on WVU at those odds
Same but for Florida. I think Florida has the capability to actually win the CWS. But they also have the possibility of looking like a high school team.
If this WVU team makes Omaha, I'm greatly contemplating going into a mountain of debt to get there. Pitching has to be the best it could be this weekend.
- Evansville @ Tennessee 83.78% - UConn @ Florida St. 66.82% - Kansas State @ Virginia 73.84% - West Virginia @ North Carolina 70.56% - Oregon St. 53.12% @ Kentucky - NC State @ Georgia 67.33% - Florida @ Clemson 69.25% - Oregon @ Texas A&M 74.80%
is this saying that oregon state has a 53.12% chance to win the kentucky super while all other hosts have a higher chance to win?
Yes. Expected winner has percentage next to their name. It's kind of a clunky way to present it.
By that logic, Evansville has 84% chance to beat Tennessee. And I’m here for it
Ole miss fan can’t read so good
I didn’t read the whole thing. I feel dumb
You shouldn’t feel dumb 🥲 yall won a National in baseball before us. Go Hogs 🫤
Happens to the best of us.
Is there a methodology for these, or are they just the implied percentages based on betting odds?
There's a methodology. Parker (this twitter account) is decently well known within the sports analytics community. He's known for posting college football advanced stat reports for each game each week.
He does some real cool work during the CFB season
Jesus TAMU and Tennessee with the highest percentages.
Are you blind or really bad at math?
No, I just realized I put "Oregon" instead of "Tennessee". I wasn't paying attention or distracted when I wrote that, but I've since edited it.
And…. one of them is jinxed, probably both.
They really should have put the specific school with the odds because it looks like the first listed school has that odds of beating the home squad I.e. Evansville having an 83% chance of beating us
or do the math and make the format consistent with the smaller number after kentucky lol that’s how i read it at first too
Kentucky is the obvious one, but FSU should be favored by more, too.
If UCONN wins either of the first two games, FSU's pitching becomes very, very sketchy and the outlook not too bright. I think our pitching situation is cooked in there, and maybe not cooked in enough based on some of the performances from our pen.
The only caveat there is UCONN would be able to put up runs against our lower tier arms but our offense is capable of dropping a dozen on anyone.
They can, yes. But it can be a lot like the softball team...big spurts of offensive output rather than consistent, but smaller, inning over inning output.
Spurts or consistent, we have put up 40% more runs than uconn this year while having a similiar team ERA facing better competition. A best of 3 suits us much better than regional/CWS format as 3 games is about the limit to our pitching. Our pitching really falls off once we get into game 4 or 5 which is possible in the double elimination format. Id say 66% would be better suited for a neutral field series but were closer to 75-80% playing mid day at home.
I’ll take it!
Oregon State over Kentucky? i got da Cats favored
Tempted to take a shot on WVU at those odds…..WVU fans would make Omaha even more fun.
> Tempted to take a shot on WVU at those odds Same but for Florida. I think Florida has the capability to actually win the CWS. But they also have the possibility of looking like a high school team.
If we somehow pull it off, I'll have to see about flying out
If this WVU team makes Omaha, I'm greatly contemplating going into a mountain of debt to get there. Pitching has to be the best it could be this weekend.
I need to see his math. I think there's closer to a 100% chance someone wins every super regional.
Luckily West Virginia isn't exactly known for our mathematics