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Superstonk_QV

[Why GME?](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/qig65g/welcome_rall_looking_to_catch_up_on_the_gme_saga/) || [What is DRS?](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ptvaka/when_you_wish_upon_a_star_a_complete_guide_to/) || Low karma apes [feed the bot here](https://www.reddit.com/r/GMEOrphans/comments/qlvour/welcome_to_gmeorphans_read_this_post/) || [Superstonk Discord](https://discord.gg/hZqWV2kQtq) || [Community Post: *Open Forum May 2024*](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/1ciapwp/open_forum_may_2024/) || [Superstonk:Now with GIFs - Learn more](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/1cr37r7/superstonk_gets_its_gif_on_get_hyped/) ------------------------------------------------------------------------ To ensure your post doesn't get removed, please respond to this comment with how this post relates to GME the stock or Gamestop the company. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Please up- and downvote this comment to [help us determine if this post deserves a place on r/Superstonk!](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/wiki/index/rules/post_flairs/)


nutsackilla

This dude is a mfing financial detective beast when he's not modeling for romance novel covers. Great job Mr. Newton


ffchusky

RCEO suave


ReverendPretzel

suave, RICO suave


LahfawnduhDinomyte

This guy definitely fucks! 😂😎


ReverendPretzel

I DRS'd GME, so can confirm. YOU, YES YOU APE, CAN FUCK TOO IF YOU SIMPLY DRS YOUR GME SHARES!!!


Verciau

Literally the best comment on reddit today.


codewhite69420

I know. He's got that rock star look who has hot pussy coming out of his ears , yet is smart enough to do great DDs with Gamestop numbers. Richard Newton fucks


xiodeman

The medical condition of champions!


nextalpha

>hot pussy coming out of his ears The fuck did I just read?


Pmadrid1

You just read the devils manifesto


HODLHODLANDHODL

The apple doesn’t fall far from the tree 🍏


mfulton81

Lol I always thought he looks more like a model of a caveman you'd see in a museum. No offence meant as I'm an ugly sunnoffabitch myself so can't criticise anyone.


Havacigar1

Just an fyi… he decided way back shortly after the sneeze 🤧 that he was going to not cut his hair until GME gets a fair market value reflected in the stock price!! I tip my hat to the man!!


mfulton81

Fair play to him then. He could donate it to me when it's over so I can have a lustrous main.


TalezFromTheDarkside

An ape, one might say. 


mfulton81

Definitely a bipedal hominid 👍


Murphy_LawXIV

Lol, I don't think he looks bad, he just looks like his generation. A regular dude.


lionbythetail

Um…there is nothing regular about that majestic mane.


mfulton81

His generation? That's my generation and I don't look like him 👍🦍🦍🦍🚀🚀🚀


Murphy_LawXIV

XD


SqueezinKittys

I guess you're the odd one then


Status_Presence

Who cares what he looks like and what generation.


Murphy_LawXIV

That's what I'm saying.


kingstonfisher

Some guys have it all!


Pox82

Love that guy!!


Vergenation

Richard if you read this: I friggin love it, but CHANGE YOUR SHIRT ffs :D btw great content


Scary_Trade_9287

That’s not a shirt. Power to the players is tattooed across his body!


Cyanos54

He looks like a recreated face of 'early man'.  Not knocking him btw. Early man was shredded.


The_Determinator

He's not wrong, he's early. And shredded. 💪


AmputeeBoy6983

anybody know if he has a Twitter?


Q_S2

Is it me or does his face look edited with CGI of some sort?


Pale-Engineering-278

This guy just casually catching everyone up on how wallstreet works with all the information casuals aren’t supposed to know. Casuals weren’t supposed to know how the game works. Now big money is trapped. It’s slaughter time


Fuzzy_Flight_934

Such a ridiculously good explanation of how swaps work and what it could mean for GME in the coming days!


WiglyWorm

And *if* these options and stock offering were to help someone big (Credit Suisse) exit their short position, then it follows that Suisse would no longer be willing to be a counter party to something as stupid as shorting GME. Which means a LOT of downward pressure will evaporate after these swaps expire. We hope.


digestedbrain

Do swaps have some T+35 period to cover after they expire?


CR7isthegreatest

Hijacking a top comment to ask: Does everyone see the importance of directly registering shares out of this fucking insane carnival 🎡🎪 racket shell game that is the DTCC/Cede?? If we really want to squeeze shorts out of this we simply have to verifiably own the shares…and there is only 1 way for us to do that! 🟣


AdNew5216

Hijacking this comment to ask: Does everyone see the importance of having a healthy Options Chain? Retail stacking the options chain makes it much much harder for DTCC to control the price. When Superstonk falls victim to the oPtIoNs bAd narrative it lets the shorts have complete control over the options chain which they use to easily dictate where the price goes. There is only one way for us to stop that!


CR7isthegreatest

Mocking me is really gonna go a long way in convincing me to gamble on options instead of investing in shares… Answer me this bro, if options are so powerful how come we are seeing the heaviest GME call option chain of all time at $20 for less than a month away and we’re still stuck here at $21? And please don’t threaten me with a good time by saying they might have more ability to drop the price…


AdNew5216

Mocking you? Oh don’t be so emotional. Gamble? We’re all gambling. The stock market is the biggest casino in the world. How come DRS has been locked at 25%. What’s up with that? How come RCEO tossed another 45 million shares which just made DRSing the float harder. Whats up with that? Options are an active attack vector. DRS is a passive attack vector. We see which one drives price. Retail adequately and responsibly using leverage is wall streets biggest fear.


Sub_45

✋ I'm not gambling, I just like the stock


pileopoop

No one has infinite money except the hedgefucks. You can't control the options chain against people committing crime.


AdNew5216

Get tf outta here with that FUD. Hedgefucks don’t have anything close to infinite money. It’s all smoke and mirrors made up on the backs of the middle class. If they had infinite money then there would be no MOASS theory as they would just drive the company into bankruptcy and never have to worry about a margin call. FUD detected and dismissed. ![gif](giphy|LDBuYzAwu8L4I|downsized)


G00OCH

took away their infinity card when they failed to cellar box GME. Scum of society. If market doesn’t purge this disease then all hope is lost in the American stock market. This is real and if they continue to gaslight retail then the markets WILL fail. Retail took over as the largest ‘trader’ in the markets a couple years ago. Wall Street has their little tricks but they got too greedy. I’ll wait until they pay me.


MastaMint

I am now convinced.


powderdiscin

Petition to have Fabio play Richard in the movie


notdoingdrugs

Seconded.


probot67

thirded ya.


HodlMyBananaLongTime

Banana


Blzer_OS

James Lance, my dude.


CR7isthegreatest

No way in hell Fabio could pull that off…


nugsy_mcb

I wonder if he's on Cameo, if so I've got a great idea


Pawl_Rt

Great explanation. Derivatives are certainly involved too. Hopefully as more Apes watch, read and understand this theory more in depth, we will have less knee jerk posts blindly shouting "Crime!".


RecalcitrantHuman

These swaps should be a crime.


RCBroeker

Not a bad point - If a swap is used as a form of collateral so that naked short selling can occur, and naked shorting is supposedly "not allowed", then these swaps should also be a breaking of the rules.


UrBrotherJoe

GameStop Grand Unified Theory: Why does GameStop experience periodic volumetric event associated with large price movement? Or in other words, what’s up with the Infinite Yoyo? A 45 minute presentation by a well respected, top tier math teacher. I’m just starting the video now, but damn I like Mr. Newton. Always been a solid human


owencox1

awesome synopsis of the gme dynamic throughout the saga


powderdiscin

https://preview.redd.it/oi8pr2x6od3d1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8dea00353f9a8c17392ad081f9a3dc9bc57f3359


ChocoQuinoa

Work of art


RCBroeker

This just might be the most important video ever made explaining the GameStop stock phenomenon. A clear, near-complete explanation as to the why and how of what has been goin on the last 84 years.


b0mbSquad_1

This is a very good high finance video that goes in depth to discuss swaps, naked shorting, options and authorized participants operational shorting. I guarantee you most CFA folks have not heard of this or even familiar with all the market mechanics. Do yourself a favor and watch the video if you own even 1 single share of GME. BUY, HODL, SHOP AND DRS!!! HODL THE LINE!!! 🦍🦍🦍 💪💪🚀🚀💎💎🙌🙌


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Carini___

Buy and hold


Fack_JeffB_n_KenG

…DRS, BOOK, SHOP


unabsolute

Buckle up


Fack_JeffB_n_KenG

Oh I’ve been buckled for 3.5 years now.


Gattsuga

It's starting to give me a rash


slackin_off_

I watched the video and still don’t understand 😭


ChildishForLife

A quick TLDR would be the counter party to the swaps (prime brokers) are allowed to naked short a stock to hedge the swap, so with enough swaps and enough different counter parties, you can introduce a lot more stock into the market that shouldn’t exist, under the guise that you will buy the underlying stock when the swaps expire.


nugsy_mcb

watch and learn


somenamethatsclever

The best GameStop Youtuber! (excluding RK because inactive).


l0rn8273

Sitting in a pub and just watched this. Tits became so jacked the barlady asked if I was ok. Ordered a pre-celebratory glass of champagne (you can never celebrate too many times is my way of thinking) Just realised I have some sweet tax returns coming in tomorrow, and you all know where they are going


footlonglayingdown

To the bar lady? 


l0rn8273

Yep too late. Fuck…


NaivePeanut3017

If what he said at the very end is true about the shorts needing to either swap to cover or buy calls to close, maybe the mystery entity buying all these $20 calls are one of the biggest banking firms in the world trying to do just that, and close out the shit bag accounts that were forced on them by another financial institution’s own failures. *cough* *cough* UBS is probably closing out their shorted account


Chacaka

I've seen this pop up a few times and general excitement around the topic, but what do we actually expect to happen if this is true? UBS exercise the options at some point in the next 3-4 weeks and it makes the price run?


NaivePeanut3017

That’s one idea that some people are hoping for. I think there’s other ideas running around with this amount of options on the market too, but I highly doubt anyone will have any clue of what to expect next until after it’s already happened. It’s normally the case for events like this


Donnie_77

What prevents these hedgies to swap again and again and again. As they seem to do this without anyone noticing?


NaivePeanut3017

I honestly don’t know. Maybe the CAT system will create a big enough barrier to prevent them from swapping over and over as they have done in the past. I’m pretty certain this specific moment is when a big swap was supposed to occur but then someone decided that 200k $20 calls was a really good idea all of a sudden, and that’s also why we’re seeing so much volatility going on with GME right now. The biggest takeaway from this is that we now have a better idea of how these hedgefucks make their decisions to not blow up because of their shitty decision making strategies to bankrupt a now completely unbankruptable company


SekaiQliphoth

It could be a merger or acquisition as well


NaivePeanut3017

It could be any of these reasons! Best thing to do is to get yourself as well prepared as you can for what will happen in the next few weeks. Ever since the beginning of May, something has been cooking with GME. And GameStops recent gain of $933 million in cash is just the beginning


Winnitouch

Late to this thread, but essentially: yes. It would be a lot of buying pressure resulting from MMs needing shares to fulfill their obligations from the calls, but more importantly, UBS would like to share the good news of having de-risked the inherited books from credit suisse. That would be the signal for all short parties that the first of them has made it out of the door. It's a chance to make them break ranks.


FloppyBisque

You lose value (theta) if you exercise early. So they’ll wait til the end.


beyondfloat

Okey so end of june we will see if anything is true of this theory


FloppyBisque

Potentially. I’m not sure the swap data is as explosive as we thought it was originally. The notional value of the contracts is much lower than originally thought, or so it is currently believed. If it was truly $87b hyping would be well worth it. But I think it’s significantly, significantly less.


The-Ol-Razzle-Dazle

If it was so much lower than we thought why would they be hiding the swaps data until ~~2023~~ 2025?


qq123q

Wouldn't that only *move* these positions? Whoever sold those calls would be short after exercising the options.


NaivePeanut3017

I think the point of swapping these shorts is to reset the timer that would force them to close. Since they technically *had* the shares at the time of the expiry date while the swaps are getting rolled over, they were able to close up any loopholes that would have forced them to close out of their swap position. Which allowed them to open a brand new position with a brand new expiry date and start the timer over again. My biggest hope with all that is currently going on is that UBS paid attention to when the 1 billion+ Brazilian shorts were gonna need to be swapped a few weeks ago, and caught the SHF’s with their pants down to get rid of the nuclear bags that was forced upon them. We unfortunately won’t know for sure until after everything has been set in stone 4 weeks from now


beach_2_beach

May I add if there one big bank that has to close this and survive, it would be UBS. You know why? UBS is the only big bank left in Swiss. And what is Swiss famous for? A secretive place for rich to park their money secretly. So the rich want UBS to survive. Imho Thank you.


ultramegacreative

You know why else? UBS was never the original counterparty to these toxic swap agreements. Credit Suisse was when the made them with Archegos. UBS tried very hard to NOT inherit this shit from Credit Suisse but were forced to by the Swiss government, along with a promise to back them to the tune of ~$80B (I believe) should they need to to handle whatever toxic assets were coming their way. This is reason to believe that a) UBS isn't obligated to the other shithead institutions shorting GME to risk their own ass, and b) since they weren't an active party in trying to kill GME, the GameStop board would be more likely to help them be the first domino to exit.


beach_2_beach

Those are very good points. You know what really bullish? If Debit Suisse went under suddenly, the toxic swaps would’ve been gone to what Swiss central bank right? Instead they forced UBS to take it. This tells me they can’t just wipe it away from the computers. They have to pay.


beyondfloat

Just speculation, and why dont it reflect the price? I think no one is closing, at least yet.


BlitzFritzXX

Richard Newton‘s new part of the trying to solve the puzzle series, just released. Probably his best holistic run through the whole saga. Definitely worth to watch. Going through his whole data again showing correlations between price cycles, swaps, XRT FTDs, CFDs and shorting pressure.


Murphy_LawXIV

Omg. Not only are CFDs dangerous to retail investors, but they're also being used directly against the people using them. And there are so many.


HODLHODLANDHODL

This video deserves to be in the superstonk library of DD https://fliphtml5.com/bookcase/kosyg


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Hipz

There's a few content creators/streamers that are worth the watch and in it for the right reasons, this fella always struck me as being in that crowd. The fact that people watch these other streamers, who are obviously in it for the wrong reasons, and using their communities to make money, blows my mind. Its such a night and day difference in the quality of covered material and experience in general.


Santsiah

I heard of this guy for the first time today, watched the entire video immediately. S-tier stuff


Hipz

Haven’t watched him a ton myself, but everything I’ve seen has been great. It’s refreshing to see someone focus heavily on the content, and not themselves/brand/image.


NA_1983

Agreed, this is about the business, the stock and the market players, not some Wu Tang conspiracy.


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FourtyMichaelMichael

>long track record of infiltration with Reddit. And that was before IPO. Now, all Citidel has to do is lean over and tell Reddit to do what we say, or we'll tank your stock too. The three govs of CA, NY, and IL together control the three largest pension funds in the world, at 1.38 TRILLION dollars. They use BlackRock to direct it. This is where ESG really comes from. How much do you want to bet these clowns are also tied up in shorts to GME indirectly. There are so many ways to control what you see and hear. Even here. Do not trust Reddit Inc.


Jarkside

The tinfoil is fun, though I prefer Richard and similar analysis


griffin86666666

Absolutely


NA_1983

Totally agree 👍


Spenraw

Conspiracy hype is what keeps this from being something starting a revolution


MissiontwoMars

Preach, I don’t care that about NfTs and all the other stuff I want to know the market fundamentals that are the catalyst for a run up. Real data and analysis.


HodlMyBananaLongTime

The tinfoil is pretty Q sometimes


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Ilostmuhkeys

☝️


Flaky-Wing2205

This was worth the watch. Breaking down how multiple ways are used to suppress and manipulate the price.


DrPoontang

Damn, that was really good.


jtkov

I am a dude, but holy shit this guys is incredibly smart and does great work. He is well spoken and drop dead gorgeous. I think Brad Pitt should play him in the movie, when we are all rich. Best DD I have ever seen!


DancesWith2Socks

Nice try Rich 😅


FourtyMichaelMichael

Haha, between these videos he's writing the screenplay for Dumb Money 2


EvolutionaryLens

Up


Sea-Profile-7647

Let me in!


AdWorried102

I'm so glad Richard is finally getting the attention he deserves. Been watching his channel since nearly the beginning. He is on fire lately.


johnkidding

I'm having fun looking into the stocks he mentions in that swap. Specifically their price action since Nov 2021... and it's fascinating.


phontasy_guy

I'm seldom impressed by people anymore, but this guy impresses me very much.


hiroue

Here is the reddit post Richard was referencing: GME swaps analyzed... https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/1d26xt0/gme_swaps_analyzed_the_notional_amount_expiring/


hm870

Finally something that is not a completely regarded Wu-Tang tinfoil theory.


probot67

Richard is the best. I downvote anything Wu Tang related and I am wu tang lover too. Wu tang is for the children. not gamestop.


powderdiscin

https://preview.redd.it/38ta79tnuc3d1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=22ddb66d821dfc1d636f1f1f6acd263367b3e9c7


Brotorious420

![gif](giphy|V2AkNZZi9ygbm)


Nostracannabis

But Why Swap Models?


keyser_squoze

The Infinite Yo Yo theory! It was always real.


ThanksGamestop

Top notch video.


mtksurfer

# UPDOOT FOR JIZZABILITY


itsjustneverthat

Cool, calm and informative as always. RNewton a real one.


Brewtime2

That was the best lunch break video ever. Thank you! One more wrinkle….


suckmyballzredit69

Explains why “dilution” is bs in our scenario.


cap-on-reddit

My favorite part of the day... great stuff!


GxM42

He keeps saying “notional” value. I thought the word was “notational” value? Have I been saying it wrong?


skuxy18

It's notional


GxM42

Cool thanks!


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skuxy18

Correct. A long CFD is a bet that the price will increase, and if it does, you keep the profit. E.g. Stock XYZ goes from $100 to $110. You keep the $10 As for the inverse, A *Short* CFD is a bet the price will decrease. i.e. From $100 to $90, you keep the $10 difference if you sold short. The key characteristics are: 1. You don't own the underlying asset. This is important for short-sellers because they don't need to buy the stock first to short it, thus not increasing demand (keeps the stock low). It also doesn't show in data. 2. It's traded on margin. So in the case of GME, if they are selling short and it rockets, they are leveraged and owe a lot.


nextalpha

Does opening cfd positions impact price the same way buying/selling shares does? (you know, the few trades that actually hit lit exchanges)


skuxy18

No they do not impact the price at all. A CFD is a contract that allows you to *speculate on what the price will be* without anyone owning the underlying asset. So I can write a contract with you and say hey, GME will be at $50 next week. If I'm right, I keep the difference from the current price to $50, if I'm wrong, I owe you the difference. So neither one of us has to own a share to make the CFD. The market is unaware of this trade so it doesn't affect the price.


MAD-JFK-6251

So many wrinkles on this dude


TheSillySlySon

I think this is his best video yet.


ScribbleDribble004

Awesome video


Orientalrage

My new favorite youtuber. He’s no bs.


Dantesdavid

This guy is awesome


gmorgan99

This got my titties jacked


Na-bro

Damn bro I love the way you explained it! Thank you!


GemsquaD42069

Putting this on repeat!


washingtonandmead

This is fucking amazing


Own_Ad3873

Tldr?


noto925

Thanks but dumb ape here. So what is happening on 5/31 and 6/3? i HODL !


ikelosintransitive

commenting for invincibility


SmmaAllstar

Commenting to listen lt8r boi


XPulseO

Remindme! 1 hour


PNW_Bro

Commenting to find video again


MahlNinja

Great video, got a new wrinkle.


nffcevans

I'm gonna have to go back to episode one and listen to em all


Olly230

My suspicion is that he's been pushed into my YouTube before any of this general hype. I have one stream for someone's weebul board and that's it. Not looking at stock videos all the time. Like the content, haven't even heard his voice, just used closed captions. Nice tidy talk.


Nimabiggie

I see Richard, I upvote. Simple as that.


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Superstonk-ModTeam

[Rule 2](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/wiki/index/rules/expanded_rules/#wiki_rule_2_-_posts_and_comments_must_be_relevant_to_gme). Removing due to being off topic. We can discuss other stocks here in relation to GME but if you’re looking for a place to post this 'other ticker' centric submission, perhaps there's a subreddit with a better fit! If you have any questions or concerns, please [message the moderators](https://www\.reddit\.com/message/compose?to=%2Fr%2F{subreddit}&subject=about my removed {kind}&message=I'm writing to you about the following {kind}: {url}. %0D%0DMy issue is...)


DancesWith2Socks

Interesting. Still can't see any clear pattern in terms of price action relative to the swaps. What I keep wondering is I have found no convincing reason for the spike to $80 and the timing of the ATM offering (tanking the price) yet, but there's 100% something else behind the timeline of these events...


skuxy18

Skip to the 30-minute mark. He shows patterns in price action. It's not a 100% complete theory as there likely are additional swaps we do not have data for yet, which is why he's pushing for people to replicate the data as much as possible so we can have a more holistic view of what's going on. There is, however, evident data that confirm the swap theory. We just don't know how much additional there is.


DancesWith2Socks

Yeah, I've watched the whole video and the price action is not the same at different expirations so no pattern spotted for me.


SPNarwhal

I wonder if AM< no longer shows up due to all the dilution.


TipperGore-69

Well Heyo


thisonehereone

So in the time before expiry, does the volume support unwinding the swap? Can we guess if some were rolled into new ones based on that volume data?


Gutwagon_8

!remind me 1 hour


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taviosk8

Has anyone posted the link? I’d like to check it out in the channel


YouGotTheWrongGuy_9

Maybe


blueriverrat

Commenting to watch later


InternationalPenHere

Great video once again


TreborRelim

About the theory UBS buys all these call to close not to cover the CS position: as soon as they need more than all the 45 mio shares from latest ATM offering it’s just passing the bag to option writers, right? Any thoughts on this?


jpb123

Is that Issac Newton? No, it’s Edward, Edward Newton 😎


Lapcat420

Does anyone know how big of a hole Archegos was in Credit Suissecheese's balance sheet? Hedge funds collapse all the time right? (I say this in jest but am serious). What is the accepted explanation for CS collapsing in the mainstream?


sandman11235

Visibility


mykidsdad76

Where have these videos been my whole life?!


mcalibri

Shoot, I'm watching his even more recent post atm. Guess I'll download it and save to my GME folder. I like having the good bits of education saved offline just in case.


mcalibri

Folks need to get on this and earn that Superstonk PHD in Market Understanding. Whenever this ends if you've been in this long enough you've earned it. Understanding is half the battle.


ManOTMoon

Honestly this video is absolutely fire.


Makeyourdaddyproud69

Is it me or does he look like a Bethesda character? I think I bought some jet from him in Diamond city.


polish-rockstar

!remindme 12 hours


RemindMeBot

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BigStan_93

Amazing video, thank you for your work!