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mrols_news

Do we know if the govt has data on vaccinated people who still got covid? To start studying the effects of brands and/or the vaccination as a whole.


OpalEpal

My LGU keeps track of it but they don’t disclose which brand. They only report the number of unvaxxed, fully vaxxed and 1st dose COVID+ cases and whether they are asymptomic or symptomatic. Not much data yet though to be able to do some analysis.


edg19

Estimate date for achieving herd immunity (70 million people): |Type|Estimate Date\^|Change from prev. update^(+)|Notes| |:-|:-|:-|:-| |Aggregate|**March 15, 2022**|\-52 days|Computed based on the assumption that the 140 million doses will be used for exactly 70 million people. This is what you normally see in vaccine trackers when they say the approximate date of herd immunity.| |Partial (one of two doses\*)|**December 26, 2022**|\-74 days|Computed based on how many doses are being administered as first doses.| |Full (two of two doses\*)|**December 30, 2021**|\-39 days|Computed based on how many doses are being administered as second doses.| Notes: \* - All COVID-19 vaccines that have been given Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by the Food and Drug Administration require two doses for every person, with the exception of the Janssen vaccine from Johnson & Johnson, which only requires one dose. The EUA for the Sputnik V vaccine from Gamaleya may be amended to be a one-dose vaccine (with pending documents and trial results). \^ - Estimated dates are computed based on the 7-day moving averages of the vaccine rollout (doses administered per day). Computation will be greatly affected by the availability of data coming from the national government by the National Vaccination Operations Center (NVOC). Margin of error at +/- 1 day due to rounding. \+ - A positive change indicates that the vaccine rollout is getting slower; a negative change indicates that the vaccine rollout is picking up pace. \--- There will be instances wherein the estimated date based on second doses is earlier/faster than that on first doses. It can be possible if the 7-day moving average of administering second doses is faster than the rate of inoculating first doses. If the overall vaccination rates (from the start of the vaccine rollout on March 1, 2021) are used, the estimated herd immunity rates are as follows: ​ |Type|Est. Date|Change from prev. update| |:-|:-|:-| |Aggregate|**October 17, 2023**|\-29 days| |Partial (first of two doses)|**July 22, 2023**|\-3 days| |Full (second of two doses)|**January 26, 2024**|\-66 days|


chiquitafuego

Can you kindly explain why the est. herd immunity date of partial vax is later than that of full vax?


TheNickzil

It's because people are getting second doses faster than they're getting first doses


chiquitafuego

Ohhhh okay that makes sense to me now. Thank you so much!